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The Baseline
08 Mar 2023
Five analyst picks this week
By Abhiraj Panchal
  1. Ceat: Motilal Oswal reiterates a ‘Buy’ call on this tyre manufacturer with a target price of Rs 1,860. This indicates an upside of 28.8%. After visiting its Halol facility and an overview of its research and development centre, analysts Jinesh Gandhi, Amber Shukla and Aniket Desai say the company has showcased its capabilities to scale international business to Rs 35 billion and explore electric vehicles. The tyre manufacturer also indicates improved efficiency at the Halol plant.

According to the analysts, “Cyclical recovery in both OEMs and replacement will enable faster absorption of new capacities and drive operating leverage benefits. This, coupled with softening raw material prices, would help a partial recovery in margins in FY23 and full recovery in FY24.” They remain optimistic as the company continues to focus on key strategic areas as well as expansion in international markets and electric vehicles. In addition, they believe prudent capex plans to be long-term catalysts for Ceat.

  1. KSB: ICICI Direct retains its ‘Buy’ call on this industrial machinery and pump manufacturer company with a target price of Rs 2,390, indicating an upside of 23.3%. According to an institutional investor call arranged by KSB and ICICI Securities on February 28, 2023, the company’s profit has grown 41.9% YoY to Rs 55.9 crore in Q3FY23, while its revenue improved 17.8% YoY to Rs 533.3 crore. KSB has an order intake of Rs 2,045.6 crore for the year ending December 2022. 

Analysts Chirag Shah and Vijay Goel say, “Domestic business is doing better with healthier demand for standard pumps and engineered pumps.” The analysts remain optimistic as nuclear, petrochemical and mechanical seal segments of KSB witness strong traction and the company focuses on increasing its share in services and spares. Shah and Goel expect revenue, EBITDA and profit to grow at 18.1%, 22.1% and 21.6% CAGR respectively over CY22-24, led by strong execution.

  1. Federal Bank: Axis Direct maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this private bank with a target price of Rs 170, implying an upside of 27%. Analysts Dnyanada Vaidya, Prathamesh Sawant and Bhavya Shah believe the company is well-placed to deliver healthy growth in the medium term as its operational metrics continue to improve. They expect the bank to see robust credit growth, driven by an improvement in the share of high-yielding products. The analysts also see the firm’s improving fee income, moderating operating expenses and improving asset quality as key positives and that “this would result in the bank’s credit costs trends continuing to remain benign”.

Vaidya, Sawant and Shah are upbeat about the bank’s prospects due to its high share of retail-dominated deposits and healthy CASA ratio. The analysts anticipate healthy growth in the medium term due to the company’s expansion plans and its healthy metrics. They expect the bank’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 15.3% over FY23-25. 

  1. Axis Bank: ICICI Securities maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this bank with a target price of Rs 1,130. This indicates an upside of 32%. Analysts Chintan Shah and Renish Bhuva believe the company’s acquisition of Citibank’s consumer business in India will enable the bank to capture premium market share growth. The total purchase consideration for the acquisition is Rs 11,603 crore. The analysts say the deal is favourable for Axis Bank as it gets “access to Citibank’s huge retail deposit base, affluent and profitable consumer franchise and strategic synergy benefits over the medium term”.

Shah and Bhuva see this deal as a boost towards the bank’s long-term growth as it aligns with its premiumisation strategy. It gets access to a sizable granular deposit base and an opportunity to cross-sell its products to Citibank’s affluent customers. The analysts expect the company’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 39% over FY22-24.

  1. Infosys: Bob Capital Markets maintains a ‘Buy’ call on this software and services company with a target price of Rs 1,760, indicating an upside of 18%. Analyst Saptarshi Mukherjee says, “Private 5G is expected to be a key enabler for the digital transformation of enterprises.” He adds that the market for private 5G services in India is likely to be around $570 million by 2026, and the software expense will be materially higher than hardware and services over the next decade.

According to Mukherjee, the company is well-placed to leverage its global 5G expertise to deliver private 5G-as-a-service. “Despite Infosys’ cautious outlook on a few verticals, we believe its strength in managing the twin journey of digital transformation and cost takeout will drive growth leadership,” he concludes.   

Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.

(You can find all analyst picks here)

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
08 Mar 2023
Market closes higher, Power Grid's board approves investments worth Rs 4,071 crore

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 17,754.40 (43.0, 0.2%), BSE Sensex closed at 60,348.09 (123.6, 0.2%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 14,921.95 (41.0, 0.3%). Of the 1,946 stocks traded today, 1,006 were on the uptick, and 853 were down.

Indian indices recouped the losses made in the morning session and closed in the green. Nifty 50 closed above the key 17,700 mark on a volatile day of trade. The Indian volatility index, India VIX, rose above 12. GQG Partners founder Rajiv Jain indicated further investments in the embattled Adani Group. In February, FIIs sold Rs 10,000 crore worth of equity in the metals, power, oil and gas sectors. 

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green, tailing the benchmark index. Nifty Pharma and Nifty Realty closed lower than Monday’s levels. All other major sectoral indices closed in the green. Nifty IT closed in the red, taking cues from the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 which closed 1.22% lower on Tuesday. Zee Entertainment entered into an agreement with the Indian Performing Rights Society (IPRS) to settle all claims and disputes. Further, IPRS has withdrawn its insolvency proceedings against Zee. 

Major Asian indices closed lower, except for Japan’s Nikkei which closed 0.48% higher. European Indices trade lower amid weak global cues. Germany’s industrial production rose by 3.5% in January, against the estimates of 1.5%. On Tuesday, US stocks settled in the red, with Dow Jones dropping 1.53% and S&P 500 closing 1.72% lower.

  • Tata Power beats Torrent Power in YoY profit growth, annual RoE, three-year price change and broker average target upside. But it lags in YoY revenue growth, QoQ profit growth, PE ratio and MF holdings.

  • Electric utility stocks like Adani Transmission, Adani Green Energy, Adani Power, NHPC and JSW Energy are rising in trade. All constituents of the broader sectoral index BSE Power are also trading in the green.

  • Larsen & Toubro and Hindustan Aeronautics rise as the Ministry of Defence inks contracts with them for the procurement of three cadet training ships and 70 HTT-40 basic trainer aircraft respectively.

  • NCC rises more than 4% in trade to touch a 52-week high of Rs 100.9. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with high TTM EPS growth. It also ranks high on Trendlyne’s checklist with a score of 73.91%.

  • Sun Pharmaceutical, Hindalco Industries and Marico are trading below their second support or S2 level.

  • Kotak Institutional Equities upgrades its rating on Tata Steel to a ‘Buy’ from ‘Reduce’ with a target price of Rs 130. The brokerage expects the company’s margins to further improve in the coming quarters, after a slight recovery in Q3FY23 on the back of price hikes and stable raw material prices.
  • Linde India, Ajanta Pharma and PNB Housing Finance trade above their third resistance or R3 level.

  • Indraprastha Gas inks a joint venture agreement with Genesis Gas Solutions to set up the country’s first smart meter manufacturing plant. The estimated cost of this project is Rs 110 crore. The plant is expected to be operational by April 2024. IGL touches a 52-week high, despite the market trading in the red.

