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    The Baseline

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    The Baseline
    26 Jun 2026, 05:04PM
    Five Interesting Stocks Today - June 26, 2026

    Five Interesting Stocks Today - June 26, 2026

    By Trendlyne Analysis

    1. Trent:

    Thisconsumer lifestyle company rose 3.3% on June 24 after Chairman Noel Tatareiterated his goal to grow Trent's revenue and net profit tenfold from FY23 levels over the long term. He said that the company is just beginning its growth journey. That’s certainly one way to talk about Trent’s low market share – the company currently has onlyaround 2% share of India’s fashion and lifestyle retail market.

    Since setting the tenfold growth goal in 2023, Trent has already achieved over 2.5x revenue growth and nearly 3x profit growth. Tatasaid, “We are quite clear that we will not be able to reach our aspirations with only two brands. We will need many more brands, all catering to different segments of customer demand.” Trent is testing new concepts like Samoh, an ethnic wear brand, and Burnt Toast, a youth apparel brand, along with new categories like footwear, beauty and lab-grown diamonds. These are all very competitive spaces, so distribution and differentiation will be critical for Trent.

    Trent had a strongFY26, with revenue rising 17.2% and net profit increasing 11.2%. Growth was led by rapid store expansion. But quick expansion carriesrisks. Sales at existing stores grew only in the low single digits, and new locations drove most of the growth. Trent still targets double-digit growth from existing stores. Trendlyne’sForecaster estimates that in Q1FY27, its revenue and net profit will grow 15.8% YoY and 6.7%, respectively.

    To fund its next phase, the board approved raising up to Rs 2,500 crore for warehouses, real estate, store upgrades and AI-driven supply-chain. Management is also expanding Trent’s retail footprint rapidly. It aims to grow Westside from 300 stores to 700, and scale Zudio from 960 stores to nearly 5,000 across India over the long term.

    Motilal Oswalmaintained its 'Buy' rating, noting improving sales at existing stores. However, the brokerage cautioned that margins will only improve significantly if existing store sales grow faster. They expect Trent’s revenue, EBITDA, and net profit to grow at annual rates of 21%, 19%, and 17% through FY27–28. 

    2. Bharat Forge (BFL):

    This forgings company rose 5.4% over two trading sessions after it won a Rs 425 crore order from the Ministry of Defence (MoD). Under the contract, Bharat Forge will supply gas turbine generators to power the Indian Navy's Kolkata-class warships over the next five years, marking its entry into the marine gas turbine business.

    In FY26, revenue grew 11.2% to Rs 16,812 crore, led by industrial demand across power, construction & mining, and agriculture. Net profit rose 18.3%, as higher-value industrial and defence clients contributed a larger share of earnings.

    Commercial vehicles contributed around one-third of Bharat Forge's export revenue in FY26, but revenue from this segment has declined 34% as truck manufacturers in North America delayed fresh orders. Management expects exports to recover as North American truck production gradually picks up.

    The company's defence order book grew around 15% to nearly Rs 11,000 crore, providing a clear runway for future growth. Management said production of key defence programmes, including the ATAGS artillery system and assault rifles, will begin ramping up in the second half of FY27, with many of the orders secured last year starting to contribute to revenue.

    BFL's aerospace business generated around Rs 400 crore in FY26. Vice Chairman & Joint MD Amit Kalyani sees it taking flight. “Annual revenue from the segment should comfortably cross Rs 1,000 crore over the next three years,” he said.

    ICICI Securities reiterated its 'Buy' rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 2,360. The brokerage sees the company's expanding defence and aerospace businesses becoming increasingly important earnings drivers, reducing its dependence on the cyclical commercial vehicle market over time.

    3. Kirloskar Oil Engines (KOEL):

    This industrial machinery maker surged 20% and hit its upper circuit on June 22 after winning an order from HyperNext to supply 192 megawatts (MW) of backup power systems for data centres. The order covers 96 integrated backup power systems, one of the largest such deployments in India.

    The company sold more than 50,000 diesel generator sets in FY26, with sales growing 41%, more than double the industry's 18% growth. Its market share in high-horsepower (HHP) engines has also risen from negligible levels two years ago, to nearly double digits.

    In FY26, revenue grew 22% to Rs 7,701 crore, driven by demand across its power generation, industrial and international businesses. Net profit rose 18.2%, supported by higher sales of larger-capacity engines and better capacity utilisation. Gross international sales grew 37%, crossing Rs 1,000 crore.

    CEO Rahul Sahai said, "We are investing Rs 1,400 crore over the next two years to add capacity for 20,000 engines, primarily for more powerful engines and international markets." The expansion is part of the company's plan to more than double annual revenue to around Rs 19,000 crore by FY30. Management expects the new capacity to generate around Rs 5,000-6,000 crore in annual revenue after the expansion is complete.

    The company is also widening its power solutions portfolio beyond conventional diesel engines. KOEL said engines compatible with gas, ethanol, methanol and hydrogen blends are ready for commercial applications. It is also executing a Nuclear Power Corporation order for 10 engines of 6.3 MW each, with deliveries scheduled through 2029.

    IDBI Capital retained a positive long-term view on the company, citing its leadership in HHP engines and the growing data centre opportunity. However, the brokerage downgraded the stock to 'Hold' with a higher target price of Rs 1,645 after the recent rally, saying much of the near-term growth potential is already reflected in the stock price.

    4. Tata Motors (TMCV):

    Thiscommercial vehicle manufacturer surged 7% over the past week as crude prices fell after US-Iran peace talks eased tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. Lower diesel prices reduce operating costs for fleet operators and could support demand for new trucks and buses. At its Investor Day on June 23, TMCVoutlined plans to increase its domestic market share from 35.7% to 40% by FY28. The bulk of that growth is expected to come from small commercial vehicles and pick-up trucks, where it has room to recover lost ground.

    The company shipped over four lakh vehicles in FY26, with volumes growing 14%. However, exports accounted for just 7% of total sales volume. The €3.8 billion acquisition of Italy-based Iveco is expected to give TMCV access to an established manufacturing and distribution network across Europe, Latin America and Australia. Nomura said the acquisition “could triple combined commercial vehicle revenues over time.”

    MD & CEO Girish Waghsaid, “The two companies’ product portfolios and geographic footprints are largely complementary rather than overlapping”. He added that the pricing of most Iveco products begins where Tata Motors’ product range ends. Iveco’s EV and alternative fuel (natural gas, hydrogen) platforms would accelerate TMCV’s transition to zero-emission vehicles and complement its Ace EV and Starbus EV offerings in India.

    Beyond vehicle sales, TMCV is expanding its digital and services business. Its Fleet Edge platform now connects more than one million vehicles, and management aims to increase that to three million over time. Although the business contributes only 16% of revenue, its higher-margin recurring nature could help diversify earnings and reduce dependence on demand cycles.

    This margin focus extends beyond digital services to the core trucking business. TMCV recently announced a 2.5% price hike from July to offset higher commodity costs and expects double-digit EBITDA margins to continue in FY27. ICICI Securitiesreiterates its ‘Hold’ rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 450. The brokerage expects the Iveco acquisition to add significant debt to the balance sheet, a risk worth watching as the deal closes.

    5. Cipla: 

    This pharmaceutical stock climbed 6.2% last week after the US FDA reportedly approached the Indian Drug Manufacturers’ Association on June 23 for help with a shortage of Ifosfamide, a chemotherapy drug for testicular, bladder, and lung cancer. 

    Cipla already makes the drug and holds a strong position in complex cancer treatments. If it can meet volume demands without running into compliance issues, the shortage could provide a meaningful near-term earnings boost.

    A bullish note from Citi on June 22 added to the momentum. The brokerage retained a ‘Buy’ rating with a higher target price of Rs 1,700, and placed Cipla on a 90-day positive catalyst watch. Analysts expect regulatory approvals, a recovery in respiratory drug sales and new pipeline clearances to drive the stock.

