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The Baseline
30 Apr 2025, 05:28PM
Upcoming results tracker: Stocks outperforming their industries in Q3 results, with strong Forecaster estimates for Q4
By Abdullah Shah

As the Q4FY25 result season is underway, we look at stocks that posted strong results in Q3FY25, where Trendlyne’s Forecaster expects continued growth in Q4FY25. This screener shows stocks outperforming their industries in YoY revenue and net profit growth in Q3FY25, with strong Forecaster estimates for YoY revenue and earnings per share (EPS) growth in Q4FY25

The screener is dominated by stocks from the heavy electrical equipment, realty, healthcare facilities, pharmaceuticals, and software & services industries. Major stocks in the screener are Signaturglobal (India), Suzlon Energy, Inox Wind, Sobha, Amber Enterprises, Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), and PB Fintech.

Signatureglobal (India)’s YoY revenue surged the most, by 193.7% in Q3FY25, while its net profit rose by 1,266.3%.  Strong sales in projects like Titanium SPR, the township projects of Daxin, the City of Colours, and the Twin Towers helped with revenue growth. Trendylne’s Forecaster expects this realty company’s YoY revenue and earnings per share (EPS) to increase by 97.7% and 51.8%, respectively, in Q4FY25. Analysts at Axis Direct believe that the firm will sustain its strong growth momentum on the back of its strategy to capitalise on Gurugram’s urbanisation, new micro-markets in Delhi and a project pipeline of 26.1 million square feet with a gross development value (GDV) of Rs 35,000 crore.

Inox Wind also shows up in the screener after a YoY revenue and net profit growth of 81% and 18.8% in Q3FY25, driven by an 89% rise in order execution to 189 mega watt (MW). Forecaster expects this heavy electrical equipment company’s YoY revenue and EPS to improve by 158.3% and 616.9% during Q4FY25. Analysts at Systematix Institutional Equities expect the firm to show strong performance, led by improving deliveries of 3MW wind turbine generator (WTG) sets, and better execution. They believe that a pickup in engineering, procurement & construction (EPC) contracts and ramp-up of manufacturing operations will boost execution.

Amber Enterprises' YoY revenue and net profit grew by 64.8% and 52.2%, respectively, in Q3FY25, helped by strong performance in the consumer durables, electronics, room air conditioner (RAC), and non-RAC segments. Forecaster expects this consumer electronics company’s YoY revenue and EPS to rise by 22% and 47.1%, respectively, in Q4FY25. Analysts at Sharekhan believe that the company is well-positioned to capture the increasing demand from the components (including mobility, electronics, and non-RAC components) ecosystem. Management expects growth in components, new customer additions, and exports in the next 3-4 years.

Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX)’s YoY revenue rose 57.4% in Q3FY25, driven by a 32% and 116% YoY increase in futures and options volumes. The capital markets company posted a net profit of Rs 160 crore in Q3FY25 compared to a net loss of Rs 5.4 crore in Q3FY24, owing to an 86.3% decline in IT and related expenses. Forecaster expects its YoY revenue and EPS to grow by 62% and 88.5%, respectively. Motilal Oswal expects the firm’s top line to grow, driven by new product launches in the futures and options segments, continued volatility in commodity prices, and sustained growth in retail participation in the options market.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
30 Apr 2025, 03:56PM
Market closes flat, Vedanta's net profit grows 154.4% YoY to Rs 3,483 crore in Q4
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 24,334.20 (-1.8, 0.0%), BSE Sensex closed at 80,242.24 (-46.1, -0.1%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 22,030.05 (-82.4, -0.4%). Market breadth is moving down. Of the 2,421 stocks traded today, 494 were on the uptrend, and 1,891 went down.

Indian indices closed flat after switching between losses and gains throughout the day. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, rose 4.9% and closed at 18.2 points. Schaeffler India closed 5.4% higher as its net profit grew 14.5% YoY to Rs 251.6 crore in Q4FY25, owing to lower inventory costs.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed lower. Nifty PSU Bank and S&P BSE SME IPO Indices were among the top index losers today. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, Diversified emerged as the worst-performing sector of the day, with a fall of 3.8%.

Asian indices closed in the green, except for India’s Nifty 50 and Korea’s KOSPI, which closed flat and lower, respectively. European indices are trading mixed. US index futures are trading lower or flat, indicating a negative start to the trading session. Investors focus on key earnings from Microsoft and Meta Platforms. Brent crude futures are trading lower after falling 2.3% on Tuesday.

  • Money flow index (MFI) indicates that stocks like Max Financial Services, Poly Medicure, Data Patterns India, and Atul are in the overbought zone.

  • Vedanta's net profit grows 154.4% YoY to Rs 3,483 crore in Q4FY25 owing to lower power & fuel and other expenses. Revenue rises 13.9% YoY to Rs 40,455 crore, led by improvements in the zinc, lead, & silver, aluminium, and copper segments. It appears in a screener of stocks with increasing revenue every quarter for the past three quarters.

  • Gland Pharma receives US FDA approval for its abbreviated new drug application (ANDA) for Latanoprostene Bunod Ophthalmic Solution. The drug is used to treat glaucoma or ocular hypertension. According to IQVIA, the drug has a market size of $171 million as of February 2025.

  • Balmer Lawrie’s board of directors schedules a meeting on May 21 to consider a proposal for a bonus issue, stock split, and buyback of equity shares.

  • Adani Green plans a Rs 31,000 crore capital expenditure for FY26. CEO Ashish Khanna highlights the company’s recent capacity additions are the largest by any renewable energy firm in India, more than double that of any other developer. He adds that over 4 GW of renewable power has been operationalized in Khavda, with the company on track to achieve 30 GW capacity in the region by 2029.

  • Jana Small Finance Bank is falling sharply as its Q4FY25 net profit declines 61.6% YoY to Rs 123.5 crore due to higher interest and employee benefits expenses. However, revenue grows 11% YoY to Rs 1,433.2 crore, attributed to improvements in the corporate and retail banking segments. The bank's asset quality worsens as its gross and net NPAs rise 60 bps and 38 bps YoY, respectively.

  • Coforge to sell its entire stake in Coforge Advantage Go to Sapiens UK for £43 million (approximately Rs 487.6 crore) as part of a business restructuring plan. The deal is expected to close within 4 to 6 weeks.

  • Varun Beverages' net profit misses Forecaster estimates by 1.7% despite growing 35.2% YoY to Rs 726.5 crore. Revenue increases 29.1% YoY to Rs 5,680 crore, led by improvements in the carbonated soft drink (CSD) and non-carbonated beverages (NCB) segments. It shows up in a screener of stocks where mutual funds increased their shareholding over the past quarter.

  • Zydus Lifesciences secures final approval from the US FDA for its Niacin Extended-Release tablets, used to lower elevated total cholesterol. According to IQVIA, the tablets recorded annual US sales of $5.5 million as of February 2025.

  • Sandur Manganese & Iron Ore rises sharply as it receives approval from the Karnataka State Pollution Control Board (KSPCB) to expand its iron ore production to 4.4 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) from 3.8 MTPA.

  • Schaeffler India rises sharply as its Q4FY25 net profit grows 14.5% YoY to Rs 251.6 crore, owing to lower inventory costs. Revenue increases 15.9% YoY to Rs 2,208 crore, led by improvements in the automotive technologies, vehicle lifetime solutions, and bearings & industrial solutions segments. It features in a screener of stocks with high gains and high volume.

  • Alembic Pharmaceuticals is rising as it receives an establishment inspection report (EIR) from the US FDA following an inspection at its oncology formulation facility in Panelav.

  • Dixon Technologies plans to invest Rs 750–800 crore over 2 years in a JV with China’s HKC Corp. to manufacture display modules for smartphones, laptops, and tablets. Dixon holds a 74% stake and HKC 26%. The JV has applied for approval under the Electronics Components Manufacturing Scheme (ECMS). The JV plans to invest Rs 250 crore initially, with production starting 8–10 months post-approval (likely Q3FY26), beginning with 2 million mobile displays/month and later scaling to 4 million.

  • Ceat rises sharply as its Q4FY25 revenue grows 3.7% YoY to Rs 3,420.6 crore, beating Forecaster estimates by 2.6%. However, its net profit falls 8.4% YoY to Rs 99.5 crore due to higher raw material, employee benefits and finance costs. It appears in a screener of stocks with zero promoter pledges.

  • Bajaj Finance's net profit grows 17.1% YoY to Rs 4,479.6 crore in Q4FY25. Revenue increases 23.6% YoY to Rs 18,456.9 crore, driven by a 26% YoY growth in assets under management (AUM). The company's board approves a 4:1 bonus share issue and also clears a 1-for-1 stock split.

  • CIE Automotive India is falling as its net profit declines 10.5% YoY to Rs 206.4 crore in Q4FY25. Revenue decreases 6.4% YoY to Rs 2,272.6 crore due to lower contributions from the Indian and European markets during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks with expensive valuations according to Trendlyne's valuation score.

  • Premier Explosives falls by over 12% due to an accidental fire and explosion at its factory in Bhuvanagiri district, Telangana, on April 29. Three workers lost their lives, while six others were injured. The cause of the blast is under investigation, with authorities examining potential negligence or safety violations.

  • Samhi Hotels is falling as Blue Chandra Pte exits by selling its entire 3.9% stake at an average price of Rs 174.3 per share for Rs 152.01 crore via a block deal.

  • V-Mart Retail’s board of directors schedules a meeting on May 2 to consider a proposal for a bonus issue of shares.

  • IndusInd Bank is falling as its Managing Director (MD) and Chief Executive Officer (CEO), Sumant Kathpalia, tenders his resignation, effective April 29.

  • Trent's Q4FY25 net profit declines 36% YoY to Rs 318.2 crore due to higher inventory & depreciation expenses. However, its revenue increases 27.2% YoY driven by strong performance in its fashion brand 'Zudio'. The company's Chairman, Noel Tata, believes full-year performance reflects revenues, profitability, and expansion better than any quarter due to business seasonality, real estate trends, and inventory strategy.

  • SBI’s board of directors schedules a meeting on May 3 to consider the capital-raising plan for FY26 by issuing equity shares through a follow-on public offer (FPO), rights issue, or a qualified institutional placement (QIP).

