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The Baseline
31 May 2023
Despite GDP growth, Indian consumers slow their spending | Consumer stocks outperforming their sectors
By Deeksha Janiani

Does it feel like you are living in an economy with a growth rate of 7% - among the fastest in the world? The answer may depend on who you ask.

RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das would be among those saying, "Yes, totally." Speaking at the recent RBI meet, he noted, “Economic activity saw momentum in Q4, based on our high-frequency indicators. I will not be surprised if India's GDP growth is slightly more than 7%.”

On the other side is a top executive running a consumer-facing business in India. At a CNBC TV18 conference, Anuj Poddar, CEO at Bajaj Electricals, highlighted the challenge of achieving growth for the business, saying, “You don’t know how tough it is to get these growth numbers. For the past 4-6 quarters, we have seen a lack of correlation between GDP growth and actual demand.” 

One reason for this disconnect between the economic numbers and consumer behavior on the ground, according to Poddar, is demand weakness at the median income level.

If we look at the change in people's income between FY16 and FY21, middle-income groups and below have seen a fall. The fruits of India's GDP growth aren't being evenly distributed – the richest have seen the most gains, while the poorest are worse off than before. 

Starting from early 2022, it was the higher-income millennials who were driving discretionary spending. Retailers targeting premium consumers enjoyed the benefits. But that spending frenzy has now normalized– how many designer bags can a person buy, after all – and there's been an overall slowdown in private consumption.

 Analyst house Jefferies notes that consumer demand has been mixed across categories.

So what's going on? We take a closer look in this week’s Analyticks:

  • Is the party over? Retailers, restaurant chains, jewelry companies see demand slowing down in Q4, but hopes are alive
  • Screener: Consumer-oriented companies outperforming their sectors in Q4FY23

Discretionary space sees demand slowdown, but CEOs are hopeful 

According to the Retailers Association of India, retail sales experienced double-digit growth through most of 2022, and until February 2023. However, the growth rate fell to just 6% in March and April due to declines in the beauty and personal care, footwear, apparel, and jewelry segments.  

The decline in discretionary demand started in the second half of FY23 and became more pronounced from February onwards. High inflation was a major factor here, and was especially intense in the value segments, and in tier 2 and 3 cities. These demand-side challenges and higher costs hit the bottom-line growth of retailers and restaurants in Q4. Jewelry makers in comparison, did much better. 

Indian retailers: Revenue growth holds up but profit growth falters

Big and diversified retailers like Reliance Retail (part of Reliance Industries) and D-Mart posted healthy revenue growth in Q4, thanks to a low base in last year’s quarter and store expansions. The store count for these players rose by over 14% YoY in Q4FY23. 

For Reliance Retail, the store area in million sqft terms jumped by over 55% in Q4, indicating that growth in the top line was primarily thanks to aggressive expansions, while same-store sales growth contributed little. 

Among major categories, the grocery segment grew the fastest in Q4, while the fashion and lifestyle segment, which is discretionary by nature, saw softer YoY sales growth of 19%, despite the low base effect. 

Even with strong revenue growth, the net profit growth for big retailers was modest at best. D-mart's margins were impacted by lower contributions from the general merchandise and apparel segment.Meanwhile, Reliance Retail faced profit growth challenges due to higher expenses from rapid expansions. 

Some fashion retailers were badly hit. Aditya Birla Fashion posted a net loss in Q4 owing to lackluster sales growth, higher marketing spends, and the lack of rental rebates (given to retailers by mall owners during Covid). In contrast, Trent clocked a net profit growth of 40% in Q4.

Commenting on the demand trends, Ashish Dikshit, Managing Director at ABFRL, said, “If you recall our earlier conversations, I had said that the lower end of the market was more affected. Now, it looks like a more widespread slowdown.”

Footwear retailers faced a similar challenge of decent sales growth but weaker bottom-line growth. Higher operating costs due to store expansions, marketing expenses, and losses from the newly acquired brand FILA affected the profitability of Metro Brands

Looking ahead, premium footwear retailer Metro Brands predicts slow near-term sales growth. The management at ABFRL expects a pick-up in consumer sentiment only during the festive season in the second half of the year. 

Quick service restaurants: Same-store sales growth cracks, profitability dips

Jubilant Foodworks, a major player in the Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) industry, posted muted revenue growth of 8% this Q4, entirely driven by store additions. The like-for-like growth, which represents growth in existing stores, was negative for Domino's. Devyani International also reported negative same-store sales growth for Pizza Hut. 

The profitability of QSR majors suffered deeply due to input cost pressures and negative operating leverage. Negative operating leverage occurs when a company fails to generate enough sales to cover its fixed costs. Quick service restaurants have continued to expand, resulting in higher costs, but sales have not kept up due to weak consumer demand. 

Gems and Jewellery: Some sparkle despite challenges

Titan Company saw strong revenue growth in Q4, aided by a low base effect and healthy buyer growth. The Tanishq brand stores clocked SSSG (same store sales growth) of 19%, supported by the rise in gold prices. However, the management noted a period of dull demand between March and mid-April. 

Kalyan Jewellers also saw decent top-line growth, helped by store additions in non-south markets. But its mainstay market of south India clocked only 4% revenue growth in Q4. 

Jewelry demand picked up during Akshay Tritiya, and remained steady during the wedding season. However, in an interview with Business Today, Ajoy Chawla, CEO of the Jewellery division at Titan, said, “The trend is good. But volatility in demand is high, maybe due to high gold and diamond prices and the reopening of various sectors like travel.”

Demand may take its own sweet time to recover

With retail inflation now declining, consumer-facing companies are anticipating a revival in spending. But the recovery will be a gradual one. Ritesh Tiwari, CFO at Hindustan Unilever, sums this up, “Consumers expect that inflation will be stubborn. This impacts their confidence in spending money, which is why volume growth will be gradual.”

Ashish Goenka, CFO at Jubilant Foodworks, echoes similar sentiments, saying, “This cyclical demand takes 2 to 3 quarters to come back. And I think it's anybody's guess at this moment as to when we will start seeing a full recovery”. 

Overall, the C-Suite expect a resurgence in demand in H2FY24 and rare hopeful that the current challenges are temporary. India's economic recovery, they believe, just needs some time to reach their consumers.


Screener: Consumer companies which outperformed their sectors in a difficult quarter

In this week’s edition, we take a look at consumer discretionary stocks that have performed well despite the sluggish demand trends we discussed above. This screener features stocks that have outperformed their respective sectors in terms of net profit and revenue growth in Q4, as well as price changes in the past quarter.

Major stocks in the screener are Titan, Tata Motors, Trent, Indian Hotels, Godrej Properties, Cera Sanitaryware, BLS International Services and Amber Enterprises

Indian Hotels achieved the highest revenue growth of 86.4% YoY for Q4FY23, outperforming the hotels and tourism sector by over 45 percentage points. The company’s revenue per available room of Rs 8,000 was 70% higher than the industry average.  It also outperformed the sector returns by nearly 5 percentage points in the same period.

Trent’s consolidated revenue for Q4FY23 jumped by over 60% YoY, outperforming the retail sector by 39 percentage points. This growth was backed by the stellar growth of the Zudio format. The company also outperformed its sector returns by over 15 percentage points in the past quarter.

Tata Motors’ revenue jumped 35% YoY in Q4FY23, surpassing the growth of the automobile sector by nearly 12 percentage points. It also exceeded the sector’s net profit growth, aided by a strong product mix and comparatively lower product prices. 

You can find some popular screenershere.

Signing off this week,

The Trendlyne Team

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
31 May 2023
Market closes lower, Torrent Pharma is back in black in Q4 with profit of Rs 287 crore

Trendlyne Analysis

Indian markets slumped today. Nifty 50 closed at 18,534.40 (-99.5, -0.5%) , BSE Sensex closed at 62,622.24 (-346.9, -0.6%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 15,766.40 (-33.1, -0.2%). Of the 1,961 stocks traded today, 968 were in the positive territory and 934 were negative.

Indian indices extended their losses and closed in the red, with the Nifty 50 hovering above the key 18,500 mark. The volatility index, Nifty VIX, rose above 12 at the close. Indian sugar mills have shipped the entire quota of 6.1 million tonnes allowed for exports owing to higher prices. The quota is valid until September 2023, and the government may not increase the export limits due to the expected production shortage.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green, despite the benchmark index closing lower. Nifty Energy and Nifty Metal also closed lower than Tuesday’s closing levels. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, telecom services was the top-performing sector of the day, as it rose over 2.2%.

Most European indices trade in the red, except for Switzerland’s SMI, which is trading higher. Data released by the French government indicated that inflation in May stood at 6%, slightly lower than the estimated 6.4%. Also, Italy’s data released today showed inflation at 8.1% in May, surpassing the estimated 7.5%. US indices futures are currently trading lower, indicating a negative start.

  • Relative strength index (RSI) indicates that stocks like Birla Corp, The Ramco Cements, Dixon Technologies (India), CG Power and Industrial Solutions and IDFC are in the overbought zone.

  • A fire breaks out at Oil India's Numaligarh refinery’s hydrocracker unit (HCU) in vessel number VV-04 on May 29, 2023. No casualties have been reported, and damage assessment is still underway. The cause of the fire is yet to be determined by an external investigation committee.

  • Vedanta's parent company, Vedanta Resources, pays off maturing loans and bonds worth $400 million (approximately Rs 330.7 crore) that were due in May and June 2023, according to reports. The company's gross debt now stands at $6.4 billion.

  • Reports suggest that 2.2 crore shares (3.7% equity) of Sona BLW Precision Forgings, amounting to Rs 1,093 crore, change hands in a large trade.

  • Commercial services & supplies, forest materials and cement & construction sectors rise by more than 10% over the past month.

  • Torrent Pharmaceuticals rises with a net profit of Rs 287 crore in Q4FY23, compared to a net loss of Rs 118 crore in Q4FY22. The increase in profit is attributed to lower raw material expenses. Its revenue also rises by 14.3% YoY on the back of robust growth in the international market. It appears in a screener of stocks with improving book value per share for the last two years.

  • ICICI Direct downgrades its rating on eClerx Services to ‘Hold’ from ‘Buy’ with a target price of Rs 1,800. This implies an upside of 12.3%. The brokerage believes the company’s prospects of achieving double-digit growth in FY24 will be challenging given its weak revenue growth in Q4FY23 and lower-than-expected margins.

