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The Baseline
07 Aug 2025
By Abdullah Shah

When mutual funds (MFs) and foreign institutional investors (FIIs) raise their stake in a company, it often signals firm conviction in its long-term growth story. These institutional players typically invest only after deep research into the company and its peers, so their buying rarely goes unnoticed. This screener highlights stocks that saw a QoQ increase of over 2% in both MF and FII holdings in Q1FY26—a potential sign of rising institutional confidence.

The Economic Times noted, “While FIIs have pared back broadly in 2025, they have sharply increased investments in sectors such as financials, telecom, and services—signalling selective confidence in high-growth segments.” 

In Q1FY26, eleven Nifty 500 companies saw a rare show of confidence—both mutual funds and FIIs increased their stake by over 2% each. Such parallel buying is often a strong signal of conviction in a company’s growth potential.

Notably, several of these names come from the financial services space—RBL Bank, KFIN Technologies, and PNB Housing among them. In many cases, promoter exits and a strong earnings outlook opened the door to fresh institutional interest.

A driver of rising institutional buying in Q1 has been promoter stake sales through block deals, creating liquidity windows that mutual funds (MFs) and foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were quick to seize.

In this week’s Chart of the Week, we spotlight eleven companies—ranging from Vishal Mega Mart, Swiggy, Sagility India, and Sai Life Sciences to InterGlobe Aviation, and PG Electroplast—that have caught the eye of both MFs and FIIs. We break down what’s driving this institutional buying spree.

Promoter stake sales unlock institutional buying

Vishal Mega Mart and PG Electroplast’s mutual fund and FII holdings increased after their promoters sold stakes through a block deal. At Vishal Mega Mart, the promoter entity Samayat Services LLP sold a 20% stake worth ?10,488 crore via a block deal in June, following the expiry of the pre-IPO lock-in period. The move triggered a surge of institutional buying, with FIIs raising their stake by 14.3% and mutual funds by 5.8%.

Among the major domestic investors were HDFC Business Cycle Fund, SBI Equity Hybrid Fund, and Kotak Pioneer Fund, each picking up meaningful stakes. What attracted these investors was the company's strong FY25 performance: revenue rose 20.5%, and net profit grew 36.8%, both ahead of analyst expectations.

The company’s business model, anchored in a strong presence in tier-2 cities, a diverse and affordable private label portfolio (contributing 73% of revenue), and a lean cost structure, enhanced its appeal. Growth across apparel, general merchandise, and FMCG segments, along with improved inventory efficiency, also boosted investor confidence.

A similar pattern played out at PG Electroplast. In May, the company’s promoters sold a 5.6% stake for Rs 1,177 crore through a block deal. Institutional interest quickly followed, with FIIs increasing their holding by 2.1% and MFs by 2.6%.

Key institutional investors included ICICI Prudential Smallcap Index Fund, Government Pension Fund Global, and the Government of Singapore.

Backed by standout financials in FY25, the company delivered a 77.7% increase in revenue and a 113.3% jump in net profit, far exceeding expectations. Strong demand for its core products—room air conditioners, washing machines, and air coolers—drove top-line growth, while its emphasis on backward integration improved margins and profitability. 

These gains positioned PG Electroplast as a compelling pick in the consumer electronics manufacturing space.

IndiGo, operated by InterGlobe Aviation, also saw a rise in institutional holdings in Q1FY26, with mutual funds increasing their stake by 3% and FIIs by 2.2%. Among the major participants were ICICI Prudential S&P BSE 500 ETF and SBI Resurgent India Opportunities Scheme .

The airline’s appeal lies in its dominant 64% share of the domestic aviation market during Q1FY26 and its forward-looking expansion strategy. IndiGo has over 900 aircraft on order and plans to expand its international capacity share from 28% to 40% by FY30, factors that have strengthened its long-term investment case among institutions.

Smart money flows into financial stocks on a bullish outlook

Institutional investors ramped up their stakes in several financial companies during Q1FY26, driven by strong FY25 earnings, fresh capital raises, and promoter stake exits. The shift reflects growing confidence in the sector’s outlook, particularly in housing finance, asset management, and mid-sized banks.

KFIN Technologies saw FII holdings rise 5.3% and mutual fund holdings increase 3.3%, following a 10% stake sale by promoter General Atlantic via a block deal in May 2025. The company’s acquisition of Singapore-based Ascent Fund Services in Q4FY25 and plans to grow international revenue have added to investor optimism, despite slightly missing FY25 earnings estimates.

PNB Housing and Aptus Value Housing also attracted significant institutional interest after large private equity exits. Carlyle sold its entire 10.4% stake in PNB Housing, while Westbridge offloaded a 12.6% stake in Aptus, both through open market deals. In response, 

FIIs raised their stakes in both companies by 2.7%, while mutual funds increased holdings by 6.7% in PNB Housing and 5.7% in Aptus. Strong FY25 earnings and renewed demand in the retail housing segment have brought these names into the spotlight.

RBL Bank saw a jump in institutional interest following exits by British International Investment and Unity Associates in April. FIIs increased their stake by 3.1%, while mutual funds added a significant 13.9%. The bank’s better-than-expected FY25 results and a 29% stock rally during the quarter reinforced confidence. Broader trends in the banking sector—such as lower slippages, better asset quality, and steady credit growth—are drawing institutional money back to mid-tier banks.

Capri Global Capitalraised Rs 2,000 crore in May 2025 through its first qualified institutional placement (QIP) in a decade. Post-issue, FIIs raised their stake by 3.7% and mutual funds by 4.5%. The company’s robust FY25 performance added to the momentum.

Of the five financial firms, four beat FY25 earnings estimates, with only KFIN Technologies falling slightly short. A mix of earnings strength, large stake sales and capital raises created fresh entry points for long-term investors.

Post-IPO surge: Institutions load up on Swiggy, Sagility India, Sai Life

Recently listed companies—Sai Life Science, Swiggy and Sagility India—drew strong institutional interest in Q1FY26 following robust FY25 earnings. All three companies listed in late 2024 have seen FIIs and MFs increase their holdings meaningfully since then.

Sai Life Sciences, listed in December 2024, saw mutual fund holdings rise 7.2% and FII holdings rise 2.2%. Major MF investors included Nippon India Pharma, Inevsco India Smallcap Fund, and Axis Mutual Fund. The company reported a 15.9% increase in revenue and a 105.5% jump in net profit, beating Forecaster estimates in FY25. Growth was driven by strong performance in the CDMO and CRO segments, along with lower finance and inventory costs.

Swiggy, which was listed in November 2024, also saw increased institutional interest. MFs raised their stake by 4.3% and FIIs by 2.5% in Q1FY26. Mirae Asset Large & Midcap Fund and Invesco India Flexi Cap Fund each picked up a 1% stake, while the Government Pension Fund Global bought 1.3%. 

Revenue rose 34.3% in FY25, led by strong growth in food delivery and quick commerce. The company plans to shift its quick commerce segment to an inventory-led model, which could improve margins. CFO Rahul Bothra noted that Swiggy has increased its domestic ownership above 40%, moving closer to the 51% threshold required under FDI rules to operate inventory-led e-commerce businesses.

Sagility India, also listed in November 2024, reported a 17.7% increase in revenue and a 136.2% jump in net profit for FY25. MFs raised their stake by 4%, and FIIs by 2.6%. ICICI Prudential Technology Fund and Mirae Asset Aggressive Hybrid Fund were among the largest mutual fund investors.

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The Baseline
07 Aug 2025
Modi, Musk, Macron: Why don't Trump's bromances last? | Screener: Stocks beating Forecaster Q1 estimates

We know what a fading friendship looks like. No more funny meme forwards on whatsapp. No more brunch invites. And if things get really bad, you get blocked on Instagram.

With someone like Donald Trump, one can go from the buddy list to the block list really fast, the journey from hugs to hate messages on Truth Social short and dizzying. Trump is so notorious for this that when he and Elon Musk started hanging out, people started unofficial countdown clocks to see how long the friendship would last. It was not breaking news when it finally imploded into name calling and accusations. 

With the Trump-Modi relationship the latest one to be on the rocks, we take a look at Trump's bromances, and why they unravel. 

In this week's Analyticks,  

  • Friend to frenemy: Why Trump's friendships have short expiry dates
  • Screener: Stocks beating Forecaster estimates in Q1 with high target price upsides

Let's do some armchair analysis.


Trump's bromances: a timeline

Trump's various relationships usually start promisingly. Modi and Trump kicked off their relationship with a close hug in early 2017, while French President Emmanuel Macron gave Trump such a firm handshake it left white marks on Trump's hand.

Elon Musk donated over $288 million to Trump's 2024 election campaign, and gifted Trump a red car. 

But despite the absence of gifts, the Macron and Modi friendships lasted longer. 

Macron's relationship with Trump has had several ups and downs - like when they argued during a press conference in 2019 about whether Europe was spending enough money on defence. Trump complained that the US was contributing too much to NATO's defence budget compared to the EU (the US accounted for 22% of the NATO budget). The contribution from the US was later lowered to 16%.

The Modi relationship in comparison, proceeded  more smoothly - Trump had few complaints about India during his first term, instead calling India "a great friend and ally". The first signs of tension came in the beginning of Trump's second term, when the February 2025 press conference looked awkward and a bit uncomfortable.

Are the fights about money?

When Trump picks fights with friends, he claims it is about money. And there are big numbers at stake, according to him. 

But a closer look at these numbers suggests that Trump's complaints are not based in reality. Trump's recent falling out with Macron this year was based on the claim that the US spent $350 billion on Ukraine aid, much more than Europe. But independent estimates put US aid to Ukraine at $119 billion, and EU aid at $138 billion. The EU has spent more on Ukraine than the US. 

Similarly, Trump's complaint about India is that we are buying large quantities of Russian oil. He has cited that as the reason he wants to tariff Indian goods further. 

But again, the facts prove a different story. Europe has purchased large amounts of LNG from Russia, and China has imported $90 billion worth of Russian oil last year, and was its biggest buyer. Trump has been silent regarding Russia related tariffs on both. The US itself imports fertilizers from Russia. 

Musk failed to deliver on his promise to cut US government costs by $2 trillion. He was only able to deliver around $55 billion in savings. But that's not what caused the falling out.

Trump cares a lot about headlines 

All available evidence points to Trump having two core drivers: attention, and money. But attention is something he especially craves. During the years in real estate, when Trump went bankrupt six times, he would often anonymously call the New York tabloids, and offer news about 'Donald Trump' in a fake voice and using a made-up name, hoping for headlines. 

Attention thirst is the kind that cannot be easily quenched. Today's headline soon becomes yesterday's, and one is hungry for more. Consequently, many of Trump's relationships have fallen apart when he competes with a friend for media coverage. 

Trump hates being contradicted, and being contradicted in front of the media is a major offence that he doesn't easily forgive - which both Macron and Modi did. At a press event in June this year, when Trump complained again that Europe was providing Ukraine with less funding than the US, Macron interrupted Trump and corrected him. 