    The numbers support that optimism. Cipla's Nintedanib, used to treat fibrosis and cancer, now holds close to 50% of the US market. Analysts project the US business to grow 28.2% to $1 billion in FY27, with double-digit revenue growth in India as respiratory sales recover. An FDA re-inspection of the Indore plant, which carries an Official Action Indicated status for alleged manufacturing violations, could provide another catalyst once cleared.

    FY26 results were a mixed bag. Revenue grew 2.2%, with new product launches lifting all markets except the US, where the absence of Lanreotide and a weaker position in Albuterol weighed on sales. Net profit fell 26.4%, hurt by rising competition for the generic cancer drug Revlimid and supply disruptions in key US products.

    Cipla's margins took a hit last year after its Greece-based manufacturing partner for Lanreotide, a high-margin drug, ran into compliance issues and disrupted supplies. That pulled margins down to 15.2% in Q4. CFO Ashish Adukia expects a recovery, guiding for “EBITDA margins of 18.5% to 20% in FY27 as new launches ramp up and costs come down,” though still below 21% reported in FY26.

    Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movements, analyst calls, or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.

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    The Baseline
    25 Jun 2026, 02:59PM
    The companies with the deepest pockets in the current market

    The companies with the deepest pockets in the current market

    The last year was a choppy one, with worries around AI, oil prices and US tariffs draining investor optimism. But as the annual numbers for FY26 came in, it became clear that some companies have done well despite all the volatility, and generated impressive amounts of profits and cash.

    There is one number that is good at measuring exactly how thick a company's wallet is: free cash flow. We looked at companies whose free cash flows were especially strong in FY26, giving them a long runway to growth. 

    Let's take a closer look.

    The cash kings

    There is a good reason to look at free cash flows. FCF is revealing, since it tracks the real hard cash a company has on hand to service debt, pay dividends, or invest in the business.

    Companies with high free cash flows and low debt, have significant advantages in their industries. While  competitors can only eye opportunities from a distance, these players can invest in new ideas, acquire original startups and drive growth. 

    Bharti Airtel is at the top of the list of cash kings. Over the last decade, it has been busy buildiing high margin digital businesses on top of its traditional mobile business, including data centers and high speed broadband.

    Another big cash flow winner here is Vedanta. Vedanta's commodity assets face volatile margins, but FY26 was a good year, pushing operating margins up to 39%. Its recent demerger now also allows it to divide its debt across five entities, based on their respective cash-generating capabilities. This structural split makes it easier for the parent holding company to refinance its debt. 

    Three IT companies,TCS, Infosys, and Wipro  are in the list of big, consistent money makers. The disconnect between the massive free cash flow these IT companies are generating, and the market's pessimism about them, is an interesting dynamic.

    IT services is a capital-light industry. Once a company has established its delivery centers and won its multi-year maintenance and operational contracts,  very little capex is needed to keep this going.

    But revenue growth for Indian IT has slowed to the low single digits, from the post pandemic highs of 15-20%. And while AI is certainly a big disruption factor here, another less talked about shift is global companies establishing their own Global Capability Centers (GCCs) in India, and cutting out the IT services middleman. 

    The new money makers: big jumps in free cash flow

    Moving past "who is the biggest" question, there are other interesting stories inside the cash flow numbers. One is the rise of industrial company Cummins India, whose surge in free cash flow from Rs. 810 crore to Rs. 2800 crore over the past five years is like a classic compounding story. Cummins has benefited from a strong export recovery for its generator sets and industrial engines, partly from data center demand.

    Central Depository Services (CDSL) is another player making money hand over fist. And unlike Cummins, it didn't even have to build a cutting edge engine to do it.

    CDSL has been helped by two major trends: 1) the dramatic rise of demat accounts and rising investor participation in Indian stock markets and 2) the rise of the big discount brokers Angel, Groww, Upstox and Zerodha, all of which are integrated with CDSL. CDSL doesn't even have to do all that much: its in a regulatory duopoly with NSDL. Its marginal cost of hosting millions of new accounts and enabling electronic transactions is very low. It can literally sit back and count its money.   

    Polycab India is what a young person might call a "boring" business, that of wires and cables. Except these wires and cables weave into nearly every sector linked to India's infrastructure boom, from real estate to defence. 

    In previous years, Polycab spent aggressively on capex (Rs 1,200 to Rs 1,600 crores annually) to automate and expand its factory base. Thanks to this, its manufacturing cost per unit has dropped. The big FCF breakout in FY26 shows that these asset investments are now paying off. 

    Polycab is the kind of business that investors love: it is not sitting still. It has recently entered modular switches and LED lighting, both of which are easy sells with its current distribution network, since buyers of wires would also be in the market for these. 

    LTTS is the nerd in the mix, as a tech player in the engineering R&D space. The company's clients outsource software design and R&D to LTTS, key areas requiring highly specialized skills. LTTS has gained from the transformation of the auto industry globally, winning large multi million dollar contracts from auto companies in US and Europe to design powertrains, charging infrastructure, and entertainment consoles.

    LTTS has also started integrating Artificial Intelligence (AI) directly into electronic drivetrains and autonomous systems in the new generation of electric vehicles. So if your car starts talking to you, you know who to blame. 

    The hidden gems?

    Free cash flow numbers are very useful in identifying diamonds in the rough: high FCF companies that are also carrying low debt, have money to drive growth. Three companies turn up that meet the criteria of fat wallets, low debt and affordable valuations. 

    Century Enka, an Aditya Birla company, has been a leader in Nylon Tyre Cord Fabric and Nylon Filament Yarn (NFY) products. It is now expanding into Polyester Tyre Cord Fabric (PTCF), which takes advantage of the auto industry's shift to radial tires for passenger cars. 

    Maithan Alloys is India’s main exporter of niche, value-added manganese alloys. These are additives that are used to produce high grade and automotive grade steel, and is benefiting from India's steel production boom. 

    Interestingly, the company is also sitting on a massive investment portfolio (approximately Rs 3,150 crore in mutual funds, cash and equities). This provides Maithan with a margin of safety. One note of caution here, however: ferro-alloy manufacturing is power-intensive, with electricity making up 30% of Maithan's operational costs. Due to rising state power tariffs,  Maithan's operating margins have compressed from historic highs of over 20% down to the 7.5%–10% range.

    And finally, Chennai Petro (CPCL) has been a star for more than a minute. As a subsidiary of Indian Oil Corporation, CPCL enjoys credit support and a guaranteed off-take network for its refined products.  In FY26, it achieved a record crude throughput of 11.7 million metric tons from its refineries.

    However, the commodity curse is common for these players, and CPCL's profitability is at the mercy of global Gross Refining Margins (GRMs) and refining "crack spreads" (the price difference between crude oil and finished petroleum products like diesel and petrol). When these margins fall, earnings can sink.

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    The Baseline
    25 Jun 2026, 11:24AM

    PSU stake sales in Q1FY27 have already raised nearly as much as all of FY26. What's driving the rush?

    By Anagh Keremutt

    Government stake sales in public sector companies (PSUs) are nothing new. Every year, the Centre sells shares in listed PSUs to raise money while retaining control of these businesses.

    This year’s pace stands out because the government has missed its targets by a wide margin in recent years. Yet within a single quarter, the Centre has already raised around Rs 16,000 crore through stake sales in Coal India, NHPC, Central Bank of India, NLC India and GIC Re. That is close to the Rs 16,885 crore it raised during the whole of FY26.

    Most of these stake sales came through the offer for sale (OFS) route. Under an OFS, the government sells part of its shareholding through the stock exchange and receives the proceeds.

    The government aims to raise Rs 80,000 crore from disinvestment and asset sales in FY27. The take among analysts is that this is a revenue boost effort by the Centre. Jayesh Sanghvi, Tax Partner at EY India, said, "With the economic outlook still uncertain, the Centre is looking beyond taxes to bring in more revenue in FY27." 

    Strong demand for PSU offerings is helping the Centre raise large sums through relatively small stake sales. In this edition of Chart of the Week, we look at why the government is selling PSU stakes much earlier this year and where the next OFSes could emerge.

