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Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
22 Mar 2022
Market closes higher, Jubilant Foodworks exercises its call option to acquire remaining stake in Jubilant Golden Harvest

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 erased losses and closed in the green on a volatile day of trade. All Asian indices closed higher than Monday’s levels despite the US indices closing in the red yesterday. US stocks fell as US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell adopted a more hawkish tone on monetary policy. The Fed Chairman said that the Fed is prepared to hike the interest rates by a half percentage point if needed. Indian state fuel retailers raise petrol and diesel prices by 80 paise per litre as crude oil prices continue to trade at elevated levels due to the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war.

Nifty Smallcap 100 closed in the green but underperformed the benchmark index. Nifty Next 50 closed lower after opening in the green. Nifty Metal, which has gained over 5% in the last three trading sessions, ended the day in the green for the fourth consecutive trading session. Nifty IT closed sharply higher tracking the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 futures, which is trading in the green.

Upbeat trading today. Nifty 50 closed at 17,315.50 (197.9, 1.2%), BSE Sensex closed at 57,989.30 (696.8, 1.2%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 14,724.05 (121.7, 0.8%)

Market breadth is in the red. Of the 1,886 stocks traded today, 820 were on the uptrend, and 1,030 went down.

  • Kalpataru Power Transmissions,Procter & Gamble Health, Tube Investments of India, and Cholamandalam Financial Holdings trading with higher volumes as compared to Monday

  • Jubilant Foodworks (JFL) issues notice to Golden Harvest QSR to exercise its call option to acquire the remaining 10% equity stake in Jubilant Golden Harvest Limited (JGHL) as agreed on March 6, 2018. Accordingly, JFL will acquire the complete 49% equity stake of Golden Harvest QSR in JGHL. Post the exercise of call options, JGHL will become a wholly owned subsidiary of JFL.

  • FMCG stocks are trading lower with stocks like Hindustan Unilever, Nestle India, Dabur India, and Marico among others falling in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty FMCG is also trading lower today.

  • Axis Securities maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on CreditAccess Grameen with a target price of Rs 831, indicating an upside of 10%. The brokerage remains bullish on the company due to its deep rural presence, expanding branch network, and improving traction on customer addition.

  • Tata Motors announces price hike of 2-2.5% of its commercial vehicle range with effect from April 1, 2022. The increase in the prices of steel, aluminium and other precious metals, in addition to higher costs of other raw materials, has incited the price hike of commercial vehicles.

  • HDFC Securities upgrades rating on BPCL to 'BUY' with a target price upside of 15.4%. The brokerage is positive on the OMC owing to its attrative valuation, robust refining margins of $12.3/bbl and possible resumption in daily revision of retail auto fuel prices.

  • Stocks of upstream oil company ONGC are trading higher on the back of rise in international crude oil prices. Additionally, stocks of oil marketing companies like BPCL and HPCL are trading up on account of an 80 paise hike in petrol, diesel prices as well as a Rs 50 hike in LPG cylinder prices.

  • KSB is trading with more than sixteen times its weekly average trading volume. Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India, Ratnamani Metals & Tubes, Graphite India, and Rain Industries are trading at more than three times their weekly average trading volumes.

  • Hindustan Unilever falls after reports suggest of discussions to buy majority stake in Mahashian Di Hatti (MDH).

  • Future Retail hits its all-time low of Rs 29.7 as banks announce to initiate debt recovery proceedings this week against the company. The banks have initiated the proceedings to safeguard their interests after Reliance unexpectedly took over some of the retailer’s stores. Future Group has more than $ 4 billion in debt.

  • Indoco Remedies receives approval from the United States Food & Drug Administration (USFDA) for Lacosamide tablets in the strengths of 50 mg, 100 mg, 150 mg and 200mg. Lacosamide tablets are the generic version of Vimpat tablets, which has a market size of $ 1.7 billion. Lacosamide tablets are used for the prevention and control of seizures

  • IT major Wipro's board will consider the interim dividend for FY22 in the board meeting to be held on Friday. The company had earlier approved an interim dividend of Rs 1 per share in January 2022 and paid the same on February 5, 2022

  • CLSA maintains ‘Buy’ on ICICI Bank but cuts target price to Rs 1,050 from Rs 1,125 as it expects RBI’s unchanged repo rate (4%) will affect margins in near term. Repo-linked loans account for 38% of the bank’s books and margins will face constraint if RBI decides to keep rates on hold for another few months. The recent spike in operating expenses is also a sign of concern as employee cost inflation remains high. However, the brokerage expects the bank to grow by 17% CAGR over FY22-24.

  • Equitas Small Finance Bank (SFB) and Equitas Holdings are rising as their boards approve a merger of the two companies. This merger proposes the amalgamation of Equitas Holdings into and with Equitas SFB and the dissolution without winding-up of the transferor company (Equitas Holdings). Shareholders of Equitas Holdings will be allotted 231 equity shares for every 100 shares of the Equitas SFB.

  • Sun Pharmaceutical Industries inks pact with Japan’s Daiichi Sankyo Company to acquire its 11.28% stake in Zenotech Laboratories. Sun Pharma will acquire 68.8 lakh equity shares worth Rs 5.32 crore. After the acquisition, Sun Pharma’s stake in the company will increase to 68.84% from 57.56%.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Tech Mahindra Ltd. (1,538.20, 3.95%), Adani Total Gas Ltd. (1,883.95, 3.85%), and L&T Finance Holdings Ltd. (75.10, 3.73%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Macrotech Developers Ltd. (1,064.40, -3.97%), Abbott India Ltd. (16,685.60, -3.28%) and Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd. (248.55, -3.21%).

Movers and Shakers

15 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Chalet Hotels Ltd. (303.65, 12.82%), Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India Ltd. (233.25, 9.84%) and Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Ltd. (2,509.85, 9.69%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Sun TV Network Ltd. (459.85, -1.29%), Hawkins Cookers Ltd. (5,340.00, -1.25%) and J B Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (1,599.30, -0.22%).

KSB Ltd. (1,237.70, 6.31%) was trading at 18.8 times of weekly average. Graphite India Ltd. (515.15, 4.58%) and Rain Industries Ltd. (194.35, 5.80%) were trading with volumes 6.2 and 5.6 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

9 stocks overperformed with 52-week highs, while 2 stocks hit their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Century Plyboards (India) Ltd. (710.50, 2.67%), GHCL Ltd. (557.30, 3.63%) and Linde India Ltd. (3,332.70, -1.32%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Castrol India Ltd. (103.75, -1.47%) and Mishra Dhatu Nigam Ltd. (168.25, -0.59%).

13 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including KSB Ltd. (1,237.70, 6.31%) and Alok Industries Ltd. (25.60, 3.23%). 16 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Macrotech Developers Ltd. (1,064.40, -3.97%) and Welspun Corp Ltd. (145.00, -3.27%).

