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Market closes higher, IDFC First Bank’s loan advances at the end of Q4FY22 grow 12.8% YoY

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 extended its gains throughout the day to end above 18,000 for the first time in two and a half months. The Indian Volatility index, India VIX falls for an eighth consecutive trading session. Most Asian indices trade higher but US treasury bonds fall with the possibility of the Fed taking a fast-track approach to raise interest rates. The two-year treasury yield exceeded the 30-year treasury yield for the first time since 2007 last week. Analysts believe that this bond yield inversion indicates that a recession could be in the cards. Most European indices trade flat as some European Union governments mull a new set of sanctions on Russia after allegations of war crimes emerged.

Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 closed in the green, following the benchmark index. All sectoral indices closed higher than Friday’s levels. Nifty IT closes higher, taking cues from the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 futures, which is also trading higher.

Nifty 50 closed at 18,053.40 (383.0, 2.2%), BSE Sensex closed at 60,611.74 (1,335.1, 2.3%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 15,384.20 (296.9, 2.0%)

Market breadth is ticking up strongly. Of the 1,908 stocks traded today, 1,523 were on the uptrend, and 351 went down.

  • Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra), Cholamandalam Financial Holdings, Grindwell Norton, and Tube Investments of India are trading with higher volumes as compared to Friday.

  • Ashika Research initiates coverage on Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail with a ‘Buy’ rating and target price of Rs 350 indicating an upside of 16%. The brokerage is bullish for the company on the back of its various acquisitions and plans to create a D2C (Direct-to-Consumer) platform. The brokerage expects the company’s EBITDA to grow 53.6% YoY in FY23 over FY22.

  • PB Fintech is rising after Morgan Stanley upgrades its rating on the stock to 'Overweight'. The brokerage changes its stance on the stock as in its view the recent price correction makes the stock attractive. However, it is still cautious about the insurance sector due to the risk of lower growth and higher capital costs.

  • Hariom Pipes' Rs 130.1-crore IPO gets bids for 3.4X of the available 85 lakh shares on offer on the fourth day of bidding. Retail investors put in bids for 7.2X of the available 29.75 lakh shares. The offer comprises entirely of a fresh issue of Rs 130.1 crore.

  • IDFC First Bank’s loan advances at the end of Q4FY22 grow 12.8% YoY to Rs 1.32 lakh crore with retail and commercial loans rising 26.4% YoY. Retail loan is up as home loan segment rises 52.1% YoY. CASA deposits rise 12% YoY to Rs 51,407 crore.

  • Edelweiss maintains a ‘BUY’ rating on Cyient with a target price of Rs 1,030, indicating an upside of 11%. The brokerage remains positive about the company on the back of its expertise in areas of mapping and designing across diversified segments and in a variety of end-user IT environments. The brokerage expects the company’s revenue to grow at a 12.7% CAGR over FY22-FY24.

  • Bajaj Auto's March total wholesales fall 20% YoY to 2,97,188 units. Two-wheeler wholesales fall 22% YoY to 2,56,324 units but three-wheeler wholesales rise 4% YoY to 40,864 units. For FY22, the company's total wholesales rise 8% YoY to 43,08,433 units including a 22% YoY rise in exports to 25,06,626.

  • Housing Development Finance Corporation is trading with more than seven times its weekly average trading volume.Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders, Godrej Agrovet, HDFC Bank, and HDFC Life Insurance Company are trading at more than four times their weekly average trading volumes.

  • Indraprastha Gas increases the prices of compressed natural gas by Rs 0.80 per kg and piped natural gas by Rs 5.85 per standard cubic metre for Delhi with effect from April 1, 2022. This is the fourth price hike after the company hiked gas prices back in October 2021, January 2022 and March 2022.

  • HDFC Bank’s loan advances at the end of Q4FY22 grow 21% YoY to Rs 13.7 lakh crore with corporate loans growing 17.5% and commercial & rural banking loans rising 31% YoY. Deposits grow 16.8% YoY to Rs 15.5 lakh crore, with retail deposits rising 18.5% YoY and CASA deposits by 22% YoY to Rs 7.5 lakh crore.

  • NMDC is rising as its iron ore production rises 23% YoY to 42.15 million tonnes (MT) in FY22. NMDC also reports its highest ever production and sales numbers in the month of March. The iron ore production in March rises 9% YoY to 4.98 MT while the sales increased by 3% to 4.21 MT.

  • Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone (APSEZ) cargo volumes rise 12% YoY in March 2022 to 29.16 million metric tonnes. In FY22, APSEZ’s total cargo volumes rise 26% YoY to 312.39 million metric tonnes.

  • JSW Energy is rising as its wholly-owned subsidiary, JSW Neo Energy enters into a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with the government of Chhattisgarh to set up a 1,000 MW capacity hydro pumped storage project (PSP). PSP is a well-established technology that is mainly used to solve intermittent power supply issues through renewable energies.

  • HDFC Bank and HDFC's boards approve the merger scheme of both companies. It will be a two-step process with HDFC Investments and HDFC Holdings first merging with HDFC. Then, HDFC will merge with HDFC Bank. The share exchange ratio proposed is 42 equity shares of HDFC Bank for 25 fully paid-up equity shares of HDFC.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include HDFC Bank Ltd. (1,656.80, 10.01%), Housing Development Finance Corporation Ltd. (2,680.05, 9.29%) and Adani Green Energy Ltd. (2,110.45, 8.50%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (1,625.75, -1.96%), Kansai Nerolac Paints Ltd. (462.20, -1.62%) and ACC Ltd. (2,119.45, -1.47%).

Movers and Shakers

18 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Godrej Agrovet Ltd. (545.90, 18.93%), PTC India Ltd. (95.00, 10.27%) and HDFC Bank Ltd. (1,656.80, 10.01%).

Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Ltd. (271.55, 7.99%) was trading at 11.7 times of weekly average. Housing Development Finance Corporation Ltd. (2,680.05, 9.29%) and J B Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (1,600.85, 2.83%) were trading with volumes 9.5 and 5.2 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

20 stocks made 52-week highs,

Stocks touching their year highs included - Adani Power Ltd. (211.95, 4.18%), Bajaj Holdings & Investment Ltd. (5,828.45, 7.96%) and Cummins India Ltd. (1,128.25, -0.74%).

29 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including HDFC Bank Ltd. (1,656.80, 10.01%) and Housing Development Finance Corporation Ltd. (2,680.05, 9.29%). 6 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including TeamLease Services Ltd. (4,033.80, -5.03%) and Poly Medicure Ltd. (904.00, -3.10%).

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The Baseline
02 Apr 2022
The financial year just ended. Is FY23 going to be better?

FY22 has been a difficult financial year for corporate India. Companies across most sectors saw their margins come under pressure as India Inc felt the double-punch of higher inflation and supply chain shortages.

Commodity prices jumped with the conflict in Europe. As a result, agencies like Fitch, ICRA, and Morgan Stanley have slashed India’s FY23 GDP growth estimates by over 100 bps, to 7.9% on average.

Are things going to get better in FY23?

In this week’s Analyticks, we look back on the performance of major consumption-driven sectors in FY22 and discuss what we can expect from them in FY23. 

