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Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
19 Oct 2023
Market closes lower, IRM Energy's IPO gets bids for 3X the available shares on offer

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50closed at 19,624.70 (-46.4, -0.2%), BSE Sensexclosed at 65,629.24 (-247.8, -0.4%) while the broader Nifty 500closed at 17.310.50 (-33.5, -0.2%). Market breadth is even. Of the 1,963 stocks traded today, 970 were in the positive territory and 943 were negative.

Indian indices closed in the red, with the Nifty 50closing at 19,624.7 points. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, fell 0.6% and closed at 10.9 points. Persistent Systems closed 2.3% higher after its Q2FY24 net profit increased by 15.1% QoQ to Rs 263.3 crore and EBIT margin expanded by 88 bps QoQ to 13.7%.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed flat, despite the benchmark index closing in the red. Nifty FMCG and Nifty Auto closed higher than their Wednesday close. According to Trendlyne's sector dashboard, Telecommunications Equipment was the top-performing sector of the day as it rose 0.8% in a volatile market.

Major Asian indices closed lower, except for Taiwan’s TSEC 50 closing marginally higher. European indices traded in the red as investors looked ahead to the Fed chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Economic Club of New York later today. US index futures also traded lower, indicating a negative start to the trading session. Brent crude oil futures traded in the red after rising 0.5% on a volatile day on Wednesday.

  • Money flow index (MFI) indicates that stocks like Prestige Estates Projects, Vijaya Diagnostic Centre, The Fertilisers and Chemicals Travancore and Oil India are in the overbought zone.

  • NBCC (India) rises over 8% in trade to touch a new 52-week high of Rs 70.6 per share. The company ranks high on Trendlyne’s Checklist scoring 54.5%. It features in a screener of companies with zero promoter pledges.

  • Ultratech Cement is rising as its net profit surges by 69.6% YoY to Rs 1,281.5 crore in Q2FY24. Revenue improves by 15.3% YoY to Rs 16,012.1 crore during the same period. It features in a screener of stocks with increasing profits for the past three consecutive quarters.

  • ICICI Securities maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on IndusInd Bank and raises its target price to Rs 1,750 from Rs 1,700. This implies an upside of 20.9%. The brokerage expects the bank to see a healthy rate of loan growth with a steady net interest margin and anticipates slippages to gradually reduce in the coming quarters.

  • PVR INOX is falling despite being back in the black in Q2FY24 with a net profit of Rs 166.3 crore. Its revenue jumps by nearly 3X YoY to Rs 2,000 crore, driven by improving box office collections and a 64% YoY rise in admissions. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with improving net cash flows from operations over the past two years.

  • Bandhan Bank is falling despite its net profit growing by 3.4X YoY to Rs 721.2 crore in Q2FY24. Interest revenue increases by 20% YoY on the back of gains in the treasury, retail banking and wholesale banking segments. The bank's asset quality declines with net NPA rising by 45 bps YoY. The company appears in a screener of stocks with rising debt.

  • SJVN offers power to the beneficiaries of Northern Region from a 1,000 MW solar PV station under development at a village in Rajasthan, as part of the CPSU government scheme. Jammu & Kashmir Power Corp and Rajasthan Urja Vidyut Nigam have both agreed to purchase 600 MW and 500 MW of power, respectively, against the station's total capacity of 1000 MW.

  • IRM Energy's Rs 545.4 crore IPO gets bids for 4.4X the available 76.3 lakh shares on offer on the second day of bidding. The retail investor quota gets bids for 4.4X the available 37 lakh shares on offer.

  • Gandharv Tongia, Executive Director and CFO of Polycab India, says the company will continue to outpace the cables and wires market. He remains positive that it will attain the Rs 20,000 crore revenue objective before 2026. He adds that the cable and wires business margins will be around 12-14% and Polycab's exports have grown by 14%.

  • Shyam Metalics and Energy is rising as its arm Shyam Sel and Power gets NCLT approval to acquire Mittal Corp for a consideration of Rs 351 crore. The company appears in a screener of stocks where foreign institutional investors have increased their shareholdings.

  • MTAR Technologies, Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals, Sapphire Foods, and Zensar Technologieswitness a decrease in mutual fund holdings in the past month.

  • Persistent Systemsis rising as its Q2FY24 net profit increases by 15.1% QoQ to Rs 263.3 crore and EBIT margin expands by 88 bps QoQ to 13.7%. Its revenue also improves by 3.9% YoY, driven by healthy growth in the software, hi-tech and healthcare business verticals. The company also bags its highest-ever order in Q2, with a total contract value of $475 million.

  • Titagarh Rail Systemsis falling despite reporting a profit of Rs 24 crore in Q2FY24, as against a loss of Rs 11.7 crore in Q2FY23. Its revenue grows by 54% YoY. The profit uptick is due to a one-time impairment loss of investment in Q2FY23. The company features in a screener for stocks with strong annual EPS growth.

  • Jefferies initiates coverage on One 97 Communications (Paytm) with a ‘Buy’ rating and a target price of Rs 1,300. The brokerage is optimistic about the company's accelerated monetisation of its expansive ecosystem, driven by the growth of its credit business. It predicts that the company will be profitable within the next year, making it one of the few major profitable fintech companies worldwide with strong growth.

  • LTIMindtree is rising as its Q2FY24 net profit increases by 0.9% QoQ to Rs 1,161.8 crore. Its revenue improves by 2.4% QoQ, aided by better sales in the banking, financial services & insurance segment.

  • KFIN Technologies is rising as it signs a contract with LIC Pension Fund to provide investment management solutions.

  • Nestle India is rising as its Q2FY24 net profit rises 37.3% YoY to Rs 908.1 crore, driven by better sales, lower raw material costs, and the write-back of provisions from earlier quarters. Its revenue increases by 9.5% YoY, led by healthy growth in domestic sales. The board has approved a stock split in a 1:10 ratio and has declared a dividend of Rs 140 per share, payable on November 16.

  • Hiranand Savlani, CFO of Astral, says that the FY24 volume growth guidance has been increased to over 20% from the earlier 15%. He adds that the bathware business is expected to breakeven in FY25, instead of Q4FY24. He is confident that the company will attain new business revenues of Rs 1,500 crore within the next five years.

  • Wisdomtree India Investment Portfolio buys a 0.5% stake in Gujarat Pipavav Port for approx Rs 34.2 crore in a bulk deal on Wednesday.

  • Metal stocks like APL Apollo Tubes, Coal India, Jindal Steel & Power and Tata Steel are falling in trade. All constituents of the broader BSE Metal index are trading in the red.

  • Bajaj Autorises to its all-time highof Rs 5,395 per share as its net profit grows by 17.5% YoY to Rs 2,020.1 crore in Q2FY24. Revenue increases by 6.2% YoY, aided by improved sales in the Indian and overseas markets. It appears in a screener of stocks where mutual funds have increased their shareholdings over the past month.

  • BofA maintains its 'Buy' rating on IndusInd Bank with an upgraded target price of Rs 1,750 citing that the company's Q2 results were positive. The brokerage says the bank has demonstrated solid loan growth momentum in various segments. It adds that NIMs have been stable, and anticipates credit costs to fall further in H2.

  • Shakti Pumpssurges more than 10% to touch its all-time highof Rs 1,066.6 per share as it bags an order worth Rs 1,603 crore from Maharashtra State Electricity Distribution. The order is for the supply of 50,000 pumps over the next two years.

  • Porinju Veliyathadds Arrow Greentechto his portfolio in Q2FY24. He buys a 1.1% stake in the company.

  • Ashish Kacholiaadds Dhabriya Polywood, NIIT Learning Systemsand Zaggle Prepaid Ocean Servicesto his portfolio in Q2FY24. He buys a 6.4%, 2.2% and 1.7% stake in the companies respectively.

  • Wipro is falling as its net profit declines by 7.8% QoQ to Rs 2,646.3 crore in Q2FY24. Revenue also decreases by 1.4% YoY due to the Americas, Europe and APMEA segments. It appears in a screener of stocks with dropping quarterly net profit and profit margin.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Bajaj Auto Ltd. (5,482.60, 6.72%), LTIMindtree Ltd. (5,457.80, 5.87%) and Nestle India Ltd. (24,132.35, 3.74%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Astral Ltd. (1,843.85, -6.09%), Indraprastha Gas Ltd. (457.65, -4.80%) and APL Apollo Tubes Ltd. (1,698.95, -3.77%).

Crowd Puller Stocks

17 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included NBCC (India) Ltd. (70.75, 9.52%), Bajaj Auto Ltd. (5,482.60, 6.72%) and Minda Corporation Ltd. (363.65, 6.61%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Astral Ltd. (1,843.85, -6.09%), Wipro Ltd. (395.30, -2.98%) and Shoppers Stop Ltd. (677.40, -1.94%).

Firstsource Solutions Ltd. (170.90, 2.64%) was trading at 6.4 times of weekly average. LTIMindtree Ltd. (5,457.80, 5.87%) and KSB Ltd. (3,223.90, 4.96%) were trading with volumes 6.1 and 5.9 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

16 stocks took off, crossing 52 week highs, while 5 stocks hit their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Alembic Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (804.10, -1.34%), Bajaj Auto Ltd. (5,482.60, 6.72%) and Blue Star Ltd. (944.25, -0.01%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Navin Fluorine International Ltd. (3,648.30, -0.74%) and V-Mart Retail Ltd. (1,892.50, -1.15%).

1 stock climbed above their 200 day SMA including Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd. (353.70, 1.00%). 16 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Bandhan Bank Ltd. (229.15, -3.76%) and Wipro Ltd. (395.30, -2.98%).

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The Baseline
18 Oct 2023
By Akshat Singh

Retail investors often seek cues from market heavyweights—foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) or domestic institutional investors (DIIs)—to identify strong-performing sectors. As the final quarter of 2023 kicks off, we take a look at the sectors these institutional investors are betting on. 

The heatmap identifies sectors with high FPI activity in 2023. The financial services sector was a favourite among FPIs,with a net investment of Rs 1,20,525 crore. In fact, from April to July 2023, FPIs put money into this sector for four consecutive months. 

