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The Baseline
27 Dec 2022
Five analyst picks as India benefits from China plus One
By Suhas Reddy
  1. Sheela Foam: ICICI Direct maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this foam manufacturer with a target price of Rs 1,650. This indicates an upside of 27.4%. Analysts Sanjay Manyal, Hitesh Taunk and Ashwi Bhansali expect the Indian mattresses industry to grow at a CAGR of 12% over FY22-26. They see organised firms like Sheela Foam “gaining market share through new product launches and strong balance sheet conditions”. The analysts are also positive about the company’s plan to capitalise on the China Plus One strategy to increase its exports to US markets. 

Manyal, Taunk and Bhansali believe the recent order win to supply foam to Indian Railways and the revival in demand for automobiles bode well for the firm’s foam business vertical. The company has planned a capex of Rs 350 crore for the next two years to expand manufacturing capacity by 23%. The analysts anticipate that Sheela Foam’s net profit will grow at a CAGR of 22% over FY22-24.  

  1. NOCIL: Motilal Oswal keeps its ‘Buy’ rating on this specialty chemicals company with a target price of Rs 283, implying an upside of 22.5%. Analysts Swarnendu Bhushan and Rohit Rajendra Thorat believe the company will gain market share in the coming quarters on the back of new product launches and debottlenecking. “NOCIL currently has 5-6% of the global market share in the rubber chemicals space and looks to grow this to a double-digit figure,” they added. The analysts think the company will likely benefit from the China Plus One and Europe Plus One strategies. 

Bhushan and Thorat write that the management expects the export market to improve, as latex demand has bottomed out. They also expect an improvement in margins on the back of declining commodity costs. The analysts estimate NOCIL’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 16.2% over FY22-24.

  1. Dr. Reddy's Laboratories: Sharekhan maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this pharmaceutical giant with a target price of Rs 5,460, indicating an upside of 28.5%. Analysts at Sharekhan are positive about the company’s prospects due to robust growth in its US market segment after the launch of gRevlimid in limited quantities. They also write that “the launch will continue to help it grow profitably strong over the next two quarters and continue to gain from the sales of gRevlimid in a limited quantity until FY26''. The firm also launched six new products in the US, they added. 

The analysts believe Dr. Reddy’s strong product pipeline gives them healthy revenue growth visibility over FY23-25. They add that the company is also banking on the Indian market to drive growth as they plan to launch 15-20 new products. The analysts expect the firm’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 14.4% over FY22-25.  

  1. Narayana Hrudayalaya: Prabhudas Lilladher maintains a ‘Buy’ call on this multi-speciality hospitals chain with a target price of Rs 920, indicating an upside of 21.5%. Analysts Param Desai and Sanketa Kohale say, “Narayana Hrudayalaya’s profitability across India and Cayman was strong in H1FY23 (up 44% YoY) and we expect this growth momentum to sustain.” 

Desai and Kohale believe “faster ramp up in the new Cayman unit will be key”. After reopening tourism, Cayman’s business has shown strong growth, and volumes continue to remain healthy. The company’s management is confident of the sustainability of current profitability, and analysts also expect the current quarterly run-rate of $10-12 million EBITDA to sustain.

The management has guided a capex of Rs 1,000 crore annually in FY23 and FY24. Meanwhile, the analysts say that “the capex spend would be towards its core and high performing regions such as Bangalore, Kolkata and Cayman”, which they say will enhance growth visibility. Desai and Kohale expect an EBITDA CAGR of 22% over FY22-25.

  1. Hindalco Industries: Axis Direct recommends a ‘Buy’ call on this aluminium manufacturer with a target price of Rs 502. This indicates an upside of 13.3%. The production cost of aluminium increased by 20% QoQ in Q2FY23 due to higher energy costs but the management expects ease in coal prices and supply to guide a 2-5% decrease in Q3FY23. The analysts at Axis Direct expect Hindalco’s arm Novelis’ EBITDA per tonne to inch up to $525 by the end of FY23 from $514 in Q2FY23. 

The management stated that they will pace the growth capex with cash flows to keep net debt/EBITDA within 2.5x at Novelis. The analysts write, “Hindalco is a defensive play backed by stable cash flows and lower operational and financial leverage”. They conclude, “Aluminium is expected to find support from peaking of the US dollar and China easing its Zero Covid policy.”

Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.

(You can find all analyst picks here)

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
27 Dec 2022
Market closes higher, Radiant Cash Management’s IPO gets bids for 46% of total shares

Trendlyne Analysis

Indian indices closed in the green with the Nifty 50 closing above the 18,100 mark. European stocks traded higher than their previous closing levels. India’s forex reserves fall after rising for five straight weeks. Foreign exchange reserves fall by $ 571 million to $ 563.5 billion in the week ending December 16. Major Asian indices trade in the green, taking cues from the US indices’ futures, which are trading higher. Several global markets were closed due holiday on Monday. Crude oil prices traded marginally higher as traders continue to weigh the falling demand in China due to rising Covid cases with supply concerns in the US.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green, following the benchmark index. Nifty Metal and Nifty Auto closed higher than Monday’s levels. Nifty IT closed in the green, taking cues from the Nasdaq 100 futures, which is trading higher.

Nifty 50 closed at 18,132.30 (117.7, 0.7%) , BSE Sensex closed at 60,927.43 (361.0, 0.6%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 15,418.35 (119.8, 0.8%)

Market breadth is ticking up strongly. Of the 1,933 stocks traded today, 1,493 showed gains, and 398 showed losses.

  • Relative strength index(RSI) indicates that Abbott Indiais in the overbought zone.

  • The Central government is considering removing the 2.5% basic customs duty on manganese and chrome ores. It will help steel plants deal with the supply shortage of raw materials. The Nifty Metal index rises 4.2% in trade today.

  • Axis Direct maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on JK Cement with a target price of Rs 3,350. This indicates an upside of 10.9%. The brokerage believes the firm’s acquisition of Acro Paint will enable it to expand its product portfolio and market footprint in the coming quarters. It expects the company to leverage its robust dealer network and strong market presence to augment the paint segment. The brokerage anticipates the company’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 22.6%.

  • Larsen & Toubro is rising as its power & transmission business wins multiple orders worth Rs 1,000-2,500 crore. In India, the company gets orders to build a 90 MW floating solar photovoltaic plant at the Omkareshwar dam in Madhya Pradesh and develop distribution infrastructure in Uttar Pradesh. In the international market, the projects involve the development of transmission lines and a substation.

  • Radiant Cash Management’s Rs 387.9 crore IPO gets bids for 46% of the available 2.7 crore shares on offer on the last day of bidding. The retail investor quota gets bids for 20% of the available 1.37 crore shares on offer.

  • Capacit’e Infraprojects is rising after winning a repeat order worth Rs 625 crore from the Saifee Burhani Upliftment Trust. The project is for the construction of core and shell work in Mumbai. The company shows up in a screener of stocks with improving cash flow and a strong durability score.

