My Newsfeed

logo
The Baseline
21 Feb 2025
Five Interesting Stocks Today - February 21, 2025
By Trendlyne Analysis

1. Narayana Hrudayalaya:

Thishealthcare facilities company surged 3.1% on February 18 following the announcement of itsQ3FY25 results. During the quarter, the company’s revenue rose 13.6% YoY to Rs 1,366.7 crore. Its net profit grew 2.6% YoY to Rs 192.9 crore, beating theForecaster estimates by 6.6%. 

The growth was driven by better realizations, with an Average Revenue Per Occupied Bed (ARPOB)growth of 9% YoY, and increased domestic patient footfalls. However, international patient volumes declined by 51% YoY and 48% QoQ, primarilydue to a drop in patients from Bangladesh amid geopolitical issues.

In Q3FY25, revenue from the Cayman Islandsrose 14% YoY, accounting for 21% of total sales. Growth was driven by strong outpatient demand at the new Camana Bay hospital. Inpatient department operations began in January 2025, with full operationalization expected by Q4FY25.

Sandhya J, Group Chief Financial Officer of the companysaid, “We are entering a capex growth phase right now, and are going to add at least 1,400 beds in the next 3 to 4 years.” The company plans toexpand further, adding about 2,000 beds over six years.

To support this expansion, the company has allocated acapex of Rs 1,650 crore in FY25, Rs 1,000 crore in FY26, and Rs 850 crore in FY27. Key projects driving this expansion include new hospitals in Bangalore and Kolkata, a 300-bed expansion in Raipur, and a 220-bed facility in Central Bangalore. Additionally, the company isexploring expansion opportunities in existing locations and aims for returns of over 15%. 

Post results, Prabhudas Lilladhermaintained its ‘Buy’ rating on the company, citing its aggressive expansion plans and strong financial performance, including a 10% YoY increase in EBITDA and 9% YoY ARPOB growth in India. The brokerage also highlights operational efficiencies, improved margins in new India units, and the anticipated ramp-up of the Cayman unit as key factors supporting its recommendation, with a target price of Rs 1,560.

2. Muthoot Finance:

This gold loan NBFC surged by 6.2% on February 13 following the announcement of its Q3FY25 results. Muthoot Finance’s net profit increased 25.9% YoY to Rs 1,389.2 crore, beating Trendlyne’s Forecaster estimates by 4.4%. Revenue grew 35.9% YoY to Rs 5,189.7 crore during the quarter. 

During the quarter, the company reported its highest-ever AUM growth of 34% YoY at Rs 1.1 lakh crore. The gold loan segment witnessed remarkable growth of 34% YoY, compared to Q2FY25 (up 28% YoY), driven by higher gold prices and new customer additions. Commenting on this, George Alexander Muthoot, the Managing Director, said, “There is strong demand for gold loans as credit from other sources, including fintech, unsecured, and microfinance lending, has dried up in recent months". 

Muthoot Finance witnessed a drop in its microfinance (MFI) lending in Q3. The company’s disbursals were down 47% YoY as it remained cautious, given sector challenges. The MFI sector has been facing pressures due to rising bad loans and slower growth. Muthoot’s GNPA (gross non-performing asset) in the microfinance business rose to 2.9% from 1.9% in Q3FY24. However, conditions are expected to improve over the next few quarters as the company moves its focus to improving its collection efficiency as well as the quality of its loan book.

Going forward, the management maintains its guidance for gold loan growth at 25% YoY in FY25. For FY26, Muthoot Finance projects a 15% growth and expects to surpass the target. 

Following the company’s earnings announcement, Nuvama upgraded its rating to ‘Buy’ from ‘Reduce’ and raised the target price to Rs 2,550. The brokerage believes the company is well-positioned for sustained growth. It remains bullish due to Muthoot Finance’s consistent performance, supported by rising gold prices. Trendlyne classifies it as a Turnaround Potential stock.

3. ITC:

This cigarettes & tobacco products company touched a 52-week low of Rs 396.2 on 20th February. The decline in its stock price came after reports suggested that the government may increase the GST on tobacco products once the compensation cess is removed. Currently, cigarettes and other tobacco products are subject to a 28% GST, along with cess and other levies, bringing the total indirect tax to 53%.

The government aims to maintain its tax revenue from tobacco products after the compensation cess ends on March 31, 2026, and is not inclined to replace it with another cess. The GST Council's Group of Ministers (GoM) had previously suggested linking the cess to a product’s maximum retail price instead of its sales value. This proposal was later referred back to the fitment committee and the GoM on rate rationalization.

On February 8, ITC announced its plan to enter the frozen foods and ready-to-cook business by acquiring a 43.8% stake in both ‘Prasuma’ & ‘Meatigo’ for around Rs 300 crore, reportedly. The deal is expected to be completed in over three years. ITC plans to increase its stake to 62.5% in ‘Prasuma’ by April 2027, with the remaining stake to be potentially acquired by June 2028. Hemant Malik, Wholetime Director of ITC, stated, “The deal will enable ITC to develop a portfolio in the frozen, chilled, and ready-to-cook (RTC) segment of the Rs 10,000 crore market, which holds significant growth potential.”

The Company announced its Q3FY25 results on February 6th. During the quarter, its net profit declined by 7.5% YoY to Rs 4,934.8 crore due to muted demand in FMCG and hikes in prices of key input materials like edible oil, leaf tobacco and wood. Revenue was up by 8.6% YoY. The company’s revenue beat forecaster estimates by 6.9%, due to growth in the cigarettes and agri segment revenue. It appears on a screener for stocks with high FII stock holdings.

KR Choksey has maintained a ‘Buy’ rating on ITC but lowered its FY26 and FY27 EPS estimates by 6.1% and 7.5%, respectively, due to the hotel business demerger, weak Q3FY25 performance, soft demand, and inflationary pressures. Despite this, the brokerage remains optimistic about ITC’s long-term prospects, thanks to its strong cigarette market share, solid FMCG execution, and rural demand recovery. Following the demerger, the brokerage has adjusted its valuation to 40% of market capitalization with a 20% holding discount, lowering its target price to Rs 494.

4. ABB India:

This heavy electrical equipment company has fallen by 2.8% over the past week, despite surpassing the Forecaster estimates for revenue and net profit in its Q4CY24 results. The company's order inflow (OI) declined 14% YoY to Rs 2,700 crore, primarily due to a 30% drop in the motion (motors and drives) segment. This segment benefited from a large data centre order in Q4CY23. However, base orders (with completion timelines of 3-12 months) rose 4%, while the order book stood at Rs 9,400 crore.

CFO T. Sridhar said, "The market is easing out, which can lead to lower pricing power on new orders.” Sridhar flagged profit margin pressures, “We expect profit margins to settle in the 12-15% range (15.4% in CY24)," he said. 

Sridhar noted that while order growth was strong earlier, sustaining the same pace may be difficult since the company already has a large number of existing orders. However, he expects private capex to rise after the 2025 budget, with growth driven by sectors like power generation, automotive, food & beverages and data centres.

ABB India’s EBITDA margin improved to 19.5% (up 440 bps) due to high-margin orders and better capacity utilization. The company appears in a screener of stocks with growing costs YoY from long-term projects.

ABB’s MD, Sanjeev Sharma, discussed the impact of US tariffs, stating that they could open opportunities for India to expand its role in global trade. While the company has grown its export portfolio, it still accounts for only 10% of its business. The company anticipates exports to contribute positively to India, despite global market fluctuations.

Post results, ICICI Securities upgraded its rating on ABB India to ‘Hold’ with a target price of Rs 5,302. The brokerage believes the company will benefit from the Centre's capex push in renewables, infrastructure, EVs, and manufacturing. Additionally, its strong distribution network enhances its ability to secure industry orders.

5. Cipla:

This pharmaceuticals company has risen 2.1% in the past month in a weak market owing to strong Q3FY25 results, where revenue and net profit grew by 7.5% YoY to Rs 7,294.6 crore and 48.7% YoY to 1,570.5 crore. 

On Wednesday, the company invested ZAR 900 million (~Rs 424.9 crore) in its subsidiary, Cipla Medpro South Africa Proprietary, for 4.1 crore shares. The company has a strong presence in South Africa and intends to expand its footprint. 

The drug maker also received final approval from the US FDA for a new drug application (NDA) for Nilotinib Capsules and a Form 483 with two observations from the US FDA following a good manufacturing practices (GMP) inspection at its analytical testing facility in Navi Mumbai. 

The company’s Q3 revenue and net profit beat Forecaster estimates by 1.9% and 30.4%, respectively. Revenue improved due to increased sales in the Indian, South African, and rest of the world (RoW) markets. However, the US market witnessed a downturn due to Lanreotide supply issues due to temporary lower production at a partner facility. 

The company’s Indian business grew due to improvements in branded prescriptions, chronic, and trade generics. Meanwhile, reducing inventory and finance costs, combined with launching high-margin products, helped its net profit grow. 

Speaking on its results, Cipla’s MD and CEO, Umang Vohra, said, “Our Emerging Markets & Europe (EMEU) and One Africa businesses together account for more than 25% of total revenue, similar in size to our US business. In 9MFY25, these markets combined have delivered a strong growth of 15% YoY. Our diversification and backlog of our launch pipeline gives us confidence in a resilient business model.”

Post results, Axis Direct retains its ‘Buy’ call on Cipla. It has a target price of Rs 1,700 per share, indicating a potential upside of 15.2%. The brokerage believes that the company’s India business will continue to grow, driven by diversification and a strong launch pipeline. However, it expects the US business to remain sluggish due to the continued supply issues of Lanreotide. Axis Direct expects the firm’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 8.3% over FY25-26.

Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movements, analyst calls, or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
21 Feb 2025
Market closes lower, Can Fin Homes awards a Rs 297 crore contract to IBM India for cybersecurity
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 22,795.90 (-117.3, -0.5%), BSE Sensex closed at 75,311.06 (-424.9, -0.6%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 20,690.25 (-140.9, -0.7%). Market breadth is in the red. Of the 2,424 stocks traded today, 945 were on the uptick, and 1,447 were down.

Indian indices closed in the red, with the benchmark Nifty 50 index closing at 22,795.9 points. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, declined 0.8% and closed at 14.6 points. Tata Steel acquired an additional 191.1 crore shares in its Singapore subsidiary, T Steel Holdings, for $300 million (~ Rs 2,603.2 crore).