Oil & gas, on the other hand, had the highest FPI outflow of Rs 19,585 crore from January to September 2023. The FMCG sector saw cyclical FPI investments: an inflow of Rs 12,386 crore from March to July 2023, followed by an outflow of Rs 4,403 crore in August and September 2023, influenced by El Niño conditions and worries about rural consumption.

In the capital goods sector, FPIs were net buyers from February to September 2023, with an investment of Rs 34,184 crore. However, they shifted gears in September 2023, turning net sellers with a total outflow of Rs 14,764 crore.

FPIs invest the most in financial services and auto 

Looking at these trends a little more closely, we start with the financial services sector, which kicked  off the year on a low note. FPIs withdrew Rs 15,204 crore from the sector in January 2023 due to concerns over its exposure to Adani Group companies

However, this soon reversed, with FPIs investing Rs 36,292 crore in the sector in 2023. Despite global challenges since March 2023, India's financial sector has remained stable with continuous growth in bank credit, falling non-performing assets, and high capital and liquidity reserves. 

The capital goods sector ranks among the highest in FPI inflows for the year, drawing an investment of Rs 34,098 crore. This increase can be attributed to a 12% YoY growth in the order books for the top 30 engineering and construction (E&C) firms, reaching $161 billion in Q1FY24. This expansion was largely driven by substantial orders from the railway and road construction sectors due to an infra capex boost of 33% in the FY24 government budget. 

Next is automobiles, attracting Rs 25,941 crore of net FPI investment from January to September 2023. According to Geojit, the Indian automobile industry is rebounding after a five-year slump, observing an uptick in passenger vehicle volumes and a recovery in commercial vehicle sales. 

The consumer services sector isn't far behind, registering an inflow of Rs 9,837 crore till September 2023 since the start of 2023. The sector has risen 24.2% in the past six months. 

The once-upbeat IT sector has struggled, with a net FPI outflow of Rs 9,805 crore this year due to recession fears in its key markets, North America and Europe. However, there was a small revival with an investment of Rs 1,886 crore in September 2023. 

The power sector saw a net FPI outflow of Rs 9,731 crore in September 2023 due to profit-booking, as stocks like Power Grid Corp and Bharat Heavy Electricals hit record highs. The rise was due to a report by the Power Ministry stating that India’s power demand touched an all-time high of 234 GW on August 17 2023. Additionally, the centre plans to expand its thermal energy capacity by 25 GW to 30 GW.

FPIs are currently positive on the healthcare sector with a net investment of Rs 8,712 crore from April to September 2023. On the other hand, the FMCG sector had a net buying of Rs 6,832 crore YTD. According to Nuvama, this is due to falling input prices that led to rising margins from March to July 2023.

Lastly, the oil and gas sector saw a net selling of Rs 19,585 crore this year. Market volatility due to OPEC sanctions and geopolitical factors, such as supply chain disruptions due to the Israel-Hamas conflict, played a significant role in this trend. Brent Crude futures have risen by 9.2% YTD. 

Mutual funds mirror FPI focus on banking & finance

J B Chemicals leads in MF investment, while Camlin tops in outflow

Domestic investors have also shown clear preferences over the past month, as Indian markets turned volatile. According to a Trendlyne screener, MFs invested the most in banking & finance (26 companies) followed by the auto sector (10 companies). Within  banking & finance, Power Finance Corp saw the most significant spike in MF investment, surging by 350 basis points MoM. The stock recently made headlines for issuing a loan of Rs 1,229 crore to Assam Petrochemicals and rose 10% in the past month. 

On the other hand, another screener tracking the highest outflows by DIIs highlights a steep decline in MF holdings for Camlin Fine Sciences, dropping 190 basis points in the past month.

While FPIs pulled out of power stocks, MFs strengthened their positions in companies like Power Grid Corp. It saw a 360 basis points rise in MF holdings in the past month. Meanwhile, DIIs scaled down investments in consumer services stocks such as Krsnaa Diagnostics by 70 basis points in the past month.

J B Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals’ MF holdings increased by 15.4 percentage points over the same period. This increase is due to the pharma company receiving US FDA approval for manufacturing and marketing the generic Doxepin Hydrochloride capsules on August 23, 2023. Mutual funds like Axis Growth Opportunities Fund, NJ Flexi Cap Fund, Invesco India and HSBC Small Cap were the leading investors in the stock. 

Defence player Hindustan Aeronautics also saw a 6.8 percentage point MoM rise in MF holdings. The company’s order book, at Rs 81,784 crore as of July 2023, was aided by the centre's private indigenisation list. Restaurant Brands Asia, a restaurant player, also had a 5.3 percentage point surge in MF investments over the past month.

Despite FPIs funnelling Rs 763 crore into real estate companies, MFs reduced exposure to  Phoenix Mills by 90 basis points. Similarly, banking & finance stocks like MCX and IDFC also saw declines in MF holdings, falling by 120 basis points and 140 basis points respectively in the past month

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
18 Oct 2023
Market closes lower, Zensar Technologies' Q2FY24 net profit up 11.3% QoQ

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 19,671.10 (-140.4, -0.7%) , BSE Sensex closed at 65,877.02 (-551.1, -0.8%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 17,344.00 (-123.7, -0.7%), of the 1,981 stocks traded today, 647 were gainers and 1,292 were losers.

Indian indices extended the losses from the afternoon session and closed in the red, with the Nifty 50 closing at 19,671. The volatility index, Nifty VIX, rose by 2.5% and closed at 11 points. Tata Elxsi’s Q2FY24 net profit rose 5.9% QoQ to Rs 200 crore and revenue increased by 3.7%.

Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 closed lower, following the benchmark index. Nifty Pharma and Nifty Healthcare closed higher than Tuesday’s closing levels. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, forest materials emerged as the top-performing sector of the day, with a rise of over 0.4%.

Most European indices trade in the red. US indices futures trade lower, indicating a negative start. The data released by Eurostat indicated that the Eurozone’s core CPI for September declined to 4.5% from 5.3% in August. Brent crude prices increase by 2% as the conflict between Israel and Hamas escalates.

  • Relative strength index (RSI) indicates that stocks like ITI, The Fertilisers and Chemicals Travancore, Coal India and MMTC are in the overbought zone.

  • Polycab India is falling despite its net profit rising by 59% YoY to Rs 429.8 crore in Q2FY24. Revenue grows by 27% YoY, aided by better sales in the wires & cables and FMEG segments. It appears in a screener of stocks showing growth in quarterly net profit and profit margin.

  • NHPC is falling as the company estimates the losses caused by the Sikkim flash floods at nearly Rs 233.6 crore. However, the management states that all the assets are insured under the construction all-risk policy. It expects a delay of six months and a cost overturn for the project.

  • Syngene International plunges after it lowers its growth guidance for FY24, citing a slowdown in the US biotech segment. The company expects revenue growth in the mid-teens on a constant currency basis, compared to its earlier guidance of high-teen growth. Its Q2FY24 revenue grows by 18.5% to Rs 910.1 crore, while net profit rises by 14.2% to Rs 116.5 crore.

  • Power stocks like ABB India, Seimens, Bharat Heavy Electricals and JSW Energy are falling in trade. All constituents of the broader BSE Power index are trading in the red.

  • Happiest Minds Technologies falls as its Q2FY24 net profit drops by 5.1% QoQ to Rs 54.5 crore. However, its revenue rises by 5.7% QoQ, aided by its database system and professional engineering services segments. The company appears in a screener of stocks with declining net profit and margins.

  • IRM Energy's Rs 545.4 crore IPO gets bids for 1.7X the available 76.3 lakh shares on offer on the first day of bidding. The retail investor quota gets bids for 1.8X the available 37 lakh shares on offer.

  • KRChoksey downgrades its rating on Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) to ‘Add’ from ‘Buy’ but keeps the target price unchanged at Rs 3,888. This implies an upside of 11.2%. Despite the macroeconomic uncertainties, the brokerage says the company is poised for healthy growth in the medium term due to its robust order book and deal wins. It expects the firm’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 12.4% over FY23-25.

  • Housing and Urban Development Corporation falls more than 9% in trade as it's promoter, the President of India acting through the Ministry of Housing and Urban Affairs, proposes to sell 7 crore shares (3.5% equity) through the stock exchange. It appears in a screener for stocks with low Piotroski score.

  • Tejas Networksrises to its all-time highof Rs 940 per share as it partners with FibreConnect, an Italian telecom infrastructure developer. As per the contract, Tejas Networks will aid the company in deploying an end-to-end optical network in Italy.

  • Sugar export restrictions will be extended again until October 31 next year, to enhance the availability of the product in the domestic market during the festive period. These restrictions, however, will not apply to sugar exported to the EU and the US under CXL and TRQ duty concession quotas.

  • IIFL Securitiesrises to a new 52-week high of Rs 104.3 as its Q2FY24 net profit surges by 151.5% YoY to Rs 141.2 crore. Its revenue grows by 64.3% YoY, aided by growth in fees & commission and interest incomes. The company appears in a screenerof stocks with growing net profit and margins.

  • ITI touches a 52-week high as its Electromagnetic Compatibility Laboratory (EMC Lab) receives a Certificate of Accreditation from NABL. The lab has various industrial, medical and scientific applications. It appears in a screenerfor stocks with strong momentum.

  • Zensar Technologies rises as its Q2FY24 net profit increases by 11.3% QoQ to Rs 173.9 crore. Its revenue also improves by 1.7% QoQ, aided by growth in digital and application services. EBITDA margins improve by 40 basis points QoQ. The company appears in a screener of stocks nearing their 52-week highs with significant volumes.

  • Shailesh Chandra, MD of Tata Motors, says there is persistent demand for SUVs but at the expense of hatchbacks and sedans. He notes that the company's SUV sales share has jumped to 51%, indicating a growing consumer preference for SUVs. Tata Motors has also released facelift versions of its SUVs, Harrier and Safari. He adds that the company's rural demand has been consistent.

