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Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
01 Jan 2024
Markets trade lower, Jyothy Labs hits year high

Nifty 50 was trading at 21693.75 (-37.7, -0.2%) , BSE Sensex was trading at 72135.70 (-104.6, -0.1%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 19430.25 (1.1, 0.0%)

Market breadth is ticking up strongly. Of the 1846 stocks traded today, 1383 were on the uptrend, and 412 went down.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. (202.50, 4.62%), YES Bank Ltd. (22.05, 2.80%) and Dalmia Bharat Ltd. (2328.95, 2.36%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Vodafone Idea Ltd. (15.75, -1.56%), 3M India Ltd. (36781.35, -1.41%) and Indus Towers Ltd. (196.95, -1.06%).

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

30 stocks took off, crossing 52 week highs,

Stocks touching their year highs included - Bharat Electronics Ltd. (185.55, 0.73%), Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. (202.50, 4.62%) and Birla Corporation Ltd. (1507.10, 4.59%).

5 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Balrampur Chini Mills Ltd. (413.15, 0.66%) and Shree Renuka Sugars Ltd. (47.45, 0.64%). 1 stock slipped below their 200 SMA including Data Patterns (India) Ltd. (1847.15, -0.75%).

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The Baseline
30 Dec 2023
Global indices beat expectations in 2023 | Screener: Outperformers with rising FII holdings
By Shreesh Biradar

We started the year fearful and anxious. Goldman Sachs’ strategy group sent out a warning to its clients, regarding the economic outlook:  “Caution: Heavy Fog.” January 2023 began ominously, with rising energy prices, high inflation, a global growth slowdown, a war of words between US and China, and recession fears.

Luckily for us, the pessimists lost this round.

We end the year with two ongoing wars, Russia-Ukraine and Israel-Gaza. But despite this, the fears of 2023 turned out to be more manageable than expected. Volatility fell, and most major global indices delivered high returns over the year. Japan's Nikkei 225 hit a 33-year high, and the US' S&P 500 is just 1% shy of its all-time high of 4,796 points. Even the broader MSCI World Index has given 21% returns year to date.   

The Indian stock market has mirrored this global trend, with the benchmark Nifty 50 delivering around 20% returns over the year and reaching an all-time high of 21,779.

In this week’s Analyticks:

  • Global indices soar: Major markets make big gains in 2023
  • Screener: Stocks outperforming Nifty 50, with rising FII holdings and strong financials 

Let’s get into it.


Inflation soared, but markets made a big comeback

Inflation peaked at the start of 2023, and central banks scrambled to pin it down with interest rate hikes. The US started the year with an inflation rate of  6.4%, way over the Federal Reserve's target of below 2%. Despite the Fed raising interest rates to a 22-year high, US inflation was stubborn for most of the year, thanks to rising energy prices and a hot job market.

The Fed's rate hikes claimed victims early in 2023 –  regional banks like Silicon Valley Bank and First Republic Bank toppled. Higher rates also resulted in ballooning debt for economies like Argentina, leading to the Argentinian peso’s collapse againstthe US dollar and  hyperinflation, with 161% inflation in November 2023.

Inflation in Argentina rose so fast that restaurant menus and shops used peel-off stickers for prices, since they went up every week.

China was an inflation outlier. Its economy failed to take off post-COVID, resulting in low demand and inflation. China’s inflation even hit the negative zone at -0.5% in November, a deviation from its historical range of  1.5% to 2.5%.

India has been trying to balance its interest rate and inflation. While RBI kept inflation in the targeted range of 4%-6%, it held the interest rate at 6.5%. The RBI has made a hike of just 250 bps since April 2023, compared to a 450 bps increase in the US.

Most of the gains for major indices came in the last quarter of 2023, as inflation tapered down and global central banks finally signaled a pause in rate hikes.

AI gives US indices a boost, while China struggles

The West is in the throes of a new Cold War. The trade war between the US, Europe and China - on everything from chips to cars - has escalated in 2023. The US imposed sanctions on chip exports to China. China retaliated by limiting exports of rare earth materials needed for chip manufacturing. This led to chip shortages and cost increases that affected industries from automobiles to televisions.

Rising chip demand and advances in AI were a boost to American semiconductor/chip companies and AI players, whose stocks (NVidia, Intel, Microsoft, Google) saw huge gains. The Nasdaq 100 delivered 54.3% returns YTD as momentum built around AI. Among the largest markets, the S&P 500 index was the outperformer.

S&P 500 delivered the highest returns in 2023 in USD

China is a different story. There are so many empty houses in China right now that these can accomodate 3 billion people. The country's real estate meltdown, as major companies defaulted on their debt, has spooked investors. The trade war and sanctions also hurt China a lot more than the US.

Anyone trying to predict oil prices in 2023 got their fingers burned. The OPEC cartel tried to keep prices high but failed, as Russia undercut their prices and US ramped up oil exports. Oil briefly traded above $85 per barrel when Hamas attacked Israel. But for most of the year oil prices stayed below that level, despite OPEC+ production cuts.

Lower oil prices limited the Middle East’s revenue. Consequently, the benchmark indices of UAE (ADX General) and Kuwait (BK Main 50) fell 6.8% and 5.2% YTD, respectively.  

UK FTSE delivered the highest returns across major indices

India comes out on top 

2023 was the year India put a rover on the moon, hosted the G20, and Modi's hugs got international coverage. We were very visible on the global stage, and the Indian economy had a lot of good news as well. The country recorded one of the highest GDP growth rates for the year (7.6% in the first half of 2023). The realty and automobile sectors in India saw the biggest gains in 2023.

India is the fastest-growing economy among large countries

While China struggled with a real estate crisis, the Indian realty sector boomed. The housing sales value in the top seven metros for the first nine months of 2023 exceeded 2022’s total. Nifty Realty was the biggest gainer of the year with 78% YTD returns.

India’s robust GDP growth has been driven by rising domestic consumption. The country recorded its highest-ever automobile sales in November, surpassing Japan and becoming the third-largest market after the US and China. The Nifty Auto index also saw an increase of 42% YTD.

IT stocks focused on services were badly hit due to global reductions in IT spending by major financial institutions. However, new geos and sectors have helped bridge this gap, leading to Nifty IT delivering  25% returns. 

India also benefited from an FII inflow of Rs 146,721.1 crore into the Indian equity market. This has positioned the Nifty50 among the top 10 best-performing indices among major economies. 

2024 looks more promising at the start, compared to 2023. Let's hope the optimists keep winning.


Screener: Stocks outperforming Nifty 50 with increased FII holdings and strong financials

HDFC Bank has the highest FII change

This screener consists of stocks outperforming both their respective industries and the Nifty 50 index, with increased Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) holdings in the past quarter and strong financial performance.