  • Torrent Pharmaceuticals and Global Health touch their all-time highs of Rs 1,850 and Rs 612.5 per share, respectively. The former has grown 8.8% over the past month, while the latter rose 18.6% in the same period.

  • Lemon Tree Hotels falls despite posting a net profit of Rs 44 crore in Q4FY23, compared to a net loss of Rs 24.6 crore in Q4FY22. Its revenue also grows by 100.3% YoY, driven by strong growth in average room rates (ARR) and occupancy. It appears in a screener of stocks with decreasing promoter pledge.

  • Reports indicate that Ashwani Kumar has been appointed as the MD and CEO of UCO Bank by the Government. Kumar's term will last for three years, starting from June 1, following the completion of Soma Sankara Prasad's tenure.

  • Adani Ports & SEZ’s auditor, Deloitte Haskins & Sells, raises concern over the company’s transactions with three firms claimed to be unrelated parties. As the company refused to undergo an independent external examination to prove that the three parties were unrelated, the auditor cannot ascertain full compliance with local laws. Deloitte claims it can only issue qualified opinions on these accounts.

  • Apollo Hospital rises as its net profit increases by 60.3% YoY to Rs 144.5 crore in Q4FY23 on the back of reduced raw material costs. Its revenue also improves by 20.7% YoY, driven by robust growth in healthcare services and digital health & pharmacy distribution. It appears in a screener of stocks with strong momentum.

  • KRBL falls more than 5% as its net profit declines by 42.6% QoQ to Rs 118 crore in Q4FY23. Revenue reduces by 16.7% QoQ due to a drop in revenue from the agriculture and energy segments. EBITDA margin contracts by 7 percentage points on the back of higher finance costs and a contract termination that resulted in selling the product at a lower realisation.

  • Triveni Engineering'sannual return on equity (RoE) stands at 67.2% in FY23, rises 54.6 percentage points over the past five years.

  • CLSA upgrades Tata Motors' rating to 'Buy' and sets a target price of Rs 624. The upgrade is based on the retail sales growth of JLR in April. The brokerage adds that the company's strong performance in the American and Chinese markets has helped it offset the decline in Europe.

  • Patanjali Foods is falling despite its Q4FY23 consolidated net profit rising 12.5% YoY to Rs 263.7 crore. Its revenue also increases 19.3% YoY on the back of growth in the food and FMCG segments. It appears in a screener for stocks with low debt.

  • Welspun Corp rises as its Q4FY23 revenue surges 102.4% YoY to Rs 4070.1 crore, driven by improved performance in the steel segment. EBITDA margin expands by 6.8 percentage points YoY. However, net profit remains flat at Rs 235.9 crore. The company appears in a screener of stocks with increasing revenue for the past three quarters.

  • Prestige Estates Projects is rising despite its Q4FY23 net profit dropping by 50.1% YoY to Rs 468.4 crore due to a high base last year. In Q4FY22, the company recorded a one-time exceptional gain of Rs 807.9 crore. Its revenue rises 9.6% YoY and EBITDA margin expands by 5.1 percentage points YoY. It shows up in a screener for stocks in the PE Buy zone with high durability scores and rising momentum scores.

  • SEBI proposes additional disclosures from foreign portfolio investors that have over 50% of assets under management (AUM) in one group and AUM of over Rs 25,000 crore in Indian equity. The regulator expressed concerns that the FPI route was being used by company promoters to bypass regulation and manipulate stock prices. This comes amid criticism over the lack of oversight over FPI ownership of Adani Group companies.
  • Graphite India is falling as its Q4FY23 net profit drops by 69.5% YoY to Rs 29 crore. Its revenue also declines by 10.4% YoY, driven by the graphite and carbon segment. It appears in a screener for stocks with low Piotroski scores.

  • Aegis Logistics remains flat despite its net profit rising by 48.7% YoY to Rs 140.9 crore in Q4FY23 on the back of falling inventory and employee expenses. Its revenue grows by 5% YoY, driven by robust growth in the liquid terminal division. Its EBITDA margin also improves by 460 bps YoY. It appears in a screener of stocks with low debt.

  • Reports suggest that 3.6 crore shares (1.7% equity) of HDFC Life Insurance Co change hands in the pre-open.

  • Metal & mining stocks like Vedanta, Jindal Steel & Power, Hindalco Industries, JSW Steel and National Aluminium Co are falling in trade. All constituents of the broader sectoral index BSE Metal are also trading in the red.

  • Suzlon Energy rises as its Q4FY23 net profit improves to Rs 279.9 crore from a net loss of Rs 204.3 crore in Q4FY22, driven by lower inventory and raw material expenses. However, revenue dips by 31.4% YoY due to lower wind turbine generator revenue. It appears in a screener for stocks with improving net cash flow for two years.

  • Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone’s Q4FY23 net profit rises 5.1% YoY to Rs 1,158.9 crore, while its revenue surges by 40% YoY led by robust growth in the ports and SEZ business segment. Impairment of Rs 1,273.4 crore due to Myanmar asset sale impacts Q4 profitability. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with improving cash flows from operations over the past two years.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Torrent Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (1,835.80, 7.13%), Dixon Technologies (India) Ltd. (3,878.75, 5.33%) and PI Industries Ltd. (3,616.80, 4.17%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Adani Total Gas Ltd. (664.15, -4.86%), Delhivery Ltd. (349.20, -4.51%) and Adani Transmission Ltd. (776.70, -3.43%).

Crowd Puller Stocks

78 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Suzlon Energy Ltd. (11.75, 10.33%), G R Infraprojects Ltd. (1,259.90, 8.81%) and Torrent Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (1,835.80, 7.13%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were KRBL Ltd. (364.70, -9.60%), Campus Activewear Ltd. (304.05, -8.32%) and Adani Total Gas Ltd. (664.15, -4.86%).

AstraZeneca Pharma India Ltd. (3,562.45, 6.54%) was trading at 27.7 times of weekly average. Sona BLW Precision Forgings Ltd. (541.55, 1.59%) and Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. (2,014.35, 2.01%) were trading with volumes 24.6 and 18.4 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

37 stocks made 52 week highs,

Stocks touching their year highs included - 3M India Ltd. (25,245.00, 1.72%), AIA Engineering Ltd. (3,064.70, 3.13%) and Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. (658.60, 1.21%).

15 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Eureka Forbes Ltd. (495.60, 9.39%) and G R Infraprojects Ltd. (1,259.90, 8.81%). 14 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including KRBL Ltd. (364.70, -9.60%) and Century Plyboards (India) Ltd. (555.00, -3.28%).

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The Baseline
30 May 2023
Five stocks with a 'Buy' consensus from analysts post results
By Suhas Reddy
  1. UNO Minda: KRChoksey upgrades its rating on this auto parts & equipment manufacturer to ‘Buy’ from ‘Accumulate’ with a target price of Rs 680, implying an upside of 21.5%. According to Trendlyne’s Forecaster, the consensus recommendation on the stock is ‘Buy’ from 19 analysts, including 14 that are ‘Strong Buy’, three ‘Buy’ and two ‘Hold’.

    In Q4FY23, the company’s net profit increased by 26.5% YoY to Rs 182.7 crore, while revenue grew by 19.6%. Analyst Abhishek Agarwal is optimistic about the company's long-term growth prospects due to the easing of supply chain shortages and its focus on the electric vehicle (EV) segment. “The company is well set to see sustained revenue growth with a couple of CAPEX plans in line, and by catering to the expected demand from different original equipment manufacturers,” he adds. 

Agarwal expects the firm to benefit from the multi-fold growth expected in the EV segment, particularly in  two-wheelers and three-wheelers. The analyst sees the robust order book of Rs 1,000 crore in the company's EV vertical and the management’s plan to invest an additional Rs 500 crore over five years towards EV as key positives. He expects the firm’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 25% over FY23-25. 

  1. Route Mobile: HDFC Securities maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this internet software & services company with a target price of Rs 1,735, implying an upside of 20.2%. According to Trendlyne’s Forecaster, the consensus recommendation on the stock is ‘Buy’ from five analysts, which includes four that are ‘Strong Buy’ and one ‘Hold’. In Q4FY23, the company’s net profit surged by 122.4% YoY to Rs 101.6 crore and revenue jumped by 61.1% YoY. 

Analysts Amit Chandra and Vivek Sethia believe the company posted better than expected revenue growth and margin expansion in a seasonally weak quarter. They note that the decline in billable transactions and new product sales due to seasonality was offset by better realisations, market share gains and new client additions.

The analysts believe the launch of new products like Trusense (used for identity and fraud detection) will aid growth. They also expect the firm to see organic growth of 18% in FY24 “led by strong tailwinds in the domestic termination business and expansion of international operations.” Chandra and Sethia project a CAGR of 18% for revenue during FY23-25.

  1. PI Industries: Axis Direct keeps its ‘Buy’ rating on this agro-chemicals manufacturer with a target price of Rs 3,800, implying an upside of 9.4%. According to Trendlyne’s Forecaster, the consensus recommendation on the stock is ‘Buy’ from 25 analysts, including 14 that are ‘Strong Buy’, five ‘Buy’, four ‘Hold’ and two ‘Strong Sell’. In Q4FY23, the company’s net profit rose 37.3% YoY to Rs 280.6 crore and revenue grew 12.2% YoY. 

Analysts Prathamesh Sawant and Shivani More maintain a positive outlook on the company’s prospects, even though it missed their revenue estimates by 10.8%. They attribute this shortfall to a slowdown in domestic growth due to industry-wide high inventory problems. However, they believe the company’s brand value in the custom synthesis manufacturing (CSM) segment remains strong, and the management has a bright outlook for it. 

The analysts also anticipate improved margins in the traditional portfolio in the coming quarters due to the “introduction of new value-added branded products and acquisitions in the pharmaceuticals space, which will add to inorganic growth in the medium to long term”. They estimate the firm’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 20.8% over FY23-25. 

  1. Motherson Sumi Wiring India: ICICI Direct keeps its ‘Buy’ call on this auto parts manufacturer with a target price of Rs 70, indicating an upside of 21.4%. According to Trendlyne’s Forecaster, it has a consensus recommendation of ‘Buy’ from 12 analysts, including eight that are ‘Strong Buy’, three ‘Buy’ and one ‘Strong Sell’. In Q4FY23, the company’s profit increased by almost 3x YoY to Rs 138.5 crore, while its revenue grew by 12.4% YoY. 