  • IndiaMART InterMESH is rising as its Q4FY25 net profit surges 81.3% YoY to Rs 180.6 crore, helped by lower finance and depreciation & amortisation expenses. Revenue grows 18.4% YoY to Rs 463.9 crore, led by improvements in the web & related services and accounting software services segments. It features in a screener of stocks with increasing revenue for the past eight quarters.

  • Praj Industries falls sharply as its net profit declines 56.7% YoY to Rs 39.8 crore in Q4FY25 due to higher employee benefit expenses, finance costs, and depreciation. Revenue decreases 15.6% YoY to Rs 859.7 crore segments during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks underperforming their industry price change in the quarter.

  • Bharat Petroleum Corp's Q4FY25 net profit declines 8.3% YoY to Rs 4,391.8 crore due to higher raw materials, excise duty, and depreciation & amortisation expenses. Revenue decreases 4.3% YoY to Rs 1.1 lakh crore during the quarter. It shows up in a screener of stocks with low Piotroski scores.

  • Nifty 50 was trading at 24,287.30 (-48.7, -0.2%), BSE Sensex was trading at 80,370.80 (82.4, 0.1%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 22,029 (-83.4, -0.4%).

  • Market breadth is moving down. Of the 1,881 stocks traded today, 349 were on the uptick, and 1,479 were down.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Bharti Hexacom Ltd. (1,689.10, 5.7%), Schaeffler India Ltd. (3,460, 5.4%) and Indraprastha Gas Ltd. (192.59, 4.1%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Bajaj Finserv Ltd. (1,951.60, -5.6%), Bajaj Finance Ltd. (8,634.50, -5.0%) and Gujarat Gas Ltd. (445.85, -4.8%).

Crowd Puller Stocks

22 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Sonata Software Ltd. (421.55, 12.1%), Ceat Ltd. (3,332, 8.9%) and R R Kabel Ltd. (1,038.50, 5.7%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Praj Industries Ltd. (461.30, -9.3%), Shoppers Stop Ltd. (510, -7.0%) and Westlife Foodworld Ltd. (670.70, -6.7%).

Schaeffler India Ltd. (3,460, 5.4%) was trading at 27.4 times of weekly average. Star Health and Allied Insurance Company Ltd. (389.80, -2.1%) and IndiaMART InterMESH Ltd. (2,308.10, -1.0%) were trading with volumes 9.2 and 7.6 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

4 stocks took off, crossing 52 week highs, while 1 stock were underachiever and hit their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals Ltd. (692.65, 0.2%), Max Financial Services Ltd. (1,300, -0.5%) and Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Ltd. (3,057.60, 1.0%).

Stock making new 52 weeks lows included - Sheela Foam Ltd. (644.30, -2.0%).

9 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. (12,257, 3.5%) and Nippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. (638.70, 2.6%). 19 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Five-Star Business Finance Ltd. (705.95, -6.4%) and PTC Industries Ltd. (12,794, -5.9%).

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The Baseline
29 Apr 2025, 04:57PM
Five stocks to buy from analysts this week - April 29, 2025
By Divyansh Pokharna

1. ICICI Bank:

KR Choksey maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on this bank with a target price of Rs 1,662. This indicates an upside of 16.2%. In Q4FY25, the bank’s net interest income (NII) grew by 11% YoY to Rs 21,192.9 crore. Advances increased by 13.3%, supported by strong growth in the corporate loan, credit card, and mortgage segments. However, the bank’s current account savings account (CASA) ratio stood at 38.4% for the quarter, slightly lower than 38.9% in Q4FY24.

The company's management believes that deposit growth will stay strong, helped by improved liquidity in the system. ICICI Bank recently cut its savings account interest rates by 25 bps. Balances up to Rs 50 lakh will now earn 2.75% interest, while higher balances will earn 3.25%. The management expects this will make it easier to pass on lower interest rates and reduce the bank’s cost of raising funds.

Analyst Ishank Gupta said, “Despite industry-wide credit pressures, the bank kept its asset quality strong, with GNPA at 1.7% and NNPA at 0.4%, helped by careful lending and strong provisions.” He also noted that the bank’s diversified loan portfolio and focus on high-yield segments, like corporate loans and credit cards, provide a foundation for continued profitability.

2. Home First Finance:

Motilal Oswal reiterates its ‘Buy’ rating on this housing finance company with a target price of Rs 1,500, indicating an upside of 17.7%. The company raised Rs 1,250 crore through a qualified institutional placement (QIP) in April 2025. Analysts Abhijit Tibrewal, Nitin Aggarwal and Raghav Khemani note that this capital will help Home First expand its business over the next 3–4 years, and strengthen its leadership in the affordable housing finance (AHF) segment.

Home First Finance has expanded its geographic reach to reduce concentration risk and target emerging markets. It has seen some success, as the share of the top five states in total assets under management (AUM) fell from 78% in FY22 to 69% as of December 2024. The company plans to open 30–40 new branches in FY26, focusing on states like Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, and Rajasthan. This expansion aims to capitalise on the growing housing demand in tier 2 and tier 3 cities.

The company has surpassed Rs 10,000 crore in AUM and is likely to seek a credit rating upgrade after the recent capital raise. A higher credit rating would help reduce its borrowing costs. Tibrewal, Aggarwal, and Khemani project a CAGR of 26% for AUM and 31% for net profit over FY25-27.

3. Atul:

Emkay initiates a ‘Buy’ rating on this specialty chemicals company with a target price of Rs 8,500. This indicates a potential upside of 25.7%. Atul has invested around Rs 2,000 crore over FY22–24 to expand capacity in existing products, including liquid epoxy resin (LER) and caustic soda. It commissioned a new 50 kilo tonnes per annum (ktpa) LER plant, increasing total LER capacity to 80 ktpa, and also set up a 300 tonnes per day (tpd) caustic soda plant. 

Additionally, the company has invested in backward integration into key products like mono chloro acetic acid (MCA) to support margin improvement. Analysts Meet Vora and Meet Gada note that 20–40% of existing capacity across various products is still underutilised. They highlight that the new capacities, along with the ramp-up of some underutilised ones, could generate around Rs 25,000–30,000 crore in revenue over the next 2–3 years, driven purely by volume growth.

Atul’s share price has declined by 11.5% over the past six months. Vora and Gada expect Atul to generate around Rs 2,000 crore in operating cash flow over the next three years. A significant portion of this is likely to be reinvested in growth-related capex, although some of the plans are still being finalised. They project a revenue and net profit CAGR of 15% and 37%, respectively, over FY25–27.

4. Ujjivan Small Finance:

Axis Direct initiates a ‘Buy’ rating on this microfinance bank with a target price of Rs 49. This indicates a potential upside of 11.6%. Analysts Dnyanada Vaidya and Pranav Nawale highlight that the bank’s collection efficiency (CE) and credit costs have improved QoQ across all states.

Analysts believe that microfinance loan (MFI) stress is gradually decreasing due to the rise in secured lending products across its key states, including Punjab, Haryana, Bihar, Rajasthan, Jharkhand, and West Bengal. They expect MFI stress to ease by H1FY26, driven by improvements in asset quality.

The bank’s management is aiming to shift the majority of its portfolio mix towards secured micro mortgage products, such as gold loans and vehicle finance, to balance the portfolio mix and reduce risk. In FY25, the non-MFI portfolio rose by 50% YoY. 

Vaidya and Nawale expect net interest margins (NIMs) to remain between 8.5-8.8% and return on assets (ROA) to range from 1.9-2.1% by FY27. This outlook is supported by a focus on low-cost CASA deposits and benefits from the ongoing rate-cut cycle.

5. Tata Consultancy Services:

Geojit BNP Paribas retains its ‘Buy’ rating on this IT software company with a target price of Rs 3,671, indicating an upside potential of 5.7%. The company’s Q4FY25 revenue rose 5.3% YoY to Rs 64,479 crore, driven by strong traction in emerging markets and deal wins.

In Q4FY25, TCS’ India revenue grew by 33.1% YoY, driven by increased state government investments in digital platforms for education automation and employability. However, EBITDA declined by 1.1% to Rs. 16,980 crore due to higher employee benefit expenses and increased software license costs. The company’s stock price has dropped by 14% over the past quarter.

Analyst Vincent notes that the tariff war indirectly impacts IT companies due to supply chain disruptions in sectors such as auto, manufacturing, and retail, and businesses tightening their belts. He believes TCS will address these tariff-related challenges by leveraging AI for IT cost savings and focusing on industry-specific AI and data solutions. It has to be noted however, that ‘AI’ is doing a lot of work for TCS in managing expectations here.

Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.

(You can find all analyst picks here)

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
29 Apr 2025, 03:53PM
Market closes flat, TVS Motor's revenue beats Forecaster estimates by 2% in Q4FY25
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 24,335.95 (7.5, 0.0%), BSE Sensex closed at 80,288.38 (70.0, 0.1%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 22,112.40 (10.6, 0.1%). Market breadth is in the red. Of the 2,414 stocks traded today, 1,077 showed gains, and 1,289 showed losses.

Indian indices closed higher after paring gains in the morning session. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, rose 2.5% and closed at 17.4 points. UCO Bank closed 4% higher as its Q4FY25 net profit grew 24.1% YoY to Rs 652.4 crore. Revenue increased 16.5% YoY to Rs 8,136.8 crore owing to improvements in the corporate and retail banking segments.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green, following the benchmark index. Nifty IT and BSE Capital Goods were the best-performing indices of the day. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, General Industrials emerged as the best-performing sector of the day, with a rise of 1.8%.

European indices are trading mixed. Major Asian indices closed in the green, except China’s FTSE China 50, which closed flat and Malaysia’s KLCI index, which closed 0.4% lower. US index futures are trading higher, indicating a positive start to the session after President Donald Trump is reportedly planning to ease tariffs on automakers.

  • Relative strength index (RSI) indicates that stocks like Max Financial Services, MRF, SBI Life Insurance and AU Small Finance Bank are in the overbought zone.

  • TVS Motor's revenue rises 17.5% YoY to Rs 9,564.9 crore in Q4FY25, driven by improvements in the automobiles, vehicles & parts and financial services segments. Net profit surges 75.5% YoY to Rs 852.1 crore during the quarter. It features in a screener of stocks where mutual funds increased their shareholding in the past quarter.