  • Seeing red: Paint makers’ margins may stay under pressure even as demand jumps 
  • People are packing bags: Hotels expect a bumper 'Summer of '22' with strong bookings for next 100 days
  • Unlocking profits: Fashion retailers plan for growth as shoppers return 
  • The cookie crumbles: FMCG companies hit by rising input costs, which see no signs of ebbing

Paint makers’ margins under pressure, even as demand looks positive

Cost pressures for paints companies began in Q2FY22, and EBITDA margins of the top players contracted by over six percentage points YoY that quarter. The prices of inputs like crude oil and titanium dioxide (TiO2) were up 40-50% YoY in Q2FY22. And it continued to rise, as titanium dioxide costs spiked another 29.5% QoQ in Q3FY22.

The paints sector (top 6 companies) underperformed the Nifty 500 by 9.56% in FY22. Only one paint stock made it to the relative outperformance screener.

These inflationary trends have caused paint makers to undertake double-digit price hikes, of 18-27% in the nine months ended December 2021. In fact, according to ICICIDirect, paint makers will have to raise prices by another 5-6% to offset the 30% QoQ rise in price of crude oil derivatives in Q4FY22. 

However, there is a silver lining. Sales jumped, as the festival season had people sprucing up their homes for visiting family and friends. Paint makers like Asian Paints and Berger Paints reported double-digit rise in sales volumes in Q2FY22 and Q3FY22, driven by decorative paints. Asian Paintsexpects to maintain its volume growth trajectory in Q4FY22 as consumer demand revived February 2022 onwards. 

But current inflationary trends have led analysts to cut FY23 earnings estimates for paint makers by 13-16%. This might be the first of many cuts in estimates if crude oil levels continue to hover near $110/bbl levels.


Sunny outlook for hotels, as summer travel jumps

We are pretty sure that almost everyone you know is planning a holiday. After a long, lean time, when you could book a room in the ITC Gardenia for under Rs, 5000, the hospitality sector finally raked in some profits in Q3FY22. This came after six back-to-back quarters of net losses.

Market leader Indian Hotels saw its occupancy levels for domestic properties rise to 94% of FY20 levels due to higher leisure travel. The hotels sector (top 10 listed players) outperformed the Nifty 500 by 83.6% in FY22. Two hotel stocks made it to the relative outperformance screener

Both Indian Hotels and EIH reported a profit for the first time after six quarters in Q3FY22. 

Interestingly, revenues generated from Indian Hotels’ properties in Goa and Rajasthan in Q3FY22 exceeded Q3FY20 levels. 

For EIH, hotels in Udaipur, Chandigarh, Shimla and Bengaluru grew by over 35% on an average over Q3FY20 levels. 

While January was a washout month for the sector, it saw a swift recovery from February 2022 onward. In fact according to Indian Hotels, travel bookings for March to May 2022 have surpassed March to May 2019 levels. It's not just leisure travel that is seeing strong traction - corporate bookings are also up with a rise in offsite events and conferences. 

The quality of holidays is also a focus for Indian travelers now. According to Easy Trip Planners, bookings for business class seats on flights and five-star hotels for the summer of 2022 have doubled compared to pre-pandemic levels. 

According to a recent survey by Deloitte, pretty much no one is planning on staying home in April. Over 80% of Indian consumers plan to undertake leisure/business travel in the next 3-4 weeks. With international travel opened up from March 27, 2022, hotels certainly await a bright summer in 2022. 


Fashion retailers see growth on the horizon

After two forgettable quarters, the festive and wedding season brought some shine back for fashion retailers in Q3FY22. The retailing sector outperformed the Nifty 500 by 25.48% in FY22. One stock made it to the relative outperformance screener.

Trent and Shoppers Stop saw strong traction in the beauty, personal care and innerwear segments in Q3. According to Motilal Oswal, Q3FY22 revenues from Trent’s value format ‘Zudio’ grew almost 3.7X over FY20 levels. 

Aditya Birla Fashion’s Madura segment or lifestyle brands’ Q3 revenue grew over 20% compared to FY20. Pantaloons’ revenues reached 98% of pre-Covid levels and athleisure brands saw over 30% YoY jump in Q3 sales. 

Although January was disappointing for the retailers, demand revived from February according to Shoppers Stop’s management. Shoppers Stop has claimed that its March 2022 revenues are likely to cross the pre-pandemic levels, seeing early trends. 

Shoppers Stop aims to double its revenues in the next 3-4 years. This sales growth CAGR of 19% will be driven by the high-margin private labels segment and by achieving same store sales growth of 9-11% for existing outlets. 

Aditya Birla Fashion, on the other hand, not only has aggressive store expansion plans, but is also looking to build a separate digital platform for its direct-to-consumer (D2C) business.

ABFRL is looking to have around 25-30 D2C brands in its digital portfolio over the next 3-5 years which will contribute over 10% share to its top line. The company sees a market opportunity of $100 billion in the D2C business by FY25.

ABFRL investedin four companies between January 2021 and January 2022 to strengthen its ethnic wear, sports and athleisure business segments. It plans to scale up the annual revenues of its ethnic wear subsidiaries to Rs 1,500 crore from Rs 400 crore on a trailing 12-month basis in next 4-5 years. 

All in all, Indian fashion retailers are set to begin FY23 on a highly positive note. 


FMCG sector struggles, as costs pinch hard

If those Good Day biscuits have been tasting more like Ok Day biscuits recently, you can blame rising costs of inputs like vegetable and palm oil. The FMCG space has been dealing with rising raw material costs since the start of FY22.

In Q1FY22 the sector was battling not just raw material cost inflation but also the second wave of pandemic. There was some improvement in Q2FY22. According to Prabhudas Lilladher, FMCG sales grew 2.95% YoY to Rs 4,040 crore in Q2FY22, with EBITDA growing 2.2% YoY to Rs 4,020 crore. EBITDA margins averaged around 15-20%.

This was because of stabilizing sales of consumer staples like packaged foods, biscuits and beverages, as the pandemic waned.

Hindustan Unilever(HUL) and Tata Consumer Products’ (TCPL) EBITDA margins rose 40 and 70 bps to 25.4% and 14.6%,  respectively, in Q3FY22. Nestle and Dabur’s Q3 margins were impacted because of an increase in staff costs. Britannia’s rise in other expenses by 7.3% QoQ to Rs 687.75 crore affected its margins.

Input costs pressures may shrink margins

Q3FY22 showed signs of improvement as the festive season boosted demand. HUL and Britannia captured this as their gross margins improved that quarter.

As crude oil, vegetable, and palm oil prices cooled down in December 2021 because of import duty reduction, the cost of raw materials fell for most companies.

TCPL and Dabur’s cost of raw materials fell 10% QoQ and 9% QoQ, respectively. Nestle’s raw material cost increased in Q3FY22 by 11% QoQ to Rs 1,662 crore because of commodity price inflation. 

Most companies are now hiking prices to offset the margin hit. Companies have hinted at further price hikes in Q4FY22. Britannia might hike prices by 10-11% in Q4FY22 to offset inflation. The management of these companies expects inflation woes to wane in FY23, depending on the global supply available to meet rising demand.

Two stocks in the FMCG sector made it to this relative outperformance screener. Nifty FMCGunderperformed Nifty 500 by 15.3% in FY22.

We'll visit a second set of sectors in the next Analyticks instalment.