Analysts Shashank Kanodia and Raghvendra Goyal remain positive due to the company's impressive return ratio (RoCE 42.2%), the growing electrification of vehicles, and the potential for increased content per vehicle in the domestic auto market.

The analysts expect a net sales CAGR of 16.5% in FY24-25 on the back of OEM ramp-up, focus on premiumisation and a greater share in utility vehicles. They believe, “Motherson Sumi Wiring’s asset-light model with expandable capacity, along with operating leverage gains, will push margins.”

  1. Krishna Institute of Medical Sciences (KIMS): Edelweiss maintains a ‘Buy’ call on this healthcare facilities provider with a target price of Rs 1,935. This indicates an upside of 20.6%. According to Trendlyne’s Forecaster, the stock has a consensus recommendation of ‘Buy’ from six analysts, including five that are ‘Strong Buy’ and one ‘Hold’. In Q4FY23, the company reported a net profit growth of 15.6% YoY to Rs 93.3 crore and revenue growth of 52.6% YoY. According to analysts Thakur Ranvir Singh and Harsh Shah, “The YoY growth in revenue was driven by a rise in in-patient volume, out-patient volume and ARPOB.”

The analysts remain positive on KIMS due to its healthy expansion plan, improved occupancy, and higher operating margin, with a focus on operational efficiency. They expect an annual capex of Rs 700–800 crore over the next two-three years, with plans to add 1,600 beds during FY24-25. 

Singh and Shah remain cautious regarding lower occupancy due to the closure of the Karim Nagar facility and assume that the new facilities may have low occupancy during the first year of its operations.

Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.

(You can find all analyst picks here)

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
30 May 2023
Market closes higher, 3M India's net profit rises 22.3% YoY to Rs 135.7 crore in Q4FY23

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 18,633.85 (35.2, 0.2%) , BSE Sensex closed at 62,969.13 (122.8, 0.2%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 15,799.45 (27.1, 0.2%). Of the 1,952 stocks traded today, 882 were gainers and 1,016 were losers.

Indian indices rose during the afternoon session and closed in the green, with the Nifty 50 hovering above the key 18,600 mark. The volatility index, Nifty VIX, fell below 13 at the close. A report released by the RBI stated that the Indian economy has bounced back from the Covid pandemic, but the recovery is not yet complete. External factors like slowing global growth, geopolitical tensions and stress in the global financial system is offsetting the domestic growth.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green, following the benchmark. Nifty Private Bank and Nifty Media closed higher than Monday’s closing levels. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, media was the top-performing sector of the day as it rose over 0.9%.

Most European indices trade in the red except for Germany’s DAX trading lower. US indices futures trade higher indicating a positive start. US indices are set to gain amid the debt ceiling agreement and artificial intelligence optimism for semiconductor manufacturers.

  • Siemens beats ABB India in YoY revenue growth, PE ratio, broker average rating and annual dividend yield in percentage. But it lags in one-year price change, annual RoE in percentage and FII & MF holdings.

  • AIA Engineering and Power Finance Corp reach their all-time highs of Rs 3,033.9 and Rs 181.6 per share. The former rose 9% over the past month while the latter gained 6.9% in the same period.

  • 3M India is rising as its net profit improves by 22.3% YoY to Rs 135.7 crore in Q4FY23. Revenue jumps 13% YoY backed by growth in the safety & industrial, transportation & electronics and healthcare segments. It shows up in a screener of stocks with good quarterly growth in recent results.

  • ISGEC Heavy Engineering touches a new 52-week high today as its Q4FY23 consolidated net profit rises 128.8% YoY to Rs 86.1 crore. Its revenue also increases 28.2% YoY on the back of growth in the refinery segment. It appears in a screener for stocks with strong annual EPS growth.

  • Saloni Wagh, Whole-Time Director at Supriya Lifescience, says the company’s revenue will grow by 20-25% in FY24 and margins will be around 28-30% going forward.

  • NOCIL falls as its net profit dips by 58.9% YoY to Rs 28.32 crore due to increased inventory expenses. Its revenue also decreases by 14.7% YoY on the back of a drop in net sales. It appears in a screener of stocks with high promoter pledges.

  • Roads & highways construction companies like IRB Infrastructure Developers, G R Infraprojects, PNC Infratech and Dilip Buildcon are rising in trade. The broader roads & construction industry is also trading in the green.

  • HDFC Asset Management rises by over 3.5% and ranks high on Trendlyne's checklist with a score of 60.9%. The stock is in the 'Strong Buy' zone based on the number of days spent in the current P/E range. It also appears in a screener for stocks with an MACD crossover above the signal line.

  • Goodyear India falls despite its net profit increasing 93.1% YoY to Rs 33.6 crore in Q4FY23 due to lower raw material consumption and a better sales mix. Its revenue rises by 8.9% YoY, driven by higher volumes and better price realization. It appears in a screener of stocks with zero promoter pledges.

  • Vedanta, Campus Activewear, ITI and NOCIL are trading below their third support or S3 levels.

  • Jefferies maintains its 'Buy' rating on Amber Enterprises with a target price of Rs 3,120. The brokerage believes that the domestic AC industry is poised for multi-year growth, driven by increasing consumer spending and favorable weather conditions.

  • ICICI Direct upgrades its rating on Balkrishna Industries to ‘Buy’ from ‘Hold’ and raises the target price to Rs 2,700 from Rs 2,170. This implies an upside of 19.8%. The brokerage cites the company’s sooner-than-expected margin recovery amid a healthy demand outlook and declining input costs for the upgrade. It expects the firm’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 31.5% over FY23-25.

  • Adani Transmission is falling as its net profit declines 18% QoQ to Rs 389.4 crore in Q4FY23 due to an increase in deferred tax. Its revenue also drops 5.5% QoQ, caused by reduced revenue in the generation, transmission, and distribution business. It appears in a screener of stocks with low Piotroski scores.

  • According to the RBI's annual report, India's real GDP is expected to grow by 6.5% in FY24, with risks evenly balanced. The report also highlights that India's growth momentum will likely sustain in FY24.

  • Campus Activewear is falling as its Q4FY23 consolidated net profit drops 0.09% YoY to Rs 22.9 crore due to an increase in inventory costs. Its revenue also decreases by 1.3% YoY. It appears in a screener for high-volume, top-loser stocks.

  • Vedanta is falling as its unit, Finsider International, pledges 4.4% of the company’s equity to Glencore International for a facility worth $250 million. Vedanta Resources will operate the facility. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with low Trendlyne durability scores.

  • Rail Vikas Nigam is falling as its Q4FY23 net profit declines 5% YoY to Rs 359.2 crore. Revenue also falls 11.2% YoY to Rs 5,719.8 crore. However, EBITDA margin expands 20 bps YoY to 6.5% on lower operational expenses.

  • Reports suggest that 65.6 lakh shares (1.35% equity) of Macrotech Developers, amounting to Rs 676.1 crore, change hands in a large trade.
  • Sobha surges over 5% as its Q4FY23 net profit expands 242.2% YoY to Rs 48.6 crore. Revenue rises 70.3% YoY on real estate and contractual & manufacturing growth. EBITDA margin contracts 140 bps YoY due to higher land and raw material costs. It features in a screener of stocks where brokers have upgraded their recommendations or target price in the past quarter.

  • NBCC (India) hits a new 52-week high as its Q4FY23 consolidated net profit rises 206.3% YoY to Rs 108.4 crore on lower raw material and finance costs. Its revenue also climbs 13.9% YoY. It features in a screenerfor stocks with consecutive revenue growth over the past 3 quarters.

  • IRCTC falls despite its Q4FY23 net profit rising 30.4% YoY to Rs 278.8 crore due to lower inventory costs. Its revenue also grows 40.1% YoY on the back of robust growth in catering, tourism and state teertha businesses. It appears in a screener of stocks with improving book value per share over the past two years.

  • Kalpataru Power Transmissions is falling as reports suggest that 1.1 crore shares (7.4% equity) of the company, amounting to Rs 546.6 crore, change hands in a large trade.
  • KNR Constructions is rising as its Q4FY23 net profit increases 5.8% YoY to Rs 147.3 crore, while its revenue grows 13% YoY. However, its EBITDA margin contracts by 5.5 percentage points YoY on the back of higher construction costs and spreading & assortment expenses. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with declining cash flows from operations over the past two years.

  • Eureka Forbes rises as its Q4FY23 net profit surges by 346% YoY to Rs 20.6 crore due to reduced net debt and inventory levels. Its revenue and EBITDA margin increases by 36.1% YoY and 510 bps YoY respectively. It appears in a screener of stocks with consecutive profit growth in the past two quarters.

  • Torrent Power is back in the black with a net profit of Rs 449.1 crore in Q4FY23, compared to a loss of Rs 488 crore in Q4FY22. Its revenue surges by 61.3% YoY on the back of robust growth in the licensed and franchised distribution businesses driven by rising electricity demand. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with improving net cash flows over the past two years.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. (650.75, 6.45%), HDFC Asset Management Company Ltd. (1,951.10, 4.13%) and JSW Energy Ltd. (263.00, 4.08%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Vedanta Ltd. (285.60, -4.91%), Adani Total Gas Ltd. (698.05, -4.27%) and Info Edge (India)Ltd. (4,065.25, -3.37%).

Crowd Puller Stocks

38 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Eureka Forbes Ltd. (454.95, 13.44%), Hikal Ltd. (307.80, 8.67%) and Birla Corporation Ltd. (1,092.20, 7.05%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Campus Activewear Ltd. (331.65, -7.57%), Jubilant Pharmova Ltd. (332.35, -7.29%) and NOCIL Ltd. (214.70, -3.18%).

Kalpataru Power Transmissions Ltd. (520.90, 2.87%) was trading at 28.7 times of weekly average. Krishna Institute of Medical Sciences Ltd. (1,609.00, 0.20%) and Sobha Ltd. (516.05, 1.80%) were trading with volumes 20.7 and 14.7 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

28 stocks hit their 52 week highs,

Stocks touching their year highs included - AIA Engineering Ltd. (2,971.75, 6.52%), Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. (650.75, 6.45%) and Cummins India Ltd. (1,755.35, 0.65%).