Similarly, after India and Pakistan agreed to a ceasefire after Operation Sindoor, Trump said that he had helped negotiate peace. Modi and the Indian government contradicted this claim, saying that the ceasefire was agreed upon exclusively by India and Pakistan without Trump's involvement. But Trump has repeated the claim several times. 

The Musk-Trump friendship rapidly fell apart not when Musk couldn't cut government spending, but when he publicly criticized Trump's 'Big Beautiful Bill' and said that Trump would bankrupt the US economy. 

With Trump, it's always personal

Trump operates less like a head of state, and more like a don. It's all about personal relationships, and if he feels thwarted, the relationship falters, regardless of the economic value at stake. So when Modi and Macron came in the way of positive attention and a great headline, he got angry. And just like he insulted Macron and Musk ("brain dead" and "crazy" respectively), he rained insults on India ("dead economy"). 

“The fact that India has been unwilling to publicly acknowledge the US president’s role in the India-Pakistan ceasefire, has really stuck in Trump’s head,” Milan Vaishnav of the Carnegie Endowment says.

To get Trump to back down, Modi would need to offer some sweeteners rather than hardening his stance. While the agriculture access the US is pushing for is likely off the table, Modi could offer to remove tariffs on US pharma and LNG imports. US has also been hoping for a defence deal - another sop India could offer. 

Trump has the bigger economy. But as others have learned, to salvage the relationship, it is the other party that needs to be the bigger person. 


Screener: Stocks beating Forecaster estimates in Q1FY26 with high analyst target price upside

Banking & finance stocks beat Forecaster estimates in Q1FY26

With the Q1FY26 results season in full swing, we look at stocks that surpassed estimates with high target price upside potential according to Forecaster. This screener shows stocks that beat Forecaster estimates in Q1FY26, with high Forecaster 12-month target price upside %.

The screener is dominated by stocks from the life insurance, capital markets, banks, consumer electronics, and IT consulting & software industries. Major stocks are Motilal Oswal Financial Services, ICICI Prudential Life Insurance, UTI Asset Management, Amber Enterprises, Anant Raj, Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals, HDFC Bank, and Indian Bank.

Motilal Oswal’s Q1FY26 revenue and net profit beat Forecaster estimates by 96.7% and 77.1%, respectively. This capital markets company’s revenue and net profit grew by 18.4% and 31.8% YoY during the quarter. Improvements in the capital markets, asset & private wealth management, home finance, and treasury investments segments helped with revenue growth. Meanwhile, lower finance, and fees & commission expenses drove profitability. Forecaster estimates the stock price to rise 17.4% over the next 12 months.

Amber Enterprises also features in the screener after surpassing Forecaster estimates for revenue and net profit by 28.9% and 28%, respectively, in Q1FY26. This consumer electronics company’s revenue and net profit jumped by 43.6% and 43.5% YoY, respectively, during the quarter, helping beat estimates. Improvements in the consumer durables, electronics, and railway sub-system & defence businesses, driven by increased demand in the commercial AC segment and strong order execution, drove revenue growth. Revenue growth outpaced expenses growth, which helped increase profitability, and Forecaster estimates the stock price to grow 9.1% over the next year.

You can find some popular screeners here.

Market closes flat, Emcure Pharma's Q1 revenue rises 14.4% YoY to Rs 2,104.2 crore
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 24,596.15 (22.0, 0.1%), BSE Sensex closed at 80,623.26 (79.3, 0.1%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 22,694.10 (27.3, 0.1%). Market breadth is in the red. Of the 2,486 stocks traded today, 1,061 were in the positive territory and 1,375 were negative.

Indian indices closed flat after recovering from morning losses triggered by the US imposing an additional 25% tariff on Indian imports due to continued Russian oil purchases. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, fell 2.3% and closed at 11.7 points. Hero MotoCorp closed 4.3% higher after its Q1FY26 net profit grew 63% YoY to Rs 1,705.3 crore, beating Forecaster estimates by 61.5%.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed higher. Nifty Media and Nifty IT were among the top index gainers today. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, Hardware Technology & Equipment emerged as the best-performing sector of the day, with a rise of 3.7%.

Asian indices closed higher or flat. European indices are trading in the green, except for the UK's FTSE 100, which is trading in the red. US index futures are trading higher as Donald Trump’s new tariffs on imports, including a 100% tariff on semiconductors, take effect today. Brent crude futures are trading higher after falling 1.1% on Wednesday.

  • Relative strength index (RSI) indicates that stocks like Sarda Energy & Minerals, JK Cement, and Godfrey Phillips India are in the overbought zone.

  • Protean eGov Tech's Q1FY26 revenue rises 10.9% YoY to Rs 239.3 crore. Net profit grows 13.1% YoY to Rs 23.8 crore, driven by higher other income and stable growth in its digital government services business. The firm appears in a screener of stocks with zero promoter pledge.

  • Emcure Pharmaceuticals' Q1FY26 revenue rises 14.4% YoY to Rs 2,104.2 crore. Net profit grows 43.6% YoY to Rs 206.9 crore, driven by growth in the international business and strong performance in its therapeutic segment. The firm appears in a screener of stocks with low debt.

  • Prism Johnson rises sharply as its Q1FY26 net loss contracts 69.6% YoY to Rs 5.6 crore, owing to lower inventory and finance costs. Revenue grows 9.6% YoY to Rs 1,929.9 crore, helped by improvements in the cement, tiles, sanitaryware, bath fittings, and insurance segments. It features in a screener of stocks where institutions are increasing their shareholding.

  • Vir S Advani, CMD of Blue Star, says this summer was significantly weaker following several strong quarters. As a result, he now expects FY26 revenue from the unitary cooling products (UCP) segment to grow by 10%, down from the earlier guidance of 20%, with margins of 8-8.5%. He continues to aim for a 15% market share by the end of FY26.

  • Caplin Point's Q1FY26 revenue rises 3.6% YoY to Rs 214.6 crore. Net profit grows 18.4% YoY to Rs 85.8 crore, driven by expansion in the US market and growth in the oncology segment. The firm appears in a screener of stocks where foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have increased their shareholding.

  • Bajaj Electricals is falling as its net profit plunges 96.7% YoY to Rs 0.9 crore in Q1FY26 due to an exceptional loss of Rs 6.7 crore. Revenue decreases 7.8% YoY to Rs 1,064.6 crore, impacted by lower contribution from the consumer products segment during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks with declining ROE over the past two years.

  • LTIMindtree bags an order worth Rs 792 crore from India's Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) to upgrade the PAN (Permanent Account Number) infrastructure.

  • Baba Kalyani, CMD of Bharat Forge, highlights that it is challenging for any industry to absorb a 50% tariff. However, he remains optimistic about a political resolution to the tariff issue. The US contributes 10% to Bharat Forge's revenue, with exports at around $200 million (approx. Rs 1,670 crore). Kalyani also notes a 12.7% YoY decline in standalone revenue in Q1 FY26 due to lower exports. Looking ahead, he projects over 15–20% growth in the defence segment in FY26.

  • Hinduja Global Solutions falls sharply as its Q1FY26 net profit plunges 89.5% YoY to Rs 17.4 crore due to a high base in Q1FY25 from a Rs 218.5 crore gain from the sale of its healthcare services business. Revenue declines 2.6% YoY to Rs 1,187.3 crore, caused by reductions in the business process management and media & communications segments. It shows up in a screener of stocks with decreasing returns on equity (RoE) over the past two years.

  • SKF India is falling as its net profit drops 25.6% YoY to Rs 118.2 crore in Q1FY26 due to inventory buildup. However, revenue increases 6.4% YoY to Rs 1,283.2 crore, driven by improvements in the industrial and automotive segments during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks with declining cash flow from operations over the past two years.

  • Bharat Heavy Electricals is falling sharply as its Q1FY26 net loss expands 115.5% YoY to Rs 455.5 crore due to higher raw materials, employee benefits, and finance costs. However, revenue rises 1.4% YoY to Rs 5,658.1 crore, driven by an improvement in the industry segment. It shows up in a screener of stocks with an increasing trend in non-core income.

  • The Federation of Automobile Dealers Associations (FADA) reports a 1% drop in passenger vehicle sales to 3,28,613 units in July, down from 3,31,280 units last year. Two-wheeler sales declined 6.5% to 13.6 lakh units. FADA expects favourable monsoon conditions for August–September but warns that localised floods and landslides could impact sales in the coming months.

  • CreditAccess Grameen's board appoints Ganesh Narayanan as Chief Executive Officer (CEO) and Managing Director (MD) for a five-year term, effective August 5.

  • Raymond's Q1FY26 revenue rises 17% YoY to Rs 524 crore, driven by growth in its aerospace and automotive businesses. Net profit drops 8.9% YoY to Rs 21 crore due to higher employee expenses and finance costs. The firm appears in a screener of stocks with low debt.

  • Kotak Mahindra Bank falls as 1.1 crore shares worth approximately Rs 2,134 crore reportedly change hands in a block deal at an average price of Rs 1,974 per share.

  • CLSA maintains an 'Outperform' rating on PVR INOX with a target price of Rs 1,920. The brokerage highlights that the company’s Q1 performance exceeded expectations, driven by an 8% YoY rise in average ticket prices and a 23% growth in movie ticket sales. In Q1FY26, gross box office collections (GBOC) for Bollywood and Hollywood films were up 38–72% YoY.

  • Sula Vineyards' Q1 net profit falls 86.7% YoY to Rs 1.9 crore. Revenue declines 2.4% YoY to Rs 119.2 crore due to weak urban consumption and an excise duty hike on spirits in Maharashtra. The company appears in a screener of stocks where mutual funds have increased their shareholding in the past quarter.

  • Alibaba-backed Antfin Singapore Holding Pte reportedly plans to sell a 2% stake in Eternal worth Rs 5,375 crore via a block deal.

  • Ircon International is falling as its net profit declines 26.5% YoY to Rs 164.6 crore in Q1FY26, impacted by higher material and finance costs. Revenue decreases 21.9% YoY to Rs 1,786.3 crore due to weaker domestic sales during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks underperforming their industry price change over the past quarter.

  • Swiggy, Vishal Mega Mart, Hitachi Energy India, and Waaree Energies are likely to enter the MSCI Global Standard Index in MSCI’s August review, with each stock expected to attract passive inflows of around $217–287 million. Meanwhile, Bharat Dynamics may be excluded from the Small Cap Index.

  • Hero MotoCorp is rising as its Q1FY26 net profit jumps 63% YoY to Rs 1,705.3 crore, driven by lower raw materials and inventory expenses. However, revenue declines 3.8% YoY to Rs 10,037.7 crore during the quarter. It features in a screener of stocks with trailing twelve-month (TTM) EPS growth.

  • Trent rises as its Q1FY26 net profit grows 9.5% YoY to Rs 429.7 crore owing to lower employee benefits expenses. Revenue increases 18.6% YoY to Rs 4,924.1 crore, driven by new store additions. It appears in a screener of stocks with improving cash flow from operations over the last two years.