Signing off this week,

The Trendlyne Team

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The Baseline
01 Apr 2022
Five Interesting Stocks Today
  1. Bharti Airtel: This telecom company’s stock surged over 5.5% after it held its analyst day on March 25, 2022. Brokerages across the spectrum are bullish on the company’s future prospects and see an average target price upside of over 20% to Rs 892 levels. The company is mulling 2-3 hikes in its tariff plans over the next few years to boost its average revenue per user (ARPU) to sustainable levels. However, it will be successful in this endeavour only if Reliance Jio follows suit.

Bharti is looking to grow its ARPU to Rs 300 in the medium-term from Q3FY22 levels of Rs 163. At the current levels, the company clocks RoCE of just 6% which is lower than its cost of capital. Even if Bharti is able to make average revenues of Rs 250 per user, it can see an RoCE of 20%+. Hence, any future tariff hikes should be a key monitorable for investors.

The next leg of growth will come from its digital products and services, according to the company. The cumulative market opportunity for cloud communication, data centres, security, IoT and network as a service (NaaS) is around Rs 36,000 crore as of FY22. This market will grow at 25% CAGR to reach almost Rs 70,000 crore by FY25. The company's key products for its enterprise segment (B2B) such as Airtel IQ (CPaas), Nxtra (data centres), Airtel Secure and Airtel Ads could see stellar growth in the next 3-4 years. Another potential growth driver for the company will be the Airtel Payments Bank. This business already broke even in July 2021, and clocks a gross merchandise value of Rs 37,000 crore per quarter.

  1. Aurobindo Pharma: This pharmaceutical company acquired Veritaz Healthcare for Rs 171 crore on March 28 to foray into the domestic formulations business. Aurobindo Pharma derives about 90% of its total revenue from international markets. Given the intense pricing pressure in the US and with export costs increasing, Aurobindo Pharma has turned towards domestic markets (India) to diversify its revenue mix. Veritaz Healthcare is an Indian pharma company specializing in branded generic formulations with a turnover of Rs 133 crore in 9MFY22. This 10-year-old company has around 40 brands across acute and critical care segments. The addressable market for its current product portfolio is Rs 26,775 crore.

Brokerages like Geojit BNP Paribas and Axis Securities have a long-term positive outlook on the company. However, a flash report by BOB Capital Markets released on Wednesday isn’t too optimistic on the acquisition. The brokerage says the strategy behind the acquisition is unclear and it is also sceptical on the financial planning post the acquisition. Hence, BOB Caps did not include the Veritaz acquisition while modelling its target price and stance. The brokerage believes that the low-value products of Veritaz in highly competitive segments aren’t compelling for Aurobindo Pharma. The investors reflected the same sentiment as the stock price has fallen over 5% since the announcement of the acquisition.

Like other pharma companies, Aurobindo Pharma witnessed significant price erosion in the US markets in Q3FY22. The operating profit margin decreased by over 450 basis points in Q3FY22 to 16.93%. The operating profit margin is on a downtrend since the start of FY22 owing to the intense competition globally. The company struggled to post YoY revenue growth for the past four quarters. Given these weak cues, the company has turned towards Indian markets to drive revenue growth.

  1. G R Infraprojects: This infrastructure company’s stock rose 7.4% in five consecutive sessions till March 31, 2022 after it announced that it received Letter of Award (LoA) for five projects worth Rs 5,774 crore from the National Highways Authority of India (NHAI). All the projects to be constructed are under hybrid annuity mode (HAM). As of Q3FY22, the company’s order book stood robust at Rs 14,599 crore, which is twice its FY21 revenue. Its order book comprises road projects and metro projects and its order book mix is as follows - 67% HAM projects, 28% EPC (engineering, procurement, and construction) projects, and 5% railway and metro projects. According toICICI Securities, the focus on HAM projects bodes well for the company as HAM projects have a 20%+ operating margin, whereas EPC projects have a 14-15% operating margin. The company has also diversified into the power transmission segment to widen its opportunity landscape.

According to reports, NHAI has undertaken measures aimed at preventing excessive and aggressive bidding. It has reinstated the earnest money deposits (EMD) requirements and raised the net worth requirements for HAM projects to ensure that the successful bidder does not falter on achieving financial closure and leaving the project incomplete. These measures are expected to lead to a reduction in competitive intensity in FY23 and benefit financially sound players. G R Infraprojects will benefit from these measures due to its strong balance sheet and access to growth capital. According to Axis Securities, the company is well placed to capitalise on opportunities in the construction segment by leveraging its healthy financial position, healthy order inflows, and timely execution prowess.

  1. Hindalco: This aluminium miner’s stock touched an all-time high of Rs 634.95 this week, as LME (London Metal Exchange) prices of aluminium are soaring due to a supply crunch caused by the Russia-Ukraine conflict. With the aluminium supply deficit and strong demand for aluminium from major segments like beverage cans, automotive body sheets, specialities, and aerospace, the management expects higher LME prices to prevail through FY23 and FY24.

The management announced a growth capex of nearly $8 billion over 5 years. Of the total capex, $4.5-4.8 billion would be incurred at Novelis while $3.37 billion would be spent on the India business.The company expects $2 billion of free cash flow (FCF) post sustaining capex and has created a roadmap to allocate 75% of FCF toward growth projects. The company plans to increase the capacity of Novelis by 1.3 million tonnes per annum (mtpa) to 5.8 mtpa, to meet the growing demand for auto parts and beverage cans in North America. The management sees a growing demand-supply gap for beverage cans in the next 7-8 years in North America as an opportunity to expand. As for its India operations, the company plans to expand its upstream and downstream further to raise its aluminium capacity to meet growing demand in the Indian market. Better realisations can be expected in the Indian operations as Hindalco obtains a majority of its coal requirements from Coal India and its captive mines. The company plans to increase production in captive mining to enhance its coal security and reduce energy expenses. So far, the business environment is favourable for Hindalco, the only headwinds being supply-chain disruptions which may impact its margins.

  1. Axis Bank: This private banker’s stock rose 2% on Thursday after it announced the acquisition of Citibank India’s consumer business for Rs 12,235 crore. Citibank’s Indian businesses include credit cards, retail banking, wealth management, and consumer loans.

Citibank is the seventh-largest player in the outstanding credit card segment with a customer base of 26 lakh and a market share of 3.6% in February 2022. Analysts at Motilal Oswal expect that Axis Bank’s acquisition of Citibank’s consumer business will help it increase its credit cards market share to 15.6% from 12% giving tough competition to ICICI Bank which has a market share of 17.8%. The acquisition will also boost Axis Bank’s loan book by 4.1% to Rs 6.9 lakh crore with the retail loan mix increasing 177 bps to 57%. The retail loan mix for Q3FY22 stands at 55% in Q3FY22.

The acquisition seems like a welcome change. However, some analysts are sceptical about the move. HDFC Securities didn’t revise its target price after this deal was announced. Motilal Oswal reduced its target price as it expects the benefits of the acquisition to show up only after two years. A Jefferies report suggests that Citibank’s standalone business growth is modest and this might not add up to Axis Bank’s earnings until FY26.

Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movement, analyst calls or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.

Market closes higher, Motilal Oswal maintains a ‘BUY’ rating on ACC

Trendlyne Analysis

Indian indices start the new financial year in green amidst strong buying pressure towards the end of the trading session. Crude oil prices continue to decline as the US plans to release around a million barrels of crude oil a day from its strategic petroleum reserves to curb the rise in fuel prices. Asian indices closed mixed amid weak global cues as China extended the lockdown in Shanghai to curb a surge in Covid 19 cases. US indices fell on Thursday as investors continue to weigh the risks from tighter US Federal Reserve monetary policy and the war in Ukraine.

