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The Baseline
25 Jul 2022
Five analyst stock picks with over 10% revenue and profit growth in Q1FY23
  1. Hindustan Unilever: Axis Securities maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this FMCG company with a target price of 2,810. This indicates an upside of 7.1%. In Q1FY23, the company’s net profit increased 13.5% YoY to Rs 2,381 crore and revenue rose 19.9% YoY to Rs 14,624 crore.

Analysts Preeyam Tolia and Dhananjay Choudhury say “Hindustan Unilever delivered a resilient performance ahead of our and street expectations on key performance metrics”. Sales growth was driven by price hikes, market share gains and strong double-digit growth in home care and beauty & personal care segments, according to Tolia and Choudhury. 

However, its EBITDA margin fell 110 bps YoY to 23.2% on the back of high raw material cost inflation, they point out.

Tolia and Choudhury anticipate margins to remain under pressure until Q3 this year on high raw material costs and the weakening rupee. They believe the company’s mid- and long-term prospects are bright given its diverse product portfolio, market share gains, cost-saving initiatives, and strong execution capabilities. The analysts expect the company’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 15.6% over FY22-24.

  1. Oberoi Realty: Motilal Oswal maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this realty company with a target price of Rs 1,100. This indicates an upside of 25%. In Q1FY23, this company’s net profit grew nearly 5X YoY to Rs 403.08 crore and revenue jumped 3.2X YoY to Rs 913.1 crore.

Analysts Pritesh Sheth and Sourabh Gilda expect Oberoi Realty’s pre-sales to “increase by 22% YoY to Rs 4,800 crore in FY23”. The strong launch pipeline will drive growth in FY23, say Sheth and Gilda. In Q1, the realty developer got steady bookings amounting to Rs 760 crore, which fell 18% QoQ but rose nearly 4.5X times YoY.

The company’s retail and hospitality segments’ occupancy rates in Q1 have reached their highest levels since covid-19, say Sheth and Gilda. The occupancy rates of its retail mall and hospitality assets stood at 96% and 91%, respectively. “Renewed focus on business development is a positive sign and will continue to provide further growth visibility for Oberoi Realty,” say the analysts. They expect the company’s profit to grow at a CAGR of 32.7% over FY22-24.

  1. HDFC Bank: LKP Securities maintains a ‘Buy’ call on this bank with a target price of Rs 1,709, indicating an upside of 22.4%. In Q1FY23, the bank reported a profit growth of 21.9% YoY to Rs 9,654.2 crore and 13.53% YoY revenue growth to Rs 44,202.3 crore. “HDFC Bank reported moderate operating performance in Q1FY23,” says analyst Ajit Kumar Kabi. 

Kabi says the bank’s “superior underwriting practices, higher liquidity, adequate coverage, and strong capital position makes it well placed.” The analyst further adds that the bank maintained its growth as the net advances during Q1 increased 21.6% YoY to Rs 14 lakh crore and deposits grew 19% YoY to Rs 16 lakh crore. 

The bank’s net interest income stood at Rs 19,480 crore (up 14.5% YoY) and its net interest margin stood at 4.2%, up 10 basis points YoY. The analyst expects the bank to outperform the sector in the long run on the back of a healthy balance sheet growth, higher provision than the regulatory requirement in the balance sheet, and best-in-class underwriting and risk management practices.

  1. Jindal Steel & Power: BOB Capital maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this steel company’s stock but reduces the target price to Rs 460 from Rs 555. This indicates an upside of 24.3%. In Q1FY23, the company’s revenue increased by 22.8% to Rs 13,069.2 crore and net profit increased by 4,727.9% to Rs 1,992.9 crore. 

An exceptional loss of Rs 1,240.12 crore in Q1FY22 and a reversal of deferred tax of Rs 1,276.22 crore in Q1FY23 have led to the elevated profit number during the quarter.

Analyst Kirtan Mehta says that the “Q1 results were ahead of consensus (estimates).” But despite a healthy EBITDA of Rs 3,000 crore and inflow of Rs 3,000 crore as consideration for the stake sale (in the company), the net debt reduction was muted at Rs 1,100 crore QoQ in Q1.

The analyst thinks the rise in coking coal prices will likely extend margin pressure on the company during Q2 this year. He adds that the company plans to continue with its Rs 18,000 crore capex plan to enhance margins and expand pellet, hot strip mill, and crude steel capacity even in the current environment. He is cautiously positive on the stock despite uncertainties, due to the company’s healthy growth.

  1. Angel One: ICICI Securities maintains a ‘Buy’ call on this stock broking company but revises its target price downwards to Rs 1,830 from Rs 2,230. This indicates an upside of 29.4%. In Q1FY23, the company reported a 49.6% YoY increase in net profit to Rs 181.5 with revenues rising 44.7% to Rs 686.5 crore. 

Analysts Ansuman Deb and Ravin Kurwa feel that despite the positive results, “Angel One reported a decline in the number of orders and margin trading facility book, in line with weak market sentiment in Q1 and especially June 2022”. The analysts expect the Indian stock market to decline further, causing a decline in key operating parameters for the company’s business. 

“We expect orders per day to remain resilient although it may dip in the near term, in line with market sentiment,” say Deb and Kurwa. They expect employee costs and other expenses to remain elevated due to new hiring and investments towards marketing costs in order to increase market share. Accordingly, the analysts forecast the profit to be at Rs 700 crore and Rs 780 crore in FY23 and FY24, respectively.

Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
25 Jul 2022
Market closes lower, Canara Bank’s Q1 profit rises 71.7% YoY to Rs 2,022 crore'

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed in the red with the volatility index, India VIX, rising above 17.5%. Indian market fell after rising for six consecutive sessions as Reliance Industries and Infosys' weak earnings weighed on the benchmark indices. European stocks traded lower than Friday’s levels. Major Asian indices closed in the red, tracking the US indices, which closed lower on Friday. The tech-heavy index, NASDAQ 100 closed 1.8% lower, led by social media company, Snap, which fell over 39% post its earnings release on Friday. Investors look ahead to the US Federal Reserve meeting and US Q2 gross domestic product or GDP data release later this week. Brent crude oil futures recovered from its day’s low and traded higher than Friday’s levels.

Nifty Smallcap 100 closed in the red, following the benchmark index. Nifty FMCG and Nifty Media closed lower than Friday’s levels. Nifty IT closed higher, despite the NASDAQ 100 closing in the red on Friday.

Nifty 50closed at 16,631.00 (-88.5, -0.5%), BSE Sensexclosed at 55,766.22 (-306.0, -0.6%) while the broader Nifty 500closed at 14,279.50 (-57.1, -0.4%).

Market breadth is in the red. Of the 1,922 stocks traded today, 735 were in the positive territory and 1,137 were negative.

  • Macrotech Developers, Procter & Gamble Hygiene & Healthcare, Gujarat Pipavav Port, and Bayer Cropscienceare trading with higher volumesas compared to Friday.

  • Navin Fluorine International sees a long build-up in its July 28 future series as its open interest rises 35.1% with a put-call ratio of 0.85.

  • Stocks like Yes Bank, CG Power and Industrial Solutions, City Union Bank, and Aegis Logisticsare in the overbought zone, according to the technical indicator relative strength index or RSI.

  • Sharda Cropchem is falling as its Q1FY23 net profit declines 40.5% YoY to Rs 22.6 crore as the raw material costs more than doubled to Rs 300.1 crore. EBITDA margin declines by 330 bps to 11.7%. While revenue grows 32.4% YoY to Rs 824.5 crore given better price realisation and product mix. Revenue from the agrochemicals segment rises 15.1% YoY to Rs 534.3 crore and the non-agrochemicals segment surges nearly 2.4X YoY to Rs 209.7 crore.

  • Internet software and service companies Zomato and PB Fintech touch an all-time low of Rs 46 and Rs 499.5, respectively.

  • Canara Bank’s Q1FY23 net profit rises 71.7% YoY to Rs 2,022 crore with net interest income increasing 10% to Rs 6,785 crore. Provisions fall 6.5% YoY to Rs 4,584 crore. The bank’s asset quality improves significantly with gross NPAs falling 152 bps YoY to 6.98% and net NPAs are down 98 bps to 2.48%.

  • Auto stocks like Mahindra & Mahindra, Maruti Suzuki India, Eicher Motors, Bosch, and Tata Motorsare falling in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty Auto is also trading in the red.

  • Jyothy Labs is rising as its Q1FY23 net profit increases 18.2% YoY to Rs 48.4 crore and revenue grows 13.7% YoY to Rs 597.2 crore. The fabric care segment's revenues rise 38.6% to Rs 251 crore while the dishwashing segment's rose 9.6% YoY to Rs 209 crore. EBITDA margins are down 200 bps YoY to 10% as the cost of materials rose nearly 30% YoY to Rs 343.6 crore

  • Larsen & Toubro to sell eight operational road assets and a power transmission project to Edelweiss Infrastructure Yield Plus, a fund managed by Edelweiss Alternative Asset Advisors, for Rs 7,000 crore, according to reports. The deal awaits approval from National Highway Authority of India and Securities and Exchange Board of India.

