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Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
25 May 2022
Market closes lower, ICICI Direct maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on Divi’s Laboratories

Trendlyne Analysis

Indian indices closed in the red with the volatility index, India VIX, easing by 1.4%. Major Asian indices closed higher than Tuesday’s levels amid mixed global cues. Investors continue to monitor the impact of global sell-off in technology stocks and growing worries of imminent rate hikes by central banks. US indices closed flat to lower on Tuesday amid high volatility. The tech-focused NASDAQ 100 fell over 2% after Snapchat’s parent company, Snap plunged 43% as the company warned of a worsening economic outlook. The Dow Jones recovered towards the end of the trading session and closed marginally higher. Investors await minutes from the US Federal Reserve’s previous meeting, which is due later today. European indices trade in the green, recovering from their fall on Tuesday. Eurozone's business slowed down in May as Eurozone Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) came in at 54.4 while services PMI decreased to 51.8. Both PMI numbers failed to meet the estimates.

Nifty Next 50 and Nifty Smallcap 100 closed in the red despite the benchmark index trading flat. Nifty Metal, which lost over 9% in the last two trading sessions, extended its losing streak to three days. Nifty IT closed deep in the red, following the NASDAQ 100, which fell over 2% on Tuesday.

Nifty 50closed at 16,025.80 (-99.4, -0.6%), BSE Sensexclosed at 53,749.26 (-303.4, -0.6%) while the broader Nifty 500closed at 13,587.75 (-159.5, -1.2%)

Market breadth is moving down. Of the 1,882 stocks traded today, 241 showed gains, and 1,617 showed losses.

  • Mangalore Refinery And Petrochemicals, SIS, GMR Infrastructure, and TeamLease Servicesare trading with higher volumesas compared to Tuesday.

  • Hindustan Zinc rises as the Union Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs approves selling the Centre's entire stake in Hindustan Zinc, according to reports. The government holds a 29.5% stake in the company worth Rs 36,000 crore.

  • Johnson and Johnson’s and Momenta Pharmaceuticals file a case against Natco Pharma and its marketing partner Mylan Pharmaceuticals in Pennsylvania Federal Court in USA for infringement of two patents. These patents are associated with 20mg/ml and 40mg/ml glatiramer acetate injection.

  • ICICI Direct maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on Divi’s Laboratories with a target price of Rs 4,655, indicating an upside of 19%. The brokerage is positive about the company as it remains well positioned in the custom synthesis and active pharmaceutical ingredients or API segments. The brokerage expects the company’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 7.5% over FY22-24.

  • Aether Industries’ Rs 808-crore IPO gets bids for 49% of the available 93.5 lakh shares on offer on the second day of bidding. The retail investor quota gets bids for 67% of the available 45.4 lakh shares on offer.

  • Media stocks like Zee Entertainment Enterprises, Sun TV Network, Network 18 Media & Investments, Saregama India, and TV 18 Broadcast, among others, are falling in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty Media is also trading in the red.

  • Edible oil companies' stocks like Adani Wilmar, Ruchi Soya Industries, Gujarat Ambuja Exports, among others, slump in trade after government exempts customs duty and agri cess on importing 2 million tonnes of soyabean and sunflower oil per year. This exemption is applicable for crude soyabean and sunflower oil for FY23 and FY24.

  • Metropolis Healthcare is falling as its Q4FY22 net profit declines 34.8% YoY to Rs 40 crore despite a 4.9% increase in revenue to Rs 305.9 crore. EBITDA margin falls 7.2 percentage points YoY to 26% on the back of a rise in cost of materials consumed. Revenue per patient declines by 2% YoY to Rs 904 and number of patient visits increases by 7% to 34 lakh.

  • Aster DM Healthcare is trading with more than 37 times its weekly average trading volume. Bayer Cropscience, SIS, Minda Industries, and TCI Express are trading at more than four times their weekly average trading volumes.

  • JM Financial's Q4FY22 profit rises 1.18% YoY to Rs 178.8 crore despite a 0.2% YoY fall in revenue to Rs 839.2 crore. The profit rises as the company's finance cost and employee benefit expense falls. The board of directors recommends a final dividend of Rs 1.15 per share.

  • All IT stocks trade in the red after Nomura downgraded its target price and revised its recommendation for Tata Consultancy Services, Larsen & Toubro Infotech, Wipro, HCL Technologies, and Persistent. It expects tech spending to fall because of changes in macro-economic conditions and deceleration in revenue. Nomura downgraded its rating for Tata Consultancy Services, Larsen & Toubro Infotech to 'Reduce' from 'Neutral'. It cuts its rating on Wipro, HCL Technologies, and Persistent's rating to 'Neutral' from 'Buy'.

  • ICICI Direct upgrades its rating on JK Cement from ‘Hold’ to ‘Buy’ with a target price of Rs 2,850, indicating an upside of 20%. The brokerage expects the company to expand its market share in Northern India due to its increasing production capacity. The brokerage expects the company’s profit to grow at a 22.5% CAGR over FY22-24.

  • Minda Industries’ rises even though its Q4FY22 net profit falls 4.7% YoY to Rs 156.2 crore because of a one-time deferred tax credit payment of Rs 15.6 crore. However, revenue increases 7.9% YoY to Rs 2,415 crore. The board approves the issue of bonus shares in the ratio of 1:1 and a final dividend of Rs 1 per equity share for FY22.

