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    The Baseline

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    The Baseline
    18 Nov 2022
    Which stocks did superstar investors sell in Q2FY23?

    Which stocks did superstar investors sell in Q2FY23?

    By Suhas Reddy

    Where do investors get their investing cues from? In the Indian market, investors track Superstar investors for investment ideas, and are quick to identify the buying and selling patterns of these big bulls. 

    Earlier, we looked at the stocks bought by Superstars in Q2FY23. Here, we focus on their key sells. We take a look at recent stake sales by ace investors like Rakesh Jhunjhunwala (now managed by RARE Enterprises), Ashish Kacholia, Sunil Singhania and Dolly Khanna in Q2FY23.

    Rakesh Jhunjhunwala’s portfolio cuts stake below 1% in three companies

    Rakesh Jhunjhunwala's portfolio, which is currently managed by Rare Enterprises, sold  stakes in 14 companies in Q2FY23. The portfolio’s two biggest sells include Bilcare and Autoline Industries, where it cut its stakes by over 7.5% and 3.5% respectively. 

    Bilcare is a small-cap healthcare supplies company, for which the corporate insolvency resolution process began on November 11. The stock fell by 36.3% from last Friday (November 11) till Wednesday. Autoline Industries is a small-cap auto parts & equipment company that rose 63.6% in Q2, and its profit in the same period jumped nearly 9X YoY. Yet RJ’s portfolio pared its stake below 1% in the company. It also took its stake in IndiaBulls Housing Finance below 1% from 1.2%.

    The big bull’s portfolio reduced its holdings in Jubilant Ingrevia and Federal Bank by 1.6% and 1% to bring down its stakes to 3.2% and 2.6% respectively. 

    The portfolio cut  0.5% in Canara Bank, D B Realty and Rallis India each, reducing these holdings to 1.5%, 1.5% and 9.4% respectively. It also cut 0.3% from its stake in Anant Raj to 3.1%.

    The Rare Enterprises managed portfolio also reduced its stake in Karur Vysya Bank, Edelweiss Financial Services and Star Health & Allied Insurance by 0.1% each to take the holdings to 4.4%, 1.5% and 17.4% respectively. It also sold minor stakes in Nazara Technologies and Crisil. 

    Sunil Singhania sells 1% stake in industrial machinery company The Anup Engineering

    In Q2FY23, Sunil Singhania’s Abakkus Fund pared its stake in financial services company CMS Info Systems, defence company Paras Defence and Space Technologies, plastic products and electric appliances manufacturer Surya Roshni, movies and entertainment company Saregama India, and packaging company Polyplex Corp. Its stake is now below 1% in these companies.

    Abakkus sold a 1.5% stake in Mastek during the quarter and now holds 2.8% in the company. Mastek’s share price fell by 18.3% to Rs 1,741.3 on September 30, 2022, from Rs 2,130 on July 1, 2022. The fund also sold a 1% stake in The Anup Engineering and now holds only 4.8%. In Q2FY23, Anup Engineering’s profit fell by 17.9% YoY to Rs 12.9 crore. 

    Apart from these stocks, the fund also reduced stakes in Route Mobile (now holds 2.7%) and IIFL Securities (now holds 3.2%)

    Ashish Kacholia takes his holdings below 1% in several small-cap companies

    Ashish Kacholia sold more than 2.4% in Vishnu Chemicals during Q2FY23 and now holds below 1% in the speciality chemicals manufacturer. He also sold most of his holdings in Kwality Pharmaceuticals, VRL Logistics, Mold-Tek Packaging and Mastek. He now holds below 1% in all these companies.

    The marquee investor cut his stake in IT consulting and software company Genesys International Corp by 0.3% (now holds 1.7%), in apparels and accessories manufacturer Safari Industries (India) by 0.2% (now holds 2.6%), and in internet and catalogue retailer Creative Newtech by 0.1% (now holds 2.7%).

    Kacholia also sold stakes in Vaibhav Global and NIIT; he now holds 1.2% and 2.2% respectively in the companies.