  • Fortis Healthcare is rising as its net profit surges 56.8% YoY to Rs 260.3 crore in Q1FY26, helped by an exceptional gain of Rs 12.6 crore. Revenue increases 16.6% YoY to Rs 2,166.7 crore, driven by improvements in the healthcare and diagnostics segments during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks outperforming their industry price change over the past quarter.

  • Jindal Stainless' Q1FY26 net profit grows 10.2% YoY to Rs 714.2 crore, helped by lower inventory expenses. Revenue jumps 8.4% YoY to Rs 10,276 crore during the quarter. It features in a screener of affordable stocks with high return on equity (RoE) and momentum.

  • Nifty 50 was trading at 24,513.20 (-61, -0.3%), BSE Sensex was trading at 80,262.98 (-281.0, -0.4%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 22,592.20 (-74.7, -0.3%).

  • Market breadth is highly negative. Of the 1,972 stocks traded today, 470 were in the positive territory and 1,437 were negative.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Lupin Ltd. (1,944.20, 5.0%), Hero MotoCorp Ltd. (4,660.70, 4.2%) and Coforge Ltd. (1,704.10, 4.0%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. (227.97, -5.0%), Thermax Ltd. (3,328.20, -3.7%) and Berger Paints (India) Ltd. (545.95, -3.4%).

Movers and Shakers

22 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included ITI Ltd. (320.30, 6.9%), Caplin Point Laboratories Ltd. (2,058.30, 6.7%) and Sapphire Foods India Ltd. (320.70, 5.1%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd. (503.25, -7.7%), Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. (227.97, -5.0%) and SKF India Ltd. (4,566.50, -4.8%).

Eternal Ltd. (301.75, 1.0%) was trading at 18.2 times of weekly average. Century Plyboards (India) Ltd. (750, 0.1%) and Bajaj Holdings & Investment Ltd. (13,780, 1.3%) were trading with volumes 10.9 and 8.6 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

6 stocks hit their 52 week highs, while 5 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Fortis Healthcare Ltd. (884, 3.0%), JK Cement Ltd. (6,888.50, -1.0%) and JSW Steel Ltd. (1,064.80, 1.2%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Indian Energy Exchange Ltd. (133.46, 1.0%) and Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd. (2,329.60, -0.9%).

13 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including ITI Ltd. (320.30, 6.9%) and Firstsource Solutions Ltd. (369.85, 5.3%). 30 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. (227.97, -5.0%) and Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizers Ltd. (144.90, -3.5%).

Market closes lower, Lupin's Q1 net profit surges 52.1% YoY to Rs 1,219 crore
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 24,574.20 (-75.4, -0.3%), BSE Sensex closed at 80,543.99 (-166.3, -0.2%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 22,666.85 (-131.7, -0.6%). Market breadth is sharply down. Of the 2,491 stocks traded today, 650 were on the uptrend, and 1,792 went down.

Indian indices closed lower after extending losses in the afternoon session. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, rose 2.1% and closed at 12 points. Bajaj Auto's net profit rose 5.4% YoY to Rs 2,096 crore in Q1FY26. Revenue increased 5.5% YoY to Rs 12,584.5 crore, driven by higher sales from the automotive, investments and financing segments.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the red, tracking the benchmark index. Nifty Pharma and Nifty IT were among the worst-performing indices of the day. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, Fertilizers emerged as the worst-performing sector of the day, with a fall of 2.3%.

European indices are trading higher, except Russia’s RTSI and MOEX indices, which are trading flat. Major Asian indices closed in the green, except China’s FTSE China 50 index, which closed 0.2% lower. US index futures are trading higher, indicating a positive start to the session as investors await Q2 results of McDonald’s and Walt Disney.

  • Money flow index (MFI) indicates that stocks like JK Cement, Fortis Healthcare, Tata Investment, and Schneider Electric are in the overbought zone.

  • Capacite Infra secures a contract worth Rs 113.7 crore from the Hinduja Group for civil and structural works in Worli, Mumbai.

  • Lupin's Q1FY26 net profit surges 52.1% YoY to Rs 1,219 crore, helped by lower material costs and inventory destocking. Revenue increases 11.9% YoY to Rs 6,268.3 crore, driven by higher sales from the pharmaceuticals segment during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks where mutual funds have increased their shareholding in the past month.

  • Nazara Tech's board of directors schedules a meeting on August 12 to consider a proposal for a bonus issue and a stock split.

  • Bajaj Auto's net profit rises 5.4% YoY to Rs 2,096 crore in Q1FY26. Revenue increases 5.5% YoY to Rs 12,584.5 crore, driven by higher sales from the automotive, investments and financing segments during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks with low debt.

  • Goldman Sachs lowers India’s GDP growth forecast for 2025 and 2026 to 6.5% and 6.4%, respectively, citing ongoing trade tensions with the US. While it anticipates potential tariff negotiations, the brokerage notes that uncertainty continues to affect investor confidence. It also revises inflation forecasts downward but urges caution due to historical trends.

  • Divi's Labs' Q1FY26 net profit grows 26.7% YoY to Rs 545 crore. Revenue rises 13.7% YoY to Rs 2,410 crore, driven by stable demand for generics and the custom synthesis segment. The company appears in a screener of stocks where mutual funds have increased their shareholding in the past two months.

  • EIH falls as its net profit drops 63.3% YoY to Rs 33.8 crore in Q1FY26 due to an exceptional loss at its Mashobra resort and Tirupati hotel project. Revenue rises 8.8% YoY to Rs 609 crore, driven by higher occupancy rates. The firm appears in a screener of stocks with no debt.

  • Prestige Estates Projects is rising as its net profit grows 25.8% YoY to Rs 292.5 crore in Q1FY26, helped by inventory destocking. Revenue increases 23.9% YoY to Rs 2,307.3 crore, driven by a surge in pre-sales, especially in Ghaziabad during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks with PE ratio higher than the Industry average.

  • RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra expresses confidence in India’s foreign exchange reserves, noting they are sufficient to cover over 11 months of imports. He highlights that US tariffs contribute to global uncertainty, impacting investment and spending decisions, which in turn can slow economic growth. However, he adds that the direct impact on India is relatively limited, as exports account for around 12% of the country’s GDP, with just 2% going to the US.

  • Concor's Q1FY26 net profit grows 3.2% YoY to Rs 266.5 crore. Revenue rises 2.4% YoY to Rs 2,248.8 crore, driven by higher container volumes and steady demand in the export-import logistics segment. The firm appears in a screener of stocks with zero promoter pledge.

  • Anup Engineering's Q1FY26 net profit grows 9.3% YoY to Rs 26.2 crore. Revenue rises 19.5% YoY to Rs 177.5 crore, driven by strong order execution and higher demand from the oil & gas and petrochemicals segments. The firm appears in a screener of stocks with low debt.

  • Britannia Industries falls sharply as its net profit misses Forecaster estimates by 10.4% despite rising 3% YoY to Rs 520.7 crore in Q1FY26. Revenue increases 8.7% YoY to Rs 4,622.2 crore during the quarter. It shows up in a screener of stocks with declining net cash flow.

  • Nuvama maintains a 'Hold' rating on Exide Industries with a higher target price of Rs 380. The brokerage anticipates the company’s core lead-acid battery business to achieve a 7% revenue CAGR and 9% EBITDA CAGR over FY25–28. It also notes that the company’s lithium-ion project is progressing in line with expectations.

  • M&B Engineering’s shares make a flat debut on the bourses at Rs 385. The Rs 650 crore IPO received bids for 36.2 times the total shares on offer.

  • Sri Lotus Developers' shares debut on the bourses at a 18.7% premium to the issue price of Rs 150. The Rs 792 crore IPO received bids for 69.1 times the total shares on offer.

  • National Securities Depository's shares debut on the bourses at a 10% premium to the issue price of Rs 800. The Rs 4,011.6 crore IPO received bids for 41 times the total shares on offer.

  • The RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) lowers its FY26 CPI inflation forecast to 3.1% from 3.7%, while retaining the GDP growth estimate at 6.5%. Governor Sanjay Malhotra attributes the improved inflation outlook to a favourable base, healthy kharif sowing, adequate reservoirs, and strong food grain stocks. However, inflation is expected to rise slightly above 4% in Q4 and beyond as base effects fade and demand pressures build.

  • Dalmia Bharat Sugar's Q1 net profit falls 37.9% YoY to Rs 38.3 crore. Revenue declines 1.1% YoY to Rs 956.7 crore, due to lower sugarcane crushing volumes and higher operational expenses. The firm appears in a screener of stocks where foreign institutional investors (FIIs) are increasing their shareholding.

  • Raymond Realty's Q1FY26 net profit grows 121.8% YoY to Rs 16.5 crore. Revenue rises 201.9% YoY to Rs 391.8 crore, driven by higher project bookings and improved price realisation. It shows up in a screener of stocks with a QoQ increasing profit margin.

  • NCC's Q1FY26 net profit falls 8.5% YoY to Rs 192.1 crore. Revenue declines 6.3% YoY to Rs 5,207.9 crore due to delays in project execution and higher employee expenses. The company appears in a screener of stocks where mutual funds have increased their shareholding in the past quarter.

  • The RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) keeps the policy repo rate unchanged at 5.5% and maintains its policy stance at ‘Neutral.’ RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra notes that the economy is heading into the festive season, which typically boosts economic activity, and adds that geopolitical uncertainties have eased to some extent.

  • Torrent Power is falling as its net profit declines 24.8% YoY to Rs 731.4 crore in Q1FY26, impacted by higher power purchase costs. Revenue decreases 12.5% YoY to Rs 7,906.4 crore due to lower contribution from the generation and transmission & distribution segments during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks underperforming their industry price change over the past quarter.

  • Gland Pharma is rising as its net profit surges 49.9% YoY to Rs 215.5 crore in Q1FY26, helped by inventory destocking. Revenue increases 7.4% YoY to Rs 1,505.6 crore, driven by improvements in core operations and a turnaround at its European subsidiary, Cenexi. The company appears in a screener of stocks outperforming their industry price change over the past quarter.

  • Bharti Airtel's Q1FY26 net profit surges 43% YoY to Rs 5,947.9 crore, helped by lower access charges. Revenue increases 28.5% YoY to Rs 49,462.6 crore, driven by higher mobile average revenue per user and improvements in the India and Africa markets during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks where mutual funds have increased their shareholding in the past two months.

  • Nifty 50 was trading at 24,654.85 (5.3, 0.0%), BSE Sensex was trading at 80,694.98 (-15.3, 0.0%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 22,803.20 (4.7, 0.0%).

  • Market breadth is surging. Of the 1,951 stocks traded today, 1,261 showed gains, and 627 showed losses.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Waaree Energies Ltd. (3,218.40, 5.3%), Gujarat Fluorochemicals Ltd. (3,640, 4.1%) and Union Bank of India (131.02, 2.4%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Bosch Ltd. (38,255, -5.8%), Balkrishna Industries Ltd. (2,400.20, -5.7%) and Coromandel International Ltd. (2,504.40, -4.4%).