  • Wipro and Info Edge (India) touch 52-week low of Rs 447.7 and Rs 3,380 respectively. Both stocks are falling for four sessions.

  • Aster DM Healthcare is rising as its Q4FY22 net profit jumps 2.2 times YoY to Rs 226.3 crore and revenues increase by 14.1% to Rs 2,727.8 crore. Net profit rises as laboratory outsourcing costs fall 61% YoY to Rs 54.8 crore. Outpatient visits rise 22.2% to 5.5 lakh and in-patient visits increase by 16.5% YoY to 46,600.

  • Latent View Analytics is falling as its Q4FY22 net profit declines 28.8% QoQ to Rs 35.6 crore despite a revenue rise of 9% to Rs 117.5 crore. Net profit falls in Q4 as the company posted an exceptional item gain of Rs 22.6 crore in Q3FY22 as a part of economic relief provided by the US government. EBITDA margin increases by 60 bps QoQ to 30.5%.

  • Rail India Technical and Economic Service (RITES) is falling as its Q4FY22 net profit is flat, rising only 0.6% YoY to Rs 142.4 crore. However, revenue rises 21.7% YoY to Rs 766 crore led by export sales rising 161.3% YoY to Rs 250.1 crore. EBITDA margin falls by 170 bps YoY to 26.7%. The board recommends a dividend of Rs 3.5 per share for FY22.

  • Paint company stocks like Asian Paints and Berger Paints are down as Grasim Industries announces it will double its investment in the paints business to Rs 10,000 crore from the earlier announced Rs 5,000 crore. The company is accelerating the execution of its paints business with two of its plants at Panipat and Ludhiana already under construction.

  • Ipca Laboratories is falling as its Q4FY22 net profit declines by 19.3% YoY to 130.2 crore despite a revenue rise of 15.7% to Rs 1,289.1 crore. EBITDA margin decreases by 265 bps YoY to 18.1%. Revenue from India business rises 27% YoY to Rs 551.8 crore while revenue from active pharmaceutical ingredients or API exports falls 14% to Rs 180.8 crore.

  • Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone’s Q4FY22 net profit falls 21.8% YoY to Rs 1,033.2 crore as total expenses increase 31% to Rs 3,309.9 crore. Revenue from operations increases 6.6% YoY to Rs 3,845 crore with port and SEZ activities revenue rising marginally by 1.4% YoY to Rs 3,369 crore. EBITDA is down 19.5% to Rs 1,858.8 crore with operating margin falling 6.8 percentage points to 62.2% in Q4FY22. The board recommends a dividend of Rs 5 per share for FY22.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Container Corporation of India Ltd. (623.70, 6.28%), Bayer Cropscience Ltd. (4,974.30, 5.09%) and Balkrishna Industries Ltd. (2,161.50, 4.55%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Asian Paints Ltd. (2,838.05, -8.06%), Coromandel International Ltd. (896.70, -7.85%) and Berger Paints (India) Ltd. (566.15, -7.21%).

Volume Rockets

24 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Minda Industries Ltd. (889.85, 6.52%), Bayer Cropscience Ltd. (4,974.30, 5.09%) and Deepak Fertilisers & Petrochemicals Corporation Ltd. (595.90, 4.96%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Balrampur Chini Mills Ltd. (354.70, -8.85%), Asian Paints Ltd. (2,838.05, -8.06%) and Berger Paints (India) Ltd. (566.15, -7.21%).

Aster DM Healthcare Ltd. (179.60, 4.51%) was trading at 60.3 times of weekly average. Nesco Ltd. (548.35, 3.48%) and Prism Johnson Ltd. (106.90, -5.40%) were trading with volumes 16.9 and 14.2 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

1 stock made 52-week highs, while 61 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52-week lows.

Stock touching their year highs included - Coromandel International Ltd. (896.70, -7.85%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Akzo Nobel India Ltd. (1,729.00, -2.70%) and Amara Raja Batteries Ltd. (485.10, -0.96%).

12 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Minda Industries Ltd. (889.85, 6.52%) and Bayer Cropscience Ltd. (4,974.30, 5.09%). 29 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Chambal Fertilisers & Chemicals Ltd. (358.40, -10.70%) and Balrampur Chini Mills Ltd. (354.70, -8.85%).

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The Baseline
25 May 2022
Big Misses: Many companies miss analyst profit estimates in Q4

Stock markets are volatile amid signs that all is not well in the corporate world. Q4FY22 results confirmed that many businesses are struggling with rising inflation, supply pressures and worried consumers. Trendlyne’s Forecaster estimates show quite a few companies from the Nifty 500 missing Q4 net profit estimates by a large margin.

Over 150 Nifty companies missed their adjusted net profit estimates. Trendlyne’s Forecaster shows that many companies in thepharmaceutical sector saw their actual adjusted net profit miss consensus estimates by more than 100%. Among these,Lupin’s Q4FY22 net profit missedTrendlyne’s Forecaster estimates by the widest gap of 310.7%.

Lupin’s miss was because of a deferred taxexpense of Rs 341.9 crore.GSK Pharma is another pharma company that missed its profit estimates due to a one-time tax adjustment of Rs 202 crore.