  • CIE Automotive India's net profit surges by 119.1% YoY to Rs 375.4 crore in Q2FY24. Its revenue increase is marginal at 2.2% YoY due to a dip in the European market. The firm's EBITDA margin expands by 220 bps YoY on the back of reduced raw material expenses. The company appears in a screener of stocks with high analyst rating and at least 20% target price upside.

  • The Supreme Court rules against Telecom giants like Bharti Airtel andVodafone Idea in a tax case. It orders these companies to classify license fees paid to the Department of Telecommunications as capital expenditure instead of revenue expenditure. This has significant tax implications as it may potentially lead to increased tax liabilities for telecom companies.

  • IRM Energy raises Rs 160.4 crore from anchor investors ahead of its IPO by allotting around 31.8 lakh shares at Rs 505 each. Investors include DSP Mutual Fund, Quant Mutual Fund, PNB Metlife India Insurance Co, ITI Mutual Fund and HDFC Life Insurance Co.

  • Centre lowers the windfall tax on locally produced crude oil to Rs 9,050 per tonne from Rs 12,100 earlier. Export taxes on diesel are also cut to Rs 4 per litre, and to Rs 1 per litre for aviation turbine fuel (ATF). The windfall tax on petrol remains Nil.
  • L&T Technology Services falls despite its Q2FY24 net profit rising 1.4% QoQ to Rs 315.4 crore. Its revenue grows by 3.3% YoY, aided by growth in the transportation and telecom & hitech segments. The company appears in a screener of stocks with increasing quarterly net profits.

  • Dolly Khanna adds Rajshree Sugars & Chemicals to her portfolio in Q2FY24. She buys a 1.1% stake in the company.

  • Porinju Veliyath sells a 1.4% stake in Ansal Buildwell in Q2FY24. He now holds a 2% stake in the company.

  • Morgan Stanley maintains its 'Buy' rating on Can Fin Homes with a target price of Rs 1,000. The brokerage says that the company's reported PAT beat its estimates by 7%, driven by a higher NIM and a reduced effective tax rate. The NIM increased by 29 bps QoQ to 3.9%.

  • Sunil Singhania sells a 0.3% stake in Dreamfolks Services in Q2FY24. He now holds a 1.5% stake in the company.

  • Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders is rising as it bags a contract worth Rs 310 from the Ministry of Defence for the construction of a training ship for the Indian Coast Guard. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with book value per share improving over the past two years.

  • Tata Elxsi is rising as its Q2FY24 net profit rises 5.9% QoQ to Rs 200 crore, and revenue increases by 3.7% QoQ, driven by growth in the software development & services segment. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with improving cash flow from operations over the past two years.

  • Bajaj Finance’s Q2FY24 standalone net profit rises 25.6% YoY to Rs 3,105.8 crore and net interest income grows by 26% YoY, driven by strong demand for loans. The company’s assets under management also increase by 35% YoY, led by growth in the vehicle and consumer finance segments. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with high TTM EPS growth.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Cipla Ltd. (1210.60, 3.16%), Endurance Technologies Ltd. (1,613.00, 2.49%) and Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd. (5,677.45, 2.41%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Syngene International Ltd. (727.30, -6.68%), Biocon Ltd. (238.65, -6.38%) and L&T Technology Services Ltd. (4,353.60, -5.63%).

Crowd Puller Stocks

34 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included IRB Infrastructure Developers Ltd. (34.70, 6.61%), Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd. (2,743.45, 5.75%) and Aarti Drugs Ltd. (554.00, 5.55%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Housing and Urban Development Corporation Ltd. (80.25, -10.78%), Syngene International Ltd. (727.30, -6.68%) and Biocon Ltd. (238.65, -6.38%).

Sun Pharma Advanced Research Company Ltd. (240.35, 5.35%) was trading at 33.2 times of weekly average. Prince Pipes & Fittings Ltd. (702.25, 2.31%) and Tejas Networks Ltd. (878.55, 0.25%) were trading with volumes 11.1 and 10.1 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

28 stocks made 52 week highs, while 4 stocks tanked below their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Blue Star Ltd. (944.35, 3.63%), Coal India Ltd. (316.95, -0.14%) and GAIL (India) Ltd. (131.00, -0.30%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Rajesh Exports Ltd. (448.35, -1.83%) and Navin Fluorine International Ltd. (3,675.40, -0.58%).

3 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Elgi Equipments Ltd. (496.00, 1.64%) and Sterlite Technologies Ltd. (162.05, 1.15%). 8 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Biocon Ltd. (238.65, -6.38%) and EID Parry (India) Ltd. (497.95, -2.67%).

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
17 Oct 2023
Market closes higher, KEC International bags multiple orders worth Rs 1,315 crore

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50closed at 19,811.50 (79.8, 0.4%), BSE Sensexclosed at 66,428.09 (261.2, 0.4%) while the broader Nifty 500closed at 17,467.70 (74.7, 0.4%). Market breadth is in the green. Of the 1,991 stocks traded today, 1,189 were on the uptrend, and 743 went down.

Indian indices pared the gains from the afternoon session and closed in the green, with the Nifty 50closing at 19,812. The volatility index, Nifty VIX, dropped by 3.3% and closed at 10.7 points. According to a report by Kotak Institutional Equities, the unemployment rate among Indian graduates stands at 13.4% as of June 2023.

Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 closed in the green, following the benchmark index closing flat. Nifty Energy and Nifty Bank closed higher than Monday’s closing levels. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, telecommunication equipment emerged as the top-performing sector of the day, with a rise of over 4.84%.

Most European indices trade in the red except for England’s FTSE 100 trading higher. US indices futures trade lower, indicating a negative start. China’s largest property developer Country Garden moves nearer to default, as it needs to make a $15 million coupon payment at the end of the day. Non-payment of coupons will result in a default of $11 billion worth of offshore bonds.

  • Dalmia Bharat sees a short buildup in its October 26 future series as its open interest rises 14.2% with a put-call ratio of 0.3.

  • UPL sees six analyst target price downgrades and two recommendation downgrades in the past three months. Bandhan Bank, Navin Fluorine International, and Infosys see five analyst target price downgrades over the same time period.

  • Tata Metaliks rises to a new 52-week high of Rs 1,006.7 as its Q2FY24 net profit surges by 209.1% YoY to Rs 44.2 crore, aided by lower raw material expenses. However, its revenue falls by 13.9% YoY due to lower realisation in the pig iron segment. The company appears in a screener of stocks with strong momentum.

  • Jefferies maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on KFin Technologies with an upgraded target price of Rs 560. The brokerage says, KFin is among the leading providers of RTA (registrar and transfer agent) services for AMCs and corporate issuers, and is now evolving into a data processing and analytics solution provider. Jefferies notes that KFin’s expansion into global AMCs and the account aggregator space can further boost its growth.
  • PCBL is falling despite its net profit rising by 5.4% YoY to Rs 122.6 crore on the back of raw material expenses declining by 16.7% YoY. However, its revenue falls by 8.7% YoY due to a decline in its carbon black business segment. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with declining net cash flows.

  • Newgen Software Technologies surges to touch its all-time high of Rs 1,060 per share as its Q2FY24 net profit grows by 58.2% YoY to Rs 47.8 crore. Revenue also rises by 16.5% YoY, driven by gains in the India, EMEA, APAC and USA segments. It features in a screener of growth stocks with good technical scores.

  • Va Tech Wabag surges as it inks a partnership agreement with Pani Energy to implement applied AI solutions for treatment plants.

  • Ramesh Babu, the CEO & MD of Karur Vysya Bank, anticipates loan growth of over 15% for FY24. He expects NIMs to be around 3.8% by the end of FY24 and an RoA of 1.6%. He also states that NPAs would not exceed 1%, and sets the credit cost forecast at 0.75%.

  • ICICI Securitiesrises to touch its 52-week highof Rs 683 per share as its net profit grows by 41.5% YoY to Rs 423.8 crore in Q2FY24. Revenue increases by 45.5% YoY on the back of the equity, derivatives and distribution segments. It shows up in a screenerof stock with increasing net profit over the past two quarters.

  • Power stocks like Power Grid Corp of India, Adani Power, NHPC, NTPCand Tata Power Coare rising in trade. Barring Siemens, all the other constituents of the broader sectoral index, BSE Power, are trading in the green.

  • J Kumar Infraprojects rises to an all-time high of Rs 473 after receiving an order worth Rs 509 crore. The contract is for the engineering, procurement, and construction of the Command Hospital in Lucknow and is expected to be completed in 90 months. The company appears in a screener of stocks with growing net profits and margins.

  • Kotak Securities maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on Federal Bank, with an upgraded target price of Rs 170. According to the brokerage, the bank’s NIMs have remained steady in Q2FY24. Federal Bank is its preferred pick in the mid-tier banks space. Kotak Securities also highlights a possible re-rating, as it sees positive surprises ahead.
  • HDFC Securities maintains its ‘Sell’ rating on Avenue Supermarts (DMART) with a target price of Rs 3,200. This implies a downside of 17.1%. The brokerage expects margin pressures to persist for the firm over the short term due to intense competition leading to lower apparel sales, diminishing the share of merchandise and apparel from its total sales mix.

  • Telecommunications equipment, coaland consumer durablessectors rise more than 10% in the past month.

  • Ajmera Realty & Infra India rises over 4% upon securing a residential redevelopment project in Versova, Mumbai. The company expects this redevelopment project to generate sales of Rs 360 crore. It appears in a screener for stocks with strong momentum.

  • The Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM) reports a 4.7% YoY rise in passenger vehicle sales, reaching 10.7 lakh units in Q2FY24. According to Vinod Aggarwal, President of SIAM, "The growth in the PV segment is on the back of robust demand for multi-utility and sports utility vehicles." Meanwhile, two-wheeler sales have declined by 1.6% to around 46 lakh.

  • Ceat is rising as its Q2FY24 net profit surges to Rs 208 crore from Rs 7.8 crore on the back of a 13.6% YoY decrease in raw material costs. Revenue also increases by 5.5% YoY. Profitability improves due to the absence of any compensation for voluntary retirement, which cost Rs 23.7 crore in Q2FY23.