Volume Rockets

23 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. (10,854.50, 9.9%), Sarda Energy & Minerals Ltd. (581.75, 7.7%) and Kirloskar Oil Engines Ltd. (919.50, 6.3%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Bayer Cropscience Ltd. (5,946.50, -5.3%), Elgi Equipments Ltd. (545.70, -4.6%) and Divi's Laboratories Ltd. (6,133.50, -4.3%).

Adani Energy Solutions Ltd. (791.10, -1.4%) was trading at 17.3 times of weekly average. ITI Ltd. (299.55, 3.4%) and Gujarat Fluorochemicals Ltd. (3,640, 4.1%) were trading with volumes 13.5 and 11.2 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

6 stocks overperformed with 52 week highs, while 2 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - TVS Motor Company Ltd. (2,952.70, -1.0%), Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. (10,854.50, 9.9%) and Delhivery Ltd. (454.80, -0.7%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd. (2,351.60, -4.4%) and Five-Star Business Finance Ltd. (583.15, -3.2%).

9 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Kirloskar Oil Engines Ltd. (919.50, 6.3%) and ITI Ltd. (299.55, 3.4%). 30 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Coforge Ltd. (1,638.30, -4.0%) and Balrampur Chini Mills Ltd. (548.25, -3.7%).

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The Baseline
06 Aug 2025
Five stocks to buy from analysts this week - August 6, 2025
By Divyansh Pokharna

1. InterGlobe Aviation (Indigo):

Motilal Oswal maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on this airlines stock with a target price of Rs 6,900, a 19.4% upside. Indigo’s capacity, measured by available seat kilometres (ASK), rose 17% YoY in Q1. The company expects slower growth in Q2 due to seasonal factors and maintenance work. However, management says a ramp-up is coming in the second half, as new aircrafts enter the fleet and grounded planes return to service.

Analyst Sumant Kumar also expects a stronger recovery in the second half of the year, supported by new aircrafts, more international flights, rising business travel, and a higher number of weddings than last year. He also notes that Indigo is benefiting from lower fuel prices and a reduction in costly short-term aircraft leases, both of which supported profit growth in Q1.

Indigo is moving to finance leases, where it can own the aircraft at the end of the lease term, rather than relying on expensive short-term leases. This gives it more control over its fleet and supports its plan to build in-house maintenance capabilities. Kumar expects the company’s revenue and net profit to grow at a CAGR of 9% and 18.2% over FY26–27.

2. Jio Financial Services:

Geojit BNP Paribas upgrades its rating to 'Buy' on this financial firm with a target price of Rs 361, an 8.5% upside. In Q1FY26, the company’s net interest income rose 22.9% YoY to Rs 514 crore, supported by higher operational income. However, total expenses more than tripled as Jio Credit borrowed from external markets to fund its expansion, leading to higher finance costs. As a result, net profit grew just 3.8% during the quarter.

Jio Fin Serv is focusing on secured lending in FY26 to manage its risks better and build long-term growth. This approach is already showing results, with Jio Credit (its lending arm) logging a 54X YoY growth in its loan book, to Rs 11,665 crore in Q1FY2.

Analyst Gopika Gopan notes that the company’s joint venture, Jio BlackRock Asset Management, got the green light to begin operations in May 2025. It quickly launched its first fund, which received strong interest from both institutional and retail investors. She expects Jio Fin Serv’s NII to grow at a CAGR of 25% over FY26–27.

3. TVS Motor Co:

Axis Direct upgrades its rating to 'Buy' on this 2-wheeler company with a target price of Rs 3,085, an upside of 3.4%. TVS Motors posted its highest-ever exports at 3.7 lakh units in Q1FY26. With domestic sales slowing, analyst Shridhar Kallani notes that rising exports are helping support overall business. Demand in Sri Lanka and Nepal is improving, and Latin America offers strong potential for growth. Exports now contribute nearly 28% of TVS’s total revenue.

The company’s revenue rose 20% YoY in Q1, driven by higher sales and better pricing. Net profit grew 35%, helped by a PLI incentive and slightly higher other income. Both revenue and profit were above Forecaster estimates.

Norton, a British motorcycle subsidiary of TVS, will begin commercial production in the second half of this fiscal year, with full-scale launches in Europe by FY27, followed by India. Kallani notes that this move will help TVS enter high-margin premium bike segments while also boosting its global visibility and sharing advanced technology across models.

Analysts expect domestic demand to also improve in the coming months, supported by a normal monsoon, the festive season, rising consumption, and a stronger replacement cycle. Tax reliefs announced in the Union Budget are also likely to boost spending.

4. GE Vernova T&D India:

ICICI Securities maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on this industrial machinery maker with a target price of Rs 3,000, a 6.4% upside. In Q1FY26, the company's revenue rose 38.7% YoY to Rs 1,346.4 crore, and net profit grew 116.5%, supported by higher exports and strong project execution.

Analysts Mohit Kumar and Mahesh Patil note that the government plans to upgrade power transmission lines to 900 gigawatts (GW) of capacity, up from 485 GW, by 2030, with an investment of Rs 3.4 lakh crore to meet rising power demand. They expect this investment in transmission projects to drive GE Vernova's order book in the medium term.

Management expects Power Grid Corporation to launch two high-voltage direct current (HVDC) contracts in FY26 with an order potential of over Rs 17,000 crore. Analysts note that the company's order book doubled to Rs 13,000 crore in Q1FY26 and expect strong revenue visibility over the next 18–24 months. They believe GE Vernova is well-positioned to benefit from upcoming domestic and export orders and expects its revenue to grow by 25% over FY26–28.

Sandeep Zanzaria, CEO, notes, “We plan to invest Rs 250 crore to expand manufacturing capacity for HVDC valves and control units amid rising demand from Asia, the Middle East, Korea, and Europe markets. We expect exports to account for 30% of the total order book in the long term, compared to 14% now.”

5. Voltamp Transformers:

Prabhudas Lilladhar maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on this heavy electrical equipment player with a target price of Rs 10,285, a 21.2% upside. In Q1FY26, revenue declined 1% YoY to Rs 423.5 crore due to lower order billing and higher employee costs, while net profit rose marginally to Rs 79.5 crore, supported by an increase in other income.

Analysts Amit Anwani and Prathmesh Salunkhe note that the company's order book increased 18.3% YoY to Rs 1,260 crore in Q1FY26 due to the execution of orders with shorter delivery timelines of under nine months. This helped the company secure a higher order book and reduced supply chain uncertainty. 

Management expects to see strong demand for power transformers, helped by rising public and private sector capital expenditure across data centres, cement, oil & gas, and the green energy industry. Analysts note that to meet this growing demand, Voltamp is ramping up its 6,000 megavolt-ampere (MVA) capacity with a Rs 200 crore investment, expected to be operational by Q1FY27.

Analysts expect rising competition in 220-kilovolt (kV) power transformers and higher capacity additions to stabilise Voltamp's EBITDA margin at around 18.9% over the medium term. They also expect its strong market position in industrial transformers and strong demand momentum to grow a revenue CAGR of 11% by FY27.

Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.

(You can find all analyst picks here)

Market closes lower, Exide Industries' net profit misses Forecaster estimates by 11% in Q1
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 24,649.55 (-73.2, -0.3%), BSE Sensex closed at 80,710.25 (-308.5, -0.4%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 22,798.50 (-61.9, -0.3%). Market breadth is in the red. Of the 2,487 stocks traded today, 955 were on the uptick, and 1,484 were down.

Indian indices closed in the red after US President Donald Trump issued a fresh tariff threat on Monday, saying he would "substantially" raise levies on Indian goods over the country’s purchases of Russian oil. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, declined 2.6% and closed at 11.7 points. RBI’s MPC meeting is set to conclude tomorrow. Rahul Bajoria of BofA Global Research expects the repo rate to be held at 5.5%, citing ongoing market uncertainty.

Nifty Midcap 100 & Nifty Smallcap 100 closed in the red, following the benchmark index. Nifty India Defence and BSE Auto were among the top index gainers today. According to Trendlyne’s Sector dashboard, Fertilizers emerged as the best-performing sector of the day, with a rise of 2.8%.

Asian indices closed in the green except Indian indices, while European indices are trading in the green except Russia’s RTSI & MOEX indices. US index futures traded in the green indicating a positive start to the trading session. The US July jobs report confirmed worries about a slowing US economy, with payrolls rising by just 73,000, falling short of expectations. President Trump called the report "rigged" and claimed that previous months revisions were "concocted."

  • Relative strength index (RSI) indicates that stocks like Bosch, Schneider Electric, eClerx Services, and Sarda Energy & Minerals are in the overbought zone.

  • Exide Industries falls as its net profit misses Forecaster estimates by 11% despite rising 24.1% YoY to Rs 273 crore in Q1FY26. Revenue rises 5.8% YoY to Rs 4,695.1 crore, driven by improvement in the storage batteries and allied product segment. It features in screener of stocks with declining ROCE in the last two years.

  • Adani Ports & SEZ is falling as its Q1FY26 EBITDA margin contracts 214 bps YoY despite net profit growing 6.4% YoY to Rs 3,314.6 crore, owing to foreign exchange gains worth Rs 323.8 crore. Revenue rises 17% YoY to Rs 9,422.2 crore, driven by improvements in the port and special economic zone activities. It appears in a screener of stocks with increasing trend in non-core income.

  • Azad Engineering is rising as its net profit surges 73.6% YoY to Rs 29.7 crore in Q1FY26, helped by inventory destocking. Revenue increases 39.3% YoY to Rs 137.1 crore, driven by improvements in the energy and oil & gas segments during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks where mutual funds have increased their shareholding in the past two months.

  • Shares of Reliance Infrastructure and Reliance Power have fallen up to 15% over the past five days following reports that the Enforcement Directorate (ED) will question bank officials involved in a Rs 17,000 crore loan fraud case linked to the group. On Monday, the ED issued summons to several senior executives of the Anil Ambani-led Reliance Group as part of an ongoing money laundering probe.

  • Alembic Pharmaceuticals falls as its Q1FY26 revenue misses Forecaster estimates by 32.7% despite rising 9.8% YoY to Rs 1,171.2 crore, helped by improvements in the domestic & international generics and API businesses. Net profit grows 14.6% YoY to Rs 154.4 crore during the quarter. It shows up in a screener of stocks with declining net cash flow.

  • BEML secures a Rs 282 crore order from the Ministry of Defence to supply high mobility vehicles. In addition to this, the company signs an agreement with IIT Madras startup TuTr Hyperloop to co-develop India’s first hyperloop transportation system, a high-speed travel method in vacuum tubes.