  • PCBL Chemicals is falling as its Q4FY25 net profit declines 10% YoY to Rs 100.2 crore due to higher raw materials, inventory and employee benefits expenses. However, revenue grows 8% YoY to Rs 2,107.3 crore, helped by improvements in the carbon black, power and chemical segments. It shows up in a screener of stocks with declining return on equity (RoE) over the past two years.

  • NBCC (India) receives an order worth Rs 130.6 crore from North Eastern Electric Power Corp. (NEEPCO) to develop a township on 21.7 acres of land in Shillong, Meghalaya.

  • The Bajaj Group reportedly approaches the Competition Commission of India (CCI) for approval to acquire Allianz SE’s 26% stake in their joint life and general insurance ventures. With this acquisition, the group’s shareholding in Bajaj Allianz General Insurance Co and Bajaj Allianz Life Insurance Co will increase to 100% from the current 74%.

  • Whirlpool of India surges as PE firms, including Advent International, Bain Capital, KKR, EQT, TPG, and Carlyle, reportedly explore a stake in the company. Promoter Whirlpool Corp plans to sell a 31% stake in the Indian unit, aiming to raise around Rs 5,000 crore.

  • Go Digit General Insurance's Q4FY25 net profit surges 119.5% YoY to Rs 115.6 crore, helped by lower employee benefits and business development & sales promotion expenses. Revenue grows 6% YoY to Rs 2,855.2 crore, led by improvements in assets under management (AUM) and gross written premium (GWP). It appears in a screener of stocks where foreign institutional investors (FIIs) increased their shareholding.

  • AWL Agri Business is falling as its Q4FY25 net profit misses Forecaster estimates by 13.5% despite growing 21.4% YoY to Rs 190.3 crore. Revenue increases 37.7% YoY to Rs 18,229.6 crore, helped by higher sales from the edible oil and industry essentials segments during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks where mutual funds increased their shareholding in the past month.

  • Samhi Hotels rises over 3% as reports suggest that 87.2 lakh shares, amounting to Rs 152 crore, change hands in a block deal.
  • CLSA maintains its 'Outperform' rating on Prestige Estates Projects with a target price of Rs 2,380. The brokerage highlights the company has secured the much-anticipated RERA approval for its flagship project in Indirapuram, NCR. This development marks Prestige Estates’ entry into the NCR market, second only to Gurugram in the region, with an estimated sales potential exceeding Rs 10,000 crore.

  • Aurobindo Pharma falls as it reports a fire on April 27 at its penicillin-G unit in Kakinada, Andhra Pradesh. The company temporarily halts operations for 20–25 days to replace equipment.

  • Castrol India is falling as its Q4FY25 net profit declines 14% YoY to Rs 233.5 crore due to higher raw materials expenses. However, revenue grows 5.6% YoY to Rs 1,454.2 crore owing to new launches and expansion of its distribution network. It shows up in a screener of stocks with increasing trend in non-core income.

  • Online services provider Urban Company files a draft red herring prospectus (DRHP) with the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) for a Rs 1,900 crore IPO. The IPO comprises a Rs 429 crore fresh issue of shares and a Rs 1,471 crore offer for sale (OFS).

  • Firstsource Solutions is falling as its Q4FY25 net profit misses Forecaster estimates by 7.6% despite growing 20.4% YoY to Rs 160.7 crore. Revenue increases 29.4% YoY to Rs 2,161.5 crore, helped by higher sales from the healthcare, and banking & financial services segments during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks with increasing revenue every quarter for the past four quarters.

  • RPG Life Sciences rises sharply as its Q4FY25 net profit surges 8.9x YoY to Rs 117.4 crore, helped by exceptional gains of Rs 109.9 crore. Revenue grows 15.2% YoY to Rs 148.2 crore during the quarter. It appears in a screener of stocks with improving return on equity (RoE) over the past two years.

  • PNB Housing Finance rises sharply as its net profit grows 25.3% YoY to Rs 550.4 crore in Q4FY25, driven by better management of financial losses and write-offs. Revenue increases 11.7% YoY to Rs 2,021.9 crore during the quarter. It features in a screener of stocks with increasing profits every quarter for the past three quarters.

  • Standard Chartered analysts downgrade equities as an asset class to 'Neutral' across all major regions, including India. They cite policy uncertainty around US tariffs and heightened market volatility, which weakens the risk-reward outlook. They believe India is relatively insulated from tariff concerns but faces headwinds from negative earnings revisions. Meanwhile, they project the Nifty50 index to reach 26,000 within 12 months, representing a roughly 7% upside from current levels.

  • KFIN Technologies is rising as its net profit grows 14.2% YoY to Rs 85.1 crore in Q4FY25. Revenue increases 23.8% YoY to Rs 282.7 crore, driven by higher sales from the domestic mutual fund, issuer, and international investor solutions segments during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks outperforming their industry price change in the quarter.

  • Hexaware Technologies is rising as its Q4FY25 net profit grows 2.6% QoQ to Rs 327.2 crore, helped by lower depreciation and amortisation expenses and tax returns of Rs 14.1 crore. Revenue increases 1.1% QoQ to Rs 3,212.3 crore, led by improvements in the travel & transportation (T&T), financial services (FS), health & insurance (H&I), and manufacturing & consumer (M&C) segments. It appears in a screener of stocks with zero promoter pledges.

  • UCO Bank is rising sharply as its Q4FY25 net profit grows 24.1% YoY to Rs 652.4 crore. Revenue increases 16.5% YoY to Rs 8,136.8 crore owing to improvements in the corporate and retail banking segments. The bank's asset quality improves as its gross and net NPAs decline by 77 bps YoY and 39 bps YoY, respectively.

  • Manoj Kumar Dubey, CMD of IRFC, expects the company’s net interest margin (NIM) to move toward 2% in the future, with disbursements projected to reach Rs 30,000 crore in FY26. He notes the company’s Q4 performance was muted, primarily due to limited disbursals over the past two years. Dubey highlights that IRFC is now diversifying its loan book beyond railways, a move expected to support margin improvement. He anticipates margins from new bids will be 2–3 times higher than those from railway-related lending.

  • Tata Technologies is falling as 1.6 crore shares (3.9% stake) worth approximately Rs 1,094 crore reportedly change hands in a block deal at an average price of Rs 683 per share. Private equity firm TPG Rise Climate is likely the seller in the transaction.

  • Oberoi Realty is falling as its net profit drops 45% YoY to Rs 433.2 crore in Q4FY25 due to higher land, construction, and development costs. Revenue decreases 12.5% YoY to Rs 1,150.1 crore, driven by lower contributions from the real estate segment during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks underperforming their industry price change in the quarter.

  • Central Bank of India rises sharply as its Q4FY25 net profit grows 28% YoY to Rs 1,033.6 crore, helped by a 77.2% YoY decline in tax expenses. Revenue grows 7.6% YoY to Rs 10,476.1 crore, led by improvements in the treasury operations and retail banking segments. The bank's asset quality improves as its gross and net NPAs decline by 132 bps YoY and 68 bps YoY, respectively.

  • Adani Green Energy is rising as its net profit surges 53.3% YoY to Rs 230 crore in Q4FY25, helped by a decline in the cost of equipments and goods sold. Revenue increases 21.6% YoY to Rs 3,073 crore, driven by higher sales from the power supply segment during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks where mutual funds increased their shareholding over the past two months.

  • Nifty 50 was trading at 24,439.25 (110.8, 0.5%), BSE Sensex was trading at 80,396.92 (178.6, 0.2%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 22,237.90 (136.1, 0.6%).

  • Market breadth is ticking up strongly. Of the 1,901 stocks traded today, 1,630 were on the uptrend, and 242 went down.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Ltd. (3,027.90, 8.7%), Sona BLW Precision Forgings Ltd. (491.85, 6.2%) and Tube Investments of India Ltd. (2,797.50, 5.9%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include AWL Agri Business Ltd. (267.90, -4.1%), TVS Motor Company Ltd. (2,702.60, -3.2%) and Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. (1,209.60, -3.0%).

Movers and Shakers

20 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Data Patterns (India) Ltd. (2,556.90, 14.3%), Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Ltd. (1,957.80, 11.9%) and TBO Tek Ltd. (1,130, 11.5%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Go Digit General Insurance Ltd. (290.70, -6.0%), Tata Technologies Ltd. (663.70, -5.9%) and Archean Chemical Industries Ltd. (635.40, -4.2%).

PNB Housing Finance Ltd. (1,030.40, 4.5%) was trading at 13.1 times of weekly average. India Cements Ltd. (315.15, 8.5%) and Cochin Shipyard Ltd. (1,652.40, 10.0%) were trading with volumes 10.7 and 6.3 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

5 stocks took off, crossing 52 week highs,

Stocks touching their year highs included - Coromandel International Ltd. (2,240.30, 0.1%), ICICI Bank Ltd. (1,429.80, 0.1%) and Solar Industries India Ltd. (13,452, 2.5%).

18 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Data Patterns (India) Ltd. (2,556.90, 14.3%) and Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Ltd. (1,957.80, 11.9%). 10 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Archean Chemical Industries Ltd. (635.40, -4.2%) and Rainbow Childrens Medicare Ltd. (1,357.30, -1.9%).

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
28 Apr 2025
Market closes higher, KPIT Tech's net profit grows 30.9% QoQ to Rs 244.7 crore in Q4
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 24,328.50 (289.2, 1.2%), BSE Sensex closed at 80,218.37 (1,005.8, 1.3%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 22,101.85 (253.7, 1.2%). Market breadth is even. Of the 2,443 stocks traded today, 1,194 were on the uptrend, and 1,202 went down.

Indian indices closed in the green. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, fell 1.3% and closed at 16.9 points. Reliance Industries closed 5.3% higher as its Q4FY25 net profit grew 19.3% YoY to Rs 22,611 crore and beat Forecaster estimates 23.6% due to lower inventory and excise duty expenses.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green. Nifty Auto and Nifty PSU Bank closed higher. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, Oil & Gas emerged as the best-performing sector of the day, with a rise of 4.1%.

European indices are trading mixed. Major Asian indices closed mixed. US index futures are trading lower, indicating a negative start to the session. Brown & Brown, NXP Semiconductors, Nucor Corporation, and Cincinnati Financial are set to report their earnings later today. Meanwhile, NVIDIA falls on reports that China’s Huawei Technologies is set to test a new AI chip, Ascend 910D, to replace some of its higher-end products.

  • Money flow index (MFI) indicates that stocks like Max Financial Services, SBI Life Insurance, MRF, and AU Small Finance Bank are in the overbought zone.