Nifty Next 50 and Nifty Smallcap 100 closed in the green following the benchmark index. Nifty Bank, which opened lower, closed over 2% higher. Nifty IT closed in the green, tracking the tech-focused NASDAQ 100 Futures, which is trading higher.

Nifty 50 closed at 17,670.45 (205.7, 1.2%), BSE Sensex closed at 59,276.69 (708.2, 1.2%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 15,087.30 (192.8, 1.3%)

Market breadth is ticking up strongly. Of the 1,880 stocks traded today, 1,591 were on the uptrend, and 271 went down.

  • Saregama India, Max Healthcare Institute, Macrotech Developers, and Gland Pharma are trading with higher volumes as compared to Thursday.

  • Tata Motors’ total commercial vehicle wholesales rise 16% YoY to 47,050 units and total domestic passenger vehicle wholesales rises 43% YoY to 42,293 units in March 2022. For FY22, the company's total commercial vehicles wholesales rise 36% YoY to 3,56,972 units and total domestic passenger vehicle wholesales rise 67% YoY to 3,70,372 units.

  • Mahindra & Mahindra’s March 2022 total auto wholesales rise 42.2% YoY to 54,643 units, while total farm equipment wholesales fall 4% YoY to 29,763 units. For FY22, the company’s total auto wholesales rise 32.1% YoY to 4,65,601 units and total farm equipment wholesales were flat YoY at 3,54,698 units.

  • Hariom Pipes' Rs 130.1-crore IPO gets bids for 1.88X of the available 85 lakh shares on offer on the third day of bidding. Retail investors put in bids for 4.66X of the available 29.75 lakh shares. The offer comprises entirely of a fresh issue of Rs 130.1 crore.

  • APL Apollo Tubes' Q4FY22 sales volume rises 27% YoY to 5,51,723 tonnes. Additionally, sales volume rises 7% YoY to 17.5 lakh tonnes for full-year FY22. Apollo structures and Apollo Z segments contribute to the rise in volumes in Q4FY22. The company looks to raise share of value added products in the overall sales mix to 75% from 63% currently in medium term.

  • Ashok Leyland’s total March 2022 wholesales rise 17% YoY to 20,123 units and total medium and heavy commercial vehicle wholesales rise 26% to 13,990 units. For FY22, the company’s total wholesales rise 27% to 1,28,326 units and total medium and heavy commercial vehicle wholesales rise 43% to 73,885 units.

  • Maruti Suzuki’s total wholesales rise 2% YoY to 1,70,395 units but total passenger vehicle wholesales fall 8.4% to 1,33,862 units in March 2022. For FY22, the company's total wholesales rise 13.4% to 16,52,653 units and total passenger vehicle wholesales rise 2.9% to 12,93,840 units. The shortage of electronic components affected the production of vehicles in FY22.

  • IOL Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals is trading with more than eight times its weekly average trading volume. Galaxy Surfactants, Suprajit Engineering, IIFL Wealth Management, and DCM Shriram Industries are trading at more than four times their weekly average trading volumes.

  • Hindustan Aeronautics records revenue growth of 6% YoY to Rs 24,000 crore in FY22. The company also receives two separate contracts worth Rs 3,887 crore to develop light combat helicopters from Ministry of Defence for Indian Air Force and Indian Army.

  • Motilal Oswal maintains a ‘BUY’ rating on ACC with a target price of Rs Rs 2,470, indicating an upside of 15%. The brokerage has a positive outlook on the company as the company’s total operating profits rose only 3% YoY in FY22 to Rs 4,552/tonne despite a significant increase in key input costs.

  • Lupin’s New Jersey manufacturing unit, Novel Laboratories receives 13 observations after the conclusion of the US Food and Drug Administration (USFDA) facility inspection. The company must now address the observations and work closely with USFDA to address its concerns.

  • Government of Singapore and Smaller Cap World Fund buy 1.08 crore and 1.64 crore shares respectively of Max Healthcare at an average price of Rs 340 apiece in a bulk deal on Thursday.

  • Escorts’ total tractor wholesales fall 18.3% YoY to 10,047 units in March 2022 on subdued commercial demand. Its domestic tractor wholesales fall 19.2% YoY to 9,483 units and tractor exports by 2.6% YoY to 591 units.

  • Future Retail’s CEO Sadashiv Nayak resigns without citing any reason for his exit. The resignation is effective from the closure of business hours on March 31, 2022.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Adani Power Ltd. (203.45, 9.91%), Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. (53.85, 9.12%) and Bajaj Holdings & Investment Ltd. (5,398.85, 7.74%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Atul Ltd. (9,870.05, -4.10%), Ipca Laboratories Ltd. (1,027.40, -3.60%) and Alkem Laboratories Ltd. (3,493.20, -3.52%).

Crowd Puller Stocks

19 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included IOL Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (424.40, 19.99%), Spandana Sphoorty Financial Ltd. (396.75, 19.54%) and Lux Industries Ltd. (2,533.15, 15.62%).

Top high volume loser on BSE was Saregama India Ltd. (4,816.20, -0.23%).

NCC Ltd. (64.95, 10.93%) was trading at 6.6 times of weekly average. DCM Shriram Ltd. (1,192.10, 5.49%) and Restaurant Brands Asia Ltd. (112.75, 11.91%) were trading with volumes 6.0 and 5.9 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

16 stocks took off, crossing 52-week highs, while 1 stock tanked below its 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Adani Power Ltd. (203.45, 9.91%), Cummins India Ltd. (1,136.70, 1.37%) and Delta Corp Ltd. (333.00, 0.89%).

Stock making new 52 weeks lows included - Procter & Gamble Health Ltd. (4,166.40, 4.10%).

25 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Sunteck Realty Ltd. (487.50, 11.62%) and Laxmi Organic Industries Ltd. (436.45, 9.28%). 4 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Alkem Laboratories Ltd. (3,493.20, -3.52%) and BASF India Ltd. (3,031.00, -2.00%).

Market closes lower, BOB Caps maintains ‘BUY’ on Aurobindo Pharma

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed lower on a volatile day of trade. Most Asian indices closed lower, tracking the US indices, which closed in the red on Wednesday. European stocks trade lower on the back of a 30-year high inflation print of 7.3% in Germany and no real developments from the peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. Crude oil prices fall more than 4% as the United States mulls drawing from its oil reserves to curb the surge in fuel prices. The OPEC+ group is set to meet today to determine the output levels for oil production beginning in May.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green despite the benchmark index closing in the red. Nifty metal, which lost over 2% yesterday, closed flat. Nifty IT trades closed lower, tracking the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100, which closed 1.1% lower on Thursday.

Nifty 50 closed at 17,464.75 (-33.5, -0.2%), BSE Sensex closed at 58,568.51 (-115.5, -0.2%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 14,894.50 (-2.4, 0.0%)

Market breadth is in the red. Of the 1,882 stocks traded today, 771 were on the uptick, and 1,089 were down.

  • Phoenix Mills, Supreme Industries,Grindwell Norton, and Avanti Feeds are trading with higher volumes as compared to Wednesday.

  • ICICI Securities maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on Axis Bank with a target price of Rs 1,050, indicating an upside of 40%. The brokerage is bullish on the company’s acquisition of Citibank’s consumer business in India. It expects the acquisition to give the company access to a huge retail base, an affluent and profitable consumer base, and strategic synergy benefits over the medium term.