The stocks are from industries like banks, electric utilities, housing finance, electrical equipment, IT consulting & software, department stores and cement & cement products. Major stocks in the screener are HDFC Bank, Adani Power, LIC Housing Finance, KEI Industries, Sonata Software, Trent and Ultratech Cement

HDFC Bank tops the list of outperformers with the highest rise in FII holding, which increased by 18.8% QoQ to reach 52.1% in Q2FY24. The Government of Singapore and Invesco Developing Markets Fund have bought 2.3% and 1.2% stakes respectively. The company’s stock price has risen by 11.2% over the past month.

You can find more screeners here.

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The Baseline
29 Dec 2023
Five Interesting Stocks Today

1. JSW Steel:

Thismetals and mining firm has been in the news after its CEO Jayant Acharya announced plans to expand its capacity from 28.5 million tonnes (MT) to 50 MT in the next seven years. This jump will incur an expense of around Rs 1 lakh crore. The stock rose to its 52-week high of Rs 895.8 on Thursday after the news broke. According toTrendlyne’s Technicals, the stock has gained 12.5% in the past month.

In November, JSW Steel reported a 7% YoY steel production increase in India. The firm also achieved 90% capacity utilization for the month. The rise in production is linked to the booming realty sector and higher government spending ahead of the election year, which have improved volume offtake.

However, the arrival of large quantities of cheaper Chinese steel on Indian shores has brought down steel prices by 4.6% over the past three months. In response, JSW has boosted its revenue share from value-added products, which contributed nearly 60% of its Q2FY24 revenue. The firm shows up in ascreener for stocks with increasing net profit and profit margin.

The recent hike in coking coal prices to above $300 per tonne is likely to pressure JSW Steel’s margins further. Import expenses for Australian coking coal have risen by $25-50 per tonne in the past three months. The company is now exploring cheaper alternatives like Russian coal.

ICICI Securities says that JSW Steel’s massive capex outlay in an uncertain demand environment poses a huge risk and might balloon its debt. Also, the constant threat of cheaper Chinese imports could keep margins under pressure. However, the recent uptick in domestic demand and a better product mix should support profitability in the near term. The brokerage maintains a ‘Hold’ rating on the stock. 

2. Bharat Electronics:

This defence company touched an all-time high of Rs 185.2 today. This was after it secured an order worth Rs 678 crore from the UP government to develop the UP Dial 112 project. In addition, on December 22, it received orders worth Rs 2,673 crore from Goa Shipyard and Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers for the supply of sensors. 

So far in FY24, BEL has accumulated orders worth Rs 26,613 crore, surpassing the management’s guidance of Rs 20,000 crore. This has resulted in a 30% increase in the company's stock price over the past month. It also features in a screener of stocks with prices above their short, medium and long-term moving averages.

ICICI Securities expects BEL to win more orders in the defence space before March 2024, potentially raising the order inflow to Rs 30,000 crore in FY24. The brokerage maintains its ‘Buy’ rating with a target price of Rs 203. 

Bhanu Prakash Srivastava, Chairman and Managing Director of BEL, said “Our FY24 margin guidance (21-23%) and revenue growth guidance of 15% are intact, and we will be able to maintain that.” According to Trendlyne’s Forecaster, the company’s revenue is expected to grow by 17.2% in FY24. With a strong order pipeline in place, the focus now falls on the execution of projects. 

3. Larsen & Toubro:

This construction and engineering company has risen by 15.6% in the past month, reaching an all-time high of Rs 3,559.9 on Thursday. It has also secured multiple new orders –. Its construction arm won a Rs 5,000-10,000 crore order to establish renewable energy generation, power utilities and water systems in Saudi Arabia. It also bagged orders worth Rs 2,500-5,000 crore for its power transmission and distribution business to develop substations and overhead transmission lines in the Middle East. The company completed the acquisition of the entire shareholding of Sapura Nautical Power (JV Partner) in L&T Sapura Offshore on December 27, 2023.

L&T’s tender prospects for H2FY24 stand at Rs 8.8 lakh crore, across sectors like infrastructure, hydrocarbon and power. The order book, as of Q2FY24, stands at a record high of Rs 4.5 lakh crore (up by 21% YoY). Of this, domestic orders account for 65% and the rest are international. While the majority of the orders came from energy projects (Rs 40,100 crore), Rs 2,800 crore were from infrastructure. 

In Q2FY24, L&T’s profit increased by 44.6% YoY to Rs 3,222.6 crore, while its revenue grew by 19.9% YoY. It beat Trendlyne Forecaster’s net profit estimate by 16.1%, with its revenue aligning closely with projections. It features in a screener of stocks effectively using their capital to generate profit (improving RoCE over the past two years).

ICICI Securities maintains its ‘Buy’ call on Larsen & Toubro on the back of its robust order book, which the brokerage believes provides strong execution visibility. According to Trendlyne Forecaster, the company has a consensus recommendation of ‘Buy’ from 32 analysts, with 24 giving a ‘Strong Buy’ and 6 recommending a ‘Buy’.

4. Laurus Labs

This pharma firm has risen by 16% in the past month, outperforming the pharmaceuticals & biotech sector by 9.3%. The company appears in a screener of stocks with strong momentum. The rise follows the management’s optimistic projections regarding the firm’s capacity expansion plans, and its focus on reducing dependence on the antiretroviral (ARV) business. Laurus Labs holds an equity stake of 40% in ImmunoAct, a cell and gene therapy firm. ImmunoAct recently received approval for India’s first Chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T-cell therapy, a significant development in cancer treatment.

Laurus Labs is working to reduce its reliance on the ARV business while increasing focus on active pharmaceutical ingredients (API), finished dosage forms (FDF), contract development & manufacturing organizations (CDMO), and biologics segments. The management expects growth in non-ARV, FDFs, and APIs to come via new approvals and contracts. It has guided a 31% CAGR in FDFs and a 20% CAGR in the biologics segment for FY24-26. 

However, the CDMO synthesis business, which has a revenue share of 19.7%, is slowing due to ongoing R&D projects and delayed sales. In H1FY24, the company’s revenue declined by 23% YoY due to the CMDO slowdown. 

The company hopes to boost profitability in the short term by focusing on high-margin non-ARV businesses. Laurus’ shift to higher-value segments has involved an investment of Rs 2,600 crore over the past three years. 

KR Choksey is positive about Laurus Labs on the back of its transformation to a more diversified play, from a pure ARV-focused company. The brokerage expects the company’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 11.6% in FY24-26 and maintains an ‘Accumulate’ rating on the stock. 

5. Kansai Nerolac Paints

This furniture, furnishing, and paints firm rose 3.8% on December 27, following the news of a land sale in Mumbai for Rs 726 crore. At a strategy session conclave on December 10, the firm announced new investment plans in marketing and network distribution, along with the addition of high-margin products in automotive and decorative paints. According to Trendlyne’s Technicals, the company has risen by 3.2% in the past month. It appears in a screener of stocks nearing their 52-week highs with significant volumes.