  • KPIT Technologies is rising as its Q4FY25 net profit grows 30.9% QoQ to Rs 244.7 crore, helped by lower finance costs. Revenue increases 5.1% QoQ to Rs 1,574.5 crore, driven by improvements in the Americas and the rest of the world markets. It appears in a screener of stocks with increasing revenue for the past eight quarters.

  • Indian Overseas Bank is rising as its board of directors schedules a meeting for May 2 to consider the capital raising plan for FY26 by issuing equity shares.

  • Zensar Technologies rises sharply as its Q4FY25 net profit grows 10.4% QoQ to Rs 176.4 crore. Revenue rises 2.5% QoQ to Rs 1,358.9 crore, attributed to improvements in the digital & application services and cloud infrastructure & security segments. The company features in a screener of stocks with consistent highest returns over the past five years.

  • IOL Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals declines following a gas leak incident at its factory in Fatehgarh Chhana village, Barnala, Punjab. The incident involved the accidental release of hydrogen sulfide (H?S), a highly toxic gas, caused by the excessive use of hydrochloric acid (HCl) during a procedural operation. The leak resulted in one fatality and injured four individuals.

  • Ramkrishna Forgings falls sharply after discovering inventory discrepancies during its annual physical verification, estimating a 4-5% impact on its net worth. The company has appointed an external agency to investigate the matter.

  • Tata Technologies is rising as its net profit grows 12% QoQ to Rs 188.9 crore in Q4FY25, owing to lower expenses on purchases of technology solutions and employee benefits. Revenue remains flat at Rs 1,342.7 crore during the quarter. It appears in a screener of stocks with no debt.

  • Sonata Software rises sharply as it secures a $73 million (approximately Rs 622.2 crore) digital modernisation contract with a US-based Technology, Media, and Telecom (TMT) company. The company will set up an AI-enabled center in India to support the client’s engineering, cloud services, integration, and security needs.

  • Kotak Securities projects a 32% YoY growth in Bajaj Finance’s assets under management (AUM) and a 23% increase in net interest income (NII) in Q4FY25. The brokerage expects profit after tax (PAT) to grow by 17.6% YoY, driven by robust loan growth across various segments.

  • RBL Bank surges as its net profit beats Forecaster estimates by 186.3% despite falling 80.5% YoY to Rs 68.7 crore in Q4FY25 due to higher provisions. However, revenue increases 4.1% YoY to Rs 3,475.6 crore, driven by improvements in the treasury, wholesale, and retail banking segments during the quarter. The bank's asset quality improves as its gross and net NPAs contract by 5 bps and 45 bps YoY, respectively.

  • Manorama Industries surges to its all-time high of Rs 1,339.9 per share as its Q4FY25 net profit jumps 3.4x YoY to Rs 42.3 crore. Revenue increases 81.7% YoY to Rs 241.9 crore during the quarter. It features in a screener of stocks with consistently high returns over five years.

  • Tejas Networks plunges as it posts a net loss of Rs 71.8 crore in Q4FY25, compared to a net profit of Rs 146.8 crore in Q4FY24 due to higher raw materials, inventory, and finance costs. However, revenue grows 43% YoY to Rs 1,915 crore, helped by improvements in the domestic and international businesses. It shows up in a screener of stocks with low Piotroski scores.

  • Crude oil prices in Asia increase marginally amid ongoing uncertainty surrounding US-China trade talks and the planned supply increase by OPEC+, set to begin on May 5. Trade tensions, driven by US tariffs and China’s retaliatory actions, have raised concerns over global economic growth and fuel demand, adding to market volatility. Brent crude trades around $65-67 per barrel, reflecting these mixed pressures.

  • Lloyds Metals & Energy is falling as its net profit drops 27.1% YoY to Rs 201.9 crore in Q4FY25. Revenue decreases 23.2% YoY to Rs 1,193.3 crore due to lower sales from the mining, power, and pellet trading segments during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks underperforming their industry price change in the quarter.

  • Goldman Sachs buys 59.8 crore shares worth Rs 457.9 crore in Vodafone Idea via a block deal on Friday. Meanwhile, Nokia Solutions and Networks India offload stakes in the company.

  • L&T Finance's net profit rises 14.9% YoY to Rs 636.2 crore in Q4FY25. Revenue grows 9.6% YoY to Rs 4,022.9 crore, helped by higher interest income. It features in a screener of stocks where promoters are decreasing their shareholding.

  • Warren Harris, MD and CEO of Tata Technologies, acknowledges the ongoing uncertainty in the macroeconomic landscape and the fluid nature of the current tariff situation. He emphasizes the company's focus on safeguarding profit margins amid these challenges. While the BMW joint venture is progressing ahead of schedule, he notes that their key client, Jaguar Land Rover, is experiencing some difficulties. Harris believes there will be more clarity regarding tariffs within the next month.

  • HAL rises sharply as India and France are set to finalise a Rs 63,000 crore deal for 26 Rafale-M fighter jets. Reports suggest deliveries will begin three and a half years after the contract is signed.

  • DCB Bank rises sharply as its net profit grows 13.7% YoY to Rs 177.1 crore in Q4FY25. Revenue increases 20.6% YoY to Rs 1,741.9 crore, driven by improvements in the treasury and retail banking segments. The bank's asset quality improves during the quarter as its gross NPAs contract by 24 bps YoY.

  • M&M plans to acquire around 59% stake in SML Isuzu for Rs 555 crore to strengthen its position in the commercial vehicle segment above 3.5 tonnes. The deal is expected to double its share to 6% from the current 3%.

  • Ather Energy raises Rs 1,340 crore from 36 anchor investors ahead of its IPO by allotting around 4.2 crore shares at Rs 321 each. Investors include SBI, Custody Bank of Japan, Aditya Birla Sun Life Insurance, Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, Invesco, Franklin Templeton, ICICI Prudential, Morgan Stanley, and Societe Generale.

  • Zydus Lifesciences receives Form 483 with six observations from the US FDA following an inspection at its active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) facility in Gujarat.

  • Indus Tower’s board of directors schedules a meeting on April 30 to consider a proposal for a bonus issue and buyback of equity shares.

  • IDFC First Bank is falling as its net profit plunges 59.6% YoY to Rs 304.1 crore in Q4FY25, impacted by a sharp rise in provisions and contingencies. However, revenue increases 14.5% YoY to Rs 9,412.9 crore, driven by improvements in the treasury, wholesale, and retail banking segments. The bank's asset quality improves during the quarter as its gross and net NPAs contract by 1 bps and 7 bps YoY, respectively.

  • Reliance Industries' Q4FY25 net profit grows 19.3% YoY to RS 22,611 crore owing to lower inventory and excise duty expenses. Revenue increases 10.5% YoY to Rs 2.7 lakh crore, helped by improvements in the oil to chemicals (O2C), retail and digital services segments. It features in a screener of stocks with improving cash flow over the past two years.

  • Nifty 50 was trading at 24,131.55 (92.2, 0.4%), BSE Sensex was trading at 79,343.63 (131.1, 0.2%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 21,925.30 (77.2, 0.4%).

  • Market breadth is in the red. Of the 1,984 stocks traded today, 874 showed gains, and 1,053 showed losses.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd. (4,426.30, 5.5%), Reliance Industries Ltd. (1,368.80, 5.3%) and Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd. (310, 4.8%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Shriram Finance Ltd. (622, -5.1%), 3M India Ltd. (29,430, -2.0%) and HCL Technologies Ltd. (1,549.30, -1.8%).

Volume Shockers

10 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Ltd. (1,749.60, 8.2%), Mishra Dhatu Nigam Ltd. (313.15, 7.5%) and Bharat Dynamics Ltd. (1,486.50, 5.2%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Tejas Networks Ltd. (747.85, -12.9%), Shriram Finance Ltd. (622, -5.1%) and Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd. (624.75, -4.9%).

Chalet Hotels Ltd. (812.90, -1.5%) was trading at 4.7 times of weekly average. KPIT Technologies Ltd. (1,231.20, 0.8%) and Bajaj Finserv Ltd. (2,049.70, 0.2%) were trading with volumes 3.7 and 3.5 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

3 stocks made 52 week highs, while 1 stock tanked below their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - UltraTech Cement Ltd. (12,114, -1.0%), Krishna Institute of Medical Sciences Ltd. (671.25, -0.5%) and Anupam Rasayan India Ltd. (859.60, 0.4%).

Stock making new 52 weeks lows included - Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd. (624.75, -4.9%).

15 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Ltd. (1,749.60, 8.2%) and Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd. (4,426.30, 5.5%). 18 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Shriram Finance Ltd. (622, -5.1%) and Equitas Small Finance Bank Ltd. (66.97, -4.3%).

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The Baseline
25 Apr 2025
Five Interesting Stocks Today - April 25, 2025
By Trendlyne Analysis

1. Dixon Technologies:

This consumer electronics maker rose over 5.4% on April 22 on reports that Alphabet may shift part of its Pixel smartphone production from Vietnam to India amid potential US tariff hikes. With India bit by lower US tariffs (26% vs. Vietnam’s 46%), it is emerging as a more cost-effective manufacturing hub. Dixon’s subsidiary Padget Electronics currently produces 43,000–45,000 Pixel units a month and is in talks with Foxconn to scale up output.

This move is part of a broader trend among global tech firms to diversify their manufacturing bases amid rising US-China trade tensions. Dixon is well-positioned to benefit from this shift away from China, as India becomes the preferred destination for component manufacturing.

In response to tariffs, China imposed curbs on capital equipment exports used in manufacturing electronic products. Analysts believe these curbs from China will largely impact Apple supplier Foxconn, and Lenovo in India. There are concerns that this move may also hurt Indian players like Dixon, Lava and Micromax. 

During Q3, Dixon Technologies’ revenue surged 117.2% YoY to Rs 10,063.2 crore, driven by improvements in the mobile (which contributes 89% of the revenue), home appliances, and lighting products segments. Net profit grew 77.5%. Systematix projects a 159% YoY revenue growth for Q4, led by a sharp jump in the mobile segment. The growth was driven by a ramp-up in volumes at Ismartu, in which Dixon acquired a majority stake in July 2024.