  • Analysts are bullish on ICICI Bank, Larsen & Toubro and Mahindra & Mahindra with a broker recommendation consensus of 'Strong Buy' on each of the stocks.

  • Fertilizers, Cement & Construction and Metals & Mining sectors rise more than 30% in the past 180 days.

  • Motilal Oswal initiates coverage on Poonawalla Fincorp with a 'Buy' rating and a target price of Rs 350. This indicates a potential upside of 42%. The brokerage believes that the company will earn from its fee income and operating cost ratios and improve return on equity (RoE). It estimates the company's asset under management (AUM) to grow at a CAGR of 37% over FY22-25.

  • Central Bank of India acquires the remaining 35.6% stake in Cent Bank Home Finance from the National Housing Bank, Specified Undertaking of Unit Trust of India and HUDC.

  • Deepak Fertilisers & Petrochemicals Corp falls in a volatile market today. However, the stock ranks high in Trendlyne Checklist, Durability and Valuation scores. The stock is trading below its historical averages and is in the PE Buy Zone.

  • Sugar stocks like Uttam Sugar Mills, Dhampur Bio Organics, Shree Renuka Sugars and Triveni Engineering & Industries are rising in trade in anticipation of an increase in export quota by the Centre.

  • Venkatraman Narayanan, Managing Director and Chief Financial Officer (CFO) of Happiest Minds Tech, says that there will be a marginal reduction in revenue in Q3FY23 owing to fewer working days. The company is on track to meet its revenue guidance of 25% for FY23 and long-term margin guidance of 22-24%.

  • Time Technoplast surges as it receives repeat order worth approx Rs 75 crore from Adani Total Gas for the supply of CNG cascades made from type-IV composite cylinders. The delivery of the cascades will begin in January 2023.

  • Laurus Labs is falling after announcing that a flash fire occurred in its API manufacturing plant in Visakhapatnam, Andhra Pradesh. Four employees die in the fire incident and one is undergoing treatment. The company estimates no material impact on its operations.

  • Metal stocks like National Aluminium, Jindal Steel & Power, Hindustan Copper and Steel Authority of India (SAIL) are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty Metal is also trading in the green.

  • Rohan Verma, CEO of MapmyIndia, says that the core business margin stands at 55%, and the company continues to invest in future growth opportunities. It plans to cut down marketing expenses to meet its goals in FY23.

  • Oil exploration & production and refineries stocks rise as brent crude inches towards the $85 mark. Stocks like Oil and Natural Gas Corp, Oil India, Mangalore Refinery and Petroleum are trading in the green.

  • Noida Authority sends a notice to DLF to pay Rs 325 crore as compensation to the owner of the land where the Mall of India is constructed. The company, however, is waiting to receive a communication from the authorities. The stock is trading flat in a rising market.

  • NTPC signs an MoU with Tecnimont, the Indian arm of Italy-based Maire Tecnimont Group, to evaluate and explore the possibility of commercial-scale green methanol production in India. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with improving cash flow from operations for the past two years.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Jindal Steel & Power Ltd. (575.95, 9.01%), Indian Overseas Bank (33.30, 6.73%) and Hindalco Industries Ltd. (471.00, 6.33%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Varun Beverages Ltd. (1,318.90, -2.50%), Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Ltd. (338.45, -1.87%) and Laurus Labs Ltd. (374.70, -1.85%).

Volume Shockers

10 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included KIOCL Ltd. (212.60, 10.38%), Jindal Steel & Power Ltd. (575.95, 9.01%) and CCL Products India Ltd. (561.65, 8.45%).

TTK Prestige Ltd. (817.30, 6.56%) was trading at 26.4 times of weekly average. Privi Speciality Chemicals Ltd. (1,171.90, 8.00%) and HEG Ltd. (1,041.25, 8.11%) were trading with volumes 9.2 and 8.7 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

2 stocks overperformed with 52 week highs, while 1 stock hit their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - CCL Products India Ltd. (561.65, 8.45%) and Jindal Steel & Power Ltd. (575.95, 9.01%).

Stock making new 52 weeks lows included - Laurus Labs Ltd. (374.70, -1.85%).

45 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including KIOCL Ltd. (212.60, 10.38%) and Hindalco Industries Ltd. (471.00, 6.33%). 7 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Ajanta Pharma Ltd. (1,165.35, -1.77%) and Jubilant Pharmova Ltd. (376.70, -0.91%).

Stocks that have performed consistently and have strong financial health both short and long term, with some technical momentum
Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
26 Dec 2022
Market closes higher, Radiant Cash Management’s IPO gets bids for 6% of total shares

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 rose over 200 points and closed above the key 18,000 mark. Major Asian indices aslo closed higher, in line with the US indices, which closed in the green on Friday. However, despite closing higher on Friday, all three major US indices are set to post their biggest yearly losses since the 2008 global financial crisis. On Friday, the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 closed 0.3% higher while the Dow Jones rose 0.5%. Brent crude oil futures rose over 2.5% on Friday and closed in the green for a third straight trading session.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green, following the benchmark index. Nifty Media and Nifty Bank closed higher than Friday’s levels. Nifty IT closed higher, taking cues from the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100, which closed in the green on Friday.

Nifty 50closed at 18,014.60 (207.8, 1.2%), BSE Sensexclosed at 60,566.42 (721.1, 1.2%) while the broader Nifty 500closed at 15,298.55 (252.6, 1.7%)

Market breadth is overwhelmingly positive. Of the 1,980 stocks traded today, 1,703 were on the uptrend, and 242 went down.

  • Nifty 50sees a short covering in its December 29 future series as its open interest falls 9.2% with a put-call ratio of 0.97.

  • Crude oil prices rise as Russia plans to cut oil exports by 5-7% in the early phase of 2023 on the back of sanctions by Western nations. Other commodities like copper and zinc also see a rise in prices, while aluminium prices fall.

  • Easy Trip Planners is up more than 15% in trade today. The company recently announced a programme for its elite shareholders where they can gain benefits from its referral scheme. It shows up in a screener of stocks with increasing revenue for the past two quarters.

  • Voltasand Aurobindo Pharma hit their 52-week lows of Rs 770 and Rs 434.4 respectively. Voltas falls for five consecutive sessions, while Aurobindo Pharma trades lower for three.

  • Public sector banks like Indian Overseas Bank, Union Bank of India, Bank of India, Bank of Maharashtra and Punjab National Bank are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty PSU Bank is also trading in the green.

  • Radiant Cash Management’s Rs 387.9 crore IPO gets bids for 6% of the available 2.7 crore shares on offer on the second day of bidding. The retail investor quota gets bids for 9% of the available 1.37 crore shares on offer.

  • Voltas touched a 52-week low of Rs 770 before bouncing back to trade in the green. The company shows up in a screener of stocks with falling RoCE in the past two years. The stock has a durability score of 60, with 14 analysts recommending a ‘Hold’.

  • Managing Director of MTAR Technologies, Parvat Srinivas Reddy, says that the company's order book stands close to Rs 1,300 crore and expects more order inflow from the defence, nuclear and aerospace segments. The company is on track to meet its guidance for FY23 with revenue growth of 50% YoY and EBITDA growth of 30% YoY.