  • RailTel Corp secures a Rs 217 crore order from Bihar State Electronics Development Corporation (BSEDC). The project involves implementing traffic control, video surveillance, and red-light violation detection systems under the Mukhyamantri Surakshit Sushasit Shahar (MSSS) scheme.

  • Neeraj Akhoury, MD of Shree Cements, projects a volume growth of over 4–5% for FY26 and maintains revenue growth guidance at over 9%. He expects EBITDA per tonne to be in the range of Rs 1,350–1,400 during the period. He also notes that the company is pursuing a value-over-volumes strategy.

  • KPI Green Energy is falling as its Q1FY26 EBITDA margin contracts 291 bps YoY despite net profit growing 57.2% YoY to Rs 104 crore, due to higher raw materials, inventory, employee benefits, and finance costs. Revenue jumps 75.5% YoY to Rs 614.1 crore, led by improvements in sales power & services, and captive power projects. It appears in a screener of stocks with growing costs YoY for long term projects.

  • NBCC secures an order worth Rs 103 crore from the Lokpal of India for repairing, retrofitting, and upgrading its building.

  • Aurobindo Pharma is falling as its Q1FY26 net profit declines 10.3% YoY to Rs 825 crore due to higher raw materials, inventory, and employee benefits expenses. However, revenue grows 2.4% YoY to Rs 7,973 crore, driven by improvements in Europe and emerging markets. It shows up in a screener of stocks where promoters increase pledged shares QoQ.

  • Rahul Bajoria, Head of India and ASEAN Economic Research at BofA Global Research, expects the RBI to hold the repo rate at 5.5% in the ongoing policy meeting, despite having room to cut. He cites ongoing market uncertainty as a reason for a likely pause, adding that the RBI may use its limited policy space cautiously, as hinted by Governor Sanjay Malhotra in the previous policy statement.

  • Bosch's net profit rises 139.4% YoY to Rs 1,116 crore in Q1FY26, helped by a one-time gain from the sale of its building technologies business. Revenue grows 10.9% YoY to Rs 4,788.6 crore, helped by improvements in the automotive products and consumer goods segments. It shows up in a screener of stocks with QoQ growth in quarterly net profit and profit margin.

  • Goldman Sachs maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on PNB Housing with a target price of Rs 1,386. The brokerage highlights that profitability remains intact despite the exit of its MD & CEO, driven by stable asset quality and growth in its lending business. It also expects a net profit CAGR of 15% over FY26–28.

  • Laxmi Finance's shares debut on the bourses at a 13% discount to the issue price of Rs 158. The Rs 254.3 crore IPO received bids for 1.9 times the total shares on offer.

  • Aditya Khemka, Managing Director of Aditya Infotech, states that their 'CP Plus' brand holds a market share of over 20% as of FY25. He highlights that the surveillance camera industry has been growing at a rate of 16–17% in recent years. Khemka also points to the company’s ten strategically located warehouses across India and emphasizes its position as a leading player in the country’s CCTV and surveillance market.

  • Aditya Infotech's shares debut on the bourses at a 50.4% premium to the issue price of Rs 675. The Rs 1,300 crore IPO received bids for 100.7 times the total shares on offer.

  • Kansai Nerolac Paints' net profit drops 4.3% YoY to Rs 220.9 crore in Q1FY26 due to higher raw material costs. Revenue rises 2.2% YoY to Rs 2,214.6 crore, driven by muted demand for decorative paints and infrastructure-related segments. The firm appears in a screener of stocks with low debt.

  • Siemens Energy India surges to its all-time high of Rs 3,419 as its Q1FY26 net profit surges 80.2% YoY to Rs 262.7 crore. Revenue jumps 23.8% YoY to Rs 1,837.1 crore, driven by improvements in the power generation and power transmission segments. It appears in a screener of stocks outperforming their industries in price change over the past month.

  • Hero MotoCorp discontinues its "Mavrick 440" motorcycle less than 18 months after launch due to poor sales. The bike sees no production or dispatches across India for the past three months. The company has halted production and dispatches, and several dealerships has stopped accepting bookings, marking the end of the model’s run.

  • Triveni Turbine falls sharply as its net profit declines 19.4% YoY to Rs 64.5 crore in Q1FY26. Revenue decreases 19.9% YoY to Rs 371.3 crore due to export delays amid geopolitical tensions during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks underperforming their industry price change in the quarter.

  • Godfrey Phillips India surges to its all-time high of Rs 9,881.5 as its Q1FY26 net profit jumps 55.9% YoY to Rs 356.3 crore. Revenue grows 28.5% YoY to Rs 1,562.9 crore during the quarter. Its board of directors approves a bonus issue of equity shares of the face value of Rs 2 each in the ratio 2:1.

  • IndusInd Bank surges as its board appoints Rajiv Anand as the new Chief Executive Officer (CEO) and Managing Director (MD) for three years, effective August 25.

  • One97 Communications (Paytm) is falling as the Chinese investor, Ant Group, reportedly plans to exit the company by selling its 5.8% stake worth $434 million (~ Rs 3,800 crore) through a block deal.

  • Nifty 50 was trading at 24,690.60 (-32.2, -0.1%), BSE Sensex was trading at 80,946.43 (-72.3, -0.1%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 22847.50 (-12.9, -0.1%).

  • Market breadth is surging up. Of the 1,990 stocks traded today, 1,308 were on the uptick, and 622 were down.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include UNO Minda Ltd. (1,103.10, 3.9%), Solar Industries India Ltd. (14,920, 3.9%) and Coromandel International Ltd. (2,619, 3.0%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Swiggy Ltd. (385.55, -3.4%), Biocon Ltd. (372.35, -2.6%) and Britannia Industries Ltd. (5,635.50, -2.6%).

Crowd Puller Stocks

19 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Newgen Software Technologies Ltd. (941.70, 12.9%), Tanla Platforms Ltd. (672.10, 11.6%) and Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. (9,874.50, 9.9%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Triveni Turbine Ltd. (532.85, -9.7%), Medplus Health Services Ltd. (876.75, -4.6%) and One97 Communications Ltd. (1,053, -2.3%).

Tata Investment Corporation Ltd. (7,138, 2.3%) was trading at 14.7 times of weekly average. Alembic Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (946.50, -2.1%) and UNO Minda Ltd. (1,103.10, 3.9%) were trading with volumes 6.7 and 5.7 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

12 stocks overperformed with 52 week highs,

Stocks touching their year highs included - Bosch Ltd. (40,595, -1.3%), Fortis Healthcare Ltd. (867.90, 0.7%) and JK Cement Ltd. (6,928, 2.1%).

24 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Tanla Platforms Ltd. (672.10, 11.6%) and Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals Ltd. (567.50, 6.6%). 11 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Timken India Ltd. (2,991.20, -3.2%) and LIC Housing Finance Ltd. (579.65, -1.9%).

Market closes higher, Marico's revenue grows 23.3% YoY to Rs 3,259 crore in Q1
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 24,722.75 (157.4, 0.6%), BSE Sensex closed at 81,018.72 (418.8, 0.5%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 22,860.40 (186.8, 0.8%).Market breadth is in the green. Of the 2,518 stocks traded today, 1,430 showed gains, and 1,038 showed losses.

Indian indices closed higher after extending gains throughout the day. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, fell marginally and closed at 12 points. MCX closed 5% higher after its Q1FY26 revenue rose 60.3% YoY to Rs 405.8 crore, driven by an increase in average daily turnover (ADT) in the futures and options segments.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed higher. Nifty Capital Markets and BSE Metal were among the top index gainers today. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, Metals & Mining emerged as the best-performing sector of the day, with a rise of 2.4%.

Asian indices closed mixed. European indices are trading in the green, except for Switzerland's SMI, which is trading in the red. US index futures are trading higher as weak jobs data has raised hopes of a rate cut as early as September. Investors are also watching for upcoming earnings from major companies like Williams, Axon and Oneok due later today. Brent crude futures are trading lower after falling 3.9% on Friday.

  • Money flow index (MFI) indicates that stocks like Dr Lal Pathlabs, Fortis Healthcare, GE Vernova T&D India, and Schneider Electric are in the overbought zone.

  • Marico's revenue grows 23.3% YoY to Rs 3,259 crore in Q1FY26, driven by growth in the Indian and international businesses. Net profit rises 8.6% YoY to Rs 504 crore during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks with annual profits improving from last two years.

  • Epigral is falling sharply as its Q1FY26 revenue misses Forecaster estimates by 1.7% after declining 5.9% YoY to Rs 614.8 crore due to reductions in volumes and realisations. However, net profit surges 87.1% YoY to Rs 160.7 crore, driven by lower raw materials expenses and tax returns worth Rs 79.1 crore. It shows up in a screener of stocks where promoters are decreasing their shareholdings.

  • Neogen Chemicals is falling as its net profit declines 10.6% YoY to Rs 10.3 crore in Q1FY26 due to higher employee costs and operational disruption from the Dahej plant fire. However, revenue grows 3.8% YoY to Rs 186.7 crore, supported by new launches in its battery chemicals division during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks with PE ratio higher than the Industry average.

  • The RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee begins its meeting today, concluding on August 6. Majority of experts in a poll expect a pause in rate cuts, citing lower-than-expected growth and inflation. They also point to possible global trade shifts from US tariffs on Chinese goods, which could influence RBI’s stance. Easing inflation concerns, with June CPI at a 5.5-year low, add to the policy uncertainty.

  • Tata Investment Corp is rising as its board approves a 10-for-1 stock split.

  • Larsen & Toubro's renewables business unit receives a significant order worth Rs 1,000–2,500 crore from Bihar State Power Generation Company (BSPGCL). The work involves developing a grid-connected 241 MWh battery energy storage system (BESS) at Kajra in Bihar.

  • GR Infraprojects is rising as its Q1FY26 net profit jumps 57% YoY to Rs 244.1 crore, helped by lower construction, employee benefits, and depreciation & amortisation expenses. However, revenue declines 1.2% YoY to Rs 2,027.3 crore due to reductions in the build, operate & transfer (BOT) projects. It appears in a screener of stocks with dividend yield greater than sector dividend yield.

  • Sharan Bansal, Director at Skipper, projects revenue growth of over 25% in FY26, with expected order inflows between Rs 6,500–7,000 crore. He highlights that the company’s bidding pipeline as of Q1FY26 stands at over Rs 30,000 crore. Exports currently make up 10% of the order book, which he expects to rise to 15% in FY26. He also notes that the US accounts for just 1% of the current order book.

  • Narayana Hrudayalaya is falling as its net profit declines 2.4% YoY to Rs 196.7 crore in Q1FY26 due to higher employee costs and spending on new hospitals and services. However, revenue grows 12.4% YoY to Rs 1,507.3 crore, driven by increased patient volumes and expansion in both India and overseas markets, particularly the Cayman Islands. The company appears in a screener of stocks underperforming their industry price change in the quarter.