  • KEC International is rising as it bags multiple orders worth Rs 1,315 crore in the Indian and overseas markets. One such order includes providing a 765 kV transmission line and 765 kV AIS substation in India for Power Grid Corp. The other orders are for the supply of towers, hardware and poles in the Middle East, Australia and the Americas.

  • Bajaj Finance rises as it enters into a binding term sheet to acquire a 26% stake (9.9 lakh shares) of Pennant Technologies for Rs 267.5 crore. Pennant Tech is involved in software products for the banking and finance industry. The company appears in a screener of stocks with strong momentum.

  • Anthony Montalbano, CEO of Cyient DLM, expresses a positive outlook for the aerospace and defence sectors. He notes that, as of now, the supply chain in Israel is unaffected, but will be continually assessed. The company forecasts a 40% growth rate for FY24. 

  • Ashish Kacholia sells a 0.4% stake in Xpro India in Q2FY24. He now holds a 3.9% stake in the company.

  • Porinju Veliyath sells a 1.3% stake in Shalimar Paints for approx Rs 18.8 crore in a bulk deal on Thursday.

  • Vijay Kedia adds Om Infrato his portfolio in Q2FY24. He buys a 2.6% stake in the company.

  • HDFC Bank's net profit grows by 50.1% YoY to Rs 15,796.1 crore in Q2FY24 post its merger with HDFC. Net interest income increases by 118.7% YoY on the back of improved revenue from the treasury, retail banking and wholesale banking segments. It appears in a screener of stocks with improving cash flow and high durability.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Supreme Industries Ltd. (4,625.60, 6.61%), Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. (79.15, 3.74%) and Oil India Ltd. (331.60, 3.67%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include MphasiS Ltd. (2,290.75, -2.91%), Dalmia Bharat Ltd. (2,255.90, -2.85%) and Havells India Ltd. (1,384.05, -2.14%).

Volume Rockets

27 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included KIOCL Ltd. (476.40, 20.00%), Ircon International Ltd. (160.05, 8.99%) and Gujarat Pipavav Port Ltd. (139.50, 8.73%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Anupam Rasayan India Ltd. (850.10, -3.57%), Trident Ltd. (36.10, -2.83%) and Cholamandalam Financial Holdings Ltd. (1,130.30, -0.72%).

Jindal Worldwide Ltd. (378.70, 8.48%) was trading at 23.9 times of weekly average. ICICI Securities Ltd. (644.25, 1.95%) and Ceat Ltd. (2194.75, 4.41%) were trading with volumes 21.5 and 17.4 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

38 stocks made 52 week highs, while 1 stock were underachiever and hit their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Alembic Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (803.25, -0.44%), Balkrishna Industries Ltd. (2,616.50, 0.84%) and Bharti Airtel Ltd. (953.65, 0.75%).

Stock making new 52 weeks lows included - V-Mart Retail Ltd. (1,915.00, -0.98%).

7 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Jindal Worldwide Ltd. (378.70, 8.48%) and Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd. (354.70, 2.15%).

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The Baseline
16 Oct 2023
Five analyst picks this week
By Satyam Kumar

1. Bharat Forge:

SBI Securities maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this manufacturer of forged components with a target price of Rs 1,338.9, implying an upside of 19.3%. Analysts at the brokerage believe that the stock is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for forged steel and aluminium, given its market leadership. They are also positive about the firm’s plans to diversify away from commercial vehicles and enter into the defence & aerospace industry. 

Analysts at SBI Securities expect Bharat Forge to gain significantly from the ongoing shift of manufacturing bases from China and Europe to India. Overall, they believe the firm’s healthy growth trajectory will be sustained by a “steady expansion in its order book and effective execution, which can drive revenue growth over the next few years”. The analysts expect the company’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 15% over FY23-25. 

2. HCL Technologies:

Motilal Oswal maintains a 'Buy' rating on this IT consulting and software company with a target price of Rs 1,410, reflecting an upside of 11%. Analysts Mukul Garg, Pritesh Thakkar, and Raj Prakash Bhanushali have a positive outlook, given the company's healthy deal pipeline. This includes a record net-new deal total current value of $3.79 billion, including the Verizon deal. In Q2FY24, HCL Technologies reported a revenue of Rs 26,672 crore, marking an 8% YoY increase, while its net profits rose by 9.8% YoY.

Garg, Thakkar, and Bhanushali highlight the company’s focus on reducing operational expenses as a key positive. They point out that EBIT margins have improved by 150 basis points QoQ to 18.5%, thanks to cost-control measures implemented in H1FY24 and the rationalisation of the employee pyramid. The analysts express confidence in the company achieving margins of 18-19%. They note this is likely because the company has cut over 2,000 jobs for the second consecutive quarter and has also skipped management-level increments, which is a major component of the wage bill.

3. Equitas Small Finance Bank:

Hem Securities recommends a ‘Buy’ call on this bank with a target price of Rs 112, indicating an upside of 14.3%. Analyst Madhur Mandhana says, “Equitas Small Finance Bank provides a suite of products and services tailored to the needs of its customers, including individuals with limited access to formal financing channels, affluent and mass affluent individuals, MSMEs, and corporates.”

According to the analyst, in Q2FY24, the bank’s asset quality was stable and its MFI, new CV, and house financing segments were important growth drivers, with well-distributed disbursements. Mandhana believes new products like credit cards, new vehicle loans, and personal loans will maintain credit growth healthy in the medium term. He also believes that the cost-to-income ratio will likely remain elevated through FY24. He remains optimistic about the bank as its asset quality has improved over the previous year, and the trend of good recoveries and upgrades is projected to continue. He expects the bank to achieve 25-30% loan growth in FY24.

4. State Bank of India (SBI):

HDFC Securities maintains a ‘Buy’ call on this bank with a target price of Rs 790. This indicates an upside of 36.9%. Analysts Krishnan ASV, Neelam Bhatia and Akshay Badlani say, “While SBI has always enjoyed brand recognition and scale, the bank has gradually added other competitive moats in the form of a ‘prolific’ sourcing edge, a YONO-powered digital stack, an unparalleled lean distribution model, and a potent combination of cross-sell focus and competencies.”

The analysts believe that this combination of traditional strengths and newly-added moats has led to higher throughput, sustained efficiency gains, and high-quality new loan origination. This results in structurally lower credit costs and better return ratios. The analysts expect repricing of existing deposits to pick up pace and exert pressure on near-term NIMs, while the loan deposit ratio (at 73%) will support SBI’s growth appetite.

5. JTL Industries:

Axis Direct maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on this iron & steel products manufacturer with a target price of Rs 265, implying an upside of 8.9%. In Q2FY24, the company’s net profit rose by 37.7% YoY and revenue increased by 67.4% YoY. Although the firm’s net profit growth missed the brokerage’s estimates by 4%, analyst Aditya Welekar keeps an optimistic outlook for the stock’s growth prospects. 

He remains positive about the firm due to its sales volume growth guidance of 40% YoY in FY24. Welekar adds, “The company aims to exceed the 30% growth target and has guided for 0.33 MT in FY24 compared to 0.24 MT in FY23. This translates to a 40% YoY growth.” He expects healthy growth on the back of higher sales volumes and an increase in the share of value-added products in the coming quarters. The analyst predicts that the net profit for this steel product maker will grow at a CAGR of 51% over FY23-25.

Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.

(You can find all analyst picks here)

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
16 Oct 2023
Market closes flat, Bajaj Electricals bags an order worth Rs 564.2 crore

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50closed at 19,731.75 (-19.3, -0.1%), BSE Sensex closed at 66,166.93 (-115.8, -0.2%) while the broader Nifty 500closed at 17,393.00 (2.7, 0.0%). Market breadth is in the green. Of the 2,022 stocks traded today, 1,044 were in the positive territory and 919 were negative.

Indian indices closed flat, with the Nifty 50falling 19.3 points and closing at 19,731.8. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, rose 4.2% and closed at 11.1 points. India’s WPI inflation contracted to -0.3% in September and continued its negative trend for the sixth consecutive month. This is due to a fall in prices of basic metals, mineral oil, chemical & chemical products, and textiles.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green, outperforming the benchmark index. Nifty Auto and Nifty Metal closed higher than their Friday close. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboardFertilizers was the top-performing sector of the day as it rose 8.3%.

Major European indices fell from their day highs and traded flat or lower, except for England’s FTSE 100 index trading in the green. However, Asian indices closed flat or lower on a volatile day of trade. US index futures traded flat, indicating a cautious start to the trading session. The index for emerging markets in Europe, the Middle East and Africa steadied as a US diplomatic push to contain the war in the Middle East helped ease investors’ concerns. Brent crude oil futures traded lower after rising 5.4% on Friday.

  • Money flow index (MFI) indicates that stocks like Prestige Estates Projects, MMTC, Vijaya Diagnostic Centre and Solar Industries India are in the overbought zone.

  • Karur Vysya Bank is rising as its Q2FY24 net profit grows by 51.2% YoY to Rs 378.4 crore. Its net interest income (NII) increases by 26.4% YoY, aided by improvement in revenue from the treasury, corporate banking and retail banking segments. Its asset quality also improves as its gross and net NPAs decline by 229 bps and 91 bps YoY, respectively. The company appears in a screener of stocks with increasing revenue for the past eight quarters.

  • Niranjan Gupta, CEO of Hero MotoCorp, says the company has experienced a 30% rise in bookings and a 20% increase in inquiries this festive season. He anticipates a double-digit growth during this period. He also adds that the company has 6-7 new product launches in the pipeline.

  • Oriental Hotels falls as its Q2FY24 net profit plunges by 45.7% YoY to Rs 43.7 crore due to increasing costs in employee benefits and raw materials. However, its revenue rises by 2.5% YoY, aided by an increase in the average room rate. The company appears in a screener of stocks with falling net profits and margins.

  • Cochin Shipyard is rising as it bags an order worth Rs 313.4 crore from the Ministry of Defence to upgrade and repower INS Beas. The project will be completed in 2026.

  • Bank of Maharashtra is rising as its Q2FY24 net profit surges by 71.9% YoY to Rs 919.8 crore and net interest income rises by 29% YoY. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with net profits rising sequentially for the past four quarters.