  • Tata Motors is rising as its subsidiary TML CV Mobility Solutions signs an agreement with the Delhi Transport Corp to supply and operate 1,500 electric buses for 12 years in New Delhi. The company shows up in a screener for stocks in which FIIs have increased their shareholding.

  • Private equity firm Advent International agrees to buy a 50% stake in Suven Pharmaceutical from its promoters, Jasti family. The deal value is nearly Rs 6,313 crore. The company has also announced an open offer of 6.6 crore equity shares (26% stake) worth Rs 3,276 crore.

  • Power Mech Projects wins orders for the execution of retrofitting of flue gas desulphurisation system from Adani Group, setting up of wagon repair workshop at Kazipet, Telangana, from its joint venture with Taikisha, and providing operation and maintenance services at Dangote petroleum refinery and petrochemicals project in Nigeria. The three orders are worth Rs 1,034.13 crore in total.

  • ICICI Direct maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on IndusInd Bank with a target price of Rs 1,450. This indicates an upside of 23%. The brokerage believes that the bank is well-placed to capitalise on the continued traction in credit demand, given its focus on high-yielding segments, moderation in provisions, steady disbursement growth and moderation in slippages. It expects the company’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 34% over FY22-24.

  • Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of CSB Bank, Pralay Mondal, says that the bank has seen a rise in the gold loan financing business over the past nine months. He adds that there are no risk bets on gold loans, and non-performing assets (NPAs) are almost zero.

  • Realty stocks like Indiabulls Real Estate, Sobha, Prestige Estates Projects and Sunteck Realty are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty Realty is also trading in the green.
  • Inox Green is rising as it is set to acquire a majority stake in an independent operations & maintenance wind service provider with a fleet of over 230 MW, which mostly operates in South India. The company believes this acquisition will enable it to rapidly expand its footprint in India.

  • Welspun Corp is rising as the company commissions a coke plant in Anjar, Gujarat, through the company's subsidiary, Welspun Metallics. The plant will have a capacity of 2.1 lakh MT per annum of coke, which will be used in the blast furnace to manufacture hot metal.

  • Larsen & Toubro's arm L&T Construction wins orders worth Rs 1,000-2,500 crore from the Tumakuru Industrial Township under the Chennai-Bengaluru Industrial Corridor and repeat orders from the Tamil Nadu Water Supply and Drainage Board, Government of Tamil Nadu.

  • Textile stocks like KPR Mill, Trident and Raymond are rising in trade as the ban on Xinjiang cotton increases the presence of Indian spinners in foreign markets, say reports. Indian textile mills' market share rises in the US and they will benefit when the free trade agreement (FTA) takes effect.

  • Max Ventures Investment Holdings, promoter of Max Financial Services, sells a 1.71% stake and now holds 11.3% in the company.

  • Alkem Labs sells an 8% stake in its subsidiary Enzene Biosciences to Eight Roads Ventures and F-Prime Capital Partners Life Sciences. The value of the transaction is Rs 161.48 crore.

  • National Company Law Appellate Tribunal upholds Competition Commission of India’s order to impose a penalty of Rs 751.8 crore on United Breweries on the grounds of cartelization. United Breweries, Carlsberg India and All India Brewers’ Association were charged with anti-competitive conduct, coordinating the prices and regulating the supply of beer.

  • SJVN wins an order from Solar Energy Corp of India to build and operate a wind power project of 100 MW. The project cost will be Rs 700 crore and executed through SJVN’s subsidiary SJVN Green Energy. The stock shows up in a screener with high momentum score.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Indian Overseas Bank (31.20, 19.08%), Union Bank of India (80.25, 18.80%) and Bank of India (87.45, 12.98%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Dr. Lal Pathlabs Ltd. (2,278.55, -2.87%), Cipla Ltd. (1,096.50, -2.02%) and Divi's Laboratories Ltd. (3,428.80, -1.99%).

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

21 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52-week lows.

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. (437.20, -0.07%) and DCM Shriram Ltd. (840.10, -2.21%).

34 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Easy Trip Planners Ltd. (54.65, 19.98%) and Poonawalla Fincorp Ltd. (280.45, 13.96%). 24 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Suven Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (472.40, -4.77%) and Ajanta Pharma Ltd. (1,186.40, -4.35%).

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The Baseline
23 Dec 2022
Five Interesting Stocks Today
  1. Shyam Metalics and Energy: This metals and mining company’s share price rose over 9% intraday on Wednesday after it announced the acquisition of Mittal Corp, paving its entry into the stainless steel business. However, on Thursday, the stock settled 2.1% lower following weakness in the market.

With Mittal Corp’s acquisition, Shyam Metalics aims to expand its existing 8.85 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) production capacity to 14.45 MTPA. With the rise in share price in reaction to the news, the company made it into a screener of stocks with RSI indicating price strength. However, looking at longer-term performance, the stock price has lost over 10% year-to-date. This could be due to the company’s net profit falling YoY for the past two quarters.

Speaking about the Mittal Corp deal, vice-chairman and managing director Brij Bhusan Agarwal said, “The acquisition cost is about Rs 450 crore and it will enable us to foray into stainless steel and special products, such as defence materials.” The management added that the company plans to further invest Rs 7,500 crore over the next five years to meet organic and inorganic growth plans. According to Trendlyne’s Forecaster estimates, Shyam Metalics’ capex is expected to rise 43.6% in FY23 to Rs 1,900 crore.

This metal company comes under “strong performer, under radar” in Trendlyne’s DVM classification. Strong Performer, Under Radar stocks are companies with high durability and valuation scores (above 50-55) and midrange momentum.

  1. Finolex Industries: This plastic products manufacturer rose 15.8% over the past month, outperforming its industry by 12.2% in the same period. This uptrend comes on the back of rising demand for pipes driven by the irrigation, water supply and sanitation segments amid falling commodity prices. The management expects demand across segments to improve in the coming quarters as raw material costs decline. It believes the firm is well positioned to capitalise on the rise in demand, given its backward integration operations. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with improving RoA over the past two years. It also has a consensus recommendation of a ‘Buy’, according to Trendlyne’s Forecaster.

In Q2FY23, the firm posted a loss of Rs 95.4 crore due to a fall in PVC (Polyvinyl Chloride) resin prices against its high-priced inventory of raw materials and finished goods. The management expects margins to be under pressure in Q3FY23 due to high inventory costs. However, it expects to withstand the pressure given its robust balance sheet and positive cash flows. On the other hand, declining raw material costs led to lower pricing in Q2, which drove the rise in demand. The company’s sales volume rose as the pipes & fittings segment’s volume rose 7% YoY and resin sales volume increased 4% YoY.

The Indian piping industry is expected to benefit from the Centre increasing allocation toward infrastructure development and various water supply schemes, according to reports. The management is optimistic about the demand environment for pipes due to favourable government policies and initiatives. 