  • Honeywell Automation is falling as its net profit drops 8.7% YoY to Rs 125 crore in Q1FY26 due to higher raw material costs and employee benefit expenses. Revenue rises 21.9% YoY to Rs 1,225 crore, driven by ramp-up in project execution. The firm appears in a screener of stocks where foreign institutional investors (FIIs) are increasing their shareholding.

  • UPL rises sharply as its net loss narrows to Rs 88 crore in Q1FY26 from Rs 384 crore a year ago, helped by a deferred tax credit of Rs 219 crore. Revenue grows 1.6% YoY to Rs 9,216 crore, driven by improvements in the seeds and non-agro segments. The company shows up in a screener of stocks with zero promoter pledge.

  • Oil prices decline after OPEC+ approves a significant output hike, raising concerns over global oversupply amid slowing economic growth from the US-led trade war. Brent slipped toward $69 a barrel and WTI neared $67, as the group backed a 5,47,000 bpd increase from September. Uncertainty remains over further easing of supply curbs.

  • Delhivery surges to its 52-week high of Rs 452.6 as its Q1FY26 net profit jumps 67.5% YoY to Rs 91.1 crore. Revenue grows 6.2% YoY to Rs 2,423.9 crore owing to improvements in the express parcel and part truck load segments. It features in a screener of stocks with high trailing twelve-month (TTM) EPS growth.

  • Titagarh Rail is rising as it secures an order worth Rs 1,599 crore from NCC. The work involves designing, manufacturing, and commissioning 108 metro coaches for the Mumbai Metro Rail Project.

  • Axiscades Tech is rising as it secures a Rs 223.9 crore order from the Ministry of Defence to supply 212 trailers, each with a capacity of 50 tons, for tank transport.

  • Godrej Properties is reportedly planning to enter the corporate bond market later this month with its largest issuance to date. The company is expected to raise approximately Rs 2,000 crore (around $230 million) through the sale of short-term bonds, with maturities ranging between three and five years.

  • JSW Steel plans to invest Rs 5,845 crore to expand its grain-oriented electrical steel (GOES) manufacturing capacity to 350,000 tons per annum. The expansion will take place at its Karnataka and Maharashtra facilities through its Japanese joint venture partner, JFE Steel Corporation.

  • ABB India is falling as its net profit drops 20.6% YoY to Rs 351.7 crore in Q1FY26 due to forex volatility and higher expenses. Revenue rises 12.2% YoY to Rs 3,275.1 crore, driven by strong order execution in the electrification segment and higher exports. The firm appears in a screener of stocks with zero promoter pledge.

  • Dilip Buildcon is rising as its joint venture (JV) with RBL bags a Rs 1,503.6 crore order from Gurugram Metro Rail (GMRL) to construct a viaduct and 14 elevated stations.

  • Adani Group clarifies that the Bloomberg report suggesting possible tie-ups with Chinese companies is inaccurate and misleading. The company states that it is not exploring any form of collaboration with BYD for battery manufacturing in India and is not engaged in any discussions with Beijing Welion New Energy for any kind of partnership.

  • Sarda Energy & Minerals rises sharply as its net profit surges 1.2X YoY to Rs 434.4 crore in Q1FY26. Revenue increases 76.3% YoY to Rs 1,633.1 crore, driven by improvements in the ferro alloys and power segments during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks where mutual funds have increased their shareholding in the past two months.

  • Multi Commodity Exchange of India is rising sharply as its Q1FY26 net profit surges 83.2% YoY to Rs 203.1 crore. Revenue jumps 60.3% YoY to Rs 405.8 crore, driven by improvements in average daily turnover (ADT) in the futures and options segments. It appears in a screener of stocks with negative to positive growth in sales & profit, and strong price momentum.

  • Federal Bank is falling as its net profit drops 14.6% YoY to Rs 861.8 crore in Q1FY26 due to rise in provisions and contingencies. However, revenue increases 5.6% YoY to Rs 6,686.6 crore, driven by improvements in the treasury, retail and wholesale banking segments during the quarter. The bank's asset quality improves as its gross and net NPAs declines by 20 bps and 12 bps YoY, respectively.

  • Tata Power's Q1FY26 net profit grows 9.2% YoY to Rs 1,059.9 crore owing to lower power and fuel expenses. Revenue increases 4.9% YoY to Rs 18,396.8 crore, led by improvements in the renewables and transmission & distribution segments. It features in a screener of stocks with rising returns on capital employed (RoCE) over the past two years.

  • Nifty 50 was trading at 24,633.40 (68.1, 0.3%), BSE Sensex was trading at 80,765.83 (165.9, 0.2%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 22,722.25 (48.6, 0.2%).

  • Market breadth is in the green. Of the 2,047 stocks traded today, 1,064 were on the uptrend, and 906 went down.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Aditya Birla Capital Ltd. (278.45, 10.7%), UPL Ltd. (711.70, 7%) and Hero MotoCorp Ltd. (4,535.90, 5.2%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Thermax Ltd. (3,539, -6.3%), ABB India Ltd. (5,092.50, -5.5%) and GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (2,869, -2.3%).

Volume Shockers

24 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Sarda Energy & Minerals Ltd. (524.25, 19.3%), Aditya Birla Capital Ltd. (278.45, 10.7%) and Capri Global Capital Ltd. (190.12, 8.4%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Narayana Hrudayalaya Ltd. (1,829.70, -6.0%), ABB India Ltd. (5,092.50, -5.5%) and AIA Engineering Ltd. (3,070, -0.8%).

Endurance Technologies Ltd. (2,606, 5.2%) was trading at 13.7 times of weekly average. Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Ltd. (408.55, 7.0%) and Star Cement Ltd. (262.86, 7.8%) were trading with volumes 10.4 and 7.2 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

10 stocks overperformed with 52 week highs, while 4 stocks hit their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Bosch Ltd. (41,115, 1.8%), CCL Products India Ltd. (930, 4.0%) and eClerx Services Ltd. (4,087.30, 7.6%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - AIA Engineering Ltd. (3,070, -0.8%) and Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. (3,074.40, 2.4%).

14 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Sarda Energy & Minerals Ltd. (524.25, 19.3%) and Capri Global Capital Ltd. (190.12, 8.4%). 28 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Thermax Ltd. (3,539, -6.3%) and PNB Housing Finance Ltd. (778.50, -3.7%).

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The Baseline
01 Aug 2025, 05:05PM
Five Interesting Stocks Today - August 1, 2025
By Trendlyne Analysis

1. Gravita India:

Thisrecycling company rose 3% on July 29 after announcing its Q1results. Revenue went up 17% YoY, outperformingForecaster estimates, driven by higher volumes and a better product mix. Net profit also came in ahead of estimates, rising 39% YoY.

Chairman and MD Rajat Agrawal credited the aluminium recycling business for this outperformance,saying, “Our aluminium business has contributed significantly, with profitability across the value chain: from scrap procurement to ingot manufacturing and downstream products.”

The companygets 90% of its revenue from lead recycling, and the remaining from aluminium and plastics. Aluminium was the clear outperformer in Q1, with volumes doubling from a year ago. The lead and plastics businesses remained steady, pushing total volumes up 12% YoY. The revenue share of value-added products improved to 47%, helping EBITDA margins expand to 11.8%.

Gravita has an ambitiousroadmap: it aims to grow volumes at 25% CAGR and profits at 35% CAGR through FY28. It also plans to double its recycling capacity with a capex of Rs 1,500 crore over the next four years. The company is entering new verticals such as lithium-ion battery, rubber, paper, and steel. Of these, rubber and paper are expected to go live this fiscal year.

The global business continues to play a big role, contributing over 50% to the topline. Agrawalsaid, “We are working on expanding our overseas recycling facilities, with a focus on Africa and Latin America.” We are also securing new collection and supply partnerships to de-risk procurement and improve operating leverage.

Axis Securitiesmaintains a ‘Buy’ rating on Gravita with a target price of Rs 2,600, implying a 45% upside. It sees the company’s integrated model, rising share of value-added products, and policy support from the government as strong positives. That said, it flags base metal price volatility as a key short-term risk to margins.

2. Cipla:

This pharma company gave up its post-result gains after Trump sent a letter to 17 global drugmakers on August 1, asking them to cut US drug prices and match what other countries pay. He also demanded lower prices for existing drugs and guarantees that future medicines will be priced in line with other countries. These moves could hit US revenue for Indian pharma exporters. Cipla earns over a quarter of its revenue from the US.

The company had jumped over 5% in two sessions following a target price upgrade to Rs 1,651 from Nuvama, with the ‘Hold’ rating maintained. This came after its Q1FY26 results, where net profit rose 10% YoY, beating Forecaster estimates by 7.4% on higher other income and lower depreciation costs.

Cipla’s revenue rose 5% YoY but fell short of estimates due to a drop in US sales, which came in at $226 million. This was mainly due to weaker sales in its cancer drug Revlimid, while Lanreotide, used for rare tumors, saw flat sales. The company is targeting $1 billion in US revenue by FY27, backed by new product launches in areas like respiratory, cancer, peptides, and biosimilars.

Cipla’s India business grew 6% in Q1, slower than expected due to a dip in demand for acute therapies (treatments like colds, fevers, and infections), which rose only 4–5%. However, the management expects growth to align with the market over the next 2–3 quarters. MD & CEO Umang Vohra said the company is preparing to launch GLP-1 products (used for diabetes and weight loss) in India and other global markets, and sees it as a major growth opportunity from FY27 onwards.

Vohra added, “We ended the quarter with a net cash balance of Rs 10,400 crore, which we plan to use to fill gaps in our India portfolio through acquisitions, expand manufacturing capacity, and acquire specialised assets in the US and other international markets.”

Axis Securities has a ‘Buy’ rating on Cipla, noting its focus on expanding the branded prescription business in India through new launches and a stronger sales team. It projects Cipla’s sales and net profit to grow at a CAGR of 8.1% and 7.9%, respectively, over FY26–28.

3. Zen Technologies:

Thisdefence company has fallen 17.9% over the past week after it announced weakQ1FY26 results. Its net profit declined 37.8% YoY to Rs 47.8 crore, while revenue fell 37.9% YoY to Rs 158.2 crore. This was a twinForecaster estimate miss. The company underperformedbecause it could not book Rs 60-70 crore in revenue this quarter as customers requested changes in product specifications, which delayed this revenue to the next quarter (Q2FY26).

Commenting on the results, Ashok Atluri, the company's Chairman and Managing Director,said, “Regular procurements slowed down because of new emergency procurement happening post Operation Sindoor.” Regular procurements such as simulators, were slightly delayedas the Ministry of Defence prioritised emergency purchases following the operation.

Zen Technologies remains optimistic about its future order inflow and revenue. The managementexpects an order inflow of Rs 650 crore by the end of Q2FY26, driven by anticipated orders for anti-drone systems (ADS) as part of emergency procurement. The company’s order bookstands at Rs 754.6 crore. Atlurisaid, “We are confident in maintaining our targeted cumulative revenue of Rs 6,000 crore over the next three financial years.”