19 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Sterling and Wilson Renewable Energy Ltd. (290.85, 4.40%) and Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. (1,447.35, 3.96%). 9 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Jubilant Pharmova Ltd. (332.35, -7.29%) and Vedanta Ltd. (285.60, -4.91%).

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
29 May 2023
Market closes higher, GMR Airports Infrastructure's Q4 loss nearly triples to Rs 636.7 crore

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 18,598.65 (99.3, 0.5%), BSE Sensex closed at 62,846.38 (344.7, 0.6%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 15,772.35 (75.6, 0.5%). Of the 1,999 stocks traded today, 1,035 were in the positive territory and 887 were negative.

Indian indices maintain gains from the morning session and closed in the green with the Nifty 50 hovering around the 18,600 mark. The volatility index, Nifty VIX, rose above 12 at the close. India is now the fifth largest stock market with a market capitalization of USD 3.3 trillion.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed higher, following the benchmark index. The Nifty Bank index closed at an all-time high. Nifty IT closed lower, despite the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 closing in the green on Friday. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, coal was the top-performing sector of the day as it rose over 1.92%.

Most European indices trade flat except for Switzerland’s Swiss Market Index, which traded in the green. US indices will remain closed today on account of Memorial Day. US Federal Bank is expected to shore up capital from the current holding of USD 50 billion to USD 500 - 600 billion as the debt ceiling for the government is removed until January 2025.

  • Relative strength index (RSI) indicates that stocks like Indigo Paints, CG Power and Industrial Solutions, Dixon Technologies (India) and Intellect Design Arena are in the overbought zone.

  • Natco Pharmarises as it returns to profitability in Q4FY23 with a net profit of Rs 275.8 crore, compared to a loss of Rs 50.5 crore in Q4FY22. Profitability improves as the cost of raw materials declines. Revenue rises 50.5% YoY on the back of robust growth in the US market.

  • Adani Enterprises, Varun Beverages, Tube Investments, Patanjali Foods and Linde India outperform the Nifty 500 index over a 5-year period.

  • Vartika Shukla, Managing Director of Engineers India, expects an increase in order inflow from the consultancy business in FY24, and its revenue contribution to rise to around 50% from the current 43%.

  • Ipca Laboratories’ Q4FY23 net profit declines 41.2% YoY to Rs 76.5 crore due to rising inventory costs and employee expenses. The firm’s revenue rises 17.3% YoY driven by healthy growth in exports and India formulations business. The company shows up in a screener for stocks with medium to low Trendlyne momentum scores.

  • Godfrey Phillips falls despite a 41.8% YoY growth in its Q4FY23 net profit to Rs 147.1 crore. Its revenue also rises 16% YoY, driven by robust growth in sales of retail & related products and cigarette, tobacco & related products. It appears in a screener of stocks with RSI indicating price strength.

  • Auto tyres manufacturers such as Balkrishna Industries, Ceat, MRF and Goodyear India are falling in trade. The broader Auto tyres & rubber products industry is also trading in the red.

  • GMR Airports Infrastructure plunges over 10% as its Q4FY23 net loss almost triples to Rs 636.7 crore. The increase in net loss is attributed to revenue share paid to concessionaire grantors and higher employee benefits and finance costs. However, revenue grows 44.3% YoY to Rs 2,001.9 crore, backed by improved domestic and international passenger traffic at its airports.

  • City Union Bank is falling despite its Q4FY23 standalone net profit rising 4.4% YoY to Rs 218 crore and net interest income growing by 2.7% YoY. Its asset quality also improves as its net and gross NPAs fall by 59 bps and 33 bps YoY respectively. But the bank missed Trendlyne Forecaster’s net profit estimates by 7%.

  • Goldman Sachs maintains its ‘Sell’ rating on Bharat Heavy Electricals with a target price of Rs 34. The brokerage says the company’s Q4 results have been a mixed bag with revenue below its estimates.

  • ICICI Securities upgrades its rating on Steel Authority of India (SAIL) to ‘Add’ from ‘Sell’ and increases the target price to Rs 92 from Rs 77. This implies an upside of 8.8%. The brokerage's outlook improves as it expects SAIL to benefit from lower coking coal prices and increasing sales volumes in the coming quarters. It expects the company’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 43.3% over FY23-25.

  • Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals is falling as its Q4FY23 consolidated net profit decreases 61.4% YoY to Rs 94.1 crore due to an increase in inventory costs. However, its revenue rises 9.3% YoY. It appears in a screener for stocks with low durability.

  • The sectoral index Nifty Bank is trading in the green and hits an all-time high. Banking stocks like HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, State Bank of India and Kotak Mahindra Bank are rising in trade.

  • Aurobindo Pharma is falling as its Q4FY23 net profit decreases 34% YoY to Rs 519.3 crore due to higher raw material expenses. However, its revenue rises 12.8% YoY on the back of robust growth in the US and Europe formulation and active pharmaceutical ingredients (API) segments. It appears in a screener of stocks with promoters increasing pledged shares QoQ.

  • Saurabh Mittal, MD and CEO of Greenlam Industries, says the company's peak revenue potential is around Rs 3,500-3,600 crore. He anticipates a growth rate of 20-25% for Greenlam's revenue in FY24.

  • Karnataka Bank is rising as its Q4FY23 standalone net profit surges 171.4% YoY to Rs 353.8 crore due to lower tax expenses. Its revenue increases 28.8% YoY on the back of robust growth in the retail banking segment. It appears in a screener for companies with consistently high returns over five years in Nifty 500.

  • Financial services stocks like ICICI Lombard General Insurance, Power Finance Corp and REC are rising in trade. All constituents of the broader Nifty Financial Services index are also trading in the green.

  • Metal stocks like Hindalco Industries, Steel Authority of India, National Aluminium Company, Jindal Steel & Power and Tata Steelare rising in trade. The broader sectoral index BSE Metal is also trading in the green.

  • Ahluwalia Contracts touches its all-time high of Rs 617.6 as its net profit surges 70.4% YoY to Rs 72.2 crore in Q4FY23. Revenue grows by 18.1% YoY to Rs 863.1 crore backed by growth in contract work and property investments. It appears in a screener for top price gainers since market open.

  • Tencent Cloud Europe BV, a foreign direct investor, sells a 2.1% stake in PB Fintech in a bulk deal on Friday.

  • Reports suggest that 37.4 lakh shares (0.2% equity) of Ambuja Cements, amounting to Rs 159 crore, change hands in a large trade.

  • Sunteck Realty is falling as its Q4FY23 consolidated net profit drops 547.7% YoY to Rs 27.9 crore due to higher construction, development and inventory costs. Its revenue also dips 65.4% YoY and appears in a screener of stocks with declining revenue and profits.

  • Bharat Heavy Electricals is rising despite its Q4FY23 consolidated net profit falling 33.1% YoY to Rs 611 crore due to a rise in raw material and finance costs. However, the firm's revenue rises by 1.9% YoY. It appears in a screener for companies with high momentum scores.

  • Clean Science & Technology is falling as reports suggest that 3.95% of the company's equity, amounting to Rs 594 crore, change hands in a large trade.

  • Balkrishna Industries falls as its net profit decreases by 30.9% YoY to Rs 259.8 crore in Q4FY23 due to increased inventory expenses. Its revenue also dips by 4% YoY on the back of a reduction in net sales in Q4FY23. It appears in a screener of stocks with reduced MF holdings in the past quarter.

  • Sun Pharmaceuticals falls despite its net profit rising to Rs 1837.8 crore in Q4FY23, compared to a net loss of Rs 1996.5 crore in Q4FY22, due to a reduction in raw material expenses. Its revenue increases by 18.2% YoY, driven by robust growth in India and US formulation sales and global specialty sales. It appears in a screener of stocks representing top Indian listed exporter companies.

  • Oil & Natural Gas Corp's net profit plunges 64.8% YoY to Rs 3,715.5 crore in Q4FY23. Revenue increases 5.2% YoY, while EBITDA margin decreases by 354 bps YoY due to a rise in raw materials, finance, employee benefits, and exploration costs. The company features in a screener of stocks that released their results in the past week, showing a decline in net profit YoY or QoQ.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company Ltd. (1,190.95, 8.27%), Macrotech Developers Ltd. (1,060.30, 3.93%) and Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. (1,330.15, 3.77%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Balkrishna Industries Ltd. (2,280.50, -7.64%), Adani Total Gas Ltd. (729.20, -4.14%) and Bosch Ltd. (18,329.00, -3.23%).

Movers and Shakers

33 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Mahindra Lifespace Developers Ltd. (440.05, 8.32%), ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company Ltd. (1,190.95, 8.27%) and Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. (83.00, 5.13%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Greaves Cotton Ltd. (133.05, -10.28%), GMR Airports Infrastructure Ltd. (40.55, -9.89%) and City Union Bank Ltd. (125.65, -9.86%).

Clean Science & Technology Ltd. (1428.70, -0.39%) was trading at 129.1 times of weekly average. Natco Pharma Ltd. (633.10, 0.52%) and Prince Pipes & Fittings Ltd. (637.30, 4.42%) were trading with volumes 12.9 and 7.8 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

23 stocks overperformed with 52-week highs,

Stocks touching their year highs included - Apollo Tyres Ltd. (392.30, -0.05%), Crisil Ltd. (3,722.15, 0.55%) and Cummins India Ltd. (1,744.05, 0.52%).

24 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company Ltd. (1,190.95, 8.27%) and Macrotech Developers Ltd. (1,060.30, 3.93%). 3 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Greaves Cotton Ltd. (133.05, -10.28%) and JK Lakshmi Cement Ltd. (667.75, -2.24%).

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The Baseline
26 May 2023
Five Interesting Stocks Today
  1. Deepak Nitrite: This chemical manufacturer rose by 9.5% in trade on Wednesday, marking its highest single-day gain in over 26 months. This uptrend follows the company’s announcement that its subsidiary, Deepak Chem Tech, has signed an MoU with the Gujarat Government to invest around Rs 5,000 crore in the state over the next four years. The company plans to manufacture specialty chemicals like phenol, acetone and bisphenol in Dahej and Nandesari, Gujarat.