    As deficits widen, the government isn't waiting for year-end this time

    Most government stake sales happen in the final few months of the financial year. But the government is a lot more aggressive with its targets this year, and plans to raise Rs 80,000 crore through disinvestment and asset sales in FY27, marking the first increase after several years of missed targets and downward revisions.

    The Centre had raised a little over Rs 4,000 crore in Q1FY26 through the Mazagon Dock OFS. In Q1FY27, it has already completed five OFSs and raised nearly four times as much.

    The government needs additional revenue after India's trade deficit widened in FY26 as gold and silver prices surged. Crude oil prices have also been volatile.

    Prithiviraj Senthil Nathan, Partner at King Stubb & Kasiva, said, "Raising money early gives the government more flexibility and boosts non-tax revenue at the start of the financial year." He added that strong investor demand and improved valuations across several listed PSUs have created a favourable environment for stake sales.

    Coal India, NHPC and NLC India accounted for roughly two-thirds of the money raised through OFSs in Q1FY27. Coal India has risen nearly 97% over the past three years, NHPC gained over 70% and NLC India surged more than 230%. The government has sold stakes in some of its biggest listed PSUs rather than relying on smaller holdings.

    That hardly looks like a fire sale. Most stake sales involved only 2-8% of the government's holding, allowing it to raise money without giving up control.

    Every OFS launched so far this year has triggered the greenshoe option, which allows the government to sell additional shares when demand exceeds the original offer size. Central Bank of India's OFS was subscribed more than twice on the first day, while Coal India, NHPC, NLC India and GIC Re saw healthy participation.

    An OFS doesn’t decide a stock’s future price

    Most FY27 OFSes triggered only modest price moves initially. The biggest price moves usually came during bidding as investors absorbed the additional shares on offer.

    Central Bank of India, NHPC and GIC Re fell between 6-8% during this phase, while Coal India gained more than 1%.

    But by the retail bidding day, NHPC had rebounded nearly 4%, Coal India was down just over 1%, and Central Bank of India was unchanged. NLC India was the main exception, falling 5.5% on the final day of its OFS.

    An OFS does not necessarily determine a stock's longer-term performance. In FY26, Mazagon Dock fell nearly 9% on its OFS day. Three months later, the stock had gained more than 40%. BHEL also came under pressure around its OFS before rising more than 50% over the following quarter.

    IRFC struggled to recover after its OFS, falling around 4% over the next three months as enthusiasm around railway stocks cooled. 

    Mazagon Dock and BHEL saw a different outcome as investors remained focused on rising defence spending, manufacturing growth and government capital expenditure.

    Where could the government sell next?

    Recent stake sales offer clues about where future OFSes could emerge.

    Mazagon Dock remains one of the most obvious candidates for another offering, with the government owning more than 80% of the company. Bharat Dynamics is also a candidate with government ownership close to 75%.

    In the railway space, RVNL and RailTel both remain majority government-owned. 

    LIC could also feature in future stake sales as the Centre still owns 96.5% of the insurer.

    Cochin Shipyard is another likely candidate, with the Centre still holding 67.9% of the shipbuilder. Media reports suggest the government is considering an OFS in the company as part of its broader disinvestment drive. 

    Earlier this year, the government and LIC tried to sell their combined 60.7% stake in IDBI Bank. The process stalled after bidders offered less than the government expected. The government is reportedly considering an OFS route, which could fetch a better price than a strategic sale.

    Investors once viewed Shipping Corporation of India and Container Corporation of India as privatisation candidates. But recent geopolitical disruptions and growing concerns around shipping and energy security have changed that conversation. Policymakers are now focused on strengthening domestic capabilities in these areas, making outright privatisation less likely.

    The government's approach to disinvestment could also evolve. The Economic Survey has suggested that the Centre could eventually reduce its stake in some PSUs below 51% while retaining control.

    Vidisha Krishan, Partner at MV Kini, expects the disinvestment programme to continue, although the pace may vary with market conditions. For investors, that means PSU stake sales are likely to remain a recurring feature of the market through the rest of the year.

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    The Baseline
    23 Jun 2026
    Five stocks to buy from analysts this week - June 23, 2026

    Five stocks to buy from analysts this week - June 23, 2026

    By Abdullah Shah

    1. Park Medi World: 

    Emkay initiates coverage on this healthcare facilities provider with a target price of Rs 350, an upside of 22%. Analysts Anshul Agarwal and Vivek Sethia say they are confident in the stock due to its expanding bed capacity and plans to enter underpenetrated markets like Uttar Pradesh.

    The company’s lean cost structure allows it to offer services at lower prices than the market. This pricing drives higher patient volumes, optimises asset use, and improves profitability. Management’s ability to turn around acquired hospitals has also expanded margins, with these units contributing 62% of FY26 EBITDA. 

    Agarwal and Sethia highlight that Park Medi’s cluster-based expansion model helps keep costs low. Under this model, nearby hospitals can share doctors, support staff and other resources. This helps the company convert more outpatient visits into hospital admissions and benefit from bulk purchases.

    This model is expected to help Park Medi maintain strong margins, even though it earns lower revenue per occupied bed than its peers. As the company moves toward its target of 10,000 beds over the next five years, this operating leverage should improve margins. The analysts expect Park Medi to deliver revenue and net profit CAGRs of 24.1% and 29.7%, respectively, through FY29.

    2. RateGain Travel Technologies: 

    Anand Rathi maintains its ‘Buy’ call on this travel solutions provider, with an upgraded target price of Rs 1,000, a 18.1% upside. Analyst Shobit Singhal expects steady growth through increased marketing spends and cross-selling opportunities from recent acquisitions.

    Management says the acquisition of AI-powered digital marketing platform Sojern will add around 13,000 hotel properties to RateGain’s network. This will allow the company to sell more of its distribution and data products to a larger customer base. Management also expects the combined business to generate about $12 million in cost savings by streamlining sales teams and reducing expenses.

    Singhal notes that RateGain is launching new services to protect growth if travel demand slows. These include smart distribution models, where the company earns fees based on transactions. He believes rising free cash flow will support these growth plans, but investors should watch competition and margin stability. New product launches and a growing deal pipeline should drive profitability. Singhal forecasts a 13.3% revenue CAGR and a 42.1% EPS CAGR over FY27–28.

    3. BSE: 

    Prabhudas Lilladhar initiates coverage on this stock exchange operator with a ‘Buy’ rating and a target price of Rs 4,850, an upside of 23%. Analysts Shreya Khandelwal and Dhanik Hegde believe BSE is entering a new growth phase, driven by rapid gains in the derivatives segment and rising retail investor participation.

    BSE increased its premium market share in index options to around 28% in FY26, up from 14% in FY25. The analysts expect this share to grow further as BSE launches new indices and attracts more traders to its platform.

    To reduce its dependence on transaction volumes, management is expanding other business segments. The company is strengthening its mutual fund distribution platform (StAR MF), growing its listing business, expanding colocation services, and increasing revenue from data and index products. Its wholly-owned clearing subsidiary, ICCL, helps BSE control the trading process and supports long-term profitability.

    Khandelwal and Hegde project BSE’s revenue to grow at a 25% CAGR over FY27–28, led by momentum in index options and cash equities. They also expect cash market transaction income to grow at a 41% CAGR, supported by strong revenue growth and disciplined capital allocation.

    4. Gravita India: 

    Axis Direct maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this non-ferrous metals company with a target price of Rs 1,900, an upside of 11.1%. Analyst Shivani More views the company's 99.4% stake acquisition in Rashtriya Metal Industries positively. This acquisition marks Gravita's entry into the copper and copper alloys segment, allowing it to expand beyond its core recycling business into power infrastructure, electrical equipment, and defence.

    To improve profit margins, management plans to set up a backward-integrated copper recycling facility in Gujarat. The company also raised its FY29 capex plan to Rs 1,700 crore from Rs 1,200 crore. Gravita is expanding its recycling capacity across lead, aluminium, plastic, rubber, and copper, aiming to nearly double its total capacity to 8 lakh tonnes per annum by FY29. Management continues to target an annual volume growth of 20% to 25%.