Earlier in April, the Union Cabinet approved a Rs 23,000 crore production-linked incentive (PLI) scheme for electronics component manufacturing. Analysts expect the company to be a key beneficiary of the PLI scheme. They believe the company will ramp up its backward integration into display assembly, camera module assembly and mechanical components.

Meanwhile, on March 27, the company announced a 50:50 joint venture (JV) with Netherlands-based Signify, which owns lighting brands like Philips and EcoLink. The JV aims to manufacture lighting products and accessories in India. Commenting on this, Saurabh Gupta, the CFO, said, “This JV with Signify can drive our lighting segment revenue to Rs 2,000 crore from Rs 800 crore, within the next couple of years”.

Systematix has a buy rating on Dixon Technologies with a Rs 15,587 target price. The brokerage notes that the company is using its strong manufacturing base to expand into high-growth areas like display modules and IT hardware (laptops, tablets).

2.HCL Technologies:

This IT consulting firm rose 9.8% over the past week after announcing its Q4FY25 results. The company’s revenue grew 1.1% QoQ to Rs 30,695 crore in Q4, in line with Forecaster estimates. However, its net profit fell 6.2% QoQ due to higher employee benefits and tax expenses. 

If we look at the revenue mix, the IT & Business Services segment, accounting for over 74% of the total revenue, witnessed a marginal growth of 0.3% on a QoQ basis. For FY26, HCL Tech has guided for a revenue growth of 2–5%, while aiming to maintain its EBIT margin in the range of 18–19%.

HCL Tech’s outlook for FY26 looks stronger than its peers, TCS and Infosys. Infosys expects a 0–3% revenue growth this year, while TCS said its FY26 will be better than FY25, but only in terms of international revenue. Analysts say that HCL Tech’s lower-end guidance growth assumes that demand may worsen. The higher end of its guidance depends on a few large deals, which the company expects to close in Q1FY26.

HCL Tech reported a total contract value (TCV) of $3 billion in new deals during Q4. This includes a major deal in the engineering and R&D segment from a US-based company, focused on AI chips and smart vehicles. MD & CEO, C. Vijayakumar, said, “AI-driven efficiency will lead to clients choosing fewer vendors. While this could put pressure on pricing, we are gaining a larger share of business — 95% of contract renewals came with additional work for us.”

However, Vijayakumar noted that the impact of tariffs will hit the manufacturing and consumer sectors first, and then spread more widely after about a quarter. Tariffs and de-globalization could increase costs for clients by making hardware, components, and cross-border operations more expensive. As a result, clients may cut IT budgets, delay major projects, or renegotiate existing contracts—shifting toward smaller or short-term contracts. This could impact revenue growth for Indian IT firms.

Motilal Oswal maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on HCL Tech with a Rs 1,800 target price, implying an upside of 14.1%. The brokerage believes HCL Tech’s guidance is encouraging, as it puts to rest concerns of a weak FY26. At the upper end of the guidance, HCL Tech is expected to outperform both TCS and Infosys. The brokerage expects an 18.5% EBIT margin in FY26, with further recovery likely in FY27 as growth improves.

3. HDFC Bank:

This bank surged to its all-time high of Rs 1,950.7 per share on April 21 as its net profit grew 6.7% YoY to Rs 17,616.1 crore in Q4FY25, helped by higher income and lower provisions. However, revenue declined 8.4% YoY to Rs 77,460 crore due to lower contribution from the treasury segment. It features in a screener of stocks with decreasing provisions.

The company’s revenue and net profit beat Trendlyne’s Forecaster estimates by 1.3% and 2.9%, respectively. Its net interest income rose 10.3% YoY to Rs 32,100 crore, helped by a growth in loan advances in the rural and commercial & rural banking (CRB) segments. 

Net interest margin (NIM) expanded by 10 bps YoY to 3.5%, led by the bank’s focus on retail deposits and a rise in current account savings account (CASA) deposits. However, the bank's asset quality deteriorated slightly, as its gross and net non-performing assets (NPAs) rose by nine basis points (bps) and 10 bps YoY, respectively, during the quarter. 

The firm’s loan-to-deposit ratio (LDR) improved by 790 bps YoY to 96.5% in FY25, helped by deposit growth (14.1% YoY) outpacing credit growth (5.4% YoY). The bank’s LDR surged to 110% after the demerger of HDFC with HDFC Bank in July 2023, compared to 86-87% pre-merger. 

The management plans to bring the LDR down to pre-merger levels by focusing on increasing deposits compared to loans. Speaking on the bank’s LDR, its Chief Financial Officer, Srinivasan Vaidyanathan, said, “We do expect LDR to fall below the 90% mark in FY27-29. We plan on getting the right kind of deposits at the right price to keep that leadership position and gain market share and deposits.

Post results, Axis Direct maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on HDFC Bank with a higher target price of Rs 2,250 per share. This indicates a potential upside of 17.1%. The brokerage believes that, with the CD below 100% and the trajectory in line with the bank’s intention to bring it down to pre-merger levels over the medium term, credit growth will improve in FY26 and mirror systemic credit growth.

4.Waaree Energies:

Thissolar panel manufacturer surged 15% on April 23 following the announcement of itsQ4FY25 results. Waaree Energies’ net profit grew 34.1% YoY to Rs 618.9 crore, beatingForecaster estimates by 24.7% and revenue increased 36.4% YoY to Rs 4,003.9 crore, driven by a 52.6% YoY surge in production volume of solar modules during the quarter. 

Waaree Energies is aleading solar manufacturer in India, with a manufacturing capacity of approximately 15 GW, making it the largest in the country. The company has also commissioned a 5.4 GW cell manufacturing facility in Gujarat during FY25, which is also the largest in India.

In Q4FY25, the companyreported a 1.2X YoY increase in EBITDA, reaching Rs 1,059.6 crore. Management attributed this growth to a sharper decline in raw material prices compared to solar panel prices. Amit Pelkar, CEO of the company,said, “We are confident of achieving our EBITDA guidance for 2026, which is between 5,500 and 6,000 crore.”

As of March 25, the companyholds an order book worth approximately Rs 47,000 crore, which includes around 25 GW of solar modules and 3.2 GW of engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) projects. The orders are spread across both domestic and international markets, with about 46% from India and 54% from overseas. A large share of international orders comes from the US.

The company plans to add 4.8 GW of additional module manufacturing capacity by FY27. In addition, a fully integrated 6 GW facility for ingots, wafers, cells, and modules is scheduled for completion by FY27, with a planned capital expenditure of Rs 9,000 crore.

The US hasimposed tariffs of up to 3,521% on solar panel imports from Southeast Asian countries, primarily targeting Chinese companies that manufacture there. This affects more than 75% of the US solar module supply, opening the doors for other suppliers to fill the gap. Waaree Energies plans to take advantage of the situation by doubling its Texas manufacturing capacity to 3.2 GW. 

Jefferies downgraded the stock to ‘Underperform’ even after strong results, pointing to expensive valuations, a shrinking overseas order book, high module inventory in the US, and potential demand slowdown from FY27 amid policy uncertainties.

5. Just Dial:

This internet software & services company rose by 6.7% after it announced its Q4FY25 & full year results on April 21. The company’s Q4FY25 net profit rose by 36.2% YoY to Rs 157.6 crore due to lower finance costs and employee benefit expenses. Revenue for the quarter rose by 10% YoY to Rs 397.9 crore on the back of 11.8% YoY rise in Total Traffic (Unique Visitors). The stock appears in a screener for undervalued growth stocks.

The company beat Trendlyne’s forecaster, Q4FY25 net profit estimate by 17.7%. However, it missed the revenue estimate by 1.2% due to flat growth in paid campaigns. Notably, the company’s employee headcount increased by 2.6% QoQ, mostly on account of hiring in tele-marketing staff and feet-on-street staff (for cold calling).

Abhishek Bansal, CFO of Just Dial, said, “We had aimed for around 25% margins by year-end but ended up exceeding 29%. This year, we're comfortable with our current margin levels, but our focus will be on accelerating top-line growth. Our advertising budget will remain to be around 2.5% to 3% of the top line at this point of time.”

Citing weaker recent revenue growth and collections, JM Financial has projected Just Dial's EBITDA margin estimates to grow by 10-90bps for FY26-27, and expects stable margins amid limited revenue growth and flat advertising spend. Nevertheless, JM Financial forecasts Just Dial's core PAT to roughly double to Rs 260 crore by FY27.

ICICI Securities maintains its ‘Hold’ rating on Just Dial. The brokerage notes that visibility on potential cash distribution to shareholders and future growth in paid campaign conversions will turn out to be positives for the company. The company has beaten the target price of Rs 968 given by the brokerage.

Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movements, analyst calls, or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
25 Apr 2025
Market closes lower, Maruti Suzuki's Q4 net profit misses Forecaster estimates by 4%
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 24,039.35 (-207.4, -0.9%), BSE Sensex closed at 79,212.53 (-588.9, -0.7%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 21,848.15 (-332.5, -1.5%). Market breadth is highly negative. Of the 2,433 stocks traded today, 320 were on the uptrend, and 2,092 went down.

Indian indices closed in the red, weighed down by declining hotel, port infrastructure, and aviation stocks amid rising India-Pakistan tensions. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, rose 5.6% and closed at 17.2 points. LIC Housing Finance announced a 25 bps reduction in its housing prime lending rate (HPLR) to 8%, effective April 28.

Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 closed in the red, following the benchmark index. Nifty High Beta 50 & Nifty Media were among the top index losers today. According to Trendlyne’s Sector dashboard, Hardware Technology & Equipment emerged as the worst-performing sector of the day, with a fall of 4.5%.

Asian indices closed higher, except Indian indices. European indices are trading in the green. US index futures traded higher, indicating a positive start to the trading session. Google’s parent company, Alphabet reported Q1 revenue of $90.2 billion, beating the analyst estimates by 1.2%. Google Services revenue climbed 10% YoY to $32.7 billion, thanks to strong performance across Google Search, Google subscription, platform & devices, and YouTube ads.

  • Relative strength index (RSI) indicates that stocks like Solar Industries, MRF, GMR Airports and L&T Finance are in the overbought zone.

  • Hindustan Zinc's net profit surges 47.4% YoY to Rs 3,003 crore in Q4FY25, helped by inventory destocking. Revenue increases 20.4% YoY to Rs 9,087 crore, driven by higher sales from the zinc, lead and silver segment during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks where mutual funds increased their shareholding over the past two months.