Nifty Smallcap 100 closed flat, while Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the red. BSE Metal was the top index gainer today. According to Trendlyne’s Sector dashboard, Forest Materials emerged as the best-performing sector of the day, with a rise of 2.3%.

Asian indices closed mixed, while European indices are trading higher. US index futures traded in the green, indicating a positive start to the trading session. Brent crude oil futures are trading in the red. Walmart's disappointing Q4 earnings sent shockwaves through other retailers, with Target Corporation and Costco also trading lower. However, Truist Securities viewed the pullback in Walmart as a chance for investors to "aggressively" buy the stock, citing gains in market share and improved margins.

  • Money flow index (MFI) indicates that GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals is in the overbought zone.

  • Pfizer signs a five-year marketing and supply agreement with Mylan Pharmaceuticals to expand the distribution of Ativan and Pacitane in India. Mylan will handle sales of these drugs, which are used for anxiety disorders and neurological conditions.

  • Cipla receives a Form 483 with two observations from the US FDA following a good manufacturing practices (GMP) inspection at its wholly owned subsidiary, Sitec Labs' analytical testing facility in Navi Mumbai.

  • NTPC Green Energy signs a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Bharat Light and Power (BLP) to explore the off-take of green hydrogen and its derivatives from NTPC Green.

  • The FTSE India March 2025 semi-annual review announcement is scheduled today, with adjustments set for March 21. IIFL Capital expects 10 potential inclusions in the FTSE, including 360 One Wam, Blue Star, Fortis Healthcare, Apar Industries, and Bajaj Housing. The brokerage forecasts that Fortis Healthcare could see inflows exceeding $60 million (Rs 495 crore).

  • Vedanta secures approval from its creditors and shareholders to demerge into five entities. The demerger will create Vedanta, Vedanta Aluminium Metal, Talwandi Sabo Power, Malco Energy, and Vedanta Iron and Steel as separate companies.

  • Can Fin Homes awards a Rs 297 crore contract to IBM India to upgrade and manage its core business systems. The company will handle loan processing, document management, accounting, and risk management. It will also provide cybersecurity solutions, including threat monitoring and access control.

  • Maharashtra Scooters' board of directors approves the closure of its manufacturing plant in Satara. The board also approves the sale of its land lease rights, machinery and spares for a total consideration of Rs 145.8 crore.

  • Morgan Stanley initiates coverage with an ‘Overweight’ rating on JSW Energy and a target price of Rs 545. The brokerage's positive outlook is based on the company's market share growth, achieved through competitive pricing, and its strong growth potential in the renewable energy sector. The brokerage projects an EBITDA CAGR of 24% for JSW Energy from FY24 to FY28.

  • Easy Trip Planners signs a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with the Korea Tourism Organisation (KTO) to promote Korea to Indian tourists. The company will launch a microsite with travel plans, key attractions, and essential information. It will also run digital campaigns with blogs, videos, and social media promotions on Korea’s culture, cities, and landscapes.

  • ITI surges to its 5% upper circuit as it receives a revised order from the Administrative Mechanism for Resolution of Commercial Disputes (AMRCD) to transfer 22.3 acres of land in Electronic City, Bangalore, to the Centre for Development of Telematics (C-DoT) through a sale deed for Rs 200 crore.

  • Global Health receives approval from the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) to merge Medanta Holdings with itself.

  • Sanjay Sethi, MD and CEO of Chalet Hotels, announces the acquisition of Mahananda Spa & Resorts for an all-cash deal of Rs 530 crore. He expects this hotel's occupancy to rise to 60%, up from the previous 45%. Sethi highlights that the company's debt will increase to Rs 2,100 crore following this acquisition.

  • Senores Pharmaceuticals is rising as its subsidiary, Senores Pharmaceuticals USA, signs an agreement to acquire the US FDA-approved Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) for Roflumilast tablets from Towa International's subsidiary, Breckenridge Pharmaceutical. The drug treats severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) with chronic bronchitis. Its US market size is estimated at $46 million for the year ending September 2024, according to IQVIA.

  • Tata Steel is rising as it acquires an additional 191.1 crore shares in its Singapore subsidiary, T Steel Holdings, for $300 million (~ Rs 2,603.2 crore).

  • HG Infra Engineering sells its entire 100% stake in Rewari Bypass to Highways Infrastructure Trust for Rs 133 crore.

  • MTAR Technologies declines over 2% as its promoter, K Shalini, acquires 1.1 lakh equity shares of the company through an open market transaction, bringing her total stake to 1.3% from 0.3% earlier. Meanwhile, Graviton Research Capital LLP sells approx 2 lakh shares worth Rs 28.7 crore through a bulk deal.

  • Jyoti Structures plans to restart its second manufacturing unit in Nasik by the end of FY25, adding 33,000 metric tonnes (MT) to its existing capacity. The company also plans to add a new galvanising plant and three new CNC fabrication machines in addition to refurnishing the seven CNC machines already at the plant.

  • JTL Industries is rising as it receives approval from the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) to commence operations at the RCI Industries & Technologies plant. The company will produce up to 200 metric tonnes of copper and brass alloys monthly through job work.

  • Ceigall India rises sharply as it achieves financial closure worth Rs 2,498.5 crore to implement two projects to construct 4/6 lane highways in Ayodhya.

  • Jefferies sees the healthcare sector as a strong investment opportunity due to its robust earnings visibility in an uncertain market. The brokerage highlights growing positive sentiment around hospital stocks, driven by aggressive capacity expansion as companies capitalise on India's underdeveloped healthcare market. It favours hospitals with substantial brownfield bed expansion plans, naming Max Healthcare its top pick.

  • Narayana Hrudayalaya rises to its 52-week high of Rs 1,430 per share as it plans an investment of Rs 900 crore to set up a 1,100-bed hospital in Kolkata.

  • Grindwell Norton is rising as its board appoints Venugopal Shanbhag as the new Managing Director (MD), succeeding B Santhanam, effective April 1.

  • CIE Automotive is falling as its Q3FY25 revenue falls 5.8% YoY to Rs 2,109.9 crore due to a reduction in exports to Europe. However, net profit grows 9.5% YoY to Rs 185 crore, helped by lower raw materials, employee benefits, finance, and tax expenses. It shows up in a screener of stocks with high market cap but lower public shareholding.

  • Action Construction Equipment secures an order worth Rs 420 crore from the Ministry of Defence (MoD) to supply 1,121 rough terrain fork lift trucks (RTFLTs) with attachments and accompanying accessories.

  • Nifty 50 was trading at 22,906.60 (-6.6, 0.0%), BSE Sensex was trading at 75,612.61 (-123.4, -0.2%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 20,887.45 (56.4, 0.3%)

  • Market breadth is highly positive. Of the 1,962 stocks traded today, 1,599 were on the uptick, and 334 were down.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include JSW Infrastructure Ltd. (259.30, 8.8%), JSW Energy Ltd. (496.60, 6.0%) and L&T Technology Services Ltd. (5,123.10, 4.2%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. (2,669.35, -6.0%), Godrej Properties Ltd. (1,991.35, -4.1%) and Biocon Ltd. (322.50, -4.0%).

Volume Shockers

14 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Godrej Industries Ltd. (1,131.50, 11.8%), JSW Infrastructure Ltd. (259.30, 8.8%) and JSW Energy Ltd. (496.60, 6.0%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Divi's Laboratories Ltd. (5,757.05, -3.7%), Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services Ltd. (270.45, -3.6%) and CIE Automotive India Ltd. (420.85, -2.4%).

Century Plyboards (India) Ltd. (771.45, 3.2%) was trading at 22.7 times of weekly average. Sundram Fasteners Ltd. (970, -1.4%) and NMDC Steel Ltd. (38.92, 4.4%) were trading with volumes 12.3 and 4.6 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

3 stocks overperformed with 52 week highs, while 12 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Redington Ltd. (251.51, 0.8%), UPL Ltd. (646.35, -0.1%) and Narayana Hrudayalaya Ltd. (1,396.80, -0.6%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Cera Sanitaryware Ltd. (5,826.60, -2%) and Grindwell Norton Ltd. (1,504.25, -1.5%).

17 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Godrej Industries Ltd. (1,131.50, 11.8%) and Affle (India) Ltd. (1,546, 4.4%). 7 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Asahi India Glass Ltd. (673.30, -5.7%) and Piramal Pharma Ltd. (209.05, -4.3%).

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
20 Feb 2025
Market closes flat, M&M partners with Anduril to develop AI-driven defence systems
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 22,913.15 (-19.8, -0.1%) , BSE Sensex closed at 75,735.96 (-203.2, -0.3%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 20,831.10 (99.7, 0.5%). Market breadth is ticking up strongly. Of the 2,411 stocks traded today, 1,722 were on the uptick, and 659 were down.

Nifty 50 closed flat after switching between gains and losses throughout the day. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, fell 4.8% and closed at 14.6 points. Patanjali Foods surged 1.9% as the Supreme Court nullified a Rs 186 crore tax demand. The ruling upheld earlier decisions by the National Company Law Tribunal and Bombay High Court dismissing the Income Tax Department’s claim.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed higher. Nifty CPSE and BSE Power Indices were among the top index gainers today. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, Telecommunications Equipment emerged as the top-performing sector of the day, with a rise of 3.6%.

Asian indices closed flat or lower, except for Sri Lanka’s CSE All-Share, which closed higher. European indices are trading higher, except for UK’s FTSE 100 and Netherlands’ AEX, which are trading lower. US index futures are trading lower as investors await Walmart’s earnings and assess the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes, which highlight concerns that Trump’s policies could fuel inflation. Brent crude oil futures are trading flat.

  • BSE sees a long buildup in its February 27 futures series, with open interest increasing by 14.1% and a put-call ratio of 0.5.

  • BNP Geojit Paribas upgrades Godrej Properties to 'Hold' from 'Sell' with a lower target price of Rs 2,153 per share. This indicates a potential upside of 3.65. The brokerage remains cautious due to high valuations but expects its revenue to grow as it is well-positioned to capitalise on the strong demand in the premium and luxury segments. It expects the firm's revenue to grow at a CAGR of 37.3% over FY25-27.

  • Tata Power is rising as it partners with Amazon Web Services to use cloud computing, artificial intelligence, and the Internet of Things to accelerate the country’s transition to a greener, smarter, and more consumer-centric energy ecosystem.

  • Adani Group announces a new phase of substantial capital expenditure (capex) growth, with plans to invest over $100 billion (Rs 8 lakh crore) in the next decade. The management highlights that investments will primarily be backed by expanding cash flows, showcasing its improved financial strength and operational resilience, unlike the previous capex cycle that depended heavily on debt.