  • Specialty chemical stocks like SRF, Gujarat Flurochemicals, Aarti Industries,Vinati Organics, Alkyl Amines Chemicals, Balaji Amines, among others, rise a falling rupee benefits these export-oriented companies.

  • Navin Fluorine International is trading with more than nine times its weekly average trading volume. Mahindra CIE Automotive, Zomato, Praj Industries, and Anupam Rasayan India are trading at more than two times their weekly average trading volumes.

  • PB Fintech is falling and touches a 52-week low of Rs 499.5 as it reports an IT breach the company faced on July 19. The company is identifying the reasons for the breach and is auditing the discrepancies with the information security team. The company, however, says there was no customer data leakage because of this incident.

  • ICICI Securities downgrades its rating on Coforge to ‘Add’ from ‘Buy’ and reduces its target price to Rs 4,018 from Rs 4,160. This indicates an upside of 7.6%. The brokerage downgrades its rating as the company’s Q1FY23 revenue misses its estimates. However, the brokerage remains positive on the company’s prospects given that it has the lowest attrition rate in the industry. It also sees the company’s large deal wins and its ability to leverage cross-sell synergies through acquisitions as key positives. The brokerage estimates the company’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 21.1% over FY22-24.

  • Vodafone Idea appoints Akshaya Moondra as Chief Executive Officer for a period of three years effective from with effect from August 19. The new appointment comes in as Ravinder Takkar ceases to be the Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer as he completes his term of three years on August 18.

  • Group of Ministers of GST Council remain indecisive on increasing the GST rate to 28% for online gaming and casinos. The group will hold another meeting before submitting their final report to the Council on August 10.
  • Navin Fluorine International is rising as its Q1FY23 net profit rises 33.1% YoY to Rs 74.4 crore and revenue rises 21.7% YoY to Rs 397.5 crore. Revenue rises on the back of the speciality chemicals segment rising 32% YoY to 176 crore and the high-performance products segment rising 33% to Rs 152 crore. EBITDA margin rises 110 bps YoY to Rs 24.9%

  • Tata Motors receives an order for suppling, operating and maintaining 1,500 electric buses for 12 years from Delhi Transport Corporation (DTC) as part of a tender by Convergence Energy Services, according to reports.

  • Kotak Mahindra is falling despite its net profit surging 26.1% YoY to Rs 2,071.1 crore. Profit rises on the back of the net interest income rising 19.1% YoY to Rs 4,697 crore and provisions reducing 12.3% YoY to Rs 6,532 crore. Net interest margin rises 32 bps YoY to 4.9%. The bank’s asset quality improves as the net non-performing assets fall 66 bps YoY to 0.6%.

  • ICICI Bank is rising as its Q1FY23 net profit rises 49.6% YoY to Rs 6,904.9 crore as provisions fall 60% YoY to Rs 1,144 crore. Net interest income increases 21% YoY to Rs 13,210 crore with net interest margin rising 12 bps to 4.01%. Retail banking segment revenue grew 18.7% YoY to Rs 23,388 crore while wholesale banking segment’s revenue rises 14.8% to Rs 10,869 crore. The bank’s asset quality improves as gross NPAs fall 174 bps YoY to 3.4% and net NPAs are down by 46 bps to 0.7% in Q1FY23.

  • Infosys is falling as its net profit declines 5.7% QoQ to Rs 5,360 crore while revenue rises 6.8% QoQ to Rs 34,470 crore. Profit falls due to employee benefit expenses rising 10.1% QoQ to Rs 18,337 crore and sub-contractors’ costs surging 8.9% QoQ to Rs 3,909 crore. Operating margin declines by 150 bps QoQ to 20%. Attrition rate rises by 70 bps QoQ to 28.4%. The management raises its FY23 revenue growth guidance to 14-16% from 13-15%.

  • Reliance Industries’ Q1FY23 net profit is up 46.3% YoY to Rs 17,955 crore with revenue increasing 53% to Rs 2.4 lakh crore. Oil to chemicals segment contributes most to revenue growth, rising 56.7% YoY to Rs 1.6 lakh crore. Retail segment revenue is up 51.9% YoY to Rs 58,569 crore as consumer spending increases while digital services revenue rises 21.8% to Rs 28,511 crore. Inflationary pressures cause an increase in expenses by 50.9% YoY to Rs 1.9 lakh crore as raw material costs surge 75.5% to Rs 1.3 lakh crore.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include SRF Ltd. (2,383.45, 4.06%), GAIL (India) Ltd. (147.00, 3.81%) and Balkrishna Industries Ltd. (2,349.10, 3.42%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Zomato Ltd. (47.60, -11.28%), Oil India Ltd. (186.50, -4.63%) and Bandhan Bank Ltd. (273.80, -4.27%).

Movers and Shakers

16 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Navin Fluorine International Ltd. (4,208.20, 11.10%), Praj Industries Ltd. (398.95, 4.06%) and Mahindra CIE Automotive Ltd. (258.30, 3.82%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Zomato Ltd. (47.60, -11.28%), Finolex Industries Ltd. (131.90, -5.82%) and Poly Medicure Ltd. (736.55, -5.55%).

Akzo Nobel India Ltd. (1,943.95, 1.00%) was trading at 6.4 times of weekly average. Lakshmi Machine Works Ltd. (10,233.55, 2.09%) and Suven Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (475.75, 2.05%) were trading with volumes 6.1 and 5.4 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

9 stocks hit their 52-week highs, while 2 stocks hit their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Bharat Electronics Ltd. (270.05, 1.22%), Blue Dart Express Ltd. (8,374.45, 0.03%) and EID Parry (India) Ltd. (563.55, 1.15%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Zomato Ltd. (47.60, -11.28%) and PB Fintech Ltd. (499.70, -3.92%).

15 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Navin Fluorine International Ltd. (4,208.20, 11.10%) and SRF Ltd. (2,383.45, 4.06%). 16 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including EPL Ltd. (180.05, -2.75%) and Nesco Ltd. (569.85, -2.56%).

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The Baseline
22 Jul 2022
Five Interesting Stocks Today
  1. Federal Bank: This private bank’s stock rose 21.8% over the past month till Thursday. It also outperformed the banking industry over the past 90 days by 11.3%. The latest upmove in the stock started after the bank released its business update on July 3. The company’s gross advances grew 16.3% YoY to Rs 1.5 lakh core and total deposits by 8.2% YoY to Rs 1.8 lakh crore in Q1FY23. This was a precursor to its good Q1FY23 results as after announcing its results on July 15, the scrip rose 8.5% on the bourses. The bank’s net profit rose 63.5% YoY to Rs 600.7 crore and revenue rose 8.1% YoY to Rs 3,628.9 crore. It beat Trendlyne’s Forecaster profit estimates by 19.6%. The bank shows up on this screener of companies with rising profits for four consecutive quarters.

The bank’s management expects 18% credit growth in FY23 and healthy business traction and diversification to aid profitability. The expansion into high-yield segments such as commercial vehicle loans, construction equipment loans, personal loans, and credit cards is expected to contribute to profit growth. The bank also expects its asset quality to remain stable, with the NIM improving by 5-7 bps from 3.22% to 3.25%-3.27% by the end of FY23. 

  1. Tube Investments of India: This auto parts & equipment maker’s stock rose 12.3% on Tuesday after it announced that its arm TI Clean Mobility (TICMPL) acquired a 65.2% stake in IPLTech Electric in an all-cash deal worth Rs 246 crore. IPLTech Electric makes and sells electric heavy commercial vehicles. The company expects this acquisition to expand its footprint in the electric vehicle space. TICMPL has existing interests in the manufacturing of electric three-wheelers and electric tractors through its subsidiary Cellestial E-Mobility. The management plans to launch its first electric three-wheeler and tractor in FY23.

Over the past week, the stock rose over 10.1% till Thursday and outperformed the Nifty 50 index in the same time period. 

In FY22, Tube Investments’ revenue grew 105.9% YoY to Rs 12,525.3 crore and net profit grew 168.5% YoY to Rs 768.8 crore driven by the engineering and industrial systems segment. All the business verticals of the company grew, thanks to total exports growing 98% YoY, according to Motilal Oswal. To push exports the company is developing strategic partnerships with original equipment manufacturers and distributor channels. The US and EU nations are its major export markets. The company expects growth in the domestic market in the coming years and expects production-linked schemes (PLI) for auto parts to boost the industry. However, Trendlyne’s Forecaster shows the company’s revenue falling 25.2% YoY to Rs 1,823.6 crore in Q1FY23.