    Dolly Khanna goes on a selling spree in Q2FY23

    Dolly Khanna sold stakes in 16 companies in Q2FY23, which mostly included agrochemicals, cement, fertilisers and textile companies. Her biggest sell was Chennai Petroleum Corp, where she reduced her stake by 0.7% to 2.6%. The ace investor also cut 0.5% from her holdings in Pondy Oxides & Chemicals and Rama Phosphates to 3.4% and 1.7% respectively.

    Khanna took her holdings below 1% in Suryoday Small Finance Bank, RSWM, New Delhi Television and Goa Carbons in Q2FY23.

    She pared her stake in KCP by 0.4% to 3% and reduced her stakes in NCL Industries, Sharda Cropchem, Tinna Rubber and Infrastructure and Aries Agro by 0.2% each to 1.3%, 1%, 1.7% and 1.1% respectively. The ace investor also reduced her holdings in Polyplex Corp and Mangalore Chemicals & Fertilisers by 0.1% and sold minor stakes in Manali Petrochemicals and Nitin Spinners. 

    Vijay Kedia cuts stake in Lykis, a micro-cap company

    Vijay Kediasold a 6.6% stake in the micro-cap company Lykis in Q2FY23; he now holds 2.7% in the company. The personal products company’s stock price was Rs 27 on July 1, 2022, which then surged to Rs 55.1 on September 6, 2022. After a sharp rise, the stock price then fell to Rs 41.45 by the end of the September quarter. 

    Kedia sold a 0.3% stake in Ramco Systems during Q2FY23, bringing down his holding to 1.6%. The company’s profit has consistently reported losses for six consecutive quarters. He also sold a minor stake in Tejas Networks and now holds 2.6%.

    Porinju V Veliyath takes his stake below 1% in Cupid

    Porinju V Veliyath reduced his stakes in a total of five companies. His biggest sell was in TCM, an agrochemicals company, where he pared his stake by 2.9% to 1.3%. He also took his stake below 1% in Cupid, a personal products manufacturer. 

    The investor reduced his stakes in RPSG Ventures and Kaya by 0.2% each to 1.6% and 1.4% respectively. He also decreased his holding in Orient Bell by 0.1% to 4.8%.

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    The Baseline
    18 Nov 2022
    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    1. United Spirits: This alcoholic beverage company’s share price has risen nearly 10% since it announced its Q2FY23 results. United Spirits comfortably beat Trendlyne’s forecaster estimates in both revenue and net profit. According to Trendlyne’s comparison tool, United Spirits outperformed its peers United Breweries, Radico Khaitan and Globus Spirits in YoY revenue and net profit growth in Q2.  

    Despite a recent run-up in the share price, United Spirits is in the PE Buy zone and features in a screener for stocks in the PE Buy Zone with reasonable durability and rising momentum scores. 

    Strong volume growth of 13% YoY in its premium and above segment drove revenue growth in Q2. However, volumes from the popular segment remained flat YoY. This is in line with the management’s guidance as it is changing the product mix to high-margin premium & above segment, which contributed nearly 80% of the total revenue in Q2. 

    The management aims to derive 90% of its revenue from the premium segment in the near term. As part of this premiumisation drive, the company sold 32 popular brands amounting to Rs 372 crore in Q2FY23. These brands accounted for about 14% of the sales in H1FY23–meaning sales from this segment could see a YoY decline in H2FY23. However, with new premium product launches, margins are expected to improve. In Q2, gross margins fell 560 bps YoY to 39.5% due to double-digit inflation in raw material prices. The management said input cost inflation will continue in Q3FY23 as well due to the rise in glass manufacturing and Extra Neutral Alcohol (ENA) costs. 

    1. Hindalco Industries: This aluminium manufacturer gained nearly 5% since announcing its Q2FY23 results on November 11. This rise in its stock price comes despite a 35.5% YoY drop in its net profit. It also missed Trendlyne’s Forecaster profit estimates by 14.4%. The street’s optimism around the company comes on the back of its aluminium production reaching record highs amid high input costs.

    The business outlook for the firm looks healthy as the London Metal Exchange (LME) aluminium prices are expected to rise and demand for aluminium remains strong. This confidence in the company’s prospects is echoed by brokerages as well. Over the past month, it witnessed four broker target price upgrades and one broker recommendation upgrade.