Most pharma companies struggled because of muted growth in US markets and an increase in costs because of freight charges, marketing expenses, and input costs. Cost pressures also led to companies in sectors likeautomobile,retailing,cement,banks, andconsumer services, to miss Trendlyne’s Forecaster profit estimates. The companies that missed Trendlyne Forecaster’s estimates by more than 100% includeTata Motors (156.9%),Trent (151.7%),Nuvoco Vistas Corporation (135.6%), andGMR Infrastructure (123.3%).

With inflation hitting nearly 8% in April 2022, the Reserve Bank of India is hiking its rates to reduce excess liquidity in the market. This will affect the earnings of corporates in H1FY23 as demand is likely to take a hit.

On the bright side, areport by ICICI Securities suggests that the earnings base will continue to expand over FY22-24 with more beats than misses. The brokerage expects demand and earnings to show significant improvement in sectors like real estate, banks, energy, and consumer services. As we head into the next quarter, let’s hope that the analysts' optimism turns out true in Q1FY23.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
24 May 2022, 03:50PM
Market closes lower, Aether Industries’ IPO gets bids for 33% of the total  shares on offer

Trendlyne Analysis

Indian indices closed in the red with the volatility index, India VIX rising by 9.5%. Asian indices closed in the red as investors continue to monitor high inflation levels, supply chain disruptions arising out of China due to stringent lockdowns, and imminent interest rate hikes by Central banks. US indices closed higher led by Dow Jones, which rose close to 2% on Monday. However, NASDAQ futures gave up all its gains and trades in the red as Snapchat plunged over 30% after trading hours as its CEO says the company will miss its earnings estimates. Crude oil prices rise marginally as weaker demand due to slow economic growth concerns offset the planned European ban on Russian oil. European indices follow the Asian markets and trade lower than Monday's levels.

Nifty Next 50 and Nifty Smallcap 100 closed in the red following the benchmark index. Nifty Metal, which lost over 8% on Monday, extended its losses and closed 1.2% lower. Nifty IT closed lower, following the NASDAQ futures, which is trading in the red.

Nifty 50closed at 16,125.15 (-89.6, -0.6%), BSE Sensexclosed at 54,052.61 (-236, -0.4%) while the broader Nifty 500closed at 13,747.25 (-88.6, -0.6%)

Market breadth is highly negative. Of the 1,880 stocks traded today, 458 were gainers and 1,387 were losers.

  • Orient Electric, Jyothy Labs, Westlife Development, and Cholamandalam Financial Holdings are trading with higher volumes as compared to Monday.

  • Reliance Industries sees a long build-up in its May 26 futures series as its open interest rises 10.3% with put to call ratio at 0.44.

  • Sugar stocks like Shree Renuka Sugars, Balrampur Chini Mills, Dalmia Bharat, and EID Parry (India), among others, fall as reports suggest the Centre is mulling export restrictions on sugar. According to reports, the Centre plans to cap sugar exports at 10 million tonnes to ensure adequate stock before the next sugar season starts in October.

  • Bank of India is rising as Q4FY22 profit rises 142.3% YoY to Rs 606 crore and net interest income rises 35.8% YoY to Rs 3,986. Bank's NIM (global) and NIM (domestic) improves 57 bps YoY and 74 bps YoY to 2.6% and 2.9%, respectively. Asset quality improves with gross NPA declining 19.3% YoY to Rs 45,605 crore and net NPA declining 19.7% to Rs 9,852 crore.

  • Rupa & Company is falling as its Chief Executive Officer Dinesh Kumar Lodha and Chief Financial Officer Ramesh Agarwal resign, effective May 31, 2022. Also, the company’s Q4FY22 net profit is down 25.2% YoY to Rs 49.3 crore due to rising raw material costs. Revenue rises marginally by 0.3% YoY to Rs 455.5 crore and EBITDA margin falls 370 bps YoY to 16.3%.

  • NBCC (India) receives order worth Rs 313.8 crore to execute various infrastructure developments works under Puducherry Smart City Development as project management consultant.

  • Aether Industries’ Rs 808-crore IPO gets bids for 33% of the available 93.5 lakh shares on offer on the first day of bidding. The retail investor quota gets bids for 42% of the available 45.4 lakh shares on offer. The public offer comprises of a fresh issue up to Rs 627 crore as well as an offer for sale of up to Rs 181 crore.

  • eMudhra’s Rs 412.8-crore IPO gets bids for 2.7X of the available 1.1 crore shares on offer on the last day of bidding. The retail investor quota gets bids for 2.6X of the available 57.6 lakh shares on offer.

  • Stocks like Sun Pharma, Mahindra & Mahindra, Muthoot Finance, and Page Industries, among others, are rising over the past week, ahead of their financial results.

  • Shilpa Medicare is trading with more than 41 times its weekly average trading volume. Hikal, GMR Infrastructure, Jyothi Labs, and Divi's Laboratoriesare trading at more than five times their weekly average trading volumes.

  • HDFC Securities maintains an ‘Add’ rating on V-Guard Industries with a target price of Rs 275, indicating an upside of 22.2%. The brokerage is positive about the company as its revenue from the electrical segment rose 32.5% YoY to Rs 507.3 crore in Q4FY22. The brokerage expects the company’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 13.1% over FY22-24.

