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The Baseline
17 Apr 2025
Five Interesting Stocks Today - April 17, 2025
By Trendlyne Analysis

1.Delhivery:

This transport and logistics company rose by over 15.5% in the past week after announcing the acquisition of Ecom Express for over Rs 1,400 crore. Ecom is the second-largest player in the business-to-consumer (B2C) third-party logistics space after Delhivery. Together, the two companies would hold around 55–60% of the market share.

The acquisition was a fire sale by Ecom Express. Major clients like Meesho, Reliance, and Flipkart had reportedly cut back or stopped using Ecom’s services. This loss of big customers made it harder for Ecom to keep up with its costs. The company sold its business at nearly half the valuation it was looking at during its now-shelved IPO. 

Analysts believe Ecom's acquisition will help Delhivery offset the impact of clients like Meesho choosing to insource. Delhivery may also benefit from significant cost savings over the next 12-18 months by using the same facilities, like sorting hubs and delivery centers. However, some analysts do not expect the deal to boost earnings in the near term, as Ecom posted a net loss of Rs 2,600 crore in FY24, likely higher in FY25.

During the December quarter, the express parcel segment accounted for 63% of the company’s total revenue, while the partial truckload (PTL) segment made up 19%. The express parcel segment’s EBITDA margin dropped by 500 bps to 15.6%, due to higher vehicle rental costs. Sahil Barua, MD & CEO, expects this margin to stabilize at 17-20% in the coming quarters, helped by a shift to locked-in vehicle rental rates and better volumes, which will improve cost efficiency.

He said, “We are targeting a 25-30% volume growth in the PTL segment and expect margin improvement through better utilization in FY26.” Delhivery plans to open 50 dark stores (local warehouses for online orders) in the top eight cities and expects full-year revenue of Rs 80-100 crore from this initiative.

Emkay has given a ‘Buy’ rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 400. This indicates an upside of 42.3%. The brokerage expects smooth post-acquisition sales retention and network integration. Emkay projects a revenue growth of 16.3% and a net profit growth of 87.5% annually over FY25-27.

2. Kaynes Technology India:

This IoT solution provider for electronic components in the consumer durables sector rose 27% over the past week, as the US temporarily exempted tariffs on the consumer electronics industry. Rising tensions between the US and China is also expected to boost orders for Indian electronics manufacturers.

Apple's plan to manufacture more iPhones in India has raised expectations of new contracts for manufacturing components and assembly work, adding to Kayne’s positive outlook. 

Kaynes Technology designs and builds electronics for the automotive, industrial, aerospace, and consumer electronics industries. It plans to enter the manufacturing and assembly of high-density printed circuit boards (PCBs).

Trendlyne’s Forecaster expects the company’s revenue to grow by 51.4% YoY to Rs 1,009.8 crore in Q4FY25 and net profit by 42.4% YoY to Rs 115.8 crore.

However, the company lowered its FY25 revenue target to Rs 2,800 crore from Rs 3,000 crore due to delays in executing Rs 100 crore worth of industrial orders. For FY26, it aims to generate Rs 4,500 crore in revenue with margins above 15%.

Kaynes Technology is setting up a Rs 3,300 crore semiconductor facility in Gujarat under the India Semiconductor Mission. The investment follows a public-private partnership model, with the Central Government chipping in with 50%, the Gujarat Government 20%, and Kaynes Technology 30%. The plant will have a capacity of 6.3 million chips per day, with pilot production scheduled for June 2025.

Ramesh Kunhikannan, MD of Kaynes Technology, said, “We expect an annual capex of Rs 200–300 crore in the Electronics Manufacturing Services (EMS) business to support additional volumes in FY26 and FY27.” He added that exports could contribute 20–25% of revenue, up from the current 10%, and the railway business may see a significant resurgence through the Kavach program.

Motilal Oswal reiterates a “Buy” rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 6,500. The brokerage notes that the company holds a strong revenue growth momentum, supported by a healthy order book and steady order inflows. It projects a revenue CAGR of 56% and a PAT CAGR of 68% for FY25–27.

3. Olectra Greentech:

Thiselectric bus manufacturer has surged 13.9% over the past week, driven by a series of positive developments. On April 11, the company rose 5.8% aftersecuring an order worth Rs 424 crore from the Himachal Road Transport Corporation (HRTC) to supply 297 Electric Buses. 

On April 16, it gained 4.4% following thenews that the Indian government is set to launch a tender for the procurement of 10,000 electric buses under the PM E-Drive scheme. Convergence Energy Services (CESL) is expected to issue tenders next month for nine cities, with a Rs 3,000 crore subsidy.

Olectra Greentech’sQ3FY25 revenue rose 50.2% YoY to Rs 517.6 crore, driven by the sale of more buses and the introduction of higher-priced models. Trendlyne’sForecaster projects the company's revenue to grow 62.7% YoY and its net profit to surge 1.1X YoY in FY25 on the back of a strong order book.

The company’s net order book for electric busesstands at 10,224 units. Olectra Greentech aims to deliver around 2,500 buses in FY26 and is developing a new Greenfield electric vehicle manufacturing facility to meet the increasing demand.

The new facility is expected to ramp up significantly in the second half of FY26. B. Sharat Chandra, Chief Financial Officer,said, “We have built about 200 units per month, which we are ramping up to about 5,000 units per annum soon. Over a period of one year, we want to ramp up to about 10,000 units.” The second phase of construction, which includes adding robots for automation, is on track and should be finished in the next 3 to 4 months. However, the automation process will take another 6 months to complete.

Geojit BNP Paribasdowngrades the stock to ‘Accumulate’ rating, citing delays in the execution rate and a slow ramp-up in the order book for the year. The brokerage has also reduced its target price to Rs 1,485 from Rs 2,086.

4. Transformers & Rectifiers (India):

This heavy electrical equipment manufacturing company rose by 2.2% in the past week. It announced its Q4FY25 & full year results on April 8. The company’s Q4FY25 net profit jumped 135.8% YoY to Rs 94.2 crore, driven by a strong order book, while revenue rose 32.9%. The company’s management highlighted a sharp rise in order enquiries worth $3 billion (~Rs 25,700.7 crore) in FY25, and reported its highest-ever production at 29,118 MVAs, up from 16,425 MVAs in FY24. The stock also appears in a screener for strong momentum stocks.

The company missed Trendlyne’s forecaster Q4 revenue estimate by 6.1%, impacted by high exposure to State Electricity Boards (SEBs) which constitute a major chunk of its revenue and are known for late payments. It has also been due to volatility in copper and steel prices amid global trade tensions.

Chanchal Rajora, CFO at TARIL, said, “Looking ahead at FY26, we are entering the year with a robust unexecuted order book of Rs 5,132 crore and a well-diversified pipeline of inquiries from both domestic and international markets. We are committed to our long-term goal of reaching $1 billion(~Rs 8,555.9 crore) in revenue within the next 3 financial years, and we believe that we are well on track to achieve this vision.”

Mr. Rajora added, “In the next 15 months, the company will be spending Rs 550 crore on capex expansions to strengthen its organic as well as backward integration growth, with the target to become 100% backward integrated.” During the year, the company has also started a capacity expansion of 22,000 MVA at its Moraiya facilities, which is expected to be completed by February 2026.”

Nuvama Institutional Equities highlights that the current industry capacity stands at approximately 0.3 million MVA, while demand is around 0.4 million MVA and is projected to reach 0.7 million MVA by FY29. The brokerage highlights strong domestic and export demand amid tight supply for high-voltage transformer players, driving premium pricing. It sees a major market opportunity and maintains a 'Buy' rating with a target price of Rs 725.

5. Poonawalla Fincorp (PFL):

This non-banking financial company’s (NBFC’s) stock price rose 9.2% over the past week after it expanded its secured lending portfolio with the launch of its gold loan business. The company also plans to open 400 branches in FY26 to strengthen its presence in Tier 2 and 3 cities and foray into different loan segments.

The company announced another expansion to provide loans to shopkeepers on April 8. This targets small retailers and kirana stores, and includes cash flow, inventory, and customer management services. PFL plans to set up 44 branches across the country.

Speaking on the company’s expansion plans, its Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer, Arvind Kapil, said, “We have invested significantly over the last few months in rolling out multiple scalable lending businesses across the secured, unsecured and digital segments. These investments may have a four-quarter gestation period, resulting in low profitability due to high expenses.” 

In Q3FY25, the company’s net profit declined by 92.9% YoY to Rs 18.7 crore due to higher expenses for new businesses and a higher share of secured loans with low margins. Poonawalla Fincorp reported a 42.2% YoY growth in assets under management (AUM) to Rs 35,550 crore in Q4FY25

In its Q4FY25 results preview, KR Choksey expects Poonawalla Fincorp’s NII to rise 17.8% YoY, driven by strong AUM growth. However, the brokerage expects the lender’s net interest margin (NIM) to remain under pressure due to increasing borrowing costs and a shift in asset mix to lower margin loans. This is a dangerous game for a lender, considering the volatility of incomes for small businesses like kirana shops. It also estimates the firm’s net profit to decline 49.6% YoY during the quarter, caused by higher provisions against potential stress in the new businesses.

Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movements, analyst calls, or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
17 Apr 2025
Market closes higher, HDFC AMC's net profit beats Forecaster estimates by 8%
By Trendlyne Analysis

Upbeat trading today. Nifty 50 closed at 23,851.65 (414.5, 1.8%), BSE Sensex closed at 78,553.20 (1,508.9, 2.0%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 21,681.55 (277.2, 1.3%). Market breadth is in the green. Of the 2,441 stocks traded today, 1,467 were on the uptick, and 924 were down.

Indian indices closed higher after paring losses in the afternoon session. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, fell 2.7% and closed at 21.4 points. Waaree Renewable Technologies closed 9.3% higher as its revenue increased 74.4% YoY to Rs 476.6 crore during the quarter, driven by higher sales from the EPC contracts segment.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed higher. S&P BSE BANKEX and Nifty Financial Services Indices were among the top index gainers today. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, Fertilizers emerged as the best-performing sector of the day, with a rise of 4.3%.