    This sharp surge in the stock price comes despite the company’s subdued performance in Q4FY23. Its net profit has fallen 12.5% YoY to Rs 233.9 crore due to high input costs. Its revenue marginally increased by 4.8% YoY in Q4. However, it beat Trendlyne’s Forecaster profit estimates by 5.8%. The stock also shows up in a screener for companies with increasing net cash flows over the past two years.

    Going forward, the company plans to become the largest producer of solvents, as it believes this will help it benefit from import substitution. To achieve this goal, the management is aggressively expanding the firm’s production capacity. However, the expansion plans have encountered project delays, with the management announcing a delay in three of its projects. This includes the debottlenecking of its phenol plant, which was supposed to be commissioned in Q4FY23. It has now been delayed to Q1FY24. Similarly, the commissioning of its methyl isobutyl ketone (MIKB) and methyl isobutyl carbinol (MIBC) plants has been delayed by one quarter to Q1FY25. Only the commissioning of its photo chlorination and fluorination units seems to be on track.
  2. EIH: This hotel company rose 7.5% on May 18 and touched its 52-week high of Rs 218.5 per share as it posted a 5.7x growth in net profit to Rs 84.4 crore in Q4FY23. Revenue has shot up 111.7% YoY to Rs 637.1 crore, driven by industry-leading revenue per available room (RevPAR) of Rs 15,284. This growth has exceeded Trendlyne’s Forecaster estimates by 20.7% for revenue and 6.4% for net profit.

The company’s net cash flow turned positive for the first time in the past five quarters, owing to a reduction in debt. This has helped the company show up in a screener of stocks with improving return on capital employed (RoCE) in the past two years. EIH also leads the industry in RevPAR and average room rate (ARR), demonstrating its ability to command a premium.

MD and CEO Vikram Oberoi, expects further growth in occupancy levels and ARR, backed by strong domestic demand and the recovery of foreign occupancy in the winter season.

According to ICICI Direct, profitability is expected to remain healthy due to strong ARR and occupancy levels, particularly in key cities like Mumbai and Delhi with consistent demand. The broker has upgraded its rating on the hotel company to ‘Buy’ from ‘Hold’ with a target price of Rs 240, implying a potential upside of 18%.

  1. Dixon Technologies: This consumer electronics company has risen 10% since announcing its results on Tuesday evening and 20.6% over the past week till Friday. Its PE ratio is 85.3 (above the industry median), but it is trading below its 3 and 5-year historical PE averages. In Q4FY23, its net profit increased by 28.1% YoY to Rs 80.6 crore, while its revenue grew by 3.8% YoY. It beat Trendlyne Forecaster’s revenue and profit estimates by 1.5% and 9.6% respectively. The firm also shows up in a screener for companies with improving cash flows and high durability scores. 

This healthy Q4 performance was led by growth in home appliances and mobile business verticals. An increase in revenue contribution from original design manufacturers (ODM) has aided in margin improvement. Its EBITDA margin expanded by 110 bps YoY to 5.1%. But the growth in the white goods and lightning segments was subdued due to weak demand. 

Despite the healthy performance in Q4 and the stock’s uptrend, analysts’ views on the company’s prospects differ. While BoB Capital Markets maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on the firm due to its dominant position in the electronics manufacturing space and growing revenue contribution from the ODMs, ICICI Securities maintains its pessimistic outlook toward the company. It believes weakness in demand for white goods and durables will impact revenue growth in the near term.

The management expects to deliver ‘industry-leading’ growth in FY24 on the back of its robust order book, new client additions, and increasing production capacity. It expects further expansion of the EBITDA margin in FY24 given the increasing contribution from the ODM business and its backward integration efforts. 

  1. Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail (ABFRL): This retailing company hit a new 52-week low on Tuesday after reporting a net loss of Rs 187 crore in Q4FY23, compared to a net profit of Rs 43.6 crore in Q4FY22. This was due to an increase in expenses, which offset the demand for its apparel and lifestyle products. The company features in a screener of stocks with declining profits for the past three quarters. However, its revenue has increased by 26.2% YoY, beating Trendlyne’s Forecaster estimates by 3.9%. 

The company’s management states that the overall demand continues to be weak in the value and premium categories, which could likely affect the SSSG (same-store sales growth) and new store additions, especially for Pantaloons. Jagdish Bajaj, Managing Director, said, “The performance in metro cities continued to remain strong, but sales in Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities remained sluggish as inflationary pressures and weak consumer sentiments impacted demand.”

On the bright side, the Lifestyle brand posted its highest-ever Q4 revenue of Rs 1,535 crore, led by robust retail and strong e-commerce performance, while the Pantaloons segment has grown by 18% YoY, with an SSSG of 13% during the quarter.

Following the company’s results, ICICI Securities has downgraded its rating to ‘Add’ from ‘Buy’ and lowered the target price to Rs 220. The brokerage expects increased competitive intensity from online/offline players and a slower improvement in the profitability of emerging business. As a result, the company features in a screener of stocks where brokers have downgraded the target price or recommendation in the past month. 

  1. Narayana Hrudayalaya: This healthcare facilities provider has risen 9.3% until Friday after posting results on Monday. It also touched its new all-time high of Rs 880.8 on Wednesday. In Q4FY23, Narayana Hrudayalaya’s profit rose 151.2% YoY to Rs 173.1 crore, while its revenue increased by 30.1% YoY. It beat Trendlyne’s net profit Forecaster estimate by 11.5%. The company’s YoY profit growth also beat its industry’s profit growth of 41.4% YoY. The multispeciality private hospital appears in a screener for stocks with growth in quarterly profit and profit margin. 

According to Emmanuel Rupert, Managing Director and Group CEO, Narayana Hrudayalaya achieved its highest-ever revenue and profitability due to a rise in patient footfalls, along with improvements in the specialty and payor mix. He added, “The performance improvement is supported by the growth in business across our flagship units, other hospitals, and newer hospitals, in addition to the increased contribution of international patients.” The average revenue per occupied bed has increased by 11% YoY to Rs 36,986 per day.

The management expects the India business to grow at the current pace and has guided an aggressive capex of Rs 1,100 crore for FY24.

ICICI Direct maintains a ‘Buy’ call on the healthcare facilities provider on the back of improved occupancy levels, ramp-up in new hospitals, and consistent performance at the Cayman Islands facility. According to Trendlyne’s Forecaster, the company has a consensus recommendation of ‘Strong Buy’ from nine analysts, of which five are ‘Strong Buy’, three ‘Buy’ and one ‘Hold’.

Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movements, analyst calls, or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
26 May 2023
Market closes higher, Mahindra & Mahindra's Q4 profit rises by 17.8% YoY to Rs 2,636.7 crore
Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 18,499.35 (178.2, 1.0%), BSE Sensex closed at 62,501.69 (629.1, 1.0%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 15,696.75 (141.5, 0.9%). Of the 1,947 stocks traded today, 1,045 were gainers and 843 were losers.




Indian indices closed in the green, with the Nifty 50 closing just below the 18,500 mark. Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, fell by around 5%. MedPlus Health Services rose almost 17.9% as its Q4 net profit jumped 127% YoY to Rs 27 crore.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green, following the benchmark index. Nifty PSU Bank and Nifty Media closed sharply above their Thursday’s close. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, Textiles, Apparels & Accessories was the top-performing sector of the day.

Major European indices traded in the red after opening in the green, on a volatile day of trade. However, Asian indices closed in the green, except for China’s Shanghai SE Composite Index, which closed lower. US indices futures traded flat as investors keep an eye on the US debt ceiling talk developments. Brent crude oil futures traded higher after falling nearly 2.7% on Thursday.






































Money flow index (MFI) indicates that stocks like Au Small Finance Bank, IndusInd Bank, Dixon Technologies (India) and Sanofi India are in the overbought zone.







Grasim Industries is falling as its Q4FY23 net profit drops 43.7% YoY to Rs 1,368.9 crore due to higher power and fuel expenses and raw material costs. However, the company's revenue rises by 16.2% YoY, driven by strong growth in its key subsidiaries. It appears in a screener for stocks with declining cash flow from operations.


Zee Entertainment Enterprises is rising despite its subdued Q4FY23 results. This comes after the National Company Law Appellate Tribunal (NCLAT) set aside the National Company Law Tribunal’s (NCLT) order directing the exchanges to reconsider the company's merger with Sony.


Mahindra & Mahindra is rising as its Q4FY23 net profit rises by 17.8% YoY to Rs 2,636.7 crore, while its revenue grows 24.8% YoY, led by robust sales volumes and product launches. It shows up in a screener for stocks with revenues increasing sequentially over the past four quarters.


Media stocks like Zee Entertainment, PVR INOX, Sun TV network, Network 18 media and TV18 broadcast are rising in trade. The broader Nifty Media index is also trading in the green.


Aster DM Healthcare's board is expected to review the proposals for the sale of its business in the Gulf Co-operation Council region. Binding bids from potential buyers will likely be received by the end of Q1FY24.


#4QWithCNBCTV18 | Aster DM board shall review the proposals for the sale of the co’s biz in the Gulf Co-operation Council region. Binding bids from potential buyers are likely to be received by the end of Q1 pic.twitter.com/aYYeUU7GNG
— CNBC-TV18 (@CNBCTV18Live) May 26, 2023


Gujarat State Fertilizer & Chemicals is declining as its Q4FY23 consolidated net profit falls 21.2% YoY to Rs 224.9 crore due to a rise in raw material and employee expenses. The firm’s revenue increases 14.8% YoY. It appears in the screener for stocks with undervalued growth stocks.


Karnataka Bank surges as it receives approval from the Reserve Bank of India for the appointment of Srikrishnan Hari Hara Sarma as the Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Bank.


Bharat Electronics' current annual RoE stands at 21.5%, which is higher than it has been in the past five years.


MedPlus Health Services surges almost 20% as its net profit grows 127% YoY to Rs 27 crore in Q4FY23. Revenue improves by 30% YoY, while EBITDA margin expands 110 bps YoY. It shows up in a screener for high-gaining stocks since market open.


FMCG companies like Varun Beverages, Marico, Emami, Dabur India and Hindustan Unilever are rising in trade. All the constituents of the broader sectoral index Nifty FMCG are also trading in the green.