  • Graphite India falls despite its Q4FY22 net profit rising 48.4% YoY to Rs 95 crore and revenue rising 47.3 % YoY to Rs 915 crore on the back of higher realisations. The maximum revenue growth came from the graphite and carbon segment, rising 49.9% YoY to Rs 790 crore. EBITDA margin falls by 5 percentage points YoY to 19% due to higher input costs.

  • All IT stocks trade in the red. Stocks like Larsen & Toubro Infotech, MindTree, and L&T Technology Services, are down by more than 2%. The broader sectoral index Nifty IT is also falling in trade

  • Axis Securities maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on Ashok Leyland with a target price of Rs 160, indicating an upside of 23%. The brokerage believes the company is well-positioned to benefit from a strong recovery in demand for commercial vehicles, given its new product launches and diversified product portfolio. The brokerage expects the company’s EBITDA to grow 71.6% YoY in FY24 over FY23.

  • Alembic Pharmaceuticals is rising as it receives United States Food & Drug Administration (USFDA) approval for its Pirfenidone tablets in the strengths of 267 mg and 801 mg. This drug, which is used to treat lung diseases, is therapeutically equivalent to Esbriet tablets of Genentech. Pirfenidone tablet has a market size of $ 548 million.

  • Zomato is rising despite its Q4FY22 loss widening by 2.7X YoY to Rs 359.7 crore due to employee costs and delivery charges rising by 2.1X to 2.6X, respectively. However, revenue rises 75% YoY to Rs 1,211.8 crore on the back of the company expanding into newer markets.

  • Natco Pharma is falling as FMC Corp files a suit against the company for infringement of a patent in the Delhi High Court. This patent, which expires on December 6, 2025, covers a process to prepare Chlorantraniliprole or CTPR.

  • Venus Pipes’ shares list at 3.5% premium to the issue price of Rs 326 on its debut on the bourses. The Rs 165.4-crore IPO was subscribed for 16.3X of the total shares on offer.

  • Delhivery shares list at a 2% premium to the issue price of Rs 487 on its debut on the bourses. The Rs 5,235-crore IPO was subscribed for 1.6X of the total shares on offer.

  • Ramco Cements is falling as its Q4FY22 net profit falls 45.2% YoY to Rs 118.6 crore despite a revenue increase of 4.9% YoY to Rs 1,722.7 crore. Net profit declines as fuel and power expenses rise 88.4% YoY to Rs 466.8 crore. Operating profit margin falls 10.3 percentage points YoY to 17.2% in Q4FY22.

  • Specialty Chemicals company Aether Industries raises Rs 240.3 crore from investors by selling 37.4 lakh equity shares at Rs 642 per share to anchor investors. Investors include Goldman Sachs, Nomura, SBI Mutual Fund, Aditya Birla Sun Life, Kotak MF, Axis MF, IDFC MF, and Tata MF.

  • Steel Authority of India’s Q4FY22 net profit falls 29% YoY to Rs 2,478.8 crore as the cost of materials shoots up 123% YoY to Rs 14,564.3 crore. Revenue rises 32% YoY to Rs 30,758 crore with maximum revenue coming in from Bhilai and Bokaro Steel Plant. Bhilai Steel Plant's revenue grows 29% YoY to Rs 8,521.6 crore while Bokaro Steel Plant’s revenue is up 26% YoY to Rs 8,243 crore. The board recommends a final dividend of Rs 2.25 per equity share for FY22.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Coromandel International Ltd. (973.05, 4.46%), Ashok Leyland Ltd. (141.20, 3.98%) and Varun Beverages Ltd. (1,109.05, 2.78%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Divi's Laboratories Ltd. (3,661.70, -6.06%), JSW Energy Ltd. (294.10, -5.25%) and Ruchi Soya Industries Ltd. (1,099.05, -5.00%).

Volume Rockets

15 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Zomato Ltd. (64.95, 13.85%), Shilpa Medicare Ltd. (452.95, 10.49%) and Hikal Ltd. (392.00, 6.93%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Divi's Laboratories Ltd. (3,661.70, -6.06%), Balrampur Chini Mills Ltd. (389.15, -5.75%) and Piramal Enterprises Ltd. (1,808.55, -4.10%).

Ipca Laboratories Ltd. (955.50, -2.31%) was trading at 9.1 times of weekly average. Jyothy Labs Ltd. (150.70, -0.89%) and SIS Ltd. (475.05, -0.64%) were trading with volumes 8.5 and 6.3 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

3 stocks overperformed with 52-week highs, while 29 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Adani Power Ltd. (311.50, -4.99%), Coromandel International Ltd. (973.05, 4.46%) and KSB Ltd. (1,474.15, 0.38%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Amara Raja Batteries Ltd. (489.80, -1.69%) and Berger Paints (India) Ltd. (610.15, -2.55%).

13 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including APL Apollo Tubes Ltd. (907.50, 2.68%) and Asahi India Glass Ltd. (456.70, 2.59%). 18 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Balrampur Chini Mills Ltd. (389.15, -5.75%) and IIFL Wealth Management Ltd. (1,502.50, -5.18%).