    More expects rising demand for recycled materials, higher scrap availability, and a larger share of value-added products to benefit the company. Additionally, she sees future growth potential as Gravita gradually scales up its lithium-ion battery recycling business.

    5. JSW Steel (JSTL): 

    Motilal Oswal retains its ‘Buy’ rating on this iron & steel products manufacturer, with a target price of Rs 1,520, an upside of 22.4%. Analysts Alok Deora and Sonu Upadhyay highlight that selling Bhushan Power & Steel gives the company the capital to fund its expansion projects. New capacity additions, strong domestic demand, and a higher share of premium products strengthen JSW Steel’s market position.

    Analysts believe India's ongoing infrastructure spending and manufacturing growth will continue to drive domestic steel consumption and help it emerge as a rival to China internationally. To capitalise on this demand, JSTL plans to expand its total production capacity to 50 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) from 32 MTPA by FY31, supported by backward integration.

    Deora and Upadhyay point out that JSTL is securing coal linkages and increasing iron ore production to manage volatile input costs. This strategy, alongside an expected price recovery from safeguard duties, strengthens margins. The company also aims to capture premium automotive and infrastructure segments to boost earnings. Analysts project double-digit revenue growth over FY27–28 and an EBITDA of Rs 14,000 per tonne.

    Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.

    (You can find all analyst picks here)

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    The Baseline
    19 Jun 2026
    Five Interesting Stocks Today - June 19, 2026

    Five Interesting Stocks Today - June 19, 2026

    By Trendlyne Analysis

    1. Hitachi Energy:

    Thispower equipment company rose 10.9% over the past week after announcing a Rs 2,000 croreinvestment in a new transformer plant in Gujarat. MD & CEO N Venusaid, “The facility, to be operational by FY28, will nearly double Hitachi Energy's transformer manufacturing capacity.” 

    The facility is part of a broader expansion programme that takes Hitachi Energy's total announced capex to nearly Rs 4,000 crore. The company is ramping up capacity at a time when demand for transmission equipment is rising alongside investments in power networks, renewable energy and data centres.

    The strong demand environment was evident inFY26. Revenue grew 27.6% to Rs 8,148 crore, led by demand across renewables, railways and data centres. Net profit surged 157.3% as EBITDA margin expanded 610 basis points to 15.4%, thanks to better project execution and operating efficiencies.

    The company commissioned Mumbai's 1,000 megawatt HVDC (High Voltage Direct Current) city infeed project, handling everything from design and engineering to commissioning. While HVDC contributed only around 15% of annual revenue, it accounts for nearly two-thirds of the company's order book.

    That has helped push the order backlog to a record Rs 29,555 crore, up 53.6% from a year ago. The backlog now stands at more than three times the company's annual revenue, providing a clear runway for future growth.Forecaster expects revenue to grow over 42% in FY27, while net profit could rise 55%.

    Geojitdowngraded the stock to ‘Hold’ but raised the target price to Rs 36,007. The brokerage expects the company's expanding manufacturing capacity and large order book to support earnings growth over the next few years. However, it believes much of this potential is already reflected in the stock price after its rally over the past year. 

    2. Kaynes Technology India:

    This electronic products & equipment company’s stock climbed over 7% in the past week, fueled by a breakthrough for its chip-making arm, Kaynes Semicon. The subsidiary has partnered with Japan’s AOI Electronics to secure technical expertise for its Rs 3,307 crore Outsourced Semiconductor Assembly and Test (OSAT) facility in Sanand, Gujarat.

    This alliance brings together tech, raw materials, and manufacturing for Kaynes, following an earlier supply chain pact with Japanese trading giant Mitsui. Mitsui is helping Kaynes source raw materials, paving the way for commercial operations to kick off in H2CY26. Leveraging these Japanese connections, Kaynes Semicon is targeting Japan's domestic and automotive chip markets, deploying sales teams on the ground, and aiming to ship product samples this year.

    On the financial front, the company has faced a series of reality checks. Management started the year aiming for Rs 4,500 crore in revenue for FY26, downgraded it to Rs 4,000–4,100 crore in Q3, and ultimately clocked in at Rs 3,783.2 crore. This big miss was blamed on order delays and supply chain logjams triggered by the West Asia conflict. Consequently, the company's working capital cycle stretched dramatically, jumping from 91 days in FY25 to 172 days in FY26.

    Despite these hiccups, its Rs 8,366 crore order book has kept investors bullish. Management highlights demand visibility across its core electronic manufacturing services (EMS), railways, industrial, and aerospace divisions. Instead of setting a rigid revenue target for FY27, the company aims to outpace the market by growing at twice (2x) the industry average through deeper market penetration. The stock features in a screener of companies whose net cash flow has improved over the past 2 years.

    ICICI Direct has maintained a ‘Hold’ rating on the stock, with a target price of Rs 3,590. The brokerage noted a gap between management’s targets and the lagging ground reality. While the order book provides a safety net, analysts are waiting for growth and receivables execution to start reflecting in the company’s performance.

    3. CEAT:

    Thistyre manufacturer jumped 9.6% over the past week as falling crude oil priceseased input-cost concerns. Crude-linked materials make up nearly half of CEAT’s input costs. Oil prices dropped after US President Donald Trump announced a (still fragile) deal with Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

    During the Q4FY26 earnings call, CEO Arnab Banerjeesaid, “We have short-term challenges on supply chain and costs due to a steep increase in raw material costs.” Management predicts raw material prices willjump 15–20% in Q1FY27. CEAT has already raised prices by about 5% and may implement another similar hike in the coming months to offset costs. Even with these hikes, the company expects tight profit margins in H1FY27. Trendlyne’sForecaster also predicts an 11.2% drop in net profit for FY27.

    Despite these hurdles, FY26 marked a shift for CEAT from a domestic player to a global specialty brand. In September 2025, the companycompleted the first phase of its Camso acquisition, entering the high-margin off-highway tyres and tracks market in the US and Europe.

    However, Camso is still in a transition phase, as CEAT is yet to take full control of sales and manufacturing operations. Management plans tofinish this integration by March 2027. This move will boost profit margins starting in FY28.

    InFY26, CEAT's revenue grew 18.8%, and net profit rose 47.7%, beatingForecaster estimates. Recovering international markets, new premium products, and stronger demand following GST rate cuts drove this growth.

    To fund its next growth phase, CEAT plans to secure a credit facility of up to Rs 1,000 crore in FY27 to support capacity expansion, Camso integration, and other business needs. 

    Motilal Oswalreiterated its ‘Buy’ rating, highlighting the company's leadership in two-wheeler tyres and its position as India’s third-largest passenger vehicle tyres manufacturer. It expects revenue, EBITDA, and net profit to grow at CAGRs of 11%, 12%, and 13%, respectively, over FY27–28. 

    4. Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles (TMPV): 

    This passenger vehicle manufacturer’s stock climbed 4.2% over two sessions after the company announced a price hike of up to 1.5% on June 12 across its portfolio from July 1. The hike, its second in four months, aims to offset higher material and operating costs.

    Another driver of the stock price rally was TMPV’s FY27 outlook. It aims to increase its market share to 18-20% from 13.5% and achieve a double-digit EBITDA margin in FY27. The company expects strong demand for sports utility vehicles (SUVs), CNG models and EVs, and plans to invest up to Rs 35,000 crore through FY30 to support future growth.

    Revenue in FY26 fell 23.5% due to a cyber incident at Jaguar Land Rover (JLR), higher US tariffs and luxury tax pressures in China. Net profit tripled, thanks to a one-time gain from the demerger of the commercial and passenger vehicle businesses.

    Concerns resurfaced on June 17 when JLR outlined a weaker-than-expected outlook at its investor day, resulting in the stock dropping 8.3%. The British unit contributes over three-fourths to sales.

    JLR guided for operating margins of 4% in FY27 (from 0%), below analyst estimates of 5-6%. Commenting on JLR’s profitability, CFO Richard Molyneux said, “We are targeting GBP 1.7 billion of savings over two years to lower our break-even volumes.” Investors were disappointed by the company’s forecast of only breaking even on free cash flow this year, as they had expected it to turn positive. 