  1. Indian Hotels Company: This hotel company fell over 4% in trade on Wednesday and 8.7% in the past week, taking cues from the broader markets. However, Motilal Oswal is bullish on the company and recommends a  ‘Buy’ rating with a target price of Rs 390. The brokerage expects Indian Hotels’ new brands Ama Stays, Qmin and Chambers to scale up rapidly and contribute 26% of the company’s operating profits by FY25. The brokerage adds that the strong demand momentum witnessed in FY22 will continue in the next few years, FY23-25E.

Recently, Puneet Chhatwal, Managing Director and CEO of Indian Hotels, said the company was well poised to deliver stronger growth in H2FY23 and on track to achieving the targets set under its new strategy. The company launched a new strategy called Ahvaan 2025 in May this year. It aims to build a portfolio of 300 hotels and post a  33% EBITDA margin with 35% EBITDA share contribution from new brands and management contracts by FY25-26.

ICICI Securities is also positive about the company and retained its ‘Add’ rating. It expects demand momentum to sustain in Q3FY23 as well, with strong leisure and business travel. The company, as a result, features in a screener where brokers upgraded recommendations or target prices in the past three months.

  1. Balrampur Chini Mills: This sugar stock surged more than 3.5% in trade on Tuesday after the central government reduced GST on ethanol to 5% from 18%. This move comes as a boost to the government’s target to double ethanol blending with petrol to 20% by the end of 2023. And sugar companies are not complaining.

Balrampur Chini rose 11% in the past month alone and shows up in a screener of stocks giving consistently high returns for the past five years. The sugar industry rose 6.2% in the past month. The stock is also showing strong momentum and is trading above its short, medium and long-term averages.

The good news for sugar stocks does not end here. The Centre is mulling the possibility of increasing the export quota for sugar from January 2023. This will boost earnings for sugar companies in the coming quarters. On Monday, Balrampur Chini Mills also announced the commencement of commercial production of industrial alcohol with an additional capacity of 170 kilolitres per day (KLPD) at the Balrampur unit. The total distillation capacity of the company now stands at 1,050 KLPD. Systematix gives a ‘Buy’ recommendation on the stock, betting that the company will improve its sugarcane yield and increase its ethanol capacity.

The Centre’s production target for sugar is 4.1 crore tonnes in 2022-23, which is a 5% increase from the 2021-22 cycle. However, Reuters reported that India’s output for sugar is likely to fall by 7% in the ongoing marketing cycle (the marketing cycle for sugar begins in October). This is because adverse weather conditions may disrupt sugarcane yield. Low output may affect exports and global sugar prices.

  1. JSW Steel: This metal stock rose more than 30% in trade in the past six months and recovered 42% from its 52-week low. The broader index Nifty Metal also surged 38% in the past six months. Metal stocks have been riding high because of a fall in coking coal prices and the removal of export duty on steel.

Coking coal prices play an important role here as 85% of demand is met through imports and a reduction signals lower costs for the company. In Q2FY23, raw material costs shot up 92.7% YoY to Rs 23,757 crore and the company reported a net loss of Rs 848 crore.

JSW Steel also recently finished a capacity expansion project at its Dolvi plant. The expansion plans were announced in Q3FY22 and the company was able to complete the project within a year. Also, the integration of Bhushan Power and Steel Company has proved to be beneficial as JSW Steel’s crude steel production rose 16% YoY to 1.69 MTPA in November. The company further plans to expand its capacity to 37 MTPA by FY25, from its current capacity of 27 MTPA. The stock shows up in a screener of stocks with improving RoA, RoE and RoCE in the past two years.

All this sounds good for JSW Steel, but risks to growth remain. In recent brokerage calls, Nomura and BOB Caps gave ‘Reduce’ and ‘Hold’ ratings for the stock. BOB Caps reduced its target price by 13% to Rs 650. Analysts believe that capacity expansion may be a good move for the company, but demand needs to improve at an equal pace. Hopefully, as China reopens its economy and scraps the ‘Zero Covid Policy’, industrial activity will improve in the coming months, boosting global demand. However, China’s PMI index fell to 48 in November from 49.2 in October (PMI index below 50 indicates a contraction in manufacturing activity), and streets are reportedly deserted across major cities as Covid rips through the population. 

Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movements, analyst calls, or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
23 Dec 2022
Market closes lower, Spandana Sphoorty's board approves sale of stressed loans worth Rs 323.1 crore

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 fell over 300 points and closed below its 100-day simple moving average with the volatility index, India VIX, rising sharply. European induced traded above Thursday’s levels. However, major Asian indices closed in the red, in line with the US indices, which closed lower on Thursday. US indices fell as better-than-expected US economic data supported the US Fed’s case for more ongoing rate increases. The tech-heavy Nasdaq index fell 2.5% led by heavyweights Tesla and Nvidia which declined over 7%. Tesla has lost over 33% in December and is on course for its worst-ever month. Brent crude oil futures traded higher after giving up its gains and closing flat on Thursday.

Nifty Midcap 100and Nifty Smallcap 100 closed deep in the red, following the benchmark index. Nifty Autoand Nifty Bank closed lower than Thursday’s levels. Nifty IT closed in the red, taking cues from the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100, which closed deep in the red on Thursday.

Nifty 50closed at 17,806.80 (-320.6, -1.8%), BSE Sensexclosed at 59,845.29 (-980.9, -1.6%) while the broader Nifty 500closed at 15,046.00 (-385.5, -2.5%)

Market breadth is overwhelmingly negative. Of the 1,948 stocks traded today, 129 were in the positive territory and 1,809 were negative.

  • Gujarat GasbeatsIndraprastha Gasin YoY & QoQ net profit growth, MF holdings and annual RoE & RoCE. But lags in YoY & QoQ revenue growth and broker average target upside.

  • Hardware technology and equipment, telecommunications equipmentand forest materialssectors fall by more than 11% over the week.

  • According to Trendlyne's FII dashboard, foreign institutional investors pulled out a total of Rs 156.2 crore from the equity market over the past week. However, index options received the highest inflow of Rs 21,689.4 crore from foreign investors.

  • Realty company Brigade Enterprises is rising in a weak market. The company shows up in a screener of stocks with improving cash flow from operations for the past two years. Trendlyne’s consensus recommendation from 10 analysts on the stock is ‘Buy’.

  • Goldman Sacs maintains its ‘Neutral’ rating on Bandhan Bank with a target price of Rs 297. The brokerage expects an RoE of 20% and an RoA of 2.7% during FY23-25. The bank's pre-provisioning operating profit (PPOP) is likely to grow 14% CAGR over FY22-25.

  • Spandana Sphoorty's board of directors approves the sale of its stressed loans worth Rs 323.1 crore to an asset reconstruction company (ARC). The company receives a binding bid of Rs 95 crore from an undisclosed ARC.

  • Indus Towers appoints Prachur Sah as Additional Director as well as Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Company with effect from January 3 for a period of five years, subject to the approval of shareholders.

  • India's FII inflows improve to $1.1 billion in December. The capital goods sector gets the highest inflow of $395 million, while the energy sector sees the largest outflow of $270 million.