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
23 May 2022, 03:50PM
Market closes lower, Divi's Laboratories' Q4 profit rises 78.2% YoY to Rs 894.6 crore

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 gives up its intraday gains and closes in the red on a volatile day of trade. Nifty 50 rose over 3% last week after two straight weeks of losses amid mixed global cues. Asian indices closed mixed as investors continue to monitor the prevailing high inflation, rising interest rates, and supply chain disruptions. The tech-heavy US index, NASDAQ 100 closed 0.3% lower while S&P 500 and Dow Jones closed flat on Friday. The Dow Jones fell over 19% from its all-time high and closed in the red for the eighth consecutive week. Crude oil prices edge higher after steadying last week as demand is expected to rise as Shanghai prepares to lift stringent lockdowns after two months. European indices follow the Asian markets and trade higher than Friday’s levels.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the red, following the benchmark index. Nifty Auto closed in the green while Nifty Metal closed over 8% lower than Friday’s levels after Centre imposed export duty on steel. Nifty IT closed in the green despite the tech-focused NASDAQ100 closing lower on Friday.

Nifty 50closed at 16,214.70 (-51.5, -0.3%), BSE Sensexclosed at 54,288.61 (-37.8, -0.1%) while the broader Nifty 500closed at 13,835.80 (-59.3, -0.4%).

Market breadth is in the red. Of the 1,909 stocks traded today, 693 were on the uptrend, and 1,179 went down.

  • Sundaram Finance, TeamLease Services, Dhani Services, and Saregama India are trading with higher volumes as compared to Friday.

  • M&M sees a long build-up in its May 26 futures series as its open interest rises 12.9% with put to call ratio at 0.51.

  • Divi's Laboratories is falling despite a 78.2% YoY rise in its Q4FY22 profit to Rs 894.6 crore. The profit rises as EBITDA margins rise 342 bps to 42.9% on the back of a near 42% rise in revenues to Rs 2,570.8 crore.

  • Shree Cements is falling as its Q4FY22 net profit falls 17.7% YoY to Rs 657.2 crore even though revenue rises 3.9% YoY to Rs 4,501.6 crore. Profit is down on the back of power and fuel costs rising nearly 76% YoY to Rs 1,266.7 crore which led to the operating margin to contract by 8.4 percentage points to 21%.

  • eMudhra’s Rs 412.8-crore IPO gets bids for 96% of the available 1.1 crore shares on offer on the second day of bidding. The retail investor quota gets bids for 1.7X of the available 57.6 lakh shares on offer.

  • Edelweiss maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on Krishna Institute of Medical Sciences with a target price of Rs 1,832, indicating an upside of 45%. The brokerage is positive on the company on the back of its aggressive expansion plans in Nashik and Bangalore hospitals worth Rs 500 crore. The brokerage expects the company’s revenue to grow at a CAGR 31.2% over FY22-FY24.

  • Bharat Heavy Electricals is falling despite reporting Q4FY22 profit of Rs 912.5 crore against loss of Rs 1,036.3 crore in Q4FY21. The profit increases due fall in other expenses. Revenue rises 12.9% YoY to Rs 8,181.7 crore during the quarter. In FY22, the company reports profit of Rs 446 crore against loss of Rs 2,697.1 crore in FY21.

  • Mahindra Logisticsis trading with more than seven times its weekly average trading volume. Sequent Scientific, Cochin Shipyard, Metro Brands, and Allcargo Logisticsare trading at more than four times their weekly average trading volumes.

  • IT stocks like Tata Consultancy Services, Infosys, HCL Technologies, Wipro, and Tech Mahindra, among others, are trading in green. The broader sectoral index Nifty IT is also rising in trade

  • Amara Raja Batteries is falling as its Q4FY22 net profit falls 47.8% YoY to Rs 98.8 crore on the cost of materials consumed rising 10% YoY to Rs 2,064.1 crore. However, revenue rises 2.9% YoY to Rs 2,196.9 crore, driven by healthy sales volume growth of industrial batteries and robust demand in the automotive sector from the export markets.

  • Stocks like Bharti Airtel, ITC, Coal India, ABB India, and Pidilite Industries, among others, are outperforming their sector over the past month.

  • Nifty 50 sees a long build up in its May 26 futures series as its open interest rises 5.5% with put to call ratio at 1.12

  • Metal stocks like JSW Steel, Tata Steel, Hindalco Industries and Jindal Steel & Power , among others are falling in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty Metal is also trading in the red.

  • Power Grid Corporation falls despite its Q4FY22 net profit rising 17.9% YoY to Rs 4,156.4 crore even though revenue rises marginally by 2.3% YoY to Rs 11,067.9 crore. Profit grows on the back of the company selling its stake in five of its subsidiaries and a deferred tax credit of Rs 911.5 crore. In FY22, net profit rises 39.8% YoY to Rs 16,824.1 crore and revenue rises 4.6% YoY to Rs 42,697.9 crore.

  • NTPC is rising at its Q4FY22 net profit rises 13.7% YoY to Rs 5,166.5 crore and revenue rises 19% YoY to Rs 37,724.4 crore. The maximum revenue growth came from the generation segment, rising 20.3% YoY to Rs 36,211.5 crore. The operating margin rises by 499 bps YoY to Rs 30.8% on higher revenue.