  • Mahindra & Mahindra rises as it partners with US-based Anduril Industries to develop autonomous maritime systems (AMS) and AI-enabled counter-unmanned aerial systems (CUAS). The collaboration will focus on modular autonomous underwater vehicles and advanced drone threat detection technologies.

  • Intellect Design Arena is rising as its subsidiary bags a multi-year order worth Rs 200 crore from London’s premier market insurance and reinsurance brokerage firm to streamline its insurance policy placement process. The brokerage will utilise Intellect's underwriting ecosystem, including Magic Submission and Xponent solutions built on IntellectAI’s Purple Fabric platform.

  • Larsen & Toubro's minerals & metals (M&M) business vertical secures an order worth Rs 2,500-5,000 crore from Hindalco to set up an 850 KTPA (kilo tonne per annum) greenfield alumina refinery plant in Odisha.

  • Vedanta receives approval from its equity shareholders and creditors for its demerger into five different entities: Vedanta Aluminum, Vedanta Oil & Gas, Vedanta Power, Vedanta Steel & Ferrous Materials, and the existing Vedanta. The demerger, which has obtained no-objection certificates from the BSE and NSE, was initially planned as a six-way split but was revised to five.

  • RateGain Travel Technologies rises sharply as it partners with Thailand’s budget airline Nok Air to enhance pricing strategies using its AI-powered platform, AirGain. The platform analyzes data from 300+ airlines and 50+ online travel agencies (OTAs) to optimize fares and promotions.

  • Orchid Pharma receives Form 483 with seven observations from the US FDA following a surprise inspection at its active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) manufacturing facility in Tamil Nadu.

  • Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers secures a Rs 123.1 crore order from the Ministry of External Affairs, Government of India, for the normal refit of the Mauritius Coast Guard Ship, CGS Barracuda. The warship, built and delivered by GRSE in 2014, is now undergoing refurbishment under this contract.

  • Jefferies suggests that the reciprocal US trade tariffs proposed by US President Donald Trump are unlikely to impact the rupee negatively. However, the brokerage believes these tariffs could impact exports like petrochemicals and pharmaceuticals, which account for about one-fifth of India's exports to the US.

  • Sharekhan retains its 'Buy' call on Marico with a target price of Rs 780 per share. This indicates a potential upside of 21.6%. The brokerage believes that portfolio diversification in the premium foods and personal care products segments will support revenue growth in the long term. It expects the company's revenue to grow at a CAGR of 11.9% over FY25-27.

  • Patanjali Foods announces that the Supreme Court has nullified a Rs 186 crore tax demand related to the pre-corporate insolvency resolution process (CIRP) period. The ruling upholds earlier decisions by the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) and Bombay High Court dismissing the Income Tax Department’s claim.

  • India Glycols is rising as it bags an order worth Rs 1,264.2 crore to supply 18.2 crore litres of ethanol to a consortium of Bharat Petroleum Corp, Indian Oil Corp, Hindustan Petroleum Corp, Reliance Industries and Nayara Energy.

  • Cigarette stocks like ITC, VST Industries, and Godfrey Phillips decline around 4% following reports of a potential GST hike on tobacco products by the Centre after the removal of the compensation cess. Currently, cigarettes and other tobacco products are subject to a 28% GST, along with cess and other levies, bringing the total indirect tax to 53%.

  • JBM Auto's subsidiary, JBM Ecolife Mobility, secures a Rs 5,500 crore order under the PM eBus Sewa Scheme-II. The project involves procuring, operating, and maintaining 1,021 electric buses, along with developing electric and civil infrastructure under the gross cost contracting (GCC) model.

  • HFCL is rising as it signs an agreement with Bharat Sanchar Nigam for the BharatNet Phase-III program in the Punjab Telecom Circle. This follows an advance work order worth about Rs 2,501.3 crore. As the project implementation agency, HFCL will lead the project’s execution in Punjab.

  • Servotech Renewable Power System rises as it signs an agreement with France-based Watt & Well SAS to design, manufacture, and sell EV charger components. The agreement will initially develop a 30 kW power module for the Indian EV charging market.

  • Passenger vehicle (PV) manufacturers like Maruti Suzuki India, Hyundai Motor India, Kia India, Tata Motors, and Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) project single-digit growth for the market in the next financial year (FY26). The car makers attribute this to high repo rates, rupee depreciation, and changing consumer preferences.

  • Rites surges as it signs a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with the Central Water and Power Research Station (CWPRS) under the Ministry of Jal Shakti. The partnership focuses on enhancing engineering consultancy, research, and development in water resources, marine, and inland waterways infrastructure.

  • Waaree Energies is rising as it bags an order from Engie India's arm, Khaba Renewable Energy, to supply solar photovoltaic (PV) modules with a total capacity of 362.5 megawatt-peak (MWp).

  • Cyient is rising as its board appoints Sukamal Banerjee as the new Chief Executive Officer (CEO) and Executive Director for five years, effective February 19.

  • Bharat Forge is rising as its subsidiary, Kalyani Strategic Systems (KSSL), signs a letter of intent (LoI) with US-based AM General to supply Indian-made advanced artillery cannons in the US.

  • Nifty 50 was trading at 22,857.10 (-75.8, -0.3%), BSE Sensex was trading at 75,603.25 (-335.9, -0.4%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 20,660.55 (-70.9, -0.3%).

  • Market breadth is in the red. Of the 1,967 stocks traded today, 894 showed gains, and 1,033 showed losses.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include APL Apollo Tubes Ltd. (1,476.60, 7.0%), NHPC Ltd. (79.80, 6.9%) and Bajaj Holdings & Investment Ltd. (12,454.30, 6.2%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include FSN E-Commerce Ventures Ltd. (165.58, -3.0%), HDFC Bank Ltd. (1,687.10, -2.3%) and Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. (12,440.65, -1.9%).

Volume Rockets

20 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Godrej Industries Ltd. (1,011.75, 17.5%), Rajesh Exports Ltd. (185.88, 12.9%) and Piramal Pharma Ltd. (218.51, 9.0%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were JBM Auto Ltd. (609.70, -5.9%), Cyient Ltd. (1,452.55, -1.6%) and Pfizer Ltd. (4,110.05, -0.5%).

Linde India Ltd. (6,173.30, 5.4%) was trading at 12.1 times of weekly average. Amara Raja Energy & Mobility Ltd. (1,045.60, 7.7%) and Just Dial Ltd. (894.50, 6.6%) were trading with volumes 10.9 and 9.7 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

3 stocks hit their 52 week highs, while 7 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Shree Cements Ltd. (28,600, -0.2%), UPL Ltd. (647.25, -0.4%) and Narayana Hrudayalaya Ltd. (1,404.55, 2.2%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Cera Sanitaryware Ltd. (5,945.60, -0.7%) and Grindwell Norton Ltd. (1,540, 0.7%).

15 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Godrej Industries Ltd. (1,011.75, 17.5%) and Piramal Pharma Ltd. (218.51, 9.0%). 6 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including HCL Technologies Ltd. (1,687.55, -1.5%) and Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Ltd. (2,154.30, -1.2%).

logo
The Baseline
20 Feb 2025
By Abdullah Shah

With US President Donald Trump imposing retaliatory import tariffs and threatening even more (“It’ll be 25% and higher, and it’ll go very substantially higher over a course of a year”)the world is facing a trade war. Global markets have turned volatile and India’s Nifty 50 index has fallen 1.2% over the past month. 

The ordeal started with President Trump issuing three executive orders on February 1 to impose import tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico. The US levied a 10% import tariff on all Chinese goods and a 25% duty on imports from Mexico and Canada, effective February 4. However, President Trump delayed the duties on Mexico and Canada for 30 days after reaching deals with them. Trump followed this by imposing another 25% import duty on all steel and aluminium imports, including Canada and Mexico, effective March 12. The duty will also include finished metal products. 

President Trump has indicated further retaliatory tariffs of 25% on imports of automobiles, expected to be rolled out in April 2025 after saying that the EU and India have  unfair taxes on US automobile exports. Trump is also planning  additional 25% import duty on the pharmaceuticals and semiconductor sectors to promote domestic factories in the US. 

With reciprocal tariffs dominating headlines, we look at the countries with the highest tariffs on imports from the US in this chart of the week.

The European Union and India give contrasting responses to the tariffs

In the Union Budget FY26 meeting, India reduced its average import tariff to 10.7% from 11.7% in response to the US's threat of tariffs on pharmaceutical and automotive products. India has reduced customs duties on bourbon whiskey by 50 percentage points to 100% and levies on high-end motorcycles by 20 percentage points to 30%. 

A report by Nomura suggests that even with increased US tariffs from 15-20%, the decline in Indian exports to the US would be approximately 3% to 3.5%. The relatively minor fall is attributed to India's efforts to diversify its export markets, enhance value addition, and develop alternative trade routes. S&P Global Ratings also believes India's economy is more oriented towards domestic products and less reliant on exports, further lowering the effects of tariffs.

The 25% tariffs by the US on steel and aluminium imports will also apply to the European Union (EU) despite the EU signing a free trade agreement with the Biden administration. This is despite European countries like Germany, Ireland, Italy, and France having low import tariffs on US goods due to the US importing a large number of goods from the region. Ireland has an average tariff of 6.5%, while Italy, Germany and France have an import tariff of 2% each. 

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said that the EU will take proportionate countermeasures to protect its interests. EU Trade Commissioner Maroš Šefcovic emphasised the potential for these tariffs to fuel inflation and disrupt global trade. The EU is considering various retaliatory measures, including tariffs on iconic American products and potential legal challenges through the World Trade Organization (WTO).

These steel and aluminium tariffs, revoking previous agreements that had allowed tariff-free quotas for UK steel exports, also impact the country’s steel industry. These free trade agreements helped the US with lower import tariffs of 3.8% for US goods in the UK. However, the US is the UK's second-largest steel export market, with approximately 2 lakh tonnes of steel, valued at over £400 million, exported annually. The reintroduction of these tariffs will promote domestic steel production in the US but poses a substantial threat to the UK's steel industry, potentially leading to decreased exports and financial losses. 

China and Canada respond to the US tariffs

After Trump announced the tariffs, Canada responded on February 3 with President Justin Trudeau imposing a 25% duty on imports of all US goods. This was followed by Mexico’s President Claudia Sheinbaum taking tariff and non-tariff measures in defense of Mexico’s interests. 

