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The Baseline
29 Nov 2022
Five analyst picks this week
By Suhas Reddy
  1. Delhivery: ICICI Securities upgrades its rating on this logistics company to ‘Buy’ from ‘Sell’ with a target price of 460, implying an upside of 43.3%. In Q2FY23, the firm posted a loss of Rs 254.1 crore and its revenue grew by 19.9% YoY. 

Analysts Abhisek Banerjee, Amit Dixit and Heenal Gada have turned positive on the company as they believe “Delhivery’s current valuations provide a great opportunity to buy this high-quality stock”. By the end of November, Delhivery fell by around 50% from its peak in July due to concerns over the sustainability of its revenue growth and profitability, But analysts believe that the company’s low-cost structure, effective management, strong balance sheet and high brand recall alleviate these concerns. 

They also expect the logistics firm’s EBITDA margins to improve steadily in the coming quarters. They see the firm gaining market share in niche segments like secured delivery. Analysts estimate Delhivery’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 25.6% over FY22-25. 

  1. Can Fin Homes:Keynote Capitals initiates coverage on this housing finance company with a ‘Buy’ rating and a target price of Rs 670, indicating an upside of 22.7%. In Q2FY23, Can Fin Homes’ net profit rose 14.6% YoY to Rs 141.7 crore, and its revenue grew by 40.6% YoY.

Analyst Devin Joshi is positive about the company’s future growth prospects given its “strong growth history and best-in-class asset quality across various industry phases driven by excellent risk management techniques”. He anticipates the firm’s loan book to grow by 18-20% and maintain its robust asset quality in the coming quarters. 

Joshi finds the company’s strict credit policy, which allows lending to only low-risk and safe customers like salaried or self-employed, a key positive. He believes this policy aids the firm in maintaining its excellent asset quality. He also sees the housing finance company’s AUM (assets under management) expanding as it plans to establish 12-15 new branches every year. The analyst expects Can Fin Homes’ net profit to grow at a CAGR of 17.6% over FY22-24. 

  1. State Bank of India: Motilal Oswal maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this PSU Bank with a target price of Rs 700, implying an upside of 15%. In Q2FY23, the bank’s standalone net profit surged 73.9% YoY to Rs 13,264.5 crore and revenue grew 14.9% YoY. 

Analysts Nitin Aggarwal and Yash Agarwal attribute the company’s robust performance to “strong loan growth, margin expansion, and lower provisions”. The improvement in its treasury performance (which supported other income) and controlled operating expenses led to healthy growth in core pre-provision operating profit, they added. They expect loan disbursements to grow 14-16% in FY23, driven by the retail and corporate segments.

In the near-to-medium term, analysts expect a high mix of floating loans to aid profitability and growth in net interest income. They are banking on the asset quality remaining robust while the restructured book is under control. They anticipate the bank’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 32% over FY22-24. 

  1. Cyient: ICICI Direct maintains a ‘Buy’ call on this IT consulting and software company with a target price of Rs 920, indicating an upside of 13.9%. Analysts Sameer Pardikar and Sujay Chavan attended Cyient’s analyst meeting at their Hyderabad campus and noted that the company is targeting a quarterly revenue run rate of $250 million in FY24 from the current $175 million, which will be driven by organic and acquisition synergies. They expect Cyient’s acquisition to improve diversification and drive annual revenues to  $1 billion by FY24. 

Pardikar and Chavan expect improved demand from large deals, healthy order book, rebound in DLM business and organisation restructuring to accelerate Cyient’s growth. They are optimistic about the IT consultant as it is also partnering with auto space start-ups and looking to strategically acquire them in the future.

  1. ACC: Axis Direct recommends a ‘Buy’ call on this cement producer with a target price of Rs 2,710. This indicates an upside of 7.2%. To cater to the high-growth market of central India, the company is expanding its cement grinding capacity to 39.2 metric tonnes per annum from the present 36.1 metric tonnes. The analysts at Axis Direct expect the cement manufacturer to deliver volume growth of 7% CAGR over CY22-24 and record revenue CAGR of 10%. 

“The company exhibits a robust financial position with a debt-free balance sheet, high-interest coverage ratio and healthy cash flows Housing and Infra, which consumes around 80-90% of the total cement produced in the country, will further accelerate the demand as the Central government is keen on developing infrastructure under various government schemes and initiatives,” they added.

On the back of expanded capacity, better pricing, increased demand and moderation in commodity prices, the analysts expect ACC to report revenue and APAT CAGR of 10% and 40% respectively over CY22-24. 

Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.

(You can find all analyst picks here)

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
29 Nov 2022
Market closes higher, Dharmaj Crop Guard’s IPO gets bids for 6X of shares

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty closed in green after opening on a flat level today. Japan's Nikkei closed at a one-week low on Tuesday, as COVID-19 protests in several Chinese cities raised concerns about economic growth.

Markets trade higher in Hong Kong and China while Australian market trades flat. US markets closed 1.54% lower on Monday on concerns over economic growth as China continues to protest over Covid policies. Oil prices fell on concerns of slowing demand. The pan-European STOXX 600 index rose 0.3% led by healthcare and energy stocks.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in red despite the benchmark index trading in green. Nifty FMCG and Nifty Metal indices closed higher in today's trading session.

Nifty 50closed at 18,618.05 (55.3, 0.3%), BSE Sensexclosed at 62,681.84 (177.0, 0.3%) while the broader Nifty 500closed at 15,812.45 (28, 0.2%)

Market breadth is in the red. Of the 1,941 stocks traded today, 825 showed gains, and 1,038 showed losses.

  • Money Flow Index (MFI) indicates that stocks like Orient Electric, The Fertilisers and Chemicals Travancore, Ceat and IIFL Finance are in the overbought zone.

  • CCL Products Indiaand ICICI Bankhit their all-time highs of Rs 544.5 and Rs 949.9 respectively. Both stocks rise for two consecutive sessions.

  • Dharmaj Crop Guard’s Rs 251.15 crore IPO gets bids for 6X of the available 80.12 lakh shares on offer on the first day of bidding. The retail investor quota gets bids for 7.8X of the available 39.9 lakh shares on offer.

  • Personal Products, Tea & Coffeeand Special Consumer Servicesindustries riseby more than 2.5% in trade today.

  • Zydus Lifesciences is rising as it purchases Watson Pharma’s active pharmaceutical ingredients (API) business through a slump sale for a lump sum cash consideration of Rs 46.8 crore. The company expects this acquisition to help expand its presence in the API space.

  • S&P Global Ratings lowers its 2023 GDP growth forecast for emerging economies to 3.8% from the earlier 4.1%. The rating agency expects inflation to be above central banks’ targets for most economies, leading to tight monetary policy conditions.
  • Britannia Industries rises as it announces a joint venture (JV) with Bel SA in France and Britannia Dairy Private (BDPL) to sell its 49% stake in Britannia Dairy to Bel for Rs 262 crore. BDPL will carry out the manufacturing, marketing and distribution of cheese products in India.

  • Sharekhan maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on Maruti Suzuki with a target price of Rs 10,965. This implies an upside of 21.5%. The brokerage believes that as economic activities normalise, the company will see a recovery in domestic demand and sales volume, given its better product mix and new product launches. It also sees the firm’s robust balance sheet, healthy order book and cost-control measures as key positives. The brokerage expects the firm’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 45.8% over FY22-25.