  • According to Nuvama Institutional Equities, agrochem-focused players are expected to face demand pressures. The brokerage highlights that inventory de-stocking is still in progress and might pick up pace in Q3FY24 as major global players are focusing on healthier year-end balance sheets.

  • Federal Bank's Q2FY24 net profit rises 35.5% YoY to Rs 953.8 crore, while its total income increases 33.6% YoY. The bank's total deposits during the quarter also improve by 23.1% YoY and net advances grow 19.6% YoY. The bank features in a screener for stocks with increasing revenue for the past eight quarters.

  • Mphasis, Coforge, Tanla Platformsand PVR INOX's weekly average delivery volumes rise ahead of their Q2FY24 results on Thursday.

  • Zydus Lifesciencesappoints Punit Patel as its President and Chief Executive Officer to lead its business operations in the Americas. He will oversee the company's generics, injectables, and specialty businesses. He will also manage the rare and orphan disease portfolio, and lead future forays into novel therapeutics.

  • Texmaco Rail & Engineeringsurges more than 5% as its net profit grows by 59.7% YoY to Rs 24.6 crore in Q2FY24. Revenue increases by 66.2% YoY on the back of improvement in revenue from the heavy engineering and steel foundry segments. It features in a screenerof stocks with negative to positive growth in sales and net profit with strong price momentum.

  • According to reports, 1.03 crore shares (0.15% equity) of Power Grid Corp of India, amounting to around Rs 206.9 crore, change hands in two large trades.

  • HDFC Securities maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on State Bank of India and raises the target price to Rs 790 from Rs 750. This implies an upside of 36.8%. The brokerage remains positive about the bank’s prospects due to its robust lean distribution model, healthy profitability, stable NIMs and improving efficiencies. It expects the company’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 12.4% over FY23-25.

  • Delta Corp plunges over 8% to touch its 52-week low of Rs 122.6 as its subsidiary, Deltatech Gaming, receives an intimation from the Directorate General of GST Intelligence. The intimation relates to the payment of Rs 6,384.3 crore in shortfall tax.

  • Gati rises over 9% as it records an 8% YoY increase in total volumes to 109kt (kilo tonnes) in September, including surface and air express. Its Q2FY24 volume improves by 18% YoY to 333kt, driven by strong pre-festive orders. The company's Bengaluru transhipment hub is now fully online. It appears in ascreener for stocks with strong momentum.

  • Metal & mining stocks like NMDC, Coal India, APL Apollo Tubes, JSW Steel and Tata Steel are rising in trade. Barring Hindalco Industries, all the other constituents of the broader sectoral index, BSE Metal, are trading in the green.

  • India’s WPI inflation contracts to around -0.3% in September, continuing its negative trend for the sixth consecutive month. This is due to a fall in prices of basic metals, mineral oil, chemical & chemical products, and textiles.

  • Porinju Veliyath sells a 1.1% stake in Ashok Alco-Chem in Q2FY24. He now holds a 3% stake in the company.

  • Sunil Singhania sells 0.5% and 0.3% stakes in Hindware Home Innovation and AGI Greenpac, respectively, in Q2FY24. He now holds 4.4% and 1.4% stakes in the companies.

  • Ashish Kacholia sells a 1.1% stake in SJS Enterprises during Q2FY24, reducing his holding to 3.2%. He has also bought a 0.2% stake in Faze Three during the same quarter.

  • Bajaj Electricals is rising as it bags an order worth Rs 564.2 crore from Power Grid Corp of India for two 400 kV transmission lines in Andhra Pradesh. The project is expected to be completed in the next 21 months.

  • Goldman Sachs maintains its 'Buy' rating on One97 Communications (Paytm) with an upgraded target price of Rs 1,250. It says the company's operating metrics have been better than expected. According to the brokerage, Paytm turning net income positive in FY25 will boost the stock. Goldman Sachs raises its EBITDA estimates for the firm by 2-5%, for FY24-26E.

  • Rakesh Jhunjhunwala's portfolio sells a 0.4% stake in Federal Bankin Q2FY24. It now holds a 3.1% stake in the company.

  • Kalpataru Projects Internationalrises as it bags orders worth Rs 2,217 crore. These include a power transmission and distribution order for Rs 1,993 crore in India and abroad and a building and factories order for Rs 224 crore in India. The company appears in a screenerof stocks with strong momentum.

  • Avenue Supermartsis falling as its net profit declines by 9.1% YoY to Rs 623.6 crore in Q2FY24. However, its revenue grows by 18.7% YoY, aided by improvements in the food and non-food segments. The firm's EBITDA margin drops by 42 bps YoY due to increased raw material and employee benefit expenses. It appears in a screenerof stocks where superstar shareholders have sold their stakes.

  • Nifty 50was trading at 19,704.60 (-46.5, -0.2%), BSE Sensexwas trading at 66,238.15 (-44.6, -0.1%) while the broader Nifty 500was trading at 17,367.60 (-22.8, -0.1%).

  • Market breadth is in the green. Of the 1,834 stocks traded today, 1,128 were on the uptrend, and 630 went down.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Supreme Industries Ltd. (4,335.00, 4.17%), NMDC Ltd. (165.25, 3.35%) and Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd. (97.35, 3.18%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Adani Power Ltd. (329.65, -3.58%), Gland Pharma Ltd. (1,573.80, -2.98%) and Gujarat Fluorochemicals Ltd. (2,789.70, -2.50%).

Volume Shockers

20 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included KIOCL Ltd. (397.00, 19.99%), Gujarat State Fertilizer & Chemicals Ltd. (204.95, 9.69%) and Star Cement Ltd. (174.25, 6.90%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Delta Corp Ltd. (128.00, -8.57%), Avenue Supermarts Ltd. (3,856.80, -2.01%) and Atul Ltd. (6,877.65, -0.89%).

Deepak Fertilisers & Petrochemicals Corporation Ltd. (680.95, 5.21%) was trading at 13.5 times of weekly average. IIFL Finance Ltd. (672.30, 6.49%) and Kalpataru Projects International Ltd. (699.75, 6.20%) were trading with volumes 13.2 and 7.9 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

41 stocks made 52 week highs, while 2 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Bharti Airtel Ltd. (946.55, -0.80%), Coal India Ltd. (312.00, 1.32%) and Federal Bank Ltd. (148.55, -0.57%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Delta Corp Ltd. (128.00, -8.57%) and V-Mart Retail Ltd. (1,932.00, -0.54%).

4 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd. (227.15, 2.09%) and Sheela Foam Ltd. (1141.00, 1.87%). 6 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Jindal Worldwide Ltd. (349.10, -2.16%) and Aavas Financiers Ltd. (1,632.00, -1.46%).

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The Baseline
13 Oct 2023
Five Interesting Stocks Today

1. Titan Company

This gems and jewellery major has seen a 2.1% increase in its share price over the past week, trading near its 52-week high of Rs 3,352 with significant volumes. The rise is driven by its recent Q2FY24 business update, where it reported a 20% YoY increase in revenue. As a result, Titan appears in a screener of companies with prices above short, medium and long-term moving averages.

The jewellery segment (which contributes 85% of the total revenue) reported a 19% YoY growth in revenue. Titan says this uptick is from new collection launches, strong gold sales during the harvest season, and a spike in high-value studded purchases during the quarter. According to Trendlyne’s Forecaster, Titan’s revenue is expected to grow by 15.2% YoY in Q2FY24. 

The company also expanded its retail presence by opening 81 new stores this quarter, taking its total store count to 2,859. Currently holding a 7% market share in the Indian jewellery market, Titan is focused on expanding its retail footprint. 

With the festival and wedding seasons ahead, as well as easing gold prices, analysts predict a surge in Titan's Q3 sales. According to Motilal Oswal, earnings growth visibility for the company remains strong. The brokerage has a ‘Buy’ rating, with a target price of Rs 3,570. 

2. Prestige Estates Projects

This realty company hit its all-time high of Rs 796.4 on Tuesday. The stock rose by 6.7% over the past week. The price rise follows the company’s announcement of record sales of Rs 11,007.3 crore (up by 69% YoY) during H1FY24, aided by a 30% YoY increase in volume to 10.7 million square feet and a 13% YoY rise in collections to Rs 5,380.6 crore. 

In Q2FY24 alone, Prestige Estates Projects’ sales rose by 102% YoY to Rs 7,092.6 crore, and collections increased by 1% YoY to Rs 2,639.8 crore. Speaking about future prospects, Chairman and Managing Director Irfan Razack said, “With a promising pipeline of projects, we are poised for growth for the rest of the year.” In FY24, the company expects to achieve annual presales of Rs 18,000 crore, led by high-value launches in Mumbai. It will also launch residential/commercial units worth Rs 27,500 crore and spend Rs 4,000 crore annually on land/stake buyout.

In Q1FY24, Prestige Estates Projects’ profit increased by 30.3% YoY to Rs 266.9 crore, beating Trendlyne Forecaster’s estimate by 115%. It also appears in a screener for stocks with improving book value per share for the past two years.

HDFC Securities maintains a ‘Buy’ call on the firm on the back of its robust supply pipeline, a positive outlook due to decreasing recession probabilities and sustained housing demand. According to Trendlyne Forecaster, 16 analysts have a consensus ‘Buy’ recommendation, with 12 of them indicating a ‘Strong Buy’. 

3. PCBL:

This carbon black manufacturer has risen 10.4% over the past week till Friday. This uptrend comes after the firm bagged two patents from the Indian Patent Office on Wednesday, one for specialty-grade and another for surface-modified carbon black. The first patent is for an innovative process of modifying specialty-grade carbon blacks for use in inks and coatings. The second patent focuses on a composition developed by PCBL to improve fuel efficiency and tyre life.

The management has guided its carbon black sales volume to grow by 10-12% YoY in FY24, driven by rising demand for tires. Rising auto sales, the easing of supply chain issues, and an improvement in the tyre replacement market is driving growth. The company estimates tyre demand to grow by 8-9% YoY in FY24. According to Trendlyne’s Forecaster, the firm’s annual net profit is expected to climb by 30.3% YoY in FY24. The company also shows up in a screener of stocks with good valuation, high RoE, and strong momentum scores.  