The moves prompted President Trump to hold talks with the two countries and delay the implementation of the tariffs on Mexico and Canada by 30 days. 

The tariffs will put pressure on consumer prices, contributing to inflation in the US. Federal Reserve officials have expressed concerns that these trade policies could disrupt supply chains and increase costs for businesses and consumers. 

Speaking on the tariffs on Mexico and Canada, the US National Association of Manufacturers President and CEO Jay Timmons said, “A 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico threatens to destroy the very supply chains that have made US manufacturing more competitive globally. Manufacturers will bear the brunt of these tariffs, undermining our ability to sell our products competitively and putting American jobs at risk.”

In response to the US levies, the Chinese Finance Ministry announced a 15% tariff on coal and liquefied natural gas and 10% on crude oil, farm equipment, large-displacement vehicles and pickup trucks from the US. While announcing the tariffs, the Finance Ministry stated, “The unilateral imposition of tariffs by the US seriously violates the rules of the World Trade Organization. It is not only unhelpful in solving its own problems but also damages economic and trade cooperation between China and the US.”

China has also applied export restrictions on critical minerals, such as tungsten, tellurium, ruthenium, molybdenum, and ruthenium-related items.

logo
The Baseline
20 Feb 2025
How pessimistic are Indian CEOs after a weak Q3? | Screener: Multibagger stocks that are beating the bears

When it comes to growth predictions, the biggest optimist in the mix is not the investor or the analyst, but the company management. The CEO rides or dies on the basis of how their company performs. So they can't help wearing rose-colored glasses.

But the Q3 results came out in a pretty bearish market, and have disappointed. Nearly half of the companies announced negative or neutral profit growth. Average revenue growth across the universe is in the low single digits. It's hard to be cheerful in the face of these numbers. 

We take a closer look at what the management focused on, in this results season's earnings calls. CEOs are battling weak domestic demand, rising trade barriers from a confrontational Trump White House, and a slowing global economy. A rising dollar - as Trump keeps talking up reciprocal tariffs - is not helping.  

In this week's Analyticks:

  • Mood Tracker: What are the risks and opportunities CEOs are talking about in earnings calls?
  • Screener: Multibagger stocks that are still beating the bear market

Let's take the temperature.


It's hot under the collar: CEOs discuss their biggest risks

The problem? CEOs talk a lot. The solution? Trendlyne's Discover, which allowed me to search for specific comments and phrases across all earnings calls. This tool saved me a lot of time this week. I didn't have to wade through every line of each earnings call, while my eyesight suffered, my family fell apart and my cat escaped. Instead, my cat is happily sunbathing (proof) while I bring you this data.

When we look at CEO commentary across earnings calls, management is pointing to a challenging economic environment.  

Nikhil Sohoni, CFO at Blue Star, noted that margins have been impacted across key segments, and "we expect the revival to happen only slowly, over the next year." Some industries like cement saw temporary regional weaknesses, like in South India, where prices were depressed since price revisions happen in December. But in most industries, the twin problems of low demand and rising costs are not expected to resolve by Q4. 

The twin monsters of Trump tariffs and inflation

The new US administration has  arrived with the intention to shake things up. President Trump is firing federal workers, letting Elon Musk comb through government databases, and threatening tariffs against major trade partners.

Joe Biden rarely got a mention from Indian CEOs. But Donald Trump looms large in the discussions, especially with major export players, from electronics to auto. 

For CEOs, a worry that comes from Trump tariffs is trouble closing deals. Trump has been making threats with long timelines, where tariffs get imposed in March or April this year. K Natarajan, MD of Galaxy Surfactants, noted that some deal talks have frozen in place as a result, with customers saying that they "want to wait and watch" to see what kind of tariffs get implemented.

The other challenge is in having to realign supply chains. CEOs note that while tariffs will be passed on to customers, companies will have to work to minimize their effects over time. "For the short term, Trump tariffs will have to be passed on to the market," Nikhil Kumar, MD of TD Power says. "In the longer term, we will have to see where we can manufacture where the duties will not apply." 

Other threats, like inflation and rising debt, were mainly raised by CEOs in response to questions from analysts. Many are counting on inflation and interest rates coming down over the next few quarters, making these less of a threat compared to a trade war.

CEO commentary suggests that most think that the worst is behind them. Analysts may discount such optimism, but the management is pointing to lower inflation, and indicators showing recovering manufacturing and services activity. Companies are also responding with new product and capacity investments.

Some industries are also benefiting from growing export markets, despite the broader headwinds. GE Vernova T&D has for instance, seen a rise in large deals from Europe in the energy and utilities sector, as energy transition investments in the EU ramp up.  

The biggest opportunities in specific industries are getting mentions from multiple CEOs. GLP - weight loss drugs - is one of the biggest, with a stream of generic drugs coming in from Indian pharma as patents start to expire in 2026 in Asia and Africa. The electric vehicles ecosystem has also been a strong deals pipeline for auto and auto component manufacturers, even as tariffs loom.

But while areas like defence spending still remain high and lucrative, opportunities like large infrastructure projects may be slowing down. "NHAI projects have become competitively very crowded", the MD of Afcons Infrastructure says, "So we are mainly looking into state level proposals now."

CEOs are hoping that the tax cuts from the Budget will boost domestic demand, and the new RBI leadership will drive interest rate cuts. But for management, uncertainty is the real growth killer. Tariffs now are better than the promise of tariffs later, since the second freezes companies and customers in place. Once the US administration finally drops the hammer, Indian CEOs can make their moves. 


Screener: Multibagger stocks which are rising in the past quarter

Beating the bears: Pharma, metals stocks are among the big gainers

The Indian equity markets have seen a massive sell-off of Rs 63,641.1 crore by foreign investors over the past month after threats of import tariffs from President Donald Trump, resulting in the Nifty 50 falling by 1.5%. In this volatile market, we look at multibagger stocks which have continued their share price growth. This screener shows multibagger stocks rising in the past quarter despite a negative sentiment in the market.

The screener is dominated by stocks from the pharmaceuticals & biotechnology, general industrials, banking & finance, food, beverages & tobacco, and consumer durables sectors. Most notable stocks in the screener are PG Electroplast, Shakti Pumps (India), Wockhardt, Godfrey Phillips India, BSE, Blue Jet Healthcare, Sarda Energy & Minerals, and Lloyds Metals & Energy

PG Electroplast features in the screener after rising 318.5% in the past year. This consumer electronics company has continued this trend in recent months, rising 24.5% in the past quarter after posting positive results in Q3FY25. Its revenue and net profit grew by 81.6% YoY to Rs 974.9 crore and 106.2% YoY to Rs 39.5 crore, respectively. 

Higher sales of air conditioners and washing machines contributed to revenue growth. The company’s stock price also surged after signing an agreement with Whirlpool of India on December 24, 2024. PG Electroplast will manufacture some of the stock-keeping units (SKUs) for semi-automatic watching machines for Whirlpool at its facility in Roorkee. 

Shakti Pumps has risen 189.5% in the last year. This industrial machinery company’s stock price increased by 11.3% in the past quarter, driven by strong Q3FY25 results. Its revenue grew by 31.3% YoY to Rs 652.7 crore on the back of an improvement in sales in the domestic market. On the other hand, net profit increased by 130.2% YoY to Rs 104.1 crore, owing to deferred tax returns during the quarter. 

The company’s stock price also got a boost after it entered a partnership with ReNew Photovoltaic on February 3 to supply a domestic content requirement (DCR) cell-based solar module worth Rs 1,300 crore. Its board of directors also approved raising Rs 400 crore by issuing equity shares through a qualified institutional placement (QIP) in January.

You can find some popular screeners here.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
19 Feb 2025
Market closes flat, Arkade Developers bags a redevelopment project with a GDV of Rs 740 crore
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 22,932.90 (-12.4, -0.1%), BSE Sensex closed at 75,939.18 (-28.2, 0.0%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 20,731.45 (120.1, 0.6%). Market breadth is overwhelmingly positive. Of the 2,422 stocks traded today, 1,838 were gainers and 562 were losers.

Indian indices closed flat after paring gains in the afternoon session. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, fell 1.6% and closed at 15.4 points. Rail Vikas Nigam closed 13.1% higher after securing an order worth Rs 554.5 crore from Rail Infrastructure Development Company (Karnataka) to build nine stations for the Bengaluru Suburban Rail Project.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green. BSE Capital Goods and BSE Consumer Durables were among the best-performing indices of the day. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, Telecommunications Equipment emerged as the highest-performing sector of the day, with a rise of 4.3%.

European indices are trading in the red. Major Asian indices closed mixed. US index futures are trading flat in anticipation of the rates being unchanged at the Fed meeting later today. HSBC Holdings, Analog Devices, Carvana, Manulife Financial Corp, and ENI SpA. are set to report their earnings later today.

  • Relative strength index (RSI) indicates that stocks like Carborundum Universal, Whirlpool of India, G R Infraprojects, and Atul are in the oversold zone.

  • Geojit BNP Paribas maintains its 'Buy' call on Bajaj Finance with a target price of Rs 9,521 per share. This indicates a potential upside of 12.9%. The brokerage expects the company's asset quality to remain stable and the Airtel partnership to drive customer growth. It expects the firm's net interest income (NII) to grow at a CAGR of 20.2% over FY25-27.

  • Netweb Technologies rises to its 10% upper limit as it launches Skylus.ai, a platform for managing graphics processing unit (GPU) resources across different vendors. It helps organizations optimize GPU and central processing unit (CPU) usage for artificial intelligence and generative AI workloads while reducing costs.

  • Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) partners with MassRobotics to drive robotics innovation in North America. TCS will collaborate with startups, researchers, and industry experts to explore applications across retail, travel, transportation, hospitality, and consumer goods.

  • According to NSE data, DIIs have invested Rs 1.2 lakh crore in equities since January, while FIIs sold shares worth Rs 1.1 lakh crore. Jefferies warns that the steady inflow of retail funds into India’s equity mutual funds may slow as market returns weaken, potentially impacting Asia’s fourth-largest equity market.

  • Lemon Tree Hotels surges as it signs a license agreement for a new hotel for its Red Fox by Lemon Tree Hotels property in Bhopal, Madhya Pradesh, set to open in FY27. Lemon Tree's wholly-owned subsidiary, Carnation Hotels, will manage the property.

  • Ashok Leyland secures a Rs 297.9 crore order to supply 320 BS VI diesel low-floor buses to Tamil Nadu State Transport Corp (TNSTC). The buses will feature iGen 6 BS VI technology, with deliveries scheduled between June and August 2025.