  • Vedanta gets intimation from the Directorate of Mines & Geology, government of Goa, that it has been declared as the preferred bidder in the e-auction of Block-1 Bicholim mineral block. The mineral block has resources of 84.9 million tonnes.

  • Fertilizers stocks like Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals, Gujarat State Fertilizer & Chemicals and The Fertilisers and Chemicals Travancore are trading lower as reports suggest officials are considering cutting the fertilizer subsidy for FY24 to reduce fiscal pressure.

  • Metal stocks like Hindalco Industries, Tata Steel and National Aluminium fall more than 3% in trade. All constituents of the broader Nifty Metal index are trading in the red.

  • Kishor Patil, Co-founder, CEO and MD of KPIT Technologies, says that the company maintains a revenue growth guidance of 31-32% and margin guidance of 18-19% for FY23. The stock is down by over 5% in trade today.

  • ICICI Sec maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on Jubilant Foodworks with a target price of Rs 720, indicating an upside of 38.2%. The brokerage expects the company to make market share gains in the coming quarters given its focus on customer convenience, reducing delivery time and superior execution. It estimates the firm’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 20.9% over FY22-24.

  • PSU Bank stocks like UCO Bank, Indian Overseas Bank, Central Bank of India and Bank of Maharashtra are falling in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty PSU Bank is also trading in the red.

  • Jefferies initiates coverage on Global Health (Medanta) with a ‘Buy’ rating and a target price of Rs 550. The brokerage says that the healthcare provider has strong brand equity among its customers.
  • RailTel Corp of India bags a contract worth Rs 98.6 crore from Webel Technology. The order pertains to enhancing the capacity of the West Bengal State Data Centre in Monibhandar, Kolkata. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with book value per share improving over the past two years.

  • Abans Holdings’ shares list at a 1.1% premium to the issue price of Rs 270 on its debut on the bourses. The 345.6 crore IPO was subscribed for 1.1X the total shares on offer.

  • Landmark Cars’ shares list at a 6.9% discount to the issue price of Rs 506 on its debut on the bourses. The 552 crore IPO was subscribed for 3.06X the total shares on offer.

  • Rail Vikas Nigam wins an order worth Rs 198.93 crore from Gujarat Metro Rail Corp for the construction of Bhesan depot cum workshop.

  • Godrej Properties signs an agreement to develop premium residential projects in Gurugram on a 14.27-acre land. The estimated revenue from this project is nearly Rs 3,000 crore. Gaurav Pandey, MD & CEO of Godrej Properties, says, "This project will allow us to increase our market share in Gurugram over the next several years and deepen our presence across key real estate micro-markets."

  • Reliance Industries' arm Reliance Strategic Business Ventures acquiresa 23.3% stake in the US-based robotics company, Exyn Technologies, for $25 million (approximately Rs 206.8 crore). Another subsidiary of the company, Reliance Projects and Property Management Services acquiresa 100% stake in Reliance Infratel for Rs 3,720 crore. Through this deal, the company will acquire 43,000 mobile towers across the country.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Procter & Gamble Hygiene & Healthcare Ltd. (14,140.00, 1.03%), Vedant Fashions Ltd. (1,310.00, 1.02%) and Syngene International Ltd. (575.30, 0.10%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Indian Overseas Bank (26.20, -14.66%), Union Bank of India (67.55, -11.29%) and General Insurance Corporation of India (156.00, -11.21%).

Volume Shockers

9 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Shilpa Medicare Ltd. (288.90, 7.74%), Brigade Enterprises Ltd. (471.20, 3.95%) and Suven Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (496.05, 2.57%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were AstraZeneca Pharma India Ltd. (3,304.00, -3.22%), Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Ltd. (436.50, -3.12%) and Motherson Sumi Wiring India Ltd. (55.90, -2.61%).

Granules India Ltd. (328.35, 0.34%) was trading at 4.4 times of weekly average. Lupin Ltd. (756.75, -1.25%) and Aarti Drugs Ltd. (455.05, 1.78%) were trading with volumes 3.8 and 3.6 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

1 stock hit its 52-week high, while 31 stocks hit their 52-week lows.

Stock touching their year highs included - Abbott India Ltd. (21,797.25, -0.21%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Greaves Cotton Ltd. (126.15, -4.47%) and Havells India Ltd. (1,100.00, -3.36%).

3 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Suven Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (496.05, 2.57%) and Ajanta Pharma Ltd. (1,235.00, 0.62%). 71 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Infibeam Avenues Ltd. (14.65, -11.75%) and Easy Trip Planners Ltd. (45.55, -10.77%).

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The Baseline
22 Dec 2022
Portfolio X-Ray: Ashish Kacholia has an eye for smallcap and midcap winners
By Abhiraj Panchal

Ashish Kacholia is known in the industry for his skill in picking small and midcap winners. He started his career in Prime Securities, and later moved to Edelweiss. He co-founded Hungama Digital with Rakesh Jhunjhunwala and now serves as a board member. He started his own company Lucky Securities in 2003. Kacholia holds a Bachelor's degree in Production Engineering and a Master's in Management Studies. 

Kacholia primarily invests in small-cap and a few mid-cap companies, and has an uncanny eye for finding potential multibagger stocks.  His net worth in Q2FY23 was Rs 1,772 crore, and he publicly holds stakes in 40 stocks, of which 37 are small-cap companies.

Best-performing companies in Kacholia’s portfolio are Beta Drugs, Safari Industries (India) and Carysil. The price of Beta Drugs has increased 573.4% since he added it to his portfolio in Q4FY19. He currently owns a 5.7% stake in the pharma company. 

Kacholia bought stakes in  Safari Industries (India) and Carysil in Q4FY20 and Q3FY16 respectively. Their stock prices have also risen by 328.4% and 276.3%respectively since the purchase. The investor booked profits on Mastek (bought in Q2FY19), Vishnu Chemicals (bought in Q3FY16) and Mold-Tek Packaging (bought in Q1FY18) before cutting his stake to below 1% in Q2FY23, as they started to hurt the portfolio holding value. The prices of these companies rose by 271.6%, 353.4% and 191.9% respectively till Q2FY23, since the time of purchase.

The worst-performing stocks in Kacholia’s portfolio are IOL Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals and  United Drilling Tools. Their prices have fallen by 52.7% and 41.5%respectively since added to the portfolio in Q3FY21 and Q3FY22. He also cut his stake in Kwality Pharmaceuticals to below 1% in Q2FY23 as its price fell 50.8% by the end of the quarter of purchase. 

Chemicals, consumer durables, textiles among Kacholia’s favourite sectors

Kacholia’s diversified portfolio has 16.4% investment in the chemicals and petrochemicals sector, aggregating to Rs 300.7 crore. He has invested 14.9% of his portfolio in consumer durables, 13.9% in textiles, apparel and accessories, and 9.4% in general industrials. While commercial services and supplies and pharmaceuticals and biotechnology amounts to 8.3% each, software and services has 7.8%, and diversified consumer services 5% of his portfolio. The least invested sectors are food, beverages and tobacco, banking and finance, FMCG, realty, and hardware technology and equipment with less than 2% each.