    JLR struck a more optimistic tone on demand despite these challenges. It expects revenue to grow around 13% this year, helped by a recovery from last year's disruptions. The company said demand remains healthy in North America and the UK, while conditions in China are beginning to stabilise. It is also preparing several new launches over the next 18 months, with a focus on North America. JLR sees a healthy growth opportunity in the region due to the size of the luxury SUV market, customer wealth, and low current penetration.

    Following JLR's outlook, Motilal Oswal retained its 'Sell' rating on TMPV with a target price of Rs 312. The brokerage believes that while demand in the domestic passenger vehicle market remains healthy, higher input costs and competitor challenges for JLR could weigh on profitability.

    5. Triveni Engineering & Industries:

    This sugar processor surged 5.5% over the past week after the government approved the regulatory framework for using 100% ethanol (E100) as a transportation fuel. The decision marks a milestone in India's ethanol transition after it achieved the 20% ethanol blending (E20) target five years ahead of schedule in 2025.

    The move could strengthen long-term ethanol demand, potentially benefiting producers such as Triveni, which derives over a quarter of its revenue from this. Profitability, however, will also depend on government feedstock policies. Managing Director Tarun Sawhney said, “My reading is that the government may increasingly favour rice over maize for ethanol production,” highlighting the role policy could play in future earnings. Maize currently offers higher margins than other feedstocks, making any shift in procurement policy a key variable for the industry. Grain-based feedstock accounted for 56% of ethanol sales during the year.

    The company has also diversified into the liquor market and now has an annual production capacity of 9 million cases. To capitalise on the growing opportunity, Triveni operates five distilleries with a combined capacity of 860 kilolitres per day (KLPD) and plans to operationalise a 100 KLPD distillery at its Shamli facility. The project will increase capacity without requiring fresh capital expenditure, allowing the company to generate additional output from existing assets.

    While ethanol remains a growth driver, sugar continues to anchor earnings. The segment contributes more than 60% of revenue and grew 13% in FY26. Sugar volumes rose 10.4% while realisations improved 3.8%. According to an Elara Securities analyst, El Niño-linked rainfall deficiencies could affect sugarcane production, with Maharashtra and Karnataka facing the highest risk. The deficit could tighten supplies and keep sugar prices firm.

    For now, Uttar Pradesh is expected to see only a limited impact from El Niño. That may leave Triveni better placed than some peers, as it has all of its eight sugar mills in Uttar Pradesh (UP). Sawhney noted that “Western UP is relatively insulated because we get a lot of Himalayan melted water.”

    Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movements, analyst calls, or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.

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    The Baseline
    18 Jun 2026

    India Inc tests the tolerance of consumers for higher prices

    By Anagh Keremutt

    Walk into a neighbourhood kirana store and the small Rs 10 biscuit pack is the same but different. The price may not have changed, but the quantity inside has. As costs rise, FMCG companies are relying more on smaller sizes, lower discounts and selective price hikes to protect their margins.

    Automakers are passing higher costs on to buyers, and telecom operators are preparing for another tariff hike.

    Companies are pushing through higher prices even as across sectors, demand remains uneven. While sometimes it reflects confidence that consumers can absorb the increases, more often, companies have limited options in the face of rising costs and pressure on margins.

    Analysts at The Knowledge Company estimate packaging costs have risen by 15-20% as crude oil prices rose. "Household staples from soaps to packaged foods face margin pressures as petrochemical input costs rise," the firm said.

    In this edition of Chart of the Week, we look at how companies are responding to rising costs and what their pricing decisions reveal about demand across the country.

    FMCG companies turn to price hikes amid rising costs

    For the past two years, FMCG companies were focused on reviving demand. Urban consumption remained under pressure as wage growth slowed and households exhausted much of the savings built up during the pandemic. Executives spoke about improving consumption, but backed off from raising prices as they prioritised volume growth over passing on higher costs. 

    Most companies preferred to absorb the hit on their margins or rely on grammage cuts rather than risk hurting volumes. With input-cost pressures returning and consumption showing signs of recovery, companies are now finding it harder to keep absorbing higher costs, and are turning to price hikes.

    Dabur has already implemented price increases of around 4% across parts of its portfolio. The company expects higher prices and volume growth to support double-digit growth this year, despite inflation picking up in the India business.

    Hindustan Unilever has raised prices across several product categories by 2-5%. The company said the cost of materials used in its products has risen by up to 10%, and further price hikes may follow if inflation remains higher. Dove and Pears soaps have seen price hikes of about 5%, while Rin and Wheel detergents have become 5-11% more expensive.

    Despite concerns around a weaker monsoon, HUL remains optimistic about rural demand. Chief Financial Officer Niranjan Gupta said, “We do not expect any impact on rural demand in the second half of FY27,” citing higher reservoir levels, strong grain stocks and government support prices for crops.

    Prices of Marico's cooking oil, Saffola, have jumped by up to 11%, while the company also raised prices in its Value Added Hair Oils portfolio by around 7%.

    Godrej Consumer has raised its soap prices by around 5%, detergent prices by about 7% and household insecticide prices by roughly 5%. 

    The company believes these measures will help offset most of the recent rise in input costs. "This is not an alarming level of inflation. Between pricing, some cost actions, and the portfolio mix, we should be able to recover most of it," said Managing Director Sudhir Sitapati.

    Colgate-Palmolive has also raised toothpaste prices by up to 9%, extending the latest round of FMCG price hikes beyond soaps, detergents and edible oils.

    Pidilite raised prices in both April and May, with Fevicol becoming 12-15% more expensive. Managing Director Sudhanshu Vats said the company's raw material costs have jumped by 40-50% and that it will continue passing some of those costs on to customers.

    Research company Worldpanel by Numerator estimates volume growth in FMCG could slow to 3-4% amid an uncertain macroeconomic environment. Analysts at the firm said, “FMCG volume growth could soften if higher energy costs coincide with food inflation from weather stress and higher input costs.” 

    The Rs 10 pack is still sacred

    Companies may be willing to raise prices on larger packs and premium products, but products priced at Rs 5, Rs 10 and Rs 20 remain untouchable. These packs are often the first choice for value-conscious consumers, especially when household budgets are under pressure.

    "We are reducing grammage because we can't breach those price points," said Mohit Malhotra, Global CEO of Dabur India.

    Britannia also says it is more comfortable raising prices on packs above Rs 10, while smaller packs may see grammage reductions instead. The company is weighing a mix of price hikes and smaller pack sizes as fuel and packaging costs remain higher.

    Smaller packs account for 40-60% of sales across categories ranging from biscuits and soaps to shampoos and staples. "Sales of packs under Rs 20 have been growing 5 percentage points faster than larger packs as consumers find it harder to manage household expenses," said Parle Products Vice President Mayank Shah.

    AWL Agri Business is expanding its range of edible oil packs starting from 200 ml. The company says consumers are increasingly opting for smaller purchases that allow them to spread expenses across the month rather than spend Rs 180-200 on a one-litre pack in a single purchase.

    Some sectors have more pricing power than others

    The latest round of price increases shows that some industries can pass on higher costs more easily than others. Automakers have announced another round of price hikes despite a challenging demand environment, while telecom operators are preparing for fresh tariff increases as revenue growth begins to slow.

    Hyundai raised prices by up to Rs 12,800 from June 1, depending on the model and variant, citing higher input and operating costs.

    Maruti Suzuki followed with hikes of up to Rs 30,000 across select models from June. "We were left with no choice," said Partho Banerjee, Senior Executive Officer for Marketing and Sales, adding that higher prices are never good for customers, especially first-time buyers.

    Mahindra & Mahindra raised prices by up to 2.5% from April 6, while Tata Motors plans to raise passenger vehicle prices by up to 1.5% from July.

    Meanwhile, attention in telecom is already shifting to the next tariff hike.

    Industry revenue growth slowed to 10% in FY26 from 13% a year earlier as the impact of the July 2024 tariff hikes faded. Wireless revenue growth slowed to 7% in the March quarter, bringing another round of tariff hikes back into focus.