The company’s 11 new paint products have contributed to a margin expansion of 150 bps. It also aims to expand its network to another 75 towns. Growth is expected in the auto and powder segments, driven by higher sales during the festive season. The construction chemicals sector, currently accounting for 5% of the total business, is also expected to double in size within the next 2-3 years.

Despite subdued rural demand in Q2FY24, the management is optimistic about rising paint consumption in Q3FY24 due to festivities and the harvesting season. Kansai Nerolac’s lower pricing is expected to help it gain market share in the price-sensitive rural market. The company is expanding its presence in weaker geographies, particularly in the South and West regions, by adding more dealers and distribution centres. It is also running campaigns via influencers to announce its presence in these regions.

In Q2FY24, the company’s gross margin improved by 678 bps YoY to 35.6%, thanks to declining crude oil and titanium dioxide prices. However, increased promotional activities and staff costs limited EBITDA to 14%, a margin growth of 364 bps YoY. The company is expected to see further margin improvements in H2FY24, driven by higher demand for premium decorative paints and favourable oil prices. 

Prabhudas Liladher notes the company’s focus on technological advances in auto paints (including EVs), and its B2B expansion to 75 cities. KPIL's aggressive expansion plans and an uptick in rural demand are expected to help its top line. The broker maintains an ‘Accumulate’ rating on the stock.

Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movements, analyst calls, or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
29 Dec 2023
Market closes lower, GE T&D India bags an order worth Rs 784.7 crore from UK Grid Solutions
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 21,731.40 (-47.3, -0.2%), BSE Sensex closed at 72,240.26 (-170.1, -0.2%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 19,429.15 (29.9, 0.2%), of the 2,025 stocks traded today, 1,071 were on the uptick, and 905 were down.

Indian indices closed in the red on the last trading session of 2023, with the benchmark Nifty 50 index falling 47.3 points and closing at 21,731.4 points. However, in 2023, Nifty 50 rose 19.9% while the BSE Sensex closed 18.6% higher.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green, outperforming the benchmark index. Nifty Metal and Nifty Media closed higher than their Thursday close. According to Trendlyne's sector dashboard, Telecom Services was the top-performing sector of the day while Telecommunications Equipment was the highest-gaining sector in 2023.

Major Asian indices closed flat or higher except for India’s BSE Sensex and Japan’s Nikkei 225 closing in the red. European indices traded higher amid mixed global cues. US index futures traded flat, indicating a cautious start to the trading session. Brent crude oil futures traded flat and are set to post a decline of around 9.8% in 2023.

  • Money flow index (MFI) indicates that stocks like Castrol India, Hindustan Copper, Pfizer and Fine Organic Industries are in the overbought zone.
  • Redington rises despite receiving an income tax demand notice of Rs 136 crore for the assessment year 2021-22. The company appears in a screener of stocks with declining net profit and margins.

  • Power Mech Projects rises as it wins orders worth Rs 2,192 crore for mining river bed minerals in Dehradun, Haridwar, Udham Singh Nagar and Nainital, and for the development of a coal-fired power plant in Andhra Pradesh.

  • Nazara Technologies' arm Nodwin Gaming invests $5 million in its subsidiary, Nodwin Gaming International, through the subscription of 26,267 shares. Nodwin now holds a 100% stake in Nodwin Gaming International.

  • Reports suggest that the Indian government plans to replace 8,00,000 diesel buses with electric buses by 2030. Following the news, auto stocks related to EV buses, like Tata Motors, Olectra Greentech, JBM Auto and Ashok Leyland, along with auto component manufacturers like Samvardhana Motherson and NRB Bearings, are rising in trade.

  • Plutus Wealth Management buys a 0.6% stake in Zee Entertainment Enterprises for approx Rs 165 crore in a bulk deal on Thursday.

  • GE T&D India surges to an all-time high after it wins an order worth 74 million British pounds (Rs 784.7 crore) from UK Grid Solutions. The contract is for the supply and manufacturing of HVDC converter transformers.

  • Between October 2019 and March 2023, Gujarat received foreign direct investment worth Rs 2.39 lakh crore ($31 billion), placing it among the top Indian states in terms of attracting FDI. In 2022-23, the state had a surge in FDI of approximately 84% YoY, which was the highest among all the states and Union Territories.

  • Telecom stocks like Vodafone Idea, RailTel Corp of India, Indus Towers and Mahanagar Telephone Nigam are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index, BSE Telecom, is also trading in the green.

  • Venus Pipes & Tubes rises as DAM Capital initiates a 'Buy' coverage with a target price of Rs 1,810. The brokerage is optimistic as it believes the company is building a niche in the high-margin stainless steel pipes space and emerging as a key player with significant growth prospects.

  • Tata Coffee rises as the record date for its merger with Tata Consumer Products is set for January 15, 2024. Simultaneously, Tata Coffee’s plantation arm will be demerged and amalgamated into TCPL Beverages & Foods.

  • Lakshmipathy Deenadayalan, CMD of Five Star Business Finance, says that the company has raised Rs 1,000 crore in the past 90 days. He forecasts a 30% growth in assets under management (AUM) for FY24. Deenadayalan also expects the net interest margin (NIM) to stabilise at 14-15%, highlighting the company's focus on secured long-term loans.

  • Shakti Pumps (India) rises as it wins an order worth Rs 258 crore from the Haryana Renewable Energy Department. The contract involves the supply, installation and commissioning of 6,408 solar water pumps within 90 days.

  • ICICI Lombard General Insurance falls as it receives a GST demand notice for Rs 1,728 crore and a penalty of Rs 172 crore, covering the period from July 2017 to March 2022. The company appears in a screener of stocks with declining net cash flow.

  • Motilal Oswal maintains its 'Buy' rating on GAIL (India) and raises the target price to Rs 195, as it believes that the company's return on equity and free cash flow have improved sharply. The brokerage also mentions that an increased contribution from GAIL's transmission sector has enhanced its earnings visibility.

  • Techno Electric & Engineering rises to an all-time high of Rs 844.5 as it bags orders worth Rs 1,750 crore from various domestic clients. The order involves the construction of transmission systems and the supply of advanced metering infrastructure.

  • Swan Energy trades flat as its board approves a plan to raise Rs 4,000 crore through various financial instruments. The company appears in a screener of stocks with improving book value per share.

  • Innova Captab’s shares debut on the bourses at a 0.9% premium to the issue price of Rs 448. The Rs 570 crore IPO has received bids for 55.3 times the total shares on offer.

  • Sanjeev Asthana, CEO of Patanjali Foods, says that the company intends to increase its revenue share from the food and FMCG businesses, setting a target of Rs 45,000 crore for FY24. He foresees food contributing 50% to its sales in the next 3-4 years and says it has no plans to demerge the company's businesses.

  • ICICI Prudential Asset Management and ICICI Prudential Life Insurance receive Reserve Bank of India's approval to acquire aggregate holding of up to 10% of the paid-up share capital in RBL Bank.