  • Reliance Industries' telecom arm Reliance Jio lost 94 lakh subscribers MoM for the second consecutive month in January 2022, according to data from the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India. On the other hand, Bharti Airtel added 7 lakh subscribers to its overall subscriber base.

  • Veranda Learnings Solutions’ Rs 200-crore IPO gets bids for 3.53X of the available 1.2 crore shares on offer on the third day of bidding. Retail investors quota gets bids for 10.76X of the available 15.4 lakh shares. The offer comprises entirely of a fresh issue of Rs 200 crore.

  • Hariom Pipes' Rs 130.1-crore IPO gets bids for 1.48X of the available 85 lakh shares on offer on the second day of bidding. Retail investors put in bids for 3.55X of the available 29.75 lakh shares. The offer comprises entirely of a fresh issue of Rs 130.1 crore.

  • BOB Capital Markets maintains a ‘BUY’ rating on Aurobindo Pharma with a target price of Rs 850, indicating an upside of 20%. The brokerage maintains a positive outlook on the company as its acquisition of Veritaz Healthcare allows the company to foray into the domestic formulation business. However, the brokerage awaits better clarity on the strategy and financial planning post-acquisition before incorporating Veritaz into their estimates.

  • Max Healthcare Institute is trading with more than sixty-nine times its weekly average trading volume.IIFL Wealth Management, Edelweiss Financial Services, ABB India and KEI Industries are trading at more than four times their weekly average trading volumes.

  • Ashoka Buildcon wins bid to develop six lanes access-controlled greenfield highway from Baswantpur to Singond from National Highways Authority of India. The accepted bid cost for the project is Rs 1,079 crore.

  • Competition commission of India conducts an enquiry in the offices of tyre makers like Apollo Tyres, Ceat and Continental AG. The enquiry is in relation to suspicion of unfair trade practices carried on by these companies in the state of Haryana.

  • IIFL Wealth Management rises as Bain Capital is set to buy 2.2 crore or 24.98% stake in the company from Fairfax India Holdings. The total consideration for this stake acquisition will be close to Rs 3,680 crore.

  • Tejas Networks is rising as it is set to acquire a 64.4% stake in semiconductor firm Saankhya Labs for Rs 283.94 crore in an all-cash deal. The company expects the acquisition to enhance its wireless offerings and increase its customer base in India and the international markets.

  • Info Edge’s wholly-owned subsidiary, Allcheckdeals India, invests Rs 137.1 crore in 4B Networks. Allcheckdeals plans to strengthen its offering in the real estate segment by providing a new platform for real estate industry professionals via the 4B network’s broker network platform.

  • Axis Bank to acquire Citibank India’s retail business for Rs 12,235 crore in an all-cash deal. The deal includes Citibank’s credit card, retail banking, wealth management, and consumer loan business. The deal also includes the sale of consumer business of its non-banking financial company (NBFC), Citicorp Finance (India).

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Adani Power Ltd. (185.10, 7.93%), Tata Communications Ltd. (1,228.60, 6.09%) and Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd. (1,484.90, 5.72%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Hindalco Industries Ltd. (569.50, -5.05%), Indian Overseas Bank (18.15, -4.22%) and Max Healthcare Institute Ltd. (347.65, -3.70%).

Movers and Shakers

24 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Edelweiss Financial Services Ltd. (58.70, 15.44%), Mahindra Lifespace Developers Ltd. (395.20, 10.86%) and Bajaj Consumer Care Ltd. (163.30, 9.08%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were CSB Bank Ltd. (211.15, -5.48%), Max Healthcare Institute Ltd. (347.65, -3.70%) and Brigade Enterprises Ltd. (516.85, -1.80%).

IIFL Wealth Management Ltd. (1,668.90, 0.01%) was trading at 10.2 times of weekly average. V Mart Retail Ltd. (3,966.30, 4.67%) and Kansai Nerolac Paints Ltd. (467.75, 3.96%) were trading with volumes 7.4 and 7.0 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

14 stocks overperformed with 52-week highs, while 7 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Adani Power Ltd. (185.10, 7.93%), Cummins India Ltd. (1,121.30, 1.22%) and Delta Corp Ltd. (330.05, 1.65%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Avanti Feeds Ltd. (412.35, -0.87%) and Gujarat Pipavav Port Ltd. (76.40, -0.84%).

30 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including NOCIL Ltd. (248.90, 8.26%) and HFCL Ltd. (78.70, 7.15%). 10 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Max Healthcare Institute Ltd. (347.65, -3.70%) and Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd. (4,516.10, -2.14%).

Market closes higher, Edelweiss maintains a ‘BUY’ rating on Balaji Amines

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed 1% higher with the Indian volatility index, India VIX falling significantly. Most Asian indices closed higher as hopes rise for a negotiated end to the Ukraine conflict. Ukraine proposed adopting a neutral status as a sign of progress in face-to-face negotiations while Russia promised to scale down military operations near Kyiv. However, reports suggest that Russia continues to build up troops in Eastern Ukraine. The US indices closed sharply higher on Tuesday led by the tech-focused NASDAQ 100, which rose 1.68%. European shares trade lower after three days of consecutive gains as investors monitor the outcome of the Russia-Ukraine peace talks.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green, following the benchmark index. Nifty Media, which shed 1.2% on Tuesday, surged today to close 2.3% higher. Nifty Metal snaps its nine-day winning streak to close 2.2% lower. Nifty IT closed in the green, tracking the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100.

BSE Sensex closed at 58,683.99 (740.3, 1.3%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 14,896.90 (135, 0.9%).

Market breadth is in the green. Of the 1,878 stocks traded today, 1,203 were in the positive territory and 644 were negative.

  • NHPC, AIA Engineering, KPR Mill, and Indo Count Industries Express are trading with higher volumes as compared to Tuesday.

  • Veranda Learnings Solutions’ Rs 200-crore IPO gets bids for 1.3X of the available 1.2 crore shares on offer on the second day of bidding. Retail investors quota gets bids for 7X of the available 15.4 lakh shares. The offer comprises entirely of a fresh issue of Rs 200 crore.

  • Hariom Pipes' Rs 130.1-crore IPO gets bids for 67% of the available 25.5 lakh shares on offer on the first day of bidding. Retail investors quota gets bids for 1.88X of the available 29.75 lakh shares. The offer comprises entirely of a fresh issue of Rs 130.1 crore.

  • Uma Exports' Rs 60-crore IPO gets bids for 7.7X of the available 92.3 lakh shares on offer on the last day of bidding. Retail investors quota gets bids for 10.1X of the available 63.6 lakh shares. The offer comprises entirely of a fresh issue of Rs 60 crore.

  • Music label firm Saregamahits the upper circuit after its board of directors approves hiving off its e-commerce distribution, publication and other non-core businesses into a separate entity - Digidrive Distributors. This business involves the sale of its physical products including portable music player Carvaan. It generated revenues of just Rs 17.4 crore in FY21.

  • Axis Securities initiates coverage on Aptus Value Housing Finance India with a ‘Buy’ rating and a target price of Rs 400, indicating an upside of 27%. The brokerage believes the company is well placed to benefit from the rapidly growing affordable housing market due to its deep penetration in rural South Indian markets, industry-leading profitability, and improving asset quality trends.