    Analysts expect telecom operators to raise tariffs by around 15% from Q2FY27. For consumers, that could translate into roughly a Rs 50 increase for a standard 28-day mobile plan. Motilal Oswal estimates such a move could lift industry revenue by around 11% to nearly Rs 3 lakh crore in FY27.

    Pricing power is returning across India Inc, but not every company is using it the same way. Some are raising prices directly, while others are relying on smaller packs and grammage cuts.

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    The Baseline
    17 Jun 2026
    Stocks vs FD: has the extra risk been worth it?

    Stocks vs FD: has the extra risk been worth it?

    By Tejas MD

    For many investors, the past year raised an uncomfortable question: was taking the extra risk in the stock market worth it?

    After months of weak returns and volatility, a safe fixed deposit has been looking a lot more attractive.

    The past week has brought relief and some green into market returns, now that (after several false starts and bombings) a US Iran deal is finally on the table.

    We are in an era where winning the social media narrative is necessary even for large nation states. So a modern war cannot have any losers. As The Wall Street Journal’s Benoit Faucon put it, “Both sides have framed the ceasefire as a victory.”

    The deal has been celebrated by Indian markets, and the Nifty is up 3.4% in the past week. But a few good days does not answer the bigger question: if you had invested in India’s largest companies over the last 1, 3, or 5 years, would you have done better than someone who locked their money in an FD?

    Within the market, why did some stocks multiply investor wealth while others failed to clear even the FD benchmark?

    The answer reveals why this has become a stock picker’s market, where specific bets matter more than just staying invested.

    Let’s dive in.

    The time advantage: beating fixed deposit returns

    Despite the recent bounce, India’s large-cap benchmark, the Nifty 100, has offered investors little to celebrate over the past year, slipping over 1%.

    Over these 12 months, only 39% of its constituents managed to outperform a 7% FD return through price gains alone (excluding dividends).

    But stretch your horizon to three or five years, and the success rate jumps to 74% and 77%, respectively. It is worth noting that the Nifty 100 index is rebalanced twice a year, weeding out the weaker players over time, but the broader trend holds up: patience pays off.

    The three-year data also shows how uneven returns can be. Among the top 100 stocks, 30 became multibaggers, 54 generated positive returns of up to 100%, while 16 lost investor money.

    So time is an advantage, but not a guarantee. Even over longer periods, a quarter of India’s biggest companies failed to beat a simple FD return. The real wealth creation came from identifying the businesses that pulled ahead of the pack.

    What separates these winners from the laggards? Two patterns emerge.

    The capex premium: the stock market rewards builders

    The first pattern is reinvestment. Companies that put more money back into expanding their businesses often pulled ahead. We measured this through the ratio of capital expenditure to free cash flow (FCF) over the past three years.

    Overall, corporate India has held back on investment. While India's listed company profits are nearing a record 6% of GDP, their capital expenditure has remained mostly unchanged over the years at around 3.6–3.7% of GDP.

    The market however, rewarded businesses that are reinvesting today’s cash flows to create tomorrow’s growth engines. Two of the strongest performers in returns, Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders and Eternal, lead this trend, with investors backing aggressive expansion plans even as heavy spending pushed their free cash flow into negative territory.

    Companies that failed to deploy capital into new growth opportunities have seen their stock prices stagnate. While traditional capex is less relevant for asset-light IT companies, the broad takeaway holds: the market rewarded companies building for the future in India's high growth economy.

    Asian Paints is the exception here, with its underperformance driven more by margin pressure from expensive crude oil and intense competition, rather than underinvestment.

    The great rotation: changing sector leadership

    The second driver behind the winners and losers is sector rotation. Over the past three years, market leadership has shifted away from traditional favourites like IT and FMCG towards sectors benefiting from India’s infrastructure and manufacturing push.

    India's economy is changing fast as it grows, and investor interest has moved towards the new stars: defence, PSU manufacturing, utilities, power, and PSU banks. These companies have delivered stronger earnings growth, supported by government spending, a revival in capex, rising power demand, and healthier bank balance sheets.

    Pradeep Gupta, Co-founder of Anand Rathi Group, says that this shift is backed by India’s ongoing investment cycle. “The first and most compelling bet is domestic cyclicals linked to capex and manufacturing. India’s growth continues to be domestically driven, supported by sustained public capital expenditure in infrastructure, defence, railways, energy transition, and logistics,” he said.


    Stocks like Mazagon, Bharat Electronics, Adani Power, and Hindustan Aeronautics are capitalising on expanding order books and rising power demand.

    Meanwhile, the stock market royalty of the previous decade has been left out.

    IT stocks took a hit as global clients in the US and Europe tightened tech budgets, delayed projects and cut discretionary spending. Adding to the friction is the uncertainty around AI and what it means for traditional IT pricing power. Giants like TCS, Infosys, and Wipro have struggled to find their footing in the current landscape.

    FMCGcompanies face a different challenge: expectations and volatile weather patterns. Stocks like Hindustan Unilever continue to trade at premium valuations, but earnings growth has not kept pace. Weak rural demand and inflation-hit consumers have made it harder to justify their multiples.

    The lesson from the past three years is that a rising market no longer lifts everyone. Creating wealth now requires being selective, looking beyond index exposure and identifying where the growth, investment, and earnings momentum actually is.


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    The Baseline
    16 Jun 2026
    Five stocks to buy from analysts this week - June 16, 2026

    Five stocks to buy from analysts this week - June 16, 2026

    By Ruchir Sankhla

    1. Jindal Stainless: 

    Prabhudas Lilladhar upgrades this stainless steel manufacturer to a ‘Buy’ call, with a target price of Rs 821 per share, an upside of 15.7%. The stock has fallen 5.3% over the past month. Analysts Tushar Chaudhari and Satyam Kesarwani believe the recent decline in the stock price has created a good buying opportunity. They say investors are focusing too much on short-term issues such as lower nickel prices, higher fuel costs and rising imports from China, while overlooking the company’s long-term growth plans.

    Jindal Stainless recently expanded its steel melting capacity to 4.2 million tonnes per year. This expansion includes a new Indonesian plant that secures better access to nickel, a crucial stainless steel raw material. The company is also investing heavily in downstream facilities and expanding its hot and cold rolling capacities. Management plans to push sales volume to 3.5 million tonnes by FY29, securing an 11% annual volume growth.

    Chaudhari and Kesarwani predict that rising infrastructure spending and growing stainless steel use in transport and urban projects will drive demand. They project Jindal Stainless will deliver a 13% annual EBITDA growth over FY27–28.

    2. Suzlon Energy:

    ICICI Securities maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on this renewable energy provider with a target price of Rs 65, offering a 12.2% upside. Analysts Mohit Kumar and Mahesh Patil believe Suzlon Energy’s massive 5.5GW order book and scalable 'Suzlon 2.0' strategy guarantee strong revenue growth.

    Management observes the energy market shifting toward complete clean power solutions. Suzlon is expanding beyond its traditional wind energy business to provide a broader range of renewable energy solutions, including in solar and energy storage. It is targeting a 40% share of India’s wind energy market from 33% and foraying into the co-development market, aiming for a 60% share by FY31. Management expects these initiatives to support annual revenue growth of around 25% over the long term.

    Kumar and Patil note that Suzlon plans to diversify its project lineup to overcome supply chain challenges and construction delays. Management adds that securing new sites, supplying reliable equipment, and managing long-term assets directly fuel ongoing revenue increase. Analysts expect Suzlon to deliver annual revenue and net profit growth of 19.1% and 18.7%, respectively, over FY27-28.

    3. Gabriel India: 

    Motilal Oswal initiates coverage on this auto components company with a ‘Buy’ rating and a target price of Rs 1,266, an upside of 11.4. Gabriel India is shifting from a traditional suspension parts maker to a mobility platform. Management is focusing on adding new product lines through acquisitions and partnerships. Integrating Dana Anand and Henkel Anand brings new products like driveline systems, which transfer engine power to the wheels, and automotive adhesives. Analysts Radha Agarwalla and Aniket Mhatre believe these moves will expand the company’s market reach and build a long-term growth path.