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
21 Mar 2022
Market closes lower, Aurobindo Pharma, Strides Pharma to commercialize Pfizer’s generic Covid drug

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closes in the red with the Indian volatility index, India VIX rising 8.9%. Asian indices close mixed after recouping some losses last week on hopes of a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine. US indices continued their climb on Friday after the US Federal Reserve commenced the interest rate hikes with an expected quarter percentage point on Thursday. Crude oil prices rise to trade higher as investors fear its supply chain disruption with the war in Ukraine showing no sign of stopping.

Nifty Smallcap 100 closes in the green despite the benchmark index closing lower than Thursday’s level. Nifty Midcap 100 gives up its gains towards the end of the trading session to close in the red. Nifty Metal closes sharply higher while Nifty Bank and Nifty FMCG close in the red.Nifty IT closes lower tracking the NASDAQ 100 futures, which is trading in the red.

Markets fell in today's trading. Nifty 50 closed at 17,117.60 (-169.5, -1.0%), BSE Sensex closed at 57,292.49 (-571.4, -1.0%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 14,602.35 (-119.4, -0.8%).

Market breadth is in the red. Of the 1,904 stocks traded today, 758 were on the uptick, and 1,103 were down.

  • AIA Engineering, KPR Mill, WABCO India, and Vardhman Textiles trading with higher volumes as compared to Thursday.

  • Greaves Cotton rises as its retail business Greaves Retail enters a partnership with Bounce Infinity, a two-wheeler electric ride-sharing app, to provide battery swapping stations for Greaves electric vehicles (EV). Bounce Infinity launched its in-house EV mobility solutions for Bounce in June 2019.

  • ICICI Securities maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on Prince Pipes & Fittings but has reduced its target price to Rs 804 from Rs 833, indicating a 23% upside. The brokerage remains bullish for the company’s long-term prospects due to its comprehensive product portfolio, focus on enhancing distribution reach, and emphasis on branding.

  • ICICI Securities maintains a ‘BUY’ rating on Shyam Metallics with a target price of Rs 400, indicating an upside of 23.5%. The brokerage remains positive as the company announces a capex of Rs 990 crore in addition to the committed capex of Rs 3,000 crore to be incurred over the next three-four years. The brokerage expects the company’s revenue to grow at 24% CAGR over FY21-FY24.

  • NBCC surges on receiving work orders from the Ladakh government worth Rs 500 crore. The work order involves comprehensive design, engineering, and project management consultancy services.

  • Jubilant Pharmova is trading with more than nine times its weekly average trading volume. Valiant Organics, Uflex, Wockhardt and Aurobindo Pharma are trading at more than three times their weekly average trading volumes.

  • Reliance Industries' wholly owned subsidiary i.e. Reliance Retail Ventures is set to acquire 89% stake in Purple Panda Fashions for Rs 950 crore. The target company owns women's innerwear and loungewear D2C brand Clovia. Reliance Industries looks to strengthen its innerwear portfolio which already consists of brands like Zivame and Amante with this acquisition.

  • Godrej Properties achieves sales worth Rs 1,002 crore in FY22 for it's township project Riverhills in Mahalunge, Pune. Since the launch of their first phase in the township in September 2019, the company has sold over 3,600 homes for a booking value of over Rs 2,100 crore.

  • Aurobindo Pharma and Strides Pharma are rising as they partner with Medicines Patent Pool (MPP) to commercialize the generic version of Pfizer’s COVID-19 oral treatment across 95 low and middle-income countries. Kovidax is a generic version of Pfizer’s COVID-19 oral treatment that consists of Nirmatrelvir tablets co-administered with Ritonavir tablets. Strides Pharma will manufacture Kovidax at its flagship facility in Bengaluru.

  • Maruti Suzuki rises after its parent company Suzuki Motor Corp announces investment of Rs 10,450 crore in Suzuki Motor Gujarat, its wholly owned subsidiary, to produce electric vehicles and batteries. The planned investment outlay will be spent over a period of 4 years. Maruti Suzuki India handles the sales and marketing of products manufactured by Suzuki Motor Gujarat.

  • Wockhardt enters into a collaboration agreement with Serum Life Sciences, UK, a subsidiary of the Serum Institute of India (SII). This collaboration is a profit-sharing arrangement between the two parties with an overall term of 15 years. The companies expect to deliver up to an additional 150 million doses of multiple vaccines each year from SII's new facility in the UK.

  • Ruchi Soya announces a price band of Rs 615 - 650 a share for its Rs 4,300 crore follow-on public offer. The issue opens on March 24 and closes on March 28, 2022. The minimum bid lot is 21 and in multiples of 21 equity shares thereafter. Through this issue, the promoters of the company seek to reduce their shareholding to comply with the minimum shareholding rules of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI).

  • Jindal Steel & Power’s (JSP) wholly-owned subsidiary Jindal Steel & Power (Mauritius) prepays $357 million to its lenders. Post this payment JSP’s overseas debt comes down to $130 million from $1.8 billion. Majority of the overseas debt now rests with its Australian subsidiary worth $113 million which the company plans to repay by September 2022.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. (679.40, 6.10%), Oil India Ltd. (233.20, 6.05%) and Vedanta Ltd. (400.05, 5.71%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Ruchi Soya Industries Ltd. (910.15, -9.38%), Petronet LNG Ltd. (194.85, -5.62%) and GAIL (India) Ltd. (144.30, -4.63%).

Volume Rockets

16 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Wockhardt Ltd. (326.35, 11.67%), Jubilant Pharmova Ltd. (449.65, 10.36%) and Sterlite Technologies Ltd. (209.15, 9.76%).

Top high volume loser on BSE was Procter & Gamble Health Ltd. (4,342.20, -0.41%).

Uflex Ltd. (610.15, 8.37%) was trading at 8.8 times of weekly average. Delta Corp Ltd. (312.75, 9.60%) and Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. (679.40, 6.10%) were trading with volumes 5.8 and 4.1 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

14 stocks hit their 52-week highs, while 2 stocks hit their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Cummins India Ltd. (1,054.00, 3.00%), Delta Corp Ltd. (312.75, 9.60%) and Gujarat State Fertilizer & Chemicals Ltd. (148.95, 1.46%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Thyrocare Technologies Ltd. (772.85, -0.95%) and Sequent Scientific Ltd. (122.65, -0.93%).

19 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Sun Pharma Advanced Research Company Ltd. (292.90, 7.47%) and IDBI Bank Ltd. (44.75, 4.43%). 11 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Ruchi Soya Industries Ltd. (910.15, -9.38%) and GAIL (India) Ltd. (144.30, -4.63%).

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The Baseline
21 Mar 2022
Five analyst stock picks this week
  1. Gujarat Gas: Prabudas Lilladhar maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on this gas company, but cuts the target price to Rs 675 from Rs 764, indicating an upside of 35.12%. The brokerage reduced the target price due to an upswing in spot LNG prices caused by geopolitical tensions. The EU's decision to cut reliance on Russian gas will increase demand and push prices further up. However, the brokerage remains bullish on the company’s business model and expects higher margins in Q4FY22. “We continue to like Gujarat Gas’ resilient business model that remains well placed to benefit from any resolution in geopolitical conditions”, says analyst Avishek Datta.