  • Kalpataru Projects rises to an all-time high of Rs 725 as it bags orders worth Rs 3,244 crore from various domestic and overseas clients. The orders involve the construction of a residential project, an underground metro project and a transmission & distribution system in South India and overseas.

  • Punjab National Bank's board approves a proposal to raise Rs 7,500 crore in one or more tranches during the 2024-25 period. The capital will be raised through a qualified institutional placement, a follow-on public offering, or other permitted methods, or a combination of these.

  • Promoters K Vamshidhar Reddy, A Manogna and Mitta Madhavi sell a sum of 0.5% stake in MTAR Technologies on Thursday. They now hold 6.1%, 1.7% and 1.8%, respectively.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Vodafone Idea Ltd. (16.00, 20.75%), Indus Towers Ltd. (199.05, 6.96%) and 3M India Ltd. (37,309.15, 6.32%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd. (398.90, -4.49%), Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd. (450.65, -3.25%) and Oil India Ltd. (372.15, -2.76%).

Volume Rockets

34 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Vodafone Idea Ltd. (16.00, 20.75%), Kalpataru Projects International Ltd. (709.20, 7.85%) and Indus Towers Ltd. (199.05, 6.96%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Privi Speciality Chemicals Ltd. (1,176.25, -4.32%), CIE Automotive India Ltd. (470.70, -0.91%) and Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd. (3,363.25, -0.86%).

Godrej Industries Ltd. (744.45, 5.60%) was trading at 12.0 times of weekly average. Avanti Feeds Ltd. (420.05, 4.69%) and Chalet Hotels Ltd. (696.45, 2.57%) were trading with volumes 9.0 and 8.3 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

71 stocks made 52 week highs,

Stocks touching their year highs included - 3M India Ltd. (37,309.15, 6.32%), Ajanta Pharma Ltd. (2,083.65, 4.48%) and Amara Raja Energy & Mobility Ltd. (816.00, -0.54%).

9 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including KRBL Ltd. (375.10, 4.09%) and Dabur India Ltd. (557.20, 2.60%). 3 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Data Patterns (India) Ltd. (1,861.20, -1.09%) and Aegis Logistics Ltd. (351.90, 0.21%).

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The Baseline
29 Dec 2023
Chart of the week: Cooling inflation, interest rate cuts make the dollar less attractive
By Bhavani Eswar

2023 began with decade-high inflation. Customers in most countries felt the pinch as prices went up across the board, from fuel to tomatoes, thanks to supply-chain disruptions and the Russia-Ukraine war. Inflation became political: people complained about ‘shrinkflation’ (where companies kept the price the same, but reduced the product size), and ‘price-gouging’. Central banks responded with sharp interest rate hikes.

But the tone of central bank governors began to shift in the second half of 2023. Many central bankers now say that inflation has come to manageable levels. The US Federal Reserve in its last meeting on December 12 sounded dovish and hinted at potential rate cuts starting in 2024. However, RBI’s governor Shaktikanta Das remains cautious and says “Any shift in policy now will be premature and risky. Past rate hikes are still working through the economy, and we will closely monitor how that plays out”.

As inflation and interest rate fluctuations impact a country’s currency, we take a look at the performance of major currencies against the US dollar in 2023.

Eurozone currencies do well as economies recover

The US dollar (USD), the most favored reserve currency due to its safe-haven status, has seen some competition from Eurozone currencies in the last year. The euro, the second-largest reserve currency in the world, appreciated by 3.7% against the dollar in 2023. Similarly, the Great Britain pound, another Eurozone currency, appreciated by 5.3% in the same period. 

The recent decline in interest rates as inflation softens, pose a challenge to the dollar, as dollar-denominated assets become less attractive to investors seeking higher yields. The Swiss franc (SFC) appreciated the most (+8.2%) among the Eurozone currencies over the past year. 

Swiss private bank J Safra Sarasin said that the Israel-Hamas conflict has driven investors to the franc as a safer option. Additionally, since late 2022, the Swiss National Bank has been purchasing francs to support its value, lowering the inflationary impact of rising costs of importing commodities. 

Asian currencies remain stable; RBI intervention keeps rupee range-bound

The Indian rupee has been relatively stable,  falling only marginally by 0.5% over the past year. This is mainly due to ongoing intervention by the RBI in both spot and forward markets. 

The RBI's total foreign exchange activity constituted 17% of the overall turnover among banks in the onshore over-the-counter market in October. This led the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to reclassify India’s exchange rate regime to ‘Stabilized Arrangement’ from ‘Floating’. 

The Chinese yuan depreciated by 2% against the dollar in 2023 as the interest rate differential with developed markets stayed high. Structural challenges like sticky inflation, US sanctions and real estate troubles have added to the depreciation in Asia’s biggest economy. The Japanese yen (JPY) weakened by 7.2%, as the Bank of Japan extended its ultra-loose monetary policy, keeping interest rates negative last year. JPY is expected to rise against the USD once the central bank reverses its monetary expansion policy. 

The Russian ruble fared the worst against the dollar, not very surprising to anyone who has been following the politics around the Russia-Ukraine war. The ruble hit a 17-month low as Western sanctions hit the country’s energy exports and the broader economy. As sanctions have tightened and international companies and investments have fled, Starbucks, IKEA and Dunkin’ Donuts have been replaced by local brands like Stars Coffee, Swed House and Donutto. Sanctions on Russian energy exports have contributed to the ruble's 32.8% depreciation against the USD this year, a stark contrast to its 40.2% appreciation last year.

In Latin America, the Brazilian real has appreciated the most against the dollar, rising by 5.5% in 2023. The currency of this commodity-sensitive country has benefited from strong exports earlier in the year, driven by increased global demand and higher commodity prices. In addition, Brazilian policymakers have cut interest rates by 2% since August, with a further 50 bps reduction in the latest policy meeting in December to 11.75%.

The Canadian dollar has also appreciated by 2.4% against the dollar, followed by the Singaporean and Australian dollars at 2% and 1%, respectively. 

Stubborn inflation all over the world has led to disparities in purchasing power and the highest-ever interest rate differences between developed and developing economies. This increased volatility in the forex market throughout 2023. 

According to the IMF, “In emerging market economies, a 10% US dollar appreciation, linked to global financial market forces, decreases economic output by 1.9% after one year.” However, expansionary monetary policies are gaining traction as central banks see reduced inflationary and geopolitical risks. This shift might improve the exchange rate outlook for emerging markets in 2024.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
28 Dec 2023
Nifty 50 closes at an all-time high, KEC International wins new orders worth Rs 1,566 crore
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 21,778.70 (124.0, 0.6%), BSE Sensex closed at 72,410.38 (372.0, 0.5%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 19,399.25 (102.3, 0.5%), of the 2,028 stocks traded today, 831 showed gains, and 1,154 showed losses.