  • FMCG stocks like Dabur India, Hindustan Unilever, Marico and Nestle Indiaare rising in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty FMCG is also trading in the green.

  • Indian rupee appreciates to 81.6 against the US dollar in early trade today amid foreign capital inflows.
  • Tata Motorsis rising as it signs a memorandum of understanding (MoU)with IndusInd Bankto develop an electric vehicle (EV) inventory programme for the company's dealers. The bank will provide additional inventory funding to authorised passenger EV dealers of Tata Motors, which can be repaid in 60 to 70 days. The bank will also provide additional funding during high-demand periods.

  • Vodafone Idea, Laurus Labsand One97 Communications (Paytm)score low on Trendlyne's durability, momentum and valuation scale.

  • Rail Vikas Nigam is falling as 1.7 crore shares (0.8% equity) amounting to Rs 144 crore change hands, according to reports.
  • Lupin is rising as its Brazilian arm MedQuímica Indústria Farmacêutica inks a definitive agreement to acquire all rights to nine medicines from BL Indústria Ótica, an arm of Bausch Health Companies. MedQuímica will acquire rights to products including limbitrol, bacrocin, glyquin and solaquin.

  • Max Ventures Investment Holdings, promoter of Max Financial Services, sells a 1.6% stake in the company on Monday.

  • Ami Organics is rising as Norges Bank on account of the Government Pension Fund Global buys 10.9 lakh shares (3% stake) for Rs 100.5 crore in a bulk deal. Meanwhile, Small Cap World Fund sells 12.7 lakh shares (3.5% stake) for Rs 117 crore. Valuequest Investment Advisors also buys 1.8 lakh shares of Ami Organics for Rs 16.6 crore in a block deal.

  • One97 Communications (Paytm) is rising as CLSA upgrades its rating on the stock to ‘Buy’ from ‘Sell’ with a target price of Rs 650. The brokerage expects the company’s cash burn to end in the next 4-6 quarters, as it holds more than $1 billion cash in its balance sheet.
  • Lumax Industries is rising as its board will meet on December 7 to consider and approve a proposal for setting up a new manufacturing facility in Chakan, Pune.

  • YES Bank acquires a 9.9% stake in JC Flowers Asset Reconstruction for a total consideration of Rs 14 crore. The bank will acquire an additional 10% stake after getting the required approvals.

  • Dovetail India Fund sells a 0.77% stake (18 lakh shares) in the recently listed Inox Green Energy for Rs 11.1 crore in a bulk deal on Monday.

  • NBCC (India) receives orders worth Rs 271.6 crore in two stalled projects of the erstwhile Amrapali Group. The orders pertain to completing the construction of Amrapali corporate hub in Gurugram, Haryana, for Rs 42.4 crore and special repairs and upgradation of Amrapali projects in Noida & Greater Noida, Uttar Pradesh, for Rs 229.2 crore.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include The New India Assurance Company Ltd. (115.00, 13.58%), Gland Pharma Ltd. (1,877.95, 7.61%) and Dabur India Ltd. (593.10, 6.18%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Laurus Labs Ltd. (408.60, -9.27%), Bajaj Holdings & Investment Ltd. (6,024.10, -5.80%) and Varun Beverages Ltd. (1,146.15, -3.14%).

Movers and Shakers

29 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included The New India Assurance Company Ltd. (115.00, 13.58%), KIOCL Ltd. (216.95, 8.18%) and Gland Pharma Ltd. (1,877.95, 7.61%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Laurus Labs Ltd. (408.60, -9.27%), La Opala RG Ltd. (381.45, -3.41%) and PNC Infratech Ltd. (268.00, -1.83%).

Prism Johnson Ltd. (129.60, 7.06%) was trading at 24.2 times of weekly average. Bombay Burmah Trading Corporation Ltd. (960.25, 5.04%) and Bayer Cropscience Ltd. (4,521.00, -0.36%) were trading with volumes 15.1 and 10.7 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

17 stocks overperformed with 52-week highs, while 3 stocks tanked below their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Apollo Tyres Ltd. (315.15, 0.78%), Bank of India (83.75, 3.08%) and Britannia Industries Ltd. (4,285.35, 1.72%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Laurus Labs Ltd. (408.60, -9.27%) and Amber Enterprises India Ltd. (1,934.25, -1.78%).

25 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including The New India Assurance Company Ltd. (115.00, 13.58%) and KIOCL Ltd. (216.95, 8.18%). 7 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Strides Pharma Science Ltd. (330.30, -2.15%) and eClerx Services Ltd. (1,426.30, -2.14%).

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
28 Nov 2022
Market closes higher, Dharmaj Crop Guard’s IPO gets bids for 1.8X of total shares

Trendlyne Analysis

Indian indices closed higher with the Nifty 50 hitting record high of 18,614.25 intraday. In contrast, S&P cut India FY23 GDP growth forecast by 30 bps to 7% and FY24 by 50 bps to 6%. FPI buying remains strong especially in auto, IT and capital goods sector.

US markets closed flat on Friday. Crude oil falls in early Monday trading as protests plague China, which is one of the top importers of crude oil. Investors continue to remain cautious over the price cap on Russian oil and the upcoming OPEC+ meeting. European shares fell from three-month highs on Monday.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 close in the green in line with the benchmark index. Nifty Energy, Nifty IT and Nifty Auto closed higher while Nifty Metal closed lower.

Nifty 50closed at 18,562.75 (50, 0.3%), BSE Sensexclosed at 62,504.80 (211.2, 0.3%) while the broader Nifty 500closed at 15,784.45 (57.2, 0.4%)

Market breadth is in the green. Of the 1,970 stocks traded today, 1,128 were in the positive territory and 768 were negative.

  • Relative strength index (RSI) indicates that stocks like Indian Railway Finance Corp, Power Finance Corp, Punjab National Bank and Bank of Indiaare in the overbought zone.

  • Paint stocks like Asian Paints, Berger Paints, Kansai Nerolac Paintsand Indigo Paintsrise as oil prices fall nearly 2.5% in trade today.

  • Dharmaj Crop Guard’s Rs 251.15 crore IPO gets bids for 1.8X of the available 80.12 lakh shares on offer on the first day of bidding. The retail investor quota gets bids for 2.6X the available 39.9 lakh shares on offer. The IPO consists of a fresh issue of Rs 216 crore and an offer for sale of Rs 35.15 crore.

  • Energy stocks like Hindustan Petroleum Corp, Chennai Petroleum Corp, Savita Oil Technologies and Indraprastha Gas are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index S&P BSE Energy is also trading in the green.

  • Macquarie initiates coverage on Container Corp of India with an ‘Underweight’ rating and a target price of Rs 620. The brokerage says that the delay in the completion of the freight corridor to Jawaharlal Nehru Port, Mumbai, will impact the company’s volume growth.
  • Zydus Lifesciences is rising as its US subsidiary receives tentative approval from the US FDA to market levothyroxine sodium injection. The injection is for the treatment of myxedema coma. According to IQVIA, the injection had annual sales of $45.2 million for the year ending September 2022.

  • Oracle Financial Services Software, Tanla Platforms and Century Plyboards (India) trade above their third resistance or R3 level as the market trades higher.

  • Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex hit record highs of 18,614.25 and 62,701.4 respectively.
  • Lemon Tree Hotels is rising as it signs a deal for a 42-room hotel in Jamshedpur. Its wholly owned subsidiary and management arm, Carnation Hotels, will manage the property. The hotel is expected to be fully operational by September 2023.

  • HDFC Securities maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on Axis Bank with a target price of Rs 1,195. This indicates an upside of 35.9%. The brokerage believes the bank’s focus on expanding its exposure to medium and small corporate, rural & semi-urban and unsecured retail segments will drive growth in the coming quarters. It also sees the bank’s strong digital capabilities and extensive branch network as key positives. It expects the company’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 20.4% over FY22-25.

  • S&P Global Ratings lowers India’s GDP growth forecast for FY23 to 7% from its earlier estimate of 7.3%. The rating agency in its Asia Pacific Economic Outlook said central banks will face pressure due to high global interest rates.
  • Oil and gas stocks like Hindustan Petroleum Corp, Bharat Petroleum Corp, Reliance Industries and Indian Oil Corp are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index BSE Oil & Gas is also trading in the green.

  • Shriram Properties rises as its wholly owned subsidiary Shriprop Builders buys Suvilas Realities, a real estate company based in Bangalore, for Rs 30 crore. The company shows up in a screener of stocks with improving RoCE in the past two years.

  • Inox Wind Energy's and Inox Wind's Whole-Time Director Vineet Valentine Davis resigns on Friday. He also gives up the post of Non-Executive and Non-Independent Director of Inox Green Energy Services.

  • Max Financial Services is rising as it receives approval from the Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India (IRDAI) to buy the balance 5.2% stake in Max Life Insurance held by Mitsui Sumitomo. The company will buy 9.9 crore shares for nearly Rs 842 crore. Max Financial Services will hold an 87% stake in Max Life Insurance after the buyout.

  • Indian Energy Exchange is set to buyback 49 lakh shares, which represents a 0.55% stake, for Rs 98 crore through the open market. The buyback price is at Rs 200 per share. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with improving cash flow from operations over the past two years.

  • Indian rupee falls to 81.79 against the US dollar in early trade today. This comes after protests over Covid restrictions in China led to a fall in Asian currencies and strengthened the dollar.
  • Hero MotoCorp rises as the company raises its ex-showroom prices from December 1, 2022, according to reports. The price hike will vary with models and the market.

  • Dharmaj Crop Guard raises Rs 75 crore from anchor investors ahead of its IPO, which opens up for subscription today. The company allotted 31.6 lakh equity shares at Rs 267 each to anchor investors. The investors include Elara India Opportunities Fund, Rajasthan Global Securities and Resonance Opportunities Fund.

  • One97 Communications (Paytm) receives a letter from the Reserve Bank of India to reapply for the online payment aggregator license for its wholly owned subsidiary Paytm Payment Services (PPSL). Meanwhile, PPSL is not allowed to onboard any new customers. PPSL must also seek necessary approvals for any past downward investment from Paytm to PPSL to comply with the FDI guidelines.

  • HFCL bags order worth Rs 1,770 crore from the water & sanitation department for engineering, procurement and construction services in Uttar Pradesh. The contract value for the supply of materials and services is Rs 1,414 crore and operation and maintenance services are Rs 356 crore. The project will be executed within 18 months from the contract signing.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Tube Investments of India Ltd. (2,746.95, 6.13%), Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd. (238.50, 5.51%) and Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. (33.55, 5.50%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Macrotech Developers Ltd. (999.55, -2.96%), Jindal Steel & Power Ltd. (507.20, -2.61%) and Honeywell Automation India Ltd. (41,310.00, -2.56%).

Movers and Shakers

33 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Tanla Platforms Ltd. (818.40, 10.97%), MMTC Ltd. (41.80, 9.28%) and Apollo Tyres Ltd. (312.70, 6.65%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Shriram Transport Finance Company Ltd. (1,264.75, -1.20%), Linde India Ltd. (3,034.50, -0.25%) and Bayer Cropscience Ltd. (4,530.05, -0.25%).

Mishra Dhatu Nigam Ltd. (251.15, 5.90%) was trading at 4.6 times of weekly average. Sonata Software Ltd. (585.30, 5.85%) and EPL Ltd. (165.35, 2.16%) were trading with volumes 4.6 and 4.4 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

25 stocks made 52-week highs, while 1 stock was an underachiever and hit its 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Aegis Logistics Ltd. (332.05, -1.23%), Apollo Tyres Ltd. (312.70, 6.65%) and Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. (81.40, -0.67%).

Stock making new 52 weeks lows included - SIS Ltd. (389.40, 0.04%).

28 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including MMTC Ltd. (41.80, 9.28%) and Sonata Software Ltd. (585.30, 5.85%). 3 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Havells India Ltd. (1,221.55, -2.00%) and Vedanta Ltd. (310.55, -1.90%).

Stock market indices showing momentum, tracking share price changes over month, year, three years and 5 years.
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The Baseline
26 Nov 2022
MFs choose mid and smallcap stocks, prefer healthcare and banks in Q2FY23
By Deeksha Janiani

Most people have the intelligence to pick stocks - but not everyone has the stomach. This is especially true in a volatile stock market, as downside risks increase. Even India's mutual fund managers have become cautious about fresh stock buys, as markets grew moody in a slowing global economy. Their investments in Q2FY23 rose at the slowest rate since Q1FY22, and they preferred sectors with good potential while cutting stakes in those losing traction. 

In this week’s Analyticks:

  • MFs make their bets: Where did the smart money go in Q2FY23?
  • Screener: Companies in which promoters bought or sold over 0.5% stake in Q2

Let’s get into it.


Domestic mutual funds pick new favourites in Q2FY23

Indian indices rode turbulent seas in the past year. After touching their lows in mid-June, the Nifty 50 index and BSE Sensex gained around 18% by mid-September.

Domestic mutual funds pumped over Rs 70,000 crore into equities in Q1FY23, when valuations were comfortable. However, their buying activity slowed down to approx Rs 22,000 crore in Q2 as they became more selective. One reason was rising valuations: according to reports, Nifty 50 is trading at an average 1-yr forward PE of around 20X, which is 22% higher than its long-term average of 16X.

The stock market is commanding a premium despite a series of downgrades for India’s GDP growth rate in FY23 and in the earnings of top companies. This has kept domestic funds on the fence. 

In this week’s edition, we take a look at the top companies and sectors which mutual funds are still bullish on, buying significant equity stakes on a QoQ basis in Q2FY23. We also analyze sectors that saw intense selling action.

Mutual funds pick up over 2.5% stake in key small and mid-cap companies

Mutual funds led by SBI MF bought over 6% stake in auto ancillary player Sona BLW Precision and construction company G R Infraprojects,  in Q2FY23. This buying activity specifically took place as the promoters of these firms sold off partial stakes in the open market. Triveni Turbine saw its promoters selling over 11.5% stake in Q2, after which FIIs and domestic mutual funds increased their holdings in the company. 

MFs led by Nippon India funds, Mirae asset funds and ICICI Prudential funds picked up 2.9% stake in Gland Pharma. Notably, this company lost over 25% of its value in Q2 on intense selling by foreign and retail investors. The financial stress on its promoter entity, Fosun International, spooked markets. 

Auto OEMs and ancillaries see fresh buying on improved demand and easing chip supply 

Passenger and commercial vehicle makers saw a robust rise in their wholesales in the first two quarters of FY23 on the back of healthy festive demand and easing semiconductor supplies. However, two-wheeler makers are yet to see the sales levels of the pre-covid era. 