To tide over current market conditions, the company slashed supplies to industrial customers by 1 mmscmd (million metric standard cubic meters per day), thus reducing dependence on procurement through the spot market. It has also introduced dynamic pricing to pass on rising spot LNG prices. Both these initiatives are expected to double Q4FY22 margins for the company. Gujarat State Petroleum Corporation’s (Parent company) recent gas purchase of 0.58 mmscmd at 22% of Brent or $ 24/MMBtu (Metric Million British thermal unit)will enable pricing flexibility during these uncertain conditions. 

  1. Indiamart Intermesh: Axis Direct initiates a ‘Buy’ call on this software & services company with a target price of Rs 6,800. This indicates an upside of 53.7%. The company has a leadership position in India in the Business to Business (B2B) segment and has a robust presence across the country with over 60% market share. The company has 14.3 crore registered buyers on the platform and 0.7 crore registered suppliers. Buyer traffic has increased at a CAGR of 29%. “Indiamart’s products and services are well-diversified across categories and geographies,” says analyst Omkar Tanksale.

Tanksale adds, “We believe Indiamart has built a resilient business structure from a long-term perspective, supported by multiple verticals and higher penetration in the rural areas of the country. Lower input costs and higher realization, healthy cash flow generation, and acquisition strategy for inorganic growth led to the brokerage initiating a ‘Buy’ call.

  1. Asahi India Glass: ICICI Securities maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on the auto-parts company but reduces the target price to 553, indicating an upside of 29.1%. “We believe it would be tough for Asahi India Glass to sustain its present elevated profitability levels amidst a steep rise in energy costs,” say analysts Basudeb Banerjee and Pratit Vajani. ICICISec expects power/fuel costs to witness a 20-25% increase in the next two quarters, assuming present natural gas and crude oil prices. The brokerage also expects logistic costs to rise. These rising prices will impact the margins and overall cost. 

But against rising costs, residential unit sales have grown by 50% YTD-FY22 and “with scope for further opening up of the economy, demand for glass in the residential segment is likely to witness 15% CAGR in FY22-FY24,” the analysts say. The brokerage estimates a CAGR increase of 15% in demand for glass in the residential segment. The brokerage stays positive on the stock on the assumption that the company will operate at close to full capacity by FY24.

  1. Zydus Wellness: BOB Capital Markets initiates coverage on this FMCG company with a ‘Buy’ rating and a target price of Rs 2,185, indicating an upside of 47.5%. The brokerage expects product innovation, distribution expansion, and the Heinz India merger to fuel further growth for the company. The company’s Heinz India acquisition is expected to be significantly valuable as it adds substantial scale advantages in distribution, higher bargaining power with suppliers, faster product launches, and warehouse consolidation. “The acquisition of Heinz India has significantly enhanced Zydus Wellness’ product basket, expanding its ownership to popular brands such as Complan, Glucon-D, and Nycil”, says analyst Ruchitaa Maheshwari.

The company is a market leader in the niche consumer wellness categories such as sugar substitutes, peel-offs, and glucose powder having a market share of 96%, 76.4%, and 58.1% respectively. The company has found gaps in the market and has the R&D backbone to launch new variants and extensions. Apart from network synergies, growth in eCommerce channels is expected to further boost sales.

  1. Endurance Technologies: Hem Securities initiates a ‘Buy’ call on this Auto-Parts company with a target price of Rs 1,342 and an upside of 14%. The company received new orders worth Rs 580 crorein 9MFY22 from Hero MotoCorp, Royal Enfield among others. The company is also increasing its disk brake assembly capacities to 5.7 lakh sets/month (from 2.9 lakh) and alloy wheel capacities to 3.2 lakh/month (from 2.4 lakh). During Q3FY22, the company acquired a 100% stake in Veicoli SrI, Italy. According to analyst Abhishek Sharda, “Endurance Technology has strong positioning in the Indian two-wheeler segment.” Sharda also adds, “Driven by new customer wins and increasing EV penetration, we believe Endurance Technologies is the best bet for the revival in Indian two-wheeler space.” The brokerage expects revenue to increase 13.5% in FY22 led by new order wins and an increase in capacities. 

Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
17 Mar 2022
Markets closes higher, Macquirie slashes the target price on Paytm by 36% to Rs 450

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 extended its gains throughout the day and closed higher with the Indian volatility index, India VIX falling sharply for the second consecutive day. Asian indices closed in the green, tracking the rally in the US indices. US stocks closed sharply higher on Wednesday as the US Federal Reserve commenced the interest rate hikes with an expected quarter percentage point and signaled hikes at all six remaining meetings. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell assured investors that the US economy is “very strong” and can handle monetary tightening. Crude oil prices rise to trade over $100 per barrel as uncertainties prevail over the Ukraine crisis.

Barring Nifty IT, all sectoral indices closed in the green. Nifty Next 50 and Nifty Smallcap 100 closed in the green to extend their gains from Wednesday. Nifty Metal, which gained 2.6% yesterday, closed 1.9% higher. Nifty IT closed marginally lower despite the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 surging 3.7% yesterday.

Markets rose in today's trading.Nifty 50 closed at 17,287.05 (311.7, 1.8%), BSE Sensex closed at 57,863.93 (1,047.3, 1.8%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 14,721.70 (239.9, 1.7%)

Market breadth is in the green. Of the 1,881 stocks traded today, 1,170 were in the positive territory and 660 were negative.

  • SKF India, KEI Industries, IIFL Wealth Management, and Adani Total Gas trading with higher volumes as compared to Wednesday.

  • Hindustan Construction Company and Om Infra's joint venture receives a contract worth Rs 609 crore from the public health engineering department, the government of Rajasthan, for the construction of the Nokha water supply project to provide functional household tap connection in Bikaner.

  • Jefferies initiates coverage on Nykaa with a 'BUY' rating and a target price upside of 10.3%. The brokerage is positive on this company as it leads the online beauty segment and its fashion segment is scaling up fast. The company also enjoys customer stickness due to its diverse and authentic product portfolio.

  • Voltas is rising as its board approves a joint venture (JV) arrangement with Highly International (Hong Kong), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Shanghai Highly Company. The companies plan to engage in the business of development, manufacture, marketing, sale, and service of inverter compressors.

  • In its buyback offer of nearly Rs 180-crore, KPR Mills will buy 1 share for every 16 shares held by the retail investors on the record date i.e. Febuary 19, 2022. KPR will buy back 5 shares for a lot of 891 shares held by all other eligible investors.

  • IFB Industries is trading with more than 35 times its weekly average trading volume. Timken India, Trent and Jindal Saw are trading at more than six times their weekly average trading volumes.