Indian indices maintained the gains from the afternoon session and closed in the green, with the Nifty 50 closing at an all-time high of 21,779. The volatility index, Nifty VIX, dropped by 2.7% and closed at 15.1 points. KEC International won new orders worth Rs 1,566 crore across various businesses. The orders include transmission & distribution, civil, oil & gas pipelines and cables in India and overseas.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed higher following the benchmark index. Nifty FMCG and Nifty Oil & Gas closed higher than Wednesday’s closing level. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, metals & mining emerged as the top-performing sector of the day, with a rise of over 1.7%.

Most European indices trade in the red. US indices futures trade flat, indicating a cautious start. Japan’s industrial production in November fell by 0.9% MoM against estimates of a 1.6% contraction. The decline in motor vehicle production was the major reason, as it contracted by 2.5% MoM.

  • Relative strength index (RSI) indicates that stocks like Gujarat Fluorochemicals, Bharat Dynamics, Voltas and Jubilant Ingrevia and are in the overbought zone.

  • Siemens sees six analyst target price upgrades and four recommendation upgrades in the past month. Varun Beverages, Thermax, and Manappuram Finance see two analyst target price upgrades over the same period.

  • Central Bank of India surges as it enters into a strategic co-lending partnership with Kisetsu Saison Finance (India) to offer MSME Loans at competitive rates.

  • Sula Vineyards rises sharply as the company reports the highest single-day revenue of Rs 85 lakh on December 24, driven by the Christmas Holidays. The company had an inflow of 12,000 visitors on the same day. It appears in a screener of stocks with growing net profit and margins.

  • Anmol Singh Jaggi, MD of Gensol Engineering, expects the company's revenue will rise to Rs 4,000 crore by FY26. He attributes this growth to its key segments: renewable energy and electric mobility. Meanwhile, the company's board of directors will meet on January 1 to discuss capital raising options, including QIP, preferential issue, or a combination of both.

  • Man Industries (India) surges as it announces successful testing of its pipes for safe hydrogen transportation, conducted by a European research centre for hydrogen transport.

  • Zydus Wellness rises as 7.80 lakh shares, amounting to Rs 127.3 crore, reportedly change hands in a block deal.

  • Ramky Infrastructure's board approves the sale of 100% shareholding in its arm, Visakha Pharmacity, for Rs 165.2 crore to Brij Gopal Construction.

  • Brainbees Solutions, the parent company of FirstCry, reportedly files for an IPO with SEBI. As per the DRHP, the offer includes a fresh issue worth around Rs 1,1816 crore and an offer for sale of about 5.4 crore shares.

  • Suprajit Engineering rises sharply as HDFC Mutual Fund buys an additional 2% stake (27.2 lakh shares) in the company. After this, HDFC Mutual Fund currently holds a 7% stake in the company.

  • KEC International wins new orders worth Rs 1,566 crore across various businesses. The orders include transmission & distribution, civil, oil & gas pipelines and cables in India and overseas.

  • Swan Energy falls as Hypnos Fund sells a 1.2% stake (32.8 lakh shares) for Rs 500.6 per share, totaling Rs 164.3 crore. Meanwhile, Jainam Broking buys a 1.1% stake (29.5 lakh shares) for Rs 504.6, totaling Rs 148.9 crore.

  • Rashesh Gogri, VC and MD of Aarti Industries, reports an improvement in demand in the discretionary segment. The company secured a long-term supply contract with a global agrochem major on Wednesday. Gogri expects this deal to yield an EBITDA margin of around 20%, with a ramp-up of the contract in FY25.
  • Suzlon Energy rises as it receives an order for 3 MW series turbines, amounting to 300 MW, from Apraava Energy. The company will supply 100 wind turbines, each with a rated capacity of 3 MW, projected to serve around 2.47 lakh households.

  • Oil and gas stocks like Hindustan Petroleum Corp, Indian Oil Corp, Petronet LNG and GAIL (India) are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index, BSE Oil & Gas, is also trading in the green.

  • Larsen & Toubro touches a 52-week high of Rs 3,559.9 as it bags orders worth Rs 2,500-5000 crore for its power transmission & distribution business in the Middle East. The projects involve developing substations and transmission lines in the region.

  • DAM Capital initiates coverage on Five-Star Business Finance with a ‘Buy’ rating and a target price of Rs 1,000. The brokerage believes that the company has a strong capital adequacy of 59.4% and there will be no need for dilution for the next five years. It highlights that the company has delivered an RoA (return on assets) of 8.5% in H1FY24.

  • Zomato is falling as it receives a show cause notice for Rs 401.7 crore, including interest and penalty for October 29, 2019, to March 31, 2022. The notice has been served by the Directorate General of GST Intelligence, Pune.

  • Azad Engineering’s shares debut on the bourses at a 37.4% premium to the issue price of Rs 524. The Rs 740 crore IPO has received bids for 80.7 times the total shares on offer.

  • Canara Bank rises following its board's approval to initiate the process of listing its subsidiary, Canara Robeco Asset Management Company, through an IPO. The bank appears in a screener of stocks nearing their 52-week high with significant volumes.

  • PhillipCapital maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on Godrej Consumer Products with an upgraded target price of Rs 1,350. The brokerage believes the company is well-positioned to deliver double-digit growth in FY25. It also sees innovation in the household insecticides business.

  • KPI Green Energy surges as it announces commissioning of of solar power projects by KPI Green Energy and its arm, KPIG Energia. The company is also considering a proposal for issue of bonus equity shares.

  • Leelavathi Parvatha Reddy, promoter of MTAR Technologies, sells a 0.7% stake in the company. She now holds a 2.3% stake in the company.

  • South Indian Bank rises as its board approves raising Rs 1,750 crore through rights issue. The company appears in a screener of stocks with strong annual EPS growth.

  • Housing and Urban Development Corp (HUDCO) rises sharply as it executes a memorandum of understanding with the Gujarat government for an investment of Rs 14,500 crore. The project involves the development of housing and urban infrastructure in the state.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd. (417.65, 9.38%), Steel Authority of India (SAIL) Ltd. (122.85, 6.41%) and Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. (192.60, 5.85%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include 3M India Ltd. (35,001.10, -3.82%), Adani Energy Solutions Ltd. (1,022.55, -3.41%) and Zomato Ltd. (123.20, -3.03%).

Crowd Puller Stocks

35 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Housing and Urban Development Corporation Ltd. (128.00, 12.28%), Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd. (417.65, 9.38%) and Gillette India Ltd. (6,550.00, 7.18%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Vardhman Textiles Ltd. (377.15, -2.70%), Bajaj Holdings & Investment Ltd. (7,713.25, -2.63%) and ABB India Ltd. (4,642.95, -1.92%).