  • Narayana Hrudayalaya is falling as its Q4FY22 net profit increases marginally by 1.3% YoY to Rs 68.9 crore. However, revenues rise 12.3% YoY to Rs 950.5 crore as patient footfalls rise 8.7% to 5.1 lakh in its domestic hospitals. Revenues rise 43.1% YoY in FY22 to Rs 3,735.9 crore with its average revenue per patient rising 8% YoY to Rs 1.1 lakh.

  • Oil stocks like Reliance Industries, Bharat Petroleum Corporation, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation, among others are trading lower despite the Centre announcing a reduction in excise duty on petrol and diesel, on Saturday. The central excise duty on petrol will reduce by Rs 8 per litre and diesel will drop by Rs 6 per litre.

  • Indigo Paints is rising as its Q4FY22 net profit rises 39.1% YoY to Rs 34.6 crore. Revenue rises 13.7% YoY to Rs 290.9 crore mainly due to price hikes. Net profit rises 18.6% YoY in FY22 to Rs 84 crore and revenues increase by 26.1% to Rs 916.9 crore.

  • One97 Communications (Paytm) Q4FY22 contributing profit (revenue from operations minus direct costs) surges 210% YoY to Rs 539 crore. Revenue from operations rises 89% YoY to Rs 1,541 crore with major revenue growth in financial services & others. Financial services & others grow 342% YoY to Rs 168 crore. Paytm’s number of loans disbursed increases 374% YoY to 65 lakh worth Rs 3,553 crore. Paytm’s average monthly transacting users (MTU) rises 41% YoY to 7.1 crore.

  • Thermax is rising despite its Q4FY22 net profit falling 4.5% YoY to Rs 102.5 crore on the back of high commodity and freight costs. Raw material cost rises 53.7% YoY in Q4FY22 to Rs 1,250.3 crore. However, revenues rise 25.9% YoY to Rs 2,027.6 crore on the back of high growth in its energy segment. Net profit rises 51.1% YoY to Rs 312.3 crore in FY22 and revenues increase by 27.7% to Rs 6,255.3 crore.

  • Nifty Realty and Nifty Auto are rising as the Ministry of Finance levies export duty on 11 iron and steel intermediates. The imposition on the export duty of iron and steel products will reduce exports but ensure a higher supply of steel in India. With high supply and low steel prices, the clock may turn in favour of sectors like auto and real estate in reducing input costs.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include JSW Energy Ltd. (310.40, 5.81%), AIA Engineering Ltd. (1,892.95, 5.69%) and Adani Power Ltd. (327.85, 5.00%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Jindal Steel & Power Ltd. (395.55, -17.39%), JSW Steel Ltd. (547.55, -13.24%) and Tata Steel Ltd. (1,022.95, -12.61%).

Movers and Shakers

23 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Sequent Scientific Ltd. (131.25, 14.43%), Nilkamal Ltd. (2,091.65, 8.50%) and V Mart Retail Ltd. (3,316.45, 8.22%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Jindal Stainless Ltd. (125.65, -18.09%), Jindal Steel & Power Ltd. (395.55, -17.39%) and JSW Steel Ltd. (547.55, -13.24%).

Mahindra Logistics Ltd. (473.65, 5.44%) was trading at 30.0 times of weekly average. Cochin Shipyard Ltd. (343.10, 5.96%) and Dhanuka Agritech Ltd. (719.65, -1.08%) were trading with volumes 9.4 and 8.4 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

6 stocks overperformed with 52-week highs, while 12 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Adani Power Ltd. (327.85, 5.00%), Mangalore Refinery And Petrochemicals Ltd. (88.15, -4.96%) and Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd. (1,815.80, 3.33%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - JSW Steel Ltd. (547.55, -13.24%) and Lupin Ltd. (618.50, -3.12%).

25 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Cochin Shipyard Ltd. (343.10, 5.96%) and JSW Energy Ltd. (310.40, 5.81%). 10 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Jindal Steel & Power Ltd. (395.55, -17.39%) and Equitas Small Finance Bank Ltd. (47.90, -8.85%).

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The Baseline
23 May 2022, 03:27PM
Five analyst stock picks this week
  1. State Bank of India: LKP Securities maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on this public sector bank’s stock with a target price of Rs 565, indicating an upside of 22.7%. Analyst Ajit Kumar Kabi believes the bank delivered stable results led by a rise in operational revenue and improved asset quality. Kabi believes that profit growth in Q4FY22 was led by a 15.3% YoY growth in NII (net interest income), along with steady operating expenses. Kabi says “the bank witnessed better than expected advance growth (11.6% YoY & 6% QoQ) led by wholesale credit growth, and stable deposit growth (10% YoY & 5.3% QoQ) sequentially.”

The bank’s asset quality will continue to improve in the coming quarters on the back of higher upgrades and recoveries, Kabi said Furthermore, he expects the bank’s profitability to improve in the coming quarters on the back of credit growth, normalisation of credit costs, and improving operational performance.

  1. Kajaria Ceramics: HDFC Securities maintains a ‘Buy’ call on this tile maker’s stock but reduced its target price by Rs 30 to Rs 1,420, indicating an upside of 35.6%. “We continue to like Kajaria Ceramics for its market share gain and superior margin in the tiles segment (function of its robust distribution and cost controls) and its fast expansion in the bath ware and ply businesses,” say analysts Rajesh Ravi and Keshav Lahoti. In Q4FY22, the company’s consolidated revenue grew 15.7% YoY to Rs 1,101.8 crore but profit and EBITDA fell by 24.7% YoY and 13% YoY to Rs 95.8 crore and Rs 165.9 crore, respectively. The analysts believe that the fall in EBITDA was due to higher gas prices.