  • Macquirie slashes the target price on Paytm by 36% to Rs 450 citing concerns on its long-term growth and cash flow generation. The brokerage holds a negative view on the company after RBI directed Paytm Payments Bank to stop onboarding new customers. The chances of the company getting a small finance banking license are now bleak.

  • Hem Securities initiates coverage on Endurance Technologies with a ‘Buy’ rating and a target price of Rs 1,342, indicating an upside of 15%. The brokerage is bullish on the company’s strong positioning in the 2-wheeler segment, expansion plans into various segments like disk brakes & alloy wheels, new customer wins, and increasing EV penetration.

  • JSW Energy is rising on the bourses as it completes the reorganization of its green (renewable) and grey (thermal) business areas to focus on renewable and thermal power segments. As a result, three overseas subsidiaries of the Company have been transferred to JSW Neo Energy.

  • Godrej Properties rises as it achieves sales of Rs 1,650 crore from Godrej Woods project in Noida. The company sold 855 homes within a year of the launch of the project.

  • Jindal Poly Films (JPFL) is rising as it signs an agreement for the sale of a minority stake in its packaging films business to Brookfield Asset Management. The asset management company agrees to a Rs 2,000 crore deal with JPFL for the acquisition of a non-controlling minority stake in JPFL Films, which is subject to the approval of the members of the Company

  • BOB Capital Markets initiates coverage on Zydus Wellness with a ‘BUY’ rating and a target price of Rs 2,185, indicating an upside of 45%. The brokerage has a positive outlook on the company on the back of its product expansion, distribution expansion, and Heinz India merger. The brokerage expects the company’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 11% over FY21-24.

  • Adani Power acquires Essar power's 1,200 MW thermal power project in Mahan, Madhya Pradesh for Rs 4,250 crore. The cost of acquisition of Essar Power M P includes the cost of compliance with environmental and emission norms. Essar Power M P is undergoing an insolvency resolution.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Trent Ltd. (1,262.05, 7.75%), L&T Finance Holdings Ltd. (71.35, 7.13%) and Sona BLW Precision Forgings Ltd. (684.50, 6.21%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Ruchi Soya Industries Ltd. (1,004.35, -6.25%), Oil India Ltd. (219.90, -6.15%) and Max Healthcare Institute Ltd. (334.60, -4.58%).

Volume Shockers

61 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Angel One Ltd. (1,619.05, 14.23%), IFB Industries Ltd. (996.70, 13.22%) and Brigade Enterprises Ltd. (529.15, 10.47%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Max Healthcare Institute Ltd. (334.60, -4.58%), Vardhman Textiles Ltd. (2,639.95, -4.19%) and ABB India Ltd. (2,101.35, -4.09%).

Grindwell Norton Ltd. (1,837.90, -0.11%) was trading at 12.8 times of weekly average. Timken India Ltd. (2,198.75, 6.47%) and YES Bank Ltd. (12.95, 1.17%) were trading with volumes 10.6 and 10.3 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

10 stocks made 52-week highs, while 1 stock was underachiever and hit their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Cholamandalam Investment & Finance Company Ltd. (719.85, 3.22%), GHCL Ltd. (531.60, 0.83%) and Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. (911.60, 2.52%).

Stock making new 52 weeks lows included - Thyrocare Technologies Ltd. (780.25, -0.83%).

33 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including EIH Ltd. (139.25, 8.45%) and Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd. (892.25, 7.27%). 4 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Max Healthcare Institute Ltd. (334.60, -4.58%) and Au Small Finance Bank Ltd. (1,163.40, -1.31%).

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The Baseline
17 Mar 2022
Five Interesting Stocks Today : Commodities Edition

In this installment of 5 interesting stocks, we analyze the effects of ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict on the leading commodity and metal stocks in India:

  • Coal India: This company’s stock price rose over 20% in three trading sessions after the Russia-Ukraine conflict intensified in the start of March. Globally, coal prices have more than doubled since the start of the war in Ukraine. Coal prices surged more than 2.5 times in just 15 days to touch $462 per tonne on March 10. Although coal prices have cooled down to trade at $325 per tonne, the elevated prices suggest fears of its supply chain disruption. 

The stock price of Coal India has been rising in anticipation of price hikes by the company. Coal India’s Chairman Pramod Agarwal, on a call with analysts, said that some of the company’s manufacturing units are finding it difficult to survive without a price hike. The world’s largest coal producer is facing cost pressures from a looming rise in salaries and on higher prices of diesel. However, with the rise in coal prices globally, the company may finally take price hikes to ease cost pressures.

India’s demand for coking coal, which is used in steelmaking, has been growing at a very fast rate. India imports a total of 50-55 million tonnes annually. To reduce its import dependence on Australia, India entered into an agreement with Russia last year to import coking coal. In light of the Ukraine situation, India’s steel minister Ram Chandra Prasad assured steelmakers of a solution to deal with the supply disruption. As if on cue, Bharat Coking Coal (BCCL), a subsidiary of Coal India, registered its highest production growth of around 66% in February to 2.93 million tonnes. With the supply disruption looming, Coal India stands to gain from the situation by increasing the production of coking coal. 

  • Balrampur Chini Mills:The stock of this leading Indian sugar producer rose 12% in the past one week as the Russia-Ukraine conflict intensified. The UN Food and Agriculture Organization foresees a possible food crisis emerging out of the ongoing war owing to supply side constraints. Moreover, both Russia and Ukraine put a temporary halt on the exports of certain grains and sugar to ensure sufficient domestic supplies. While the export bans and protectionism policies enforced by certain nations in wake of the war will impact sugar supplies, the real impact comes from the skyrocketing crude oil prices. Spiraling energy prices have given a boost to ethanol demand and the same is expected to rise at a CAGR of over 5% globally and 15% in India between FY22-FY30. In India, a litre of ethanol is priced at Rs 63.45 while a litre of petrol is priced at Rs 95.41. This phenomenon is also pushing up the demand for sugar and ultimately its prices. Sugar futures on intercontinental exchange (ICE) traded at $19.3 per pound, close to a two-month high of $19.8 hit last week. Additionally, as sugar is increasingly diverted to ethanol production globally, exporters back home are witnessing a demand boost. Domestic exports are expected to rise by 8-11% YoY to 7.8-8.0 million tonnes in FY22. 

All in all, sugar producers like Balrampur Chini will not only see their sales volumes rising, but will also get a better price for their sugar produce and for the ethanol extracted (as fixed by the Centre). Their bread is buttered on both sides.

  • NMDC: The mining giant may benefit from the supply chain disruption in global commodity markets caused by the Ukraine-Russia conflict. Amid the conflict the company has been able to hike prices for the third time since January 2022,  the prices of iron ore lumps and fines by Rs 400/ton. Overall prices have risen by 20% since January 2022. The price hikes are driven by strong steel and international pellet prices. Alongside price hikes, the miner’s production of iron ore grew 13% YoY to 8.87 million tonnes (MT) and sales grew by 17% YoY to 8.21 MT, during January-February 2022. NMDC has declared dividends worth Rs 14.74 per share in FY22, the highest in its history.