  • Maruti Suzuki India falls as its Q4FY25 net profit falls 1% YoY to Rs 3,911.1 crore due to higher raw materials, employee benefits and other expenses. Revenue rises 6.4% YoY to Rs 40,920.1 crore during the quarter. The company features in a screener of stocks where mutual funds decreased their shareholding over the past quarter.

  • VST Industries falls sharply as its Q4FY25 net profit declines 39.7% YoY to Rs 53 crore. Revenue falls by 8.2% YoY to Rs 463.2 crore during the quarter. It appears in a screener of stocks with zero debt.

  • HP India partners with Dixon Technologies to start local production of laptops, desktops, and all-in-one PCs in May. HP India's Senior VP & MD, Ipsita Dasgupta, expects this to nearly double HP’s manufacturing output in India. HP is among 27 companies approved under the Rs 17,000-crore IT hardware PLI scheme launched in 2023.

  • KR Choksey maintains its 'Hold' call on Jio Financial Services, with a lower target price of Rs 268 per share. This indicates a potential upside of 5.7%. The brokerage remains cautiously optimistic about the company due to near-term pressures from expansion and ongoing investments.

  • Interglobe Aviation falls sharply as tensions rise between India and Pakistan. Pakistan shuts its airspace to Indian carriers, impacting flights from cities like Delhi, Amritsar, and Jaipur, leading to longer routes.

  • L&T Technology Services falls sharply as its Q4FY25 net profit declines 3.5% QoQ to Rs 311.1 crore due to higher employee benefits, finance, and depreciation & amortisation expenses. However, revenue grows 12.8% QoQ to Rs 3,031.7 crore owing to improvements in the mobility, sustainability, and tech segments. It shows up in a screener of stocks with increasing trend in non-core income.

  • Nuvama Institutional Equities expects Reliance Industries to post a Q4 profit of Rs 17,435.6 crore, down 8% YoY from Rs 18,951 crore in the same quarter last year. It projects a 2% YoY increase in consolidated EBITDA, driven by strong performance in the digital and retail businesses.

  • LIC Housing Finance announces a 25 bps reduction in its housing prime lending rate (HPLR), effective April 28. The revised home loan rates will now start from 8%, down from the earlier 8.25%.

  • HBL Engineering secures five orders worth Rs 762.6 crore from Central Railway to implement Kavach systems across 413 stations, covering 3,900 km.

  • Indian Energy Exchange (IEX) is rising as its Q4FY25 net profit grows 21.1% YoY to Rs 117.1 crore. Revenue increases 17% YoY to Rs 174.6 crore, driven by an improvement in traded electricity volume on the back of increased demand. It features in a screener of stocks with negative to positive growth in sales and profit, and strong price momentum.

  • Hotel stocks such as IHCL, Lemon Tree, and ITC Hotels decline following reported cancellations after the terror attack in Pahalgam (Jammu & Kashmir) during the peak season. ICICI Securities expects a temporary drop in tourist arrivals to Kashmir, with domestic travellers likely shifting to alternative destinations in the near term.

  • Aavas Financiers' net profit grows 7.8% YoY to Rs 153.7 crore in Q4FY25. Revenue increases 16.5% YoY to Rs 636.2 crore due to higher interest income and fees & commission income. The company appears in a screener of stocks with an increasing trend in non-core income.

  • MphasiS is rising as its Q4FY25 net profit grows 4.4% QoQ to Rs 446.5 crore. Revenue increases 4% QoQ to Rs 3,770 crore, driven by improvements in the banking & financial services, technology, media & telecom, and insurance segments. It appears in a screener of stocks with increasing revenue for the past four quarters.

  • Paras Defence and Space Technologies' board of directors schedules a meeting on April 30 to consider and approve a proposal for the sub-division / split of equity shares. The board will also announce the company's Q4FY25 and FY25 results during the meeting.

  • Vodafone Idea declines over 5% as 104 crore shares (1.4% equity), amounting to Rs 823 crore, reportedly change hands in a block deal

  • Prestige Estates board approves an offer for sale of up to Rs 1,000 crore in its subsidiary, Prestige Hospitality Ventures (PHVL). The company files a draft red herring prospectus (DRHP) with SEBI for an IPO to raise Rs 2,700 crore.

  • Cyient’s Q4FY25 net profit grows 39.3% QoQ to Rs 170.4 crore, driven by improvement in project execution and cost control. Revenue increases 2.1% QoQ to Rs 1,950 crore due to order wins. The firm appears in a screener of stocks where mutual funds increase stakes in Q4FY25.

  • PB Fintech invests Rs 539.4 crore in its subsidiary, PB Healthcare Services, by subscribing to equity shares. This is the first round of seed funding, with external investors and PB Fintech investing a total of Rs 1,461.6 crore in the subsidiary.

  • Nuvama maintains its 'Buy' rating on SBI Cards with a higher target price of Rs 1,070. The brokerage notes improved asset quality for SBI Cards in Q4FY25 after two years of decline. It highlights the CEO's guidance of 12–14% loan growth and stable NIM. While a rate cut cycle may reduce the cost of funds, the brokerage believes it could also lower EMI product yields.

  • Patel Engineering surges as it secures two contracts worth Rs 2,037 crore for civil construction work for a 240 MW hydroelectric project in Arunachal Pradesh and a 1,209-metre dam in Maharashtra.

  • Macrotech Developers is rising as its net profit grows 38.5% YoY to Rs 921.7 crore in Q4FY25, aided by lower depreciation and amortisation expenses. Revenue increases 5.1% YoY to Rs 4,224.3 crore during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks outperforming their industry price change in the quarter.

  • Axis Bank is falling as its net profit declines marginally by 0.2% YoY to Rs 7,117.5 crore in Q4FY25. Revenue increases 6.9% YoY to Rs 31,242.5 crore, driven by improvements in the wholesale and retail banking segments. The bank's asset quality improves during the quarter as its gross NPAs contract by 15 bps YoY.

  • Tech Mahindra's Q4FY25 net profit grows 18.7% QoQ to Rs 1,166.7 crore, led by lower sub-contracting and impairment of goodwill expenses, and a deferred tax return of Rs 176.9 crore. Revenue increases 1.9% QoQ to Rs 13,556.7 crore, helped by an improvement in the IT segment. It features in a screener of stocks outperforming their industries over the past month.

  • Nifty 50 was trading at 24,344.80 (98.1, 0.4%), BSE Sensex was trading at 79,941.24 (139.8, 0.2%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 22,242.15 (61.5, 0.3%).

  • Market breadth is in the red. Of the 1,932 stocks traded today, 814 were on the uptrend, and 1,058 went down.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include SBI Life Insurance Company Ltd. (1,695.10, 5.4%), MphasiS Ltd. (2,538.60, 2.9%) and Persistent Systems Ltd. (5,273.50, 2.3%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include SBI Cards and Payment Services Ltd. (867.55, -6.4%), ACC Ltd. (1,938, -6.2%) and Shriram Finance Ltd. (655.20, -6.0%).

Volume Shockers

19 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included SBI Life Insurance Company Ltd. (1,695.10, 5.4%), Dr. Lal Pathlabs Ltd. (2,911.20, 4.4%) and Archean Chemical Industries Ltd. (656.70, 3.0%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were SBI Cards and Payment Services Ltd. (867.55, -6.4%), Cyient Ltd. (1,170.80, -5.8%) and L&T Technology Services Ltd. (4,256.10, -5.0%).

Indian Energy Exchange Ltd. (190.50, -0.2%) was trading at 16.8 times of weekly average. Jubilant Ingrevia Ltd. (695.65, 2.3%) and Esab India Ltd. (4,604.50, -1.2%) were trading with volumes 8.7 and 7.1 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

7 stocks made 52 week highs,

Stocks touching their year highs included - JK Cement Ltd. (5,245.30, -0.3%), Solar Industries India Ltd. (1,2757, -3.7%) and UltraTech Cement Ltd. (12,237, 0.6%).

7 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Archean Chemical Industries Ltd. (656.70, 3.0%) and Jubilant Ingrevia Ltd. (695.65, 2.3%). 35 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd. (694.90, -8.1%) and Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Ltd. (1,616.80, -6.5%).

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
24 Apr 2025
Market closes lower, Tamilnad Mercantile Bank's Q4 profit grows 15.3% YoY to Rs 291.9 crore
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 24,246.70 (-82.3, -0.3%), BSE Sensex closed at 79,801.43 (-315.1, -0.4%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 22,180.65 (-57.0, -0.3%). Market breadth is neutral. Of the 2,415 stocks traded today, 1,197 were on the uptick, and 1,179 were down.

Indian indices closed lower after falling throughout the day. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, rose 1.8% and closed at 16.3 points. Dalmia Bharat closed 4.5% higher as its net profit grew 38.1% YoY to Rs 435 crore in Q4FY25, led by lower power & fuel and freight expenses. 

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed flat. Nifty Realty and Nifty FMCG Indices were among the top index losers today. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, Hardware Technology & Equipment emerged as the worst-performing sector of the day, with a fall of 2.6%.

Asian indices closed mixed. European indices are trading mixed. US index futures are trading lower, indicating a negative start to the trading session. Investors focus on Trump’s tariff stance and key earnings from Meta, IBM, ServiceNow, and Thermo Fisher. Brent crude futures are trading higher after falling 2.9% on Wednesday.

  • Pidilite Industries sees a long buildup in its April 24 futures series, with open interest increasing by 68.9% and a put-call ratio of 0.3.

  • Can Fin Homes' net profit grows 11.9% YoY to Rs 233.9 crore in Q4FY25, beating the Forecaster estimates by 5%. Revenue increases 7.8% YoY to Rs 999.6 crore during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks outperforming their industry price change in the quarter.

  • Tamilnad Mercantile Bank rises sharply as its Q4FY25 net profit grows 15.3% YoY to Rs 291.9 crore, helped by a 26.8% YoY decline in provisions. Revenue increases 8.8% YoY to Rs 1,542.1 crore owing to improvements in the treasury, retail and corporate banking segments. The bank's asset quality improves as its gross and net NPAs decline by 19 bps YoY and 49 bps YoY, respectively.

  • Thyrocare Technologies rises sharply as its net profit surges 22.1% YoY in Q4FY25. Revenue increases 21.3% YoY to Rs 187.2 crore, driven by higher sales from the pathology and radiology segments during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks where mutual funds increased their shareholding in the past month.