  • IDBI Capital initiates coverage on Greenply Industries with a ‘Buy’ rating and a target price of Rs 171, indicating an upside of 15.9%. The brokerage believes the company is well-placed to benefit from rising real estate sales in India on the back of its dominant position in the plywood segment and expanding capacity.

  • Antony Cherukara, CEO of VST Tillers Tractors, says the margin guidance for the company has been revised downwards to 11-13%. He adds that the company may launch utility tractors in Q1FY24 and plans to enter the horse power tractor segment.

  • Consumer durables, oil & gas and general industrials sectors rise more than 3.5% in the past month.

  • Power Grid Corp of India's board of directors approves investments of Rs 4,071 crore in the eastern region expansion scheme and the transmission system for the Kurnool wind/solar energy zone.

  • Aurobindo Pharma's arm Eugia Pharma receives US FDA approval for Lenalidomide capsules used for the treatment of multiple myeloma in combination with dexamethasone in adults. The product is bioequivalent and therapeutically equivalent to Revlimid capsules.

  • Kirloskar Oil Engines rises over 16% in trade. Reports suggest that 13% of the company's equity changes hands before the market open.
  • Zee Entertainment rises after it enters into an agreement with the Indian Performing Rights Society (IPRS), an operational creditor, to settle all claims and disputes. Further, IPRS withdraws its insolvency proceedings against Zee. The stock ranks medium on the Trendlyne checklist score.

  • Alembic Pharma gets US FDA approval for hydrochloride capsules used for the treatment of hypertension and low blood pressure. The drug's market size for 12 months ending December 2022 is $50 million, according to IQVIA.

  • JP Morgan maintains its ‘Overweight’ rating on Bajaj Auto with a target price of Rs 4,400. The brokerage says the company’s 2W and 3W exports have fallen 27% year-to-date, while domestic volumes are improving.

  • Hindustan Aeronautics is rising as the defence ministry inks a contract worth Rs 6,800 crore with the company to procure 70 HTT-40 aircraft for the Indian Air Force. The company ranks high on Trendlyne’s Checklistwith a score of 69.57%.

  • NBCC is rising as it wins work orders worth Rs 541 crore for construction in Himachal Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir and Bhubaneshwar. It has also won a residential accommodation project in New Delhi for Rs 89.9 crore.

  • Ajanta Pharma is rising as its board is scheduled to meet on Friday to consider a buyback of equity shares. It shows up in a screener of stocks with improving book value for the past two years.

  • Allcargo Logistics acquires the remaining 38.9% stake in the contract logistics business from its partner ACCI for Rs 145 crore, at an enterprise value of Rs 373 crore. The company also decides to sell its entire stake in the non-core custom clearance business. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with improving cash flows and high durability scores.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd. (2,863.25, 5.63%), Adani Total Gas Ltd. (861.35, 5.00%) and Adani Transmission Ltd. (820.40, 5.00%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Macrotech Developers Ltd. (932.25, -5.93%), PB Fintech Ltd. (571.55, -3.97%) and Indus Towers Ltd. (160.60, -3.43%).

Volume Rockets

24 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Privi Speciality Chemicals Ltd. (1,102.95, 14.38%), TCNS Clothing Co. Ltd. (489.65, 7.25%) and Shree Renuka Sugars Ltd. (50.60, 7.20%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Aptus Value Housing Finance India Ltd. (263.55, -6.04%), Medplus Health Services Ltd. (688.30, -2.51%) and Kansai Nerolac Paints Ltd. (408.70, -1.66%).

Balrampur Chini Mills Ltd. (400.35, 6.60%) was trading at 15.0 times of weekly average. Shriram Finance Ltd. (1,270.45, 1.89%) and NCC Ltd. (97.70, 4.38%) were trading with volumes 10.8 and 8.3 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

17 stocks made 52-week highs, while 10 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Aegis Logistics Ltd. (391.75, 4.86%), Blue Star Ltd. (1,501.15, 1.32%) and Bosch Ltd. (18,723.95, 3.47%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Bayer Cropscience Ltd. (4,140.00, -1.17%) and Gillette India Ltd. (4,634.50, -1.49%).

13 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Balrampur Chini Mills Ltd. (400.35, 6.60%) and EIH Ltd. (170.20, 5.68%). 18 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Phoenix Mills Ltd. (1,324.35, -3.73%) and Fortis Healthcare Ltd. (271.50, -3.31%).

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
06 Mar 2023
Market closes higher, ICICI Sec keeps its ‘Buy’ rating on Mahanagar Gas

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 17,711.45 (117.1, 0.7%), BSE Sensex closed at 60,224.46 (415.5, 0.7%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 14,881.00 (106.3, 0.7%). Of the 1,985 stocks traded today, 1,153 were gainers and 748 were losers.

Indian indices extended their gains from Friday and closed in the green, with the Nifty 50 closing above the key 17,700 mark. Among Nifty 50 companies, Britannia Industries fell the most and closed over 2% lower after CLSA downgraded Britannia Industries' rating to ‘Sell’, expecting high wheat and milk inflation to dent margins. 

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed higher, following the benchmark index. Nifty Energy and Nifty Infra closed sharply higher than Friday’s closing levels. Zydus Lifesciences and Alembic Pharmaceuticals closed higher after they received USFDA approvals for their abbreviated new drug applications (ANDAs). 

European stocks traded marginally higher, as investors assessed China's modest economic growth target of 5% this year ahead of the release of Eurozone retail sales data. US indices futures traded flat as investors look ahead to US Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's two-day testimony before the US Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday, ahead of Friday’s jobs report for February.

  • Analysts say that Tech Mahindra has a consensus estimate of 'Strong Buy' in the long term despite a 30% decline in price since March 2022. Analysts believe that its attractive valuation and strong base formation will help in the long term.

  • Money flow index (MFI) indicates that stocks like Anupam Rasayan India, Equitas Small Finance Bank, Procter & Gamble Health and Suprajit Engineering are in the overbought zone.

  • Finolex Cables and Carborundum Universal hit an all-time high of Rs 847.5 and Rs 1,045.7 respectively. Finolex Cables rises for two consecutive sessions, whereas Carborundum Universal falls after hitting an all-time high in today's session.

  • Oberoi Realty beats Phoenix Mills in YoY & QoQ revenue growth, broker average rating and PE ratio. But it lags in YoY profit growth, FII & MF holdings, one-year price change and broker average target upside.

  • Honeywell Automation India, Abbott India, Tata Elxsi and LTIMindtree are trading above their second resistance or R2 level.

  • Delhivery, Zomato and Voltas trade at a distance of 52%, 39% and 30% respectively from their 52-week highs.

  • FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) is falling as Macquarie initiates coverage on the stock with an ‘Underperform’ and a target price of Rs 70. The company faces risk in its beauty segment margin growth as it moves towards expansion in small towns. It also sees the company inching towards profitability as Nykaa ventures into mom-and-pop stores.

  • Oil & Gas companies like Adani Total Gas, GAIL (India), Indraprastha Gas, Oil & Natural Gas Corp and Indian Oil Corp are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index BSE Oil & Gas is also trading in the green.