For FY23, NMDC has planned a capex of Rs 3,000 crore and Rs 1,500 crore of it is for the core mining business. The company plans to expand mining activities by setting up a 2.5 MT crushing plant and a 12 MT screening plant. It also expects to complete the demerger process of its upcoming 3 million tonnes per annum Nagarnar iron and steel plant (NISP) around April-June 2022. NISP will likely be commissioned by May–June 2022. The listing of NISP is planned for June-July 2022. The total investment by NMDC in NISP is Rs 17,000 crore through equity and around Rs 4,900 crore via debt. The company has set an ambitious target of producing 100 MT of iron ore by 2030.

  • Steel Authority of India (SAIL): The steelmaker looks to capitalize on the traction in global metal prices caused by the Russia Ukraine conflict. In Q3FY22, the revenue of the company grew 27% YoY to Rs 25,398.4 crore and profit grew by 4.1% YoY to 1,528.5 crore. The steep rise in coking coal put pressure on the margins of the company. The company expects sales volume to grow 25% QoQ to 4.8 million tonnes (MT) of steel in Q4FY22, on the uptick in steel prices. It has already sold 1.6 MT in January 2022 and is confident of achieving an annual sales volume of 16.3 MT. It expects margin pressure to be partially offset by higher sales volume and higher prices in Q4FY22. Coking coal prices saw a 65% jump QoQ to Rs 25,000/tonne in Q3 and it is expected that the prices will increase further in Q4FY22 by Rs 2,000-3,000/tonne. SAIL announced a price hike due to the improving demand situation in India and expects margins to improve going forward.

The company's focus remains to lower its borrowings and has reduced them by 15% QoQ to Rs 19,128 crore in Q3FY22, mainly due to a reduction in trade receivables from Rs 8,100 crore to Rs 1,600 crore. The debt reduction target of achieving net-debt zero by Q1FY23 is now pushed towards the end of FY23. SAIL is working on a expansion plan given global demand, and has planned a capex of Rs 8,000 crore for FY23, double the capex for FY22.

  • National Aluminium Company: This aluminum maker’s stock gained nearly 3% in trade on Wednesday. Nifty Metal also traded in green after it shed close to 4% on Tuesday. Metal stocks have been rallying since the Russia Ukraine war broke out. Analysts believe that metal stocks will continue to gain  in the geopolitical conflict. The company has already given out robust earning numbers in Q3FY22 with net profit rising 3.5X YoY to Rs 831 crore and gross margins improving 78 bps YoY to 84%. Net sales for the company surged 58.6% to Rs 2,378.8 crore in Q3FY22.

Aluminum prices have been rallying for a few weeks now. This is because the global aluminum market is already facing shortages because of production cuts in Europe because of high energy prices and supply restrictions from China. Further, with the US putting out sanctions on Russia, the supply of aluminum will get further disrupted causing aluminum prices to rise. This is likely to benefit Indian aluminum producers, especially National Aluminum Company (NALCO), according to a report from Bloomberg Quint. Since NALCO is one of the lowest-cost producers, the company stands to gain disproportionately, as expenses will not cloud its earnings for the upcoming quarters.

Analysts from Motilal Oswal second this and have revised their FY23 EBITDA estimates by 29% for the company. Dolat Capital expects the aluminum segment EBITDA to go up by 1.35% and alumina segment EBITDA to go up by 5% in FY23-FY24. Analysts from Motilal Oswal expect NALCO’s Q4FY22 will turn out to be a strong quarter in terms of earnings, hence maintaining a ‘Buy’ on the stock.

Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movement, analyst calls or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
16 Mar 2022
Market closes higher, HDFC Securities maintains a 'Reduce' rating on Jubliant Foodworks

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 extended its gains throughout the day and closed sharply higher with the Indian volatility index, India VIX falling 9.8%. Most Asian stocks closed in the green with Chinese stocks easing after a sell-off on Tuesday. Crude oil prices continue to fall as investors expect positive developments in the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks. US indices rallied yesterday ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting, to be concluded today. Investors expect the Fed to commence the interest rate hikes despite the uncertainty of the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war on the US economy.

All sectoral indices closed in the green. Nifty Next 50 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed sharply higher, outperforming the benchmark index. Nifty Metal, which shed over 4% on Tuesday, closed in the green. Nifty IT also ended the day in green, tracking the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100, which rose 3.2% yesterday.

Markets rose in today's trading. Nifty 50 closed at 16,975.35 (312.4, 1.9%), BSE Sensex closed at 56,816.65 (1,039.8, 1.9%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 14,481.80 (266.0, 1.9%)

Market breadth is overwhelmingly positive. Of the 1,876 stocks traded today, 1,331 were on the uptrend, and 499 went down.

  • WABCO India, Sundram Fasteners, Westlife Development, and CG Power and Industrial Solutions trading with higher volumes as compared to Tuesday.

  • HDFC Securities maintains a 'Reduce' rating on Jubliant Foodworks but cuts the target price by 27%. The brokerage holds a negative view on the company post the resignation of its CEO Pratik Pota and believes that the execution risk is higher w.r.t its medium-term massive store expansion. HDFC Sec also reduces the profit growth estimates by 4% for next two years.

  • Consumer facing companies are trading up with stocks like Havells, Voltas, Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail and Bajaj Electricals rising. The broader sectoral index i.e. BSE Consumer Durables is also trading in green today.

  • Unichem Laboratories is rising as it receives approval for abbreviated new drug application of Nebivolol Tablets from the USFDA to market a generic version of Bystolic Tablets, of Allergan Sales, LLC. Nebivolol is used in the treatment of hypertension.

  • General Insurance Corporation of India is trading with more than 25 times its weekly average trading volume. The New India Assurance Company, RHI Magnesita and Sundram Fasteners are trading at more than seven times their weekly average trading volumes.

  • ICICI Bank rises after it announces a partnership with Emirates Skywards to offer co-branded credit cards in India. These credit cards will allow consumers to earn reward points or miles on travel and lifestyle related spending activities. The company consistently gained market share from HDFC Bank in terms of credit card spends in FY22

  • Zomato’s board of directors approve a $150 million loan to Grofers India Private Limited (GIPL) in one or more tranches. This loan to Blinkit (formerly Grofers) will carry an interest rate of 12% or higher per annum for a period of up to one year. Reports suggest that Zomato is in discussions to acquire Blinkit (formerly Grofers) in a share swap deal. Shareholders of Zomato are expected to get 10 Blinkit shares for each held in their company.

  • ICICI Securities maintains a ‘Hold’ rating on Mahanagar Gas with a target price of Rs 850, indicating an upside of 9%. The brokerage expects the company to benefit from the proposal by the Maharashtra Government to reduce VAT from 13.5% to 3%, as the company can pass on the benefit to its customers and maintain its prices in the near term.