  1. Havells India: This consumer durables company’s Q1FY23 result was a mixed bag. Its Q1FY23 revenue rose 62.6% YoY to Rs 4,244.5 crore, beating Trendlyne’s Forecaster estimates by 5.9%. But high raw material costs hurt net profit, which rose only 3.1% YoY, missing Forecaster estimates by 26%. The stock gained over 12.6% in the past two weeks ahead of its results. With the sharp rise in its share price, Havells features in the screener that lists stocks that are overbought by the money flow index or MFI.

In the post-earnings call, Havells India’s Chairman and Managing Director Anil Rai Gupta said that volatile commodity prices impacted the margins in Q1FY23. He added that the recent moderation in prices could reflect in the next two quarters. High raw material costs put pressure on the operating profit margin, which fell 5.1 percentage points YoY to 8.5% in Q1FY23.

In addition to the raw material costs, advertisement and sales promotion costs jumped 2.5X YoY to Rs 113.4 crore in Q1FY23, which impacted profits from the company’s subsidiary Lloyd. Havells had acquired Lloyds in 2017 to foray into the air conditioning segment. Lloyd, which constitutes over 25% of total revenue, posted strong revenue growth of 119% YoY to Rs 1,084 crore in Q1FY23. However, it posted a loss of Rs 56 crore before tax on the back of high advertising and sales promotion expenses due to intense competition in the air conditioning space. 

  1. Bharat Electronics: This defence equipment makers’ stock touched an all-time high of Rs 242.2 in the first week of April as the Centre moved to indigenise production of certain items like weapons, equipment, etc. This could benefit defense public sector companies like Bharat Electronics. Its stock is trading up 6% in the last 90 days and also outperformed its industry by 1.2% in the past 90 days. 

The company’s stock touched an all-time high on Monday of Rs 260.8 when it announced its Q1FY23 results. Its net profit zoomed 15X YoY on a low base to Rs 365.5 crore. It also sees a 90.5% rise in revenues to Rs 3,140 crore, much more than the ICICI Securities’ estimates. Revenue numbers beat Trendlyne’s Forecaster estimates by 43.7%. 

Since Monday the stock has been rising. It also shows up in this screener where the companies which announced their results with rising operating profit margin and net profit growth. ICICI Securities maintains a Buy’ stance on its robust order book and its foray into non-defence segments and increasing exports. The company’s order book stands at Rs 55,333 crore as on July 1. Orders came in not only from the defence segments (arms and ammunition) but also from other non-defence sectors like medical electronic devices and manufacturing electronic products for civil aviation, railways and metros. 

  1. Wipro: This IT services company’s stock hit a 52-week low of Rs 391 on July 15 after Q1FY23 results of its peers like HCL Technologies and Tata Consultancy Services showed that the industry might be facing cost pressures and revenue growth related headwinds. Investors were relieved when Wipro’s stock traded higher for the last three consecutive sessions, but it fell on Thursday after its Q1FY23 results showed a 17% fall in its net profit to Rs 2,563.6 crore This led to Wipro entering this screener of companies which reported a QoQ and YoY decline in net profit. It has also underperformed its industry by 12.5% over the past 90 days.

The company’s management is confident that its clients aren’t planning cuts in technology spends, and does not anticipate any demand slowdown. However, since Wipro’s major business comes from consulting, and given a weak macro environment, this segment is likely to see headwinds. According to a report from ICICI Securities, its capital allocation into the consulting business is already seeing problems because of high investments made. This could impact overall earnings in FY23.

Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movement, analyst calls, or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
22 Jul 2022
Market closes higher, UltraTech Cement's net profit falls 7% YoY to Rs 1,584.1 crore

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed higher with the volatility index, India VIX, below 17%. Indian indices closed higher for a sixth straight session. Reserve Bank of India’s Governor Shaktikanta Das said that the central bank "will continue to engage with the foreign exchange market to ensure the rupee finds its level." Meanwhile, Asian Development Bank or ADB slashed India’s GDP growth forecast to 7.2% from 7.5% for FY23. European markets traded flat to higher as investors assessed the European Central Bank’s larger-than-expected 50 bps interest rate hike.

Most Asian indices closed in the green, tracking the US indices which closed higher on Thursday. The tech-heavy index, NASDAQ 100 rose 1.4% while the Dow Jones closed 0.5% higher. The euro is set for its best week against the US dollar since May after the European Central Bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points to 0%. Brent crude oil futures rose after falling about 2.5% on Thursday due to weakened crude oil demand in the US.

Nifty Midcap 100 closed flat, despite the benchmark index closing in the green. Nifty Bank and Nifty Auto closed higher than Thursday’s levels. Nifty IT, which opened in the green, closed 0.6% lower.

Nifty 50closed at 16,714.30 (109.1, 0.7%), BSE Sensexclosed at 56,072.23 (390.3, 0.7%) while the broader Nifty 500closed at 14,327.05 (55.3, 0.4%)

Market breadth is holding steady. Of the 1,897 stocks traded today, 937 showed gains, and 899 showed losses.

  • Ajanta Pharma, Kansai Nerolac Paints, Supreme Industries, and CESC are trading with higher volumes as compared to Thursday.

  • Atul sees a long build-up in its July 28 future series as its open interest rises 9.2% with a put-call ratio of 0.51.

  • UltraTech Cement is rising despite its net profit falling 7% YoY to Rs 1,584.1 crore while revenue jumps 28.2% YoY to Rs 15,164 crore. Revenue grows on the back of price hikes and rising sales volumes. Profit falls due to power and fuel costs rising 65.3% YoY to Rs 4,013.1 crore and freight expenses increasing 24.2% YoY to Rs 3,290.6 crore.

  • TVS Motor hits an all-time high of Rs 898.7 during trade today. The stock is rising for two consecutive days after the company's management announced that it is lining up fresh investments for Rs 1,000 crore in its electric vehicle business to double its capacity to 25,000 units per month by the end of 2022, and 50,000 units in 2023.

  • India plans to import 76 million tonnes of coal in FY23 to meet the shortage of coal as Coal India's production will slow down in August and September due to the monsoons. This move may cause an increase in electricity tariff rates because of expensive coal imports.

  • Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals’ Q1FY23 net profit rises 32.9% YoY to Rs 125.9 crore. However, net profit falls 22.7% QoQ due to a 17.7% QoQ rise in raw material cost to Rs 1,278 crore and employee expense rising 71.7% to Rs 143.4 crore. Revenue increases 77.3% YoY to Rs 1,862.9 crore with revenue from electric consumer durables rising 52.3% YoY to Rs 1,347.2 crore. Butterfly products also add to revenue growth, contributing Rs 253 crore.

  • HDFC AMC is falling after its Chief Investment Officer Prashan Jain resigns from his post after 19 years

  • HDFC Securities maintains its ‘Add’ rating on Wipro and cuts the target price to Rs 475 from Rs 490, indicating an upside of 15.3%. It cut its target price as the company’s Q1FY23 net profit falls 17% QoQ. However, the brokerage remains positive on the company’s prospects due to it booking 18 large deals in Q1FY23 with a total contract value of $1.1 billion. It also sees the company’s stronger growth in headcount and lower attrition rates relative to its peers as a key positive. The brokerage estimates the company’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 12.9% over FY22-24.

  • Asian Development Bank cuts India’s growth forecast to 7.2% for FY23 from 7.5% on higher inflation and monetary tightening.

  • RBL Bank reports a net profit of Rs 201.2 crore in Q1FY23 against a loss of Rs 459.5 crore in Q1FY22 as provisions fall 81.7% YoY to Rs 253 crore. Interest earned rises 3.1% YoY to Rs 2,089.3 crore, however, it falls 1.9% QoQ. The bank's asset quality improves as gross NPAs fall by 91 bps YoY to 4.1% and net NPAs fall by 85 bps YoY to 1.2%.

  • Cyient is falling as its Q1FY23 net profit declines 24.7% QoQ to Rs 116.1 crore but revenue rises 5.8% QoQ to Rs 1,250.1 crore. EBIT margin falls 298 bps QoQ to 11.5%. Profit falls as employee benefits expense rises 10.5% QoQ to Rs 638 crore. Attrition rate rises 170 bps QoQ to 27.9%.

  • Gujarat State Fertilizer & Chemicals is trading with more than 19 times its weekly average trading volume. MOIL, Sheela Foam, Balaji Amines, and Can Fin Homesare trading at more than six times their weekly average trading volumes.

  • IndiaMART InterMESH is falling as the company's Q1FY23 profit falls 46.9% to Rs 46.7 crore despite marginal rise in revenue of 6.9% to Rs 225.6 crore. The profit falls as employee benefit expenses rises 68% to Rs 92.5 crore and and other expense rises 79% to Rs 67.8 crore.

  • IT stocks like Mphasis, Tech Mahindra, Infosys among others, are falling in trade. The broader Nifty IT index also trades in the red.