So far this year, the company has invested around Rs 160 crore in fouracquisitions to strengthen its presence in naval simulation, drones, defense robotics, and loitering munitions. These include Vector Technics, Applied Research International (ARIPL) and its affiliate ARI Labs (ALPL), Bhairav Robotics, and TISA Aerospace, which are all expected to open new areas for growth.

Following the results, ICICI Securitiesdowngraded the stock to ‘Hold’ from ‘Buy’, citing weaker Q1FY26 performance due to execution delays. However, it remains positive on Zen’s long-term outlook, backed by strong revenue guidance and expected order inflows. But to deliver growth, Zen must improve order flow and execute key contracts like the anti-drone system.

4. Nestle India:

The stock of this packaged foods company dropped 1.9% over the past week following the announcement of its Q1FY26 results. The company posted a 5.1% YoY increase in revenue, led by strong performance in the powdered & liquid beverages and breakfast cereal segments. However, net profit dropped 13.4% to Rs 646.6 crore, impacted by high input costs for milk, cocoa, and edible oil. The profit figure also missed Forecaster estimates by 18.9%, largely due to increased operational expenses from recent capacity expansions. The stock features in a screener of companies where FIIs and FPIs are raising their holdings.

Nestle’s revenue growth in the milk products & nutrition segment remained muted, with a mid-single-digit decline in infant nutrition due to advertising restrictions and increased competition. Commenting on the category’s performance, Nestlé India Chairman and MD, Suresh Narayanan, said, “The milk and nutrition category has been hit by inflation and price hikes, limiting volume growth. It also faces strong competition from cooperatives, pressuring both volumes and pricing. We remain focused on sustainable, profitable growth and have proactively removed refined sugar from baby food to meet regulatory and consumer expectations. Portfolio challenges in this category are also being addressed.”

The company’s e-commerce segment maintained its growth momentum, contributing 12.5% to domestic sales, driven by quick commerce and new product launches. Export revenue rose 16% YoY to Rs 214 crore, recovering from a 7% drop in Q1FY25, with solid performance in coffee, instant tea, and breakfast cereals, despite pressure from high commodity costs.

Sharekhan maintained a ‘Buy’ rating on Nestlé India but lowered the target price to Rs 2,600. The brokerage noted that Q1FY26 was weak due to multiple headwinds impacting profitability. Despite this, Nestlé’s strong domestic presence, expanding distribution & capacity, and rising out-of-home consumption position it well for growth in a stable demand environment. While volatile commodity prices are expected to pressure margins, the company’s pricing power and cost-saving efforts could help offset the impact.

5. MphasiS:

ThisIT consulting and software firm rose 5% on July 25 after reporting total contract value (TCV) wins of $760 million inQ1FY26, nearly double the previous quarter. AI-led deals made up 68% of the TCV, compared to 30% a year earlier. Management expects to complete these orders within the next two quarters.

Mphasis' revenue grew 1.2% QoQ in Q1FY26, supported by strong order execution and demand for its AI-led digital transformation services. Net profit declined slightly due to a higher tax rate, and delayed client payments.

Management noted that macro volatility and slower decision-making, influenced by tariff and geopolitical uncertainties, have delayed client spending. Despite these delays, CEO Nitin Rakesh is optimistic,saying, “We aim to grow revenue at nearly twice the industry pace in FY26, targeting over 8% growth.”

The top four IT firms—TCS, Infosys, HCLTech, and Wipro—reported flat to mixed results in Q1FY26, as US tariff-related risks slowed deal activity. TCS’s deal wins fell 22.9% QoQ due to the BSNL contract wind-down and client payment delays, while HCLTech posted a 39.4% QoQ drop from delays in new deal closures and project ramp-downs.

In contrast, Infosys and Wipro reported deal growth of 46.1% and 24.1% QoQ, supported by strong demand for AI, cloud, and digital transformation services across the banking, energy, and manufacturing sectors.

Mphasis earns 13.7% of its revenue from the insurance segment, which grew 20.4% QoQ. Rakeshnotes, “We closed several deals in this segment over the past three months, turning them into revenue. Insurance has become a key growth driver, and we expect this momentum to continue in FY26, helped by large signed deals and new client wins in the pipeline.”

Following the results, Jefferiesupgraded Mphasis to 'Buy' and raised its target price to Rs 3,100. The brokerage noted that Q1 earnings were in line with estimates, with strong deal bookings as a key positive. It expects revenue growth to improve in the near term, supported by deal wins and higher client spending in the BFSI vertical. Jefferies projects earnings per share to grow at a 12% CAGR over FY26–28.

Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movements, analyst calls, or new developments. These are not buy recommendations

Market closes lower, Godrej Properties' revenue beats Forecaster estimates by 40% in Q1
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 24,565.35 (-203, -0.8%), BSE Sensex closed at 80,599.91 (-585.7, -0.7%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 22,673.65 (-241.3, -1.1%). Market breadth is sharply down. Of the 2,480 stocks traded today, 631 were gainers and 1,796 were losers.

Indian indices closed lower after extending losses in the afternoon session. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, rose 3.8% and closed at 12 points. Eicher Motors closed higher as its net profit grew 9.4% YoY to Rs 1,205.2 crore in Q1FY26, helped by inventory destocking. Revenue increased 14.8% YoY to Rs 5,041.8 crore.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the red, tracking the benchmark index. Nifty Pharma and S&P BSE Telecom were among the worst-performing indices of the day. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology emerged as the worst-performing sector of the day, with a fall of 3.1%.

European indices are trading lower, except Russia’s RTSI and MOEX indices, which are trading 0.5% higher, each. Major Asian indices closed in the red, except Malaysia’s KLCI and Sri Lanka’s CSE All-Share indices, which closed 1.3% and 1.2%, respectively. US index futures are trading lower, indicating a cautious start to the session as the White House says it will raise tariffs on multiple countries as President Trump’s August 1 deadline passes.

  • Relative strength index (RSI) indicates that stocks like Bosch, Syrma SGS Technology, EID Parry, and Schneider Electric are in the overbought zone.

  • Adani Power's Q1 FY26 net profit falls 15.5% YoY to Rs 3,305 crore due to higher operating expenses. Revenue declines 5.8% YoY to Rs 14,573.7 crore on lower power tariff realisations. The board approves a stock split in the proportion of 1:5.

  • Great Eastern Shipping is falling as its Q1FY26 net profit declines 37.9% YoY to Rs 504.5 crore. Revenue decreases 21.5% YoY to Rs 1,336.9 crore due to reductions in the shipping and offshore segments. It shows up in a screener of stocks with declining revenue for the past four quarters.

  • Textile stocks like KPR Mill, Welspun Living, and Gokaldas Exports fall after the US cuts import duties on Bangladeshi goods to 20% from 35%, giving an edge to a key competitor of Indian garment exporters. These companies derive 40–70% of their revenue from the US and now face pricing pressure.

  • Oil marketing companies cut the price of a 19 kg commercial LPG cylinder by Rs 33.5, effective August 1. The revised retail price for the 19 kg cylinder is now Rs 1,631.5, while prices for 14.2 kg domestic cylinders remain unchanged.

  • Godrej Properties' Q1FY26 net profit rises 15.4% YoY to Rs 600 crore, driven by lower finance costs and higher other income. Revenue declines 4.7% YoY to Rs 1,620.3 crore due to a drop in project bookings. The firm appears in a screener of stocks with zero promoter pledge.

  • Chalet Hotels rises to a new all-time high of Rs 1,082 as its net profit surges 2.3X YoY to Rs 203.2 crore in Q1FY26. Revenue increases 1.5X YoY to Rs 894.6 crore, driven by a one-time revenue of Rs 439 crore from its Bengaluru residential project during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks outperforming their industry price change over the past quarter.

  • RR Kabel's net profit jumps 39.4% YoY to Rs 89.7 crore in Q1FY26. Revenue grows 13.4% YoY to Rs 2,070.9 crore, driven by higher exports and strong growth in the wires & cables segment. The firm appears in a screener of stocks where foreign institutional investors (FIIs) are increasing their shareholding.

  • The Andhra Pradesh government approves the Electronics Component Manufacturing Policy 4.0, offering a wide range of incentives to attract large-scale investments in electronics component production. Valid until 2030, the policy is expected to benefit Indian manufacturers like Syrma SGS and Dixon Technologies, with Syrma SGS likely to be the first major applicant.

  • TCPL Packaging's revenue grows 4.7% YoY to Rs 426.9 crore, driven by strong growth in the paperboard and flexible packaging segments. Net profit declines 29.7% YoY to Rs 22.3 crore due to higher interest expenses. The firm appears in a screener of stocks with zero promoter pledge.

  • Sun Pharmaceutical Industries is falling sharply as its Q1FY26 net profit declines 19.6% YoY to Rs 2,278.6 crore due to higher raw materials, inventory, employee benefits, and finance costs. However, revenue grows 8.6% YoY to Rs 14,315.9 crore, driven by improvements in the Indian, US, emerging markets (EM), and rest of the world (RoW) formulations segments. It shows up in a screener of stocks with high promoter pledges.

  • IIFL Finance falls sharply as its net profit declines 19% YoY to Rs 233.4 crore in Q1FY26, due to higher finance costs and impairment of some financial assets. However, its revenue rises 12.7% YoY, driven by a 21% rise in assets under management (AUM). The company shows up in a screener of stocks where promoters are decreasing their shareholding.

  • G. Shivakumar, Executive Director and CFO of Great Eastern Shipping, says dry bulk freight rates are currently above Q1 levels. He notes that replacing Russian oil with supplies from West Asia could hurt the market. He adds that average dry bulk rates range between $15,000 and $16,000.

  • Coal India's Q1FY26 net profit beats Forecaster estimates by 2.4% despite dropping 20.2% YoY to Rs 8,743.4 crore due to higher finance and contractual expenses. Revenue decreases 2.3% YoY to Rs 37,458.1 crore amid lower coal production. It appears in a screener of stocks with prices below short, medium, and long-term moving averages.

  • Pricol's Q1FY26 net profit grows 9.5% YoY to Rs 49.8 crore. Revenue rises 44.3% YoY to Rs 897.5 crore, driven by higher sales volumes and strong order inflow from automobile original equipment manufacturers. The stock appears in a screener of companies with low debt.

  • Shanti Gold International's shares debut on the bourses at a 14.3% premium to the issue price of Rs 199. The Rs 360.1 crore IPO received bids for 81.2 times the total shares on offer.

  • Jane Street is reportedly not cooperating with the Income Tax Department in the ongoing investigation. Reports indicate the firm maintains its books overseas, despite Indian company law requiring local record-keeping. It has only a minimal staff presence in India, who are also said to be uncooperative. This development follows an I-T survey conducted a day earlier at the Mumbai office of Jane Street’s local trading partner, Nuvama Wealth Management.

  • Aarti Industries is falling as its net profit declines 68.6% YoY to Rs 43 crore in Q1FY26 due to higher raw material prices and lower realisation in its specialty chemicals segment. Revenue falls 9.8% YoY to Rs 1,679 crore due to weak demand. The company appears in a screener of stocks where mutual funds have increased their shareholding in the past month.