  • Macrotech Developers rises as its arm Lodha Developers International pre-pays $ 170 million (Rs 1,298 crore) of debt after recording its best-ever quarter sales of Rs 1,900 crore from two projects in London

  • IT major Infosys is rising as the Board will consider the final dividend for FY22 in the board meeting to be held on April 12 and 13, 2022. The company will also finalize the results for year ended March 31, 2022 in this meeting.

  • InterGlobe Aviation is rising as it resumes flights between India and Thailand from Tuesday after a span of two years. The company plans to operate the Thailand flights under air bubble agreement till March 26 and thereafter as part of its scheduled commercial international operations. Previously, the Centre had announced that scheduled commercial international flights will resume in India from March 27.

  • Punjab National Bank reports a borrowal fraud of Rs 2,060.1 crore in one of its non-performing asset (NPA) account. The NPA account belongs to M/s IL&FS Tamil Nadu Power Co. Ltd. at Extra Large Corporate Branch at Delhi. The lender has provisions of Rs 824 crore as per prescribed prudential norms. This account was classified as a fraud account by Punjab & Sind Bank in February 2022.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include The New India Assurance Company Ltd. (124.75, 8.76%), General Insurance Corporation of India (122.30, 7.05%) and Nippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. (335.70, 6.28%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include MphasiS Ltd. (3,098.00, -2.80%), Kansai Nerolac Paints Ltd. (448.60, -2.06%) and Ruchi Soya Industries Ltd. (1,071.35, -1.78%).

Crowd Puller Stocks

16 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included The New India Assurance Company Ltd. (124.75, 8.76%), General Insurance Corporation of India (122.30, 7.05%) and Bharat Dynamics Ltd. (555.10, 6.24%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were TCI Express Ltd. (1,770.40, -2.19%), KEI Industries Ltd. (1,004.25, -1.90%) and Blue Star Ltd. (980.40, -0.23%).

RHI Magnesita India Ltd. (569.85, 4.47%) was trading at 12.3 times of weekly average. Sundram Fasteners Ltd. (862.40, 5.16%) and Balaji Amines Ltd. (3,081.25, 6.23%) were trading with volumes 8.7 and 6.6 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

6 stocks hit their 52-week highs, while 1 stock were underachiever and hit their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Cholamandalam Investment & Finance Company Ltd. (697.40, 1.69%), Linde India Ltd. (3,192.40, -1.97%) and Bharat Dynamics Ltd. (555.10, 6.24%).

Stock making new 52 weeks lows included - Thyrocare Technologies Ltd. (786.80, -0.69%).

22 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Century Textiles & Industries Ltd. (804.40, 6.56%) and IDFC Ltd. (58.95, 5.74%). 5 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including IIFL Finance Ltd. (288.95, -1.01%) and MMTC Ltd. (47.25, -0.94%).

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
15 Mar 2022
Market closes lower, Paytm falls despite denying claims of data leak to Chinese firms

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 snapped its five-day winning streak and closed in the red. Most Asian indices closed lower amid tepid global cues. Hong Kong index, Hang Seng closed sharply lower as China announced lockdowns in cities to battle the omicron variant. Crude oil prices continue to fall as investors expect positive developments in the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks to be held today. US indices closed lower on Monday ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s two-day monetary policy meeting, scheduled to commence today. The US Federal Reserve is set to start the interest rate hikes on Wednesday despite the uncertainty of the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war on the US economy.

Nifty Smallcap 100, which opened higher than Monday’s level, ended the day in red, shedding close to 1.5%. BarringNifty Auto, all sectoral indices closed in the red. Nifty Metal plunged over 4% and extended its losses from Monday.Nifty IT fell 2.5% tracking the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100, which closed in the red yesterday.

Gloom in markets in today's trading. Nifty 50 closed at 16,663.00 (-208.3, -1.2%), BSE Sensex closed at 55,776.85 (-709.2, -1.3%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 14,215.85 (-158.8, -1.1%)

Market breadth is moving down. Of the 1,860 stocks traded today, 513 showed gains, and 1,326 showed losses.

  • WABCO India, Tube Investments of India, Nesco, and Adani Transmission trading with higher volumes as compared to Monday.

  • Granules Pharmaceuticals (GPI), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Granules India receives an establishment inspection report (EIR) from the US Food and Drug Administration (USFDA). The GPI facility, which is located in Virginia, USA, was inspected by the USFDA from 24th to 28th January 2022.

  • Godrej Properties rises as it acquires 50 acres of land in Sonipat for a residential development project. This is an expansion of the company’s residential portfolio in the NCR region. The company plans to invest Rs 7,500 crore over the next 12-18 months on more such real estate projects.

  • Metal stocks are trading lower with stocks like Tata Steel, JSW Steel, Hindalco Industries, Jindal Steel & Power among others falling in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty Metal is also trading lower today.

  • Linde India is trading with more than nine times its weekly average trading volume. Polyplex Corporation, Century Plyboards, Rites, and Happiest Minds Technologies are trading at more than three times their weekly average trading volumes.

  • Axis Securities initiates coverage on IndiaMART InterMESH with a ‘Buy’ rating and target price of Rs 6,800, indicating an upside of 52%. The brokerage believes the company is well-positioned to capture the immense growth opportunity driven by its strong and consistent traffic improvement, healthy cash flow generation, robust technology backup supporting its business platform, and good acquisition strategy for inorganic growth.

  • Ramkrishna Forgings is rising as it wins domestic order worth Rs 75 crore per annum from an original equipment manufacturer for medium and heavy commercial vehicles.

  • Anupam Rasayan India's Chief Financial Officer Afzal Malkani resigns due to personal reasons. The resignation is effective from March 14, 2022

  • Paytm continues to fall on the bourses despite reporting a 366% YoY growth in its loan disbursals at Rs 2,095 crore for Febuary, 2022. The gross merchandising value for the company doubled YoY to Rs 1.65 lakh crore for the month in question. The company also denies the reports of data leak to Chinese firms in its latest press release.

  • Axis Securities initiates coverage on Cipla with a ‘BUY’ rating and target price of Rs 1,200, indicating an upside of 15.5%. The brokerage has a positive outlook on the company as it has a robust pipeline for the branded and generic markets of India and South Africa. The brokerage expects the company’s revenue to grow at 11.2% CAGR over FY21-FY24.

  • Reliance New Energy, a subsidiary of Reliance Industries, acquires all assets of Lithium Werks along with 100% stake in Lithium Werks Technology B.V., for Rs 466.3 crore. The assets include patent portfolio of Lithium Werks, manufacturing facility in China, key business prospects, among others. This acquisition provides Reliance access to the world’s leading portfolio of lithium iron phosphate patents and manufacturing facility.