  • JSW Steel CEO Jayant Acharya highlights that safeguard duties and import tariffs support domestic steelmakers, easing margin pressures. He notes that the company may consider acquiring new coking coal assets if they are strategically and commercially viable. Acharya also expects a moderation in imports due to temporary tariffs.

  • Supreme Industries rises as its net profit beats Forecaster estimates by 1% despite falling by 17.2% YoY to Rs 293.9 crore in Q4FY25 due to higher raw materials and inventory costs. Revenue increases marginally by 0.6% YoY to Rs 3,027.1 crore, owing to improvements in the packaging products and consumer products segments. It features in a screener of stocks with growing costs YoY for long-term projects.

  • NTPC Green Energy's board of directors schedules a meeting for April 29 to consider and approve a borrowing limit of Rs 5,000 crore in FY26.

  • Devyani International is rising as it plans to acquire up to 80.7% stake in Sky Gate Hospitality, the parent company of food brands such as Biryani By Kilo, Goila Butter Chicken, and The Bhojan, for approximately Rs 419.6 crore.

  • Jefferies downgrades Waaree Energies to 'Underperform' with a target price of Rs 2,100. The brokerage notes high US module inventories and warns that FY26 imports may fall without protection from new tariffs. It also flags that reinstating the Basic Customs Duty from June 2026 could impact demand from H2FY27. Meanwhile, its Q4 order book fell 5% QoQ to 25.6GW amid weaker overseas demand.

  • Nestle India's net profit falls 6.5% YoY to Rs 873.5 crore in Q4FY25 due to higher raw materials, employee benefits and depreciation & amortisation expenses. However, revenue rises 4.5% YoY to Rs 5,503.9 crore, owing to improvements in the e-commerce, organised trade, and out-of-home (OOH) segments. It shows up in a screener of stocks with PE higher than industry PE.

  • Hindustan Unilever falls sharply as its Q4FY25 net profit declines 3.7% YoY to Rs 2,464 crore due to higher raw materials, inventory, and employee benefits expenses. However, revenue grows 3.4% YoY to Rs 15,979 crore, led by improvements in the home care, beauty & wellbeing, and personal care segments. It shows up in a screener of stocks near their 52-week lows.

  • Bajaj Finance's board of directors schedules a meeting on April 29 to consider a proposal for a bonus issue and stock split of equity shares.

  • TVS Motor is set to announce its Q4 results on April 28. Analysts at Axis Securities expect a ~15% YoY rise in revenue, driven by a similar increase in volumes and a richer domestic vehicle mix, though partly offset by higher export volumes. EBITDA margins are projected to improve by 77 bps YoY, supported by better operating leverage and cost controls, despite some pressure from margin-dilutive EV scooter sales.

  • Lupin receives US FDA approval for its abbreviated new drug application (ANDA) for Tolvaptan Tablets. The tablet, used to treat kidney diseases, recorded US sales of $1.4 billion in CY24.

  • Syngene falls sharply as its net profit declines 2.8% YoY to Rs 183.3 crore due to higher tax expenses. However, revenue grows 11.1% YoY to Rs 1,036.9 crore due to an increase in the biologics contract development and manufacturing organization (CDMO) business. The company's management projects single-digit revenue growth in FY26, compared to estimates of 15%.

  • Radhakishan Damani cuts stake in Sundaram Finance to below 1% in Q4FY25. He held a 2.4% stake in the company in Q3FY25.

  • UBS upgrades India to ‘Neutral’ from ‘Underweight’, citing recovering domestic demand, stable macroeconomic conditions, and improving consumption. It sees an 8% upside for the Nifty 50 over the next year, targeting 26,000, supported by steady earnings despite global risks.

  • Persistent Systems rises sharply as its Q4FY25 net profit grows 25.5% YoY to Rs 395.8 crore. Revenue increases 24.4% YoY to Rs 3,260.5 crore owing to improvements in the banking, financial services & insurance (BFSI), healthcare & life services, and software, hi-tech & emerging industries segments. It appears in a screener of stocks with increasing revenue over the past eight quarters.

  • Supreme Petrochem is rising as its net profit beats Forecaster estimates by 28% despite falling 18.7% YoY to Rs 106.9 crore due to inventory buildup in Q4FY25, impacting margins. Revenue decreases 1.5% YoY to Rs 1,539 crore during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks with declining profits every quarter for the past three quarters.

  • Spandana Sphoorty’s Managing Director (MD) and Chief Executive Officer (CEO), Shalabh Saxena, tenders his resignation, effective April 23. The board appoints Ashish Kumar Damani as the company’s interim CEO.

  • The Institute of Chartered Accountants of India (ICAI) is set to investigate Gensol Engineering and BluSmart Mobility’s FY24 financials over fraud claims, following SEBI’s findings of fund diversion and governance lapses. This marks the second suo motu case by ICAI’s Financial Reporting Review Board (FRRB) in just over a month, highlighting a push for stronger auditor accountability.

  • Samhi Hotels is rising as it partners with Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund GIC to expand and upgrade hotel assets in India. GIC will acquire a 35% stake in three SAMHI subsidiaries for Rs 752 crore. Post-deal, the company expects to reduce debt by Rs 580 crore and achieve a 15–20% increase in profit.

  • Dalmia Bharat is rising as its net profit grows 38.1% YoY to Rs 435 crore in Q4FY25, led by lower power & fuel and freight expenses. However, revenue declines 5.5% YoY to Rs 4,184 crore due to a reduction in sales volumes. It appears in a screener of stocks with improving cash flow from operations for the last two years.

  • Tata Consumer Products' net profit grows 59.2% YoY to Rs 344.9 crore in Q4FY25, helped by price hikes. Revenue increases 17.4% YoY to Rs 4,608.2 crore, driven by higher sales from the India and International business segments during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks outperforming their industry price change in the quarter.

  • LTIMindtree's Q4FY25 net profit grows 4% QoQ to Rs 1,128.5 crore owing to lower sub-contracting and finance costs but misses Forecaster estimates by 2.8%. Revenue increases 1.1% QoQ, helped by improvements in the banking, financial services & insurance (BFSI), technology, media & communications and consumer business segments. It shows up in a screener of stocks where insiders sold their stakes.

  • Nifty 50 was trading at 24,272.05 (-56.9, -0.2%), BSE Sensex was trading at 79,903.40 (-213.1, -0.3%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 22,218.75 (-18.9, -0.1%).

  • Market breadth is highly positive. Of the 1,951 stocks traded today, 1,367 were in the positive territory and 534 were negative.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Thermax Ltd. (3,632, 5.3%), Divi's Laboratories Ltd. (6,215.50, 4.9%) and Dalmia Bharat Ltd. (1,974.10, 4.5%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Hindustan Unilever Ltd. (2,325.30, -4.1%), Macrotech Developers Ltd. (1,320.20, -3.4%) and Varun Beverages Ltd. (532.35, -3.1%).

Volume Rockets

25 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included KIOCL Ltd. (284.46, 12.6%), Newgen Software Technologies Ltd. (1,101.40, 10.9%) and MMTC Ltd. (61.85, 10.8%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Syngene International Ltd. (653.40, -12.8%), Hindustan Unilever Ltd. (2,325.30, -4.1%) and Laurus Labs Ltd. (645.50, -0.8%).

Natco Pharma Ltd. (902.85, 6.9%) was trading at 49.0 times of weekly average. GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (2,916, 2.4%) and Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd. (456.55, 3.6%) were trading with volumes 19.6 and 12.1 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

12 stocks overperformed with 52 week highs,

Stocks touching their year highs included - Bajaj Finance Ltd. (9,301, -0.2%), Bajaj Finserv Ltd. (2,105, 0.2%) and Divi's Laboratories Ltd. (6,215.50, 4.9%).

16 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Newgen Software Technologies Ltd. (1,101.40, 10.9%) and Tamilnad Mercantile Bank Ltd. (456.55, 3.6%). 9 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Blue Star Ltd. (1,849.60, -3.9%) and 360 One Wam Ltd. (1,018.25, -3.9%).

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The Baseline
24 Apr 2025
By Abdullah Shah

Over the past five years, Indian Public Sector Enterprises (PSEs) delivered high growth, with the Nifty PSE index surging 313.6%. Growth was especially strong in  sectors that aligned well with national priorities, like defence production, renewable energy expansion, and infrastructure expansion.  

Tapan Doshi, founder of Thoughtful Investors Hub (TIH), notes, "In the last two years, PSU stocks have gone up due to strong performance, government reforms, and a significant capital expenditure push from the government. Stocks from the railways, power utilities, power financiers, defense, shipbuilding, and public sector banks have seen rerating during this period,"

In this edition of chart of the week, we take a look at the five-year returns and price trends of the Nifty PSE index constituents from 2020 to 2025. 

2020 was a bad year for Nifty PSE, weighed down by sluggish government spending and muted demand during the nationwide lockdown. However, by 2023, the index had staged a strong comeback (+79.9%), posting its best performance since 2007, powered by a revival in government capex and a surge in order inflows.

Speaking on the performance of PSEs, Prime Minister Narendra Modi noted, “PSU shares at a time were synonymous with falling prices. But now, in the stock market, their value is rising several times.”

However, the sector is facing pressure in 2025 due to increased global market volatility, import tariffs imposed by the US and a reduction in government capex in FY26.  Companies like Hindustan Aeronautics and Rail Vikas Nigam have also faced issues with order execution delays. 

When a 5-year time frame is considered, defence stocks such as Hindustan Aeronautics and Bharat Electronics emerge as the top performers, fueled by higher government capex in the sector and a strong push for domestic manufacturing. 

Close behind are government-backed railway stocks (Rail Vikas Nigam and Indian Railway Finance Corp), which gained momentum with rising capex and order wins. 

Energy and power finance stocks (Bharat Heavy Electricals, Power Finance Corp and REC) also saw notable gains, supported by the Centre’s focus on expanding the share of renewable energy and meeting growing power demand.