    Gabriel India has also partnered with Inalfa, Jinhap, and SK Enmove to expand into sunroofs, lubricants, connectors, and electric vehicle (EV) parts. The company expects these businesses to increase the value of parts supplied per vehicle and generate new revenue streams.

    Agarwalla and Mhatre note the company keeps strengthening its suspension market position by winning new orders and increasing supplies to major automakers like Maruti Suzuki, Tata Motors, and Mahindra & Mahindra. They project revenue, EBITDA, and net profit will grow at annual rates of 22%, 23%, and 55% over FY27-28.

    4. Mahindra & Mahindra: 

    Geojit BNP Paribas retains its ‘Buy’ rating on this vehicle manufacturer with a target price of Rs 3,508, an upside of 11.8%. Mahindra & Mahindra delivered strong FY26 results, boosting revenue by 25.2% and net profit by 32.3%. Higher sales in the automotive and farm equipment segments drove growth.

    Management highlights the company's growing strength in the electric vehicle (EV) segment. EV market share reached 9.6% in FY26 and crossed 10% in the last two months. The company also claimed the top spot for revenue generated from EV sales. Analyst Tom Kadavil notes the EV business now makes an operating profit. This milestone reduces risks tied to the company’s investments in EVs and future mobility tech.

    Kadavil expects revenue and net profit to grow annually by 12% and 11% over FY27–28. A rising market share in the sport utility vehicle (SUV) segment, higher sales of premium vehicles, and a growing EV presence are expected to drive this growth.

    5. Savita Oil Technologies: 

    ICICI Direct maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on this small-cap petro-products maker with a Rs 690 target price, implying a 13.9% upside. Analysts Vijay Goel and Deep Lapsia say Savita Oil’s diverse portfolio and fresh product launches in new markets will boost profitability growth in the medium term.

    The company is increasing its production capacity for synthetic ester-based products at its Mahad plant. Analysts predict double-digit volume improvement will continue, driven by strong demand for transformer oils, specialty products, and lubricants. Savita Oil recently launched new coolants for data centres and energy storage systems. This positions the company perfectly to capture surging demand in these sectors. Analysts expect the immersion coolant market to expand 38% annually through FY31.

    Goel and Lapsia note that Savita Oil’s EBITDA will jump due to better overall pricing. The company plans to offset higher raw material costs by raising prices for its transformer oils and lubricants. Analysts project the company will achieve an annual revenue growth of 34% and net profit growth of 37% over FY27-28.

    Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.

    (You can find all analyst picks here)

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    The Baseline
    12 Jun 2026
    Five Interesting Stocks Today - June 12, 2026

    Five Interesting Stocks Today - June 12, 2026

    By Trendlyne Analysis

    1. Aegis Logistics:

    Thisoil and gas company has surged 25% over the past week after JM Financialissued a positive outlook and set a target price of Rs 1,200. The brokerage cited stronger-than-expected performance in the LPG distribution segment, which accounts for more than 90% of the revenue. The stock also appears in ascreener of companies where foreign institutional investors are increasing their shareholding.

    Recent gains follow the March-quarter LPG distributionvolume, which rose 71% YoY. Expansion beyond Mumbai and Kandla facilities drove this growth. Aegis now distributes gas from multiple locations, including Mangalore, Haldia and Pipavav.

    FY26 net profit came in 25% aboveForecaster estimates. High realisations of Rs 7,000 per tonne boosted profit growth over historical levels of Rs 4,000. CFO Murad Moledinasaid higher energy prices and shipping fares boosted margins. He believes these levels will be sustainable in a normalised environment as volumes continue to rise.

    The company remains on track to achieve its target of 2 million tonnes of gas distribution by 2028, from its current capacity of less than a million tonnes. Moledina added that ammonia distribution would contribute to this target, while generating margins of about Rs 5,000 per tonne.

    Aegis Logistics plans to invest $5 billion through FY31. The firm expects to spend $1.2 billion this fiscal year and $600 million in FY28. These funds will support several projects scheduled for commissioning by September this year, including liquid storage capacity at Mumbai port and the JNPA terminal expansion.

    Management expects to deploy 60% of the planned capex between FY29 and FY31. Project execution, funding and leverage remain key developments to watch. Motilal Oswalmaintains a “Neutral” outlook as it believes current valuations factor in capacity expansion and earnings.

    2. Zen Technologies:

    Thisdefence technology provider surged 7.2% on June 4 followingreports that the Indian government is eyeing a massive Rs 20,000 crore drone procurement order. While Zen Tech makes anti-drone systems and training simulators, investors see a major long-term opportunity, as a larger drone fleet will likely increase demand for pilot training simulators and counter-drone systems.

    Adding to the positive sentiment, Zen Tech closedFY26 with a strong order book of Rs 1,336 crore, providing revenue visibility for the coming quarters. The company secured new order inflows worth Rs 431 crore inQ4FY26 alone, driven by ongoing indigenous defence manufacturing initiatives. On order execution, CFO Hari Haran Chalatsaid, “Out of the total order book, Rs 1,000 crore is expected to be executed, and most of the deliveries are going to happen in Q2 and Q3 of FY27.”

    Despite this, FY26 financial performance remained weak. Net profit declined 31%, while revenue fell 25%. Managementattributed the weakness to slower execution of existing orders and delays in converting opportunities into firm contracts. TrendlyneForecaster estimates suggest revenue and net profit could grow 72.9% and 85.7%, respectively, in FY27.

    Managementexpects to generate cumulative revenue of Rs 4,000 crore across FY27 and FY28. Growth is anticipated to be driven by the execution of delayed FY26 orders and expansion into newer defence segments such as combat robotics, interceptor drones and automated weapon systems.

    ICICI Directrecommends a ‘Buy’ rating on the stock with a price target of Rs 1,900, noting that the company will benefit from growing demand for anti-drone systems and defence simulators. It expects that the global training and simulation market, which is at $14 billion, could reach $20 billion by 2032, while the anti-drone market is projected to expand from $3 billion to $14 billion over the same period. 

    3. Apar Industries:

    Thiselectrical equipment manufacturer rose 3.5% on June 10 after the company’s management gave a positive outlook on the business. CEO & MD Kushal Desaisaid, “If everything goes well, then we should be seeing double our profits in the next four to five years.” Apar is betting on rising investments in power transmission, renewable energy and data centres to drive growth.

    Apar’s cables business is expected to play a major role in that expansion. The company is targeting 25% annual growth in its cables business and plans to invest around Rs 1,500 crore in capex for FY27. More than half of this will go toward expanding cable manufacturing capacity.

    InFY26, revenue grew 23.3% to Rs 22,902 crore, led by strong demand for conductors and cables across power transmission and renewable energy projects. Net profit rose 18.9%, supported by higher volumes, improving exports and a greater contribution from premium products.

    Conductors, whichaccount for 55.5% of Apar's revenue, remained the company's biggest business. Revenue here grew 32.7% during FY26 as utilities invested in renewable energy projects, transmission upgrades and grid modernisation. Premium products contributed 45.8% of conductor revenue compared with 40.6% a year ago.

    The US is emerging as another growth driver for Apar, with revenue from the market rising nearly 50% during the year. Desai said the US market is seeing strong traction, led by growing demand from data-centre projects. “We've already supplied cables worth around $15 million to three major data-centre projects in the US,”he added.

    PL Capitalreiterated its ‘Hold’ call on the stock as it expects Apar to benefit from long-term demand linked to renewable energy, grid modernisation and data-centre expansion. The brokerage also highlighted the company’s growing US business, rising share of premium conductors and strong order visibility in conductors and cables as key drivers for future growth. 

    4. Ajanta Pharma:

    The stock of this pharmaceutical company jumped more than 6% over the past week, driven by a fresh policy push from the government. India’s Pharmaceutical Secretary, Manoj Joshi, announced an upcoming scheme aimed at boosting the bulk drugs sector. 