  • Anand Rathi maintains its 'Buy' call on MOIL with a target price of Rs 400 per share. This indicates a potential upside of 28.6%. The brokerage believes the company is well-positioned to capitalise on the country's steel growth owing to its strong market share, higher-quality ore, and strategic mine locations. It expects the firm's revenue to grow at a CAGR of 24.9% over FY25-27.

  • Nuvama Alternative & Quantitative Research expects Zomato and Jio Financial Services will enter the Nifty 50 in the March 2025 reshuffle, with estimated inflows of Rs 5,25,000 crore ($631 million) and Rs 2,65,000 crore ($320 million), respectively. The firm believes these stocks will replace BPCL and Britannia in the benchmark index.

  • Arkade Developers is rising as it secures the redevelopment rights for Nutan Ayojan, a co-operative housing society in Malad West, Mumbai, with an estimated gross development value (GDV) of Rs 740 crore.

  • Container Corporation of India rises as it awards a Rs 689.8 crore contract to Braithwaite & Co. to manufacture and supply 30 BLSS (spine car) rakes, with deliveries set for completion by August 11.

  • NAVA is rising as its board approves a Rs 360 crore buyback of 72 lakh equity shares at Rs 500 per share. It sets February 28 as the record date for the buyback.

  • A State Bank of India report highlights that India's economy has demonstrated resilience despite global uncertainties. SBI forecasts the GDP growth for Q3FY25 to range between 6.2-6.3%, supported by high-frequency indicators. A stable rural economy, steady wage growth, and robust agricultural performance drive the positive outlook.

  • Tata Steel is rising as it receives approval from the Neath Port Talbot Council to set up an electric arc furnace for steelmaking in Port Talbot. The company expects the facility to be operational by the end of 2027.

  • Larsen & Toubro rises as it acquires the remaining 26% stake in L&T Special Steels and Heavy Forgings from Nuclear Power Corp of India (NPCIL) for Rs 170 crore, making it a wholly-owned subsidiary.

  • Mahindra Lifespace Developers is rising as it partners with Livingstone Infra for a cluster redevelopment project in Mahalaxmi, Mumbai, with an estimated gross development value (GDV) of Rs 1,650 crore.

  • Defence stocks like DCX Systems, Zen Technologies, and Data Patterns (India) rise after Defence Secretary Rajesh Kumar Singh announced relaxations in the FDI (Foreign Direct Investment) policy and industrial licensing to boost sector growth. He also emphasizes the need for an annual expenditure of Rs 2,40,000 crore ($30 billion) over the next decade to modernise India's defence forces.

  • Aurobindo Pharma is falling sharply as it receives five observations from the US FDA following a pre-approval inspection (PAI) at Eugia Steriles in Andhra Pradesh.

  • Hexaware Technologies' shares debut on the bourses at a 5.3% premium to the issue price of Rs 708. The Rs 8,750 crore IPO received bids for 2.7 times the total shares on offer.

  • Ami Organics is rising as its board of directors schedules a meeting on February 21 to consider a proposal for the sub-division / split of equity shares.

  • Macquarie forecasts a 14% CAGR growth for the CRDMO (contract research, development, and manufacturing) sector, reaching approximately Rs 1,16,000 crore ($14 billion) by FY28. Additionally, it believes the US Biosecure Act will boost growth in the Indian CDMO sector into the late teens. The brokerage names Divi’s Labs and Suven Pharma as its top picks, citing strong margin expansion prospects. It initiates an 'Outperform' rating for both companies, setting target prices of Rs 4,700 and Rs 1,500, respectively.

  • Cipla invests ZAR 900 million (~Rs 424.9 crore) in its subsidiary, Cipla Medpro South Africa Proprietary, for 4.1 crore shares.

  • Transformers & Rectifiers (India) is rising as it secures an order worth Rs 166.5 crore from Hyosung T&D India to manufacture and supply single-phase coupling transformers and single-phase transformers for Tariff-Based Competitive Bidding (TBCB) projects.

  • Piramal Pharma is falling as it receives Form 483 with six observations from the US FDA after conducting a good manufacturing practices (GMP) inspection at its Turbhe facility.

  • Rail Vikas Nigam is rising as it secures an order worth Rs 554.5 crore from Rail Infrastructure Development Company (Karnataka) to build nine stations for the Bengaluru Suburban Rail Project. The work includes civil construction, foot overbridges, roofing, and electrical and mechanical installations.

  • Nifty 50 was trading at 22,859.25 (-86.1, -0.4%), BSE Sensex was trading at 75,640.68 (-326.7, -0.4%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 20,546.65 (-64.8, -0.3%)

  • Market breadth is in the green. Of the 1,941 stocks traded today, 1,122 showed gains, and 771 showed losses.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. (376.85, 13.1%), Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Ltd. (2,180.10, 11.1%) and Suzlon Energy Ltd. (54.16, 7.0%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Adani Green Energy Ltd. (864.70, -3.7%), LTIMindtree Ltd. (5,470.10, -3.5%) and Phoenix Mills Ltd. (1,554.30, -2.9%).

Movers and Shakers

15 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Bikaji Foods International Ltd. (656.15, 15.4%), Aegis Logistics Ltd. (761.30, 14.8%) and Tata Investment Corporation Ltd. (5,944.45, 13.6%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Zydus Lifesciences Ltd. (891.45, -2.5%) and Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. (1,135.20, -2.4%).

TTK Prestige Ltd. (693.65, 2.3%) was trading at 15.8 times of weekly average. Minda Corporation Ltd. (548.05, 9.3%) and Data Patterns (India) Ltd. (1,544.85, 8.5%) were trading with volumes 9.9 and 8.6 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

3 stocks overperformed with 52 week highs, while 36 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. (1,985, 1.1%), Shree Cements Ltd. (28,655.15, 1.0%) and UPL Ltd. (650.05, 3.1%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. (195.09, 4.6%) and Zydus Lifesciences Ltd. (891.45, -2.5%).

17 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Aegis Logistics Ltd. (761.30, 14.8%) and Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Ltd. (2,180.10, 11.1%). 6 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Crisil Ltd. (4,706.70, -3.4%) and Jubilant Pharmova Ltd. (968.45, -3.4%).

logo
The Baseline
18 Feb 2025
Five stocks to buy from analysts this week - February 18, 2025
By Divyansh Pokharna

1. United Breweries:

Anand Rathi maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this breweries & distilleries company with a target price of Rs 2,610, indicating a potential upside of 29%. Telangana recently announced a 15% price hike on beer, following a pause in supply from UB. The company had suspended supplies to Telangana Beverages Corp due to losses from unchanged base prices for two years. The state's price hike now enables the company to resume sales with better margins.

United Breweries holds a 70% market share in Telangana's beer market, contributing around 15% to its revenue. Analyst Ajay Thakur expects a 2% rise in revenue and a 200 bps improvement in margins due to this price hike.

United Breweries is focusing on cost-saving initiatives, some of which will incur upfront costs in FY25. Thakur highlights that these efforts are expected to result in annual fixed cost savings of 1.5–3%. Thakur projects a 380 bps expansion in EBITDA margin from these.

Thakur also expects a strong start to seasonal sales, as reports suggest a hot summer. He said, “Last year, multiple election phases negatively impacted the sales of beer and alcoholic beverages, but this won’t be the case this time, allowing for better capture of seasonal demand.” He has factored in an 11.5% revenue CAGR over FY25-27.

2. Fortis Healthcare:

Prabhudas Lilladhar maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on this healthcare facilities company with a target price of Rs 760, indicating an upside potential of 25.8%. The company’s Q3FY25 net profit rose 84.1% YoY to Rs 247.9 crore, aided by a Rs 23.5 crore exceptional gain from the sale of its Richmond Road facility in Bangalore in December 2024. Revenue increased 14.8% YoY to Rs 1,928.3 crore.

Analysts Param Desai and Sanketa Kohale highlight that the hospital business revenue grew 17% YoY to Rs 1,620 crore, supported by higher occupancy and an improved average revenue per occupied bed (ARPOB). Occupancy rose to 67% from 64% in Q3FY24, while ARPOB increased 10% YoY to Rs 67,100, driven by a favorable case mix and price revisions in February 2024.

The analysts note that the company plans to add 400 brownfield beds at Fortis Memorial Research Institute, Faridabad, and Noida by FY26. Of its 350 planned greenfield beds in Manesar, 50 are operational, with another 50 expected by March 2025. Management targets 350-400 brownfield bed additions annually for two years. Desai and Kohale expect a CAGR of 13.2% in sales, 19.7% in EBITDA, and 21.7% in net profit over FY25-27.

3. Eicher Motors:

Emkay maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on this motorcycle manufacturer with a target price of Rs 6,100. This indicates an upside potential of 29.3%. Eicher Motors’ Q3FY25 net profit grew 17.5% YoY to Rs 1,170.5 crore. Revenue increased 18.7% YoY to Rs 5,261.9 crore, helped by higher two-wheeler and commercial vehicle sales.

Analysts Chirag Jain, Jaimin Desai and others note the company achieved 17% volume growth in Q3FY25, outperforming the industry, thanks to new product launches like the Battalion Black Edition of the Classic 350 and Hunter 350. Royal Enfield’s domestic motorcycle market share increased to 8%, a 1.1% YoY rise. Eicher Motors also increased brand awareness with targeted marketing spends (~Rs 70 crore), which helped drive demand.

The analysts highlight that the company expects to reduce discounts and increase prices due to new emission rules (OBD2 Phase B), which require higher manufacturing costs. With strong government capex support, the company is on track to meet its FY25 capex target of Rs 1,000 crore. They expect a CAGR growth of 12.8% in revenue, 13.9% in net profit, and 8.9% in Royal Enfield volumes over FY25-27.

4. Va Tech Wabag:

Axis Direct maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on this non-electrical utilities firm with a target price of Rs 1,970. This indicates a potential upside of 51.7%. The company has secured new orders worth over Rs 2,781 crore in Q3FY25, taking its total order book to around Rs 14,200 crore. It also recently won a Rs 3,251 crore consortium order for the Al Haer Independent Sewage Treatment Plant in Saudi Arabia. Analysts Sani Vishe and Shivani More expect the company to surpass its Rs 16,000 crore order book target by the end of FY25.