    The management expects the firm’s margins to expand in the coming quarters on better coal availability, as its captive coal mines start contributing effectively. This will bring down energy costs in the medium-to-long term. According to ICICI Securities, capacity expansion at Utkal Alumina will lead to a further fall in input costs for the company.

    The management says it expects a robust demand environment in India, but a slowdown in the US may be a concern. ICICI Securities sees the Indian market driving growth for the company in the near-to-medium term. The company has allocated a capex of Rs 2,500 crore for the rest of FY23, which it plans to finance with its cash flows and not take on any debt. 

    1. Tata Motors: The commercial vehicles manufacturer fell almost 5% following its Q2FY23 results on November 9. The company reported a loss of Rs 944.6 crore and 29.7% YoY rise in revenue to Rs 79,661.4 crore. It was backed by growth in revenues from Jaguar Land Rover, commercial vehicles and passenger vehicles segments. 

    Shailesh Chandra, Managing Director, said the company remains vigilant about the evolving demand and supply situation and will stay active to take swift actions while focusing on further improving profitability. 

    The company beat Trednlyne’s Forecaster estimates for revenue by 2.4% while net profit missed the forecaster estimates. Prabhudas Lilladher maintains ‘Buy’ rating on the company with a target price of Rs 520. The brokerage believes that the company’s likely market share gains in the PV segment led by a revamped portfolio, customer preference for SUVs and rising EV penetration along with the revival in Jaguar Land Rover and strong order book will benefit and drive free cash flow generation. 

    Bringing in more business, the company’s commercial vehicles segment won an order for 1,000 buses from Haryana Roadways. The 52-seater fully built BS6 diesel buses will be supplied to the state in a phased manner. The stock also features on a screener of top Indian exporters in listed companies.

    Meanwhile, Jaguar Land Rover’s Chief Executive Officer Thierry Bolloré resigned from the position due to personal reasons on November 17. 

    1. Trent: This retailing company witnessed robust sales during the recently ended quarter. Although revenue was up 66% YoY to Rs 1,929 crore, its rise in profit was marginal at 0.5% YoY (Rs 93 crore). While its margins declined due to inflationary pressures, Trent’s revenue growth was backed by festive demand and in-store sales. It outperformed the industry. 

    Noel Tata, Chairman of Trent, said the company’s fashion concepts have displayed encouraging growth momentum in Q2FY23. He added that Trent continues to expand its reach with vigour, and reinforce lifestyle offerings across concepts, categories and channels.

    Brokerages like ICICI Direct, Axis Direct and Motilal Oswal are optimistic and give it a ‘Buy’ call on the back of the retailer’s robust performance and growth prospects. They expect Trent to add over 200 stores across various brands in the next two-three years. They believe that brands like Zudio and Star will drive growth in the coming years. 

    While comparing Trent with its peer Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail using Trendlyne’s Stock Comparison tool, it outperformed in 30 out of 42 parameters, including revenue and net profit QoQ growth. 

    The stock features in a screener for companies with strong annual EPS growth.

    Trendlyne’s Forecaster estimates Trent’s revenue to grow 42.7% and EPS, 76.3% in FY23. 

    1. Aster DM Healthcare: This healthcare facilities provider's share price fell over 18% in three trading sessions after it announced Q2FY23 results. The company's net profit fell 57% YoY and missed Trendlyne's Forecaster estimates by a significant margin. Net profit fell despite a 12.5% rise in revenue, mainly due to a sharp fall in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) clinics and losses incurred by new hospitals in GCC. As a result, this company comes up in a screener of companies that posted a decline in quarterly net profit with a falling profit margin (YoY). 

    Aster DM derives nearly 75% of its revenue from the GCC. The company has an established business in the GCC but has been expanding in India through an asset-light model. Revenue from hospitals in India rose 18.7% YoY in Q2, while GCC hospitals' revenue increased 8.2%. In addition, Indian hospitals boast higher operating profit margins or OPM (18.3%) than GCC hospitals (13.9%). 

    To grab this opportunity in India, Aster DM has allocated a significant portion of Rs 600 crore capex planned for FY23 to increase bed counts in India. In order to strengthen its presence in South India, the hospital company inked a deal with Tirupathi-based Narayanadri Hospital & Research Institution in October to manage its hospital operations. This is in line with management's guidance of adding over 500 beds in India over FY23.