Asian indices closed in the green. European indices are trading in the red. US index futures are trading higher, indicating a positive start to the trading session amid growing hopes of a tariff deal between the US and its key trading partners. Brent crude futures are trading higher due to supply concerns after the US imposed new sanctions on Iran’s oil exports.

  • Hindustan Zinc sees a long buildup in its April 24 futures series, with open interest increasing by 19.1% and a put-call ratio of 0.4.

  • HDFC Asset Management rises as its Q3FY25 net profit grows by 18.1% YoY to Rs 638.5 crore, beating Forecaster estimates by 8%. Revenue increases by 29.6% YoY, helped by higher assets under management (AUM). It features in a screener of stocks with increasing net profit and profit margin (QoQ).

  • Dalmia Bharat's wholly-owned subsidiary, Dalmia Cement (DCBL), receives a provisional attachment order of Rs 793.3 crore from the Enforcement Directorate (ED) in Hyderabad. The order is related to a 2011 case filed by the Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) over Dalmia Cement’s investments in Bharathi Cement Corporation.

  • Refex Industries rises as its subsidiary, Refex Green Mobility, exits Bengaluru airport EV taxi services to focus on scalable B2B and B2B2C electric mobility. The shift targets enterprise clients with end-to-end EV transport services and long-term demand.

  • Bengaluru-based real estate developer Prestige Group is reportedly planning to take its hotels business public through a Rs 4,000 crore IPO. The company’s board has approved the IPO plan, and work on the draft red herring prospectus (DRHP) is in advanced stages.

  • Hero MotoCorp is falling as it pauses production at Dharuhera, Gurugram, Haridwar, and Neemrana plants from April 17 to 19 due to short-term supply alignment.

  • Cello World is rising as Kotak Institutional Securities upgrades it to a ‘Buy’ rating but cuts its target price to Rs 710. The brokerage notes that the ramp-up in production capacity will likely weigh on EBITDA margins by 50–100 basis points in the near term. It expects a 12% EPS CAGR over FY25–27.

  • Alembic Pharmaceuticals receives final approval from the US FDA for its abbreviated new drug application (ANDA) for Carbamazepine Tablets. The drug is a therapeutic equivalent of Novartis Pharma’s Tegretol and is used as an anticonvulsant for treating certain types of seizures and bipolar disorder. According to IQVIA, the drug has a market size of $32 million as of 2024.

  • Fitch Ratings cuts India’s GDP growth forecast by 10 bps to 6.4% for the current fiscal, citing risks from a worsening global trade war. Projections for the next year remain unchanged. Fitch flags high US trade policy uncertainty, which is weighing on business investment, reducing household wealth, and hurting US exporters.

  • Ashish Kacholia reveales a 1.9% stake in Quadrant Future Tek during Q4FY25. The company debuted on the stock market in January, with its IPO oversubscribed by 186.7 times.

  • Dolly Khanna buys a 1% stake in Som Distilleries & Breweries in Q4FY25. She now holds a 2.4% stake in the company.

  • SML Isuzu's board appoints Yasushi Nishikawa as the new Managing Director (MD) and Chief Executive Officer (CEO), succeeding Junya Yamanishi, effective April 17.

  • Federal Bank becomes the fourth private lender to cut savings account rates by 25 bps after the RBI's repo rate cut. It reduces the rate on deposits up to Rs 50 lakh to 2.8%. Annual interest rates on deposits between Rs 50 lakh-Rs 5 crore are cut to 3.5%, and Rs 5-50 crore are cut to 5.3%.

  • Suzlon bags 100.8 MW wind order from Sunsure Energy. The company will supply 48 S120 wind turbine generators (WTGs) with hybrid lattice towers (HLT), each rated at a 2.1 MW capacity. The firm shows up in a screener of stocks where FIIs increase stakes in Q4FY25.

  • DLF rises as it signs a master framework agreement (MFA) to sell its Kolkata-based IT/ITeS SEZ (IT/ IT enabled services special economic zone) business to Srijan Group and its subsidiaries for Rs 693 crore. The deal is expected to close within 12 months.

  • MSTC receives a Rs 178.4 crore tax demand from the Income Tax Department for AY 2024-25. The company plans to challenge the assessment and file an appeal before the Commissioner of Income Tax.

  • Goldman Sachs upgrades KEI Industries to 'Buy' call but cuts price target to Rs 2,980. The brokerage cites favourable risk-reward as a key reason for its upgrade. It expects cable and wire companies to benefit from ongoing power and infrastructure capex in the near term, though growth may moderate by FY27.

  • One 97 Communications (Paytm) is falling as its Managing Director and CEO, Vijay Shekhar Sharma, voluntarily gives up all 2.1 crore employee stock options (ESOPs) granted to him under the One 97 Employees Stock Option Scheme, 2019. This results in a one-time, non-cash ESOP expense of Rs 492 crore in Q4FY25, with a corresponding reduction in ESOP expenses in the coming years.

  • Prestige Estates' FY25 sales decline 19% YoY to Rs 17,023 crore, missing the Rs 24,000-Rs 25,000 crore guidance due to delayed launches.

  • IDFC FIRST Bank's board of directors approves a preferential issue of equity capital worth Rs 4,876 crore to Currant Sea Investments, an affiliate of Warburg Pincus, and Rs 2,624 crore to Platinum Invictus, a subsidiary of Abu Dhabi Investment Authority.

  • The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) projects India’s economy to grow at 6.5% in 2025, slightly slower than in 2024 but supported by robust public spending and monetary easing. With global growth estimated at 2.3%, UNCTAD expects India to remain the fastest-growing economy. While trade policy uncertainty and food price volatility pose risks, growing South-South economic integration presents key opportunities.

  • Sonata Software falls sharply as the company expects lower international revenue in Q4 FY25 following a decline in business from its largest client. The international segment accounts for 25% of the company’s overall revenue in the December quarter.

  • Angel One is falling as its net profit drops 48.7% YoY to Rs 174.5 crore in Q4FY25. Revenue decreases 22.2% YoY to Rs 1,056 crore, driven by lower fees and commission income during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks underperforming their industry price change in the quarter.

  • Waaree Renewable Technologies rises sharply as its net profit grows 73.1% YoY to Rs 93.8 crore in Q4FY25. Revenue increases 74.4% YoY to Rs 476.6 crore during the quarter, driven by higher sales from the EPC contracts segment. The company appears in a screener of stocks with zero promoter pledges.

  • Wipro falls sharply as its Q4 revenue misses Forecaster estimates marginally by 0.4% despite rising 0.8% QoQ to Rs 22,504.2 crore, helped by an improvement in the American market. Net profit grows 6.4% QoQ to Rs 3,569.6 crore, driven by lower inventory, finance, software license, and marketing & brand building expenses. It appears in a screener of stocks with increasing revenue for the past three quarters.

  • Nifty 50 was trading at 23366.90 (-70.3, -0.3%) , BSE Sensex was trading at 76873.23 (-171.1, -0.2%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 21378.30 (-26.1, -0.1%)

  • Market breadth is in the green. Of the 1934 stocks traded today, 1142 were gainers and 752 were losers.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Bharti Hexacom Ltd. (1,583.10, 4.6%), Eternal Ltd. (231.60, 4.3%) and Gujarat Gas Ltd. (445.30, 3.7%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Wipro Ltd. (236.90, -4.3%), Divi's Laboratories Ltd. (5,640, -2.0%) and LTIMindtree Ltd. (4,191.90, -2.0%).

Volume Rockets

17 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Ujjivan Small Finance Bank Ltd. (42.10, 7.1%), Delhivery Ltd. (281.05, 6.8%) and KFIN Technologies Ltd. (1,105.80, 5.1%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Sonata Software Ltd. (314.70, -6.1%), Wipro Ltd. (236.90, -4.3%) and Endurance Technologies Ltd. (1,898, -2.1%).

India Cements Ltd. (288.40, 2.1%) was trading at 26.7 times of weekly average. The New India Assurance Company Ltd. (172.49, 3.4%) and Honeywell Automation India Ltd. (34,250, 0.0%) were trading with volumes 9.3 and 8.1 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

10 stocks made 52 week highs,

Stocks touching their year highs included - Bajaj Finserv Ltd. (2,035.30, 3.4%), Bharti Airtel Ltd. (1,889.10, 3.7%) and Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals Ltd. (673.60, 2.9%).

17 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including KFIN Technologies Ltd. (1,105.80, 5.1%) and Jammu & Kashmir Bank Ltd. (102.16, 4.0%). 5 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Caplin Point Laboratories Ltd. (1,951, -1.1%) and Godrej Agrovet Ltd. (762, -1.0%).

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The Baseline
16 Apr 2025
Top five: Stocks that could outperform in upcoming results | Screener: Stocks with high durability scores, high target prices
By Tejas MD

Does the tariff policy coming out of the US mean anything anymore? It seems pointless for markets to react to new announcements, since Trump could withdraw some tariffs in the morning and add new ones in the evening.

Still, global equities got some breathing room after Trump hit pause on the latest round of tariffs. But don’t get too comfortable. US policy has become volatile, and dangers lurk around every corner.

Fear gauges like the Nifty VIX and S&P 500 VIX have surged since Trump’s "liberation day." And now, with the Q4FY25 earnings season kicking off, there’s potential for more stock market turbulence. Morgan Stanley projects just 3% revenue growth for Nifty 50 companies—a 19-quarter low.

The real question is: which companies will beat that trend?

We have identified five stocks with the potential to beat both the overall index, and their industries. One company in the list has a fast-growing vertical that is defying the slowdown. Another has massive new international orders coming in, while a third has a reliable client that keeps on spending. They all have something unique about them.

In this week’s Analyticks: 

  • Five stocks to watch this results season: Five companies that could deliver high growth 
  • Screener: Stocks rising in the past quarter, with high durability scores and at least 20% target price upsides

The big winners: Five stocks expected to stand out in upcoming results

Heading into the Q4FY25 results, we shortlisted five stocks from the Nifty 500 that are predicted to post high revenue and net profit growth YoY and QoQ in Q4FY25, according to Trendlyne’s Forecaster. These companies have already set the bar high with strong results in the previous quarter.