  • Aptus Value Housing Finance gains over 9% in trade today. The company ranks high on Trendlyne’s Checklist with a score of 54.55%. It shows up in a screener for stocks with high Piotroski scores along with high RoE and EPS growth.

  • Power stocks like JSW Energy, Adani Transmission and NTPC are rising more than 2.5% in trade today. The broader BSE Power index also rises over 2%.

  • Manish Raj Singhania, President of FADA, says festivities in March will aid sales growth and adds that they are optimistic about sales in the two-wheeler and passenger vehicle segment as dealers have an inventory level of 30 days. But he emphasizes that the semiconductor crisis is not over yet.

  • ICICI Securities maintains its ‘Buy’ rating onMahanagar Gas and raises its target price to Rs 1,125 from Rs 1,050. This implies an upside of 17.2%. The brokerage remains positive about the company’s prospects as it expects healthy growth in volumes, increased market penetration, and stronger regulatory support.

  • Former RBI Deputy Governor SS Mundra says that banks will soon receive many regulatory guidelines as the RBI has decided to switch to the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) from the Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP). He adds that the new guidelines for provisions will have a big impact on lenders.

  • Zydus Lifesciences is rising as it receives the final approval from the US FDA for vigabatrin oral solution, which is used to treat refractory complex partial seizures in patients two years of age and older. Its annual sales in the US till December 2022 is $233.7 million, according to IQVIA.

  • Alembic Pharmaceuticals is rising as it receives final approval from the US FDA for its abbreviated new drug application (ANDA) for fluorouracil injection. The injection is used for the treatment of adenocarcinoma of the colon, rectum and breast. It has an estimated market size of $5 million for CY22, according to IQVIA.

  • Bajaj Electricals is rising as it wins a project from South Bihar Power Distribution Co for the development of infrastructure for electric supply for Rohtas, Kaimur, Munger and Lakhisarai districts. The project cost is around Rs 564.8 crore. The consensus recommendation on the stock from 10 analysts is ‘Buy’.

  • CLSA downgrades Britannia Industries' rating to ‘Sell’, expecting high wheat and milk inflation to dent margins. It cuts Britannia’s earnings for FY23-25 by 1-11%.

  • Olectra Greentech rises as its unit Evey Trans wins two orders worth approx Rs 1,000 crore from Telangana State Road Transport Corp for 550 electric buses. The company appears in a screener for stocks with strong annual EPS growth.

  • Hitachi Energy India, LIC Housing Financeand Varun Beverages outperform the Nifty 50 index over the week post their Q3FY23 results.

  • Ashoka Buildcon wins a project from the South Bihar Power Distribution Co for the development of infrastructure for the electric supply circles of East & West Bihar. The contract value is Rs 264.8 crore. The stock is trading above its second resistance or R2 level.

  • Mahanagar Gas will acquire a 100% stake in Unison Enviro from its existing shareholders after getting approval from the Petroleum and Natural Gas Regulatory Board. Existing shareholders include Ashoka Buildcon and North Haven Infrastructure Fund. The transaction amounts to Rs 531 crore.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include JSW Energy Ltd. (269.45, 11.04%), Adani Enterprises Ltd. (1,982.90, 5.50%) and Adani Transmission Ltd. (781.35, 5.00%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Macrotech Developers Ltd. (991.05, -3.64%), Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd. (195.40, -2.30%) and GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (1,295.50, -2.21%).

Volume Rockets

23 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Aptus Value Housing Finance India Ltd. (280.50, 18.63%), Swan Energy Ltd. (293.05, 12.13%) and Mahanagar Gas Ltd. (985.95, 8.72%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were TTK Prestige Ltd. (755.45, -3.40%), Bajaj Electricals Ltd. (1,095.10, -0.70%) and Grindwell Norton Ltd. (1805.05, -0.58%).

Privi Speciality Chemicals Ltd. (964.25, 4.94%) was trading at 15.2 times of weekly average. BASF India Ltd. (2,424.05, 5.59%) and ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Ltd. (10650.00, 3.54%) were trading with volumes 6.6 and 6.0 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

13 stocks took off, crossing 52-week highs, while 6 stocks tanked below their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Carborundum Universal Ltd. (997.15, -1.32%), Finolex Cables Ltd. (785.10, 1.19%) and Gujarat Pipavav Port Ltd. (111.15, 3.01%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Bayer Cropscience Ltd. (4,190.00, -0.65%) and Cipla Ltd. (880.90, 0.26%).

33 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Manappuram Finance Ltd. (110.40, 4.05%) and Balrampur Chini Mills Ltd. (376.10, 2.93%). 3 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Edelweiss Financial Services Ltd. (61.70, -1.28%) and Procter & Gamble Hygiene & Healthcare Ltd. (13,913.15, -1.05%).

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The Baseline
03 Mar 2023
Five Interesting Stocks Today
  1. Rail Vikas Nigam (RVNL): This construction & engineering company, an infrastructure arm of the Ministry of Railways, has outperformed the Nifty 50 index by 6.7 percentage points in the past week. However, the stock price has fallen 9.4% over the past 30 days. Because of the sharp rise over the past week, the company features in a screener of stocks with the highest recovery from 52-week low.

RVNL rose 12.3% on Thursday on the back of an order win from the  joint venture with Metrowagonmash and Locomotive Electronic System. The Rs 24,000 crore order is for the manufacture and maintenance of 200 Vande Bharat trains. It also includes the upgradation of government manufacturing facilities and train depots.

The company had risen 4.4% on February 24 as well after winning another order worth Rs 196.8 crore from Madhya Kshetra Vidyut Vitaran for the supply, installation, testing and commissioning of new 11 KV lines in Bhopal.

These order wins take the company’s order book to approximately Rs 77,862.8 crore. The orders come on the back of the government’s capex push in the railways segment. The government increased the capex for railways by 16% to Rs 2.92 lakh crore in the FY24 budget announcement. It will be used for building railway tracks, wagons, trains, electrification, signalling and developing facilities at stations.

  1. Uflex: This containers & packaging stock had a shaky end to February as the Income Tax (IT) department conducted raids across 64 locations related to the company, causing the stock price to nose-dive more than 11% in the past week. It fell 17% on February 27, hitting a 52-week low despite the company releasing a clarification. But the clarification came six days after the exchange sought an explanation.

According to media reports, the IT department found irregularities of Rs 1,000 crore in Uflex’s financial statements and allegedly seized evidence to the tune of Rs 4,000 crore from its Noida office. Bogus company transactions through 60 shell companies were also reported. IT officials have seized 28 bank lockers linked to the company. This was similar to the raid in 2014 where Rs 300 crore in cash was seized from Uflex’s office. Notably, Ashok Chaturvedi, the company’s promoter, was investigated by the IT Dept in 2007 in another case.

The stock gained 7% on Tuesday and 10% on Wednesday, erasing nearly all losses after the company released a  clarification denying all media reports of the seizing of assets or financial documents. The company, in its filing, says it continues to adhere to good business practices. However, the IT department is yet to make an official statement regarding the matter. Uflexshows up in a screener of stocks losing more than 20% in one month and declining net cash flow.