  • Mphasis falls despite its net profit rising 2.5% QoQ to Rs 401.8 crore in Q1FY23. Revenue increases by 4.1% QoQ to Rs 3,411.2 crore with logistics and transportation segment growing 6% QoQ to Rs 441 crore. However, revenue from insurance segment fell 3.1% QoQ to Rs 300.2 crore. The company guides for an EBIT margin of 15.25-17% in FY23.

  • Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) Governor is positive on the growth prospects of the Indian economy while remaining watchful on the movement of the rupee. He believes any spillover impact on the Indian economy due to global headwinds will be modest.

  • Crisil is falling despite its Q1FY23 net profit rising 35.8% YoY to Rs 136.9 crore and revenue rising 26.5% YoY to Rs 668.5 crore. Revenue growth is led by the research services segment rising 32.1% YoY to Rs 469.5 crore. However, the EBITDA margin falls 110 bps YoY to 25.3%.

  • Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals is rising as the company's Q1FY23 net profit increases 154% YoY to Rs 345 crore. Revenue from operations rises 63.1% YoY to Rs 3,018.2 crore helped by revenue of fertilizer products rising 82.9% YoY to Rs 2,279.3 crore.

  • Persistent Systems is rising as its Q1FY23 net profit rises 5.3% QoQ to Rs 211.6 crore and revenue rises 14.7% YoY to Rs 1,878.1 crore. Revenue grows on the back of the banking, financial services and insurance segment rising by 19.2% QoQ to Rs 634.4 crore and the software segment rising 13.4% QoQ to Rs 871.6 crore. Profit is hit due to employee benefits expenses rising 10.2% QoQ to Rs 1,110.6 crore and the cost of professionals rising 21.7% QoQ to Rs 260.3 crore.

  • Dolly Khanna buys a 1.2% stake in Suryoday Small Finance Bankfor Rs 10 crore during Q1FY23. She also bought a 0.3% stake in Prakash Pipes, which took here stake in the company to 2.7% at the end of the quarter.

  • NLC India is rising as its board approves investment of Rs 14,945 crore to set up a mining and power plant in Neyveli, Tamil Nadu. It plans to invest Rs 3,755.7 crore in setting up a mining plant and Rs 11,189.2 crore for the second expansion of thermal power station.

  • JSW Energy’s Q1FY23 net profit rises 2.6X YoY to Rs 554 crore as revenue increases 75.2% YoY to Rs 3,026.3 crore. Sale of power in the short term market at 874 million units (up nearly 6X YoY) and an increase in capacity at Vijayanagar plant led to higher revenues in Q1FY22. Still, EBITDA margin is down 9 percentage points to 36% in Q1FY23 as fuel expenses rise 92% YoY to Rs 1,559.3 crore.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Atul Ltd. (8,659.65, 5.51%), UltraTech Cement Ltd. (6,458.70, 5.35%) and Grasim Industries Ltd. (1,521.35, 3.87%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Syngene International Ltd. (572.65, -4.38%), ABB India Ltd. (2,696.40, -2.75%) and Deepak Nitrite Ltd. (1,815.90, -2.69%).

Crowd Puller Stocks

34 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Gujarat State Fertilizer & Chemicals Ltd. (163.75, 14.71%), MOIL Ltd. (161.00, 8.42%) and Cera Sanitaryware Ltd. (4,563.20, 6.22%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were IndiaMART InterMESH Ltd. (4,074.45, -4.27%), SRF Ltd. (2,290.55, -2.26%) and Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Ltd. (377.05, -1.69%).

Atul Ltd. (8,659.65, 5.51%) was trading at 19.2 times of weekly average. Sheela Foam Ltd. (2,845.70, 5.55%) and Balaji Amines Ltd. (3,319.60, 6.13%) were trading with volumes 16.4 and 9.5 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

10 stocks took off, crossing 52-week highs,

Stocks touching their year highs included - Bajaj Auto Ltd. (4,054.50, -0.06%), Bharat Electronics Ltd. (266.80, -0.71%) and Blue Dart Express Ltd. (8,372.05, 0.59%).

23 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Balaji Amines Ltd. (3,319.60, 6.13%) and Aegis Logistics Ltd. (258.50, 5.66%). 14 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Syngene International Ltd. (572.65, -4.38%) and KPR Mill Ltd. (573.60, -4.18%).

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
21 Jul 2022
Market closes higher, PVR posts a profit of Rs 53.4 crore in Q1FY23

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed in the green, with the volatility index, India VIX, below 17%. Indian indices closed higher for a fifth straight session. European indices traded lower than Wednesday’s levels ahead of a key European Central Bank meeting. Major Asian indices closed mixed, despite the US indices closing in the green on Wednesday. US stocks rose supported by positive earnings reports. The tech-heavy index, NASDAQ 100 rose 1.6% while the S&P 500 closed 0.6% higher. Brent crude oil futures trade lower as investors remain concerned about reduced demand due to slow global economic growth.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green, following the benchmark index. Nifty Metal and Nifty Media closed higher than Wednesday’s levels. Nifty IT closed in the green, taking cues from the NASDAQ 100, which rose 1.6% on Wednesday.

Nifty 50closed at 16,609.80 (89.0, 0.5%), BSE Sensexclosed at 55,681.95 (284.4, 0.5%) while the broader Nifty 500closed at 14,277.35 (113.0, 0.8%)

Market breadth is in the green. Of the 1,896 stocks traded today, 1,119 were on the uptick, and 720 were down.

  • Prism Johnson, CreditAccess Grameen, Procter & Gamble Hygiene & Healthcare, and Macrotech Developersare trading with higher volumesas compared to Wednesday.

  • Grasim Industries sees a long build-up in its July 28 future series as its open interest rises 1.4 % with a put-call ratio of 0.64.

  • Stocks like Aster DM Healthcare, Adani Transmission, Timken India, KRBL, and City Union Bank are in the overbought zone according to the technical indicators relative strength index or RSI and money flow index or MFI.

  • PVR is rising as it posts a profit of Rs 53.4 crore compared to a loss of Rs 219.4 crore in Q1FY22. Revenue jumps more than 16X YoY to Rs 981.4 crore on a low base due to covid-19 restrictions last year. The movie exhibition segment’s revenue rises 12X YoY to Rs 980 crore.

  • IDBI Bank’s Q1FY23 net profit rises 25.4% YoY to Rs 756.4 crore as provisions fall 47.9% to Rs 959.2 crore. Net interest income falls 5.6% YoY to Rs 4,640.8 crore. The bank's asset quality improves as gross NPAs fall by 281 bps YoY to 19.9% and net NPAs fall by 42 bps YoY to 1.25%.

  • Metropolis Healthcare may call off a potential deal with Flipkart over valuation concerns, according to reports.

  • Hindustan Zinc is rising as its Q1FY23 net profit surges 55.9% YoY to Rs 3,092 crore and revenue grows by 43.7% YoY to Rs 9,387 crore. Revenue grows on the back of the zinc and lead segment, which rises 54.6% YoY to Rs 8,066 crore. EBITDA margin rises 20bps YoY to 54.7%.

  • Media stocks like PVR, Inox Leisure, Sun TV Network, Zee Entertainment Enterprises, and Dish TV India, among others, are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty Media is also trading in the green.

  • Motilal Oswal maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on ICICI Lombard General Insurance Co with a target price of Rs 1,500. This indicates an upside of 18%. The brokerage expects strong premium growth for the company. It believes this growth will be driven by robust new auto sales, health distribution channel growth, and digital capabilities investments. The brokerage estimates the company’s profit to grow at a CAGR of 27% over FY22-24.

  • AU Small Finance Bank’s Q1FY23 net profit rises 31.8% YoY to Rs 267.9 crore as interest earned is up 34.5% to Rs 1,820.2 crore. However, net profit falls 22.6% QoQ as total revenue remains flat and interest expended rises by 15.6% QoQ to Rs 844.2 crore. Provisions fall by 84.5% YoY to Rs 38.3 crore. The bank's asset quality improves as gross NPAs fall by 235 bps YoY to 1.9% and net NPAs fall by 170 bps YoY to 0.56%.

  • Gland Pharma is trading with more than 17 times its weekly average trading volume. Sonata Software, Aegis Logistics, Tata Communications, and IndusInd Bankare trading at more than six times their weekly average trading volumes.

  • Federal Bank partners with the Central Board of Direct Taxes to launch online tax payment services. This will allow taxpayers to pay taxes through the e-pay tax facility in the e-filing portal. The bank’s online tax payment services are effective from July 1.

  • Oracle Financial Services Software is falling despite its net profit rising 2.1% QoQ to Rs 491.8 crore and revenue rising 9.8% QoQ to Rs 1,402.5 crore. Revenue grows on the back of the product licenses activities segment rising 10.1% QoQ to Rs 968.6 crore. The company’s operating profit margin rises by 292 bps QoQ to 46.2%.

  • ITC touches a 52-week high of Rs 302.2 per share following the company’s annual general meeting.

