Cipla Ltd. share price target

The revenues were largely in line except US where intensity was tad higher which was offset by higher growth in other geographies. The management is confident of better performance from India and US in the ensuing year with better performance in second half. FY26 was year of some consolidation mainly due to genericization of gRevlimid and problems in some of its Key Products in US geographies. Going forward, the management momentum to really accelerate in the US from H2FY27 with an aspiration to reach US$ 1 billion annual revenue run rate by exit quarter...

Sales/EBITDA/PAT reported 1%/11%30% below estimates. Gross Margin reported 360 bps above; EBITDA Margin 176 bps below estimates

Muted US sales: CIPLA's Q4FY26 revenues declined 3% YoY to INR 65.4bn, below our estimates. Domestic formulation reported strong growth of 15% YoY. Key therapies such as Respiratory, Urology, Anti diabetic and Cardiac outpaced the market. US sales contribution from gRevlimid and supply issues in gLanreotide. One Africa business reported growth of 21% YoY; whereas EM + EU markets were down 8% YoY. Healthy GMs, EBITDA miss: GMs stood at 66%, down 185bps YoY but up 280bps QoQ. CIPLA reported EBITDA of INR 9.5bn; down 38% YoY; 7% below our estimates. OPM up 19% YoY and 3% QoQ. Ex R&D cost other expenses were up 6% YoY. Resultant PAT...

Cipla’s recent product approval of gOfev and gVentolin from the USFDA is likely to start allaying concerns arising on its US growth post the discontinuation of Lanreotide, loss of exclusivity in gRevlimid and regulatory issues at key plants in India.

Cipla received USFDA approval for the first AB-rated generic of Ventolin HFA (albuterol inhaler), giving it a first-to-market edge with pharmacy-level substitution in the US.

CIPLA delivered an in-line revenue. However, it posted lower-than-expected EBITDA/PAT (21%/22% miss) for the quarter. After almost 13 quarters, CIPLA exhibited a YoY decline in EBITDA in 3QFY26.

Cipla Ltd delivered a steady Q2FY26 performance, supported by strong branded generics in India and continued leadership in its US respiratory business (albuterol MDI). The company's strategic focus on high-growth therapies such as obesity and diabetes (exclusive launch of Tirzepatide Yurpeak in India) underpins its long-term growth potential. However, near-term challenges remain, including the anticipated revenue erosion from the Revlimid cliff, increased R&D intensity weighing on margins, and execution risk related to timely approvals, which could limit earnings visibility and margin recovery in the medium term, thereby warranting a more...

Cipla’s near-to-medium term outlook remains positive, underpinned by strong execution in domestic formulations and a visible ramp-up in complex generics and biosimilars in the U.S. market.

We remain positive on the stock with a BUY rating and arrive at a TP of Rs 1,700/share.

The revenues were largely in line except India which was impacted by lower acute respiratory sales. The management is confident of better performance from India in the ensuing quarters. FY26 is likely to be a year of some consolidation with the genericization of gRevlimid and flattish US sales as major launches are expected to pick up momentum in FY27. On the EBITDA margins front, the management is guiding a range of 22.7524% which is slightly below the H1 exit range, due to lower Lenalidomide sales and higher R&D. The future remains bright as the company expects critical launches such as gAdvair (respiratory) by H2FY26 and also has a...

North America sales were higher at USD 233 mn, driven by 22% market share in gAlbuterol and 22% in gLanreotide (can scale to 30%)

We have revised our FY26E/FY27E EPS estimates by +0.9%/-5.2%, as we factor in lower revenue on account of ramp down of Revlimid portfolio and ongoing price erosion in the US market, higher depreciation and amortization expense, offset by higher other income.

Cipla has robust domestic and global product pipelines. US product pipeline to be healthy and will be key to driving growth from H2FY26E and contribute significantly from FY27E onwards.

We remain positive on the stock with a BUY rating and arrive at a target price of Rs 1,700 per share.

CIPLA's Q1FY26 EBITDA (Rs17.8bn; 25.6% OPM) was 6% ahead of our estimates. Cipla managed to deliver strong margins during the quarter. During the quarter company witnessed price erosion for its generic products which was offset by new launches such as gAbraxane. Mgmt guided strong US revenues of $1bn for FY27 despite gRevlimid erosion. We expect Cipla to maintain its existing US sales run-rate. This will be aided by several high value niche launches in the US like gAbraxane, Nilotininb, gAdvair. Further, Cipla's...

Earnings were broadly in line with estimates. EBITDA margin reported at 25.6% amidst intense competition in gRevlimid

Cipla reported an in-line Q1FY26 result led by growth across the US and South Africa. Despite price erosion in gRevlimid, it posted a 156bps YoY (+133bps QoQ) surge in gross margin to 68.8%.

CIPLA's Q4FY25 EBITDA (Rs15.4bn; 22.8% OPM) was in line with our estimates. While Q4 is seasonally weak quarter; margins at 23% were above our estimate. Despite delay in new launches and supply issues of gLanreotide; Cipla managed to deliver strong profitability/margins in H2FY25. We expect Cipla to maintain its existing US sales run-rate. This will be aided by several high value niche launches in the US like gAbraxane, Nilotininb, gAdvair. Further, Cipla's...

Cipla has secured its much awaited USFDA approval of gAbraxane following Change in Estimates | Target | Reco the Goa facility clearance in November 2024, milestone that reinforces our positive stance on the company. Our FY26E and FY27E EPS factors in...

We maintain our BUY recommendation with a target price of Rs 1,700/share.