Five stocks across industries have strong revenue and profit forecasts

All five stocks in the list—KEC International, Mastek, Larsen & Toubro, Endurance Tech, and Hindalco Industries—are from different sectors. While these stocks weakened in the past year due to the market downturn, they’ve outperformed the benchmark index over two years.

Short-term laggards, long-term winners vs Nifty 50

Due to the fall, Trendlyne’s Momentum scores for these companies range from neutral to weak. But high Durability and Valuation scores signal that these may be strong, undervalued picks. 

All stocks in focus have good Durability scores with strong fundamentals

T&D all the way: One segment becomes the star for KEC International

Industrials player KEC has got a boost from the Centre's capex push. The big revenue driver here is the company’s transmission and distribution (T&D) segment. In Q3FY25, the T&D business grew 17% YoY, with new orders surging an impressive 119% to Rs 16,000 crore. This momentum is expected to continue in Q4FY25. 

T&D and civil segment expected to improve KEC’s profitability

Analysts expect T&D margins to improve in the coming quarters due to a higher mix of T&D orders (54%) in the order book, and strong T&D traction in both domestic and international markets. 

Golden goose: Mastek eyes 50% growth in UK healthcare in FY26

This software and services company generates 56% of its revenue from the UK, with a significant portion coming from government contracts, especially with the NHS (National Health Service).

This is Mastek's golden goose, and has long been a growth driver for the GovTech-focused firm. In Q3FY25, UK revenue rose 13% YoY, helped by a rebound in UK’s overall healthcare spending.

Mastek’s revenue to rise YoY for the tenth straight quarter

Expectations for Q4 are positive, with revenue and net profit projected to grow YoY and QoQ. There is however, a word of caution. Recent news about cuts to NHS England’s administration, due to its merger with the Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC), led to high volatility in Mastek's share price. 

However, the management is optimistic and is projecting 40-50% revenue growth in UK healthcare next year due to the government’s modernisation commitment, including increased funding and a 10-year health plan. 

Going vroom: Endurance Tech rides EV momentum, with strong order wins and German expansion

Automotive component manufacturer Endurance Technologies has operations in India, Italy and Germany. It supplies aluminum castings, suspensions, transmissions, braking, and battery management systems.

Endurance Tech has been on a good streak. Strong order wins and good execution have led to rising revenue and net profit for the past nine quarters. This trend is expected to continue in Q4FY25. 

Endurance Tech’s strong order execution to continue in Q4FY25 

As of Dec'24, the company secured Rs 3,341 crore in new orders from India and €244 million from Europe. 84% of the latter is linked to EVs or hybrids. In India, the EV order backlog stands at Rs 960 crore, including orders from Bajaj Auto.

The company is expanding its presence in Europe, which contributes to around 23% of the total revenue. In December 2024, Endurance Tech acquired a 60% stake in Stoferle, a German company, for € 37.7 million to strengthen its presence in Germany. However, Trump’s new tariffs have led several European automakers to cut forecasts, which could weigh on demand for Endurance Tech. 

Super-sized orders. But can it deliver?: QatarEnergy deal powers L&T

On March 26, this Nifty 50 giant won its largest-ever project—an eye-popping $4 billion order from QatarEnergy LNG. The company’s order book is on the rise. As of Q3FY25, it reached Rs 5.64 trillion, with 58% from domestic projects and the remaining 42% from international markets.

The infrastructure projects segment continues to anchor growth, posting a 14.7% YoY revenue in Q3 and accounting for nearly half (49.5%) of total revenue in the quarter.

Analysts expect revenue and profit to grow YoY and QoQ in Q4FY25, driven by strong execution, especially in the international order book.

Strong order execution in the international segment to drive L&T's revenue

Despite the surge in new orders, investors are concerned about the company’s ability to execute such a massive order backlog while maintaining profitability. While these large order wins sound impressive, they can sometimes be margin-dilutive. 

Growth amid uncertainty: Capex-fueled growth for Hindalco, but tariffs cause jitters

On April 1, this metals and mining company announced a $10 billion capex plan through FY29 to scale production at Hindalco and its US subsidiary Novelis significantly.

The investment will fund capacity expansions across India's aluminium and copper operations, while Novelis aims to add approximately 800,000 tonnes of aluminium capacity globally by FY27. Following the investor day, brokerages including ICICI Securities, Anand Rathi, and Axis Direct reiterated their ‘Buy’ ratings, citing long-term growth potential.

Hindalco’s Indian business to drive revenue growth in Q4FY25

In Q3, the company’s aluminium upstream revenue rose 25% YoY, driven by higher average aluminium prices. Downstream aluminium revenue also increased 25% on the back of higher volumes. Analysts anticipate strong performance in Q4, led by strong growth in Indian operations.

However, shares are down 9.4% in April, impacted by recent tariff-related announcements.

Novelis, Hindalco’s US subsidiary, is largely insulated from tariffs due to its reliance on aluminium scrap, which isn’t tariffed. However, Hindalco's direct aluminium exports to the US are expected to decline due to the tariffs, which could affect profitability.


Screener: Stocks rising in the past quarter with high durability scores and 20%+ Forecaster target price upsides

Forecaster expects banking stocks to rise the most in the next year

As the Q4 results season kicks off, we look at stocks with the highest upside potential over the next 12 months, according to Trendlyne’s Forecaster. This screener shows stocks rising more than 5% in the past quarter with strong durability scores, and where Forecaster sees at least a 20% target price upside.

The screener consists of stocks from the banking, housing finance, aerospace & defence, construction & engineering, and heavy electrical equipment industries. Major stocks that feature in the screener are NBCC (India), Adani Ports & SEZ, Transformers & Rectifiers (India), Balrampur Chini Mills, Indian Bank, Aadhar Housing, PNB Housing Finance, and Union Bank of India.

NBCC (India) appears in the screener with the highest Forecaster target price upside of 31.4%. The stock has risen 7.1% over the last quarter, helped by multiple order wins and project sales. Analysts believe the construction and engineering company's consistent growth in infrastructure and residential real estate projects positions it well for long-term growth. They expect NBCC’s order book to expand on the back of continued public sector projects and increasing demand for urban development.

Transformers & Rectifiers (India) also appears in the screener with a Forecaster target price upside of 25.8%. This heavy electrical equipment company’s stock price increased by 11% over the past quarter, driven by strong Q4FY25 results. Its revenue and net profit grew 33% YoY to Rs 683.4 crore and 135.8% YoY to Rs 94.2 crore during the quarter. Analysts at ICICI Direct are positive about the company due to a strong order book of Rs 5,132 crore and further bid prospects of Rs 22,000 crore. 

You can find more screeners here.


Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
16 Apr 2025
Market closes higher, Yes Bank receives a Rs 244.2 crore tax demand for AY16-17
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 23,437.20 (108.7, 0.5%) , BSE Sensex closed at 77,044.29 (309.4, 0.4%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 21,404.35 (125.0, 0.6%). Market breadth is surging up. Of the 2,441 stocks traded today, 1,682 were in the positive territory and 718 were negative.

Indian indices closed higher after erasing losses in the afternoon session. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, declined 1.6% and closed at 15.9 points. IREDA closed 5.7% higher as its Q4FY25 revenue grew 37.5% YoY to Rs 1,914.7 crore, while net profit surged 48.7% to Rs 501.6 crore. The company’s net NPA improved to 1.3% in FY25 from 1.5% in FY24.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green, following the benchmark index. Nifty Media and Nifty PSU Bank were the best-performing indices of the day. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, Telecommunication Equipment emerged as the best-performing sector of the day, with a rise of 2.4%.

European indices are trading lower, except Russia’s RTSI and MOEX indices, which are trading 0.8% higher each. Major Asian indices closed in the red, except Sri Lanka’s CSE All Share and Thailand’s SET indices, which closed 1.2% and 0.9% higher. US index futures are trading in the red, indicating a cautious start to the session following the US Commerce Department’s decision to impose restrictions on exports of AI chips to China.

  • Relative strength index (RSI) indicates that stocks like Tata Consumer Products, Pidilite Industries, Britannia Industries, and Solar Industries are in the overbought zone.

  • Optiemus Infracom rises as its subsidiary, Optiemus Electronics, partners with Realme to manufacture next-generation Artificial Intelligence of Things (AIoT) products in India, targeting 5 million units annually.

  • KFIN Technologies is rising as it incorporates a wholly-owned subsidiary in Singapore to acquire a 51% stake in Ascent Fund Services (Singapore) for $34.7 million (approximately Rs 296.9 crore). The company plans to acquire the remaining 49% stake by 2030.

  • Poly Medicure rises sharply as the US imposes up to 245% tariffs on Chinese medical equipment imports. The company generates 70% of its revenue from the export market.

  • Lupin and Zydus Lifesciences fall sharply after losing a US Federal Court patent case on Myrbetriq, a medicine to treat overactive bladder, to Astellas Pharma. Both companies generate quarterly sales of between $30-35 million from Myrbetriq in the US market.

  • Yes Bank receives a Rs 244.2 crore additional tax demand following a reassessment rectification order passed by the Jurisdictional Assessing Officer (JAO) for the Assessment Year (AY) 2016–17.

  • Hindustan Oil Exploration Company rises as it secures a block under the 2024 small fields bid round. The Mumbai offshore block spans 332.4 sq km, taking the company's total acreage to over 800 sq km.

  • India and the US are reportedly set to begin in-person talks on a proposed bilateral trade agreement next month, following virtual discussions this week. Efforts are underway to finalize the first tranche quickly. Meanwhile, an import monitoring cell closely tracks potential import surges from China, Vietnam, and Indonesia amid concerns over dumping in response to US tariffs.

  • Gallantt Ispat rises to a new all-time high of Rs 470.5 as its board approves a Rs 1,105 crore expansion plan to increase production capacity at its integrated steel plants in Gorakhpur, including a new solar power plant.

  • Dolly Khanna adds GHCL to her portfolio in Q4FY25, acquiring a 1% stake in the company.