The marquee investor went on a buying spree and added nine new stocks to his portfolio in Q2FY23. He also increased his holdings in 12 companies during the same period. He reduced his holdings in ten companies, of which five were cut to below 1%. In new additions, he bought 5% of Dudigital Global, 3.3% of D-Link (India) and 2.6% of Agarwal Industrial Corp. He also increased his stakes in Hindware Home Innovation and Ador Welding by 1.3% and 1% respectively. Kacholia cut a 0.3% stake in Genesys International Corp and 0.2% in Safari Industries (India) and reduced holdings in Mastek, Mold-Tek Packaging, Vishnu Chemicals, VRL Logistics and Kwality Pharmaceuticals to below 1%. 

During the recent quarter, Kacholia bought a 2.1% stake in Raghav Productivity Enhancers on November 4, a 1% stake in Likhitha Infrastructure on November 30 and a 0.8% stake in Aditya Vision on December 9. On December 21, he sold a 0.6% stake in D-Link (India) in a bulk deal.

Kacholia prefers companies with good fundamentals

Of the 40 companies that Kacholia holds, only one reported a net loss in Q2FY23. Sastasundar Ventures reported a consolidated net loss of Rs 4.9 crore despite a 60.3% rise in consolidated revenue, while the rest had net profit. 

During Q2FY23, Best Agrolife reported a net profit of Rs 129.8 crore, indicating an increase of 415.4% YoY, while its revenue rose by 115.9% YoY. Agarwal Industrial Corp, Safari Industries (India) and Barbeque-Nation Hospitality reported a YoY rise in net profit by 257.1%, 144.2% and 142.6% respectively, while their revenue increased by 40.4%, 67% and 40.6%. Kacholia cut his stake in Vishnu Chemicals to below 1%, while its profit grew by 111.2% in Q2FY23. Eleven companies in the portfolio reported a YoY fall in net profit, while three reported a YoY fall in revenue. United Drilling Tools, IOL Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals, Carysil and Vaibhav Global are among the companies that reported a fall in net profit.

From the portfolio, 22 companies outperformed their respective industries over a year and quarter, and 17 companies outperformed over a month. PCBL, Arvind Fashions and La Opala RG are among the companies that outperformed their industries.  

Sastasundar Ventures announced the highest basic annual EPS of Rs 222.7, followed by Bharat Bijlee (Rs 98.3), Garware Hi-Tech Films (Rs 72), Agarwal Industrial Corp (Rs 51.1) and Best Agrolife (Rs 46).

While 21% of the stocks in Kacholia’s holdings, like Barbeque-Nation Hospitality, Best Agrolife, Shaily Engineering Plastics and Safari Industries (India) are currently trading in the PE Buy Zone, 27% are trading in the PE Sell Zone. Companies in the Sell Zone include HLE Glasscoat, Vaibhav Global and Fineotex Chemical. Meanwhile, the PE of seven stocks is above their respective sectors, like HLE Glasscoat, Arvind Fashions, Genesys International Corp, Megastar Foods and Shankara Building Products.

How volatile is Kacholia’s portfolio?

Over a year, the beta for 20 stocks in Kacholia’s portfolio is below 1 and 16 are greater than 1. However, 29 stocks have a beta lesser than 1 for a quarter. The average beta of the portfolio for a year is 0.94, whereas it is 0.8 for a quarter. 

The Beta of Ashish Kacholia’s portfolio is lesser than that of the Nifty 50. Even though the volatility is marginally in line with the benchmark index for a year, it is lower over the quarter. We can conclude that Kacholia, despite his preference for smaller companies, may make safer bets while buying stocks. On the valuation side, he currently holds stocks in both the PE Buy and Sell Zones.  

Overall, the marquee investor looks for companies with strong fundamentals and have the potential to turn into multibagger stocks. He then tends to hold them for a longer period to book higher profits, and rarely panics during downturns.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
22 Dec 2022
Market closes lower, Elin Electronics’ IPO gets bids for 3.1X of the total shares on offer

Trendlyne Analysis

Indian indices closed in the red on a volatile day of trade as Covid omicron subvariant BF.7 outbreak in China spooked investors. However, European stocks traded higher than Wednesday’s levels amid mixed global cues. UK’s gross domestic product rose 1.9% YoY in the third quarter but fell 0.3% QoQ.

Most major Asian indices closed in the green, in line with the US indices, which closed higher on Wednesday. US indices registered their biggest daily gain in December with help from Nike and FedEx, which rose sharply after beating forecaster estimates in their quarterly earnings. Improving consumer confidence and cooling inflation expectations from investors also helped US stocks to rise. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index rose nearly 1.5% while the Dow Jones closed 1.6% higher on Wednesday. Crude oil prices traded higher after rising over 3% on Wednesday as US crude supplies remained tight ahead of the holiday season.

Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 closed in the red, following the benchmark index. Nifty Metal and Nifty Media closed lower than Wednesday’s levels. Nifty IT closed flat, despite the Nasdaq 100 closing in the green on Wednesday.

Nifty 50closed at 18,127.35 (-71.8, -0.4%), BSE Sensexclosed at 60,826.22 (-241.0, -0.4%) while the broader Nifty 500closed at 15,431.50 (-96.1, -0.6%)

Market breadth is sharply down. Of the 1,940 stocks traded today, 281 were on the uptrend, and 1,640 went down.

  • Relative strength index(RSI) indicates that stocks like The Fertilisers and Chemicals Travancore, UTI Asset Management, Abbott Indiaand Thyrocare Technologiesare in the overbought zone.

  • Zydus Lifesciencesreceives final approval and 180 days of shared exclusivity from the US Foods & Drug Administration to market selexipag tablets. The drug is used to treat high blood pressure in the vessels that carry blood to the lungs and will be manufactured in the company’s facility in Ahmedabad SEZ, Gujarat. The tablet had annual sales of $577 million in the US as of September 30.

  • JK Cementtrades in green in a falling market. The company inks a pact with Acro Paints to acquire a 60% stake via its subsidiary JK Paints and Coatings. The cost of acquisition will be Rs 153 crore and it will help JK Paints foray into the construction chemicals segment.

  • Fertilizer stocks like Coromandel International, The Fertilisers and Chemicals Travancore, Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals and Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizersfall over 2% in trade today. The broaderFertilizers industry is also trading in the red. Reports suggest that fertilizer companies must pay for 40% of gas in cases of spot buying.

  • Abbott Indiarises for six consecutive sessions and touches its 52-week high of Rs 21,975. It ranks high on Trendlyne's checklist with a score of 77.3%. The stock also features in a screenerof companies with high TTM EPS growth.

  • Realty stocks like Indiabulls Real Estate, Sunteck Realty, Godrej Properties and Oberoi Realty are falling in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty Realty is also trading in the red.

  • Capital goods stocks like Elgi Equipments, Praj Industries, AIA Engineering and Sona BLW Precision Forgings are falling in trade. The broader sectoral index BSE Cap Goods is also trading in the red.