  • Havells India is rising as its revenue rises 62.6% YoY to Rs 4,244.5 crore as all its business verticals see growth. The surge in revenue is driven by the Llyod consumer segment rising 2.2X YoY to Rs 1,093.8 crore and the cable segment growing 47.8% YoY to Rs 1,192.9 crore. However, profit rises by only 3.1% YoY to Rs 234.2 crore as raw material costs rise 85% YoY to Rs 2,391.5 crore and purchase of traded goods rise 2.5X YoY to 797.6 crore. The management says the demand outlook looks stable in the coming quarters.

  • Gland Pharma hits a 52-week low after its net profit falls 35% YoY to Rs 229 crore with revenue decreasing 26% to Rs 856.9 crore. The sales were hit because of shutdown of two manufacturing product lines.

  • Ashish Kacholia buys a 1.1% stake in Barbeque-Nation Hospitality worth Rs 44.6 crore during Q1FY23

  • Ceat’s Q1FY23 net profit falls 61.4% YoY to Rs 9.2 crore because a 58% YoY increase in raw materials cost to Rs 2,037.5 crore. Gross margins fall by 7.23 percentage points YoY to 31.7% in Q1FY23 despite a 47.8% YoY increase in revenue to Rs 2,818.3 crore.

  • IndusInd Bank is rising as its net profit rises 60.5% YoY to Rs 1,631 crore and revenue rises 8% YoY to Rs 8,181.8 crore. Revenue growth is driven by the wholesale banking segment’s revenue rising 32.5% YoY to Rs 2,900.7 crore. Net interest margin rises 15 bps YoY to 4.2% and its asset quality improves as its net non-performing assets fall 17 bps YoY to 0.67%.

  • Wipro’s Q1FY23 net profit falls 17% QoQ to Rs 2,563.6 crore with operating profit margin down 200 bps QoQ to 15%. This is because of increase in employee cost by 4% QoQ to Rs 12,613 crore and sub contracting expenses by 3.3% to Rs 2,945 crore. However, the company’s revenue is up 3.2% QoQ to Rs 21,528.6 crore with revenue from IT services increasing 3% QoQ to Rs 21,284.8 crore. Revenue from verticals like energy and manufacturing fall 3.4% and 2.8% QoQ, respectively. Employee attrition rate is down to 23.3% in Q1FY23 from 23.8% in Q4FY22.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Tata Communications Ltd. (1,077.10, 10.03%), IndusInd Bank Ltd. (948.10, 7.82%) and ABB India Ltd. (2772.75, 6.70%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Gland Pharma Ltd. (2,329.70, -5.81%), Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Ltd. (383.55, -3.21%) and JSW Energy Ltd. (235.55, -2.52%).

Volume Shockers

31 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Aegis Logistics Ltd. (244.65, 15.76%), Tata Communications Ltd. (1,077.10, 10.03%) and IndusInd Bank Ltd. (948.10, 7.82%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Gland Pharma Ltd. (2,329.70, -5.81%), Thyrocare Technologies Ltd. (608.80, -2.08%) and Trident Ltd. (41.05, -1.91%).

Sonata Software Ltd. (715.05, 4.86%) was trading at 18.9 times of weekly average. Eris Lifesciences Ltd. (673.60, 1.34%) and Kajaria Ceramics Ltd. (1,073.65, 7.44%) were trading with volumes 10.6 and 7.5 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

13 stocks hit their 52-week highs, while 3 stocks hit their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Bajaj Auto Ltd. (4,057.05, 1.37%), Bharat Electronics Ltd. (268.70, 5.41%) and Coromandel International Ltd. (1,034.80, 3.95%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Thyrocare Technologies Ltd. (608.80, -2.08%) and Gland Pharma Ltd. (2,329.70, -5.81%).

20 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Aegis Logistics Ltd. (244.65, 15.76%) and IndusInd Bank Ltd. (948.10, 7.82%). 8 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including V-Guard Industries Ltd. (224.10, -2.84%) and Jubilant Ingrevia Ltd. (543.55, -2.56%).

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The Baseline
20 Jul 2022
Chart of the week: While several currencies fall, Russian ruble gains against US dollar in 2022

As the Indian rupee touches new all-time lows every other day against the US dollar, it is worth pondering if the going is really as bad as it is made out to be.

High inflation across  the world is forcing global central banks to raise rates to control runaway price increases. And central banks across the world are facing the challenge of controlling inflation in the face of a strengthening dollar. As the US Federal Bank hikes interest rates, the US dollar has gained, making major global commodities like oil that trade in dollars become more expensive for the rest of the world to import.Rising trade deficits and the attraction of the dollar as a safe haven are also driving investor money out of key emerging markets. 

Many currencies worldwide are performing much worse than the Indian rupee. In the past month, the Japanese yen fell to a 24-year low against the US dollar and is currently down 20% year-to-date. The euro fell below a one-for-one parity against the dollar for the first time since 2002. The worst performing currency against the dollar is the Argentine Peso which as of today is trading down 25.7% year-to-date. Even the UK’s pound sterling is down 11.1% against the US dollar since the start of the year while the Swedish Krona and Norwegian Krone fell 12.8% and 12.3%, respectively, against the dollar.

In face of this, the Indian rupee’s 7.6% fall year-to-date doesn’t seem all that bad. Breaching the Rs 80 mark against the dollar is being driven by foreign investors pulling money out of Indian equities. 

The surprising thing in all of this is the movement of the Russian ruble. After falling sharply due one of the toughest sanctions imposed on the country due its war with Ukraine, the ruble is the best performing currency globally from the beginning of the year, the ruble is up 25.7%. The county’s aggressive approach to stop money from leaving the country and the rising crude oil prices helped it strengthen against the US dollar. Commodity exporter Brazil also saw its Real currency strengthen against the dollar in the first half of 2022, although the trend has reversed since June on recession fears.

For the humble rupee though, it’s not all bad. But we are still at the end of July and there is doom and gloom about recession in the western countries. That could hurt the rupee further.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
20 Jul 2022
Market closes higher, Bank of India initiates insolvency proceedings against Future Retail

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed in the green, with the volatility index, India VIX, falling below 17%. Indian indices closed higher for the fourth straight session. UK’s consumer price index rose 9.3% in June, hitting a 40-year high as food and energy prices continued to rise. However, European indices followed the global trend and traded higher than Tuesday’s levels. Asian indices closed in the green, tracking the US indices, which closed sharply higher on Tuesday. US stocks rose on the back of positive earnings reports. The tech-heavy index, NASDAQ 100, rose 3.1% while the Dow Jones closed 2.8% higher. Russian gas supply via the Nord Stream 1 pipeline is set to restart on time on Thursday, easing investors’ concerns about gas supply to Europe. Brent crude oil futures traded marginally lower after rising 1.5% on Tuesday.

Oil and gas stocks rose after the Centre cut windfall tax on the export of crude oil and its products. Nifty Smallcap 100 closed in the green, following the benchmark index. Nifty Pharma and Nifty Energy closed higher than Tuesday’s levels. Nifty IT closed in the green, tracking the NASDAQ 100, which closed sharply higher on Tuesday.

The market closed on an upbeat note. Nifty 50 closed at 16,495.80 (155.3, 1.0%) , BSE Sensex closed at 55,397.53 (629.9, 1.2%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 14,143.20 (91.6, 0.7%)

Market breadth is in the green. Of the 1,899 stocks traded today, 1,031 were on the uptrend, and 803 went down.

  • Sanofi India, Home First Finance Company India, Go Fashion (India), and IIFL Wealth Management are trading with higher volumes as compared to Tuesday.

  • Infosys sees a long build-up in its July 28 future series as its open interest rises 5.7% with a put-call ratio of 0.70

  • Stocks like Hinduja Global Solutions, Aster DM Healthcare, Tube Investments of India, Adani Transmission, and Timken India are in the overbought zone according to the technical indicators relative strength index or RSI and money flow index or MFI.

  • Bank of India initiates insolvency proceedings against Future Retail

  • FMCG stocks like Hindustan Unilever, ITC, Nestle India, Dabur India, Britannia Industries, Godrej Consumer Products, among others, are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty FMCG is also trading in the green.

  • Syngene International is falling as its Q1FY23 net profit drops 4.4% YoY to Rs 73.9 crore despite its revenue rising 8.4% YoY to Rs 644.5 crore. Profit takes a hit mainly due to employee expenses rising 8.8% YoY to Rs 186.1 crore and other expenses increasing by 52.8% YoY to Rs 121 crore.

  • TVS Motors touches a 52-week high of Rs 890 after announcing an investment of Rs 1,000 crore to increase the production of its two-wheeler electric vehicles, according to reports. It plans to double its production capacity to 25,000 units a month by the end of this year.

  • HDFC Securities maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on Oberoi Realty with a target price of Rs 1,118. This indicates an upside of 30.4%. The brokerage remains positive on the company’s prospects given its robust sales pipeline, new launches, and strong balance sheet. It expects the company’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 11.6% over FY22-24.