  • Motilal Oswal reiterates its ‘Buy’ rating on ABB India with a target price of Rs 6,700 per share. The brokerage believes ABB is better placed than its peers due to its over 50% exposure to high and moderate growth segments and its strong position to benefit from increased exports. It expects an EBITDA margin of 18.3% for CY25.

  • Ericsson’s global CEO and President, Börje Ekholm, says a financially stronger Vodafone Idea will boost competition in India’s telecom market. With recent deals from Bharti Airtel and Vodafone Idea, he sees strong long-term prospects. He adds that 6G deployment is expected by 2030, with standardization starting next year, and Ericsson is well-prepared with significant investments.

  • Gensol Engineering falls sharply as the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) bars its promoters, Anmol Singh Jaggi and Puneet Singh Jaggi, from directorship positions and accessing the equity market for alleged fund diversion and record falsification.

  • PB Fintech rises as its subsidiary, PB Pay, gets the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) in-principle nod to operate as an online payment aggregator (platform enabling merchants to accept digital payments).

  • JBM Auto and Olectra Greentech rise sharply as the Ministry of Heavy Industries plans to launch a tender to procure 10,000 electric buses under the PM E-DRIVE Scheme in May 2025

  • Jefferies names JSW Infrastructure and Adani Ports & SEZ as top picks among private port players, expecting strong margins from volume growth. It notes the government aims for 80% private sector presence in major ports by 2030, with 95% of capacity expansion planned privately. About 500 million tonnes of capacity still awaits privatization, offering major opportunity for these players.

  • Mahanagar Gas is falling as its allocation of Administrative Price Mechanism (APM) natural gas for domestic PNG and CNG (transport) segments reduces by 18%, effective April 16. The shortfall will be replaced with New Well/Well Intervention Gas (NWG).

  • IndusInd Bank receives a report on Tuesday highlighting a Rs 1,979 crore impact from derivative accounting discrepancies, representing 2.27% of its net worth as of December 31. The bank plans to consider this in its FY25 results.

  • Axis Bank is rising as it cuts savings account interest rate by 25 basis points to 2.75%, effective April 15. The bank's board of directors schedules a meeting for April 24 to consider a proposal to raise funds via the issue of equity shares or debt.

  • Ministry of Steel Secretary, Sandeep Poundrik, confirms that a safeguard duty on steel imports will be introduced soon. He dismisses rumours of a 20% hike as unfounded. He expects steel consumption to grow over 10% and clarifies there are no plans for a mega-merger between SAIL, RINL, and NMDC Steel.

  • IREDA rises sharply as its Q4FY25 revenue grows 37.5% YoY to Rs 1,914.7 crore, while net profit surges 48.7% to Rs 501.6 crore. The company’s net NPA improves to 1.3% in FY25 from 1.5% in FY24.

  • Oil India is rising as it secures nine blocks under the Open Acreage Licensing Policy (OALP) Round IX, adding over 51,000 sq. km to its exploration portfolio. With this addition, the company’s total exploration acreage increases from 60,000 sq km to 1,10,000 sq km, an 85% growth.

  • ICICI Lombard General Insurance is falling as its net profit drops 1.9% YoY to Rs 509.6 crore in Q4FY25, driven by higher commissions and brokerage expenses. However, revenue increases 12.8% YoY to Rs 6,051.2 crore during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks underperforming their industry price change in the quarter.

  • ICICI Prudential Life Insurance's Q4FY25 net profit surges 1.2X YoY to Rs 385.3 crore, driven by a growth of 10.7% YoY in net premium income. However, revenue decreases 30.2% YoY to Rs 15,687.3 crore during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks with increasing profits every quarter for the past four quarters.

  • Nifty 50 was trading at 23,282.85 (-45.7, -0.2%), BSE Sensex was trading at 76,996.78 (261.9, 0.3%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 21,260.50 (-18.9, -0.1%).

  • Market breadth is ticking up strongly. Of the 1,955 stocks traded today, 1,385 were on the uptick, and 531 were down.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include IndusInd Bank Ltd. (788.25, 7.1%), Indian Renewable Energy Development Agency Ltd. (176.39, 5.6%) and Indian Bank (568.15, 5.0%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Zydus Lifesciences Ltd. (822.10, -6.9%), Lupin Ltd. (1,934.20, -3.9%) and Sona BLW Precision Forgings Ltd. (446.80, -3.4%).

Movers and Shakers

20 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included JBM Auto Ltd. (694.75, 11.2%), Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Ltd. (315, 9.8%) and Engineers India Ltd. (183.72, 8.5%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Zydus Lifesciences Ltd. (822.10, -6.9%) and Mahanagar Gas Ltd. (1,252.40, -4.8%).

Aegis Logistics Ltd. (806.30, 5.3%) was trading at 12.0 times of weekly average. Olectra Greentech Ltd. (1,232, 4.4%) and Indian Renewable Energy Development Agency Ltd. (176.39, 5.6%) were trading with volumes 8.4 and 8.0 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

9 stocks took off, crossing 52 week highs, while 1 stock were underachiever and hit their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Bharti Airtel Ltd. (1,822.60, 1.3%), Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals Ltd. (655.20, -1.3%) and Eicher Motors Ltd. (5,600, 1.3%).

Stock making new 52 weeks lows included - Sheela Foam Ltd. (652.80, 0.4%).

39 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Anupam Rasayan India Ltd. (796, 5.8%) and Aegis Logistics Ltd. (806.30, 5.3%). 1 stock slipped below their 200 SMA including Nestle India Ltd. (2,383.30, 0.7%).

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The Baseline
15 Apr 2025
By Omkar Chitnis

The Indian railway sector is one of the largest railway networks in the world, and has become a focus of government investment. The centre’s push for long-overdue network expansion and modernization has created new growth opportunities for the sector. 

In FY26, the Union Budget allocated Rs 2.62 lakh crore to Indian Railways – 22.7% of the total budget, and three times the Rs 0.93 lakh crore allocated in FY16. The goals were expanding freight capacity, modernising infrastructure, and improving safety.

Is this a new golden age for railway stocks? The increased capex, and the government focus on better railway infrastructure has accelerated growth in railway projects, creating a ripple effect on railway-related stocks, which have seen strong order inflows. 

The government’s investments in railway and metro projects have driven share price growth in key sectors. Wagon and coach manufacturers such as Titagarh Rail, Texmaco Rail, and Jupiter Wagons won orders for freight wagons, passenger coaches, and metro cars.

Infrastructure providers like IRCON International and RVNL capitalized on electrification and station upgrade orders, while financing companies like IRFC supported the sector by funding railway projects and infrastructure development.

Industry experts expect railways to remain a priority, as the government reduces logistics costs and increases freight share. Ashish Modani, Vice President at ICRA, said, Roads and railways will be the government’s top priorities due to their critical role in lowering logistics costs. Over the years, the rail share in freight transportation has declined, and there’s a strong push to reverse this trend.”

Despite great returns over 5 years, railway stocks have faced a downturn in 2025, primarily due to weak government spending and negative sentiment in global markets. Concerns over high valuations and delays in order execution have added to the uncertainty. 

In this edition of Chart of the Week, we analyze railway stocks and their growing order books over the past five years.

Government spending fuels growth for wagon and coach makers

In FY26, the government allocated Rs 57,693 crore for 200 Vande Bharat sleeper trains, 100 Amrit Bharat trains, 50 Namo Bharat rapid rail trains, and 17,500 non-AC coaches. These initiatives are creating opportunities for companies in the wagon and coach manufacturing sector.

Titagarh Rail Systems, Jupiter Wagons, and Texmaco Rail & Engineering collectively control 70% of the Indian wagon manufacturing market

Titagarh Rail Systems, a commercial vehicle industry player specializing in railway wagons, coaches, and metro trains, holds a 30% market share in freight wagon production. Its share price is up 2,100% in the past five years, driven by an order book growing at a CAGR of 62.1%. The company more or less relies on one client, the government – it receives nearly 99% of its orders from the Ministry of Defence and the Railways.

Between FY19 and FY24, Titagarh’s revenue grew at a CAGR of 19.5%, reaching Rs 3,893 crore. Over the same period, it shifted from a Rs 28.5 crore loss to a profit of Rs 286 crore. 

Jupiter Wagons generates 80% of its revenue from railway wagons. Its share price has risen  600% in the past five years. As of FY25, the order book stands at Rs 6,320 crore, with 50% coming from government orders. 

In FY23, the company secured a large order of Rs 58,200 crore from the Ministry of Defence and Railways. Over the last five years, the company’s revenue grew at a CAGR of 76% to Rs 3,641 crore in FY24, and its net profit increased by 30% to Rs 333 crore during the same period. 

Texmaco operates in freight wagons, rail, and electrical businesses, with a 20% market share in India’s wagon industry. It generates 84% of its revenue from wagons. Over the last five years, its share price has jumped 540%, and the order book has grown at a CAGR of  25.3% to Rs 7,878 crore in FY24. 

The company derives 80% of its revenue from government projects. Revenue grew at a 13.5% CAGR to Rs 3,503 crore, while profit increased at an 8.4% CAGR to Rs 113 crore from FY19 to FY24.

BEML manufactures commercial vehicles for mining and construction, along with rail coaches, metro cars, and components for the railway sector. It generates 37.4% of its revenue from rail and metro projects. Its share price is up 440% in the last five years. Over this period, revenue grew at a CAGR of 3.2%, reaching Rs 4,096 crore, while net profit grew at a CAGR of 34.8% to Rs 281.8 crore from FY19 to FY24.

RVNL and IRCON ride Centre’s railway infra project wave

The government is expanding railway infrastructure to reduce logistics costs, streamline transportation, and support trade and economic development. In the FY26 budget, the government allocated Rs 32,235 crore for new railway lines.

RVNL, a Navratna PSU, specializes in railway infrastructure within the Construction & Engineering industry. RVNL’s shares have gained 1,790% over the last five years. The order book stood at Rs 97,000 crore at the end of the December quarter, 4.8 times its trailing 12-month revenue. The company derives 91.3% of its revenue from railway projects, with the rest from metro and national highway projects.