  • Ajanta Pharma is rising in a weak market. The stock ranks high on the Trendlyne Checklist score. Trendlyne’s consensus recommendation shows that seven analysts recommend a ‘Buy’ on the stock.

  • Elin Electronics’ Rs 475 crore IPO gets bids for 3.1X the available 1.4 crore shares on offer on the last day of bidding. The retail investor quota gets bids for 2.2X the available 71.04 lakh shares on offer.

  • K Natarajan, Executive Director and COO of Galaxy Surfactants, expects the company’s volume growth to be flat or negative in FY23 but 6-8% in FY24.

  • ICICI Direct maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on Sheela Foam with a target price of Rs 1,650, implying an upside of 27%. The brokerage expects the company to gain market share in the Indian mattresses industry, given its new product launches and strong balance sheet. It also sees the firm’s recent order wins and focus on ramping up exports as key positives. The brokerage anticipates Sheela Foam’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 22% over FY22-24.

  • Torrent Investments wins an auction to buy debt-laden Reliance Capital with the highest bid of Rs 8,640 crore, beating Hinduja Group and Oaktree Capital, say reports. This comes after Reliance Capital was suspended from trading after initiating a corporate insolvency resolution process on Tuesday.

  • Samvardhana Motherson International is falling as 1.6 crore shares (0.5% equity) amounting to Rs 111.5 crore change hands, according to reports.

  • Maruti Suzuki India signs a five-year agreement with Kamarajar Port in Ennore, Chennai, to export around 20,000 cars annually, say reports. The company will use the port to export cars to Africa, West Asia, Latin America and South & South-East Asia. Kamarajar Port becomes the fourth port to be used to export cars by the company. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with high TTM EPS growth.

  • Strides Pharma Science's arm Strides Pharma Global receives 94 million Australian dollars (Rs 525 crore) as deferred consideration for the sale of its Australian operations in 2019.

  • Tata Communications’ arm Tata Communication (Netherlands) is set to acquire 100% stake in Switch Enterprises for $58.8 million (Rs 486.3 crore). Switch Enterprises is a US-based media-enabled services company. It believes this acquisition will drive the expansion of its video connect business and its footprint in the media ecosystems in Europe and North America.

  • VS Ganesh, Managing Director of Page Industries, says that the company will not take price hikes even if cotton prices rise. He maintains a revenue target of Rs 10,000 crore and capex in the range of Rs 200-250 crore.

  • Ashish Kacholia sells a 0.6% stake in D-Link (India) for approx Rs 5.2 crore in a bulk deal on Wednesday.

  • Sula Vineyards’ shares list at a 1.1% premium to the issue price of Rs 357 on its debut on the bourses. The 960.3 crore IPO was subscribed for 2.3X the total shares on offer.

  • Supriya Lifesciences inks a pact with Enrich Energy, a Pune-based firm, to build a 4.68 MWp solar photovoltaic project in Nanded, Maharashtra. This project will generate and supply green energy, fulfilling 50% of the company's requirements. Supriya Lifesciences also signs a long-term agreement with Enrich energy for operations and maintenance services for the project, which will be operational by FY23-24.

  • Torrent Pharma’s board approves its merger with Curatio Health Care. Curatio’s net worth is Rs 115.39 crore. This merger will aid Torrent Pharma’s overall growth and ease supply & distribution network and costs. Torrent Pharma shows up in a screener of stocks with improving book value for the past two years.

  • Reliance Retail Ventures (RRVL), a subsidiary of Reliance Industries, acquires Metro Cash & Carry for a cash consideration of Rs 2,850 crore. This acquisition will add large-format stores to RRVL's existing store count and strengthen its e-commerce business. Isha Ambani, Director of RRVL says, “We believe that Metro India’s healthy assets and our deep understanding of the Indian merchant/kirana ecosystem will offer a differentiated value proposition to small businesses in India.”

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include General Insurance Corporation of India (175.70, 4.61%), Jubilant Foodworks Ltd. (533.80, 2.42%) and REC Ltd. (112.50, 2.23%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Union Bank of India (76.15, -6.22%), Adani Wilmar Ltd. (552.60, -6.04%) and Adani Power Ltd. (276.00, -4.99%).

Volume Rockets

17 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Ajanta Pharma Ltd. (1,227.40, 4.74%), Wockhardt Ltd. (236.35, 3.34%) and Aster DM Healthcare Ltd. (241.20, 2.46%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Thyrocare Technologies Ltd. (623.80, -10.99%), Vardhman Textiles Ltd. (308.15, -5.71%) and CreditAccess Grameen Ltd. (883.15, -2.74%).

Jyothy Labs Ltd. (202.95, 1.73%) was trading at 17.5 times of weekly average. Capri Global Capital Ltd. (757.15, 1.57%) and Sun Pharma Advanced Research Company Ltd. (215.70, 2.45%) were trading with volumes 9.6 and 6.7 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

2 stocks made 52-week highs, while 17 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Abbott India Ltd. (2,1842.45, 1.36%) and Jyothy Labs Ltd. (202.95, 1.73%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Sunteck Realty Ltd. (344.55, -2.38%) and Voltas Ltd. (807.35, -0.78%).

5 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Sonata Software Ltd. (540.00, 1.33%) and Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. (1,826.05, 0.63%). 43 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Thyrocare Technologies Ltd. (623.80, -10.99%) and Deepak Fertilisers & Petrochemicals Corporation Ltd. (663.35, -6.14%).

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The Baseline
22 Dec 2022
Screener of the week: FII favourites among high scoring DVM stocks
By Abdullah Shah

As 2022 comes to a close, we take a look at high scoring DVM stocks that have seen more than a 0.5% rise in their FII holdings in Q2FY23. This screener lists stocks that FIIs bought in significant numbers, which have high durability and momentum scores along with a decent valuation score. 

It features 24 stocks from Nifty 500 and two stocks from the Nifty 50 index. Industries like banks, construction & engineering, paper & paper products, utilities: non-electrical and defence dominate the screener. Major stocks featured in the screener are Hindustan Aeronautics, City Union Bank, IIFL Finance, JK Paper and Great Eastern Shipping

City Union Bank saw the highest rise of 3.2% QoQ in its FII holdings. Major contributors to this rise were Kotak Funds India Mid Cap Fund and Bank Muscat India Fund. The largest foreign investor of the company is Smallcap World Fund as it holds 4.9% stake. The stock has a high Trendlyne durability score of 65.

Great Eastern Shipping’s foreign investor holding increased by 1.9% over the past quarter. City of New York Group Trust bought 1.2% stake in the company. Other major foreign institutional investors of the company are Nalanda India Fund and Abu Dhabi Investment Authority with 7.4% and 2.2% stakes respectively. The stock also has a high Trendlyne durability score of 65.