Although the firm did not see a slowdown in global demand in Q1FY24, it remains cautious about the export market. SBI Securities believes that PCBL is well-placed to benefit from American and European companies diversifying their supply chain away from Russia.

4. Zomato

This food delivery services provider touched its 52-week high of Rs 113.2 per share on Thursday after brokerages increased its target price. Kotak Institutional Equities has revised its target price to Rs 125 from Rs 110, citing growing profitability from higher order intensity, improved demand trends in non-metro cities, and better volumes.

However, SoftBank Vision Growth Fund sold a 1.2% stake in the company for Rs 947 crore on August 30, while Tiger Global divested its remaining stake for Rs 1,124 crore on August 28. But the company still appears in a screener of stocks with high FII holdings.

Zomato turned a profit for the first time in Q1FY24 on the back of a 64.2% YoY revenue growth. Although it posted a pre-tax loss, a deferred tax credit of Rs 17 crore resulted in a net profit of Rs 2 crore. For Q2FY24, Forecaster estimates its revenue and net profit to improve by 8.4% and 990% QoQ respectively. In the Q1FY24 earnings call, Chief Financial Officer, Akshant Goyal said, “We expect our business to remain profitable and continue to deliver over 40% YoY top-line growth for at least the next couple of years.” 

ICICI Securities maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on the stock with an upgraded target price of Rs 160 per share. This indicates a potential upside of 43.6%. The brokerage expects its profitability to improve over the next four quarters on the back of increased revenue from advertising, Zomato Gold and the introduction of platform fees. It also projects the company’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 39.9% over FY22-25.

5. NCC

This construction & engineering company’s stock price rose 3.6% on October 3 after winning three orders amounting to Rs 4,200 crore. It includes a major transport order from the Mumbai Municipal Corporation. Additionally, Larsen & Toubro and NCC are competing for the Hyderabad Airport Metro Rail project, having submitted bids for the Rs 5,688 crore tender. According to Trendlyne’s Technicals, the stock has climbed 3.3% in the past week, earning its spot in a screener for affordable stocks with good momentum and RoE.

The company’s Q1FY24 net profit increased by 33.9% YoY to Rs 653.1 crore. Order inflows have also improved by 83% YoY, taking the total order book to an all-time high of Rs 54,110 crore. The management foresees a 20% YoY revenue growth for FY24, driven by strong execution. Also, EBITDA margin is expected to expand by 20 bps in FY24, aided by lower input costs. 

The arbitration with Sembcorp over the construction of a thermal power plant in Telangana has concluded, and NCC foresees a payout of Rs 606.2 crore in Q3FY24. The company’s gross standalone debt rose by 33.7% QoQ in Q1FY24, aided by higher working capital requirements for faster executions.

Geojit has raised its FY24 and FY25 EPS estimates by 5% and 10%, respectively, due to robust order execution, a record-high order book, and improved margins. The broker maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on the stock.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
13 Oct 2023
Market closes lower, HDFC Life Insurance Co's Q2FY24 net profit  rises 15.5% YoY

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 19,751.05 (-43.0, -0.2%) , BSE Sensex closed at 66,282.74 (-125.7, -0.2%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 17,390.35 (-29.4, -0.2%), of the 1,974 stocks traded today, 905 were on the uptrend, and 1015 went down.

Indian indices recovered from their day lows but still closed lower, with the Nifty 50 closing at 19,751.1 points. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, closed flat at 10.6 points. One97 Communications (Paytm) fell 2.6% as RBI imposed a penalty of Rs 5.4 crore on its associate Paytm Payments Bank for non-compliance with know your customer (KYC) norms.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the red, in line with the benchmark index. Nifty Realty and Nifty FMCG closed higher than their Thursday close. According to Trendlyne's sector dashboard, Telecommunications Equipment was the top-performing sector of the day as it rose 9.9%.

Major European indices traded lower as investors assessed Inflation reports from Spain and France. French CPI rose 4.9% YoY in September, while the Spanish CPI climbed 3.5% YoY. Major Asian indices closed in the red, except for India’s BSE Sensex, which closed flat. Brent crude oil futures traded in the green after rising 0.9% on Thursday.

  • Relative strength index (RSI) indicates that stocks like Nippon Life India Asset Management, Kaynes Technology India, Solar Industries India and Safari Industries (India) are in the overbought zone.

  • ITI and MMTC are trading at Rs 271.1 and Rs 75.3 per share, which are 47.2% and 39.5% higher than their respective week-lows.

  • Ashok Leyland bags an order from the Tamil Nadu Government to supply 1,666 passenger bus chassis. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with declining promoter pledges.

  • HDFC Life Insurance Company rises as its Q2FY24 net profit increases by 15.5% YoY to Rs 376.8 crore. Its revenue remains unchanged at Rs 22,974.3 crore, but the value of new business grows by 4% YoY. The company appears in a screener of stocks with increasing quarterly profits.

  • P. Radhakrishnan, the Whole-time Director & CEO of Kesoram Industries, says the company plans to produce 8 metric tonnes of cement in FY24. They expect the EBITDA per tonne to exceed 700 in H2FY24. He adds that the company has increased cement prices by Rs 30 per bag. Radhakrishnan anticipates that their Rayon business will break even by Q4 and that high-cost debt will be refinanced by then.

  • Foreign institutional investors make the highest investment worth Rs 4,808.8 crore in stock futures over the past week, according to Trendlyne's FII dashboard. Meanwhile, index options witness the highest outflow of Rs 65,033.6 crore from foreign investors. Mutual Funds invest Rs 3,110 crore in the equity market over the same period.

  • PSU banks like Indian Bank, Indian Overseas Bank, Bank of Baroda, State Bank of India and Punjab & Sind Bank are falling in trade. Barring Bank of Maharashtra, all the other constituents of the broader sectoral index, Nifty PSU Bank, are also trading in the red.

  • One97 Communications (Paytm) falls as RBI imposes a penalty of Rs 5.4 crore on its associate Paytm Payments Bank for non-compliance with know your customer (KYC) norms. The company appears in a screener of stocks with falling book value per share.

  • According to data from the Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA), domestic air traffic in India increased by 18.3% YoY in September. Domestic airlines carried around 1.2 crore passengers last month. IndiGogained 10 bps market share in September to 63.4%. Vistara had a 10% market share in September, while Air India's market share stayed at 9.8%.
  • Indian Oil Corpis rising as it invests Rs 1,660.2 crore in its joint venture (JV), IndianOil NTPC Green Energy. The JV is a 50-50 partnership between IOCL and NTPC.

  • Landmark Cars receives a letter of intent (LoI) from MG Motor India to open a dealership in Goa. The dealer will be established by Landmark's subsidiary, Aeromark Cars, and will be operational by Q3FY24.

  • Motilal Oswal keeps its ‘Buy’ rating on Tata Consultancy Services and raises the target price to Rs 4,060 from Rs 3,790. This implies an upside of 13.9%. Although the brokerage expects the firm to see near-term weakness, it remains optimistic about the company’s long-term prospects given its order book, long-duration projects and healthy margins.

  • India's IIP growth rate increases to a 14-month high of 10.3% in August, up from 6% in July. The expansion was aided by increased output in the mining, manufacturing, and electricity sectors. Mining output increased by 12.3%, while manufacturing and electrical output nearly doubled.

  • IRB Infrastructure Developers is rising as it enters definitive agreements with affiliates of GIC and Samakhiyali Tollway. These agreements aim to implement the Samakhiyali Santalpur BOT Project worth Rs 2,092 crore. IRB Infrastructure Trust will buy a 99.9% stake in Samayakhali Tollway for Rs 116.2 crore.

  • Anand Rathi Wealth falls despite its Q2FY24 net profit rising by 33.9% YoY to Rs 57.5 crore. Its revenue increases by 36.9% YoY, aided by growth in the mutual fund & distribution segment. The company appears in a screener of stocks nearing their 52-week highs with significant volumes.

  • Ircon International and Rites rise sharply as the Department of Public Enterprise grants the 'Navratna' status to both companies.

  • SJVN rises as it wins a Letter of Award (LOA) in a competitive bidding conducted by Rajasthan Urja Vikas Nigam Limited (RUVNL) for the development of a 100MW solar power project on a build, own, and operate (BOO) basis amounting to Rs 600 crore. It appears in a screener for Nifty 500 stocks with consistently high returns over five years.

  • India’s CPI inflation eases to 5% in September compared to 6.8% in August, driven by a moderation in food and vegetable prices. Food and beverage inflation declined to 6.3% from 9.2% in August.
  • Angel One hits its all-time high of Rs 2,249.2 per share as its net profit grows by 43.9% YoY to Rs 305.3 crore in Q2FY24. Revenue improves by 40.6% YoY on the back of higher active clients, average daily turnover and number of orders. It appears in a screener of Trendlyne's high-return technically strong value stocks.

  • Porinju Veliyath sells a 1.3% stake in Shalimar Paints for approx Rs 18.8 crore in a bulk deal on Thursday.

  • Porinju Veliyath adds Singer India to his portfolio in Q2FY24. He buys a 1% stake in the company.

  • HDFC Bank declines as 46.7 lakh shares (0.1% equity), amounting to Rs 719.6 crore, reportedly change hands in a block deal.

  • Dolly Khanna adds KCP Sugar & Industries Corp and Prakash Industries to her portfolio in Q2FY24. She buys 1.3% and 1% stakes in the companies respectively.

  • HCL Technologies is rising as its Q2FY24 net profit rises 8.4% QoQ to Rs 3,832 crore, while its EBIT margin increases by 152 bps QoQ. Its revenue grows 1.4% QoQ led by growth in the IT & business services and engineering and R&D services segments. The company shows up in a screener for stocks with strong momentum.

  • Infosys’ Q2FY24 net profit rises 4.5% QoQ to Rs 6,212 crore as its EBIT margin increases by 40 bps QoQ. Its revenue grows by 2.8% QoQ, driven by growth in the retail, manufacturing and life sciences segments. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with no debt.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Tata Motors Ltd. (667.10, 4.73%), Tata Motors Limited (DVR) (441.85, 3.81%) and HDFC Asset Management Company Ltd. (2,855.50, 3.63%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Bandhan Bank Ltd. (240.70, -4.10%), MphasiS Ltd. (2,376.20, -3.24%) and One97 Communications Ltd. (933.10, -2.55%).