    Unlike traditional production-linked incentive programs, the new initiative will focus on strengthening long-term manufacturing capacity, promoting R&D investment, and fostering closer collaboration between industry and academia.

    Adding to the momentum, a promoter entity of Ajanta Pharma sold 34.5 lakh shares worth over Rs 1,024 crore through a block deal on June 9. The stake was bought by institutional investors, including Kotak Mahindra Mutual Fund and Aditya Birla Sun Life Mutual Fund. The transaction underscored institutional confidence in the company, supported by its robust earnings momentum and healthy profit margins. The stock features on a screener of companies that have outperformed their respective industries over the past month.

    While shipping chaos in the Middle East disrupted global logistics, Ajanta’s domestic market and US generic business stepped up to secure its FY26 performance. Revenue jumped 18.6% to Rs 5,624.9 crore, powered by a better product mix and a stellar US run, backed by 8 new product launches over the last 15 months. Net profit rose 14.7% to Rs 1,056 crore, driven by gains in market share across its existing product portfolio.

    Managing Director Yogesh Agrawal guided for mid-single-digit growth in the US market for FY27, supported by strong sales of the company’s seasonal flu drug. He remains confident of sustaining a robust EBITDA margin of around 27%, with a possible variation of up to 1%. On the international front, Ajanta is preparing to enter the rapidly growing weight-loss market by filing for generic semaglutide in emerging markets, with regulatory approvals expected within the following 12 to 18 months.

    ICICI Direct maintained its ‘Buy’ rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 3,520, praising Ajanta as one of the market’s most reliable and consistent free cash flow generators. This financial strength is backed by highly disciplined spending. For FY27, management has budgeted Rs 400 crore in capex, earmarking Rs 150 crore for routine maintenance and the remainder for future growth initiatives.

    5. Concord Biotech: 

    This biotechnology stock surged 9.3% over the past week after the company received two approvals from the US FDA. The company received approval for its Mycophenolate Mofetil oral suspension on June 3. The drug is used to prevent organ rejection and addresses an estimated US market of $30 million. The FDA also approved Tofacitinib tablets for the treatment of adult patients with arthritis, spondylitis and colitis, with a US market of $500 million.

    The drugmaker reported weak earnings in FY26. Revenue declined 11%, while net profit dropped 30%. Geopolitical challenges, regulatory delays, changing customer purchasing patterns and internal setup costs weighed on performance. Both revenue and net profit missed Forecaster estimates. The active pharmaceutical ingredients (API) and formulations segments contracted during the fiscal year as orders from the US slowed during the first half of FY26. Potential customers also avoided changing existing supply chains amid uncertainty over US tariffs.

    The company also faced challenges in obtaining approvals from the Central Drugs Standard Control Organisation, which affected deliveries to Europe for nearly three months. Management suspended a major tender in the Middle East due to regional geopolitical conflicts, which resulted in lower turnover. API deliveries to the area also slowed down, causing exports to drop by 9% during the year.

    Management expects a recovery despite the underperformance. Concord’s Joint MD & CEO, Ankur Vaid, said, “We guide for revenue growth slightly better than our historical average of 18% in FY27.” He adds that new ventures, like the injectable facility and the overseas subsidiary, will likely break even in the next financial year.

    Following the earnings release, Jefferies maintained a ‘Hold’ rating on the stock, with a target price of Rs 1,020 per share. The brokerage noted that the FY26 performance fell short of expectations due to delayed order execution and regulatory hurdles. However, analysts highlight that the robust order book provides near-term revenue growth visibility and potential for EBITDA margin improvement.

    Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movements, analyst calls, or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.

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    The Baseline
    11 Jun 2026
    India's cash transfers to women are hurting everyone, including women

    India's cash transfers to women are hurting everyone, including women

    In 1950, China banned arranged marriages. 

    The move was part of several announcements that year, which completely changed Chinese society and culture. The government banned marriages arranged by parents and senior family members, saying that young people must freely choose who they wed. It also pushed policies for female education and mass employment, even requiring women to take up physically demanding jobs in construction and factories. 

    The government advertised these changes heavily across urban and rural China, with slogans telling women to behave like "Iron Girls". Female participation in the workforce zoomed, and female employment went from around 30% of working-age women in 1950 to nearly 90% by the 1970s. 

    Indian governments made no comparable effort. India has a female labour participation rate of 35% nationally and 25% in urban India today. Women here still mostly do unpaid, domestic work.

    The Indian solution: freebies and cash transfers to women

    What does a country do when the vast majority of its women don't work? You would think that the government would fix the barriers that keep women out of the workforce, focusing on education, job creation and safety in public spaces. 

    But instead of pushing women to take up jobs, Indian governments, especially at the state level, are turning to unconditional cash transfers. 

    At the central level, the main cash transfer scheme for women is the maternity benefit scheme (PMMVY), which provides conditional cash transfers to pregnant women and mothers. The government has cumulatively disbursed over Rs 20,100 crore to 4.3 crore women through this program. 

    Cash transfers are a small amount in the central government's broader Gender Budget. It is the cash giveaway trend among Indian states that is far more worrying. 

    States go all in on cash transfers to win votes from women

    In 2020, the idea of cash transfers targeting women was a novelty in our politics. Just one state, Assam, ran such a program. Spending nationally on transfers was miniscule, at Rs. 1,600 crore. 

    Over the next five years, cash transfer programs ballooned. It started with Mamata Banerjee. In the April 2021 West Bengal elections, Banerjee was in a fight for her political life. To boost her party's chances of winning, she promised women voters the Lakshmir Bhandar ('Lakshmi's Treasure Chest') scheme that would give Rs. 500 per month to women and Rs. 1000 per month to Dalit women aged 25-60.

    The Trinamool Congress won in a landslide. In November that same year, Arvind Kejriwal copied the strategy. During a rally in Punjab, he made a massive promise ahead of the 2022 elections, of Rs 1,000 per month unconditionally to every woman in Punjab above the age of 18 if the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) came to power. 

    Both these politicians framed these cash transfers as part of a family relationship. Mamata Banerjee called herself 'didi' (elder sister) who understood the difficulties of running the household. Arvind Kejriwal similarly called himself the 'elder brother' of women voters in Punjab, saying, "Many mothers cannot buy basic things because of tight family budgets. This elder brother of yours will help you."

    By the time the BJP won the West Bengal election in 2026, it had raised the cash transfer promise to Rs. 3000 per woman, and renamed from Lakshmir Bhandar to Annapurna. No party suggested that the program should end.

    The number of states implementing mostly unconditional cash transfers to women has since grown to 15 across India, and the total amount has jumped 100 times since 2020. India's latest Economic Survey estimates that states will spend an astonishing Rs 1.7 lakh crore on cash promises annually. Some independent estimates put the number even higher, at Rs 2.5 lakh crore distributed to around 13 crore women. 

    The cash transfer scheme in Karnataka now represents almost 30% of the state's total welfare and nutrition budget, at Rs. 26,000 crore. In West Bengal, the outlay has jumped from Rs. 8,000 crore in 2021 to Rs. 30,000 crore.

    The result? Cash transfers are crowding out other spending.

    Cash transfers are negatively impacting other spending by governments

    Indian lawmakers often defend cash transfers, saying that they are a way to bypass family power structures, where men control the purse strings.  

    But these transfers have become the rope Indian states are tying their own hands with. The increasing outlay is hurting the ability of the state to spend on other items. Across the 15 Indian states doing these transfers, these now eat up 3-11% of state revenues, according to SBI Research. On average, they consume more of state GDP than spending on infrastructure, education and health. 

    While such free money provides women with immediate financial relief, they do not address long term issues they face. In fact, by not investing in public infrastructure and education, governments are narrowing opportunities for both women and men to find jobs and earn better incomes.  

    The result? The average income of a woman in India is significantly lower compared to the average income of a man. And Indian women are much worse off than Chinese women, where policies pushed women to work. 

    As the economist Arvind Subramanian notes, "Freebies are...symptoms of a problem, the problem being that the Indian state has not been very good at providing health, education and employment." What state governments are offering women right now, are distractions rather than solutions. 

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