Prices of key base metals used in auto manufacturing like steel, aluminium and copper cooled off by 25-35% from the highs of March 2022. Rising sales volumes and lower metal costs helped the margins of auto OEMs and ancillaries. 

Mutual Fund houses picked up stakes in auto majors like Maruti Suzuki and Hero MotoCorp in Q2. In fact, Maruti saw consistent buying from mutual funds between May and September 2022. Fund houses also raised their holdings in auto ancillaries like Bosch, Ceat and Sundaram Fasteners

Small and mid-cap banks and NBFCs attract mutual fund investments in Q2

Banks and NBFCs are the flavour of this season for many investors. The industry saw a strong rise in their advances in both Q1 and Q2 backed by robust traction in retail loans, particularly housing, auto and personal loans. This led to healthy growth in their net interest incomes. The recent interest rate hikes also improved their net interest margins. 

Domestic MFs bought stakes in small and mid-cap banks like Au Small Finance Bank, Federal Bank and RBL Bank. They also raised their stake in NBFCs like Muthoot Finance, IDFC and LIC Housing Finance in Q2. 

Ambitious expansion plans of healthcare players pique MF interest 

Top hospital chains saw their occupancy levels improve steadily from Q4FY22, which was  hit by the omicron wave. Their average revenue per operating bed also saw a healthy rise sequentially as their payer mix improved. But what has caught investor interest is their aggressive expansion plans, which were paused between FY20-22 due to the pandemic. 

Mutual fund houses picked up a 1%+ stake inKIMS, Max Healthcare and Apollo Hospitals in Q2. MFs also bought over 12% stake in Max Healthcare in the past four quarters. These chains plan to expand their bed capacity by 20% in the next three years. 

MFs pour in funds in top hotels and restaurants ahead of the upcoming holiday rush

The hospitality sector saw strong demand in the summer of ’22 and the monsoon months, thanks to leisure travel and an increase in corporate events. The outlook is encouraging for this sector as highlighted by the management of Indian Hotels. The upcoming wedding and holiday season as well as the influx of foreign travellers during the winter months in H2FY23 is set to drive higher topline growth for hotels. 

Mutual funds bought over 1.5% stake in Indian Hotels and EIH in Q2. They also raised holdings in QSR chains like Jubilant Foodworks, Sapphire Foods and Westlife Development, backed by strong consumption trends. 

MFs place bets on general industrials, as capex activity picks up in key sectors

Heavy electrical equipment manufacturers saw strong demand from sectors like railways, mining, data centres, commercial realty, biotechnology and pharma. As a result, most companies saw their order book jump by over 30% YoY at the end of September 2022. 

The outlook for these companies is positive, backed by the government's focus on infrastructure development, the Make-in-India initiatives and 14 PLI schemes approved for encouraging higher private capex. 

Domestic fund houses added on to their stakes in CG Power, Cummins India, Bharat Heavy Electricals and Triveni Turbine in Q2FY23. DSP Funds led the buying activity in CG Power, while Nippon India, Tata Funds and Edelweiss led purchases in BHEL. 

Mutual funds rejig their holdings in the pharma space

Pharma players have seen muted growth in the past few quarters due to intense competition in the US Generics market. The Indian pharma market performed well in comparison. Now that companies are diversifying away from generics and into speciality drugs, hopes are high for this space. 

Mutual funds have cut more than 1% stake in large-cap players like Dr. Reddy’s and Torrent Pharma. On the other hand, they have added to their holdings in mid and small-cap companies like Alkem Labs, Syngene International and Suven Pharma

Mutual funds cut stake in an oil marketing company and consumer durable makers

OMCs like Bharat Petroleum and Hindustan Petroleumsuffered material net losses in the past two quarters. This was on account of negative marketing margins on diesel, as pump prices were not in sync with global levels. Accordingly, mutual funds sold 3% stake in BPCL in Q2. This was led by Nippon India funds, Mirae asset funds, Aditya Birla funds and Franklin India funds. 

Mutual funds also cut their stake in consumer durable players like KEI Industries, Voltas and Orient Electric. Higher inflation has impacted the demand in mass market segments of these companies in the past few quarters. 

MFs reduce holdings in metals and mining companies on reversal of fortunes 

Correction in metal prices and higher input costs led to a substantial contraction in the EBITDA of top steel and aluminium producers in H1FY23. Subdued demand, particularly from China and other developed nations, weighed on the international prices of key metals. 

Seeing the metals cycle heading downwards, mutual funds cut stake in Tata Steel, Hindalco and Vedanta in Q2FY23. The selling activity in Tata Steel was led by SBI mutual funds, Nippon India funds and Kotak funds. 


Screener: Increasing or Decreasing Promoter Holding QoQ

In this edition, we take a look at major stocks which saw over 0.5% QoQ rise or fall in the holdings of their respective promoters in Q2FY23. This screener features 33 stocks from Nifty 500 and 4 stocks from the Nifty 50 index. 

Stocks from industries like cement & cement products, IT consulting & software, healthcare facilities, auto parts & equipment and pharmaceuticals show up in this list. Major stocks in the screener include UNO Minda, ACC, Infosys, Max Healthcare Institute, Sona BLW Precision Forgings and HDFC Asset Management.

Uno Minda’s promoter holding increased the most, by 2.7% QoQ in Q2FY23. Axis Securities believes that the company’s well-diversified product portfolio and increasing electric vehicle kit value will lead to higher wallet share with existing and potential clients. 

ACC saw its promoter holding rise by 2.2% QoQ in Q2FY23. BNP Geojit Paribas believes that the recent reduction in energy prices and a traditional post-monsoon rebound will boost the company’s performance in the upcoming quarters. 

Max Healthcare Institute’s promoter holding fell the most by 26.8% QoQ in Q2FY23. PE firm KKR sold its entire stake in the company for over Rs 9,000 crore via its affiliate, Kayak Investments, in August 2022. 

You can find some popular screeners here.

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The Baseline
25 Nov 2022
Five Interesting Stocks Today
  1. InterGlobe Aviation (Indigo): This airline stock fell 4.9% following its Q2FY23 results as it posted a net loss of Rs 1,435.7 crore. However, the company’s revenue rose by 122.8% YoY to Rs 12,497.6 crore on the back of a 75.9% YoY increase in passengers carried in Q2FY23 (1.9 crore).

Pieter Elber, Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of the company, said, “This is the second consecutive quarter in which we operated at higher than pre-covid capacity. In spite of a seasonally weak quarter, we witnessed relatively good yields with strong demand across the network. However, fuel prices and exchange rates have adversely impacted our financial performance.” The company’s revenue beat Trendlyne’s Forecaster estimates by 10.9%.

Over the past two weeks, the stock rose 10.7% as the airline launched its first freighter aircraft from Mumbai to Delhi on November 15. More recently, Indigo launched 19 connecting flights to Europe under its codeshare partnership with Turkish Airlines on Thursday. The airline will have connecting flights to Portugal and Switzerland through Istanbul.

According to ICICI Securities, domestic demand will continue to rise in the upcoming festive and winter season. International air travel has also demonstrated a strong recovery, which is likely to continue. The company features in a screener of stocks benefiting from lower crude oil prices.