  • Persistent Systems agrees to acquire cloud technology firm MediaAgility for Rs 548 crore in an all-cash deal. The acquisition will enhance the company’s partnership with Google and will be the foundation for a dedicated Google business unit.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Ruchi Soya Industries Ltd. (1,090.75, 13.18%), Bandhan Bank Ltd. (281.15, 6.11%) and Au Small Finance Bank Ltd. (1,169.50, 4.32%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include MindTree Ltd. (3,884.15, -5.84%), NMDC Ltd. (147.55, -5.57%) and Hindalco Industries Ltd. (559.75, -5.26%).

Crowd Puller Stocks

20 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Ruchi Soya Industries Ltd. (1,090.75, 13.18%), Linde India Ltd. (3,256.45, 11.38%) and Minda Corporation Ltd. (198.65, 7.70%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were CreditAccess Grameen Ltd. (758.55, -5.69%), Krishna Institute of Medical Sciences Ltd. (1,331.10, -4.29%) and Engineers India Ltd. (61.90, -3.51%).

Century Plyboards (India) Ltd. (657.25, 6.23%) was trading at 10.4 times of weekly average. Rites Ltd. (251.70, 2.30%) and Happiest Minds Technologies Ltd. (1,137.15, 1.61%) were trading with volumes 5.7 and 5.2 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

4 stocks overperformed with 52-week highs, while 3 stocks tanked below their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Cipla Ltd. (1,068.05, 1.85%), Linde India Ltd. (3,256.45, 11.38%) and JK Paper Ltd. (279.25, 0.72%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Wockhardt Ltd. (289.00, -5.62%) and Thyrocare Technologies Ltd. (792.25, -1.57%).

14 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Ruchi Soya Industries Ltd. (1,090.75, 13.18%) and IIFL Wealth Management Ltd. (1,501.45, 3.23%). 24 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including NMDC Ltd. (147.55, -5.57%) and Tata Steel Ltd. (1,233.75, -4.88%).

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The Baseline
15 Mar 2022
Chart of the week: HDFC Bank keeps top spot in credit cards segment, but is losing market share to ICICI Bank

Credit card swipes slowed down in January 2022 post the festival frenzy. Total credit cardspends fell nearly 7% to Rs 88,038 crore in January 2022 as against average monthly spends of Rs 94,975 crore in Q3FY22, during the festive season. But credit card spends still rose about 35% on a YoY basis compared to January last year.

Overall, nearly 13 lakh new credit cards were issued in January 2022 as against 13.66 lakh cards in December 2021. Among the top seven banking players,ICICI Bank saw the highest credit card additions at 2.41 lakh. In terms of the total spends on credit cards, only Axis Bank and Kotak Mahindra Bank witnessed a MoM rise in the same in January 2022. 

While the RBI lifted restrictions on HDFC Bank w.r.t. new credit card issuances in August last year, little has changed on the ground as far as the market share of the bank is concerned. In fact between August 2021 and January 2022, the bank lost around 170 bps of market share in the total credit card spends.

HDFC Bank’s loss was clearly ICICI Bank’s gain. ICICI Bank climbed steadily to the No.2 spot, overtakingSBI, and held 21.4% market share in total credit card spends in January 2022.

Recently, HDFC Bank’s management asserted that it would take atleast 3-4 quarters for it to return to the pre-embargo growth levels in the credit card segment. Notably, the RBI also eased the remaining restrictions on new digital issuances by HDFC Bank from March 11, 2022. It will be interesting to see if HDFC Bank is able to post a healthy core fee growth in the quarters ahead. 

Notably, for the 10 months ended FY22, IndusInd Bank replaced Citi Bank as the new No. 5 (credit card spends) as the latter looks to sell its consumer banking business present in India.

With the waning of the third Covid wave from the second half of February, Axis Securities expects the credit card spends and new customer sourcing for the banks to improve. The effects of the same should be visible from March 2022 onward.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
14 Mar 2022
Market closes higher, Lupin receives USFDA for its Vigabatrin oral solution

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed in the green for the fifth consecutive day. Falling crude oil prices and Bharatiya Janata Party winning four out of five state assembly elections last week lifted up the markets. However, most Asian indices closed lower amid mixed global cues with the Russia-Ukraine war as the focal point. The US Federal Reserve is set to commence the interest rate hikes after its two-day monetary policy meeting, starting tomorrow. This comes after the US inflation print hit a 40-year high of 7.9% last week.

Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100, which opened higher than Friday's levels, closed marginally higher underperforming the benchmark index. Nifty Media and Nifty Bank extended their gains from last week by closing in the green. Nifty Metal closed in the red while Nifty IT ended the day sharply higher, tracking the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 futures, which is trading in the green.

Markets closed up today. Nifty 50 closed at 16,871.30 (240.9, 1.5%), BSE Sensex closed at 56,486.02 (935.7, 1.7%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 14,374.60 (137.5, 1.0%)

Market breadth is in the red. Of the 1,897 stocks traded today, 836 showed gains, and 1,024 showed losses.

  • Supreme Industries, Godrej Industries, Sanofi India, and Amber Enterprises trading with higher volumes as compared to Friday.

  • Media stocks like Zee Entertainment, Sun TV Network, PVR, TV18 Broadcast, and Saregama India are rising. The broader sectoral index i.e., Nifty Media is also trading up today.

  • Larsen & Toubro's arm L&T Construction recieves engineering, procurement and construction orders worth Rs 1,000-2,500 crore from Gujarat Water Infrastructure for the Dhanki-Navda Bulk Pipeline project.

  • Lupin receives US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for its abbreviated new drug application (ANDA), Vigabatrin for oral solution (500 mg). Vigabatrin is an anti-epilepsy drug with an estimated annual sales of $ 275 million (around Rs 2,100) in the US.

  • Ruchi Soya rallies as it files a red herring prospectus (RHP) for its follow-on public offer (FPO) for Rs 4,300 crore upon receiving approval from its board of directors. The company will offer equity shares with a face value of Rs 2 each amounting to Rs 4,300 crore under the FPO. The issue will open on March 24 and will be available for bidding till March 28, 2022.

  • Ingersoll-Rand (India) is trading with more than seventeen times its weekly average trading volume. Jubilant Foodworks, WABCO India, Godfrey Phillips India, and Sharda Cropchem are trading at more than three times their weekly average trading volumes.

  • HDFC Bank rises after RBI revokes the restrictions on business generating activities planned under the Bank’s Digital 2.0 program w.e.f. March 11, 2022. The apex bank had earlier eased the restictions on new credit card issuances by HDFC Bank in August, 2021.

  • Zydus Lifesciences receives US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval for its Colestipol Hydrochloride tablets in the strength of 1mg. Colestipol Hydrochloride is used to lower high cholesterol levels in the blood to help prevent medical problems caused by cholesterol clogging the blood vessels.

  • Jubilant Foodworks' Chief Executive Officer and full-time Director Pratik Rashmikant Pota resigns to pursue opportunities outside the company. The resignation will be effective from June 15, 2022.