According to the analysts, the company expects volume and revenue to increase by 15-20% and 20-25% YoY respectively for FY23. The analysts also expect India’s tiles export to increase by 35% YoY as sharp spikes in gas and electricity prices in European countries have increased the competitiveness of Indian tile makers. The company “has expanded its tiles capacity by 17% in April-May 2022, bolstering its volume growth and market share gain,” the analysts said.

  1. Vinati Organics: Edelweiss reaffirmed its ‘Buy’ rating on this specialty chemical maker’s stock and increased its target price to Rs 2,300 from Rs 2,250. This indicates an upside of 11.6%. “Vinati Organics’ Q4FY22 earnings beat our expectation, with strong growth in top line primarily on account of increased volume in key products aided by market share gains for some products,” says analyst Anshul Verdia. In Q4FY22, the company’s profit grew 43% YoY to Rs 101 crore and revenue grew 74% YoY to Rs 486 crore. 

Verdia believes that “a strong capex pipeline over the next two years indicates significant revenue generation opportunity for Vinati Organics, underpinning its aim to achieve Rs 3,000 crore in top line over the next two to three years.” He expects the company to achieve a 26% CAGR in revenue over FY22–24 on the back of increased penetration of the butyl-phenol market, robust volume growth in Acrylamide tertiary-butyl sulfonic acid and the Isobutyl Benzene business, and strong demand.

  1. Abbott India: Axis Securities maintains a ‘Buy’ call on this pharmaceutical company’s stock with a target price of Rs 20,000. This indicates an upside of 12.6%. “Abbott India reported revenue growth of 14.9% (YoY) in Q4FY22, outpacing the IPM (Indian pharma market) growth of 3.9%,” says analyst Ankush Mahajan. He adds that the revenue growth, “was majorly driven by sales improvement in key therapies such as gastrointestinal (+18.3% YoY) and hormones(+5.0% YoY).” 

The company reported a profit of Rs 212 crore, up 38.7% YoY, and EBITDA margins improved by 465 bps YoY to 23.4%. Mahajan expects stable sales of the Duphaston brand and an increase in volume in the Thyronorm brand to help deliver revenue and profit CAGR of 11.1% and 1.3% over FY21-24. The analyst believes that revenue growth in the branded business will improve overall profitability.

  1. Century Plyboards (India): BOB Capital Markets upgrades its rating on this plywood manufacturer’s stock to ‘Buy’ from ‘Hold’ with a target price of Rs 735, indicating an upside of 37.8%. Analyst Ruchitaa Maheshwari says the company’s “long-term growth story remains intact given its strong fundamentals, impressive return ratios and healthy balance sheet”. She upgraded her rating to an attractive valuation after a 30% correction.

The company’s growth momentum will sustain over the near-to-medium term, supported by the plywood and laminates segments, Maheshwari said she expects these segments to grow due to a pick-up in the housing sector alongside a gradual demand shift from unorganised to organised players. Maheshwari also expects better margins in the medium-density fibreboard (MDF) segment amid buoyant demand for ready-made furniture and exports. Overall, she believes the company’s EBITDA margin will expand backed by a higher MDF contribution, superior product mix, operating leverage and cost rationalisation. 

Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.

Stocks that have underperformed their industry in Quarter Share Price Change
Stocks that have outperformed their Industry in Quarter Share Price Change
Industries that Underperformed the Nifty50
Industries that Outperformed the Nifty50
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The Baseline
20 May 2022
Five Interesting Stocks Today
  1. Chennai Petroleum Corporation:This refinery companyoutperformed the Nifty 50 index by a whopping 88% in the past month, and by 22% in the past week. Moreover, last month, Superstar investor Dolly Khanna bought 10 lakh shares or 0.7% stake in this company worth Rs 26.3 crore. Even FIIs steadily increased their holdings in the company to 3.37% in Q4FY22 from 1.33% in Q2FY22. So, what exactly fueled the recent rally for this oil refining company?

Chennai Petroleum Corp saw a 4.3X jump in its Q4 net profits at Rs 994.4 crore driven by an 88% YoY rise in its revenues at Rs 16,427 crore. This company is a pure-play crude oil refining company and is not involved in marketing of downstream petroleum products. While its refining throughput rose by 10% YoY to 2.91 million metric tonne in Q4FY22, a 2.2X jump in gross refining margins (GRMs) played the real magic. Average GRMs rose to $14.18/bbl from $6.4/bbl in Q4FY21. Notably, Singapore GRMs were trading at $7.8/bbl levels in Q4FY22. In fact, it rose to $17/bbl levels in April backed by robust demand for refined petroleum products and supply constraints. According to Moody’s, global sanctions on Russia led to higher offtake of Asian fuels as European countries sought other alternatives. Additionally, supply fell owing to lower exports from China and due to significant refinery closures. According to the International Energy Agency, crude oil throughput in April 2022 fell by 1.4 metric barrels/day to 78 metric barrels/day, lowest since May 2021.