  1. Delhivery: This logistics company’s share price fell 2.1% in intra-day trade on Thursday after Softbank’s arm SVF Doorbell cut its stake by 3.84% (Rs 954 crore) to around 14% through a block deal. This comes after Tiger Global pared its holding in the company to 2.98%, after it sold 1.2 crore shares worth Rs 414.2 crore on February 24. The company’s stock has been picked up by many investment firms and funds like Baillie Gifford, Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority, BNP Paribas Arbitrage and City of New York Group Trust.

The stock currently trades 30.4% lower than its issue price of Rs 487 as of Friday. But the firm has risen over 8% since announcing its Q3FY23 results on February 10. Even though its revenue fell and net loss widened on a YoY basis, its performance improved sequentially on the back of cost optimisations and market share gains. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with increasing revenue sequentially over the past two quarters. According to Trendlyne’s Forecaster, the consensus recommendation on the company is ‘Buy’.

The company’s partial truckload (PTL) volumes have been consistently improving since November 2022, after a dip in the initial days of Q3FY23 due to unseasonal rains. The management points out that the company has renegotiated contracts with its low-margin clients in the PTL business, which resulted in better margins from the segment. It expects the momentum to carry forward in Q4FY23 and FY24, and is confident about expanding its market share. Overall, the firm expects e-commerce shipments to grow 15-20% and the PTL market to grow 10-12% in a year.

  1. Vedanta Limited (VEDL): This Metals and Mining firm has been in the news for locking horns with the Government of India over a proposed related-party transaction (RPT) withHindustan Zinc. The stock hastumbled by 18% from its January-31 peak to Rs 268. In January, Hindustan Zinc, via its promoter group, has approved the purchase of Vedanta’s zinc assets for USD 2.98 billion over a span of 18 months. This was despite the dissent of Hindustan Zinc’s directors representing the government. The government has plans to sell part of its stake in Hindustan Zinc in line with its divestment plans.

Hindustan Zinc is a subsidiary of Anil Agarwal’s Vedanta Limited. The promoter group owns a 69.69% stake in Vedanta, and Vedanta owns64.92% stake in Hindustan Zinc. Among minority shareholders, the Government of India owns 29.54% in Hindustan Zinc.

As Hindustan Zinc’s plan to buy VEDL’s assets will come under RPT, SEBI regulations mandate the approval of minority shareholders in full majority. The government, with its 29.54% stake, has voted against the RPT stating that it is against Hindustan Zinc using the cash reserve to buy VEDL assets.

Vedanta was selling its assets as part of its plans to reduce its debt by USD 4 billion in three years. In the past 11 months, VEDL has reduced its debt by USD 2 billion. The sale of its zinc assets would have ensured smooth sailing of the debt reduction commitment. According to VEDL,it has fulfilled all debt obligations till March 2023 and has sufficient cash flows to manage debt payments till June 2023. Further, VEDL is in talks to raise USD 1 billion via a syndicated bank loan.

  1. Power Grid Corporation of India: This electric utilities company closed in the red on Wednesday despite its order win to establish an inter-state transmission system. However, the stock has risen 2.7% in the past week, outperforming the Nifty 50 index by 3.6% in an overall weak market. Due to the rise in stock price, the company features in a screener of stocks trading above their short-, medium- and long-term moving averages.

Post market hours on Tuesday, the company was declared the successful bidder under tariff-based competitive bidding to establish an inter-state transmission system for Khavda Pooling Station-3 in Khavda RE Park, on a build own operate and transfer (BOOT) basis. The project includes the establishment of a new 765/400kV GIS substation, a 765kV direct current transmission line, and associated works in Gujarat.

The stock has been on an uptrend since February 23 with JP Morgan’s upbeat outlook on the company, according to reports. The brokerage has an ‘Overweight’ rating with a target price of Rs 255. This implies an upside of 18%. It believes that the company targets to grow generation capacity at a 10% compounded annual rate to meet the power demand. The rise in stock price was also because of its board approving  a Rs 803 crore investment in electricity transmission projects. Currently, Power Grid has ongoing projects worth Rs 7,600 crore, new projects for Rs 27,000 crore and tariff-based competitive bidding projects of Rs 13,000 crore, totalling to Rs 47,600 crore, according to Sharekhan.

Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movements, analyst calls, or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.

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The Baseline
03 Mar 2023
Chart of the week: From merger talks to bankruptcy threat, Zee Entertainment is going through a volatile time
By Abdullah Shah

The past few weeks have been turbulent for Zee Entertainment Enterprises. The company was placed under the corporate insolvency resolution process by the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) on February 24. However, the National Stock Exchange (NSE) removed the stock from the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) framework on Tuesday. The NSE’s actions came after the National Company Law Appellate Tribunal (NCLAT) stayed the NCLT order following an appeal from Zee’s Managing Director and CEO, Punit Goenka. 

Zee’s share price has gone through ups and downs as these events unfolded. In this edition of chart of the week, we take a look at the company’s price action since it first started talks about the merger with Sony Pictures Networks in September 2021.

The stock had surged almost 40% back on September 14, 2021, as the company’s two biggest investors, Invesco Developing Markets Fund and OFI Global China Fund LLC, holders of 17.9% stake in the company, called for an extraordinary general meeting. The purpose of the meeting was to oust Managing Director and CEO Punit Goenka and two other directors from the board. 

Almost a week later, on September 22, 2021, the stock rose again (31.7%) after its board approved the execution of a non-binding term sheet for the merger of the company with Sony Pictures Networks. Some principle terms included that the company’s shareholders will have a 47.1% holding in the merged entity, while Sony India will have 52.9%. Another term was that Sony India will have the right to appoint majority directors on the board, with Punit Goenka as the MD and CEO of the merged company. 

After the news about the merger settled, investors’ focus shifted to Zee’s Q3FY22 results. The stock fell for three consecutive sessions after the company posted a 25.3% YoY drop in net profit to Rs 298.7 crore in Q3FY22 on February 2, 2022. A fall in income from advertisement, subscriptions and other sales caused the revenue to decline by 22.6% YoY. 

However, the stock rose 16.7% on March 24, 2022, as its promoters showed their support for the merger and ended their demand  for an EGM to remove Punit Goenka from his post.

The company showed some signs of operational recovery as its revenue grew by 19% YoY to Rs 2,361.2 crore in Q4FY22, helping the stock rise for four consecutive sessions till May 31, 2022. The rise came as its revenue beat analysts’ estimates. On October 4, 2022, the stock rose 6.3% after its board approved the composite scheme of arrangement for its merger with Sony India following the nod from the Competition Commission of India (CCI). 

Recently, the merger came under scrutiny after the NCLT placed the company under corporate insolvency resolution process based on a petition filed by IndusInd Bank. Zee was a guarantor for Siti Networks for a loan worth Rs 83 crore owed to IndusInd Bank. This caused the stock to plunge 9.2% on February 24, 2023. Earlier in the month, the NCLT initiated insolvency proceedings against Zee Learn, a Zee Group company, after Yes Bank filed a petition for a loan default of Rs 469 crore by Siti Networks.