The company reported a 15% YoY growth in revenue to Rs 811 crore in Q3. EBITDA margin stood at 12.4%. The company’s management noted that margins were lower during the quarter due to project-specific variations, but expects improvement in the medium term. EBITDA margins are projected to be in the 13-15% range, possibly exceeding the upper limit. They are confident of a stronger performance in Q4, as it is typically the best quarter of the year in terms of performance.

Vishe and More are upbeat about Va Tech's focus on expanding its share of higher-margin international, industrial, and operations and maintenance (O&M) contracts. They believe the company's strong order book, which provides revenue visibility for the next 3-4 years, particularly from international projects, will help it achieve its targeted margins.

5. EPL:

Motilal Oswal reiterates its ‘Buy’ rating on this packaging firm with a target price of Rs 300. This indicates a potential upside of 20.8%. In Q3FY25, the company’s revenue grew 4% YoY to Rs 1,010 crore. EBITDA margin increased by 107 bps to 19.9%, helped by better margins in the Americas and Europe. The company’s management expects these strong margins to continue, supported by demand in Brazil, which is prompting the company to accelerate its capacity expansion in the region.

Analysts Sumant Kumar, Meet Jain, and Nirvik Saini noted that potential tariffs do not impact the company’s US operations as it manufactures locally and sources laminates from India. If China faces trade restrictions, EPL could gain market share. Additionally, EPL is establishing a beauty & cosmetics manufacturing facility in Thailand to improve delivery speed and localization. The company is targeting a market of 150 crore units annually and plans to expand into Indonesia, Vietnam, and Malaysia.

The company’s Q3 financials were impacted by currency devaluation in Brazil and Egypt. However, the management expects forex fluctuations to balance out over time, and anticipates some reversal of forex losses in Q4.

Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.

(You can find all analyst picks here)

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
18 Feb 2025
Market closes flat, KIMS signs a 7-year agreement with UAIMS Hospital to provide medical services
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 22,945.30 (-14.2, -0.1%) , BSE Sensex closed at 75,967.39 (-29.5, 0.0%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 20,611.40 (-41.0, -0.2%). Market breadth is sharply down. Of the 2,410 stocks traded today, 489 showed gains, and 1,893 showed losses.

Indian indices closed flat, with the benchmark Nifty 50 index closing at 22,945.3 points. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, fell 0.4% and closed at 15.7 points. Bharti Airtel closed lower as its promoter, Indian Continent Investment, sold 5.1 crore shares (0.9% stake) worth Rs 8,475 crore through a block deal.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the red. Nifty Consumer Durables and Nifty Auto closed lower. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, Hardware Technology & Equipment emerged as the worst-performing sector of the day, with a fall of 4.4%.

European indices are trading mixed. Major Asian indices closed mixed. US index futures are trading higher, indicating a positive start to the trading session. Southwest Airlines announced plans to cut about 15% of corporate jobs, marking its first major layoff, as part of its cost-cutting efforts. Arista Networks, Medtronic, Occidental Petroleum, and Baidu are set to report their earnings later today.

  • Money flow index (MFI) indicates that Godfrey Phillips India is in the overbought zone.

  • Zomato is rising as it launches Nugget, an AI-based customer support platform. Developed in-house over three years, it helps businesses automate customer support cost-effectively without the need for complex workflows or development teams. The platform resolves up to 80% of queries and improves responses as it learns.

  • TVS Supply Chain Solutions rises sharply as TVS Motor buys a stake following Allanzers Fin Net's sale of 20 lakh shares at Rs 128.9 per share in a block deal.

  • Pradeep Kheruka, Executive Chairman of Borosil Renewables, highlights that the company's Q3FY25 EBITDA declined primarily due to lower sales realization. However, he believes that the provisional duty received from the Government on December 5 will help improve Q4FY25 margins to around 25-30%.

  • Axis Direct retains its 'Buy' call on Kalpataru Projects International with a lower target price of Rs 1,350 per share. This indicates a potential upside of 49.4%. The brokerage believes the company is well-positioned for revenue and margin growth owing to strong order execution and growth across all segments. It expects the firm's revenue to grow at a CAGR of 18.2% over FY25-27.

  • Biocon's subsidiary, Biocon Biologics, receives marketing authorization in the European Union (EU) for Yesintek, a biosimilar of Ustekinumab, used to treat adults with psoriatic arthritis or Crohn’s disease. The European market for this drug is valued at approximately €2.5 billion (around Rs 22,749 crore).

  • LTIMindtree is rising as it partners with Eurobank for a multi-year banking technology programme. The collaboration aims to streamline operations and innovate IT solutions for Eurobank and its subsidiaries, with LTIMindtree providing support services and modernising technology in Cyprus, Luxembourg, and Greece.

  • Pankaj Gadgil, Managing Director & CEO of Aditya Birla Housing Finance, highlights that the company is exploring ways to pass on rate cut benefits to consumers, though the process is complex. Operational efficiencies may reduce costs, but rising credit expenses could offset savings. The company’s borrowings comprise 35% term loans, 39% NCDs, 14% NHB, and a small share of the short-term money market. Gadgil adds that banks need to lower their rates so that housing finance firms can benefit from a repo rate cut.

  • One97 Communications (Paytm) partners with SBI Mutual Fund to launch JanNivesh Rs 250 systematic investment plan (SIP), offering flexible contribution options (daily, weekly, or monthly) to meet diverse financial needs and preferences for investors.

  • Anant Raj's wholly owned subsidiary, Anant Raj Cloud, signs an agreement with CSC Data Services (CDSIL) to jointly offer and promote Rack Rental Business (Co-location Data Center) and Cloud Services to various government departments and private organizations.

  • Choice International's subsidiary, Choice Equity Broking, acquires a 100% stake in Arete Capital Services. Arete Capital is a wealth management firm with assets under management (AUM) of Rs 5,151 crore, helping Choice Equity's AUM to increase 5.7x to Rs 6,241 crore.

  • The Ministries of Heavy Industries (MHI) and New & Renewable Energy (MNRE) award the PLI scheme for advanced chemistry cells to Reliance Industries' arm, Reliance New Energy Battery, for 10 GWH ACC capacity. The PLI-ACC scheme, launched in 2021 with a budget of Rs 18,100 crore, aims to establish 50 GWh of ACC battery manufacturing capacity in India.

  • Bharti Airtel is falling as its promoter, Indian Continent Investment, sells 5.1 crore shares (0.9% stake) worth Rs 8,475 crore in a block deal.

  • Ventura maintains its 'Buy' call on Indus Towers with a higher target price of Rs 450 per share. This indicates a potential upside of 35.4%. The brokerage expects the company's revenue to grow due to new tower additions, improved collections, and continued network expansion. It expects the firm's revenue to grow at a CAGR of 10.4% over FY25-27.

  • GMR Airports is rising as its passenger traffic increases 11% YoY to 1.1 crore in January, while aircraft movements grow by 9% YoY to 63,767.

  • Titan is reportedly in talks with Qatar's Mannai Corporation to acquire a major stake in Damas Jewellery, a leading retailer in West Asia. The discussions are focused on Damas's valuation, estimated at Rs 4,500 crore (around $518 million), but the two parties have not yet agreed on terms.

  • Krishna Institute of Medical Sciences (KIMS) signs a seven-year operations and management agreement with Ushahkal Abhinav Institute of Medical Sciences (UAIMS Hospital) in Sangli, Maharashtra. KIMS will exclusively provide medical services for the hospital’s current and future operations.

  • Power Grid Corp of India secures two interstate transmission projects on a build, own, operate, and transfer (BOOT) basis. The first project in Karnataka includes new pooling substations in Davangere, Chitradurga, and Bellary, along with transmission lines and upgrades. The second project in Rajasthan involves ICT augmentation at substations in Fatehgarh-II, Fatehgarh-IV, and Barmer-I.

  • Zaggle Prepaid Ocean Services enters a five-year strategic partnership with Redington to develop employee benefits solutions for its corporate clients.

  • Zen Technologies declines over 10% as Chairman & MD Ashok Alturi maintains his FY25 revenue guidance of Rs 900 crore. However, he expresses confidence in achieving an EBITDA margin of 35% and a PAT margin of 25% for FY25. Alturi adds that the acquisition of Applied Research International (ARI) would result in its revenue doubling to Rs 180 crore in three years, up from Rs 90 crore.

  • Patel Engineering's joint venture (JV) secures an order worth Rs 1,090.5 crore from Maharashtra Krishna Valley Development Corporation, Pune, to build a pipeline distribution network for the Nira Deoghar Right Bank Main Canal and its branches. The project includes excavation, refilling, laying pipes, installing valves and chambers, testing the pipeline, and a five-year operations and maintenance period after completion.

  • Uno Minda is rising as it forms a joint venture (JV) with Uno Minda Auto Innovations, Suzhou lnovance Automotive, and lnovance Automotive (HK) Investment to manufacture powertrain components for electric passenger and commercial vehicles.

  • SBI Cards and Payment Services' board appoints Salila Pande as the new Managing Director (MD) and Chief Executive Officer (CEO), succeeding Abhijit Chakravorty, for two years, effective April 1.

  • ABB India rises sharply as its Q3FY25 net profit jumps 56% YoY to Rs 528.4 crore, helped by inventory destocking and lower finance costs. Revenue grows 22% YoY to Rs 3,364.9 crore, driven by improvements in the robotics & discrete automation, motion, and electrification segments. It features in a screener of stocks with increasing return on equity (RoE) over the past two years.

  • Nifty 50 was trading at 22,915.90 (-43.6, -0.2%), BSE Sensex was trading at 75,968.59 (-28.3, 0.0%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 20,621.05 (-31.3, -0.2%).

  • Market breadth is even. Of the 1,952 stocks traded today, 976 were on the uptrend, and 925 went down.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Adani Wilmar Ltd. (256.25, 8.7%), GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (2,536.85, 8.4%) and Thermax Ltd. (3,211.75, 6.7%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Ltd. (1,961.75, -5.8%), Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd. (3,344.60, -3.8%) and Au Small Finance Bank Ltd. (502.40, -3.8%).

Movers and Shakers

13 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Gillette India Ltd. (8,229.85, 10.4%), NLC India Ltd. (226.87, 9.0%) and GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (2,536.85, 8.4%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Usha Martin Ltd. (291, -4.7%), RHI Magnesita India Ltd. (382.60, -4.2%) and ACC Ltd. (1,874.45, -1.9%).

ABB India Ltd. (5,142.05, -1.9%) was trading at 12.7 times of weekly average. Syngene International Ltd. (700.40, -0.1%) and Five-Star Business Finance Ltd. (693.50, 1.2%) were trading with volumes 6.9 and 4.5 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

83 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52 week lows.