  • Cummins India and Federal Bank hit their 52-week highs of Rs 1,184.6 and Rs 109.4, respectively. While Federal Bank rises for five consecutive sessions, Cummins India trades higher for two sessions.

  • Metal stocks like Vedanta, National Aluminium Co, Steel Authority of India, APL Apollo Tubes, and Hindustan Copper, among others, are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty Metal is also trading in the green.

  • L&T Finance Holdings' Q1FY23 net profit rises 47.4% YoY to Rs 262 crore, however falls 23% QoQ. Interest income is down 2.1% YoY to Rs 2,946.5 crore but total income rises marginal by 0.6% to Rs 3,135.8 crore. Its retail loan disbursements increase 148% YoY to Rs 8,938 crore with two-wheeler loans rising 84% YoY to Rs 1,517 crore. The company’s net interest margin (including fee income) rises 71 bps YoY to 8.23%.

  • PNB Housing Finance is trading with more than eight times its weekly average trading volume. Triveni Turbine, Laxmi Organic Industries, Caplin Point Laboratories, and IIFL Wealth Management are trading at more than five times their weekly average trading volumes.

  • Stocks like Jubilant Foodworks, Devyani International, Sapphire Foods India, Restaurant Brands Asia, Barbeque-Nation Hospitality, among others are rising in trade after the Delhi High Court stays the guidelines on levying service charge by the Ministry of Consumer Affairs.

  • Rallis India is falling as its Q1FY23 net profit declines 18.1% YoY to Rs 67.5 crore despite its revenue rising 16.5% YoY to Rs 862.8 crore. Revenue grows on the back of price hikes and rise in sales volume but EBITDA margin drops 330 bps YoY to 13.1%.

  • Vedanta rises after the company announces a second interim dividend of Rs 19.50 per share for FY 2022-23. The total payout amounts to Rs 7,250 crore.

  • ICICI Lombard General Insurance is falling despite reporting a 79.6% YoY rise in net profit to Rs 349 crore. Gross written premium is up 29.6% YoY to Rs 5,529.7 crore while gross direct premium rises 28% to Rs 5,370 crore. Group health insurance sees a revenue growth of 34% YoY to Rs 772 crore and marine insurance sees a rise in revenue by 16.8% to Rs 105.6 crore.

  • All IT stocks are trading in the green. Stocks like Tech Mahindra, Larsen & Toubro Infotech, MindTree, Mphasis, L&T Technology Services and Coforge, are up by more than 2%. The broader sectoral index Nifty IT is also rising in trade.

  • Ambuja Cements is falling as its Q2CY22 net profit declines 14.2% YoY to Rs 752 crore despite its revenue rising 15.1% YoY to Rs 8,032.9 crore. The drop in profit is due to the power & fuel costs rising 62.6% YoY to Rs 2,632.5 crore and the cost of materials consumed rising 30.3% YoY to Rs 994.2 crore. The company’s EBITDA margin falls by 12.5 percentage points YoY to 14%.

  • Grasim Industries rises as its board of directors approve investment of Rs 2,000 crore over the next five years on a B2B e-commerce platform for trading and marketing of building materials.

  • Hindustan Unilever rises as its Q1FY23 net profit is up 13.5% YoY to Rs 2,381 crore with revenue increasing 20.4% to Rs 14,757 crore. EBITDA margin falls 110 bps YoY to 23.2%. Revenue from the home care segment sees the highest growth of 29.8% YoY to Rs 4,930 crore. However, total expenses also see a rise of 20.8% to Rs 11,531 crore as cost of materials expenses rises 32%.

  • Centre cuts windfall tax on diesel and aviation fuel exports by Rs 2 per litre as global crude oil prices fall. The export tax on diesel and aviation turbine fuel are Rs 11 and Rs 4 per litre, respectively. It rolls back the entire export tax on petrol of Rs 6 per litre while cutting an additional excise duty on domestically produced crude oil by 27% to Rs 17,000 per tonne.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include L&T Technology Services Ltd. (3,406.35, 6.81%), Vedanta Ltd. (253.20, 6.05%) and Oil India Ltd. (197.45, 5.81%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Hindustan Zinc Ltd. (278.85, -6.63%), ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company Ltd. (1,216.85, -4.22%) and Tube Investments of India Ltd. (2,194.90, -3.04%).

Volume Shockers

35 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included KPR Mill Ltd. (557.10, 8.58%), Aavas Financiers Ltd. (2,267.50, 8.03%) and Laxmi Organic Industries Ltd. (325.65, 7.92%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company Ltd. (1,216.85, -4.22%), Hatsun Agro Products Ltd. (929.30, -2.30%) and HDFC Life Insurance Company Ltd. (525.20, -2.00%).

Triveni Turbine Ltd. (167.95, 6.16%) was trading at 18.4 times of weekly average. PNB Housing Finance Ltd. (358.60, 6.00%) and Century Plyboards (India) Ltd. (591.70, 3.18%) were trading with volumes 14.2 and 9.9 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

15 stocks overperformed with 52 week highs,

Stocks touching their year highs included - Adani Transmission Ltd. (3,018.75, -0.36%), AIA Engineering Ltd. (2,405.80, -1.14%) and Bajaj Auto Ltd. (4,002.05, 0.00%).

23 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including KPIT Technologies Ltd. (532.50, 5.26%) and Gillette India Ltd. (5,396.95, 3.55%). 8 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Blue Star Ltd. (995.15, -2.91%) and Havells India Ltd. (1,223.25, -2.82%).

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
19 Jul 2022
Market closes higher, HDFC Life’s Q1 profit up 22% YoY to Rs 328.7 crore

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed in the green, with the volatility index, India VIX, below 17.5%. Indian rupee hit a record low of 80.05 against the US dollar. European stocks traded mostly flat amid mixed global cues. Most Asian indices closed in the green, tracking the US indices futures, which traded higher. However, US indices closed lower on Monday after giving up early gains on a volatile day of trade. The tech-heavy index, NASDAQ 100 closed 0.9% lower while the Dow Jones fell 0.7% on Monday. Crude oil traded flat after rising close to 5% on Monday. Tight crude oil supply due to the geopolitical crisis, and fears of slow economic growth induced by aggressive rate hikes remain the key factors affecting the crude oil price.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green, following the benchmark index. Nifty Bank, which opened in the red, closed higher. Nifty IT closed flat despite the NASDAQ 100 closing lower on Monday.

Nifty 50closed at 16,329.30 (50.8, 0.3%), BSE Sensexclosed at 54,767.62 (246.5, 0.5%) while the broader Nifty 500closed at 14,041.80 (57.4, 0.4%)

Market breadth is in the green. Of the 1,880 stocks traded today, 1,128 were gainers and 712 were losers.

  • Brightcom Group, Macrotech Developers, ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India, and Chemplast Sanmarare trading with higher volumesas compared to Monday.

  • Polycab India sees a long build-up in its July 28 future series as its open interest rises 12.7% with a put-call ratio of 0.55.

  • Polycab India’s Q1FY23 net profit rises 195.5% YoY to Rs 222.5 crore as revenue from operations rises 47.5% YoY to Rs 2,736.5 crore. However, its net profit falls 31.6% QoQ due to revenue from operations falling 31% QoQ and a rise in material cost and employee benefit expenses.

  • TV18 Broadcast is falling as its Q1FY23 profit falls 76.6% YoY to Rs 33.7 crore but revenue rises 9.5% YoY to Rs 1,265 crore. The fall in profit is due to operational costs rising 26.9% YoY to Rs 584.4 crore and marketing, distribution and promotional expenses rising 25% YoY to Rs 287.1 crore. The company’s EBITDA margin falls by 11.6 percentage points YoY to 4.6%.

  • Surya Roshni rises as the company receives an order worth Rs 91.3 crore from Bharat Gas Resources for supply of 2.3 lakh metres of four and 12 inch API SL grade three layer polyethylene coated line pipes within a period of one year

  • HDFC Life Insurance’s Q1FY23 net profit rises 22% YoY to Rs 328.7 crore with first year premium income increasing 32.9% to Rs 1,708.6 crore. New business margin is up 60 bps to 26.8%. Asset under management in Q1FY23 stands at Rs 2 lakh crore, an increase of 10% YoY. The quality of business improves as 13-month persistency ratio increases 200 bps to 88%.

  • Mindtree is rising after it partners with a US-based cloud data management and security company Rubrik. Both firms will jointly launch a cyber-recovery platform ‘Mindtree Vault’ which will deal with the ransomware and cyber attacks.

  • Sterlite Technologies rises as the company wins deal worth Rs 250 crore with one of India's largest telecom operators. The deal is to provide specialised optic fibres and deployment services to build the telecom operator's network across nine telecom circles in India.

  • ICICI Direct maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on HDFC Bank with a target price of Rs 1,650, indicating an upside of 21%. The brokerage remains positive on the company’s prospects given the build-up of its digital and physical infrastructure, branch addition, and growth in its retail segment. It expects the company’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 19% over FY22-24.