You can find some popular screeners here.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
21 Dec 2022
Markets closes lower, KFin Technologies’ IPO gets bids for 2.59X of the total shares on offer

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 fell over 270 points from the day's high and closed just below the 18,200 mark, with the volatility index, India VIX, rising sharply. However, European stocks traded higher than Tuesday’s levels. Major Asian indices closed mixed, in line with the US indices, which closed mixed on Tuesday. Dow Jones and S&P 500 snapped their four-day losing streak and closed marginally higher amid high volatility. However, the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index extended its losses to a fifth straight day. Crude oil prices traded higher after US crude inventories dropped by more than expected due to supply disruptions caused by the temporary closure of the Keystone pipeline.

Nifty Smallcap 100and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the red, following the benchmark index. Nifty Bankand Nifty FMCG closed lower than Tuesday’s levels. However, Nifty IT bucked the trend and closed higher, tracking the Nasdaq 100 futures, which was trading in the green.

Nifty 50closed at 18,199.10 (-186.2, -1.0%), BSE Sensexclosed at 61,067.24 (-635.1, -1.0%) while the broader Nifty 500closed at 15,527.55 (-198.7, -1.3%)

Market breadth is overwhelmingly negative. Of the 1,938 stocks traded today, 261 were in the positive territory and 1,641 were negative.

  • City Union Banksees a short buildup in its December 29 future series as its open interest rises 18.1% with a put-call ratio of 0.33.

  • GAIL (India) and Japan's Mitsui OSK Lines ink a time charter contract for a newbuild liquefied natural gas (LNG) carrier and joint ownership of an existing LNG carrier.

  • Motilal Oswal maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on Indian Hotels Co with a target price of Rs 390, implying an upside of 19%. The brokerage expects the company’s occupancy rates and average room rates to rise as demand-supply dynamics improve. It also sees higher income from management contracts and brand launches driving revenue growth. The brokerage expects the firm’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 30.3% over FY23-25.

  • Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman says that slashing corporate tax is necessary for the growth of businesses in India. She adds that India will double its GDP in the coming years.

  • Elin Electronics’ Rs 475 crore IPO gets bids for 95% of the available 1.4 crore shares on offer on the second day of bidding. The retail investor quota gets bids for 1.3X% of the available 71.04 lakh shares on offer.

  • KFin Technologies’ Rs 1,500 crore IPO gets bids for 2.59X of the available 2.37 crore shares on offer on the last day of bidding. The retail investor quota gets bids for 1.36X the available 43.2 lakh shares on offer.

  • Healthcare Services and diagnostic stocks like Vijaya Diagnostic Centre, Vimta Labs, Dr. Lal Pathlabs and Metropolis Healthcare are surging as the Covid situation in China worsens.

  • Shyam Metalics & Energy rises as it acquires Mittal Corp to foray into the stainless steel and wire rod and bar mills business. The company aims to expand its existing capacity to 14.45 MTPA from 8.85 MTPA. It has planned a capex of Rs 10,000 over the next five years.

  • RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das says that India’s economic activity is going strong but global headwinds could be a risk.
  • FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa),Adani Green Energy and Lupin’s PE TTM are trading above their Industry PE TTM. Lupin rises 4% over the past month, while Nykaa and Adani Green Energy fall in trade.

  • Pharma stocks like Glenmark Pharmaceuticals, Granules India, Lupin and Aurobindo Pharma are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty Pharma is also trading in the green.

  • Atul Lall, Vice-Chairman and Managing Director of Dixon Technologies, expects revenue of Rs 4,000-4,500 crore in the company’s mobile business for FY23, compared to the earlier guidance of Rs 4,500-5,000 crore. The fall in guidance is because of lower demand for products like LED TV and mobiles.

  • PSU Bank stocks like Indian Overseas Bank, UCO Bank, Central Bank of India and Bank of India are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty PSU Bank is also trading in the green

  • Jindal Steel & Power is rising in a volatile market, trading near its all-time high. The stock ranks high on the Trendlyne checklist score. It is trading below its historic averages, inching towards the Buy Zone. It shows up in a screener of stocks giving consistently high returns over the past five years.

  • Glenmark Pharmaceuticals rises as it launches a triple fixed-dose combination of teneligliptin with pioglitazone and metformin for adults with type-2 diabetes and high insulin resistance in India.

  • City Union Bank is falling as the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) discovers a divergence in additional gross non-performing assets (NPA) in FY22, amounting to Rs 259 crore. However, the bank claims the divergence consists of 231 borrowers, of which five accounts have been classified as NPAs and 57 stand closed.

  • Reports suggest that 69.4 lakh shares (2% equity) of Max Financial Services, amounting to Rs 471.3 crore, change hands on BSE and NSE.
  • Norwegian Government Pension Fund sells a 1.02% stake (7.03 lakh shares) in Sudarshan Chemical Industries for Rs 26.5 crore in a bulk deal.

  • Uno Minda is rising as it enters into a technical license agreement with Korea-based Ascentec to develop, design, manufacture and market wheel speed sensors in India. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with quarterly revenue increasing sequentially for the past four quarters.

  • Promoters Gyan Enterprises and Chowdry Associates sell nearly 1% stake in Dabur India through a block deal. The amount will be used to fund other business opportunities. The company shows up in a screener of stocks with zero promoter pledges.

  • Reports suggest that Tata Group is in talks with UTI Asset Management Coto buy a majority stake from four financial entities. Currently, Punjab National Bank, Life Insurance Corp of India, State Bank of Indiaand Bank of Barodaown a 45.16% stake in UTI Asset Management Co. However, in a recent clarification issued by UTI Asset Management, it denies being in talks with other parties for a stake sale.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Dr. Lal Pathlabs Ltd. (2,430.30, 6.26%), Divi's Laboratories Ltd. (3,518.75, 4.99%) and Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd. (4,766.20, 3.69%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include General Insurance Corporation of India (167.95, -10.57%), Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. (32.30, -9.40%) and YES Bank Ltd. (19.85, -6.81%).

Movers and Shakers

36 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Thyrocare Technologies Ltd. (700.85, 15.16%), Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (440.40, 7.61%) and Metropolis Healthcare Ltd. (1,370.85, 7.01%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were City Union Bank Ltd. (177.25, -6.12%), Chalet Hotels Ltd. (332.35, -4.52%) and Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. (81.15, -3.39%).

Shyam Metalics and Energy Ltd. (299.20, 2.62%) was trading at 35.9 times of weekly average. Max Financial Services Ltd. (688.75, -1.56%) and Dr. Lal Pathlabs Ltd. (2,430.30, 6.26%) were trading with volumes 21.3 and 11.1 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

9 stocks overperformed with 52-week highs, while 9 stocks hit their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Abbott India Ltd. (21,548.50, 3.11%), Apollo Tyres Ltd. (319.00, -2.57%) and Axis Bank Ltd. (932.30, -1.84%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Sunteck Realty Ltd. (352.95, -1.84%) and SIS Ltd. (386.90, -0.87%).

11 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Thyrocare Technologies Ltd. (700.85, 15.16%) and Dr. Lal Pathlabs Ltd. (2,430.30, 6.26%). 24 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Deepak Fertilisers & Petrochemicals Corporation Ltd. (706.75, -5.99%) and Chemplast Sanmar Ltd. (454.00, -5.54%).