Its revenue increased from Rs 14,776.26 crore in FY20 to Rs 23,074 crore in FY24, while net profit doubled from Rs 753.32 crore to Rs 1,574 crore over the same period. Government-backed initiatives like railway electrification and the introduction of the Vande Bharat train have driven RVNL’s growth.

IRCON International operates in the construction and engineering industry, focusing on railways, highways, and bridges. Its shares have risen 250% over the past five years. As of Q3FY25, the company’s order book totals Rs 21,939 crore, with 78% of the revenue from railway projects and the rest from highways.

IRFC and RailTel drive railway growth through funding and digitisation

The government is modernizing Indian Railways through investments from financing institutions like IRFC. Indian Railway Finance Corporation (IRFC) is a Navratna PSU and a Non-Banking Financial Company. It serves as the financing arm of Indian Railways for large-scale expansion and upgrades. Since its listing in January 2021, IRFC’s share price has jumped 400% to Rs 124.

IRFC’s asset under management (AUM) has risen 6.5 times, from Rs 70,471 crore in FY20 to Rs 4,64,641 crore in FY24. The NBFC finances around 80% of Indian Railways’ needs

RailTel offers telecom and digital services to Indian Railways, focusing on projects like train communication systems, real-time monitoring, and station upgrades. Since its listing in 2021, the company's share price has increased by 145%, reaching Rs 292. Its order book grew from Rs 4,400 crore in FY21 to Rs 5,280 crore in FY25, with 28% linked to railway contracts.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
15 Apr 2025
Market closes higher, Capacite Infra wins a Rs 220 crore order from TenX Realty
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 23,328.55 (500, 2.2%), BSE Sensex closed at 76,734.89 (1,577.6, 2.1%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 21,279.40 (526.6, 2.5%). Market breadth is ticking up strongly. Of the 2,466 stocks traded today, 2,142 were in the positive territory and 286 were negative.

Indian indices closed in the green, driven by Trump’s tariff pause and easing wholesale inflation. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, fell 19.8% and closed at 16.1 points. Companies like Tata Motors, Samvardhana Motherson, and Sona BLW closed sharply higher after US President Trump hinted at tariff exemptions for imported vehicles and auto parts.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green, following the benchmark index. Nifty Metal and Nifty Realty closed higher. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, Fertilizers emerged as the best-performing sector of the day, with a rise of 6.5%.

European indices are trading mixed. Major Asian indices closed in the green. US index futures are trading mixed, indicating a cautious start to the session. The Trump administration said it is launching probes into pharma and semiconductor imports to assess whether to impose tariffs on these sectors. Meanwhile, Johnson & Johnson, Bank of America, Citigroup, PNC Financial, and United Airlines are set to report their earnings later today.

  • Money flow index (MFI) indicates that stocks like Britannia Industries, Tata Consumer Products, Marico, and Aster DM Healthcare are in the overbought zone.

  • Adani Group stocks rise amid reports that the Trump administration is stepping back from certain white-collar enforcement cases. These include foreign bribery, money laundering, and public corruption, easing concerns for global businesses. In November 2024, US agencies alleged that Adani executives paid $250 million in bribes for solar contracts.

  • Allied Blenders and Distillers falls sharply as the Andhra Pradesh special investigation team (SIT) freezes its bank accounts amid a liquor scam probe in the state.

  • Capacite Infraprojects rises sharply as it bags an order worth Rs 220 crore from TenX Realty for core civil and shell works of The Address Bandra project.

  • The International Energy Agency (IEA) significantly lowers its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2025, reducing it by 3,00,000 barrels per day. The revision comes amid escalating trade tensions dampening the global economic outlook. While the IEA remains more optimistic than other forecasters, it highlighted that President Trump’s broad tariff measures have affected oil consumption and introduced greater uncertainty into energy markets.

  • RateGain Travel Technologies rises as it partners with South America’s Sky Airline to enhance its pricing strategy. Sky Airlines will adopt RateGain’s AirGain platform to improve market competitiveness and drive revenue growth across its network.

  • Laurus Labs is rising as it receives an establishment inspection report (EIR) from the US FDA following an inspection at its API manufacturing facility, Unit 4, in Atchutapuram, Andhra Pradesh.

  • Adani Green Energy rises sharply as its operational capacity increases 30% YoY to 14.2 GW in FY25, driven by a greenfield addition of 3.3 GW. The company's energy sales rise 28% YoY to 27,969 million units during the year.

  • Macrotech Developers rises over 7% as the Lodha brothers amicably resolve all outstanding disputes through mediation. Macrotech Developers (owned by Abhishek Lodha) will have exclusive rights to use the brand names “Lodha” and “Lodha Group”, and Abhinandan will use the “House of Abhinandan Lodha (HoABL)” brand name exclusively.

  • Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services is rising as its board of directors schedules a meeting for April 22 to consider a proposal to increase the borrowing limit.

  • Axis Securities recommends a 'Buy' rating on Jyothy Labs with a target price of Rs 405 per share. The brokerage notes that recent improvements are starting to pay off and expects the momentum to continue. It forecasts the company’s EBITDA margin to reach 16–17% by FY26, driven by a better product mix.

  • Motilal Oswal upgrades InterGlobe Aviation to a 'Buy' from ‘Neutral’ with a target price of Rs 6,550 per share. The brokerage believes stable Brent crude prices amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and strong domestic demand will benefit the company. It expects the firm’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 38% over FY25–27.

  • India's wholesale price index (WPI) inflation declines marginally by 30bps to 2.1% in March. This decline was primarily due to a moderation in food prices, though manufactured products continued to exert some upward pressure.

  • Biocon rises sharply as its subsidiary, Biocon Biologics, enters a settlement and license agreement with Regeneron to market and sell Yesafili in the US. Yesafili is an interchangeable biosimilar to Eylea, used to treat ophthalmology conditions.

  • HDFC Bank rises sharply as it cuts savings account interest rate by 25 basis points to 2.75%, effective April 12. The bank’s savings rate now falls below its peers, ICICI Bank and Axis Bank, both currently offering 3%.

  • Havells India is rising as it invests Rs 600 crore for up to a 9.2% stake in Surat-based Goldi Solar to secure consistent access to key solar components, including modules and cells.

  • According to the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM), India's domestic passenger vehicle sales rise 3.6% YoY to 3.8 lakh units in March and by 2% YoY to 43 lakh units in FY25. For March, domestic 2-wheeler and 3-wheeler sales increase 11.4% YoY and 10.5% YoY, respectively.

  • Dr Reddy's Laboratories is rising sharply as it denies reports of implementing a 25% cut in workforce costs.

  • Persistent Systems is rising as the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT), Mumbai, approves the merger of its subsidiary, Capiot Software, with itself.

  • Poonawalla Fincorp is rising as it expands its lending portfolio to offer gold loans to expand its presence in the Tier 2 and 3 cities. The company plans to open 400 branches in FY26.

  • Suvankar Sen, MD & CEO of Senco Gold, says gold volume growth in Q4FY25 stands at 4-5%, with 80-85% of gold exposure hedged. He expects strong demand during the Poila Baisakh festival and notes rising average ticket prices. The Studded Ratio (proportion of precious or semi-precious gemstones w.r.t metals) for FY25 increases to 10.9%, up from 10.5% in 9MFY25.

  • Tata Motors, Samvardhana Motherson, and Sona BLW rise sharply by over 6% in trade as US President Trump hints at a tariff exemption for the automotive sector.

  • Adani Ports & SEZ is rising as its board of directors schedules a meeting on April 17 to consider a proposal to issue equity shares via a preferential issue.

  • Transrail Lighting is rising as it secures new domestic orders worth Rs 1,085 crore in its transmission and distribution (T&D) segment.

  • Home First Finance is rising as its board of directors approves the closure of its qualified institutional placement (QIP) of 1.3 crore shares worth Rs 1,250 crore at a floor price of Rs 1.019 per share.

  • Markets opened high. Nifty 50 was trading at 23,275.35 (446.8, 2.0%), BSE Sensex was trading at 76,500.08 (1342.8, 1.8%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 21,129.95 (377.1, 1.8%).

  • Market breadth is ticking up strongly. Of the 2,030 stocks traded today, 1,861 were in the positive territory and 122 were negative.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Ltd. (2,661.30, 9.4%), Indian Renewable Energy Development Agency Ltd. (166.98, 8.3%) and Macrotech Developers Ltd. (1,214, 8.1%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Max Healthcare Institute Ltd. (1,074.10, -1.4%), Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd. (379.10, -0.8%) and Berger Paints (India) Ltd. (526.40, -0.8%).

Crowd Puller Stocks

13 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Intellect Design Arena Ltd. (751.80, 13.8%), Data Patterns (India) Ltd. (1,878.70, 11.7%) and Anant Raj Ltd. (476.45, 8.5%).

Top high volume loser on BSE was Sheela Foam Ltd. (650.05, -1.1%).

KEC International Ltd. (711.40, 7.8%) was trading at 7.2 times of weekly average. JK Lakshmi Cement Ltd. (828.50, 5.0%) and Kalpataru Projects International Ltd. (936.95, 4.5%) were trading with volumes 5.0 and 4.5 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

8 stocks took off, crossing 52 week highs, while 1 stock hit their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Bajaj Finance Ltd. (9,141, 2.5%), Bharti Airtel Ltd. (1,798.80, 2.4%) and Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals Ltd. (664, 2.9%).

Stock making new 52 weeks lows included - Sheela Foam Ltd. (650.05, -1.1%).

40 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including PTC Industries Ltd. (14,514, 9.4%) and Kaynes Technology India Ltd. (5,520.90, 8.4%). 5 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Akzo Nobel India Ltd. (3,482, -0.8%) and Nestle India Ltd. (2,367.90, 0.3%).

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The Baseline
11 Apr 2025
Five Interesting Stocks Today - April 11, 2025
By Trendlyne Analysis

1. InterGlobe Aviation (IndiGo):

Thisairline company surged 3% over the past week and is trading near its 52-week high after announcing apartnership with French hospitality firm Accor to enter the hospitality sector. Together, IndiGo and Accor will acquire a majority stake in India’s budget hotel chain, Treebo.

