Delhivery Ltd. share price target

Delhivery’s Express segment recorded a robust 73% YoY volume growth in 4QFY26 (including the Ecom Express acquisition), despite a challenging operating environment arising from the West Asia crisis and the typical moderation witnessed post the festive-led 3Q season.

*over or under performance to benchmark index Delhivery Limited is India's largest, fully integrated logistics provider. With a network covering over 18,700 pin codes, 47 automated sort centres and over 73,000 team...

Generated FCFF of Rs890mn in FY26 aided by reduction in capital intensity to 4.7% of sales and improvement in working capital cycle to 11 days....

Delhivery reported a 30% YoY increase in revenue to INR28.5b in 4QFY26 (in line). Reported EBITDA rose 80% YoY to ~INR2.1b, while EBITDA margins stood at 7.5%, up 210bp YoY and 10bp QoQ.

Delhivery’s express segment recorded a strong 43% YoY volume growth in 3QFY26, driven by festive demand and GST-led consumption; notably, average shipment weight declined ~26% YoY, reflecting a sharp surge in small parcels.

Scaling the Network, Delivering the Profits

Scaling the Automated Frontier in Indian Logistics During our visit to Delhivery's Lonad Bhiwandi facility, we observed firsthand the immense operational scale that supports the company's nationwide network of over 18,700 pincodes. As a centerpiece of Maharashtra's logistics infrastructure, this 7 lac sq. ft. mega gateway functions as a high-velocity freight sorting and transit hub, strategically positioned to capitalize on India's booming e-commerce and organized logistics sectors. The facility is a marvel of industrial engineering, featuring 196 docking stations designed to facilitate the rapid turnaround of approximately 1,600 vehicles per day while handling a staggering 8,000 tonnes of freight. What truly sets this hub apart is its sophisticated automation suite, headlined by 1.8 km of integrated double deck cross belt sorters and an expansive 5 km network of material conveyance systems. These proprietary systems allow the plant to achieve industry leading throughput, processing upwards of 32,000 shipments and 17,000 freight units every...

We reiterate BUY on Delhivery with TP of Rs500. We expect 19% volume CAGR (16% organically) over FY25-28E in the B2C express segment on the back of favorable industry structure bolstered by the consolidation of Ecom Express fortifying Delhivery’s market leadership, as customers (majorly D2C) are likely to stream toward tech-supported pan-India pincode coverage and cost-efficient quality 3PL operators.

In the Express logistics segment, management expects industry consolidation to continue, with cash-burning players likely to exit or rationalize operations, leading to volume redistribution toward stronger, well-capitalized operators.

Delhivery posted revenue growth of 18% YoY to INR28b in 3QFY26 (in line). Reported EBITDA doubled YoY to ~INR2.1b (est. INR1.6b). EBITDA margins stood at 7.4% (+310bp YoY and +470bp QoQ) against our estimate of 5.8%.

India’s e-commerce logistics landscape is divided between captive in-house platforms and independent 3PL players, with materially different economic outcomes.

*over or under performance to benchmark index Delhivery Limited is India's largest fully integrated logistics provider. With a robust network spanning 18,700+ pin codes, 45 automated sort centres, and 73,000+ team...

Delhivery’s Q2FY26 results (excluding Ecom) were in line with our revenue/EBITDA estimates. With network investments in core transportation businesses (for the festive season) behind us, seasonality would aid peak profitability in H2FY26, coupled with the lower-than-anticipated integration cost (~Rs2bn vs Rs3bn earlier) boosting PAT in FY26, in our view.

Express parcel volumes grew 33% YoY, with 24% YoY revenue growth. Express parcel’s yield declined 3% QoQ due to inferior mix. PTL tonnage grew 12% YoY despite a 3% YoY price increase, which shows Delhivery’s pricing power.

Delhivery posted a 17% YoY rise in revenue to INR25.6b in 2QFY26 (in line). During the quarter, the company recognized INR900m of costs related to ecom express integration. The acquisition was formally completed in Jul’25.

According to the RBI, total electronic payments surged to INR11.3t on 22nd Sep’25, nearly ten times higher than the INR1.18t recorded the previous day.

Service EBITDA margin of PTL business zooms to 10.7% (3.2% in 1QFY25). We increase our FY26E/FY27E EBITDA estimates by 3.7%/2.0% amid strong performance in 1QFY26 but downgrade DELHIVER IN to ACCUMULATE (earlier BUY) with a TP of Rs466 given 34% appreciation in stock price since our last update report. While DELHIVER IN's top-line was a miss by 6.8% due to weak performance from SCS and cross border businesses, B2C shipment volume growth was back in double-digits after 5 quarters. Operating performance was...

In Q1FY26, Delhivery beat estimates in terms of growth and profitability. Express parcel volume grew 13.7% YoY, improving from FY25’s 2–3% volume growth trend.

Delhivery reported a 6% YoY increase in revenue to INR22.9b in 1QFY26. EBITDA surged 53% YoY to INR1.5b, resulting in an improved EBITDA margin of 6.5%.

Delhivery is India’s leading 3PL logistics player, catering to a wide network of ~19,000 pincodes. Its service offerings include express parcels, part truck load (PTL), supply chain services, and others.