  1. Aarti Industries: This specialty chemicals company was up 2.4% in trade on Monday after it announced a 20-year arrangement for the supply of Nitric Acid worth Rs 8,000 crore with Deepak Nitrite on November 19. Although the stock rose on Monday, it cut its gains and is now trading near its 52-week low of Rs 642.1. The company has underperformed the Chemicals & Petrochemicals sector by 1.8%; its PE ratio TTM (18.6) is below the sector PE ratio.

Post Aarti’s announcement, Anand Rathi maintained its ‘Buy’ rating and revised the target price to Rs 800. The brokerage believes that the agreement with Deepak Nitrite would enable Aarti Industries to focus on growth opportunities and introduce value-added products.

However, the company’s share price has fallen over 50% from its 52-week high after the demerger from its pharma business. Rajendra Gogri, Chairman and Managing Director, said in the earnings call, “This will extensively enhance value for our stakeholders and also help us achieve operational efficiencies.”

KR Choksey maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 841. This indicates a potential upside of 24.2%. The brokerage says that the demerger from Aarti’s pharma business will enable it to pay attention to its core speciality chemicals business.

  1. Medplus Health Services: This healthcare supplies company has risen nearly 15% after its Q2FY23 results announcement. Medplus Health Services’ revenue grew over 20% YoY in Q2 but its net profit fell sharply by 68% due to high overhead costs. But what’s exciting investors could be the pace at which the company is adding new stores. The company is in a phase of rapid expansion. It added 348 stores (net) in Q2FY23, which is 1.5x its usual average. In fact, in the last 12 months, Medplus’s total store count increased by 42%. Management expects sales growth to remain steady as stores mature, and margin pressure to continue in the near term as it maintains 1,000+ store additions in FY23.

The pharmacy segment (both offline and e-commerce) is under intense competition with companies from different industries. While peers like PharmEasy are expanding aggressively in this segment, hospital companies like Apollo Hospital Enterprises and Aster DM Healthcare are also after market share in the pharmacy space. As a result, Medplus’ stock price fell over 35% from its issue price of Rs 796 and hit a lifetime low of Rs 570 on November 10. However, with the Q2 results announcement, MedPlus’ share price recovered, helping it feature in a screener of companies that are classified as overbought by the money flow index (MFI).

Post Q2 results, Nomura and Credit Suisse maintained their ‘Buy’ rating on Medplus and increased their target price. Nomura sees an upside of 60%, while Credit Suisse’s target price implies an upside of 28%. With 33% of the total stores being less than 12 months old, brokerages believe an improvement in margins from these store additions could help ease the margin pressure for Medplus going forward.

  1. One97 Communications (Paytm): It is not a ‘Happy anniversary’ for this internet software company as the stock lost more than 70% of its price value in the last year. Trendlyne’s technicals suggest that Paytm fell over 42% in the last three months alone. While looking at the financials, Paytm’s Q2FY23 results have been encouraging as its net loss narrowed to Rs 588.8 crore in Q2FY23, compared to Rs 628 crore in Q1FY23. Revenue also grew by 10.6% QoQ to Rs 1,490.2 crore, with the most revenue coming in from payment services given to merchants.

What triggered the decline was the end of the lock-in period for pre-IPO investors, which ended on November 15. The first investor to offload a stake in the company was Societe Generale, cutting a 0.06% stake in the company for Rs 23.2 crore in a bulk deal. The stock fell 4% in trade after the deal but the bigger cut was by SVF India Holdings, a subsidiary of Softbank. SVF India sold a 4.5% stake (worth Rs 1,630.8 crore) in Paytm on November 17, which caused the stock to crash more than 10% in trade. It now holds a 12.9% stake in Paytm, compared to 17.4% earlier. Although other funds like BNP Paribas Arbitrage, BofA Securities Europe and Morgan Stanley picked up nearly 2.8% stake in Paytm, the investor sentiment is yet to turn positive on the stock.

To add to this, Macquarie said that Jio Financial Services’ foray into the payment provider space may add to the problems of Paytm. The stock fell 11% on Tuesday on the fresh speculation. Suresh Ganapathy, an analyst at Macquarie, says that although Jio Financial Services has not declared the segments it plans to target, it will be focused on customer and merchant lending. It may prove to be a threat to not only Paytm, but also NBFC players like Bajaj Finance. Trendlyne’s consensus recommendation suggests that six analysts recommend a ‘Buy’ while two recommend a ‘Hold’ and ‘Sell’.

  1. Escorts Kubota: This commercial vehicle manufacturer’s stock rose 8% till Thursday since holding its analyst & investor meet on Friday. The upward price movement enabled this company to show up in a screener for stocks with strong momentum where their prices are above the short, medium, and long-term moving averages.

The positive price movement comes on the back of the street’s healthy business outlook for the company after it unveiled its medium-term business plan. The company aims to increase its revenue 2.5X by FY28 and increase the contribution of its exports towards the revenue to 15-20% from 6.4% in FY22. Overall, the management aims to increase the firm’s revenue by expanding its network and production capacity, gaining market share and increasing exports. The company is targeting the key high-volume export markets of US, Europe, Thailand and Brazil. Another element of the management’s medium-term strategy is to increase its dividend payout and buybacks by using up to 40% of its net profit.

To carry out its medium-term business plans, the management has planned a capex of Rs 4,000 crore. This will be spent on greenfield expansion, repaying the debt of the merged entity, and new product launches. The company plans to build a new manufacturing facility to increase its production capacity of tractors and engines by 76.5% to 3 lakh units by FY28. The management also aims to ramp up its distribution network by 50% from its current network of about 1,400 dealers. Although Escorts Kubota has laid out a positive trajectory for itself, effective execution will be key in realising its growth potential in the coming quarters.

Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movements, analyst calls, or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
25 Nov 2022
Market closes marginally higher, Adani Enterprises to raise Rs 20,000 crore

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed marginally higher after dipping into losses and gains throughout the day. European stocks traded mixed as investors digested the latest German quarterly GDP data, which grew 0.4% QoQ. Major Asian indices closed mixed as investors assessed rising Covid cases in China and its impact on global economy. Tokyo’s core consumer price index rose 3.6% in November, its highest annual pace since 1980. US markets were closed on Thursday on account of Thanksgiving day. Crude oil is set for its third consecutive weekly loss as traders assess price capping on Russian oil by G7 countries and rising Covid cases in China.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green, despite the benchmark index closing marginally higher. Nifty Media and Nifty Auto closed higher than Thursday’s close. Nifty IT closed in the green after rising over 2.6% higher on Thursday.

Nifty 50closed at 18,512.75 (28.7, 0.2%), BSE Sensexclosed at 62,293.64 (21.0, 0.0%) while the broader Nifty 500closed at 15,727.25 (46.5, 0.3%)

Market breadth is in the green. Of the 1,938 stocks traded today, 1,182 were on the uptick, and 697 were down.

  • The Government of India is looking to sell a 5-10% stake in Coal India, Hindustan Zinc and Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizers, according to reports. The proceeds from these stake sales are expected to fund the Centre’s subsidy bill.

  • Adani Enterprises' board of directors approves the raising of funds by way of further public offering through a fresh issue of equity shares aggregating up to Rs 20,000 crore, subject to shareholders' approval.

  • Money Flow Index (MFI) indicates that stocks like NBCC (India), The Fertilisers and Chemicals Travancore, Indoco Remedies and Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizersare in the overbought zone.