The airline adds one new aircraft to its fleet every week, a trend expected to continue until 2030. This expansion is fueled by growing demand, driven by rising middle-class income and the opening of new airports across India. With 65% of the world’s population located within 5-6 hours from India, IndiGo sees significant growth opportunities in international connectivity and is expanding aggressively.

Due to its rapid expansion,Forecaster expects IndiGo to report sales growth in FY25 but anticipates that margins will be negatively impacted on a YoY basis. However, they project that margin and net profit growth will return to a positive trajectory starting in FY26. IndiGo has launched “Strech,” a business class seating option, introduced a loyalty program, and expanded its cargo division to improve its margins. The airline currently offers business class services on three routes and aims to cover thirteen routes by the end of 2025.

InQ3, the airline’s net profit was lower YoY, primarily due to foreign exchange losses on lease liabilities denominated in US dollars. However, when excluding the impact of these forex losses, IndiGo reported a net profit growth of 26% YoY in Q3. To mitigate these losses, CFO Gaurav Negisaid, “We will further enhance our hedging positions, and as we add more international capacity, we expect the natural hedge to also improve.” He believes that expanding international capacity will serve as a “natural hedge” due to cash inflows in the form of US dollars.

According to Trendlyne’s Forecaster, 21 analysts have a consensus recommendation of “Buy”, with an average target price of 5,385.Analysts at Motilal Oswal expect IndiGo to benefit from India’s aviation sector's growth and expansion into international destinations.

2. Jubilant Foodworks:

This QSR player has gained over 59.5% from its 52-week low of Rs 429.6. On April 5, Jubilant Foodworks released its business update for Q4FY25, showing a 33.9% YoY increase in revenue at Rs 2,107 crore. The company features in a screener of stocks where mutual funds increased shareholding over the past quarter.

Jubilant Foodworks is the master franchise for brands like Domino’s Pizza, Popeyes and Dunkin’ Donuts in India. During the quarter, Domino’s Pizza reported like-for-like or LFL growth of 12.1% YoY. LFL growth stood at 12.5% in the December quarter, driven by improvements in home delivery orders. 

The company has risen 61.1% in the past two years, underperforming the broader hotels, restaurant & tourism sector by 41.1% points. Over the past 8–9 quarters, QSR (quick service restaurant) chains have faced pressures due to weak demand and tough market conditions. Delivery remained strong, but dine-in and takeaway slowed down. However, the management highlighted recovery in dine-in sales and expects growth in the coming quarters. 

Meanwhile, the company continued to expand its store network in Q4FY25 and opened 52 new Domino’s outlets, taking the total to 2,179 stores in India. Commenting on this, Sameer Khetarpal, the MD and CEO, said, “We plan to add 1,000 new Domino’s and around 150 Popeyes stores over the next three years as demand momentum remains upbeat.”

Analysts highlight that demand for fast-food chains is improving, driven by better affordability and a recovery in dine-in sales. This trend is likely to strengthen in FY26 as discretionary incomes rise following personal income tax cuts.

Motilal Oswal gives a ‘Hold’ rating on Jubilant Foodworks with a target price of Rs 715. The brokerage believes that improving the menu and promotional strategies for dine-in will be key in boosting footfall and orders moving forward.

3. Hindustan Unilever:

This personal products company rose by 5.4% in the past week. On April 8th the company’s demerged entity, Magnum Ice Cream Company, signed an MoU with the Maharashtra government to set up a Global Capability Center (GCC) for its ice cream business in Pune. Maharashtra CM, Devendra Fadnavis, said, “This Rs 900 crore investment will generate over 1,000 jobs and is Unilever’s largest Global Capability Centre (GCC) to date.”

To prepare for the Environment Ministry's April 1st mandate requiring recycled plastic use, the company acquired a 14.3% stake in Lucro Plastecycle Private, a plastic recycling firm, on March 20th. This strategic investment aims to ensure compliance and mitigate potential sales risks within the FMCG sector.

Trendlyne’s forecaster predicts the company's revenue and net profit will decline by 0.7% and 16.3% in Q4FY25. The negative estimates are due to inflationary material prices and flat growth in the previous quarter for the Beauty & Personal Care segment, which is the largest contributor at 36.6% of sales. However, the FMCG sector’s resilience and strong domestic demand have made it a preferred investment amid rising market volatility with Trump’s tariffs and recession fears. It appears on the screener for stocks in the ‘Buy’ zone.

Ritesh Tiwari, Executive Director & CFO of HUL, said, “If commodity prices remain where they are, we expect low single-digit price growth in the near term. With inflationary material prices, we expect to maintain EBITDA at the lower end of 23-24%. Along with our ice cream business demerger we've also entered an agreement to acquire a stake in premium beauty brand ‘Minimalist’, aligning with our strategy to pursue bolt-on acquisitions and strengthen our Beauty & Wellbeing portfolio.”

KR Choksey expects strategic acquisitions and premiumization efforts to support long term growth recovery for HUL. Subsequently, the brokerage has maintained its ‘Accumulate’ rating on the stock. The brokerage has lowered its FY26 & FY27 adjusted EPS estimates by 1.5% and 2% respectively, factoring in the Q3FY25 performance.

4. IRB Infrastructure Developers:

This roads & highways stock rose 5.9% on Tuesday as its toll collections increased 15.8% YoY to Rs 556.8 crore in March. Toll revenue for FY25 jumped 23% YoY to Rs 6,360 crore. The recent decline in Indian markets has helped the stock to feature in a screener of stocks with above-line growth and below-line valuations.

An improvement in the company’s monthly and yearly collections for the IRB MP Expressway, IRB Ahmedabad Vadodara Super Express Tollway, and CG Tollway helped its toll revenue improve in March and FY25. 

Speaking on its Q4FY25 update, the company’s Deputy Chief Executive Officer (CEO), Amitabh Murarka, said, “With a strong finish to FY25 and strong growth in toll revenue, we expect the trajectory to continue, driven by budget allocations aimed at boosting consumption and tourism, which will increase traffic on our assets in 12 states."

Trendlyne’s Forecaster expects the company’s net profit to grow by 10.5% YoY to Rs 208.7 crore in Q4FY25. However, revenue is expected to decline by 22.1% YoY to Rs 1,949.8 crore. 

In Q3FY25, the stock’s revenue grew by 2.9% YoY to Rs 2,025.4 crore. Meanwhile, its net profit surged by 32.2x to Rs 6,026.1 crore during the quarter, helped by lower road work and site expenses, and fair value gains of Rs 5,804.1 crore from investments made in joint ventures. 

Speaking on the order book, Anil Yadav, Director of Investor Relations of the company, stated, “Our total order book now stands at approximately Rs 31,500 crores, with an executable order book of Rs 6,000 crores in the next two years. We expect further growth in the order book, with the government’s push for public-private partnership (PPP) projects gaining momentum and bidding for BOT and TOT projects already underway.”

5 institutional analysts have a consensus recommendation of “Buy”, with an average target price of Rs 63.6 per share, indicating an upside of 39.5%.

5. Sobha:

This Bengaluru-based realty company rose 5.7% on April 8 after announcing its Q4FY25 business update. Sobha’s total sales increased by 22.1% YoY to Rs 1,836 crore, driven by higher volumes from new launches in Bengaluru, which contributed 76.6 % of total sales. 

During the quarter, the company sold 15.6 lakh sq ft of area, a 16.3% rise YoY. The average price was Rs 11,781 per sq ft, down 13.8% QoQ due to a higher share of mid-income projects, but it rose 4.5% YoY. Bengaluru alone accounted for Rs 1,406 crore in sales, supported by two project launches, Sobha Madison Heights and Sobha Hamptons. Other regions like Gurgaon, Hyderabad and Tamil Nadu also performed well during the quarter.

Despite a good recent quarter, Sobha’s total sales declined 5.5% YoY for FY25 to Rs 6,277 crore due to a weak H1 impacted by launch delays and slower sales in premium projects. Despite lower sales, the average price rose 22.8% YoY to Rs 13,412 per sq ft, aided by a higher share of own land projects and selective price hikes. 

The company missed its FY25 presales guidance of Rs 8,500 crore, to which Jagadish Nangineni, the company's Managing Director, pointed to “the regulatory delay in Sobha Townpark, and the slower pace of sales in some of our projects where the ticket size is large.”

Sobha plans to launch 210 lakh sq ft of residential and 11.9 lakh sq ft of commercial space across 10 cities in the next 4-6 quarters. Management expects to add Greater Noida, Hosur, and Mumbai to its operating locations in the next financial year, expanding its real estate presence to 15 cities.

Following the business update, HDFC Securities maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on the stock, citing its launch pipeline and an improving regulatory environment. They expect presales of Rs 9,000-10,000 crore in FY26, supported by geographical expansion and product diversification.

Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movements, analyst calls, or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
11 Apr 2025
Market closes higher, Aurobindo Pharma's US plant gets Form 483 with 11 FDA observations
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 22,828.55 (429.4, 1.9%), BSE Sensex closed at 75,157.26 (1,310.1, 1.8%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 20,752.85 (396.1, 2.0%). Market breadth is highly positive. Of the 2,431 stocks traded today, 1,984 were gainers and 401 were losers.

Indian indices closed in the green, supported by Trump’s tariff pause, an RBI rate cut, and an improved inflation outlook. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, declined 6.2% and closed at 20.1 points. TCS' Q4FY25 net profit fell marginally by 0.1% QoQ to Rs 12,224 crore. Revenue grew marginally by 0.8% QoQ, led by improvements in the banking, financial services & insurance (BFSI), manufacturing, and consumer business segments.

Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 closed in the green, following the benchmark index. Nifty Metal & BSE Metal were among the top index gainers today. According to Trendlyne’s Sector dashboard, Healthcare Equipment & Supplies emerged as the best-performing sector of the day, with a rise of 5.1%.