  • Tata Coffee is trading with more than fifteen times its weekly average trading volume. General Insurance Corporation of India, Nesco, Phoenix Mills, and Mastek are trading at more than four times their weekly average trading volumes.

  • IDBI Bank's board approves the divestment of its stake in National Securities Depository (NSDL) and Ageas Federal Life Insurance Company (AFLI). This willl include the divestment of the bank's stake of up to 11.1% in NSDL through a market-driven process. The stake in AFLI --20 lakh shares--will be sold to Ageas Insurance International NV (Ageas) pursuant to the exercise of a call option by Ageas.

  • Edelweiss maintains a ‘BUY’ rating on Balaji Amines with a target price of Rs 4,150, indicating an upside of 40.7%. The brokerage has a positive outlook on the company as it increased the production capacity of the propylene glycol and dimethyl carbonate chains. The brokerage expects the company’s revenue to grow at 23.7% over FY22-FY24.

  • Bharat Electronics signs two contracts worth Rs 3,102 crore with Ministry of Defence, Government of India. The contracts include supply of advanced electronic warfare suite for fighter aircraft and instrumented electronic warfare range for the Indian Air Force.

  • Oil And Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) is falling as the Center is set to sell 1.5% of its stake in the company to raise about Rs 3,000 crore. The offer for sale (OFS) opens on March 30-31 with a minimum of 25 % of the shares reserved for mutual funds and insurance companies. The Centre currently owns a 60.41 % stake in ONGC which produces half of India's oil and gas.

  • Strides Pharma Science's Managing Director and CEO R Ananthanarayanan resign. His resignation will be effective from March 31, 2022.

  • Tata Consumer Products (TCPL) announces merger of all businesses of Tata Coffee (TCL) with itself as a part of its reorganization plan. TCL’s plantation business will first be de-merged into TCPL’s wholly-owned subsidiary TCPL Beverages & Foods (TBFL). TCPL will issue one equity share for every 22 equity shares of TCL to TCL’s shareholders in accordance with their share entitlement ratio. Following the de-merger, the remaining business of TCL will be merged with TCPL.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Indian Overseas Bank (18.95, 10.17%), Tata Elxsi Ltd. (8,996.80, 5.19%) and Larsen & Toubro Infotech Ltd. (6,310.35, 4.75%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Oil And Natural Gas Corporation Ltd. (162.00, -5.26%), Procter & Gamble Hygiene & Healthcare Ltd. (14,009.60, -5.05%) and Hindalco Industries Ltd. (599.80, -4.99%).

Volume Shockers

25 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Tata Coffee Ltd. (214.55, 9.32%), Nesco Ltd. (560.80, 8.62%) and EID Parry (India) Ltd. (459.10, 5.52%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Oil And Natural Gas Corporation Ltd. (162.00, -5.26%), Procter & Gamble Hygiene & Healthcare Ltd. (14,009.60, -5.05%) and Adani Green Energy Ltd. (1,857.15, -3.44%).

Indian Oil Corporation Ltd. (1,17.20, -0.93%) was trading at 10.0 times of weekly average. Mastek Ltd. (3,235.80, 5.11%) and General Insurance Corporation of India (116.45, 4.11%) were trading with volumes 8.1 and 7.9 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

19 stocks hit their 52-week highs, while 11 stocks tanked below their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Adani Transmission Ltd. (2,377.40, -3.42%), Cummins India Ltd. (1,107.80, -1.32%) and Indian Hotels Company Ltd. (241.25, 0.25%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Bajaj Consumer Care Ltd. (149.70, -0.33%) and Castrol India Ltd. (100.00, -0.10%).

30 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Tata Coffee Ltd. (214.55, 9.32%) and EID Parry (India) Ltd. (459.10, 5.52%). 7 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Procter & Gamble Hygiene & Healthcare Ltd. (14,009.60, -5.05%) and Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd. (880.75, -3.26%).

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The Baseline
29 Mar 2022
Chart of the Week: Airlines ready to soar, but will high crude prices slow takeoff?

It has been a turbulent couple of years for the Indian aviation sector. And despite revenge travel, the recovery hasn't been a quick one. Airlines are yet to hit pre-pandemic levels on the number of passengers ferried, with the load still lower than FY21.

Pre-Covid, average daily fliers were 4 lakh passengers. The latest data suggests that daily traffic reached 3.6 lakh fliers as of March 26, 2022. Although the average number of travellers surged to 137 from 126 in March 2022, the third wave dampened this trend, the Director General of Civil Aviation’s monthly data shows.

In February 2022,Interglobe Aviation (IndiGo), Air India, Go First (formerly GoAir), Spicejet, and Vistara saw a substantial rise in passengers carried. However, IndiGo’s market share fell by 411 bps MoM, to 51% as competitors Air India, SpiceJet and Vistara ate into its market share. Vistara in particular has seen an increase in market share by 226 bps MoM to 9.73%.

However, an increase in the price of aviation turbine fuel (ATF) might pose a problem for all airlines. Unlike other sectors, where price hikes are taken to offset the rise in input costs, aviation companies cannot increase fares indiscriminately. According to a report by ICICI Securities, revenue per available seat-kilometre (RASK) in Q3FY22 was Rs 3.51, which is already higher than Rs 2.70 in FY11, when fuel prices were $100-$110 per barrel. So the option of increasing fares is very limited.

With the government re-starting international flights from March 27, 2022, demand is set to go up, causing a surge in the number of passengers carried.Reports suggest that since daily traffic increased in March 2022, DGCA approved 25,309 departures every week starting the last week of March. If the demand continues to jump, airlines might be able to mitigate the rise in ATF cost and come out of the red in FY23. 

Market closes higher, ICICI Securities maintains a 'BUY' rating on Bharti Airtel

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 extended its gains throughout the day to close higher. Asian stocks trade in the green, following the US indices, which closed higher yesterday led by the tech-focused NASDAQ 100. Crude oil extended its losses from yesterday on fears of a drop in demand in China due to the lockdown in Shanghai to curb a surge in Covid-19 cases. European stocks trade in the green, taking cues from the Asian markets and Wall Street. The pan-European index, STOXX 600 extends gains to a third consecutive session despite limited hopes of a breakthrough in Russia-Ukraine peace talks.

Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 closed in the green but underperformed the benchmark index. Nifty Metal inched higher and closed in the green for the ninth consecutive session. Nifty IT closed higher, tracking the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 closing 1.3% higher on Monday.

Nifty 50 closed at 17,325.30 (103.3, 0.6%), BSE Sensex closed at 57,943.65 (350.2, 0.6%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 14,761.90 (86.1, 0.6%)

Market breadth is in the red. Of the 1,892 stocks traded today, 754 were on the uptick, and 1,113 were down.

  • Procter & Gamble Health, KEI Industries, Sudarshan Chemical Industries, and Blue Dart Express are trading with higher volumes as compared to Monday.

  • Hero MotoCorp is falling as reports suggest the Income Tax Department found more than Rs 1,000 crore bogus expenses and over Rs 100 crore cash transactions for a farmhouse in Delhi.

  • Veranda Learnings Solutions' Rs 200-crore IPO gets bids for 74% of the available 1.2 crore shares on offer on the first day of bidding. Retail investors quota gets overbid by 4.2X of the available 15.4 lakh shares. The offer comprises entirely of a fresh issue of Rs 200 crore.