  • High-return durable stocks like HCL Technologies, Hindustan Aeronauticsand Kalyan Jewellersgain more than 18% in the past 90 days.

  • ICICI Securities maintains 'Add' rating on Brookfield India REIT with a target price of Rs 318. This indicates a potential upside of 9.6%. The brokerage believes that the company's sponsor right of first offer (RoFO) of 6.4 marginal standing facility (MSF) across Gurugram in NCR and Powai in Mumbai may drive inorganic growth. It expects the company's net profit to grow at a CAGR of 21.8% over FY22-25.

  • Larsen & Toubroand Hindustan Aeronauticshit all-time highsof Rs 2,095.8 and Rs 2,774.95 respectively. Both stocks rise for two consecutive sessions.

  • Hariom Pipe Industries touches a 52-week high of Rs 319.9 as it finishes instalment of a 15-tonne electric melting furnace and begins commercial production today. This will increase the plant’s production to 1.04 lakh MTPA from 95,832 MTPA. It shows up in a screener listing stocks with improving RoCE for the past two years.

  • Nomura is cautious of the share-price rally and downgrades its rating on Siemens to ‘Neutral’ with a target price of Rs 3,008. The brokerage expects order inflow to reduce.
  • Media stocks like Network 18 Media & Investments, TV18 Broadcast, Dish TV India, PVR and Inox Leisure are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty Media is also trading in the green.

  • Investment Advisor Sandip Sabharwal is bullish on tyre stocks as global rubber prices ease. He says that tyre  companies will benefit from a fall in crude oil prices and a correction in rubber prices. Tyre stocks like Balkrishna Industries, MRFApollo Tyres and Ceat are rising in trade today.

  • AstraZeneca Pharma, Fine Organic Industries and Great Eastern Shipping Co report an increase in net profit by more than 2.5X YoY in Q2FY23.

  • Castrol India inks an agreement with Ki Mobility Solutions for acquiring of 7.1% stake for Rs 487.5 crore. Both companies will explore business and technology collaborations under this partnership.

  • Chennai Petroleum Corp and Indian Oil Corp are rising as they sign a joint venture (JV) agreement with seed investors for a refinery and petrochemicals project. The refineries will set up a nine million metric tonne facility in Tamil Nadu. Chennai Petroleum and Indian Oil will hold 25% of equity each in the JV, while the remaining 50% will be held by seed investors.

  • Keynote Capitals initiates coverage on Can Fin Homes with a ‘Buy’ rating and a target price of Rs 670. This indicates an upside of 27.4%. The brokerage has a healthy business outlook for the company given its robust asset quality, healthy growth in loan disbursements and effective risk management. It expects the firm’s loan book to grow 18-20% in the coming quarters and net profit at a CAGR of 17.6% over FY22-24.

  • Saurabh Gupta, Group CFO of Dixon Technologies, expects the company’s revenue to be around Rs 14,000-15,000 crore in FY23. He also expects 35% of revenue to come in from exports.

  • Biocon is rising after its wholly owned subsidiary Biocon Biologics allots shares worth Rs 2,205.6 crore to the company. This takes the holding of Biocon in Biocon Biologics to 88.8% post the allotment of shares.

  • Stocks like Punjab National Bank, Suzlon Energy and IDBI Bank trade above their second resistance or R2 level as the market trades flat.

  • Tata Steel Long Products acquires an additional 4.69 crore shares of its subsidiary Neelachal Ispat Nigam for Rs 300 crore. The stock shows up on a screener for companies with improving cash flow from operations over the past two years.

  • PSU bank stocks like Punjab National Bank, UCO Bank, Punjab & Sind Bank and Indian Overseas Bank are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty PSU Bank is also trading in the green.

  • BofA maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on PVR with a target price of Rs 2,405. The brokerage says that Q3FY23 will be a strong quarter as the pipeline of movie releases is favourable.

  • Lupin is falling after the US FDA issued Form 483 with eight observations each for the drug product and API facility. The inspection was conducted at Lupin’s Mandideep facility in Madhya Pradesh.

  • Punjab National Bank is rising as it receives government nod to divest its entire stake in UTI Asset Management Co. The bank holds a 15.2% stake in UTI Asset Management. It is yet to receive approval from the Securities and Exchange Board of India.

  • WF Asian Smaller Companies Fund buys 1.6 crore shares (2.05% stake) in PB Fintech for Rs 271 crore in a bulk deal. Meanwhile, Capri Global Holdings buys 6.06 lakh shares (0.73% stake) in Fino Payments Bank for Rs 15.6 crore in another bulk deal.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. (81.95, 9.56%), Tata Motors Limited (DVR) (234.70, 9.14%) and PB Fintech Ltd. (460.55, 6.61%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Union Bank of India (76.50, -2.67%), Shriram Transport Finance Company Ltd. (1,280.15, -2.41%) and Bajaj Holdings & Investment Ltd. (6,371.80, -2.29%).

Volume Rockets

33 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Indiabulls Housing Finance Ltd. (138.15, 11.64%), Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. (81.95, 9.56%) and Tata Motors Limited (DVR) (234.70, 9.14%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company Ltd. (452.10, -2.14%), Heidelberg Cement India Ltd. (195.50, -1.16%) and Sapphire Foods India Ltd. (1,330.00, -0.57%).

Sanofi India Ltd. (5,689.50, 3.47%) was trading at 9.9 times of weekly average. EPL Ltd. (161.85, 5.03%) and JM Financial Ltd. (73.45, 3.31%) were trading with volumes 9.5 and 8.7 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

22 stocks overperformed with 52-week highs, while 2 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Aegis Logistics Ltd. (336.20, 1.83%), Bank of Baroda (167.85, -1.50%) and Bank of India (81.80, 0.62%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd. (655.00, -0.68%) and Quess Corp Ltd. (422.85, -0.18%).

24 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Indiabulls Housing Finance Ltd. (138.15, 11.64%) and Gujarat State Petronet Ltd. (278.80, 7.05%). 7 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Adani Transmission Ltd. (2,739.60, -1.84%) and Aptus Value Housing Finance India Ltd. (313.30, -0.52%).

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The Baseline
24 Nov 2022
Chart of the Week: India’s trade deficit grows as merchandise exports fall
By Abdullah Shah

India’s trade deficit widened to $14.6 billion in October 2022, the highest since June 2020. A major reason for this was the 16.7% YoY fall in merchandise exports to $29.8 billion. It was the first such decline in exports in the past 19 months. Demand fell across the US and EU markets, while the festive season in India slowed domestic production. In this edition of chart of the week, we take a look at the merchandise sectors which had the most impact on imports and exports.

The electronic goods sector is the only major sector which saw a rise in exports in October. It grew 37.6% YoY to $1.8 billion. The engineering goods sector fell 21.3% YoY in exports and contributed $7.4 billion (nearly 25%) to  merchandise exports in October. Export of handloom products fell the most by 46.2% YoY to $719 million, while  it was down 11.3% YoY to $4.7 billion for petroleum products. 

Although exports fell, merchandise imports rose by a small margin of 5.7% YoY to $56.7 billion in October. Biggest contributor to this rise in imports was the petroleum, crude & products sector – up 29.1% YoY and contributed $15.9 billion. On the contrary, the gold sector imports fell the most by 27.5% YoY to $3.7 billion, while the electronic goods sector declined 9.2% YoY to $6.2 billion. 