Asian indices closed mixed, while European indices are trading lower except Russia’s MOEX & RTSI indices. US index futures traded in the green, indicating a positive start to the trading session. Investors are gearing up for the first-quarter earnings season kicking off today, starting with results from major banks including JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley. Meanwhile, Accenture formed a 30:70 JV with Fincantieri (an Italian shipbuilding company) to drive digitalization across cruise, defense, and port infrastructure sectors.

  • PI Industries sees a long buildup in its April 24 futures series, with open interest increasing by 26.7% and a put-call ratio of 0.3.

  • Aurobindo Pharma receives Form 483 with 11 observations from the US FDA following an inspection at its Raleigh plant in the US.

  • ICICI Securities maintains its 'Buy' call on Tata Steel with a target price of Rs 180 per share. This indicates a potential upside of 35.7%. The brokerage believes the company's revenue will grow due to its focus on maximising production efficiencies, lowering fixed costs, optimising product mix, and improving margins. It expects the firm's revenue to grow at a CAGR of 6.3% over FY25-27.

  • Choice International is rising as its wholly-owned subsidiary, Choice Consultancy Services (CCSPL), secures an order from the Maharashtra State Electricity Distribution Company (MSEDCL) to develop a 45 MW (AC) solar plant.

  • HSBC maintains its 'Buy' and 'Hold' rating on Eternal (Zomato) and Swiggy with lower target prices of Rs 280 and Rs 385, respectively. The brokerage highlights intense competition in quick commerce, noting that gross order value (GOV) growth will be a key investor focus amid ongoing pricing and delivery pressures.

  • Reliance Industries is rising as its step-down subsidiary, Nauyaan Tradings, acquires an additional 10% stake in Nauyaan Shipyard from Welspun Corp for Rs 51.7 crore.

  • Rail Vikas Nigam is rising as it emerges as the preferred bidder for a Rs 143.4 crore order from Southern Railway to upgrade electric traction systems in the Salem division.

  • Hindustan Copper is rising as it resumes ore production at the Kolihan Copper Mine in the Khetri Copper Complex, Khetrinagar, Rajasthan, effective April 10.

  • According to data released by the Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI), mutual funds' net outflows stand at Rs 1,64,435 crore in March, compared to inflows of Rs 40,063 crore in February. Meanwhile, monthly equity inflows decline to Rs 25,082 crore in March compared to Rs 29,303 crore last month.

  • Greaves Cotton rises sharply as it enters a partnership with Chara Technologies to manufacture synchronous reluctance motors and controllers. The motors and controllers will be manufactured at Greaves' facility in Aurangabad, using Chara's technology and expertise.

  • Bank of India is rising as it reduces its repo-based lending rate (RBLR) by 25 basis points to 8.85% from 9.1%, effective April 9. This follows the Reserve Bank of India’s 25 bps cut in repo rate to 6%.

  • Sky Gold and Diamonds rises to its 5% upper limit as it secures a recurring export order from a leading jewellery brand to supply 200 kg of gold jewellery per month.

  • BofA Securities analysts expect Vodafone Idea’s net subscriber losses to ease to 3 million in Q4FY25, down from 5.1 million and 5.2 million in Q2 and Q3, respectively. The brokerage believes positive net additions remain distant and anticipates flat average revenue per user (ARPU), leading to a 2.1% sequential drop in revenue for Q4FY25.

  • Morepen Laboratories rises sharply as it plans to expand its workforce by adding 1000 medical representatives over the next three years to improve its formulations business. It expects to add 200 team members in FY26.

  • Motilal Oswal initiates coverage on Hindustan Aeronautics with a 'Buy' call and a target price of Rs 5,100 per share. This indicates a potential upside of 24%. The brokerage believes that the commencement of aircraft deliveries and order book inflows will help in revenue growth. It expects the firm's revenue to grow at a CAGR of 29% over FY25-27.

  • Ajmera Realty & Infra India rises sharply as its pre-sales increase 6.3% YoY to 1,080 crore in FY25. Collections surge 13% YoY to Rs 646 crore. The company has a total launch pipeline of approximately 26 lakh sq ft with a gross development value (GDV) of Rs 6,800 crore.

  • Morgan Stanley upgrades Godrej Consumer and Hindustan Unilever to 'Overweight' and 'Equalweight'. The brokerage highlights the resilience of select consumer staples amid global and domestic uncertainty, naming GCPL and Tata Consumer as its top picks due to their strong growth outlook and margin levers. It also notes that any sharp rise in commodity prices could negatively impact its earnings growth estimates.

  • NBCC (India) is rising as it sells 1,185 residential units in Aspire Dream Valley, Phase-III, Greater Noida, for Rs 1,504.7 crore through an e-auction.

  • Goodluck India rises sharply as its sales volume increases by 19% YoY in FY25, driven by higher sales of high-margin products and expansion in the international market. Its Q4FY25 volume grows by 12.8% QoQ.

  • Cipla rises sharply as it receives final approval from the US FDA for the abbreviated new drug application (ANDA) for Paclitaxel Protein-bound Particles for injectable suspension. The drug is a generic therapeutic equivalent to Bristol Myers Squibb’s Abraxane for injectable suspension and is used to treat breast cancer. The drug had a market value of $88 billion as of 2023 and is expected to grow to $139.7 billion in 2031.

  • RBI’s draft guidelines on gold-backed lending draw mixed responses from brokerages. CLSA highlights the rules aim to protect consumers and align practices across lenders, but it expects an impact on NBFCs like Muthoot and Manappuram due to their business models. Jefferies notes that restrictions on loans against primary gold or silver and the cap on bullet repayments may push NBFCs to diversify their portfolios.

  • GAIL is rising as it adds 3,119 km to its gas transmission network, commissioning over 96% of the Jagdishpur–Haldia pipeline. The project currently supplies 12.3 million standard cubic meters per day (MMSCMD) of natural gas to eastern and northeastern India.

  • SRF rises sharply as it sets up an agrochemical intermediate manufacturing facility in Gujarat, with a capex of Rs 190 crore.

  • Anand Rathi Wealth is rising as its net profit surges 29.8% YoY to Rs 73.5 crore in Q4FY25. Revenue increases 20.4% YoY to Rs 222 crore, driven by a 30% rise in assets under management during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks outperforming their industry price change in the quarter.

  • Tata Consultancy Services' Q4FY25 net profit falls marginally by 0.1% QoQ to Rs 12,224 crore, due to higher employee benefits expenses. Revenue grows marginally by 0.8% QoQ to Rs 64,479 crore, led by improvements in the banking, financial services & insurance (BFSI), manufacturing, and consumer business segments. It shows up in a screener of stocks with expensive valuations according to Trendlyne valuation scores.

  • Markets opened high. Nifty 50 was trading at 22,777.80 (378.7, 1.7%), BSE Sensex was trading at 74,858.78 (1011.6, 1.4%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 20,673.55 (316.8, 1.6%).

  • Market breadth is highly positive. Of the 2,000 stocks traded today, 1,852 were in the positive territory and 121 were negative.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include PI Industries Ltd. (3,607.45, 9.5%), Dixon Technologies (India) Ltd. (14,301.90, 7.7%) and SRF Ltd. (2,947.35, 7.4%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Muthoot Finance Ltd. (2,017, -5.8%), ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company Ltd. (1,718.55, -3.8%) and Max Healthcare Institute Ltd. (1,089.30, -3.0%).

Volume Rockets

21 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included TVS Holdings Ltd. (8,950, 10.9%), Atul Ltd. (5,727.35, 10.2%) and PI Industries Ltd. (3,607.45, 9.5%).

Cello World Ltd. (523.75, 0.8%) was trading at 12.5 times of weekly average. Grindwell Norton Ltd. (1,600, 0.9%) and Supreme Petrochem Ltd. (617.70, 4.3%) were trading with volumes 10.0 and 5.4 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

2 stocks made 52 week highs,

Stocks touching their year highs included - Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals Ltd. (645.25, 1.1%) and Coromandel International Ltd. (2,060, 2.8%).

27 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Suven Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (1,149.60, 8.6%) and Piramal Pharma Ltd. (219.83, 5.5%). 6 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Muthoot Finance Ltd. (2,017, -5.8%) and Dalmia Bharat Ltd. (1,811.35, -0.8%).

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The Baseline
10 Apr 2025
Five stocks to buy from analysts this week - April 10, 2025
By Divyansh Pokharna

The Indian stock market saw declines since April 7, with the Nifty 50 down 2.2%. This came after US President Trump announced a 26% reciprocal tariff on Indian imports on April 2. The fall was part of a broader global sell-off as investors moved to safer assets like US Treasury bonds and gold. On Wednesday, with the US stock and bond market falling, Trump announced a 90 day pause on higher tariffs for most countries while the US negotiates deals.

Despite the volatility, some analysts still see value in a few stocks. Here are five stocks with a ‘Buy’ rating from analysts. Two of them, Hindalco Industries and Prestige Estates, hit new 52-week lows in the week. The other three are down over 20% from their year highs.

1. PTC Industries:

ICICI Securities maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this industrial products manufacturer with a target price of Rs 20,070. This indicates an upside of 52.4%. Aeroalloy Technologies (ATL), a unit of PTC Industries, received a long-term order on March 28 from Safran Aircraft Engines to supply seven cast parts for LEAP-1A (Airbus A320neo engines) and LEAP-1B (Boeing 737 Max engines). This order comes as PTC is expanding capacity at its Uttar Pradesh Defence Industrial Corridor.

Analysts Amit Dixit, Mohit Lohia and Pritish Urumka believe this deal could boost PTC’s earnings in the near term. They highlight that ATL is emerging as a key local supplier for Safran to support LEAP engine production, which powers many domestic airline fleets.

Dixit, Lohia, and Urumka expect PTC to add major capacities in 2025. This includes starting a new metal melting unit by April and expanding its casting and forging facilities by the end of the year. They project the company’s revenue to grow at a 104% CAGR over FY25-27.

2. Power Grid Corporation of India:

Sharekhan maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on this electric utility company with a target price of Rs 350, indicating an upside potential of 19.2%. In Q3FY25, Power Grid secured 11 transmission projects under the tariff-based competitive bidding (TBCB) framework. The company spent Rs 17,651 crore on capex during 9MFY25. As of December 2024, its order book stood at Rs 1.4 lakh crore.