But the order was then stayed by the National Company Law Appellate Tribunal (NCLAT) on February 24 after hearing from Punit Goenka, and it has asked IndusInd Bank for a response in two weeks. On February 28, 2023, NSE followed suit by removing the stock from the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) framework, reverting the surveillance actions on the company, while also reincluding the stock in its futures and options contracts with expiry in May 2023. The stock rose 6.3% on the same day. 

Zee Entertainment is not out of the woods yet. This volatility in Zee’s share price is expected to continue as investors track the latest news and IndusInd Bank’s response to NCLAT. 

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
03 Mar 2023
Market closes higher, Divgi TorqTransfer Systems’ IPO gets bids for 5.4X of total shares

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 17,594.35 (272.5, 1.6%), BSE Sensex closed at 59,808.97 (899.6, 1.5%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 14,774.75 (187.5, 1.3%). Of the 1,957 stocks traded today, 1,290 were on the uptrend, and 593 went down.

Indian indices extended the gains and closed in the green, with the Nifty 50 rising 270 points and closing just below the 17,600 mark. S&P Global India Service PMI Business Activity Index rose from 57.2 in January to 59.4 in February, a 12-year high.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green, tailing the benchmark index. Nifty PSU Bank managed to rise over 5% and closed higher. All major sectoral indices closed in the green. Nifty IT closed higher, tracking the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 futures which are trading higher.

Major Asian indices closed higher amid positive global cues. European stocks trade higher, tailing the US indices futures in the green. S&P Global will release US Service PMI later today. Consensus estimates peg the US Service PMI at 50.5, indicating an expansion in the service sector.

  • Relative strength index (RSI) indicates that stocks like Procter & Gamble Health, Symphony, Equitas Small Finance Bank and Anupam Rasayan India are in the overbought zone.

  • JSW Steel is rising as Prabhudas Lilladher upgrades its target price to Rs 755, indicating an upside of 10%. The stock has been in the news recently after the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) approved the merger of its subsidiary, Hasaud Steel, with Asian Colour Coated Ispat.

  • Motilal Oswal keeps its ‘Buy’ rating on Axis Bank as it completes the acquisition of Citi Bank India’s consumer business. The brokerage believes the acquisition will add 18 lakh credit cards to Axis Bank and increase its market share by 3%. It expects the acquisition to be RoA accretive from CY24

  • Commercial services & supplies, transportation and realtysectors rise more than 8% in the past week.

  • Morgan Stanley expects India’s macroeconomic stability indicators to improve moderately in FY24 due to factors like easing of global commodity prices, healthy growth mix, and fiscal & monetary policies.

  • Reports suggest that promoters of Adani Group have sold stakes worth Rs 15,446 crore in four of its listed companies to GQG Partners, a US-based global equity investment firm. The proceeds will be used to prepay their debt. According to reports, shares of Adani Enterprises, Adani Ports & SEZ, Adani Green Energy and Adani Transmission have been sold.

  • Divgi TorqTransfer Systems’ Rs 412 crore IPO gets bids for 5.4X of the available 38.4 lakh shares on offer on the final day of bidding. The retail investor quota gets bids for 4.3X of the available 6.98 lakh shares on offer.

  • Caplin Point Laboratories' arm Caplin Steriles receives US FDA approval for rocuronium bromide injection, a neuromuscular blocking agent. It has US sales of approx $53 million for the year ending September 2022.

  • NTPC rises as Morgan Stanley sees an upside of 14% in the stock. The brokerage gives it an ‘Overweight’ rating with a target price of Rs 198. It says monetisation of renewable assets, new thermal orders and commissioning of pipeline plants will drive the stock upwards.
  • WPIL surges as it wins letters of acceptance worth Rs 1,225 crore from Madhya Pradesh Jal Nigam Maryadit for engineering, procurement, construction, testing, commissioning, and 10 years of operation and maintenance of Bebus Sunar 2, Kutne Rajnagar, Lower Narmada and Mann Dam multi-village schemes.

  • Adani Enterprises' arm Mundra Aluminium receives a letter of intent from the Government of Odisha for the Ballada bauxite block with an estimated total geological resources value of 22.13 million tonnes.

  • Metal stocks like Adani Enterprises, Vedanta and Hindalco Industries are rising in trade. The broader Nifty Metal index rises more than 2%.

  • Foreign institutional investors pull out Rs 2,140.7 crore from the equity market over the past week, according to Trendlyne's FII dashboard. Meanwhile, index options witness the highest inflow of Rs 29,594.6 crore from foreign investors.

  • State Bank of India is rising as it plans to cut its stake in YES Bank, according to reports. SBI’s three-year lock-in period with YES Bank will end next Monday. It has gained 33% from its 52-week low and is trading above its third resistance or R3 level.

  • India’s February Services PMI rises to a 12-year high of 59.4 from 57.2 in January.

  • ICICI Securities upgrades its rating on Finolex Industries to ‘Buy’ from ‘Add’ with a target price of Rs 196, indicating an upside of 16.4%. The brokerage remains positive on the firm’s prospects due to its leadership in agri-pipes, strong brand presence, focus on increasing its high-margin non-agri business and robust balance sheet.

  • Angel One rises as client base improves 52.2% YoY to 1.3 crore. The number of orders in February also increases 18.8% YoY to 8.4 crore.

  • Natco Pharma is rising as its board of directors is set to meet on Wednesday to consider the buyback of fully paid equity shares with a face value of Rs 2 per share. The company shows up in a screener of stocks with improving book value per share over the past two years.

  • Goldman Sachs maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on UltraTech Cement with a target price of Rs 8,500. The brokerage says the company’s valuations look attractive and expects volume to grow 10-12%, compared to the industry’s 6-8%.
  • PSU banks like Punjab & Sind Bank, UCO Bank, Bank of India, Union Bank of India and Bank of Maharashtra are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty PSU Bank is also trading in the green.

  • India Grid Trust acquires 100% shareholding in Khargone Transmission from Sterlite Power Transmission at an enterprise value of Rs 1,500 crore. The acquisition will take India Grid’s assets under management to Rs 22,700 crore.

  • Indian rupee appreciates 35 paise to 82.24 from the previous close of 82.59 against the US dollar in early trade today.

  • Bank of Baroda, Tata Power Co and Tube Investments of India outperform the Nifty 50 index over the month post their Q3FY23 results.

  • Alembic Pharma is falling as it takes an impairment charge of Rs 1,150.4 crore for three manufacturing facilities in Gujarat. The plants are likely to report lower earnings and revenue as US FDA approvals were delayed during the pandemic. The stock hit a 52-week low of Rs 476.5 and ranks medium on the Trendlyne checklist score.

  • Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services’ total disbursements in February rise 53% YoY to Rs 4,185 crore. However, its collection efficiency falls by 1 percentage point YoY to 97%. The company says it has adequate liquidity buffer to cover fund requirements for three months. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with zero promoter pledges.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Adani Enterprises Ltd. (1,879.50, 16.94%), Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone Ltd. (684.65, 9.91%) and Union Bank of India (72.40, 8.30%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Tube Investments of India Ltd. (2,707.05, -3.72%), YES Bank Ltd. (16.85, -3.71%) and Shree Cements Ltd. (25,655.90, -3.47%).