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
24 Nov 2022
Market closes higher, Capri Global Holdings buys 1.59% stake in Fino Payments Bank

Trendlyne Analysis

Indian indices rose sharply during the final hour of the trading session and closed in the green. BSE Sensex touched its life-time high and closed 1.2% higher. European stocks followed the global trend and traded higher than Wednesday's close. Major Asian indices closed in the green, in line with the US indices, which closed higher on Wednesday.

US stocks rose as the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes showed that interest rate hikes may slow down going forward. The S&P 500 index closed 0.6% higher and touched a two-month high while the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 index rose 1%. Brent crude oil futures traded marginally higher after falling over 4% on Wednesday as rising Covid cases in China hurt crude oil demand.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green, following the benchmark index. Nifty FMCG and Nifty Bank closed higher than Wednesday’s close. Nifty IT closed in the green, taking cues from the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100, which closed nearly 1% higher on Thursday.

Nifty 50closed at 18,484.10 (216.9, 1.2%), BSE Sensexclosed at 62,272.68 (762.1, 1.2%) while the broader Nifty 500closed at 15,680.80 (142.7, 0.9%)

Market breadth is in the green. Of the 1,938 stocks traded today, 1,061 were on the uptrend, and 811 went down.

  • Relative strength index (RSI) indicates that stocks like Indian Railway Finance Corp, Union Bank of India, NBCC (India) and IIFL Financeare in the overbought zone.

  • Easy Trip Planners rises in trade after it announces a board meeting on December 1 to consider a proposal on acquisition. The stock shows up in a screener with improving RoA for the past two years.

  • KPI Green Energyis rising as its shareholders will consider the issuance of bonus shares at its board meeting on Wednesday. The company shows up in a screenerlisting stocks with improving book value per share for the past two years.

  • IOL Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals rises as the Centre grants it a patent for developing a safe process to prepare drugs used to treat high blood pressure and heart failure. It shows up in a screener for companies with improving book value per share for the past two years.

  • Aurobindo Pharma and Quess Corp hit their 52-week lows of Rs 456.6 and Rs 423.3 respectively. Aurobindo Pharma falls for seven consecutive sessions, while Quess Corp trades lower for two sessions.

  • Fino Payments Bank is rising after Capri Global Holdings buys a 1.59% stake (13.2 lakh shares) worth Rs 30.2 crore in a bulk deal. The company shows up on a screener with stocks rising more than 20% in the past month.

  • Indian Oil Corp and Chennai Petroleum Corp rise as ICICI Bank plans to invest in the seed equity capital of the proposed joint venture (JV) of the oil corporations. ICICI Bank will hold a 10% stake in the JV. As a seed equity investor, the bank does not have any obligation to fund the future equity requirements of the project.

  • PB Fintech (Policybazaar) is surging in trade as 73.4 lakh shares (1.6% equity) amounting to Rs 295 crore change hands, according to reports.

  • Brokerage firm Ambit recommends a ‘Buy’ rating on Zomato with a target price of Rs 94, indicating an upside of 50%, according to reports. It is optimistic about the company’s growth as Zomato's market share in the food delivery space rose to 55% in H1CY22. The company’s gross merchandise value in food ordering in H1CY22 stands at 56%, beating Swiggy’s 40%. The brokerage expects the entire enterprise (including Blinkit) to turn profitable by FY27.

  • Larsen & Toubro's heavy civil infrastructure business wins an order worth Rs 1,000-2,500 crore from the Greenko Group for the development of an off-stream pumped storage project in Madhya Pradesh.

  • Neeraj Kanwar, Managing Director of Apollo Tyres, says that the company’s volumes rose 9%. He adds that it aims to expand India business margins to 12% as raw material prices ease and new products are introduced in the market.

  • IT consulting & software companies like Persistent Systems, HCL Technologies, Larsen & Toubro Infotech, Infosys and Tech Mahindra are rising in trade. All the constituents of the broader Nifty IT index are trading in the green.

  • Cipla is falling as the US FDA issues an Official Action Indicated (OAI) status to its manufacturing facility in Goa. The OAI status generally means that the regulatory found objectionable conditions during inspections. The US FDA will hold further product approvals for the Goa facility until the observations are resolved.

  • Delhivery is rising as 32.1 lakh shares (0.44% equity) amounting to Rs 104.8 crore change hands, according to reports.

  • ICICI Securities maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on Balkrishna Industries with a target price of Rs 2,479. This implies an upside of 26.5%. The brokerage is positive about the company’s prospects given its lower input costs compared to its peers and its focus on exports. It expects the company’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 16% over FY22-24.

  • Healthcare stocks like Global Health, Apollo Hospitals Enterprise, and Aster DM Healthcare are rising in trade. The broader Healthcare Facilities industry improves by more than 2%.

  • Sugar stocks like Shree Renuka Sugars, EID (Parry) India, Balrampur Chini Mills and Triveni Engineering & Industries are rising in trade. The Indian Sugar Mills Association suggests that the companies will be allowed to export an additional 2-4 million tonnes this season, according to reports. The broader sugar industry is also up by more than 2% in trade.
  • Tata Consumer Products is rising as the company plans to buy Bisleri International for Rs 7,000 crore, according to reports. The company features in a screener of stocks with improving return on capital employed (RoCE) for the past two years.

  • Keystone Realtors’ shares list at a 2.6% premium to the issue price of Rs 541 on its debut on the bourses. The Rs 635 crore IPO was subscribed for 2X the total shares on offer.

  • Glenmark Pharma is falling after the US FDA issued a warning letter to its Goa manufacturing facility. The unit was given an official action indicated (OAI) status after an inspection in May 2022.

  • Polus Global Fund sells a 2.3% stake (53.8 lakh shares) in the recently listed IPO, Inox Green Energy, for Rs 32.9 crore in a bulk deal. Meanwhile, Pilot Consultants picks up a 2.45% stake (57.6 lakh shares) in the company for Rs 34.9 crore in another bulk deal.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include PB Fintech Ltd. (432.00, 7.89%), Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. (30.90, 5.64%) and Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd. (4,815.05, 4.56%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Indian Overseas Bank (22.05, -4.55%), One97 Communications Ltd. (441.10, -2.50%) and Vodafone Idea Ltd. (8.05, -2.42%).

Volume Rockets

35 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included SJVN Ltd. (38.90, 7.31%), Indoco Remedies Ltd. (415.35, 7.19%) and Avanti Feeds Ltd. (391.55, 7.17%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Happiest Minds Technologies Ltd. (941.00, -2.13%), Alembic Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (599.75, -1.73%) and Gillette India Ltd. (5,001.10, -1.46%).

Cera Sanitaryware Ltd. (5,506.25, 2.96%) was trading at 24.4 times of weekly average. Welspun India Ltd. (80.35, 4.96%) and Mangalore Refinery And Petrochemicals Ltd. (56.05, 6.05%) were trading with volumes 12.4 and 11.7 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

20 stocks took off, crossing 52-week highs, while 9 stocks hit their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Aegis Logistics Ltd. (330.15, 0.15%), Bank of Baroda (170.40, 0.92%) and Bank of India (81.30, 2.46%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. (456.30, -0.73%) and Avanti Feeds Ltd. (391.55, 7.17%).