Analysts believe that the government’s plan to increase renewable energy capacity to 500 GW by 2030, along with the national electricity plan (NEP) investment of Rs 9.2 lakh crore for transmission lines, provides Power Grid with an opportunity to secure inter-state transmission system (ISTS) projects worth Rs 1.9 lakh crore by FY32.

The management is targeting a capitalization of Rs 25,000 crore, with capex guidance of over Rs 28,000 crore by FY26. Analysts expect Power Grid to invest approximately Rs 3.3 lakh crore until FY32, driven by renewable energy capacity additions. They project a 6% CAGR in net profit over FY25- 27.

3. Prestige Estates Projects:

Motilal Oswal reiterates its ‘Buy’ rating on this Bangalore-based realty firm with a target price of Rs 1,725, indicating a potential upside of 59.8%. Prestige Estates Projects (PEPL) has a diverse portfolio covering residential, office, retail, and hospitality segments. The company added 15 million square feet (msf) of new projects in 9MFY25. Analysts Abhishek Lodhiya and Yohan Batliwala highlight that with a launch pipeline of Rs 80,000 crore, PEPL’s presales are expected to grow at a 14% CAGR, reaching Rs 31,500 crore by FY27.

The company is expanding its commercial and hospitality segments, adding 43 msf of commercial space. It expects rental income from this segment to grow at a 53% CAGR and reach Rs 1,950 crore by FY27. In the hospitality segment, analysts expect revenue to rise annually by 20%, based on estimates for about 3,000 hotel rooms, out of a total pipeline of 4,760 rooms planned in the near term.

Lodhiya and Batliwala note that the company’s upcoming launches and strong pipeline are not fully reflected in the current stock price. They estimate PEPL's net asset value (NAV) at Rs 56,900 crore and expect its net profit to grow at a 10.6% CAGR over FY25-27.

4. Hindalco Industries:

Anand Rathi retains its ‘Buy’ rating on this aluminium company with a target price of Rs 800, indicating an upside potential of 41.8%. Analysts Parthiv Jhonsa and Prakhar Khajanchi believe the company’s recent announcements strengthen its long-term growth visibility.

At the 2025 Investor Day, Hindalco announced a $10 billion capex plan covering both Novelis (its subsidiary), and its India operations. Novelis aims to raise its recycled content from 63% to 75%, cut emissions, and improve return on capital. The company reiterated its long-term EBITDA/tonne guidance of over $600, supported by scale, better pricing, and a stronger product mix. Its 6 lakh tonne Bay Minette facility in the US is on track for completion in H2CY26 and is expected to deliver $1,000/tonne EBITDA at peak utilization.

In India, Hindalco plans to increase its aluminium smelting capacity to 15 lakh tonnes from the current 13.5 lakh tonnes and downstream capacity from 4.3 lakh tonnes to 6 lakh tonnes by FY28. It has earmarked Rs 5,200 crore to expand alumina, copper, and specialty alumina capacities. 

5. J K Paper:

Geojit BNP Paribas initiates a ‘Buy’ rating on this paper manufacturer with a target price of Rs 392. This indicates a potential upside of 25.6%. The company’s Q3FY35 sales volume, however, fell by 6% YoY, and net sales dropped 4.4% YoY to Rs 1,632 crore due to weak domestic demand and increased paper imports.

Analyst Sheen notes that in Q3FY25, JK Paper’s EBITDA margin declined by 1,155 bps to 10.3% due to rising raw material costs and high wood prices. The analyst expects the company’s margins to improve from FY26 onwards, supported by easing raw material costs, increased demand for packaging boards, and a diversified product mix.

Over the past three years, JK Paper has expanded into the packaging business through acquisitions in the corrugated (cardboard containers) packaging segment. The analyst is optimistic that government initiatives, such as import tariffs, agroforestry support, and eco-friendly incentives, will help the company tackle competition, stabilize costs, and improve profitability.

Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.

(You can find all analyst picks here)




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The Baseline
09 Apr 2025
Tariffs are the only story right now | Screener: Companies with large revenues from the US

The modern American, however worldly-wise, has not really experienced tariffs. 

For that, you need to ask an Indian. Let's take televisions, for instance. Most American households had a television in their living rooms by the late 1950s. Americans were watching TV dramas like Mary Kay and Johnny in the 1950s, The Dick Van Dyke Show in the 1960s, The Brady Bunch in the 1970s. 

But TVs reached most Indian homes only by the 1980s (a national telecast began in 1982), decades after the US. A big reason for this was Indian tariffs which kept foreign products and new technology out of Indian hands. If you wanted to time travel, you could visit India in the 1980s, a nation stuck in the past - people were driving Premier Padminis (a 1960s car), using Indian made refrigerators, and eating Mars bars and Toblerones only when someone visited from "foreign". Coca Cola aired the iconic "I'd like to buy the world a Coke" ad in 1971, but it got kicked out of India in 1977 and returned only in 1993 (to be fair, the domestic substitute Campa Cola was pretty decent). 

So color me surprised that the United States now wants to block itself from the world with the highest tariff rates in a century. US President Trump, after implementing tariffs ranging from 104% on China to 10% on Australia, has promised Americans that they are somehow going to get a lot richer with tariffs.

Not many people are buying the "good for America" claim: 

"A huge policy mistake and a tax on American consumers" - Ken Griffin, billionaire investor and Republican megadonor

"Unambiguously stupid" - Jay Hatfield, CEO, Infrastructure Capital Advisors

"You can’t go to the bathroom because who knows what’s going to happen” - Peter Tchir, Strategy Head, Academy Securities

Meanwhile, Apple stores across the US are packed with customers buying the phones before prices go up (estimates put the iPhone price in the US doubling with tariffs). Among the biggest hit stocks are the Magnificent-7 (Meta, Amazon, Apple, Alphabet, Nvidia, Microsoft and Tesla), which have lost $1.5 trillion in market value over the past few days. 

 The tariffs seem perfectly designed to crash American growth, as well as cause a recession in many parts of the global economy. But even in a bad scene, there are relative winners and losers.

In this week's Analyticks:

Tariff chaos: What does the impact on India look like?

Screener: Indian companies with high revenue exposure to the US market


Some countries are better off than others

In human history, trade has been a consistent winner. Global trade has averaged 4% in annual growth since the Mongol invasion in the 12th century. Trump is unlikely to be the one to break this pattern. Still, the damage to global supply chains, even if temporary, is significant. 

India's stock market has see-sawed with the tariff announcements, but the trade data points to limited direct exposure. India's US exports account for 2.2% of its GDP. "India has relatively low dependence on the US for exports," Crisil analysts note. Vietnam in comparison, has 23% of its GDP coming from exports to the US, and 9% for Thailand.

A few Indian sectors take the lion's share in our US exports. Capital goods, textiles and pharmaceuticals have substantial shares. 

Some sub-industries however, have a disproportionate share of export revenue coming from the US. 38% of India's dairy exports by value go the US, as do 28% of iron and steel products and 22% of agrochemical exports.

It's now a game of relative advantage

One advantage India may have in the new US tariff regime is in the difference in tariff rates. India's level of 26% is lower than what the US has imposed on big exporters like China, Vietnam and Bangladesh. This may drive players to shift operations - from Vietnam to India for Samsung and Nike, and from China to India for Apple. 

Supply chains however, take a lot of time to move between countries. Apple still makes around 85% of its iPhones in China, even though it has been expanding production in India since 2017. Much of the equipment and machinery in Apple's Indian factories are still made in China.

But even as we assess tradeoffs and relative advantages, the fact remains that Trump, the Mad King with his chart of death, can change these numbers around on a whim and upend global markets week to week (he's already gleefully promising more pharma tariffs).

A trade deal here and there could bring tariffs down for some countries. But while markets hate uncertainty, Trump, a veteran of six bankruptcies, looks like someone who is unbothered by chaos.   


Screener: Indian companies with high revenue exposure to the US market

IT stocks decline after Trump imposes tariffs on Indian imports

As FY26 kicks off, the Indian equity market is under pressure, witnessing a sharp sell-off. Amid escalating global trade tensions sparked by US tariffs, foreign investors have offloaded Rs 22,770 crore worth of Indian equities, leading to a 4.6% decline in the Nifty 50 index from April 1st. The screener highlights stocks that generate the most revenue from the US market.

The screener primarily consists of stocks from the IT consulting & software, construction & engineering, pharmaceuticals, and auto parts & equipment sectors. Notable stocks featured includeBharat Forge, Birlasoft, Mphasis, Persistent Systems, Hexaware Technologies, LTIMindtree, Bharat Forge, Zensar Technologies, and Welspun Living.

Bharat Forge features in the screener after falling 17.7% over the past week, touching a new 52-week low of Rs 919. The sharp decline comes as the US imposes a 25% tariff on automobiles and auto parts.

In Q3FY25, this industrial products manufacturer derived 74% of its revenue from the US market by supplying parts for Class 8 trucks and OEM parts to automotive companies. The 25% tariff on auto parts increases export costs, reduces demand, impacts revenue, and makes the company less competitive in the US.

In Q3FY25, revenue fell by 10%, and it reported a loss of Rs 19.5 crore due to lower sales of defense products on both a QoQ and YoY basis. On February 19, the company received a letter of intent (LOI) from AM General, USA, to supply advanced artillery cannons to the United States.

Birlasoft also features in the screener after falling 10.6% over the past week. This IT Consulting company derived 86% of its revenue from the US market in Q3FY25. The manufacturing sector and banking and financial services account for 64% of its revenue.

Trump has not imposed tariffs on the Indian IT sector. However, tariffs will likely increase costs for Indian tech’s American customers across sectors, leading them to reduce spending on IT services and postpone discretionary spending. This could extend deal cycles, delay projects, and weaken IT sector growth. A US recession could deepen these impacts further. 

In Q3FY25, Birlasoft’s net profit fell 27.3% YoY, while revenue grew slightly by 0.9% YoY, impacted by seasonally weak demand and a drop in net new deals.

You can find more screenershere.