Devyani International Ltd. share price target

Devyani International appears to be nearing an operational inflection, led by KFC India’s +4.9% SSSG the strongest in 14 quarters indicating improving demand traction post channel recalibration.

Demand trends remained stable, with improving consumption recovery and positive traction across key brands

Devyani International’s (DEVYANI) consolidated revenue grew 11% YoY in 3QFY26. India revenue was up 12% YoY, led by the Skygate acquisition and 13% YoY store expansion.

The promoters and management teams of Devyani International (DIL) and Sapphire Foods (SFIL) jointly held an investor call, to explain the deal contours, potential merger synergies, and planned growth investments.

Devyani International (DIL) and Sapphire Foods India (SAPPHIRE) have approved a scheme of arrangement for the merger of SAPPHIRE into DIL. The transaction consolidates Yum! Brands’ India operations under a single listed entity.

We have rolled forward our valuation basis to Sept’27 estimates. We value Devyani at 19.0x Sept’27 EBITDA, implying a target price of INR 165.

Devyani International’s (DEVYANI) consolidated revenue grew 13% YoY in 2QFY26. The India revenue was up 12% YoY, led by the Skygate acquisition and 16% YoY store expansion.

We have revised our FY26E/FY27E EBITDA estimates by -9.3%/-3.3%, as we factor in more gradual pick-up in consumer demand and higher input costs in FY26, led by online marketing projects undertaken by the Company.

We upgrade Devyani to BUY from Add, while raising our TP by ~18% to Rs200 from Rs170 (30x FY27E EBITDA vs 26x earlier). The upgrade is led by potential value creation in the likely acquisition of ‘Biryani By Kilo’ (BBK) and possible return of a mid-teen growth for the India business in FY26E (vs 7% in FY25).

Devyani International’s (DEVYANI) consol. revenue grew 54% YoY (in line) in 3QFY25, led by a recent acquisition in Thailand. India revenue was up 10% YoY, despite 20% YoY store expansion, which was offset by weak samestore sales growth (SSSG) across brands.

We met with Mr. Manish Dawar, CFO of Devyani International (DIL), to discuss the current demand trends, the company’s growth outlook across business verticals, and its long-term strategy.

Devyani International Limited (DIL) posted another quarter of muted performance in Q2FY2025, with KFC’s and Pizza Hut’s SSSG declining by 7% and 5.7%, respectively. Revenue growth of 49% y-o-y was mainly led by the integration of Thailand’s KFC business.

DIL’s Q2 EBITDA was ~13% below our estimate, on margin miss in KFC and higher HO costs.

Devyani International Ltd’s (DEVYANI) consol. revenue grew 49% YoY (est. +42%), including the recent acquisition in Thailand.

DIL's Q4 EBITDA was 7-8% higher vs. our estimates, largely helped by strong
cost optimization as topline was weaker. Given a glut of weak consumption
trends, with 7/14% SSG decline in KFC/PH, a flat margin is commendable (vs.
250bps QoQ margin decline for Sapphire PH/KFC).

Devyani International (Devyani) reported 38.7% YoY revenue growth in
4QFY24, including the Thailand acquisition. The organic growth (exacquisition) is expected to be ~5% YoY (est. 7.5%) despite a 20% store growth.