'Make in India' push propels defence stocks to new highs

Defence stocks like Hindustan Aeronautics (HAL) and Bharat Electronics (BEL) have given multibagger returns of more than 1,000% in the last five years. Fueling this rally is the Centre’s aggressive push for indigenous defence manufacturing under the ‘Make in India’ initiative. The government has increased its defence capex from Rs 1.2 lakh crore in FY21 to Rs 3.7 lakh crore in FY26

HAL’s stock price surged 1,468.4% in the past five years, with the largest jumps coming in 2022 (109.6%) and 2023 (121.3%). This aerospace & defence stock’s order book stands at Rs 1.3 lakh crore in 9MFY25, 151.6% higher than its order book in FY20. It secured orders worth Rs 55,800 crore during 9MFY25, including contracts for AL 31 FP Engines, SU-30 MKI aircraft, repair and overhaul (ROH) spares, and development (D&D) services.

BEL’s stock price jumped 1,099% over the past five years, with the government’s focus on self-reliance in defence manufacturing. The aerospace & defence company delivered annual returns ranging from 40% to 85% during 2021-24, led by a 36.8% rise in its order book to Rs 71,100 crore from FY20 to 9MFY25.

Both HAL and BEL’s stock prices have shown resilience amid recent market volatility, and are slightly up in 2025.

Railway PSEs surge due to higher government spending

Rail Vikas Nigam (RNVL) has shown a strong stock performance over the past five years, surging 2,011.9%. The Indian government’s initiatives, like railway electrification and the introduction of the Vande Bharat train, contributed to this growth.? 

The construction & engineering company’s stock price rose the most in 2023 (166.1%) and 2024 (133.1%), helping to emerge as a multibagger in two straight years. 

The government increased railway capex from Rs 1.6 lakh crore in FY21 to Rs 2.7 lakh crore in FY26, marking a sharp increase in government orders. RVNL’s order book expanded by 76% from Rs 55,000 crore in FY22 to Rs 96,780 crore in 9MFY25

However, its stock price is down 11.6% in 2025 due to poor market conditions triggered by the US imposing import tariffs. Investors are also concerned about the company’s order execution, given the size of the order book, which is 4.8x of its trailing twelve-month (TTM) revenue of Rs 21,303.2 crore.

Indian Railway Finance Corp (IRFC) also benefited from increased government spending in the railways segment, surging by 408.9% over the past five years. This financial institution is the financing arm of Indian Railways, financing approximately 80% of the Indian Railways’ projects. The company’s assets under management (AUM) have jumped 6.5x, from Rs 70,471 crore in FY20 to Rs 4.6 lakh crore in FY24. 

Government orders boost power and finance PSEs

Bharat Heavy Electricals’ (BHEL’s) stock has jumped 952.2% over the past five years, owing to its expansion into the renewable energy and defence segments. However, this heavy electrical equipment company’s price declined by 17.4% in 2020 due to higher demand for renewable energy sources and the company’s reliance on thermal energy projects. 

BHEL recovered to give strong returns of 64.7% and 144.3%, respectively, in 2021 and 2023, with a modest 33.9% rise in 2022. Its order book expanded by 81.8% from Rs 1.1 lakh crore in FY20 to Rs 2 lakh crore in 9MFY25. This includes orders for solar and hydro power projects, a contract for Vande Bharat trains, and gun mounts for the Indian Navy. 

REC and Power Finance Corp’s (PFC’s) saw their stock prices soar 542.1% and 526.3%, respectively, over the last five years. The government’s focus on alternative energy production and higher spending on infrastructure development drove share price gains. These financial institutions provide financial assistance to the power, logistics and infrastructure sectors.

The companies’ shares fell in 2020 due to a halt in projects caused by the COVID-19 lockdown. However, REC and PFC recovered in the following years as their disbursements nearly doubled to Rs 1.6 lakh crore and Rs 1.3 lakh crore, respectively, in FY24, compared to Rs 82,140.8 crore and Rs 67,997, respectively, in FY20.

Oil India has risen by 604.7% over the past five years, despite the exploration & production company declining by 30% in 2020 after the lockdown lowered oil demand, and caused crude oil prices to fall to $18.8 per barrel. However, the stock recovered in the following years, as the lockdown was lifted and oil prices rebounded. Oil India delivered returns of more than 70% in 2021, 2023 and 2024. The company also secured nine exploration blocks under the Open Acreage Licensing Policy (OALP) Round IX, expanding its exploration footprint by over 51,000 sq km.

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The Baseline
23 Apr 2025
Knock knock: India has an opportunity amid US policy chaos | Screener: Rising stocks that are FII faves

"They have been ripping us off", is what US President Trump said about the rest of the world, when he imposed his trade tariffs on April 2. "Our country won't be laughed at anymore."

Trump, a master of grievance and complaint, was talking about the world's richest country, which holds a privileged status in the global finance system - since the US dollar is the international reserve currency.

Over the next few weeks, Trump quickly learned what it meant for the US to be treated like just another country. His tariffs triggered a market meltdown that has threatened the unique status of the US as the investment destination of choice. The dollar fell, and US bonds weakened, increasing the government's borrowing costs. Stocks tanked. Markets only recovered when Trump backed off most of his tariffs - and then fell again last week when he threatened to fire Jerome Powell, the Chair of the Federal Reserve. 

Foreign investors own about 30% of American investments, which comes to $19 trillion of US equities, and $7 trillion of Treasuries. With his arbitrary policy decisions -- where he posts his plans on social media, and not even his advisers seem to know what is coming next -- Trump threatens the "safe haven" reputation the US has with foreign investors, which the country spent over half a century nurturing.  

That old line - in times of crisis comes opportunity - is valid here. While an unpredictable administration hits US growth (Citigroup Global Economist Robert Sockin expectstariffs could drive US GDP growth to zero this year), investors and companies are in search of alternatives.  The IMF now sees China and India  contributing a bigger share of global growth, and it has revised the contribution from the US downward.

In this week's Analyticks:

Knock, knock: As trust in US fades, India has an opportunity

Screener: Stocks outperforming the benchmark index, with FIIs buying stakes in Q4FY25


Investors look beyond the US, as the Trump effect grips global markets

In the past three months, US stocks have taken the biggest beating while Indian and Chinese indices rose. The US Mag7, the stars of 2024, plunged.

Meanwhile, FIIs, which had pulled large amounts out of India in recent months, have recently reversed course, buying $2 billion worth of Indian equities in just the past four sessions. This is being driven by investors diversifying their holdings amid US volatility, and Trump favouring India as among the first countries it wants a trade deal with, even as it freezes China out with 145% tariffs.  

There are of course, challenges for India in dealing with an unpredictable Trump administration. Still, India shouldn't ignore it when someone  knocks so hard on the door of opportunity, even if the person knocking is a bit erratic.

The Indian opportunity amid the trade chaos

India has a lot of catching up to do when it comes to China. China's GDP of $18.5 trillion is 4X India’s, and it has 11% of global trade, to India’s 2.7%. 

But China's weakening relationship with the US, and the UK and EU searching for new trading partners as the Trump tariffs kick in, give India a chance to sign multiple deals, and pivot from its domestic market to the world. The potential win from such a strategy shift is huge. 

China has long targeted the $100 trillion global economy for growth while India relies on its $4 trillion domestic market. As a result, India's manufacturing exports have been weak, and local private investment has not taken off.

India's anxiety around opening up its economy has hurt it considerably for decades. In 2019, it refused to join the RCEP trade agreement — a free trade agreement that includes China, Japan, South Korea, Singapore and South East Asia —citing concerns about excessive Chinese imports.  The Peterson Institute projected at the time, that India’s yearly income would increase by $60 billion — around 1.1 percentage points in real GDP gains by 2030 — if it joined the agreement. It has also dragged its feet on FTAs with UK and Europe, because of its reluctance to lower tariffs on its domestic market.

China's focus on exports has led it to automate its manufacturing plants at high speed, pushing prices even lower. China's new robot powered factories — called 'dark factories' because robots don't need electric lights to work — run 24/7, seven days a week. The focus on world markets has helped China become competitive beyond toys and consumer goods. It has made it hard to beat in cars, chips, and increasingly, AI and robot tech. 

The risks India faces in being left behind, have never been higher. The US tariff war is a chance for us to fix old, self-damaging habits.  Trump is not incorrect in calling India a "tariff king". Consider the auto sector, a source of his anger. The tariffs India places on imported automobiles go as high as 110%, making most imported vehicles unaffordable to Indians. It is why India imports only 15,000 cars a year, even as it sold 4.3 million passenger vehicles last year.

Our over-focus on protecting our domestic market has kept us excessively uncompetitive, favouring Indian industrialists over Indian consumers. Our tariff wall suggests a paranoia about our ability to compete with the world, even as we constrain our startups and SMEs with tough local rules. A more relaxed approach would allow India to create an environment similar to what drove China's export growth - by giving consumers more choice, manufacturers more import flexibility, and domestic industries more competition.

We need to look beyond our local backyard. Trump has now spotlit India as a potentially major trading partner. We should leverage this opportunity amid the chaos to rapidly sign trade deals with the US, UK and Europe. 


Screener: Stocks outperforming the benchmark index, with FIIs buying stakes in Q4FY25

FIIs increase stakes in fertilizers and banking stocks

As the Q4FY25 earnings season gets underway, we take a look at stocks where foreign institutional investors (FIIs) are increasing their holdings. These stocks have strong performance and institutional confidence, despite broader market uncertainty. This screener shows stocks outperforming the Nifty 50 index, where FIIs are buying stakes QoQ in Q4FY25.

The screener shows stocks from the fertilizers, finance, pharmaceuticals, housing finance, and electric utilities industries. Major companies that show up in the screener are Aptus Value Housing Finance India, AWL Agri Business, Coromandel International, Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals, Vijaya Diagnostic Centre, Poonawalla Fincorp, UPL and Credit Access Grameen.

Aptus Value Housing Finance’s FII holding increased 5.9 percentage points QoQ in Q4FY25. This housing finance company is also up 16.7% over the past quarter. Malabar Investment was the largest buyer of a 6% stake in the firm through its funds, Malabar India Fund and Malabar Select Fund. The Forecaster expects its revenue to grow 22.5% YoY in Q4FY25. The company is set to announce its Q4 results on May 1.

Vijaya Diagnostic Centre also shows up in the screener after FIIs increased their holding by 180 bps QoQ to 19.4% in Q4FY25. The healthcare services provider has risen 8.4% over the past quarter. The most notable buyer of the stock was The Prudential Assurance Company, buying a 1.1% stake. Trendlyne’s Forecaster estimates the company’s revenue to grow by 16.5% YoY in Q4FY25, driven by higher volumes from the radiology and pathology segments.

You can find more screeners here.