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - ACC Ltd. (1,874.45, -1.9%) and Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. (186.57, -3.6%).

8 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Gillette India Ltd. (8,229.85, 10.4%) and GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (2,536.85, 8.4%). 9 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including PTC Industries Ltd. (10,734.65, -10%) and Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Ltd. (1,961.75, -5.8%).

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
17 Feb 2025
Market closes flat, EMS bags an order worth Rs 273 crore for civil and MEP works
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 22,959.50 (30.3, 0.1%), BSE Sensex closed at 75,996.86 (57.7, 0.1%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 20,652.35 (19.3, 0.1%). Market breadth is overwhelmingly negative. Of the 2,445 stocks traded today, 745 were on the uptick, and 1,673 were down.

Indian indices closed flat, with the benchmark Nifty 50 index closing at 22,959.5 points. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, rose 4.7% and closed at 15.7 points. Cyient DLM fell by more than 3%, despite securing a long-term contract from Thales to manufacture high-reliability printed circuit board assemblies (PCBAs) for next-generation flight systems. These PCBAs will be used in major commercial aircraft platforms.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed flat, following the benchmark index. Nifty MidSmall Healthcare and Nifty Healthcare index were among the top index gainers today. According to Trendlyne’s Sector dashboard, Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology emerged as the best-performing sector of the day, with a rise of 1.4%.

Asian indices closed mixed, while European indices are trading higher. US index futures traded in the green, indicating a positive start to the trading session. Brent crude oil futures are trading in the green. Several Fed officials, including Patrick Harker and Michelle Bowman, are set to speak this week following mixed US inflation data last week. Investor sentiment will be largely influenced by rising geopolitical tensions, particularly US-Russia talks on the Ukraine conflict.

  • Relative strength index (RSI) indicates that stocks like Whirlpool of India, Kirloskar Oil Engines, and Atul are in the oversold zone.

  • Utkarsh Small Finance Bank plunges to its all-time high of Rs 23.9 per share as it posts a net loss of Rs 168.1 crore compared to a net profit of Rs 116.1 crore in Q3FY24 due to higher provisions, employee benefits, and interest expenses. However, revenue grows 15.7% YoY to Rs 932.4 crore, helped by improvements in the treasury, retail and corporate banking segments. The bank's asset quality worsens as its gross and net NPAs grow 313 bps YoY and 231 bps YoY, respectively.

  • Zen Technologies plunges to its 20% lower circuit as its Q3FY25 revenue misses Forecaster estimates by 42.3% despite rising 44% YoY to Rs 141.5 crore, helped by an improvement in the defence & homeland segment. Net profit grows 21.8% YoY to Rs 38.6 crore during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks underperforming their industry price change in the quarter.

  • EMS is rising as it secures an order worth Rs 272.9 crore from Jaypee Infratech for civil and mechanical, electrical, & plumbing (MEP) works in the "Orchards" housing project at Jaypee Wish Town, Noida.

  • CG Power and Industrial Solutions rises more than 5% after emerging as the highest bidder for the proposed acquisition of 90% of the equity shares in BTW-Atlanta Transformers India (BTW India) from Baoding Tianwei Baobian Electric, China. The offer, valued at around Rs 165 crore, was part of an online bidding process conducted by the China Beijing Stock Exchange.

  • Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals' Q3FY25 net profit grows 68% YoY to Rs 163 crore, owing to lower raw materials, inventory, power & fuel, employee benefits, and finance costs. However, revenue declines 6.9% YoY to Rs 2,056 crore, attributed to a reduction in the fertilisers segment. It appears in a screener of stocks outperforming their industries over the past month.

  • Cyient DLM wins a long-term contract from Thales to produce high-reliability printed circuit board assemblies (PCBAs) for next-generation flight systems. These PCBAs will be deployed in leading commercial aircraft platforms.

  • Uflex is rising as it posts a net profit of Rs 136.8 crore in Q3FY25 compared to a net loss of Rs 67.2 crore in Q3FY24, driven by an exceptional items gain of Rs 31 crore and inventory destocking. Revenue increases 12.9% YoY to Rs 3,734.7 crore during the quarter, supported by higher sales from the flexible packaging activities segment. The company appears in a screener of stocks with increasing profits every quarter for the past three quarters.

  • An SBI report suggests that even with a 15-20% hike in US tariffs, Indian exports to the US will likely decline only 3-3.5%. The bank believes higher export targets can offset this. While the US remains India's top export market (17.7% of total exports in FY24), India is diversifying to reduce reliance on any sing

  • Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail rises sharply as its Q3FY25 net loss contracts 34.1% YoY to Rs 51.3 crore, helped by lower raw materials and inventory expenses. Revenue grows 3.6% YoY to Rs 4,361.8 crore, attributed to improvements in the Madura Fashion & Lifestyle and ethnic segments. It appears in a screener of stocks with the highest FII holdings.

  • Narayana Hrudayalaya's net profit grows 2.6% YoY to Rs 193 crore in Q3FY25. Revenue increases 13.6% YoY to Rs 1,366.7 crore, helped by an improvement in the medical & healthcare-related services segment. The company shows up in a screener of stocks with growing costs YoY from long-term projects.

  • GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals surges as its Q3FY25 net profit jumps 5x YoY to Rs 229.9 crore, helped by lower employee benefits and finance costs. Revenue grows 18.1% YoY to Rs 984.5 crore, led by increased market share in brands like Augmentin, Ceftum & T-bact and higher sales in the respiratory & vaccines segments. It appears in a screener of stocks with dividend yields greater than the sector dividend yield.

  • Reports suggest that Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) plans to implement its annual salary hikes in March, with payouts starting in April. The increases will likely range from 4% to 8%. These hikes will follow the company’s quarterly variable pay (QVP) distribution in February for the October-December period.

  • Welspun Corp secures orders worth Rs 3,000 crore in the United States to supply coated pipes for natural gas pipeline projects. These include two large orders for helical submerged arc welded (HSAW) pipes and additional orders for high-frequency induction welded (HFIW) pipes.

  • Arvind SmartSpaces signs a new residential plotted development project in Sanand, Ahmedabad. The company expects the project to generate nearly Rs 600 crore in total revenue.

  • Axis Direct upgrades Manappuram Finance to 'Buy' from 'Hold' with a higher target price of Rs 220 per share. This indicates a potential upside of 17.2%. The brokerage expects slower assets under management (AUM) growth in FY25. However, it expects growth to resume in FY26, supported by the lifting of restrictions on microfinance institution (MFI) disbursements and high demand in the gold loans segment. It expects the firm's net interest income (NII) to grow at a CAGR of 14.6% over FY25-27.

  • Nomura initiates a 'Buy' rating on Afcons Infrastructure with a target price of Rs 561. The brokerage highlights the company’s track record of timely project completion and steady profitability. It notes consistent financial performance and anticipates a 22% revenue CAGR from FY25-27, driven by strong ordering momentum.

  • Ajax Engineering’s shares debut on the bourses at an 8.4% discount to the issue price of Rs 629. The Rs 1,269.3 crore IPO received bids for 6.5 times the total shares on offer.

  • Bharat Heavy Electricals receives a letter of intent (LoI) worth Rs 6,700 crore from Singareni Collieries (SCCL) to set up an 800 MW thermal power unit in Telangana. The order involves supplying, installing, testing, and commissioning a boiler, turbine, generator, flue gas desulfurization system, and other related equipment.

  • Dilip Buildcon is rising as its net profit grows 7.3% YoY to Rs 115.3 crore in Q3FY25, led by a reduction in raw material costs. However, revenue declines 9.3% YoY to Rs 2,633 crore, impacted by the engineering, procurement, & construction (EPC) projects and road infrastructure maintenance segments. It features in a screener of stocks with improving net cash flow over the past two years.

  • Jefferies maintains a 'Buy' rating on Samvardhana Motherson International with a target price of Rs 165. The brokerage highlights that the company's EBITDA margins exceeded expectations and notes its expansion into non-auto sectors like electronics and space. It adds that the company is finding attractive inorganic growth opportunities.

  • PTC Industries is falling as its net profit misses Forecaster estimates by 19.3% despite rising 76.2% YoY to Rs 14.2 crore in Q3FY25 due to inventory destocking and lower finance costs. Revenue increases 20.7% YoY to Rs 66.9 crore during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks outperforming their industry price change in the quarter.

  • Swan Energy is rising as its Q3FY25 net profit surges 5.1x YoY to Rs 582.8 crore, helped by inventory destocking and lower finance costs. Revenue jumps 128.3% YoY to Rs 3,776.6 crore, attributed to improvements in the construction and distribution & development segments. It appears in a screener of undervalued growth stocks.

  • Rail Vikas Nigam is falling as its net profit declines 13.1% YoY to Rs 311.4 crore in Q3FY25 due to higher operating expenses and finance costs. Revenue decreases 2.6% YoY to Rs 4,567.4 crore during the quarter. The company appears in a screener of stocks underperforming their industry price change in the quarter.

  • Glenmark Pharmaceuticals is falling as its Q3FY25 net profit of Rs 348 crore misses Forecaster estimates by 6%. Revenue grows 35.1% YoY to Rs 3,387.6 crore, driven by improvements in the US, Indian, European, and rest of the world (ROW) markets. It features in a screener of stocks with zero promoter pledges.

  • Nifty 50 was trading at 22,803.45 (-125.8, -0.6%), BSE Sensex was trading at 75,641.41 (-297.8, -0.4%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 20,530 (-103.1, -0.5%).

  • Market breadth is sharply down. Of the 2,052 stocks traded today, 584 were on the uptick, and 1,400 were down.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (2,340.25, 16.0%), CG Power and Industrial Solutions Ltd. (583, 5.6%) and Ashok Leyland Ltd. (223.61, 4.6%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include PB Fintech Ltd. (1,494.35, -5.1%), Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. (342.45, -4.9%) and Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Ltd. (2,083.10, -3.8%).

Movers and Shakers

19 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (2,340.25, 16.0%), Manappuram Finance Ltd. (193.29, 8.5%) and Piramal Pharma Ltd. (199.88, 8.1%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were PTC Industries Ltd. (11,945, -8.7%), Radico Khaitan Ltd. (1,950, -4.6%) and Carborundum Universal Ltd. (970, -4.4%).

Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Ltd. (319.50, 2.5%) was trading at 6.2 times of weekly average. Jubilant Pharmova Ltd. (995.45, 5.3%) and Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd. (644.30, 1.9%) were trading with volumes 5.1 and 5.0 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

1 stock hit their 52 week highs, while 128 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52 week lows.

Stock touching their year highs included - Redington Ltd. (242.91, -1.0%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - 3M India Ltd. (26,799.90, 0.2%) and Alembic Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (815, -0.4%).

5 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. (7,038, 17.3%) and Manappuram Finance Ltd. (193.29, 8.5%). 26 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including KFIN Technologies Ltd. (825.70, -10.7%) and PTC Industries Ltd. (11,945, -8.7%).

logo
The Baseline
14 Feb 2025, 05:28PM
Five Interesting Stocks Today - February 14, 2025
By Trendlyne Analysis

1. SBI Cards and Payment Services:

This finance company rose by over 5% on 13th January and touched a 52-week high of Rs 872 today. The surge in its stock price came after the global brokerage Macquarie upgraded its rating on the stock to ‘Outperform’, as it believes that the company's credit card delinquencies have decreased, indicating better lending choices. Over the past 12 months, the company limited credit to borrowers with higher credit scores. The brokerage has also increased the stock's target price to Rs 1,000.

Its Q3FY25 net profit declined by 30.2% YoY to Rs 383.2 crore due to tighter regulations on fee income. Revenue was up by 0.5% YoY, primarily due to marginal growth in interest income. The company’s net profit missed forecaster estimates by 8.7%, due to a slower loan growth. It appears on screener for stocks where FIIs & FPIs are increasing their shareholding.

The company’s Gross Non-Performing Assets (GNPA) slightly decreased to 3.24% during the quarter, down from 3.27% in the previous quarter. However, the gross credit cost rose by 40 bps to 9.4% QoQ. 

Regarding the increase in credit costs, the company’s CEO & MD, Abhijit Chakravorty, said, “We are at an inflection point in our credit cycle. As we tighten underwriting, portfolio management, and collections, we expect credit costs to moderate. The speed of this will depend on changes in the unsecured lending ecosystem and the economy.”

According to RBI’s December 2024 data, the company's market share in card spends stood at 15.6%. Girish Budhiraja, Chief Sales & Marketing Officer, stated, "We expect our card spend market share to reach 18-20% in the next 3-4 quarters. We are projecting loan growth of 12-15% over the next 9-12 months. However, our outlook could change in either direction if the credit cost trajectory shifts or the economic mood changes."

Macquarie forecasts a significant decline in the company’s credit costs over the next two quarters, driven by factors like falling interest rates, better liquidity, and potential tax cuts. The brokerage also points out that the RBI's more lenient approach to unsecured loans could be an added boost. However, it has reduced its earnings projections for FY25-27 by 13-15%, reflecting slower growth in loans, net interest income and fee generation. 

2. National Aluminium Company:

This aluminum manufacturer has fallen 7.8% in the past week despite beating Forecaster estimates for revenue and net profit in its Q3FY25 results. The decline comes after US President Trump’s move to set a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports without any exemptions. National Aluminium Co’s (NALCO) management noted that these tariffs could put pressure on global aluminum prices, similar to the impact seen in 2018-2020 after similar trade policies during Trump’s first term.

NALCO announced its Q3FY25 results on February 10, reporting a 39% YoY increase in revenue to Rs 4,662 crore, driven by higher sales realisation in alumina and metal. Net profit surged 2.3X YoY to Rs 1,566 crore, thanks to lower employee benefit expenses, material costs, and finance costs. The company appears in a screener of stocks with book value per share improving over the last two years.

Chairman & MD Pratap Singh said, “The alumina price trend of $400/tonne in previous years was breached when prices shot up to $800/t in Q3FY25 due to plant shutdowns in Australia. The prices are now correcting, with spot prices falling to $530/t and possibly declining further to the $450-500/t range.” 

Singh also highlighted that analysts should not get too optimistic about the net profit jump – the decline in employee costs that drove profit higher, he noted, was due to a one-time provision for non-executive performance-related pay (PRP). Going forward, annual employee expenses are expected to stay over Rs 2,000 crore.

Speaking about capex, Singh said that NALCO is expanding its alumina refinery, increasing capacity by 1 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) from the current 2.1 MTPA. The total capex for this expansion is now Rs 5,677 crore, of which Rs 3,500 crore has already been spent. The refinery is expected to be commissioned by the end of FY26, revised from the earlier target of September 2025.

Axis Direct has a ‘Buy’ rating on this PSU stock with a target price of Rs 220. The brokerage expects strong alumina realisations to drive another good quarter in Q4FY25. However, with spot prices declining, the impact of lower alumina prices may be seen from Q1FY26 onwards. Additional alumina volumes from the ongoing refinery expansion, however, will help offset some of the impact of lower prices on EBITDA in the future.

3. FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa):

This internet retail company has declined 3% over the past week following the announcement of its Q3FY25 results. Nykaa’s net profit increased 61.4% YoY to Rs 26.1 crore, but missed Forecaster estimates by 29.6%. 

Revenue rose 26.7% YoY to Rs 2,267.2 crore during the quarter, driven by growth in the beauty & personal care (BPC) and fashion segments. The company’s revenue beat estimates marginally by 0.2%.

During the quarter, Nykaa’s GMV (gross merchandise value) grew 25% YoY, driven by strong growth in the BPC segment, which contributes the majority of its revenue and has seen an increasing customer base and festive demand. Meanwhile, Nykaa Cosmetics, Kay Beauty, and Dot & Key continued to drive growth with new launches – the company is pushing its own brands hard, including its wakeup makeup line. The fashion segment grew 8% YoY despite a challenging demand environment and intense competition.

Recently, Shein, the Chinese low-cost fast-fashion giant, re-entered India through a partnership with Reliance Retail. Falguni Nayar, the CEO, underplayed the threat to Nykaa’s market share, saying, “Fashion is a vast industry. Shein operates in just one segment. With 4,000+ brands and more international players entering the market, no single brand can dominate”. 

But analysts think differently, and believe Shein's re-entry into India could disrupt the country’s fashion market. Nykaa’s fashion vertical, which competes with Myntra, Tata Cliq Fashion, and Ajio, is expected to expand its catalogue with new brand partnerships. 

Meanwhile, Nykaa continued to expand its retail network, with total stores reaching 221. The company expects to grow its store count to 350 over the next two years. 

Following the Nykaa’s earnings announcement, Nuvama maintained its ‘Buy’ rating. The brokerage highlights that competition in fashion remains a concern, but profitability improvements in the eB2B segment are encouraging. It expects Nykaa’s beauty segment to remain a key growth driver.

4. Global Health (Medanta):

Thishealthcare facilities company surged 10.7% on February 5 following the announcement of itsQ3FY25 results. During the quarter, the company’s net profit rose 15.6% YoY to Rs 142.9 crore in Q3FY25, while revenue grew 13.3% YoY to Rs 943.4 crore. The growth was driven by higher patient volumes, with a 10% increase in footfalls and a 13% rise in In-Patient Department (IPD) admissions.

The companyreported an Average Revenue Per Occupied Bed (ARPOB) of Rs 61,307, reflecting a marginal 1.2% YoY increase but a 1.3% QoQ decline. Toimprove ARPOB, Medanta is pushing high-value procedures, which contribute to better revenue per patient. 

Medanta is also improving its payer mix by reducing dependence on lower-paying government schemes and increasing the proportion of insurance and cash patients. Additionally, the companyplans selective tariff hikes, particularly in facilities like Lucknow and Patna, where prices have remained unchanged for several years.

In Q3 FY25, Medantaadded 34 beds, bringing the total bed additions to 219 for the first nine months of FY25. This has increased the company’s total operational bed capacity to 3,042. The company hassecured a long-term lease for a 110-bed hospital in Ranchi to expand its presence in Jharkhand. Additionally, the 550-bed Noida hospital is set to begin operations within six months. 

Pankaj Sahni, Group Chief Executive Officer of the companysaid, “We have roughly 1,000 bed additions planned over the next two years. We also have 3 major Greenfield projects underway, comprising approximately 1,600 beds.” These include projects in Mumbai Oshiwara, Pitampura, and Greater Kailash, which are expected to be completed in the next 3 to 4 years.

Post results, Axis Directmaintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this company, citing optimism about the business recovery, improvements in ARPOB, and capacity expansion. The brokerage expects a CAGR of 21.5% in sales, 18.2% in EBITDA and 18.1% in net profit over FY25-26, with a target price of Rs 1,270 per share.

5. Power Finance Corporation:

This financial institution is a value stock, under radar, according to Trendlyne’s DVM score. PFC exhibits high financial strength and is trading at an affordable valuation, demonstrated by its high durability and valuation scores. However, the stock price momentum is weak due to the recent correction in the stock market. Shares of PFC currently trade at a discount of over 35% from its 52-week high.

In Q3, the company reported a revenue growth of 14% and a net profit growth of 23% on a YoY basis. Its consolidated loan book witnessed a 12% YoY growth, driven by disbursements in the renewable and distribution segments. To further expand its renewable portfolio, it entered into an agreement on January 16 with Japan Bank for International Cooperation for a loan of ~Rs 6,500 crore.

Foreign currency borrowing makes up 19% of its total borrowings, of which 95% is hedged against currency fluctuations. The remaining 5% unhedged portfolio has come under risk following the recent depreciation of INR. Chairman and MD Parminder Chopra noted that PFC anticipates a loss of Rs 45 crore for every one-rupee depreciation of INR with respect to USD.

PFC is in the advanced stages of resolving loan defaults totalling around Rs 5,000 crore from the KSK Mahanadi, TRN Energy, and Shiga Energy projects. Once resolved, it expects to release approximately 73% of the allocated provisions—roughly Rs 3,650 crore—which is the capital set aside to cover potential losses should these companies default on their loans.

During the Q3 earnings call, Chopra said, “We expect these provision reversals to provide sufficient cushion against the impact of rupee depreciation.” The resolution of these defaults is expected to improve PFC’s asset quality, potentially lowering its gross non-performing assets (NPAs) from 2.7% at the end of Q3 to below 2%. 

Chopra is confident of a strong performance in Q4, driven by disbursements in the renewable portfolio, which will help PFC achieve its guidance of 13-14% annual growth in assets under management for FY25. Motilal Oswal maintains a ‘Buy’ rating on the stock, anticipating a surge in disbursements of 110% YoY in Q4, supported by benign credit costs and the resolution of its stressed assets.

Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movements, analyst calls, or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.