ICICI Direct downgrades its rating on NMDC to ‘Hold’ from ‘Buy’ and lowers the target price to Rs 115 from Rs 140. This implies an upside of 8.9%. The brokerage cites the declining trend in global iron ore prices over the past few months for the downgrade. It expects the company’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 3% over FY23-25.


GMM Pfaudler is rising as its Q4FY23 consolidated net profit surges 139.8% YoY to Rs 38.4 crore. The firm’s revenue also increases 25.6% YoY on the back of revenue rise in the India and overseas segments. It appears in a screener for stocks with good quarterly growth in recent results.


Tarun Sawhney, Vice-Chairman and Managing Director of Triveni Engineering and Industries, highlights the significant contribution of the ethanol business to the company's growth. He further states that the company's ethanol production capacity is expected to reach 21 crore litres in FY24.


#OnCNBCTV18 | A significant share of the expansion has arisen from the ethanol industry, with the ethanol capacity projected to reach 21 crore litres by FY24 & 31 crore litres by FY25. There is potential for sugar rates to increase up to ?37,000/tonne: Tarun Sawhney, Triveni… pic.twitter.com/et3PjxoPYr
— CNBC-TV18 (@CNBCTV18Live) May 26, 2023


IT stocks like Mphasis, LTIMindtree, HCL Technologies and Coforge are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty IT is also trading in the green.


Reliance Industries, Varun Beverages, Crisil and Avenue Supermarts are trading above their third resistance or R3 levels.


Aster DM Healthcare is falling as its Q4FY23 net profit falls 24.5% YoY to Rs 139.4 crore, while its revenue rises 19.2% YoY. The drop in profit is due to higher cost of medicines, consumables, and employee benefits expenses. The company features in a screener for stocks with improving book value per share for the past two years.


Praj Industries is rising with a 53% YoY increase in net profit to Rs 88.1 crore in Q4FY23, accompanied by a 140 bps YoY improvement in EBITDA margin. Its revenue grows 21.7% YoY due to robust growth in mobility solutions and sustainable aviation fuel. It appears in a screener of stocks with strong momentum.


Bharat Dynamics is rising despite a 42.2% YoY fall in its Q4FY23 net profit to Rs 152.7 crore. Its revenue also drops by 40% YoY due to delayed delivery of raw materials. It appears in a screener for stocks with revenue and net profit falling quarterly.


CLSA maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on Phoenix Mills with a target price of Rs 1,703. The brokerage estimates a CAGR of 21% in the company's retail rental income over FY23-27.


Brokerage Radar | CLSA on Phoenix Mills: Maintain Buy; Well capitalised to fund growth beyond FY27 #PhoenixMills @CLSAInsights #StockMarket @gophoenixing pic.twitter.com/heIktYUxTJ
— ET NOW (@ETNOWlive) May 26, 2023


Emami is rising despite its Q4FY23 consolidated net profit falling 59.4% YoY to Rs 144.4 crore on the back of higher raw material, staff, and administration expenses. The firm’s revenue rises 6.1% YoY. It appears in a screener for stocks that have been impacted by a weak monsoon.


Vodafone Idea is rising as its net loss contracts marginally by 2.2% YoY to Rs 6,418.9 crore in Q4FY23. Revenue improves by 2.9% YoY, backed by a strong subscriber mix and the addition of 4G subscribers. Its average revenue per user (ARPU) increases to Rs 135 from Rs 124. The company appears in a screener of stocks with improving return on assets (RoA) for the past two years.


Star Health and Allied Insurance Co falls over 5% in trade. Reports suggest that 1.1 crore shares (1.9% equity) of the company, amounting to Rs 594.5 crore, change hands.


Star Health Large Trade | 1.1 Cr Shares (1.9% Equity) Worth ?594.5 Cr Changes Hands at ?550/Sh pic.twitter.com/tmNzBL1WxN
— CNBC-TV18 (@CNBCTV18Live) May 26, 2023


Zee Entertainment Enterprises is rising despite posting a net loss of Rs 196 crore in Q4FY23 as compared to a net profit of Rs 181.9 crore in Q4FY22. Its bottom line drops due to a loss of Rs 123.4 crore from discontinuing operations and an exceptional loss of Rs 90 crore. Its consolidated revenue falls 9.1% YoY as advertisement and subscription revenue dips.

Reports suggest that 1 crore shares (2.3% equity) of PB Fintech (Policy Bazaar), amounting to Rs 616.2 crore, change hands in a large trade.

PB Fintech Large Trade | 1 cr shares (2.3% Equity) worth ?616.2 Ccr changes hands at an avg Rs 605/Sh pic.twitter.com/FzL6lhemwg
— CNBC-TV18 (@CNBCTV18Live) May 26, 2023


AiA Engineering is falling despite its Q4FY23 consolidated net profit rising 37.8% YoY to Rs 268.1 crore on the back of falling freight outward expenses. The firm’s revenue is up 18.1% YoY. It appears in a screener for stocks with high momentum scores.

Page Industries falls as its net profit dips 58.9% YoY to Rs 78.4 crore in Q4FY23, with revenue dropping 12.8% YoY. It comes on the back of lower consumption and higher inventory levels. It appears in a screener of stocks with declining net profit and profit margin YoY.

Steel Authority of India’s Q4FY23 net profit drops 53.2% YoY to Rs 1,159.2 crore as employee expenses rise. Revenue falls by 5.3% YoY on the back of subdued growth in its Rourkela, Bokaro and IISCO steel plants. The company’s EBITDA margin drops 4.1 percentage points YoY to 10%. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with declining net cash flows.



Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Info Edge (India) Ltd. (4,197.75, 7.62%), Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd. (190.80, 6.68%) and Indus Towers Ltd. (156.65, 6.10%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Page Industries Ltd. (37,501.30, -8.80%), Star Health and Allied Insurance Company Ltd. (534.85, -8.38%) and Adani Transmission Ltd. (850.10, -4.67%).

Crowd Puller Stocks

38 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Medplus Health Services Ltd. (813.10, 17.88%), eClerx Services Ltd. (1,538.30, 9.01%) and Eureka Forbes Ltd. (404.00, 8.12%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Page Industries Ltd. (37,501.30, -8.80%), Star Health and Allied Insurance Company Ltd. (534.85, -8.38%) and AIA Engineering Ltd. (2,800.45, -3.76%).

Praj Industries Ltd. (374.30, 4.88%) was trading at 18.4 times of weekly average. Prince Pipes & Fittings Ltd. (610.30, 4.23%) and GMM Pfaudler Ltd. (1,447.95, -1.75%) were trading with volumes 9.9 and 9.1 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

24 stocks took off, crossing 52-week highs, while 4 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Apollo Tyres Ltd. (392.50, 0.85%), Bajaj Auto Ltd. (4,615.95, -0.60%) and Balkrishna Industries Ltd. (2,438.70, -0.29%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd. (190.80, 6.68%) and Page Industries Ltd. (37,501.30, -8.80%).

16 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including JM Financial Ltd. (71.30, 6.66%) and Macrotech Developers Ltd. (1,020.25, 5.40%). 8 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Vardhman Textiles Ltd. (321.80, -1.67%) and APL Apollo Tubes Ltd. (1,128.35, -1.64%).
Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
25 May 2023
Market closes higher, Oil India's Q4FY23 net profit falls 17.7% YoY to Rs 1,742.8 crore

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 18,321.15 (35.8, 0.2%), BSE Sensex closed at 61,872.62 (98.8, 0.2%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 15,555.25 (39.3, 0.3%). Of the 1,946 stocks traded today, 1,022 were in the positive territory and 857 were negative.

Indian indices recovered from their day lows and closed in the green, on a volatile day of trade. The benchmark Nifty 50 index closed above the 18,300 mark. Oil India’s share price fell over 3.1% after its Q4FY23 net profit decreased by 17.7% YoY to Rs 1,742.8 crore. Reserve Bank of India's Governor Shaktikanta Das said that India's FY23 GDP growth could exceed the RBI's advance estimate of 7% due to the economic momentum maintained in Q3 and Q4FY23.

Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green, following the benchmark index. Nifty FMCG and Nifty Metal closed higher than Wednesday’s close. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, Telecom Services was the top-performing sector of the day.

Major European indices traded flat or lower as Germany’s economy entered a technical recession as the country’s GDP contracted QoQ for a second consecutive quarter. However, Asian indices closed mixed but US indices futures traded in the green. Brent crude oil futures traded in the red after rising for four straight trading sessions.

  • Relative strength index (RSI) indicates that stocks like Cholamandalam Financial Holdings, Indigo Paints, Dixon Technologies (India) and Intellect Design Arena are in the overbought zone.

  • Apar Industries, CreditAccess Grameen, Gujarat Fluorochemicals and Mahanagar Gas outperform their industries in terms of annual growth and capital returns.

  • Finolex Cables, Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals and City Union Bank fall 6.8%, 5.4% and 2% respectively over the past week, ahead of their Q4FY23 results tomorrow.

  • Abbott India, Tata Elxsi, Sanofi India and Bajaj Auto are trading above the second resistance or R2 level.

  • Kolte-Patil Developers’ Q4FY23 net profit jumps 323.4% YoY to Rs 116.7 crore, while its revenue surges by 111.9% YoY driven by robust demand. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with strong annual EPS growth.

  • Hotel stocks like Indian Hotels Co, EIH, Chalet Hotels and Lemon Tree Hotels are rising in trade. The broader Hotels industry is also trading in the green.

  • Piramal Pharma is surging as it posts a net profit of Rs 50.11 crore in Q4FY23, compared to a net loss in Q3FY23. Its revenue falls by 1% YoY due to ongoing expansions. It appears in a screener of stocks with low DVM scores.

  • Hindustan Zinc is falling as its promoter, Vedanta, pledges a 3.3% stake (or 13.9 crore shares) to Axis Trustee Services. This takes Vedanta's holding in Hindustan Zinc to 7.6%.

  • Oil India is falling as its Q4FY23 consolidated net profit decreases 17.7% YoY to Rs 1,742.8 crore on the back of increasing input costs and employee expenses. The firm’s revenue dips 13.7% YoY due to subdued growth in the crude oil and refinery products segments. It appears in the screener for stocks with low PE ratios.

  • Hindware Home Innovation surges despite a 40.3% YoY fall in Q4FY23 profit to Rs 22.3 crore, but its revenue rises 12.1% YoY. The profit decrease is due to a rise in inventory, finance, and power and fuel expenses. The company features in a screener for stocks trading near their 52-week high.