18 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Gujarat State Petronet Ltd. (260.45, 9.50%) and HDFC Life Insurance Company Ltd. (572.55, 4.55%). 6 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Adani Transmission Ltd. (2,790.85, -2.31%) and Aarti Drugs Ltd. (442.30, -2.25%).

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
23 Nov 2022
Market closes flat, Goldman Sachs expects Nifty 50 to reach 20,500-mark by 2023

Trendlyne Analysis

Indian indices closed flat with the Nifty 50 closing below the 18,300 mark. European indices traded higher than Tuesday’s levels. Major Asian indices closed in the green, in line with the US indices, which closed higher on Tuesday. Retail and energy stocks helped US indices to close in the green. The S&P 500 index closed 1.4% higher and touched a two-month high while the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 rose 1.5%. Investors look ahead to the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes to be released later today. Brent crude oil futures trade flat after rising 0.8% on Tuesday as US crude inventory fell by more than expected last week, raising supply concerns.

Nifty Smallcap 100 closed in the green, despite the benchmark index closing flat. Nifty Media and Nifty Bank closed higher than Tuesday’s levels. Nifty IT closed in the red, despite the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100, closing in the green on Tuesday.

Nifty 50closed at 18,267.25 (23.1, 0.1%), BSE Sensexclosed at 61,510.58 (91.6, 0.2%) while the broader Nifty 500closed at 15,538.15 (29.0, 0.2%)

Market breadth is in the green. Of the 1,932 stocks traded today, 1,048 were on the uptrend, and 830 went down.

  • Money Flow Index (MFI) indicates that stocks like Bank of Maharashtra, Union Bank of India, Amara Raja Batteries and NBCC (India) are in the overbought zone.

  • Fertilizer stocks like Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizers, The Fertilisers and Chemicals Travancore, Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals and Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals are rising in trade. The broader sector of fertilizers is also trading in the green.

  • Goldman Sachs expects the Nifty 50 index to reach the 20,500 mark by the end of 2023. It added that RBI’s repo rate could be at 6.75% by February 2023.
  • Trendlyne’s Forecaster Dashboard suggests stocks like Phoenix Mills, Ircon International and Petronet LNG to have the highest capex growth in FY23.

  • Canara Bank and IIFL Finance hit their 52-week highs of Rs 326.3 and Rs 475 respectively. While Canara Bank rises for five consecutive sessions, IIFL Finance trades higher for three sessions.

  • KPIT Technologies rises after announcing that Renault Group selected it as a strategic software scaling partner for its next-generation software-defined vehicle programme. The stock shows up on the screener for companies with revenue increasing sequentially for the past eight quarters.

  • M Anandan, Chairman and Managing Director of Aptus Value Housing Finance, says that the company aims to maintain a 25-30% CAGR in loan growth. He adds that NPAs will be at 1% in the upcoming quarters.

  • Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) rises as it announces a strategic expansion of its cloud communication suite Smartflo with WhatsApp Business Platform to offer enhanced business communication solutions.

  • Aurobindo Pharma is rising as its step-down subsidiary Acrotech Biopharma signs a licensing agreement with Evive Biotech to commercialise Ryzneuta in the US market. The product is used for post-treatment of cancer patients after they go through chemotherapy.

  • BASF India's Managing Director Narayan Krishnamohan and Whole-Time Director Rajesh Naik resign from the company, effective from December 31. The company appoints Alexander Gerding as the Managing Director and Anil Kumar Choudhary as the Whole-time Director, subject to the approval of the shareholders.

  • Trent is rising as 0.2% equity amounting to Rs 100.4 crore change hands in a block deal, according to reports.

  • FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) is falling as Chief Financial Officer Arvind Agarwal resigns from the company to pursue other opportunities in the digital economy and start-up space. His resignation will be effective from November 25.

  • DCW surges after announcing plans to expand the capacity of its Chlorinated Polyvinyl Chloride (CPVC) and Synthetic Iron Oxide Pigment (SIOP) plants to 100%. The company expects to double CPVC production capacity by H2FY24 and increase SIOP capacity utilisation by Q1FY24. It will invest around Rs 125 crore towards this.

  • Lighthouse India Fund sells an additional 0.65% stake (1.8 crore shares) in FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) for Rs 335.7 crore in a bulk deal. Meanwhile, Catalyst Trusteeship sold a 1.56% stake (54 lakh shares) in Max Financial Services worth Rs 344.1 crore in a bulk deal.

  • Citi maintains its ‘Sell’ rating on Vedanta with a target price of Rs 235. This comes after the company’s board announced a third interim dividend for FY23. The brokerage says that dividend yield might be insufficient if there is a fall in commodity prices.
  • Bharti Airtel’s arm Nxtra Data starts construction of its hyper-scale data centre in Kolkata. The company plans to invest Rs 600 crore towards the development and construction of the centre. The stock makes it to the screener for companies with improving cash flow from operations over the past two years.

  • Indian rupee falls to 81.8 from the previous close of 81.67 against the US dollar in early trade today.
  • Anil Gupta, promoter of KEI Industries, sells a 0.2% stake amounting to Rs 32.1 crore in the company. He now holds a 12.4% stake in the company.

  • Inox Green Energy Services’ shares list at a 7.7% discount to the issue price of Rs 65 on its debut on the bourses. The Rs 740 crore IPO was subscribed for 1.5X the total shares on offer.

  • Gland Pharma, Go Fashion (India) and Sumitomo Chemical underperform the Nifty 50 index by more than 15% in the past month post its results.

  • Siemens’ Q4FY22 (financial year followed is October – September) net profit jumps 2X YoY to Rs 652.3 crore. It had exceptional gains of Rs 355 crore from the divestment of its large drives application business by its subsidiary. Revenue rose 10.9% YoY because of an increase in new orders in Q4. The company shows up on the screener listing stocks with high TTM EPS growth.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Punjab National Bank (50.35, 4.46%), InterGlobe Aviation Ltd. (1,893.35, 4.09%) and Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd. (4,605.20, 3.03%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Hindustan Zinc Ltd. (301.05, -5.79%), One97 Communications Ltd. (452.40, -5.12%) and Schaeffler India Ltd. (2,943.00, -3.56%).

Volume Rockets

22 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included RHI Magnesita India Ltd. (795.90, 12.96%), Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizers Ltd. (116.30, 11.51%) and NBCC (India) Ltd. (41.65, 10.48%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Shriram City Union Finance Ltd. (1,992.65, -1.50%) and Siemens Ltd. (2,769.75, -1.20%).

Edelweiss Financial Services Ltd. (63.90, 6.95%) was trading at 16.3 times of weekly average. AstraZeneca Pharma India Ltd. (3,375.10, 3.81%) and Rallis India Ltd. (239.25, 4.32%) were trading with volumes 11.7 and 8.8 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

19 stocks overperformed with 52-week highs, while 15 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Aegis Logistics Ltd. (329.65, 3.34%), Bank of Baroda (168.85, 1.26%) and Bank of India (79.35, -1.37%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Avanti Feeds Ltd. (365.35, -2.91%) and GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (1,300.00, -0.68%).

11 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Sun Pharma Advanced Research Company Ltd. (253.60, 4.36%) and InterGlobe Aviation Ltd. (1,893.35, 4.09%). 3 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Thermax Ltd. (2,076.00, -2.56%) and L&T Technology Services Ltd. (3,815.60, -1.04%).