Volume Shockers

14 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Finolex Cables Ltd. (775.85, 9.66%), Indigo Paints Ltd. (1,079.50, 8.51%) and Union Bank of India (72.40, 8.30%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Mahindra Logistics Ltd. (363.20, -0.48%) and Alembic Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (502.75, -0.11%).

Vardhman Textiles Ltd. (313.45, 1.05%) was trading at 7.9 times of weekly average. Natco Pharma Ltd. (562.30, 1.64%) and Latent View Analytics Ltd. (357.00, 3.67%) were trading with volumes 7.0 and 4.3 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

5 stocks made 52-week highs, while 11 stocks tanked below their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Finolex Cables Ltd. (775.85, 9.66%), Jindal Stainless Ltd. (279.55, 0.22%) and Jindal Stainless (Hisar) Ltd. (520.85, 1.08%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Alembic Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (502.75, -0.11%) and Bayer Cropscience Ltd. (4,217.40, -0.52%).

30 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Vedanta Ltd. (289.25, 5.22%) and State Bank of India (561.20, 5.14%). 5 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including CreditAccess Grameen Ltd. (966.60, -2.38%) and Edelweiss Financial Services Ltd. (62.50, -1.73%).

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The Baseline
02 Mar 2023
Screener of the week: Companies with increasing debt and reducing operating cash flows
By Abdullah Shah

The Adani Group controversy and a series of rate hikes have made investors cautious towards high-debt companies. So this week, we look at a screener of companies with high total debt-to-equity ratios. These businesses also saw their long-term debt-to-equity ratio rising and cash flows falling in FY22. 

This screener has 14 stocks from Nifty 500 and five stocks from the Nifty 50 index. Major stocks that show up in the screener are TVS Motor, Tata Motors, Adani Enterprises, Bharat Petroleum and Hindustan Petroleum

TVS Motor had the highest annual total debt-to-equity ratio of 3.5X among non-banking stocks. It posted an annual operating cash outflow of Rs 1,560 crore in FY22 against an inflow of Rs 1,151 crore in FY21. In H1FY23, the company’s long-term debt to equity ratio rose to 1.9X from 1.7X in FY22, as borrowings rose by 25%.

Tata Motors had an annual total debt-to-equity ratio of 3.1X in FY22. The company’s total debt-to-equity ratio rose to 5.2X in H1FY23, owing to a sharp rise in long-term liabilities. 

Adani Enterprises had a total debt-to-equity ratio of 1.9X in FY22, which fell to 1.3X in H1FY23, owing to equity fundraising. The company saw its cash flow from operating activities fall by 66% in the past fiscal.

You can find some popular screeners here.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
02 Mar 2023
Market closes lower, Divgi Torqtransfer Systems’ IPO gets bids for 38% of total shares

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 17,321.90 (-129, -0.7%), BSE Sensex closed at 58,909.35 (-501.7, -0.8%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 14,587.25 (-77.6, -0.5%). Of the 1,951 stocks traded today, 823 were in the positive territory and 1,069 were negative.

Indian indices closed in the red, with the Nifty 50 losing nearly 120 points and closing below the 17,350 mark. Hindustan Aeronautics (HAL) settled in the green after the Union Cabinet approved the purchase of 70 Hindustan Turbo-Trainer aircraft from the company at a cost of Rs 6,828 crore for the Indian Air Force.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 fell from their day’s highs and closed lower. Nifty Realty managed to rise over 2% and closed higher in a falling market. Nifty IT closed in the red, tracking the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 futures, which are trading lower.

Major Asian indices closed flat to lower amid weak global cues. European stocks traded lower, tailing the US indices futures, which also traded in the red. Economists expect the Eurozone’s inflation to decrease marginally to 8.2% in February, a drop from 8.6% the prior month. Brent crude oil futures traded in the green after rising for two straight trading sessions following recent signs of improvement in China’s economy.

  • Bajaj Finserv sees a short buildup in its March 29 future series as its open interest rises 10.5% with a put-call ratio of 0.48.

  • BOB Capital Markets downgrades Tech Mahindra to 'Hold' from 'Buy' with a target price of Rs 1,160, indicating an upside of 5%. The brokerage believes that the company's new product, Sandstorm, will boost new deal wins. It expects the company's revenue to grow at a CAGR of 11% over FY22-25.

  • Commodity trading & distribution, edible oils and electric utilities industries fall over 23% over the past 90 days.

  • The Appellate Tribunal in New Delhi allows Reliance Capital’s lenders to conduct another round of auction. The order comes on a petition challenging an earlier NCLT Mumbai order restricting fresh bidding by the lenders of the bankrupt firm.

  • Divgi Torqtransfer Systems’ Rs 412 crore IPO gets bids for 38% of the available 38.4 lakh shares on offer on the second day of bidding. The retail investor quota gets bids for 1.6X of the available 6.98 lakh shares on offer.

  • BSE Power, Nifty Metal, Nifty Energy and Nifty Media fall more than 6% in trade in the past month.

  • Softbank’s arm SVF Doorbell (Cayman) sells a 3.84% stake (2.8 crore shares) worth Rs 954 crore in Delhivery in a bulk deal.

  • Realty stocks like Macrotech Developers, Sunteck Realty, Sobha and Godrej Properties are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty Realty is also trading in the green.

  • Global rating agency Moody’s keeps a stable outlook on India’s banking system. It states that strong fundamentals of the economy will help credit growth and asset quality.

  • CreditAccess Grameen is rising as the Assessment Unit of the Income Tax Department reduces the income tax demand for AY19 from the company to Rs 122.6 crore from Rs 2,333 crore.

  • Procter & Gamble Health and Equitas Small Finance Bank reach their 52-week highs of Rs 5,099.9 and Rs 74.8 per share respectively. Procter & Gamble has risen 23.8% over the past 30 days, while Equitas grew 38.2%.

  • Hemant Sikka, President of the Farm Equipment Sector at Mahindra & Mahindra, says normal monsoon and record high crop production have aided robust growth in tractor sales. He adds that the company’s exports have risen 5% year-to-date.

  • Axis Direct maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on Federal Bank with a target price of Rs 170, implying an upside of 26.4%. The brokerage believes the bank’s robust credit growth, rising fee income, improving asset quality and gradually moderating operating expenses will drive growth in the coming quarters.

  • Rail Vikas Nigam is rising as it emerges as the lowest bidder for manufacturing and maintaining Vande Bharat trains through its joint venture. Its joint venture partners are Metrowagonmash and Locomotive Electric System. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with high TTM EPS growth.

  • Bajaj Finserv rises 3% at the market open after receiving SEBI approval to launch its mutual fund business. The company will be the 43rd player in the MF space.
  • KNR Constructions is rising as it wins an order worth Rs 665 crore to develop a six-lane greenfield highway on the Bengaluru-Vijayawada economic corridor. The project will be completed in two years. The company shows up in a screener of stocks with upgraded broker recommendations or target prices in the past 90 days.