  • Cummins India is rising as its Q4FY23 net profit surges 61.3% YoY to Rs 348.91 crore and its EBITDA margin grows by 300 bps YoY. Its revenue increases 29% YoY on the back of robust growth in sales of engines and lubes. It appears in a screener of stocks with high TTM EPS growth.

  • Tata Motors is falling as UBS resumes a ‘Sell’ rating on the company with a target price of Rs 450. The brokerage expects Tata Motor’s passenger vehicle market share to peak due to a weak launch pipeline. It adds that the market underestimates the EV risks relating to Jaguar Land Rover.

  • The sectoral index Nifty FMCG is trading in the green and hits an all-time high. FMCG stocks like ITC, United Breweries and Tata Consumer Products are rising in trade.

  • Porinju Veliyath sells a 0.3% stake inHindware Home Innovation. He now holds a 9.3% stake in the company.

  • Axis Direct downgrades Shree Cements to 'Hold' from 'Buy' but increases target price to Rs 26,850 from Rs 26,700, implying an 11.1% upside. The brokerage cites expensive valuation for the downgrade but remains optimistic on the back of strong cement demand from higher government spending. It expects 12% CAGR revenue growth over FY22-25.

  • Indian rupee depreciates 10 paise to 82.76 against the US dollar in early trade today due to increased demand for the dollar.

  • Commercial Services & Supplies stocks like Adani Enterprises, eMudhra, Engineers India, Container Corporation of India and Delta Corp rise in the past week. The broader commercial services & supplies sector surges by over 15% in the same period.

  • Trident is falling as its Q4FY23 net profit decreases 28.4% YoY to Rs 129.7 crore and its EBITDA margin contracts by 102 bps YoY to 17.1%. The firm’s revenue has also dipped by 15.9% YoY on the back of sluggish domestic and export demand.

  • Metals prices decline around 2-5% overnight. This is due to weak economic conditions and rising Covid cases in China, among other factors.

  • FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) remains flat as its net profit dips by 71% YoY to Rs 2.4 crore in Q4FY23 on the back of a muted fashion business. However, its revenue rises by 33.2% YoY. It appears in a screener of stocks with declining net cash flow.

  • Ircon International remains flat despite a surge in Q4FY23 net profit by 6.1% YoY to Rs 257 crore on the back of reduced inventory costs and robust growth in revenue from domestic customers. Its revenue also rises by 31.3% YoY. It appears in a screener of stocks with improving RoA for the past two years.

  • Jefferies maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on Indian Hotels Co with a target price of Rs 425. The brokerage says the company is gaining from its multi-brand strategy and diverse offerings.

  • National Aluminium Co's Q4FY23 net profit declines 51.7% YoY to Rs 495 crore due to higher input costs, while its revenue falls 15.4% YoY on lower sales from its aluminium business segment. It shows up in a screener for stocks with revenue declining sequentially over the past three quarters.

  • Life Insurance Corp of India is rising as its net profit increases 5.5x to Rs 13,427.8 crore in Q4FY23. However, its premium earned reduces by 8.3% due to lower premiums from pension participating, life non-participating and pension non-participating segments. The insurer's asset quality improves as gross NPA declines by 347 bps YoY.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Zomato Ltd. (67.30, 4.42%), JSW Energy Ltd. (258.70, 3.60%) and Cummins India Ltd. (1,650.15, 3.44%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. (32.00, -5.47%), Max Healthcare Institute Ltd. (536.70, -3.77%) and Oil India Ltd. (260.60, -3.36%).

Crowd Puller Stocks

29 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Star Cement Ltd. (133.80, 7.25%), J B Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (2,054.85, 7.02%) and Sanofi India Ltd. (6,775.40, 5.81%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Bharat Dynamics Ltd. (1,007.20, -5.39%), TTK Prestige Ltd. (699.65, -3.44%) and Borosil Renewables Ltd. (483.00, -3.10%).

Fine Organic Industries Ltd. (4,461.95, -0.93%) was trading at 14.1 times of weekly average. Aster DM Healthcare Ltd. (278.15, 5.56%) and Chalet Hotels Ltd. (432.55, 3.01%) were trading with volumes 11.4 and 9.9 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

25 stocks overperformed with 52-week highs,

Stocks touching their year highs included - Apollo Tyres Ltd. (389.20, 1.41%), Bajaj Auto Ltd. (4,644.00, 2.80%) and Balkrishna Industries Ltd. (2,445.75, 2.91%).

15 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including J B Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (2,054.85, 7.02%) and Esab India Ltd. (3,655.00, 3.45%). 8 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Trident Ltd. (32.55, -6.33%) and Ashok Leyland Ltd. (145.50, -3.26%).

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The Baseline
24 May 2023
India gets a boost from foreign investors | Outperforming stocks with rising FII holdings
By Tejas MD

In the first two months of 2023, Indian indices fell around 4.5%. Market observers suggested that India was 'out' as the emerging market investors were betting on. The new favorites would be China and Taiwan.

But fast forward to now, and there's been a remarkable recovery - the benchmark Nifty 50 index has risen over 9% from the year’s low, and now stands 3% away from its all-time high, which it hit in December last year.

What is driving the momentum? A key factor is the increasing bullishness of foreign institutional investors (FII) on India. FII inflows into Indian equities accelerated in May. And one reason the Indian market is becoming more attractive to foreign investors, is the risk of the US defaulting on its debt.  

If President Joe Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy cannot reach a deal to raise the US debt ceiling by June 1, there is a real possibility that the US Treasury will run out of money, and default on its payments.

However, such back-and-forth negotiations and threats are typical in the United States before an agreement. The last debt-ceiling standoff happened as recently as 2021. While the likelihood of a default is low - few US elected officials actually want to see a humiliating default happen on their watch - the uncertainty has cast a shadow over the US stock market and prompted investors to move money into alternate investment destinations until an agreement is reached.

But this is not the only reason FIIs are investing in Indian equities.

Let’s dive in.

In this week’s Analyticks:

  • FIIs have increased their investments into India. Is this a blip, or will it last?
  • Screener: Stocks with rising FII holding, strong performance in Q4FY23 and outperforming the Nifty 50

Will the FII inflow into Indian equities continue?

The IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva was not a cheerful person at the start of the new year. She had some tough words about the global economy: "2023 is going to be harder and more stressful than 2022," she said, "with recessions in multiple parts of the world." 

As economies slow down, investors are struggling to find 'safe' securities and countries to invest in. India, which is expected to be among the fastest-growing economies in the world in 2023 and has zero likelihood of a recession, is an attractive option.  

India’s retail inflation also fell to 4.7% in April and is currently below the RBI’s upper tolerance limit of 6% for the second consecutive month. The RBI paused repo rate hikes as inflation went down, which has attracted foreign investors.

Logically, another investment destination would be China, where the interest rate is currently at 3.65% and has been on pause for nine months. But China is not very popular these days in the West after the supply chain issues during the pandemic, and as the US-China relationship deteriorated.

India in comparison, looks like a Goldilocks destination for institutional investors - not too hot, not too cold, a low-inflation, growing economy that’s not picking fights. 

As the Adani cloud lifts, FIIs turn bullish

The recent rise in FII inflows comes after investors pulled money out of Indian equities in January. China was reopening, and the Adani-Hindenburg crisis had raised questions about the health of the Indian stock market.

But since March, there has been a consistent inflow of FII funds into Indian stocks. This has continued through April and May. 

In May, FIIs have invested (net) in Indian equities in every single trading session. In fact, their 16-day buying streak is still active as of May 22, and is the longest streak in three years. FIIs are favoring the auto and auto components sector as the sector saw FII inflows every month.  

US investors may be parking money into foreign equities (like India) until a last-minute agreement is reached to raise the debt ceiling. This could mean a sharp outflow of FII funds once US President Biden and House Republican Speaker McCarthy make a deal. 

Despite potential short-term outflow concerns, FII inflows into India could continue to rise as the country is expected to be one of the fastest-growing economies in the world this year. This is despite the IMF and foreign brokeragesloweringIndia’s GDP growth projection for 2023. 

Indian retail inflation moderates, RBI pauses rate hike

The RBI’s decision to pause interest rate hikes in its May meeting, has boosted investments into India. Devang Shah, co-head of fixed income at Axis MF, evenanticipates 50 bps of rate cuts in the next 12 months.

Morgan Stanley also expects rate cuts in early 2024. Usually, equity markets become more attractive as interest rates decrease, and investors increase their asset allocation in stocks. 

The US Fed and the European Central Bank, on the other hand, have continued with their rate hikes in May. While the US Fed is expected to keep the same rate at its next meeting, a rate hike is on the cards for the ECB due to high inflation levels in Europe. 

India seems to be doing better here. Inflation in India has fallen due to decreasing fuel and food prices, which are major components of the CPI. 

While inflation in the US, UK and EU softenedover the past six months, it is still over expected levels. When asked about the rocketing food prices in the UK, former minister for employment, Anne Widdecombe, said, “Don’t make cheese sandwiches if you can’t afford them.”

The global landscape looks chaotic. Biden and McCarthy are fighting in the media, China is battling sanctions, and the UK is worried about the price of sandwiches. India looks like a safer bet in comparison for foreign investors, and the benchmark Nifty 50 index reflects that belief.  


Screener: Stocks with rising FII holding, strong performance in Q4FY23 and outperforming the Nifty 50

With the shareholding data for Q4FY23 in hand, we take a look at stocks that have seen the highest rise in foreign institutional investor (FII) holdings. This screenerconsists of stocks that FIIs bought in Q4, with strong financial performance, and which also outperformed their industries and the Nifty 50 index.

The stocks in the screener are from industries like banks, IT consulting & software, auto parts & equipment, pharmaceuticals and heavy electrical equipment. Major stocks in the screener are Equitas Small Finance Bank, Sona BLW Precision Forgings, Syngene International, KPIT Technologies, CG Power & Industrial Solutionsand Adani Enterprises

Equitas Small Finance Bank saw the highest rise in FII holding, with an increase of 18.6 percentage points QoQ to reach 22.7% in Q4FY23. While funds like Ellipsis Partners LlC and Massachusetts Institute of Technology bought a 2.5% stake each, Rimco India purchased 2.1%. The bank’s stock price surged 17% over the past month, boosted by strong Q4FY23 results.