  • Uma Exports Rs 60-crore IPO gets oversubscribed by 4.2X of the available 92.3 lakh shares on offer on the second day of bidding. Retail investors quota gets over bid by 5.6X of the available 63.6 lakh shares. The offer comprises entirely of a fresh issue of Rs 60 crore.

  • Fertilizer stocks like Madras Fertilizers, Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizers, National Fertilizers, and Gujarat State Fertilizer & Chemicals among others are rising in trade. The broader sector of fertilizer is also trading in the green.

  • Axis Securities maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on Healthcare Global Enterprises with a target price of Rs 330, indicating an upside of 21%. The brokerage has a positive outlook on the company due to its rising average occupancy rates, increasing average revenue per occupied bed (ARPOB), and its strong network in the oncology industry with high-end works and reasonable prices.

  • Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizers is trading with more than eight times its weekly average trading volume. Vaibhav Global, AIA Engineering, National Fertilizers, and Rallis India are trading at more than three times their weekly average trading volumes.

  • Media stocks like Inox Leisure, Network 18 Media & Investments, TV18 Broadcast, and PVR among others are falling in trade. The broader sectoral index Nifty Media is also trading in the red.

  • G R Infraprojects wins bid for four laning existing two lane stretches from Govindpur to Rajura and Bamni to the Maharashtra-Telangana border. The company is the lowest bidder for the project at Rs 1,744 crore

  • ICICI Securities maintains a 'BUY' rating on Bharti Airtel with a target price upside of 17.3%. The brokerage is positive on the telecom major as it believes that tariff hike flow through will boost Bharti's EBITDA by 20% in FY23. Additionally, emerging products like Data Centre, IoT, Security, CPaaS, and NaaS hold a future growth potential of 25% CAGR.

  • Power Grid Corporation of India's board approves investment in a total of five projects worth Rs 821.3 crore. Major investment projects include the strengthening of the transmission system for Srinagar-Leh sector at an estimated cost of Rs 288.7 crore.

  • Aurobindo Pharma acquires the domestic formulation business of Veritaz Healthcare on a slump sale basis at a consideration of Rs 171 crore on a debt-free cash-free basis. The company expects the acquisition to act as a launchpad for marketing biosimilar and other products in India.

  • Veranda Learnings raises Rs 46.75 crore from investors by selling 34.12 lakh shares at Rs 137 per share to anchor investors, including AG Dynamics Fund, Resonance Opportunities Fund, and Next Orbit Ventures.

  • Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) instructs Ruchi Soya to provide an option to FPO (follow-on public offering) investors to withdraw their bids due to circulation of unsolicited text messages advertising the issue. The window for withdrawal is available between March 28 - March 30. Ruchi Soya’s Rs 4,300 crore FPO was oversubscribed 3.6X on the final day of bidding.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Ruchi Soya Industries Ltd. (943.05, 15.81%), Adani Power Ltd. (173.55, 13.99%) and GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (1,696.10, 9.35%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Hero MotoCorp Ltd. (2,210.65, -7.04%), Tata Elxsi Ltd. (8,552.85, -5.34%) and IDBI Bank Ltd. (42.75, -3.39%).

Volume Rockets

27 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Ruchi Soya Industries Ltd. (943.05, 15.81%), Adani Power Ltd. (173.55, 13.99%) and Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizers Ltd. (91.70, 13.00%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Hero MotoCorp Ltd. (2,210.65, -7.04%), Thyrocare Technologies Ltd. (750.50, -3.32%) and Godrej Industries Ltd. (453.15, -1.79%).

Swan Energy Ltd. (193.25, 8.23%) was trading at 19.4 times of weekly average. NHPC Ltd. (27.35, -0.18%) and Vaibhav Global Ltd. (385.00, 6.19%) were trading with volumes 10.7 and 7.7 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

21 stocks hit their 52-week highs, while 16 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Adani Power Ltd. (173.55, 13.99%), Adani Transmission Ltd. (2,461.55, 0.92%) and Cummins India Ltd. (1,122.65, 1.19%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - 3M India Ltd. (19,680.35, 0.81%) and Bajaj Consumer Care Ltd. (150.20, -1.86%).

17 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (1,696.10, 9.35%) and TeamLease Services Ltd. (4,264.20, 6.64%). 6 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including IDBI Bank Ltd. (42.75, -3.39%) and Anupam Rasayan India Ltd. (830.40, -2.39%).

Market closes higher, Wipro approves second interim dividend of Rs 5

Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 settled in the green on a volatile day of trade. Most Asian indices closed lower as China imposed Covid-19 lockdown in Shanghai and ordered all firms in the area to suspend manufacturing or have people work remotely in a two-stage lockdown over nine days. This led to a fall in crude oil prices expecting weaker demand due to the lockdown. Investors continue to keep an eye on the Russia-Ukraine peace talks scheduled later this week as the Ukrainian President said that Ukraine was prepared to discuss adopting a neutral status as part of the deal.

Nifty Smallcap 100, which opened in the green, lost its gains to close lower than Friday’s level. Nifty Metal, which has gained over 7% last week, closed higher. Nifty Media closed in the green, extending its gains from last week. Nifty IT closed in the red, taking cues from the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 futures, which is trading lower.

Nifty 50 closed at 17,222.00 (69, 0.4%), BSE Sensex closed at 57,593.49 (231.3, 0.4%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 14,675.85 (24.2, 0.2%)

Market breadth is highly negative. Of the 1,913 stocks traded today, 528 showed gains, and 1,359 showed losses.

  • Cholamandalam Financial Holdings, Gland Pharma, TeamLease Services, and Vakrangee are trading with higher volumes as compared to Friday.

  • GAIL surges in trade as its board will mull a buyback of equity shares in its meeting to be held on Thursday.

  • Sharekhan maintains a ‘BUY’ rating on Laurus Labs with a target price of Rs 735, indicating an upside of 24.6%. Reports suggest that the brokerage has a positive outlook on the company as it is strengthening its presence in the biologics segment. The brokerage expects the active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) revenue to normalize in Q1FY23.

  • Motilal Oswal maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on State Bank of India and reduces the target price from Rs 725 to Rs 675, indicating an upside of 39%. The brokerage lowers the target price on account of the rising rate environment lowering treasury gains. The brokerage remains bullish on the company’s revival in loan growth, robust asset quality trends, and controlled funding costs.

  • Uma Exports Rs 60-crore IPO gets oversubscribed by 2.14X of the available 92.3 lakh shares on offer on the first day of bidding. Retail investors quota gets over bid by 2.9X of the available 63.6 lakh shares. The offer comprises entirely of a fresh issue of Rs 60 crore.

  • G R lnfraprojects wins bid to construct four lane greenfield expressway from Delhi to Vadodara. The company is the lowest bidder for the project at Rs 1,386 crore.

  • Gujarat Alkalies & Chemicals is trading with more than five times its weekly average trading volume. Aster DM Healthcare, Inox Leisure, EIH, and PVR are trading at more than three times their weekly average trading volumes.

  • DLF is set to invest Rs 2,000 crore in construction of two new shopping malls in Gurgaon and Goa, according to a news report. The realty major is bullish on the revival of organized retail sector in India post the waning of third Covid wave.

  • Wipro approves second interim dividend payment of Rs 5 per equity share for FY22. Total payout amounts to Rs 2,000 crore. The record date is April 6, 2022.