  • IT stocks like L&T Technology Services, Tata Consultancy Services, LTIMindtree and Tech Mahindra are falling in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty IT is also trading in the red.

  • Eicher Motors' Royal Enfield wholesales rise 21% YoY to 71,544 units. Wholesales of 350cc engine capacity models rise 31% but models with engine capacity exceeding 350cc fall 30%.

  • Max Healthcare, Godrej Properties and Berger Paints (India) outperform the Nifty 50 index over the week post their Q3FY23 results.

  • The Union Cabinet signs an agreement with Larsen & Toubro (L&T) to acquire three cadet training ships for Rs 3,108.1 crore. L&T gains 47% from its 52-week low and is trading higher.

  • The Union Cabinet approves the purchase of 70 Hindustan Turbo-Trainer aircraft from Hindustan Aeronautics (HAL) at a cost of Rs 6,828 crore for the Indian Air Force. HAL will deliver the aircraft over six years, according to reports. The stock is trading near its 52-week high.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Macrotech Developers Ltd. (997.35, 18.06%), Adani Transmission Ltd. (708.75, 5.00%) and Adani Green Energy Ltd. (535.00, 4.99%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include YES Bank Ltd. (17.50, -4.37%), Siemens Ltd. (3,132.05, -3.84%) and PB Fintech Ltd. (560.00, -2.56%).

Volume Rockets

18 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Macrotech Developers Ltd. (997.35, 18.06%), Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. (65.65, 12.22%) and NBCC (India) Ltd. (36.20, 6.94%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company Ltd. (1,086.85, -1.24%), Ajanta Pharma Ltd. (1,170.10, -0.75%) and Ircon International Ltd. (53.10, -0.65%).

Quess Corp Ltd. (363.90, 4.66%) was trading at 12.8 times of weekly average. Sunteck Realty Ltd. (305.50, -0.16%) and Amber Enterprises India Ltd. (1,951.05, 3.16%) were trading with volumes 6.8 and 6.4 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

6 stocks made 52-week highs, while 8 stocks hit their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Gujarat Pipavav Port Ltd. (109.20, 0.09%), Sonata Software Ltd. (801.70, 3.99%) and Jindal Stainless Ltd. (278.95, 2.88%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Avanti Feeds Ltd. (364.00, -0.98%) and Cipla Ltd. (886.45, -1.46%).

26 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including NBCC (India) Ltd. (36.20, 6.94%) and Westlife Foodworld Ltd. (678.25, 4.69%). 11 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. (8,548.75, -2.46%) and Route Mobile Ltd. (1,317.00, -1.63%).

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
01 Mar 2023
Market closes higher, HDFC Sec keeps its ‘Buy’ rating on Sonata Software
Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 17,450.90 (147.0, 0.9%), BSE Sensex closed at 59,411.08 (449.0, 0.8%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 14,664.85 (146.1, 1.0%). Of the 1,950 stocks traded today, 1,445 were on the uptick, and 445 were down.

Indian indices closed in the green after dropping for eight consecutive trading sessions. The Nifty 50 index rose above the key 17,400 mark. February GST collection stood at Rs 1.49 lakh crore, rising 12% YoY. FII sales from Indian markets stood at Rs 11,090 crore. DII bought Rs 19,239 crore in Indian markets.

Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 closed in the green, tailing the benchmark index. Nifty Media and Nifty PSU Bank closed higher than Tuesday’s levels. Nifty IT closed in the green, despite the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 closing in the red on Tuesday.

Major Asian indices closed higher amid positive news from China. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index rose 4.1% as China’s manufacturing purchasing managers index has gone up to 52.6 in February, the highest since April 2012. On Tuesday, US stocks settled in the red with Dow Jones and S&P falling 0.71% and 0.31% respectively.

  • GR Infraprojects beats PNC Infratech in YoY revenue & net profit growth, PE ratio and broker average target upside. But it lags in MF & FII holdings, price to book value and 1-year price change.

  • Ahluwalia Contracts is rising as it bags an order worth Rs 169 crore for the construction of civil and structural work of the Data Centre Complex in Bhubaneshwar. The company's order book stands at Rs 4,333.6 crore in FY23.

  • Divgi TorqTransfer Systems’ Rs 412 crore IPO gets bids for 12% of the available 38.4 lakh shares on offer on the first day of bidding. The retail investor quota gets bids for 60% of the available 6.98 lakh shares on offer. The IPO is a fresh issue of Rs 180 crore and an offer for sale of 39.34 lakh shares.

  • Prashant Jain, Joint Managing Director and CEO of JSW Energy, says power demand has grown 7.5%-8% in February. He adds that EBITDA will improve to Rs 450 crore after the Mytrah acquisition.
  • Ashok Leyland’s medium & heavy commercial vehicle wholesales rise 42% YoY in February as bus wholesales grow more than 200%. The company shows up in a screener with decreasing RoA for the past two years.

  • Realty stocks like Macrotech Developers, Indiabulls Real Estate, Phoenix Mills and Sunteck Realty are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty Realty is also trading in the green.

  • Escorts Kubota is rising as its monthly tractor wholesales in February increase by 27.8% YoY to 7,811 units due to 27.4% growth in domestic tractor wholesales. The company's monthly wholesales of construction equipment improve by 21.8% YoY.

  • Vedanta is rising as it pre-pays its maturities till March 2023, deleveraging by $2 billion. This means it has achieved half of its 3-year debt reduction commitment in one year. It shows up in a screener of companies with high promoter pledges.

  • HDFC Securities maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on Sonata Software with a target price of Rs 775, implying an upside of 9.8%. The brokerage is positive about the firm’s prospects due to the ramp-up in international IT services, focus on improving sales engine and continued growth in domestic products & services.

  • Equitas Small Finance Bank, Campus Activewear and Mahindra CIE Automotive outperform the Nifty 50 index over the past week.

  • Rating Agency Moody’s revises India’s real GDP growth in 2023 to 5.5% from the earlier estimate of 4.8% in November 2022.

  • Divgi Torqtransfer Systems raises Rs 185.5 crore from anchor investors ahead of its IPO by allotting 31.43 lakh equity shares at Rs 590 per share. Investors include ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund, Nippon Life India and Quant Mutual Fund, among others.

  • Indoco Remedies falls as US FDA conducts good manufacturing practice inspection at plant II (sterile facility) and plant III (OSD facility) in Goa.

  • India’s manufacturing PMI falls to a four-month low of 55.3 in February. However, the PMI reading remains above the 50-mark, indicating expansion in manufacturing activity.
  • PSU banks like Indian Bank, Bank of Maharashtra, Punjab National Bank, Bank of Baroda and Canara Bank are rising in trade. All constituents of the broader sectoral index Nifty PSU Bank are also trading in the green.

  • One97 Communications (Paytm) is rising as it clarifies that it is not part of any negotiations regarding its major stakeholders cutting stakes in the company. This is in response to recent reports on Ant Group and Softbank looking to reduce their stakes.