Crowd Puller Stocks

24 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Ircon International Ltd. (149.65, 10.12%), Gujarat State Fertilizer & Chemicals Ltd. (186.85, 6.68%) and MMTC Ltd. (74.60, 5.74%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Angel One Ltd. (2,069.60, -1.79%), Honeywell Automation India Ltd. (38,051.15, -0.86%) and Mas Financial Services Ltd. (917.10, -0.11%).

Sundram Fasteners Ltd. (1,275.25, 0.60%) was trading at 11.6 times of weekly average. Gujarat Alkalies & Chemicals Ltd. (766.25, 5.09%) and Rites Ltd. (498.45, 5.30%) were trading with volumes 10.2 and 9.8 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

29 stocks made 52 week highs, while 1 stock tanked below their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Balkrishna Industries Ltd. (2,585.25, -0.39%), Bosch Ltd. (20,541.80, 0.42%) and Coal India Ltd. (307.95, 0.24%).

Stock making new 52 weeks lows included - Rajesh Exports Ltd. (445.60, -2.22%).

4 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Petronet LNG Ltd. (231.05, 1.18%) and Hindustan Zinc Ltd. (318.60, 0.28%). 6 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Elgi Equipments Ltd. (479.00, -2.18%) and Sterlite Technologies Ltd. (159.55, -1.57%).

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
12 Oct 2023
Market closes flat, HDFC Asset Management's net profit rises 19.9% YoY to Rs 436.5 crore

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50closed at 19,794.00 (-17.4, -0.1%), BSE Sensexclosed at 66,408.39 (-64.7, -0.1%) while the broader Nifty 500closed at 17,419.70 (12.4, 0.1%). Market breadth is in the green. Of the 1,980 stocks traded today, 1,139 were in the positive territory and 802 were negative.

Indian indices pared the gains from the afternoon session and closed flat, with the Nifty 50closing at 19,794. The volatility index, Nifty VIX, dropped by 3.4% and closed at 10.6 points. HDFC Asset Management’s Q2FY24 net profit increased by 19.9% YoY to Rs 436.5 crore beating the forecaster estimates by 2.7% and its revenue grew by 18.1% YoY to Rs 643.1 crore.

Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 closed in the green, with the benchmark index closing flat. Nifty Media and Nifty Energy closed higher than Wednesday’s closing levels. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, media emerged as the top-performing sector of the day, with a rise of over 3.2%.

Most European indices trade in the green. US indices futures trade higher, indicating a positive start. The data released by the World Bank indicated that the UK’s GDP in August increased by 0.5% YoY against the estimates of a 0.4% growth.

  • Maruti Suzuki India sees a long buildup in its October 26 future series as its open interest rises 14.6% with a put-call ratio of 0.6.

  • Linde India surges over 14% in trade today. The company ranks high on Trendlyne’s Checklist scoring 78.3%. It features in a screenerof companies with prices above short, medium, and long-term moving averages.

  • Telecommunications equipment, coal and realty sectors rise by more than 6.9% over the past week

  • PCBL, Zensar Technologies and L&T Technology Services rise 15.4%, 5.7% and 3.9% respectively over the past week, ahead of their Q2FY24 results on Tuesday.

  • Grasim Industries rises to an all-time high of Rs 2,022 as its board considers fund-raising on October 16. They plan to raise funds through rights issues, qualified institutional placements or preferential issues. The company appears in a screener of stocks with improving book value per share.

  • Hero Motocorp receives a stay order from the Delhi High Court in a cheating case involving the company's MD and CEO, Pawan Munjal. The stay order will remain in force till the next hearing, which will be held on December 6.

  • HDFC Asset Management Co is rising as its Q2FY24 revenue grows by 18.1% YoY to Rs 643.1 crore. Its net profit also increases by 19.9% YoY to Rs 436.5 crore due to reduced depreciation and commission expenses. The stock shows up in the screener for companies with strong momentum.

  • Zomato touches a 20-month high as brokerages raise their target prices in anticipation of high volumes during the holiday season and the ICC Men's Cricket World Cup 2023. Kotak Institutional Equities and ICICI Securities retain their constructive view on Zomato, revising their target prices, implying a potential upside of 14% and 50%, respectively.

  • Sterlite Technologies is rising as it collaborates with Hygenco to supply green hydrogen to its manufacturing plants. According to the agreement, Hygenco will build, own and operate a green hydrogen facility, which will be commissioned in 15 to 18 months and will operate for the next 20 years.

  • Oil & gas stocks like GAIL (India), Indraprastha Gas, Bharat Petroleum Corp, Hindustan Petroleum Corp and Petronet LNG are rising in trade. Barring Adani Total Gas, all the other constituents of the broader sectoral index, BSE Oil & Gas, are trading in the green.

  • Delta Corpis falling as its Q2FY24 revenue marginally grows by 0.2% YoY to Rs 270.6 crore. The growth in the casino gaming division has been offset by a drop in the online skill gaming division. However, its net profit increases by 1.7% YoY to Rs 69.4 crore due to a decline in raw material costs. The stock shows up in the screenerfor companies with declining net cash flow.

  • Retail sales for the automotive industry rise around 9% YoY to 1.1 crore units in H1FY24, as per data from the Federation of Automotive Dealers' Association. Two-wheeler retail sales are up 7% YoY, while cars increase by 6.2% YoY.

  • BoB Capital Markets maintains its ‘Hold’ rating on Siemens Indiawith a target price of Rs 3,900. This implies an upside of 8.9%. The brokerage points out that the company expects rising domestic public capex will create a healthy capex environment for private companies in India in the medium term. The management is optimistic that this will lead to a surge in orders from private companies in the medium-to-long term.

  • Sula Vineyards is rising as its revenue from sales grows by 14% YoY to Rs 116.2 crore in Q2FY24. Revenue from the wine tourism segment also improves by 26% YoY to Rs 12.1 crore. It features in a screener of stocks with rising return on capital employed (RoCE) over the past two years.

  • Sunil Singhania buys a 0.1% stake in Rupa & Co in Q2FY24. He now holds a 4.2% stake in the company.

  • G Shivakumar, the CFO of Great Eastern Shipping Co, says that shipments have remained unaffected by geopolitical tensions. He highlights that Israel isn't a significant trade route for the company and adds that dry bulk costs for larger vessels have risen to $25,000.

  • Ashish Kacholia sells a 0.2% stake in Safari Industries in Q2FY24. He now holds a 2.1% stake in the company.

  • Glenmark Pharmaceuticals rises as its wholly owned subsidiary, Ichnos Sciences, enters into a licensing agreement with Astria Therapeutics for the development of OX40 Antagonist Monoclonal Antibody Portfolio. These antibodies are used to treat inflammatory and immune diseases. The company appears in a screener of Nifty 500 stocks with consistently high returns over five years.

  • Media stocks like Network18 Media & Investments, TV18 Broadcast, Hathway Cable & Datacom, PVR Inox and Sun TV Network are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index, Nifty Media, is also trading in the green.

  • Morgan Stanley notes that steel companies have performed well in recent months. However, they remain cautious due to a less favourable global macro environment and unattractive valuations. The brokerage expects no material expansion in spreads over the next few months. It maintains an 'Equal-weight' rating on SAIL and Tata Steel but 'Underperform' on JSW Steeland JSPL.

  • Aster DM Healthcare rises amid reports of the potential sale of its India business for an estimated valuation of $1.9 billion. Private equity firms like BPEA EQT, Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan Board, Blackstone Inc and KKR & Co have shown interest in the acquisition. The company appears in a screener of stocks nearing their 52-week highs with significant volumes.

  • Plaza Wires’ shares debut on the bourses at a 40.7% premium to the issue price of Rs 54. The Rs 71.3 crore IPO has received bids for 161 times the total shares on offer.

  • EMSrises to its all-time highof Rs 334.4 per share as it bags an order worth Rs 270.8 crore to build, commission and maintain a sewerage system in Jaipur.

  • IndusInd Bankrises as the RBI approves SBI Mutual Fund to acquire a 10% stake in the bank. The acquisition will be completed in one year. The company appears in a screenerof stocks with improving RoE.

  • Tata Consultancy Services falls despite its net profit growing by 2.4% QoQ to Rs 11,342 crore in Q2FY24. Revenue remains flat at Rs 59,692 crore on the back of the communication, media & technology, and life sciences & healthcare segments. The company has also announced to buy back 4.1 crore shares worth approximately Rs 17,000 crore.

  • Nifty 50was trading at 19,829.85 (18.5, 0.1%), BSE Sensexwas trading at 66,525.54 (52.5, 0.1%) while the broader Nifty 500was trading at 17,447.65 (40.3, 0.2%)

  • Market breadth is surging up. Of the 1,752 stocks traded today, 1,390 were in the positive territory and 305 were negative.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include NMDC Ltd. (159.00, 5.79%), GAIL (India) Ltd. (129.35, 4.69%) and Indraprastha Gas Ltd. (478.20, 3.87%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Tech Mahindra Ltd. (1,198.75, -2.67%), Delhivery Ltd. (428.85, -2.33%) and Gujarat Fluorochemicals Ltd. (2,820.75, -2.05%).

Volume Rockets

38 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included MMTC Ltd. (70.55, 19.88%), Linde India Ltd. (6,654.10, 13.80%) and Network18 Media & Investments Ltd. (80.55, 11.57%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Sterling and Wilson Renewable Energy Ltd. (304.85, -2.85%), Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd. (4,993.85, -1.94%) and Rajesh Exports Ltd. (455.70, -1.80%).