Borosil Renewables Ltd. (437.25, 3.20%) was trading at 11.3 times of weekly average. Shoppers Stop Ltd. (680.50, -0.45%) and Rainbow Childrens Medicare Ltd. (1,194.50, 5.21%) were trading with volumes 10.7 and 7.6 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

75 stocks overperformed with 52 week highs,

Stocks touching their year highs included - Amara Raja Energy & Mobility Ltd. (820.45, 1.07%), Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd. (5760.50, 1.28%) and Bank of Baroda (232.95, 0.41%).

3 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Restaurant Brands Asia Ltd. (111.20, 0.95%) and Delhivery Ltd. (384.20, 0.22%). 5 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Aegis Logistics Ltd. (351.15, -1.89%) and KNR Constructions Ltd. (257.85, -0.88%).

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
27 Dec 2023
Market closes higher, holding gains
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 21,654.75 (213.4, 1%), BSE Sensex closed at 72,038.43 (701.6, 1.0%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 19,296.95 (148.1, 0.8%), of the 2,026 stocks traded today, 1,001 were on the uptick, and 980 were down.

Indian indices maintained their gains from the afternoon session and closed in the green, with the benchmark Nifty 50 closing at 21,655 points. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, rose 6% and closed at 15.6 points. Aarti Industries touched its 52-week high and closed 1.7% higher after securing a long-term supply contract with a global agrochem major, offering a revenue potential of nearly Rs 3,000 crore.

Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 closed flat, despite the benchmark index closing in the green. Nifty Bank and Nifty Metal closed higher than their Tuesday close. According to Trendlyne's sector dashboard, Healthcare Equipment & Supplies was the top-performing sector of the day as it rose 2.8%.

Major European indices traded in the green, taking cues from the Asian indices. US index futures traded flat, indicating a cautious start to the trading session. Brent crude oil futures traded flat after rising 2.2% on a volatile day on Tuesday.

  • Godrej Consumer Products sees a long buildup in its December 28 future series as its open interest rises 33.6% with a put-call ratio of 0.8.

  • 3M India surges over 10% to an all-time high of Rs 34,799.9 and ranks high on Trendlyne's checklist with a score of 77.3%. The stock is in the strong buy zone. It appears in a screener of stocks with improving cash flow from operations.

  • Suzlon Energy rises as it receives an order for its 3 MW series generators, amounting to 100.8 MW, from Mahindra Susten. The company appears in a screener of stocks with growing net profit and margins.

  • Sectors like utilities, commercial services & supplies, forest materials and transportation rise more than 17% in the past month.

  • Swan Energy is rising as 48.6 lakh shares (1.9% equity), amounting to Rs 244 crore, change hands, according to reports.

  • Aurobindo Pharma rises as its subsidiary Eugia Pharma Specialities receives US FDA approval to manufacture and market Posaconazole Injection. The drug is used in the treatment of fungal diseases in adults and has a market size of $25.4 million (Rs 211.6 crore).

  • IDFCreceives 'No Objection' from the Reserve Bank of India for the proposed composite scheme of amalgamation of IDFC Financial Holding into and with IDFC, and IDFC into and with IDFC First Bank.

  • ICICI Prudential Life Insurance receives a GST demand notice for Rs 269.8 crore, including interest and penalty, for FY18 from the Deputy Commissioner of State Tax, Maharashtra.

  • Kamal Khushlani, CMD of Credo Brands Marketing, forecasts the company's revenue to hit approximately Rs 600 crore with a 30% margin in FY24. He also highlights the company’s target to double its revenue in the next 4-5 years. Credo Brands’ shares debuted on the bourses today at a 0.8% premium to the issue price of Rs 70.

  • PSU bank stocks like Bank of Baroda, Union Bank of India, Punjab National Bank and Indian Bank are rising in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty PSU Bank is also trading in the green.

  • NBCC rises as it bags an order worth Rs 150 crore from Steel Authority Of India (SAIL) ISP, Burnpur for civil and various types of infrastructure works in the plant and township.

  • Coromandel International falls following an ammonia gas leak at its fertilizer manufacturing facility in Chennai, resulting in multiple hospitalizations.

  • Emkay Global initiates coverage on Tejas Networks with a ‘Buy’ rating and a target price of Rs 1,050. The brokerage believes that the company will secure orders worth at least Rs 29,200 crore over FY24-28E. It also foresees Tejas Networks’ revenues reaching Rs 30,000 crore, led by the BSNL and Bharatnet projects.
  • Nifty 50 hits an all-time high of 21,603.4 today after rising for four consecutive days.

  • Cupid rises to an all-time high of Rs 1,016.2 as Universal-Halwasiya Group acquires an additional 26% stake (35 lakh shares) for Rs 325 per share, amounting to Rs 113 crore. The company appears in a screener of stocks with strong annual EPS growth.

  • Larsen & Toubro's construction arm wins an engineering, procurement and construction order worth Rs 5,000-10,000 crore to establish renewable energy generation, power utilities and water systems for an ultra-luxury tourism destination in Saudi Arabia.

  • India's current account deficit narrows to $8.3 billion, equivalent to 1% of GDP in Q2FY24, compared to 3.8% in Q2FY23. This is due to a lower merchandise trade deficit and a rise in services exports.

  • Happy Forgings’ shares debut on the bourses at a 17.6% premium to the issue price of Rs 850. The Rs 1,008.6 crore IPO has received bids for 82 times the total shares on offer.

  • Aarti Industries touches a 52-week high after securing a long-term supply contract with a global agrochem major, offering a revenue potential of nearly Rs 3,000 crore. It appears on a screener for stocks with strong momentum.

  • Vishnu Prakash R Punglia rises to an all-time high of Rs 242 as it bags orders worth Rs 899 crore from the Uttarakhand government. The orders involve the development, operation, and maintenance of water supply systems in various parts of the state.

  • Nomura has a ‘Buy’ rating on UltraTech Cement,Dalmia Bharat, The Ramco Cements and Shree Cements, and ‘Reduce’ on Ambuja Cements. The brokerage expects strong growth in sales volume in H2FY24. It also sees an improvement in margins driven by robust volumes, pricing discipline and lower fuel costs.

  • Cera Sanitaryware's Executive Director, Ayush Bagla, tenders his resignation to pursue new avenues. His resignation will be effective from March 31, 2024.

  • Kansai Nerolac Paints rises to a new 52-week high of Rs 357.3 as it plans to sell a land parcel worth Rs 726 crore in Mumbai's Lower Parel to Aethon Developers. The company appears in a screener of stocks with improving book value per share.

  • Mathew Cyriac buys a 0.5% stake in Indiabulls Housing Finance for approx Rs 53.4 crore in a bulk deal on Tuesday.