Interestingly, every dollar of GRM expansion can potentially add Rs 700-800 crore to the topline of an oil refining company. Hence, amid a tight supply situation, GRMs will stay buoyant and lead to oil refineries earning windfall gains at least in Q1FY23.

  1. Lupin: This pharmaceutical company’s stock fell over 7% on Thursday after it announced its Q4FY22 results. Lupin posted a loss of Rs 518 crore in Q4FY22 against a profit of Rs 460 crore in the same quarter previous year. However, revenues increased 2.8% YoY to Rs 3,864.5 crore in Q4FY22.

As the company is not consistent in posting profits, it shows up in the screener that lists stocks that are seeing big swings between profit and loss in quarterly results.

The drug-maker posted losses in Q4FY22 as its EBITDA margin fell by 13.1 percentage points YoY to 7.3% mainly due to an increase in raw material costs and manufacturing expenses. Raw material costs rose 23.9% YoY to Rs 1,317.6 crore and manufacturing expenses increased by 18.2% to Rs 1,117.8 crore. Also, an impairment expense on its acquisition of Gavis IP of Rs 130 crore and a rise in deferred taxes contributed to losses in Q4FY22.

High raw material and manufacturing costs come at a time when the US markets are already under pricing pressure amid intense competition. This is putting further pressure on margins. Lupin was affected more by this as it derives a majority (over 37%) of its revenues from the US markets. The company’s revenue from US markets fell 5.3% YoY to Rs 14,162. However, its revenue from India increased 5% YoY to Rs 13,511. But this seems lower when compared to its peers. Cipla’s and Dr Reddy’s revenue from the Indian market grew 25% and 15% YoY respectively in Q4FY22. In fact, Cipla outperforms Lupin in YoY and QoQ profit growth, price to earnings ratio, and foreign institutional investors or FII holding.

  1. Kotak Mahindra Bank: This bank’s stock outperformed the Nifty 500 index this week after it announced its Q4FY22 results. According to reports, Kotak Mahindra Bank recently made it to the top 10 most valuable companies, replacing Adani Green Energy at the tenth position. It is the fourth bank to enter the elite club after HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, and State Bank of India. However, thanks to the bearish market, the stock fell more than 3% on the bourses on Thursday. The bank posted robust growth in net profit and maintained stable asset quality.

Net profit was up 64.5% YoY to Rs 2,767 crore with net interest income rising by 17.7% YoY to Rs 4,521 crore. Total advances for the bank also grew 21% YoY to Rs 2.7 lakh crore as businesses picked up pace after the third wave of Covid. Among the loan segments, the corporate loan demand is expected to increase. The management also plans to increase capex in this segment to meet rising demand. Also, the management thinks that an increase in repo rates by the Reserve Bank of India will not hamper credit growth.

Operating expenses increased 26.1% YoY to Rs 3,007.8 crore keeping the operating profit growth flat at 1.2% YoY to Rs 3,340 crore. The increase in expenses is because of the rise in spending on digital and promotional expenses. The management plans to  continue its growth plans even if costs run high in the near term.

  1. Aditya Birla Capital: This Aditya Birla Group’s holding company’s stock tanked 5% on Monday because of reports of a whistleblower accusing the former CEO of the Aditya Birla Group Ajay Srinivasan of insider trading. This shook investors confidence as it is similar to allegations made for fund managers who were sacked at Axis Mutual Fund. The company, however, denied the allegations against Srinivasan of insider trading and frontrunning in stocks at Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC (mutual fund arm of Aditya Birla). The management asked Srinivasan to step down as the CEO, according to the BSE filing dated April 23, 2022, as the company says that it is looking to settle him into a new role. The management explicitly maintains its stance that this is in no way related to the allegations made against him, according to reports. Vishakha Muley will replace him as the CEO of Aditya Birla Capital starting from June 1, 2022.

According to reports, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) is investigating both Aditya Birla Capital and Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC for the alleged wrongdoings.

  1. Indraprastha Gas: This city gas distributor’s stock plunged 6% in trade on Thursday, despite its Q4FY22 net profit rising 14.9% YoY to Rs 430.9 crore to beat Trendlyne’s Forecaster estimates by 8.4%. The company also showed up on this screener which lists companies that saw their net profit rising QoQ and YoY in Q4FY22. However, it looks like the company’s robust performance led by rise in sales volume and price hikes were not enough to escape the bearish sentiment in the market.

In the last 6 months the price of CNG for automobiles has been hiked 40.6% to Rs 73.61 per kg in the Delhi-NCR region, with the latest price hike coming in on Monday. The Managing Director of Indraprastha Gas expects gas prices to remain high for the coming quarters due to geopolitical tensions and supply constraints.

Furthermore, the government’s amendment to its gas allocation policy to city gas distributors (CGD), which makes GAIL (Gas Authority of India) responsible for providing gas to CGDs and gas prices will be uniform for all CGDs. With the amendment in place, domestic gas supply to CGDs will increase every quarter instead of every six months. The management expects this amendment to improve domestic gas supply and decrease raw material costs for the company. It will also lead to a reduction in sourcing of gas from the international spot market. This amendment took effect from May 16, 2022.

The management expects the volumes of CNG to rise 20%, driven by robust demand for CNG vehicles in FY23. It also expects to keep its margins stable through price hikes in the coming quarters.

Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movement, analyst calls or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.