Sona BLW Precision Forgings saw its FII holding rise by 13.4 percentage points QoQ to 35.3% during the quarter. While major buyers of the auto parts & equipment stock were the Government of Singapore and Fidelity Funds, which bought 4.1% and 1.3% stake respectively, BNP Paribas Arbitrage increased its stake by 130 bps. The stock grew 14.4% over the past month, owing to a 35.3% YoY improvement in revenue for the quarter.

Syngene International saw a 6.4 percentage point QoQ improvement in its FII holding, totalling to 23.3% in Q4FY23. The Government of Singapore was the biggest buyer as it bought a 3.9% stake in the pharmaceutical company. Its net profit rose 20.9% YoY, while revenue surged 31.2% YoY in Q4FY23. This helped the stock grow by 13.3% over the past month.

You can find more screeners here.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
24 May 2023
Market closes lower, India Cements posts a net loss of Rs 226.9 crore in Q4FY23

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 18,285.40 (-62.6, -0.3%), BSE Sensex closed at 61,773.78 (-208.0, -0.3%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 15,515.95 (-28.8, -0.2%). Of the 1,957 stocks traded today, 925 were in the positive territory and 971 were negative.

Indian indices settled in the red after switching between losses and gains, with the volatility index, Nifty VIX, rising by over 3.5%. The benchmark Nifty 50 index fell over 60 points and closed below the 18,300 mark. Dixon Technologies rose around 7.2% after its Q4 net profit increased by 28.1% YoY to Rs 80.6 crore with its EBITDA margin expanding by 110 bps YoY to 5.1%.

Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green, despite the benchmark index closing in the red. Nifty Media and Nifty Bank closed lower than Tuesday's level. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, hardware technology & equipment was the top-performing sector of the day.

Major Asian indices closed in the red amid weak global cues. European indices traded lower, in line with the US indices futures, which also traded in the red. Brent crude oil futures traded higher after rising over 2% on Tuesday. Investors look ahead to the Federal open market committee's (FOMC) May meeting minutes, to be released later today.

  • Astral beats Supreme Industries in QoQ & YoY revenue and profit growth, broker average target upside percentage and annual RoCE. But it lags in PE ratio, one-year price change, annual RoE and FII holdings.

  • Mahindra & Mahindra sells its entire 3.19% stake in Mahindra CIE Automotive at a gross price of Rs 447.7 per share.

  • Hindalco Industries is falling as its Q4FY23 net profit declines by 37.4% YoY to Rs 2,411 crore due to rising inventory costs, power & fuel expenses and employee costs. Its revenue rises by a marginal 0.2% YoY on the back of subdued growth across most of its business segments.

  • Dixon Technologies, Deepak Nitrite and Affle (India) are trading above their third support or S3 levels.

  • Consumer durables stocks like Dixon Technologies, Amber Enterprises India, Orient Electric and Blue Star are rising in trade. The broader sectoral indices Nifty Consumer Durables and BSE Consumer Durables are also trading in the green.

  • Ceat and Apollo Tyres touch their 10-year highs of Rs 2,079 and Rs 385 respectively. While Ceat has risen 47.8% in the past month, the other increased by 14.5%.

  • Galaxy Surfactants is falling as its Q4FY23 net profit drops by 8% YoY to Rs 90.5 crore and revenue declines by 7% YoY. This comes on the back of a decrease in sales volumes and rising inventory expenses. It features in a screener for stocks with negative breakdowns at second support.

  • Investec maintains its ‘Sell’ rating on Shree Cements with a target price of Rs 17,010. According to the brokerage, the company has guided for a lower fuel benefit in Q1FY24.

  • India Cements is falling as its posts a net loss of Rs 226.9 crore in Q4FY23, compared to a net profit in Q3FY23. However, revenue increases by 16% YoY to Rs 1,485.7 crore. It shows up in a screener of stocks where promoters have increased their pledged shares in the company.

  • Bikaji Foods International surges as its Q4FY23 net profit increases by 51.6% YoY to Rs 37.7 crore due to a 40% YoY increase in other income sources. Revenue rises by 15% YoY. It appears in a screener for stocks with low debt.

  • Dixon Technologies is rising as its Q4FY23 net profit rises 28.1% YoY to Rs 80.6 crore, aided by reduced inventory costs. Its revenue grows 3.8% YoY and EBITDA margin expands by 110 bps YoY to 5.1%. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with high TTM EPS growth.

  • Deepak Nitrite's arm Deepak Chem Tech inks a memorandum of understanding with the Gujarat Government to invest around Rs 5,000 crore for setting up projects to manufacture speciatity chemicals in the next four years.

  • ICICI Securities downgrades its rating on Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail to ‘Add’ from ‘Buy’ and lowers the target price to Rs 210 from Rs 330. This implies an upside of 4.7%. The brokerage cites the company’s weak profit growth in emerging businesses, a slowdown in retail expansion, increasing competitive intensity and increasing debt for the downgrade.

  • Reports suggest that 4.94 lakh shares (0.1% equity) of InterGlobe Aviation (Indigo), amounting to Rs 113.1 crore, change hands in a block deal.

  • Polyplex Corp plunges more than 5% in trade as its net profit declines 93.3% YoY to Rs 20.3 crore in Q4FY23 and revenue reduces by 11.6% YoY. EBITDA margin contracts 16.8 percentage points YoY due to a rise in employee benefits, finance and power & fuel expenses. It features in a screener of high-volume and top-losing stocks.

  • Fortis Healthcare trades flat despite its Q4FY23 net profit surging 95% YoY to Rs 132.6 crore and revenue rising 20% YoY. This robust performance comes on the back of the reallocation of funds to core business and increased capacity. It appears in a screener of stocks with overbought stocks, according to MFI.

  • GMR Power and Urban Infra is declining as its Q4FY23 net loss widens by 121% YoY to Rs 473.1 crore due to a 54.2% YoY increase in the purchase of traded goods. Revenue rises by 17.9% YoY, led by the power segment. It appears in a screener for stocks with low Piotroski scores.

  • RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das expects May retail inflation to be lower than 4.7%. He adds that India’s FY23 GDP will likely grow higher than the earlier forecast of 7%.

  • Shriram Properties is rising as its subsidiary, Shrivision Elevations, acquires 100% development rights of the Divine City project in Chennai. The project has a revenue potential of Rs 1,200 crore in the next five years. The company is also planning to launch two new projects in Chennai in the next 12-18 months.

  • Biocon is rising as its Q4FY23 net profit increases 31% YoY to Rs 313 crore and its EBITDA margin expands 270 bps YoY. Its revenue surges 59% YoY on robust growth in advanced and emerging markets, and Research Services - Syngene. It appears in a screener for stocks with improving book value per share for the past two years.

  • Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals is rising as 65.2 lakh shares (1% equity) of the company, amounting to Rs 176.5 crore, change hands, according to reports.
  • Metro Brands' Q4FY23 profit falls by 0.4% to Rs 68.5 crore, despite a 35.1% rise in revenue. The decline is due to higher inventory, employee benefits and depreciation expenses. The company shows up on a screener for stocks with improving net cash flow for the past two years.

  • JSW Energy is rising despite its Q4FY23 net profit falling 68.5% YoY to Rs 272.1 crore due to a 54.7% YoY increase in fuel costs. Its revenue rises by 9.4% YoY to Rs 2,670 crore, led by robust growth in its thermal business segment. The company shows up in a screener for stocks with low Trendlyne durability scores.

  • Reports suggest that 1.2 crore shares (3.2% equity) of Mahindra CIE Automotive, amounting to Rs 560 crore, change hands in a large trade.
  • Amara Raja Batteries' board approves the acquisition of 100% equity share capital of Amara Raja Power Systems from RNGalla Family for Rs 133 crore.

  • Ashok Leyland rises as its consolidated net profit surges by 436% YoY to Rs 752.53 crore in Q4FY23, while its EBITDA margin improves by 280 bps. Its revenue grows by 33% YoY on robust growth in bus market share, domestic LCV volumes, and truck market share. It features in a screener for stocks with consistent profit growth over the past 3 quarters.

  • NMDC’s Q4FY23 net profit rises 25% YoY to Rs 2,271.5 crore on the back of an exceptional income of Rs 1,237.3 crore. However, the firm’s operational performance is lackluster, with a 12.7% YoY decline in revenue to Rs 5,851.4 crore due to subdued demand. Its EBITDA margin contracts by 320 bps YoY. The company shows up in a screener for companies with medium to low Trendlyne momentum scores.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Deepak Nitrite Ltd. (2,135.10, 9.49%), Dixon Technologies (India) Ltd. (3,514.30, 7.29%) and Laurus Labs Ltd. (334.80, 6.47%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Adani Enterprises Ltd. (2,475.60, -6.00%), Cummins India Ltd. (1,595.30, -5.31%) and Adani Wilmar Ltd. (464.30, -4.99%).

Crowd Puller Stocks

35 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Deepak Nitrite Ltd. (2,135.10, 9.49%), Indiabulls Real Estate Ltd. (62.85, 8.64%) and Engineers India Ltd. (108.55, 7.80%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Cummins India Ltd. (1,595.30, -5.31%), Eureka Forbes Ltd. (358.55, -4.41%) and Johnson Controls-Hitachi Air Conditioning India Ltd. (1,044.05, -4.34%).

Mahindra CIE Automotive Ltd. (474.30, 4.74%) was trading at 32.7 times of weekly average. Avanti Feeds Ltd. (379.40, 4.12%) and Metro Brands Ltd. (929.60, 5.58%) were trading with volumes 12.0 and 9.2 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

18 stocks overperformed with 52-week highs, while 2 stocks hit their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Apollo Tyres Ltd. (383.80, 1.24%), Ceat Ltd. (2,076.70, 5.18%) and Cummins India Ltd. (1,595.30, -5.31%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Aavas Financiers Ltd. (1,384.95, -0.06%) and Saregama India Ltd. (306.55, -2.19%).

15 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Deepak Nitrite Ltd. (2,135.10, 9.49%) and TV18 Broadcast Ltd. (34.20, 3.79%). 12 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Jindal Steel & Power Ltd. (510.15, -2.05%) and Info Edge (India) Ltd. (3,878.10, -1.91%).