Eureka Forbes Ltd. (502.40, 2.03%) was trading at 37.2 times of weekly average. Aster DM Healthcare Ltd. (339.20, 4.97%) and Computer Age Management Services Ltd. (2,562.90, 6.12%) were trading with volumes 21.5 and 11.8 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

35 stocks hit their 52 week highs, while 2 stocks hit their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Bharti Airtel Ltd. (950.35, -0.55%), Bosch Ltd. (20,435.00, 3.74%) and Caplin Point Laboratories Ltd. (1113.05, 3.87%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Rajesh Exports Ltd. (455.70, -1.80%) and V-Mart Retail Ltd. (1,945.00, -0.26%).

8 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including NOCIL Ltd. (236.20, 4.68%) and Sterlite Technologies Ltd. (162.10, 2.99%). 2 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Bharat Dynamics Ltd. (1,006.40, -2.58%) and Godrej Consumer Products Ltd. (977.00, -0.90%).

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The Baseline
12 Oct 2023
The big winners: Five stocks expected to stand out in the Q2FY24 results season
By Tejas MD

People woke up to shocking headlines on Saturday - an attack by Hamas within Israel that left more than a thousand people dead and several thousand wounded. It has led Israel to declare war on Gaza and cut off food, electricity and water supplies to the Palestinian region. The spiralling tensions have pushed oil prices higher, reminding us how interconnected global markets are. 

The conflict has also raised fresh concerns about US and Iran being pulled into a Middle East fight, especially when the world is already struggling with rising interest rates and sticky inflation. Brent crude oil futures soared by over 4.5% on Monday on the news, with fears about potential disruptions to Iran's oil supply.

The surge in crude oil prices comes even as inflation has been more stubborn than expected globally. This has revived worries of a recession in the US, and Bloomberg Economics has predicted a 100% chance of an American recession in the next twelve months.

And when the US sneezes, the world catches a cold.

Neelkanth Mishra, Axis Bank’s chief economist, highlighted this link in an October 7 interview,saying, “If the US sees a recession, India’s IT services industry and business services exports could be hit. Services make up 10% of India's exports. If they fall by a lot, we could lose 1% in GDP growth."

But in the near term, analysts are positive about India’s growth story as we head into the Q2FY24 results. According to a report by Motilal Oswal, Nifty 50 companies’ net profit is set to rise 21% YoY on average in Q2FY24. 

In this week’s Analyticks,

  • Q2FY24 pre-results special: Five companies set to zoom with high revenue growth
  • Screener: Companies expected to post the highest revenue and net profit growth for Q2FY24

The big winners: Five stocks expected to stand out in the Q2FY24 results season

Heading into the Q2FY24 results, we shortlisted five stocks from the Nifty 500 that are predicted to post the highest revenue and net profit growth YoY in Q2FY24, according to Trendlyne’s Forecaster. What’s more? These companies already set the bar high with strong results in Q1FY24. 

Growth stocks in focus are from five different industries


All five stocks in focus, Godrej Properties, KPIT Technologies, Craftsman Automation, Angel One and CCL Products India, are from different industries. They have not only risen sharply over the past year but have also outperformed the Nifty 50

Godrej Properties, KPIT Tech and Angel One trade near their 52-week highs

Trendlyne’s Momentum scores for these companies range from neutral to high, indicating buying interest in the market. However, low Valuation scores for Godrej Properties, KPIT Technologies and CCL Products India are a signal that they may be expensively priced. 

Angel One leads with ‘Good’ Durability and Momentum scores

These companies have high durability scores, thanks to strong financials and management stability.

Godrej Properties surges amid a revival in residential real estate 

The realty industry has had a pretty good year. Nifty Realty went up by 34.9% in 2023, driven by companies posting record pre-sales and rising realisations, mainly in the residential segment. 

Indians are snapping up homes at an impressive rate - consulting firm CBRE says that residential sales grew 4% YoY (6% HoH) to over 150,000 units in H1CY23. By the end of 2023, they expect this number to cross 300,000, which would be the highest sales in 10 years. 

Godrej Properties is riding this wave, and its Q2FY24 revenue is expected to jump 141.5% YoY, and net profit by 163.8%.

Godrej Properties’ Q2FY24 revenue expected to jump 141.5% YoY

In the Q1FY24 earnings call, Gaurav Pandey, MD and CEO of Godrej Properties, had said that they plan to achieve pre-sales of Rs 15,000 crore in FY24E.

Godrej Properties’ pre-sales to grow at a CAGR of 23% over FY23-25E

Motilal Oswal expects the company’s pre-sales to rise by 18,900 by FY25. After the acquisition of multiple projects over the last few quarters, the management’s focus will now shift towards execution.

Outperformer in a weak sector: KPIT Tech to shine despite muted outlook for tech

This IT consulting and software company has risen by around 66.3% in the past year, outperforming the Nifty IT by 47 percentage points. KPIT Technologies provides engineering solutions for firms in the CASE (Connected Autonomous Shared and Electric) auto segment. KPIT Tech’s revenue and net profit are expected to rise both YoY and QoQ in Q2FY24.

KPIT Tech to post QoQ revenue growth for the 11th consecutive quarter 

A report by HDFC Securities suggests diverging revenue trends among IT companies for Q2FY24. While tier-1 IT firms might see sequential growth ranging from -1.4% to +2.2%, mid-tier companies like KPIT are likely to register a more positive 0.9% to 3.8% growth. 

Notably, KPIT Tech’s top line has been rising QoQ for the past 10 quarters, and is expected to rise 5.5% in Q2FY24 despite the tech slowdown. This is because of a 20% surge in engineering spending by auto OEMs over the past year. KPIT’s heavy investments in autonomous and electric technologies have cemented its leadership position in this segment. 

Craftsman Automation’s aluminum push to boost Q2 results

Thisauto parts and equipment manufacturer’s revenue and net profit is projected to rise an impressive 44.3% and 58.9% YoY, respectively,  in Q2FY24. 

Revenue from auto-aluminum products to drive Craftsman’s top line in Q2 


Sometimes, a new product segment significantly alters a company’s fortunes. Over the past two years, Craftsman has strategically diversified its revenue sources - while it previously manufactured ferrous casting products like cylinder blocks and cylinder heads for commercial vehicle powertrains, the company has been expanding aggressively into the more profitable passenger vehicle and two-wheeler industry since FY22. The entry point was through the aluminum products segment. 

ICICI Securities expects revenue contribution from aluminum products to rise from 25% in FY22 to 48% by FY26, while powertrain revenue share should fall from 52% to 35%. 

Craftsman Automation to significantly expand aluminium products revenue share by FY26E

The brokerage has a positive outlook on Craftsman on the back of continued growth in the passenger vehicles (PV) market, especially utility vehicles  (UVs), a revival in two-wheeler production, and an improved focus on the industrial and farm equipment segments.

Angel One’s market share in NSE active clients continues to rise

With the Nifty 50’s bullish trend in 2023, the number of demat accounts added has increased for the fourth consecutive month in August.

Number of demat accounts added rises for four months straight

Angel One enjoys the third-highest market share among brokerages, with 4.7 million active clients, after Zerodha and Groww. Angel One’s broker market share rose by 3.3 percentage points YoY to 14.2% in August. 

The company is expected to post strong results in Q2FY24, aided by healthy growth in net broking revenues and net interest income. Trendyne’s Forecaster estimates the broker’s revenue to rise 43.7% YoY, while its net profit is projected to grow by 32.6% YoY in Q2. 

However, HDFC Securities expects staff costs to stay elevated due to the company's effort to invest in more tech talent, leading to margin pressure. Notably, the stock hit a new 52-week high last week, ahead of its results announcement on October 12.  

Growth is brewing for CCL Products, as it boosts capacity

CCL Products India is engaged in the production, trading and distribution of coffee, mainly in India, Vietnam and Switzerland. Its Q2FY24 revenue and net profit are expected to rise by 34% YoY and 42.2%, respectively. 

CCL Products India’s net profit to rise by 42.2% YoY in Q2

The company posted strong revenue growth in Q1FY24 as well, on the back of 18-20% volume growth, driven by an additional 16,000 metric tonnes capacity expansion in its Vietnam plant end-FY23. The management expects the volume growth trend to continue for the next 3-4 years. However, high coffee bean prices are a major risk to the company’s profitability.

The management has also increased its debt guidance to Rs 2,000 crore for FY25, due to rising capex, with plans to expand the production capacity to approx 77,000 metric tonnes (MT) by FY25 in Vietnam and India.


Screener: Companies expected to post the highest YoY revenue and net profit growth for Q2FY24

Jindal Stainless, MTAR Tech among the highest revenue growth estimates in Q2FY24

In the earlier section, we covered five of the stocks which are likely to outperform in Q2FY24. The relevant screener tracking these companies has a full list of 99 stocks from the Nifty 500. These stocks are expected to have the highest YoY revenue growth and QoQ net profit growth % in Q2FY24. These stocks have already delivered YoY growth in both revenue and net profit in Q1FY24.

The list is diverse, featuring stocks from several sectors, including auto parts & equipment, IT consulting & software, pharmaceuticals and packaged goods sectors. Major stocks in the screener are Jindal Stainless, MTAR Technologies, Central Depository Services India, Tata Motors and CE Infosystems.

Jindal Stainless’ revenue grew by 86% YoY to Rs 10,227.2 crore in Q1FY24, aided by improved sales volumes of stainless and carbon steel. Trendlyne’s Forecaster estimates its revenue to rise by 83.4% YoY in Q2FY24. ICICI Securities believes that the acquisition of Jindal United Steel will aid the iron & steel producer’s revenue and profitability.

MTAR Technologies’ Q2FY24 revenue is expected to improve by 49.7% YoY, according to Trendlyne’s Forecaster. Its revenue grew by 67.6% YoY to Rs 156.7 crore in Q1FY24. According to Edelweiss, the defence company’s revenue is expected to grow in line with the management’s guidance of 45-50% in FY24 on the back of a strong order book and client additions in the global aerospace and clean energy segments. 

Trendlyne’s Forecaster estimates Central Depository Services of India’s revenue to grow by 38.2% YoY in Q2FY24. This is an improvement from the 6.8% YoY increase in revenue in Q1FY24. HDFC Securities expects a recovery in the investment company’s revenue growth, aided by recovery in the beneficiary owner (BO) account addition, higher revenue from the transactions segment and growth in revenue from the annuity segment.

You can find more screeners here.