  • SJVN rises as it bags an order worth Rs 550 crore from Gujarat Urja Vikas Nigam. The order involves the construction and operation of a 100 MW solar power plant. The company appears in a screener of stocks with strong momentum.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include 3M India Ltd. (36,389.95, 15.72%), Sona BLW Precision Forgings Ltd. (614.50, 6.16%) and Life Insurance Corporation of India (821.40, 5.13%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Vedanta Ltd. (252.40, -3.55%), Cummins India Ltd. (1,983.60, -2.15%) and REC Ltd. (410.50, -2.03%).

Volume Shockers

21 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included 3M India Ltd. (36,389.95, 15.72%), Housing and Urban Development Corporation Ltd. (114.00, 8.06%) and Sona BLW Precision Forgings Ltd. (614.50, 6.16%).

Top high volume loser on BSE was Coromandel International Ltd. (1,244.90, -1.45%).

Kansai Nerolac Paints Ltd. (337.55, 3.78%) was trading at 24.1 times of weekly average. HEG Ltd. (1885.60, 4.86%) and Poly Medicure Ltd. (1,522.75, 5.56%) were trading with volumes 6.2 and 5.9 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

63 stocks made 52 week highs,

Stocks touching their year highs included - 3M India Ltd. (36,389.95, 15.72%), Ajanta Pharma Ltd. (1,997.45, 0.54%) and Amara Raja Energy & Mobility Ltd. (811.80, 5.50%).

1 stock climbed above their 200 day SMA including Alkyl Amines Chemicals Ltd. (2,522.65, -1.88%). 7 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Vedanta Ltd. (252.40, -3.55%) and G R Infraprojects Ltd. (1,161.20, -2.01%).

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The Baseline
27 Dec 2023
5 stocks to buy from analysts this week
By Abhiraj Panchal

1. Devyani International:

KRChoksey maintains its ‘Buy’ call on this restaurant chain manager with a target price of Rs 230. This indicates an upside of 19.6%. Analyst Unnati Jadhav remains optimistic about the company with its entry into the Thailand market. Devyani has acquired a controlling interest in Thailand’s Restaurants Development Co for Rs 1,066.1 crore. The analyst notes that chicken is a favourite dish in the region, “Thailand is a strong market for poultry consumption, presenting significant growth opportunities.” 

Jadhav is optimistic that this acquisition will position Devyani as a key player in the QSR/LSR market in Thailand and the surrounding region and pave the way for additional growth. While still awaiting the management’s commentary about their growth and profitability plans for the newly acquired business, the analyst retains her estimates. She expects revenue and EBITDA to grow at CAGRs of 22.5% and 21.9%, respectively,  for FY24-FY25.

2. JK Lakshmi Cement:

Axis Direct retains its ‘Buy’ call on this cement manufacturer with a target price of Rs 1,000, indicating an upside of 11.9%. Analysts Uttam Srimal and Shikha Doshi say, “Cement demand is expected to remain robust on the back of the government’s infra push, better real estate demand, private capex, and pickup from individual home builders.” 

The analysts remain optimistic due to JK Lakshmi Cement’s ongoing capacity expansion. They expect this expansion, along with strategic initiatives, to improve the company’s EBITDA/tonne from the current Rs 700/tonne to Rs 900 and Rs 970 in FY25 and FY26E, respectively. They estimate the company to deliver revenue, EBITDA and profit growth of 10%, 24% and 26% CAGR respectively over FY24-FY26, backed by an 8% volume growth CAGR over the same period. The management is aiming for a 7-8% volume growth CAGR over the next 3-4 years, driven by higher demand and cement consumption.

3. Delhivery:

BP Wealth assigns a ‘Buy’ rating to this logistic services provider with a target price of Rs 450, indicating an upside of 17.6%. Analysts at the brokerage say, “Delhivery's strategic positioning as the most efficient player in the logistics market has poised the company for significant growth in the rapidly expanding e-commerce sector.” They believe that this operational efficiency enables Delhivery to price its offerings competitively. 

The analysts are also optimistic about Delhivery's adaptability, underscored by its successful expansion into new markets, and the diversification of its customer base. A key aspect of its strategy is reducing its dependency on its top five customers, which currently account for 40% of its revenues. 

They also expect the anticipated growth of over 20% in the third-party logistics space, supported by category expansion, improved return logistics and a focus on tier-2 and 3 cities. They say, “Delhivery's focus on improving its market share and adapting to changing customer preferences positions it as a key player in logistics.”

4. Persistent Systems:

HDFC Securities maintains its 'Buy' rating on this IT consulting and software company with a target price of Rs 8,530, indicating an upside of 15.3%. Analysts Apurva Prasad, Amit Chandra, and Vinesh Vala are upbeat, citing its strength in product engineering services, consistent deal flow, market-share gains over tier-1 competitors, and strategic additions to its senior management. The analysts believe that the recent acquisition of enterprise software platforms of Software AG by IBM and the company's focus on GenAI solutions will boost its growth prospects.

Anticipating improved margins, Prasad, Chandra, and Vala highlight Persistent Systems’ ability to secure deals exceeding $50 million, with a notable focus on managed services and cost optimization. The analysts are confident that the company's expertise in software product engineering will drive market-share gains. New senior management hires from Microsoft, Tech Mahindra and other major players have been key in growing the business and attracting larger clients, helping the company's goal to hit the $2 billion revenue milestone.

5. Manappuram Finance:

Motilal Oswal maintains its 'Buy' rating on this non-banking financial company with a target price of Rs 205, indicating an upside of 19.3%. Analysts Abhijit Tibrewal and Nitin Aggarwal say, "To mitigate the cyclicality in the gold loan segment, the company is actively diversifying into non-gold lending." They anticipate achieving a target 50:50 mix between gold and non-gold businesses and foresee increased gold loan demand due to growth in economic activities.

Tibrewal and Aggarwal expect the company to use data analytics for informed credit decisions, reducing lending risk. They foresee growth in the vehicle loan segment, particularly with the introduction of automated two-wheeler loans. The company’s recent partnership with JCB, venturing into the used equipment business, adds to its vehicle finance portfolio. 

With an in-house field collection team and about 94% of customers using NACH (automated payment systems), Tibrewal and Aggarwal expect timely recovery to be a strength. The analysts view the company's diversified geographical presence as an effective de-risking strategy, that will be key to its long-term growth.

Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.

(You can find all analyst picks here)

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
26 Dec 2023
Market closes higher, Greenply Industries transfers 51% of stake in Greenply Middle East
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 21,441.35 (92.0, 0.4%), BSE Sensex closed at 71,336.80 (229.8, 0.3%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 19,148.85 (94.2, 0.5%), of the 2,042 stocks traded today, 1,166 were on the uptrend, and 842 went down.

Indian indices maintained the gains from the afternoon session and closed in the green, with the Nifty 50 closing at 21,441. The volatility index, Nifty VIX, rose by 7.1% and closed at 14.7 points. Bharat Electronics won an order worth Rs 678 crore from the Uttar Pradesh government, for supplying AI software tools and cybersecurity solutions to the state's 'Dial 112 Project'.

Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 closed higher following the benchmark index. Nifty Metal and Nifty Oil & Gas closed higher than Friday’s closing level. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, chemicals & petrochemicals emerged as the top-performing sector of the day, with a rise of over 1.9%.

Major European and US indices are closed today on account of Boxing Day. According to Singapore’s Department of Statistics, the country’s CPI inflation in November increased by 3.6% against estimates of 3.8% growth.

  • Money flow index (MFI) indicates that stocks like Allcargo Logistics, Shyam Metalics and Energy, Jubilant Ingrevia and Voltas are in the overbought zone.

  • NMDC rises to a new 52-week high of Rs 204.9 as iron ore futures rise to a 10-month high of $140 per tonne. The company appears in a screener of stocks with strong momentum.

  • RBL Bank and Bajaj Finance are falling as the RBI reportedly notes "serious deficiencies" in Bajaj Finance's adherence to guidelines concerning its co-branded credit card partnership with RBL Bank. The RBI has granted only a one-year extension, until December 21, 2024, for this partnership, despite Bajaj Finance seeking a longer duration.

  • Greenply Industries transfers 51% of its stake in its arm, Greenply Middle East, for $1.6 million to an investor group. Greenply Industries will cease to hold a controlling interest in the arm following this transaction.

  • Star Health and Allied Insurance Co is rising as 14.3 lakh shares (0.2% equity), amounting to approximately Rs 75.3 crore, change hands, according to reports.

  • Innova Captab's Rs 570 crore IPO gets bids for 55.2X the available 90.8 lakh shares on offer on the third day of bidding. The retail investor quota gets bids for 17.1X the available 45.8 lakh shares on offer.

  • Inox Wind rises after securing a 279 MW wind turbine generator order from a large commercial & industrial player. The order includes the supply of the company's 3 MW wind turbine generators and is expected to be completed by 2025.

  • Thermax is falling as the National Company Law Tribunal approves the demerger of its arms, Thermax Cooling Solutions and Thermax Instrumentation.

  • According to a poll by economists, India’s GDP is expected to grow by 6.7% in FY24, led by domestic demand and improvement in investments.

  • Bharat Electronics rises to an all-time high of Rs 184.5 as it bags an order worth Rs 678 crore from the Uttar Pradesh Government. The order involves the supply of AI software tools and cybersecurity solutions to the state's 'Dial 112 Project'.

  • Arman Financial Services falls after raising Rs 230 crore through qualified institutional placement. The issue price is set at Rs 2,195, which is a 16% discount to Friday's closing price. The company appears in a screener of stocks with declining cash flow from operations.

  • Godrej Properties launches a new residential project, Godrej Aristocrat, in Gurugram, selling 600 flats worth Rs 2,600 crore.

  • Rahul Thomas, Director at Suraj Estate Developers, reveals plans to launch three new projects by March. He adds that the company targets margins of 40% in redeveloped projects. Suraj Estate’s shares debuted on the bourses today at a 5.6% discount to the issue price of Rs 360.

  • US FDA closes an inspection of Zydus Lifesciences' API site in Changodar, Ahmedabad, with six observations. The PAI-cum-GMP inspection took place from December 14 to December 22, 2023.

  • Motisons Jewellers’ shares debut on the bourses at a 98.2% premium to the issue price of Rs 55. The Rs 151.1 crore IPO has received bids for 159.6 times the total shares on offer.

  • Swan Energy's subsidiary, Triumph Offshore (TOPL), prepays its Rs 300 crore debt from internal accruals. This repayment has been made to the consortium of senior lenders for its Floating Storage and Regasification Unit (FSRU) Project.

  • Himanshu Baid, Managing Director of Poly Medicure, highlights the company’s entry into the cardiology and critical care segments. He projects a 20-22% revenue growth and 25-27% margin expansion for the company in FY24. Baid believes the industry will reach $50 billion by 2030.

  • One97 Communications falls amid reports of laying off 1,000 employees from its operations, sales, and engineering teams during its shift towards AI technology. The company appears in a screener of stocks with falling book value per share.

  • PNC Infratech rises as it receives a provisional completion certificate for the Unnao-Lalganj section of NH-31. The project, with a total cost of Rs 1,602 crore, was completed 33 days ahead of its schedule.

  • Kiddy Plast, promoter of VIP Industries, sells a 0.2% stake in the company. It now holds 2.3%.

  • CLSA maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on Bharat Electronics with an upgraded target price of Rs 207. The brokerage says the company’s order inflows have surged 7X year-to-date and are expected to beat the FY24 inflow guidance of Rs 20,000 crore, led by OEM orders.

  • Saumya Polymers, promoter of Astral, sells a 1.4% stake in a block deal. It now holds 8.5% of the company.

  • JSW Energy rises as its subsidiary, JSW Renew Energy, begins phased commissioning of an 810 MW wind power project in Tamil Nadu. The first phase, with 51 MW, is now operational under a 25-year power purchase agreement with Solar Energy Corporation of India (SECI).

  • KPIT Technologies rises as it acquires a 13% stake in cloud-based game aggregator N-Dream AG for 3 million euros (approx Rs 27.5 crore). This acquisition will help the company to enter into the cloud gaming space. It appears in a screener of stocks with low debt.

  • Infosys falls as a global company terminates a $1.5 billion (approx. Rs 12,475.1 crore) memorandum of understanding. The deal was for Infosys to provide AI solutions.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Divi's Laboratories Ltd. (3,863.50, 4.56%), Adani Green Energy Ltd. (1,600.20, 4.38%) and Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd. (2,820.65, 4.33%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Zomato Ltd. (125.00, -2.72%), Bank of India (109.50, -2.06%) and Jubilant Foodworks Ltd. (570.20, -1.93%).

Volume Rockets

13 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Castrol India Ltd. (182.55, 12.30%), NLC India Ltd. (250.20, 11.75%) and Alkyl Amines Chemicals Ltd. (2,570.90, 11.54%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Poly Medicure Ltd. (1,442.55, -1.17%) and Jupiter Wagons Ltd. (320.30, -1.05%).

Balaji Amines Ltd. (2,614.60, 10.54%) was trading at 9.0 times of weekly average. Mahindra Lifespace Developers Ltd. (540.40, 1.51%) and Gujarat Alkalies & Chemicals Ltd. (789.35, 5.04%) were trading with volumes 7.9 and 7.8 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

42 stocks took off, crossing 52 week highs,

Stocks touching their year highs included - Bayer Cropscience Ltd. (5,651.00, 0.91%), Bharat Electronics Ltd. (181.95, 4.09%) and Bharat Forge Ltd. (1,226.95, 2.10%).

7 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Alkyl Amines Chemicals Ltd. (2,570.90, 11.54%) and Restaurant Brands Asia Ltd. (111.40, 1.13%). 1 stock slipped below their 200 SMA including V-Mart Retail Ltd. (2,027.15, -3.67%).