  • GAIL announces the second interim dividend of Rs 5 per share for FY22. The total dividend payout amounts to nearly Rs 2,220 crore. The record date is March 22, 2022

  • Tech Mahindra acquires a 100% stake worth Rs 320 crore in the enterprise-application company Thirdware, in an all-cash deal. The IT company expects the acquisition to bolster its digital solutions and services in automotive consulting, design, and development.

  • Sobha's Managing Director Jagdish Chandra Sharma resigns citing personal reasons. The resignation will be effective from April 1, 2022.

  • Reserve Bank of India (RBI), on Friday, directs Paytm Payments Bank, an associate of One97 Communications, to stop onboarding new customers with immediate effect. RBI has also directed the company to appoint an IT audit firm to conduct a system audit of its IT system as it observes supervisory concerns with the bank operations.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Ruchi Soya Industries Ltd. (963.75, 20.00%), Deepak Nitrite Ltd. (2,207.65, 7.66%) and Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd. (259.20, 6.91%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Jubilant Foodworks Ltd. (2,514.00, -12.24%), Au Small Finance Bank Ltd. (1,121.10, -6.03%) and Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd. (279.20, -5.13%).

Movers and Shakers

15 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Ruchi Soya Industries Ltd. (963.75, 20.00%), CreditAccess Grameen Ltd. (804.30, 14.58%) and Hatsun Agro Products Ltd. (1,205.90, 10.66%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Jubilant Foodworks Ltd. (2,514.00, -12.24%), Mahindra CIE Automotive Ltd. (174.95, -2.34%) and WABCO India Ltd. (7,174.85, -0.23%).

Brightcom Group Ltd. (102.10, 4.99%) was trading at 6.9 times of weekly average. Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. (1,040.35, 1.50%) and Johnson Controls-Hitachi Air Conditioning India Ltd. (1,856.70, 3.25%) were trading with volumes 5.7 and 4.6 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

7 stocks made 52-week highs, while 4 stocks tanked below their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Cipla Ltd. (1,048.65, 0.45%), GHCL Ltd. (525.50, 6.39%) and Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. (892.25, -1.08%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - 3M India Ltd. (19,704.95, -0.97%) and Jubilant Foodworks Ltd. (2,514.00, -12.24%).

21 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Hatsun Agro Products Ltd. (1,205.90, 10.66%) and Deepak Nitrite Ltd. (2,207.65, 7.66%). 14 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Au Small Finance Bank Ltd. (1,121.10, -6.03%) and Sobha Ltd. (701.90, -5.98%).

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The Baseline
14 Mar 2022
Five analyst stock picks this week
  1. Hindustan Aeronautics: ICICI Securities maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on this aerospace company with a target price of Rs 2,618, indicating an upside of 88.6%. The brokerage is bullish for the company’s order pipeline. The current outstanding order book is Rs 79,230 crore at the end of 2021 and with the defence ministry clearing more procurement proposals forwarded by the Indian defence forces, it is expected to strengthen the order book further by Rs 30,000 crore. Apart from this, the management is also expecting more orders worth around Rs 25,000 crore to be finalized in Q1FY23. 

HAL procures Rs 4,000 crore worth of spares and parts from Russia, for which it has maintained inventory to cater to the requirement for at least the next 8-9 months. “The company is also focusing on indigenous production of Russian supplies to reduce the import dependence,” said the analysts at ICICI Securities. The brokerage expects the company’s profit to grow by 8.3% CAGR over FY22-FY24 on a robust order pipeline and improving production capacity.

  1. Alkem Laboratories: Motilal Oswal reiterates its ‘Buy’ rating on this pharmaceuticals stock with a target price of Rs 3,870, indicating an upside of 14.1%. “Given the turmoil on the international front, the branded domestic formulations segment remains well protected. It is also on the growth path, with the easing of Covid-related restrictions,” say analysts Tushar Manudhane and Gaurang Sakare. The company delivered 34.5% YoY sales growth in 9MFY22 and exports grew at 18% CAGR over FY16-21. The analysts cut their FY23 and FY24 earnings estimates by 6% and 7% respectively to factor in elevated operational costs for prolonged periods of time. But the brokerage expects a 10% earnings CAGR over FY22-24 on the back of steady outperformance in the domestic formulation segment, a positive benefit of inflation-linked price hike on products, and a consistent compliance track record.

  2. Ion Exchange (India): Hem Securities initiates a ‘Buy’ call on this environment solutions company with a target price of Rs 2,526. This indicates an upside of 42.7%. In Q3FY22, the company posted a net profit of Rs 28 crore, down 3.44% YoY, and consolidated revenues of Rs 388 crore, up 11.18% YoY. The engineering division saw improvement in the order book. The company got an order from Numaligarh Refinery. The UP Jal Nigam project commenced in the quarter, and the management is expecting a higher revenue contribution in the next few quarters. Domestic sales improved and new products were launched by the company. The total order book was Rs 2,756 crore and the company has already bid for Rs 5,640 crore, mainly related to pipelines. Return on equity is 30% and the company is debt-free. The brokerage feels that the company’s market capitalisation can double from here over a longer-term. 

  3. Infosys: Axis Securities has a ‘Buy’ rating on this software services company with a target price of Rs 1,895, indicating an upside of just 1.3%. The company’s management “has taken cost optimization efforts which help them to gain long term sustainable operating margins” said analysts at Axis Securities. The deal pipeline remained robust in Q3FY22 at $2.53 billion. It won multiple large transformation deals, despite uncertainty across sectors like BFSI, communication, manufacturing, and auto. 

The digital transformation business is intact, as its engagement with its partner network expanded beyond certifications into the setup of co-innovation centres, building industry solutions, and joint sourcing of deals. The company will continue to invest in Its digital product, digital talent, and sales and marketing to drive growth. The brokerage expects Infy’s profit to grow by 10.6% CAGR over FY22-FY24 on a strong deal pipeline and robust demand.

  1. Avanti Feeds: Geojit BNP Paribas maintains ‘Buy’ on this food products company but reduced its target price to Rs 535, indicating an upside of 25.1%. For Q3FY22 the company’s sales grew by 17% YoY to Rs 1,069 crore on the back of 18%YoY growth in the feed segment and 12% YoY growth in the processing segment. But the company’s profit fell 46% to Rs 40 crore. Avanti Feeds announced a capacity expansion of 1.75 lakh metric tonne, with a capital expenditure of Rs 125 crore by Q1FY23. The brokerage expects revenue CAGR of 13% over FY22-24. 

In 2021, USFDA advised Avanti to voluntarily recall certain products processed between October 23, 2020 to November 11, 2020, which were identified as potential for contamination for containing Salmonella.  The total recall was for products worth more than Rs 66 crore. The company hiked prices to reduce the impact of cost inflation. Yet analyst Vincent Andrews says that “demand outlook is improving given the re-opening of hotels & malls in export markets along with better export & farm gate prices and favourable shrimp culture conditions.” He said the brokerage reduced its target price due to impending margin pressure.

Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.