  • Advanced Enzyme Technologies is trading with more than 18 times its weekly average trading volume. Great Eastern Shipping Company, Engineers India, Dilip Buildcon, and Grindwell Norton are trading at more than four times their weekly average trading volumes.

  • Public sector banks like Bank of Baroda, Canara Bank, Punjab & Sind Bank, among others are rising in trade. The broader Nifty PSU Bank index also trades in the green.

  • Pharma stocks like Divi’s Laboratories, Dr. Reddy's Laboratories, Torrent Pharmaceuticals, Biocon, Alkem Laboratories, Zydus Lifesciences, among others are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty Pharma is also trading in the green.

  • DCM Shriram’s Q1FY23 net profit rises 61.2% YoY to Rs 253.9 crore as total revenue rises 47.5% YoY to Rs 2,999.9 crore. However, net profit falls 36.7% QoQ due to increase in material, employee and, power and fuel expenses.

  • Nelco is rising as its Q1FY23 net profit is up 7.8% YoY to Rs 4.7 crore. Its revenue sees a 48.2% rise to Rs 81.6 crore. However, EBITDA margin falls 359 bps YoY to 18.4% in Q1FY23.

  • Oil companies like Mangalore Refinery And Petrochemicals, Chennai Petroleum, Oil India, among others are rising in trade as brent crude oil price rises above $ 105 per barrel.

  • Alok Industries is falling as its Q1FY23 loss widens 45% YoY to Rs 141.6 crore despite its revenue rising 55.9% YoY to Rs 1,971.5 crore. The increase in loss is due to the cost of materials consumed rising 54.7% YoY to Rs 1,371.8 crore.

  • Auto stocks like Mahindra & Mahindra, Eicher Motors, TVS Motors, among others are rising in trade. The broader Nifty Auto index is also trading in the green.

  • Mangalore Chemicals & Fertilizers is falling after it announces the shutting down of its phosphatic fertilizer plant. It shut down the plant due to the non-availability of the raw material phosphoric acid. The company is yet to announce the date of resuming operations in the plant.

  • Indian rupee depreciates seven paise to another record low of 80.05 against the US dollar in early trade today.

  • Arvind is rising after Shiprocket acquires its technology business ‘Omuni’ for Rs 200 crore in a stock and cash deal. Both companies are leaders in in D2C commerce segment. The deal will result in better post-purchase experience for customers.

  • Mastek’s arm Mastek Inc. to acquire US-based tech consulting partner Metasoftech Solutions. It will acquire 100% stake in the company for $76.6 million. The acquisition is likely to complete by end of August.

  • Tube Investments’ arm inks pact with IPLTech Electric (IPLT) to acquire 65.2% stake, for an amount of Rs 246 crore. IPLT is a startup engaged in manufacturing and sale of heavy electric commercial vehicles.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Tube Investments of India Ltd. (2,263.75, 12.36%), Oberoi Realty Ltd. (898.80, 4.87%) and Polycab India Ltd. (2,250.80, 4.53%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include GAIL (India) Ltd. (140.25, -2.67%), Max Financial Services Ltd. (831.05, -2.08%) and Tata Motors Limited (DVR) (223.95, -2.08%).

Crowd Puller Stocks

27 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Tube Investments of India Ltd. (2,263.75, 12.36%), Dilip Buildcon Ltd. (219.10, 7.19%) and Advanced Enzyme Technologies Ltd. (294.90, 7.04%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Grindwell Norton Ltd. (1,679.70, -2.69%), HDFC Life Insurance Company Ltd. (535.90, -1.26%) and Biocon Ltd. (329.05, -1.02%).

Great Eastern Shipping Company Ltd. (441.00, 6.84%) was trading at 17.9 times of weekly average. Engineers India Ltd. (64.20, 5.59%) and TTK Prestige Ltd. (895.00, 6.08%) were trading with volumes 12.0 and 11.0 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

12 stocks made 52-week highs,

Stocks touching their year highs included - Adani Transmission Ltd. (3,029.75, 1.65%), AIA Engineering Ltd. (2,433.60, 3.04%) and Eicher Motors Ltd. (3,077.70, 1.36%).

19 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including PCBL Ltd. (117.80, 6.51%) and Escorts Kubota Ltd. (1,755.35, 5.27%). 6 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Grindwell Norton Ltd. (1,679.70, -2.69%) and Tata Motors Limited (DVR) (223.95, -2.08%).

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The Baseline
18 Jul 2022
Five analyst stock picks this week
  1. Avenue Supermarts: IDBI Capital maintains its ‘Buy’ call on this retailer’s stock with a target price of Rs 4,571. This indicates an upside of 15.8%. “Avenue Supermarts’ (Dmart) Q1FY23 results were above expectations,” say analysts Varun Singh and Chetan Mahadik. In Q1FY23, the company’s revenue grew 93.7% YoY to Rs 10,038.1 crore and profit grew 574.2% YoY to Rs 642,9 crore. During the quarter the company added 10 stores, taking its total store count to 294 stores. 

According to the analysts, the new stores that were added since FY20 couldn’t operate at full capacity due to the pandemic but have done extremely well during 1QFY23. The analysts are also encouraged by the old Dmart stores’ positive volume growth in the discretionary segment. “We expect better revenue mix from the modern large size stores,” the analysts conclude and revise their earnings per share estimate for FY23 upwards by 3-4% to Rs 41.7.

  1. Tarsons Products: Edelweiss maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this plastic labware maker with a target price of Rs 949. This indicates an upside of 14.5%. The company’s FY22 revenue grew 31.4% YoY to Rs 301 crore and profit by 46.4% to Rs 101 crore. 

According to analysts Praveen Sahay and Ajit Sahu, even though the company operates in a highly competitive environment, it still has an edge due to its strong distribution network, largest in-house manufacturing facility, and well-diversified product portfolio. “Tarsons is witnessing strong demand from pharmaceutical companies, while demand from academia/research institutes/ diagnostic companies appears challenging,” they add.

The company has increased the capex plan to Rs 500 from Rs 410 crore out of which Rs 240 crore has already been incurred. The analysts expect the domestic plastic labware market to grow at a healthy rate of 16%. The company’s revenue growth is expected tobe boosted by new products in the export market in the coming years.

  1. Chalet Hotels: Monarch Networth Capital recommends a ‘Buy’ call on this hotel chain operator with a target price of Rs 450, indicating an upside of 43.1%. “Chalet remains our preferred bet to play the cyclical upturn in Hotels,” say analysts Vinit Gala and Vedika Singh. They anticipate the company’s revenue to be 14.5% higher than FY20 (pre-covid levels) in FY23 and 44% higher in FY24 while EBITDA margins become 33.8% and 40.5%, respectively.  They hope the operationalization of new hotels and commercial properties will aid further growth in revenue.

“With record high occupancies and average daily rates in April 2022 (80% and Rs 7,100 respectively), Chalet is on course to end FY23 above pre-covid levels,” Gala and Singh add. They also believe that the company's asset-heavy approach in land-locked cities gives them immense negotiating power in management contracts.

  1. IIFL Wealth Management: BOB Capital Markets initiates coverage of this wealth management company with a ‘Buy’ rating and a target price of Rs 2,277, indicating an upside of 42.1%. According to the analyst Mohit Mangal, “IIFL Wealth’s model of offering wealth solutions to high- and ultra-high-net-worth individuals (HNI/UHNI) is based on driving a larger share of recurring revenue streams”. The company is expanding its recurring revenue streams by migrating its commission structures to a trailing commission structure, which will expand recurring revenue streams, Mangal says.

By the end of FY22, recurring revenue streams contributed 55% to assets under management and 65% to the revenue. Mangal expects this contribution to increase to 61% of AUM and 81% of the revenue in FY25, and the company’s AUM to grow at a CAGR of 20% over FY22-25, amounting to Rs 4.5 lakh crore. He also anticipates net flows of Rs 45,200 crore into the AUM by FY25. , Robust AUM growth and operating leverage, if they happen, will enable the company’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 18% over FY22-25

  1. HCL Technologies: Motilal Oswal maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on this IT services company with a target price of Rs 1,100, indicating an upside of 22.2%. The company’s Q1FY23 net profit fell 8.6% QoQ to Rs 3,283 crore and revenue grew 3.8% QoQ to Rs 23,464 crore. Even though it missed the brokerage’s profit estimates by 2.6%, analysts Mukul Garg and Raj Prakash Bhanushali remain positive about the company’s medium- and long-term prospects. The analysts expect the company’s capabilities in the growing digital, cloud, and infrastructure management services space to help it emerge stronger. The analysts add that high exposure to cloud services offers the company resilience during the overall downtrend in the industry.