  • IndiaMART InterMESH announces acquisition of a 51% stake in software-as-a-service (SAAS) firm Livekeeping for Rs 45.98 crore in an all-cash deal. The company expects the investment to aid it in achieving its long-term objective of offering various SAAS-based solutions for businesses.

  • Aster DM Healthcare is rising as it signs a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with the government of Tamil Nadu on Saturday in Dubai, UAE. With the signing of this MOU, the company intends to invest up to Rs 500 crore into developing hospitals, pharmacies, and laboratories in Tamil Nadu.

  • Emami announces acquisition of the Dermicool brand from Reckitt for a total consideration of Rs 432 crore. Dermicool is one of the leading brands in the prickly heat powder and cool talcum category. The acquisition will be funded through internal accruals and is subject to customary closing conditions.

  • Multiplex chains PVRand Inox Leisure are set to merge, creating India’s largest film exhibition entity with a network of more than 1,500 screens. According to the merger terms, shareholders holding 10 shares of Inox will get 3 shares of PVR in exchange. The combined entity will add nearly 180-200 screens every year from hereon.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Tata Elxsi Ltd. (9,035.50, 7.08%), Adani Power Ltd. (152.25, 6.32%) and Adani Total Gas Ltd. (2,141.20, 4.21%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Ruchi Soya Industries Ltd. (814.30, -6.14%), Endurance Technologies Ltd. (1,123.80, -5.50%) and Container Corporation of India Ltd. (659.95, -4.33%).

Crowd Puller Stocks

21 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Supreme Petrochem Ltd. (1,012.60, 12.25%), Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd. (68.25, 12.07%) and Inox Leisure Ltd. (522.85, 11.32%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Endurance Technologies Ltd. (1,123.80, -5.50%), Brightcom Group Ltd. (85.80, -4.98%) and Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Ltd. (159.20, -4.98%).

Aster DM Healthcare Ltd. (200.00, 10.53%) was trading at 12.5 times of weekly average. Gujarat Alkalies & Chemicals Ltd. (896.85, 10.79%) and JK Tyre & Industries Ltd. (116.15, 6.12%) were trading with volumes of 6.8 and 5.9 times the weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows, and moving averages

20 stocks overperformed with 52-week highs, while 17 stocks tanked below their 52-week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Adani Transmission Ltd. (2,439.00, -0.40%), Cummins India Ltd. (1,109.40, 2.12%) and Delta Corp Ltd. (319.85, -0.09%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Bank of Maharashtra (17.75, 1.72%) and Castrol India Ltd. (100.30, -2.53%).

11 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Aster DM Healthcare Ltd. (200.00, 10.53%) and Sunteck Realty Ltd. (449.65, 7.43%). 16 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Rajesh Exports Ltd. (661.50, -3.40%) and Alok Industries Ltd. (24.75, -3.32%).

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The Baseline
28 Mar 2022
Five analyst stock picks this week

  1. Ajanta Pharma(AJP): Motilal Oswal maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on this pharmaceutical company but cuts its target price to Rs 2,500 from Rs 2,780, indicating an upside of 32%. The brokerage reduced the target price due to the lower pace of ANDA (abbreviated new drug application) filings and approvals in the US market, which may hinder growth in the medium term. However, its compliance track record remains sound and ongoing product development implies a promising outlook for the US generics segment.

The brokerage remains bullish on Ajanta’s branded generic segment and believes the company is on track to outperform the industry. “AJP has remained a focused player in the branded generics business in Asia and Africa, with 40 product registrations over the past 12 months”, say analysts at Motilal Oswal. The company delivered 53% and 2% YoY sales growth in Africa and Asia respectively over 9MFY22 on the back of 20-22 product launches and market share gain in existing products. It already has a portfolio of 200 products in the Asia and Africa markets. The brokerage expects Ajanta Pharma to deliver a 16% profit CAGR over FY22-24.

  1. Bharat Petroleum Corporation(BPCL): HDFC Securities upgrades its rating to ‘Buy’ for this oil marketing company with a target price of Rs 420. This indicates an upside of 16.6%. The brokerage upgraded the call as “the stock has corrected 30% from its peak over the last six months, owing to pressure on auto-fuel marketing margins and an increase in LPG under-recoveries,” say analysts Katkar, Ghuge, Chokshi and Akshay Mane. A combination of a sharp surge in crude oil price and pausing of revision in retail auto fuel and LPG prices resulted in the contraction of auto fuel marketing margins and an increase in LPG under-recoveries for the OMCs. Additionally, the government announced an LPG subsidy of only Rs 4,000 crore in the recent budget which the brokerage expects to be revised. The brokerage is positive on the stock on improvement in refining margins and resumption of daily auto fuel price changes. Retail prices may be raised given the increased crude oil prices, which will further lighten the LPG recovery burden.

  2. Reliance Industries (RIL): Prabhudas Lilladher reiterates its ‘Buy’ call on this oil and gas to retail conglomerate and raises its target price to Rs 3,045, indicating an upside of 17.3%. “Low product inventory and strong demand have pushed oil product spreads, which will benefit complex refiners like RIL,” says analyst Avishek Datta. Additionally, domestic gas prices are set for a sharp upward move in the backdrop of a multi-fold increase in international prices. Spot LNG prices are also on an upswing led by higher demand in Europe. Amid geopolitical tensions, gas prices are likely to remain at elevated levels. Datta adds, “We expect RIL’s telecom and retail segment performance to remain strong on the back of flow through of tariff hikes and opening of stores.” The brokerage remains positive on the company as it exhibits strengths across its business verticals. 

  3. Can Fin Homes: CD Equisearch maintains a ‘Buy’ on this housing finance company and increases its target price to Rs 754 from Rs 665, indicating an upside of 25.4%. The loan book of the company saw robust growth of 19.5% YoY in Q3FY22 to Rs 25,091 crore. In terms of asset quality, Gross NPA and Net NPA ratios stood at 0.71% and 0.39%, respectively, showing sequential improvement over Q2FY22 ratios of 0.78% and 0.47% respectively. The brokerage states, “Established focus on catering to affordable segments and small ticket size in its stronghold southern market, has enabled the company to penetrate deeper in tier-2 and tier-3 cities.” Accordingly, the brokerage expects the company’s loan book to grow by 20% in the current fiscal year. The brokerage adds, “With a capital adequacy ratio of 24.2% Can Fin’s balance sheet remains well capitalized to support this growth.” CD Equisearch believes penetration in remote areas of the country would act as a catalyst for business growth.

  4. G R Infraprojects (GRIL): Axis Securities initiates coverage on this EPC infrastructure company with a ‘Buy’ rating and a target price of Rs 1,775, indicating an upside of 22.9%. As the construction sector is witnessing long-term structural changes on account of the government’s push towards infrastructure development, many opportunities are emerging in the construction space such as the development of airports, metros, and railways, among others. The brokerage believes that the company is well placed to capitalize on opportunities due to its diversified order book, healthy bidding pipeline, established track record, and healthy financial position. As of December 2021, the company’s order book stood at Rs 14,599 crore (2x of FY21 revenue), comprising road projects as well as metro projects. “GRIL is one of the leading EPC (engineering, procurement, and construction) contractors in India having a demonstrated project execution experience of more than two decades,” say analysts at Axis Direct. Furthermore, the brokerage expects the company’s healthy capital structure will enable it to efficiently capture emerging opportunities moving forward.

Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.