  • Suzlon Energy is rising as it bags a 381 MW wind turbine order from Zelestra. The company will supply 127 S144 wind turbine generators and commission the project across Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, and Tamil Nadu.

  • PNB Housing Finance is falling as its Chief Executive Officer (CEO) & Managing Director (MD), Girish Kousgi, tenders his resignation, effective October 28.

  • India's manufacturing PMI hits a 16-month high of 59.1 in July, up from 58.4 in June, driven by robust growth in new orders and output. However, business confidence and hiring showed signs of softening.

  • JSW Energy's Q1FY26 net profit jumps 42.4% YoY to Rs 743.1 crore. Revenue grows 77.8% YoY to Rs 5,411.2 crore, driven by improvements in the thermal and renewables segments. It features in a screener of stocks with high trailing twelve-month (TTM) EPS growth.

  • City Union Bank is rising as its net profit grows 15.7% YoY to Rs 305.9 crore in Q1FY26. Revenue increases 15.6% YoY to Rs 1,605.3 crore, driven by improvements in the treasury, retail and wholesale banking segments during the quarter. The bank's asset quality improves as its gross and net NPAs declines by 89 bps and 67 bps YoY, respectively.

  • Swiggy is falling sharply as its Q1FY26 net loss expands 95.9% YoY to Rs 1,197 crore due to higher inventory, employee benefits, finance, advertising & sales, and delivery expenses. However, revenue grows 52.5% YoY to Rs 5,048 crore, driven by improvements in the food delivery, out-of-home consumption, quick commerce, and supply chain & distribution segments. It shows up in a screener of stocks with low Piotroski scores.

  • Eicher Motors is rising as its net profit grows 9.4% YoY to Rs 1,205.2 crore in Q1FY26, helped by inventory destocking. Revenue increases 14.8% YoY to Rs 5,041.8 crore, driven by strong sales of new and updated models like the Hunter 350 and higher exports. The company appears in a screener of stocks where mutual funds have increased their shareholding in the past two months.

  • Nifty 50 was trading at 24,726 (-42.4, -0.2%), BSE Sensex was trading at 81,074.41 (-111.2, -0.1%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 22,902.65 (-12.3, -0.1%).

  • Market breadth is in the green. Of the 1,979 stocks traded today, 1,262 showed gains, and 674 showed losses.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Suzlon Energy Ltd. (65.95, 7.1%), Waaree Energies Ltd. (3,104, 3.7%) and Trent Ltd. (5,180, 3.2%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (2,900, -8.3%), UPL Ltd. (665.15, -5.5%) and Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. (1,079.80, -5.3%).

Volume Rockets

29 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included KIOCL Ltd. (362.05, 13.9%), Suzlon Energy Ltd. (65.95, 7.1%) and Supreme Petrochem Ltd. (830, 5.6%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were PNB Housing Finance Ltd. (808.45, -18.0%), IIFL Finance Ltd. (427.20, -10.6%) and GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (2,900, -8.3%).

Chalet Hotels Ltd. (890.35, -2.1%) was trading at 82.4 times of weekly average. Network18 Media & Investments Ltd. (57.47, 3.6%) and Procter & Gamble Health Ltd. (6217, 5.5%) were trading with volumes 22.2 and 9.2 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

11 stocks made 52 week highs, while 2 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Bosch Ltd. (40,115, -0.7%), eClerx Services Ltd. (3,790, 0.6%) and Fortis Healthcare Ltd. (860.95, 0.4%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. (3,003, -1.1%) and Five-Star Business Finance Ltd. (598.25, 0.8%).

8 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Network18 Media & Investments Ltd. (57.47, 3.6%) and MMTC Ltd. (66.27, 2.5%). 37 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including PNB Housing Finance Ltd. (808.45, -18.0%) and Capri Global Capital Ltd. (175.36, -5.9%).

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The Baseline
31 Jul 2025, 06:49PM
By Abdullah Shah

2025 began with US President Trump launching a wave of reciprocal import tariffs on all its trading partners, sparking fears of an economic slowdown, and launching a global race to cut trade deals with the US. Just before the August 1 deadline, Trump announced a 25% tariff on Indian imports and warned of additional penalties over India’s ongoing oil and arms trade with Russia. The move has raised concerns about the future of India–US trade relations.

The US also imposed 50% tariffs on most Brazilian goods, 19% on the Philippines, and 15% on South Korea. A flat 50% tariff was also introduced on all semi-finished copper products and copper-intensive derivatives, disrupting global supply chains in manufacturing and electronics.

The US economy has long had a reputation for policy stability. This over the decades, has made US treasuries and the dollar the chosen “safe haven” for countries globally. But these tariffs, along with Trump’s threats on Truth Social, a new deficit-busting spending bill and the Federal Reserve's slowing rate cuts, have added fresh uncertainty and weakened the dollar. 

The Fed paused rate cuts in late 2024, but investors now expect two more cuts in the second half of 2025. Other central banks, including Brazil, Mexico and Japan, are holding rates steady. This has given the ‘carry trade’ strategy a boost, where investors borrow in low-interest currencies (like the USD) and invest in higher-yielding ones, making money off the higher interest.

Growing concern about the country’s long-term finances is adding pressure to the US dollar. The government’s rising debt, ongoing budget deficits, and repeated political standoffs over the debt ceiling have spooked investors. In May, Moody’s downgraded the US credit outlook from ‘stable’ to ‘negative’, warning that “persistent, large fiscal deficits will drive the government’s debt and interest burden higher” without stronger fiscal policies. 

Speaking on the deteriorating US dollar, RBC Global Asset Management’s Managing Director & Senior Portfolio Manager, Daniel Mitchell, said, “Trump's second term, we think, will come to be known as marking the beginning of a multi-year dollar decline and a momentous shift for foreign-exchange markets that will impact the broader investment landscape.”

In this week’s Chart of the Week, we explore the dollar’s performance in 2025. The Russian ruble, euro, and Singapore dollar have gained ground. India stands out as the only major economy whose currency has weakened against the dollar. The rupee's fall is driven by foreign investor outflows, volatile crude prices, and US tariffs, all adding pressure on the Indian economy.

Foreign outflows, oil swings and policy worries weigh on the rupee

The Indian rupee has weakened against the US dollar in 2025, hitting an all-time low of Rs 87.7 per dollar on July 31. The decline deepened after US President Trump announced 25% import tariffs on Indian goods, excluding pharmaceuticals and electronics, effective August 1.

The US is India’s largest export destination, generating $86 billion in FY25. These tariffs are expected to reduce Indian exports, widen the overall trade deficit, and lower demand for the rupee among US importers.

Although global crude oil prices have stayed low, occasional spikes—driven by tensions in the Middle East—have raised India’s import costs and increased the demand for US dollars, adding further pressure on the rupee.

Another factor weighing on the rupee is persistent selling by foreign investors. In 2025, they have remained net sellers due to a mix of weak stock performance and uncertainty over India–US trade negotiations. Add to that expectations of interest rate cuts from the RBI, and the rupee appears less attractive to global investors.

The RBI has cut interest rates by 100 bps this year to support growth and may ease further. In contrast, the US Federal Reserve has held rates steady. While India’s rates are still higher than the US, the narrowing interest rate gap reduces the appeal of rupee-denominated assets, making dollar assets more attractive. Despite RBI’s earlier interventions in the forex market to support the rupee, these efforts have not been enough to stem its decline.

Carry trade drives Brazilian real and Mexican peso’s appreciation against the US dollar

The Brazilian real and Mexican peso have surged 13% and 10.9% against the US dollar in 2025, fueled by the popular ‘carry trade’ strategy.

To combat rising inflation, Brazil hiked interest rates from 11.3% in November 2024 to 15% by June 2025—far above the US rate of 4.5%. This wide interest rate gap attracted global investors seeking higher returns.

The Bank of Mexico (Banxico) has also kept rates relatively high, cutting gradually to 8% in June 2025 from 11.3% in 2023. Despite the drop, the rate remains attractive compared to the US.

Additionally, Mexico is benefiting from the nearshoring trend, as companies shift supply chains closer to the US, driving foreign investment into its manufacturing sector and boosting exports.

Eurozone’s euro & UK’s pound get a boost from foreign investments

The Eurozone’s euro and the United Kingdom’s (UK’s) British pound improved by 10.6% and 5.9%, respectively against the US dollar in 2025. The Eurozone and the UK have seen strong growth in foreign investments during the year. The Eurozone won investments in the green initiatives and AI infrastructure sectors, while the UK attracted investments in the real estate, fintech, and green energy sectors. 

The Eurozone’s European Central Bank (ECB) cut its policy rate to 2.2%, but indicated that there will be no further rate cuts. Meanwhile, the UK’s Bank of England (BoE) kept the policy rate unchanged at 4.3% in its meeting in June, citing persistent inflation in the services sector.

The UK’s GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 was stronger than expected, outperforming other G7 economies and reinforcing confidence in its ability to withstand global pressures, further driving the momentum of the British pound.

Yen recovers, yuan holds firm as Asian currencies strengthen

Japan’s yen is making a comeback in 2025 after hitting record lows last year. In January, the Bank of Japan raised its interest rate from 0.25% to 0.5%, its biggest hike since 2007, ending years of ultra-low rates. This move has encouraged global investors to return to Japanese bond markets. At the same time, large domestic investors, such as insurers and pension funds, are bringing money back home to invest locally. 

The Chinese yuan has remained stable in 2025 despite ongoing concerns about economic growth. While foreign investors have largely stayed away, the Chinese government has rolled out new stimulus measures to revive demand. State-owned banks have stepped in to support the yuan when needed. This combination of targeted support and early signs of recovery has helped keep the currency steady.

The Singapore dollar has risen 5.5% this year. With low inflation and no major policy shifts, investors continue to see it as a safe and dependable currency.

The Australian dollar is also holding up well in 2025, backed by strong global demand for commodities, especially iron ore. China’s consistent need for Australian iron ore has been a key driver. The Reserve Bank of Australia has kept interest rates unchanged this year, which has further supported the currency.

The Russian ruble surges against the US dollar, backed by a high policy rate

The Russian ruble (RUB) has endured extreme volatility against the US dollar since Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine. It initially plunged to RUB 134 per dollar in February 2022 due to sweeping Western sanctions

Aggressive countermeasures by the Russian Central Bank, including strict capital controls and demands for ruble payments for natural gas, coupled with high energy prices, led to a remarkable recovery to RUB 54.2 by June 2022.

From that peak, the ruble depreciated steadily, hitting RUB 110.4 per dollar in January 2025, influenced by declining export revenues, rising imports, and new US sanctions. Yet, 2025 has brought a rebound, with the ruble strengthening to RUB 77.2 per dollar by May. The general weakening of the US dollar, combined with the Russian Central Bank's high 18% policy rate, has made the ruble a more attractive currency to hold.