Garg and Bhanushali expect a strong deal total contract value and order pipeline to help improve the company’s revenue growth in Q2FY23. Given that cloud and digital transformation is the central theme of growth for the company, the analysts expect “the company’s services business to do well in a favourable demand environment for cloud migration and research & development outsourcing”. They anticipate that the company’s profit will grow at a CAGR of 8.2% over FY22-24.

Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
18 Jul 2022
Market closes higher, Bank of Maharashtra’s Q1 profit rises 117.5% YoY

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed in the green, with the volatility index, India VIX, falling below 17.5%. Centre’s Minister of State for Finance, Pankaj Chaudhary, said India's FY23 real GDP growth is expected to be more than 7% despite commodity price inflation. Indian Rupee hits a new low of 79.98 against the US dollar. European indices traded higher than Friday’s levels as investors look ahead to European Central Bank’s key meeting later in the week.

Asian stocks closed higher amid positive global cues. US indices closed sharply higher on Friday with the tech-heavy index, NASDAQ 100, rising 1.8%. The S&P 500 snapped its five-day losing streak and closed 1.9% higher. Brent crude oil futures rose and traded above $100 per barrel after falling about 5% last week. Gold hovers near its 11-month low, as interest rate hikes dent the appeal of the safe haven metal.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green, following the benchmark index. Nifty Metal and Nifty Media closed sharply higher than Friday’s levels. Nifty IT closed in the green, tracking the NASDAQ 100, which closed sharply higher on Friday.

Nifty 50closed at 16,281.40 (232.2, 1.5%), BSE Sensexclosed at 54,521.15 (760.4, 1.4%) while the broader Nifty 500closed at 13,986.10 (195.9, 1.4%)

Market breadth is overwhelmingly positive. Of the 1,917 stocks traded today, 1,382 showed gains, and 469 showed losses.

  • PB Fintech, JK Lakshmi Cement, SKF India, and Sonata Softwareare trading with higher volumesas compared to Friday.

  • Ashish Kacholia sells stake in Igarashi Motors India during Q1FY23. He now holds below 1% stake in the company.

  • Indian rupee depreciates 10 paise to a new record low of 79.98 against the US Dollar in trade today.

  • Au Small Finance Banksees a long build-up in its July 28 future series as its open interest rises 20.6% with with a put-call ratio of 0.6.

  • India's FY23 real GDP growth to be more than 7% despite commodity price inflation, says the Centre's Minister of State for Finance Pankaj Chaudhary
  • Schaeffler India and Coromandel International hit their life highs of Rs 2,549 and Rs 1,019.4, respectively. While Schaeffler India rises for four consecutive sessions, Coromandel International trades higher for three sessions.

  • Morgan Stanley cuts India’s 2023 GDP growth forecast by 40 bps to 7.2% from its earlier estimate of 7.6%. The brokerage feels the slowdown in global growth, supply-side driven commodity price shock, and fast-paced tightening of financial conditions around the world will impact India's GDP growth as well.

  • Bank of Maharashtra’s net profit rises 117.5% YoY to Rs 452.2 crore as net interest income rises 11.4% to Rs. 3,457.5 crore. Provisions fall by 27.2% to Rs 548.4 crore. The bank’s asset quality improves as gross NPAs fall by 261 bps YoY to 3.7% and net NPAs by 135 bps to 0.8%.

  • HDFC Securities maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on Angel One but reduces its target price to Rs 1,865 from Rs 2,050, indicating an upside of 45.2%. The brokerage reduces its target price on the company due to the slowdown in new demat additions in the industry. However, it maintains a positive outlook on the company’s prospects as it believes the company’s flat-fee model and reduction in marketing costs will increase profitability. The brokerage estimates the company’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 19.4% over FY22-24.

  • Metal stocks like JSW Steel, Tata Steel, Vedanta, Hindalco Industries, Jindal Steel & Power, NMDC, among others are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty Metal is also trading in the green.

  • Vardhman Textiles is trading with more than 12 times its weekly average trading volume. Rallis India, SIS, Bharat Electronics, and Tanla Platformsare trading at more than five times their weekly average trading volumes.

  • L&T Technology Services is rising as its Q1FY23 net profit rises 4.7% QoQ to Rs 274.2 crore and revenue rises 6.7% QoQ to Rs 1,873.7 crore. The revenue growth is led by the plant engineering and industrial products segments, along with robust deal wins across all its business verticals. Its EBIT margin falls 30 bps QoQ to 18.3%, as its employee costs rise 12.6% QoQ to Rs 1,068.3 crore. The company’s attrition rate rises by 280 bps QoQ to 23.2%.

  • Spicejet and Interglobe Aviation (IndiGo) are rising as oil marketing companies cut aviation turbine fuel prices by up to 2%.

  • Larsen & Toubro is rising as the company's arm L&T Realty to develop projects worth Rs 8,000 crore in South Mumbai, Western Suburbs and Thane.

  • ICICI Prudential Life Insurance’s Q1FY23 profit rises 184.5% YoY to Rs 156.5 crore but falls 16.2% QoQ. Revenue rises 4.3% YoY to Rs 6,884.2 crore but falls 39.4% QoQ. Value of new business (VNB) rises 31.9% to Rs 471 crore as VNB margin is up 300 bps to 31%. The quality of business improves as13-month persistency ratio rises 90 bps to 85.5% in April-May.

  • Cyient rises after it announces partnership with Honeywell to manufacture the first cloud-connect cockpit system. Cyient inks a multi-year deal with Honeywell for this project and will provide design validation and manufacturing push in the initial stages to support demand.

  • Edible oil makers like Adani Wilmar, Patanjali Foods, and Gujarat Ambuja Exports, among others, are rising in trade despite reducing the price of edible oil after a diktat from the Centre.

  • IT stocks like Tech Mahindra, Larsen & Toubro Infotech, Infosys, Mindtree, and Coforge, among others, are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty IT is also trading in the green.

  • Prestige Estates Projects rises as its Q1FY23 sales rise 310% YoY to Rs 3,012.1 crore and collections rise 110% YoY to Rs 2,164.4 crore. The growth in sales is driven by the Mumbai region, as it contributes Rs 737.8 crore or 24.4% of total sales in Q1FY23. During the quarter the company launched four new projects spanning 9.7 million square feet and completed three projects totalling 0.78 million square feet.

  • Jindal Steel & Power’s Q1FY23 total profit jumps to 194X YoY to Rs 2,770.8 crore because of higher income. Total revenue rises 22.8% YoY to Rs 13,069 crore, but total expenses also see a 46% rise to Rs 10,566.6 crore. Steel output is down marginally (1% YoY) to 1.99 million tonnes and net sales stand at 1.74 million tonnes in Q1FY23.

  • Bharat Electronics is rising as its Q1FY23 net profit rises nearly 15X YoY to Rs 365.6 crore and revenue rises 90.5% YoY to Rs 3,140.6 crore. Its EBITDA margin rises by 12.3 percentage points YoY to 16.6%. The company recommends a final dividend of Rs 1.5 per equity share for FY22.

  • HDFC Bank’s Q1FY23 net profit rises 20.9% YoY to Rs 9,579.1 crore on account of low provisions. Provisions fell 34% YoY to Rs 3,187.7 crore. Net interest margin on interest earnings assets is 4.2% in Q1FY23 against 4.3% in Q1FY22. Gross NPAs are down 19 bps YoY to 1.28% while net NPAs are down 13 bps to 0.35% in Q1FY23.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Star Health and Allied Insurance Company Ltd. (671.55, 8.38%), Shriram Transport Finance Company Ltd. (1,397.10, 6.27%) and Larsen & Toubro Infotech Ltd. (4,215.75, 6.07%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Zydus Lifesciences Ltd. (358.25, -3.42%), Laurus Labs Ltd. (505.35, -3.30%) and Britannia Industries Ltd. (3,774.95, -1.92%).

Crowd Puller Stocks

27 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Vardhman Textiles Ltd. (307.30, 15.09%), Varroc Engineering Ltd. (329.95, 7.35%) and NBCC (India) Ltd. (32.35, 6.77%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Zydus Lifesciences Ltd. (358.25, -3.42%) and Just Dial Ltd. (569.90, -1.27%).

SIS Ltd. (473.60, 5.35%) was trading at 11.6 times of weekly average. Rallis India Ltd. (207.30, 5.36%) and Welspun India Ltd. (73.10, 5.18%) were trading with volumes 9.7 and 8.8 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

10 stocks took off, crossing 52-week highs, while 1 stock was an underachiever and hit its 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Adani Transmission Ltd. (2,980.50, 3.15%), Bharat Electronics Ltd. (254.45, 3.65%) and Blue Dart Express Ltd. (8,286.05, 1.41%).

Stock making new 52 weeks lows included - PB Fintech Ltd. (524.95, 0.15%).

18 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Garware Technical Fibres Ltd. (3,224.05, 5.90%) and Canara Bank (214.50, 4.08%). 3 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Kalyan Jewellers India Ltd. (65.35, -1.36%) and Max Healthcare Institute Ltd. (364.15, -1.18%).