  • India’s Q3FY23 GDP growth moderates to 4.4% due to the underperformance of the manufacturing sector.
  • Bajaj Auto's total monthly wholesales in February decline 11% YoY to 2.8 lakh units due to a 16% YoY fall in two-wheeler sales. Total domestic wholesales rise 36% YoY, while exports fall 38% YoY.

  • Hathway Cable & Datacom's Managing Director Rajan Gupta resigns due to personal reasons. His resignation will take effect from March 9, 2023.

  • Integrated Core Strategies buys a 0.67% stake (80.6 lakh shares) worth Rs 184.8 crore in Biocon in a bulk deal on Tuesday.

  • Axis Bank completes the acquisition of consumer business from Citibank N.A. and the NBFC business from Citicorp Finance at a consideration of Rs 11,603 crore. The stock shows up in a screener with improving RoA for the past two years.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Adani Enterprises Ltd. (1,564.30, 14.70%), Adani Green Energy Ltd. (509.55, 5.00%) and Adani Transmission Ltd. (675.00, 4.99%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Gland Pharma Ltd. (1,292.75, -1.92%), Britannia Industries Ltd. (4,380.00, -1.83%) and Alkem Laboratories Ltd. (3,119.20, -1.76%).

Movers and Shakers

14 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Alok Industries Ltd. (14.15, 13.20%), Rain Industries Ltd. (166.30, 8.30%) and Poly Medicure Ltd. (1,009.00, 7.70%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Quess Corp Ltd. (347.70, -1.64%), Bombay Burmah Trading Corporation Ltd. (880.85, -0.86%) and Timken India Ltd. (2,930.00, -0.65%).

Adani Total Gas Ltd. (711.65, 4.88%) was trading at 27.6 times of weekly average. V-Mart Retail Ltd. (2,410.00, 0.05%) and Aegis Logistics Ltd. (366.00, 0.54%) were trading with volumes 5.9 and 5.6 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

8 stocks took off, crossing 52-week highs, while 12 stocks hit their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Finolex Cables Ltd. (733.05, 3.88%), Gujarat Pipavav Port Ltd. (109.10, 3.95%) and Sonata Software Ltd. (770.95, 6.15%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Adani Transmission Ltd. (675.00, 4.99%) and Cipla Ltd. (899.60, -0.75%).

27 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including National Aluminium Company Ltd. (82.65, 5.62%) and KIOCL Ltd. (195.30, 4.13%). 15 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Brigade Enterprises Ltd. (475.55, -2.48%) and Aster DM Healthcare Ltd. (219.00, -1.73%).

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The Baseline
28 Feb 2023, 03:55PM
Five analyst picks this week
By Suhas Reddy
  1. Prestige Estates Projects: Motilal Oswal maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this realty company with a target price of Rs 675, implying an upside of 66%. Analysts Pritesh Sheth and Sourabh Gilda note that the company’s plans to double its sales bookings to Rs 25,000 crore by ramping up new launches is a key positive. They point out that Rs 7,500 crore of the firm’s planned capex (Rs 15,700 crore) for the next five years will be funded through external debt. Investors have been concerned about the strain this additional debt may cause on the balance sheet. But analysts believe Prestige’s rising cash flows and net worth will keep its debt-to-equity ratio stable. 

Sheth and Gilda are optimistic about the company’s ambitious growth guidance for the next five years, but believe the realty firm’s business development is key to realise the growth potential. They anticipate robust growth in rental income as well. They say, “Once the commercial portfolio fully stabilises over the next five to six years, it will generate rental income of Rs 3,200 crore.” The analysts expect the company’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% over FY23-25. 

  1. Minda Corp: Axis Direct maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this auto parts & equipment company with a target price of Rs 230, indicating an upside of 19.3%. Analysts Aditya Welekar and Shridhar Kallani maintain their previous recommendation and target price following Minda’s acquisition of a 15.7% stake in Pricol for Rs 400 crore. As this has been a financial investment and the company holds a minority stake, no synergies are expected from the acquisition, they add.  

The analysts maintain their positive outlook on the company’s growth prospects. They expect Minda Corp to be the prime beneficiary of product premiumization, growth in electric vehicle usage and increased business from commercial and passenger vehicle manufacturers. They are also upbeat about the management’s confidence to outperform the industry by 10-12% on the back of margin optimisation measures. 

However, they believe risks such as inflation, interest rate hikes and demand slowdown persist. “We maintain our cautious outlook on the 2W domestic market and overall export market in the next few quarters,” the analysts point out, and add that they expect the firm’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 21.8% over FY23-25. 

  1. Supreme Petrochem: KRChoksey maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this petrochemicals stock with a target price of Rs 427, indicating an upside of 12.1%. In Q3FY23, the company’s net profit fell 45.6% YoY to Rs 89.6% and revenue declined by 8.9% YoY. 

Analyst Abhishek Agarwal attributes this weak Q3 performance to lower realisations and volumes. However, the analyst remains optimistic about the company’s growth prospects given its capacity expansion projects, as he believes it will drive future growth. According to him, “The firm is enhancing its polystyrene (PS) and expanded polystyrene insulation (EPS) production capacities to cater to the increasing demand for its products. With enhanced capacity and healthy demand from end-user industries, it will see strong growth in the future.” 

Agarwal expects capacity expansion projects to add 1.2 lakh metric tonnes per annum of additional PS and EPS to its current capacity. The launch of new products and the production expansion will boost volume growth in the coming quarters, he says. He expects the company’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 10% over FY22-24. 

  1. Muthoot Finance: Chola Wealth Direct maintains its ‘Buy’ call on this NBFC with a target price of Rs 1,350. This indicates an upside of 39.4%. According to analyst Huseain Kaizer Bharuchwala, the company has witnessed better gold loan demand in the past two months and it expects to return to double-digit gold loan growth in a few quarters. He believes that the tradeoff between loan growth and margin will persist “in the foreseeable future”.

The analyst says, “Muthoot, in our view, is unlikely to pursue gold loan growth at the cost of profitability. As pressure from banks and fintechs start subsiding and teaser loan rates impact vanish, we expect 10% growth in standalone AUM in FY24.” The analyst remains optimistic, expecting the company to regain some lost market share starting FY24 and returning to a double-digit growth rate in Q2FY24.

  1. Mahindra Lifespace Developers: ICICI Securities retains its ‘Buy’ call on this realty company with a target price of Rs 483, indicating an upside of 29.5%. After the company’s Chief Executive Officer (CEO) and Managing Director (MD) Arvind Subramanian resigned from his post, Mahindra Group replaced him with Amit Kumar Sinha. The resignation will take effect from May 22, 2023. Analyst Adhidev Chattopadhyay says, “The management transition comes at a time when the wheels for growth have been already set in motion, and barring any large churn in department heads, continuity in growth plans should not be a major hurdle.”

The analyst expects the company to achieve Rs 1,900-2,000 crore of FY23 sales bookings, implying 58% growth over FY22 sales. He estimates FY24 and FY25 sales bookings to be at Rs 2,340 crore and Rs 2,710 crore respectively on the back of a robust launch pipeline for FY24 and new project additions. “We believe that the company is on track to achieve its medium-term guidance of Rs 2,500 crore of residential sales bookings by FY25,” the analyst concludes. 

Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.

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