    Another company expanding its footprint in South India is Krishna Institute of Medical Sciences (KIMS). According to Trendlyne’s comparison tool, KIMS beats Aster DM in YoY revenue and net profit growth in Q2. However, Aster DM hopes to leverage its multiple growth levers such as its pharmacy business and diagnostics business in GCC and India to drive top line growth. 

    Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movement, analyst calls, or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.

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    The Baseline
    17 Nov 2022, 04:57PM
    Chart of the week: Stocks bouncing back from declines after Q2 results

    Chart of the week: Stocks bouncing back from declines after Q2 results

    By Abdullah Shah

    As the results season comes to an end, we take a look at stocks that declined sharply from their year highs, but recovered in the past month post results. The screener identifies stocks that have a distance of more than 30% from their 52-week highs, but saw recent monthly gains. 

    Oil India rose by 10% over the past month after falling for four months, while its industry,  Exploration & Production, grew by 11.5% in the same period. HDFC Securities credits increase in crude oil and domestic gas price realisations for the growth. The company beat the brokerage’s estimates for revenue, EBITDA and net profit, owing to lower-than-expected statutory levies and higher other income. The stock is currently trading at a distance of 33% from its 52-week high.

    Larsen & Toubro Infotech rose 9.1% over the past month after briefly falling for a month, outperforming the IT Consulting & Software industry by 1.8 percentage points. According to ICICI Securities, the company’s strong performance in the market is backed by a large and higher-tenure deal pipeline, and strong outlook for the core vertical of banking, financial services and insurance. The stock is trading at a distance of 32.9% below its 52-week high.

    Biocon rose 8.7% over the past month after falling for five consecutive months. It outperformed the Biotechnology industry by 90 bps. According to Axis Securities, the company has seen its market share for drugs like glargine and trastuzumab grow in the US market. The stock is trading at a distance of 30.8% below its 52-week high.

    Coforge rose 6.3% over the past month after falling for five consecutive months. It underperformed the IT Consulting & Software industry by 4.6 percentage points. Motilal Oswal believes that the company is well-positioned to achieve its strong revenue growth guidance in FY23 with the help of strong order intake, recovery in the travel industry, continued growth momentum, and new client additions. The stock is trading at a distance of 35.2% below its 52-week high.

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    The Baseline
    16 Nov 2022, 06:15PM
    What did mutual fund managers buy in October 2022?

    What did mutual fund managers buy in October 2022?

    By Ketan Sonalkar

    October of 2022 saw the benchmark indices Nifty 50 rise 5.37% and Nifty Bank 6.93%. Both of these indices are now trading close to their all-time highs. With such massive gains, it was not surprising that mutual fund managers chose to add up on banking stocks with potential returns. Some other sectors that saw buying were logistics, auto ancillary and speciality chemicals.

    Samvardhana Motherson - Gets boost from revival in the auto sector 

    Samvardhana Motherson, formerly known as Motherson Sumi, is an auto component manufacturer which supplies the global PV (passenger vehicle) industry with wiring harnesses, vision systems (mirrors) and plastic body parts.

    Q2FY23 results were encouraging for the company with it registering its highest-ever quarterly revenues at Rs 18,354.8 crore. Considering the expanding market for EV components, the company has also taken steps to expand its production capacity. 

    In September 2022, it acquired 100% stakes in Japanese company Ichikoh Industries at an enterprise value of Japanese Yen (JPY) 5.2 billion. The transaction includes Ichikoh’s mirror business (development and manufacturing of automotive mirrors and associated products) in Japan and China, catering largely to Japanese original equipment manufacturers (OEMs)

    Fund managers who bought shares of Samvardhana Motherson

    Fund managers who added shares of Samvardhana Motherson to their portfolios include Hiten Shah forKotak Equity Arbitrage Fund Growth, Sailesh Raj Bhan and Kinjal Desai for Nippon India Multi Cap Fund - Growth, Kinjal Desai and Ashutosh Bhargava for Nippon India Tax Saver (ELSS) Fund - Growth, and Sailesh Raj Bhan and Kinjal Desai for Nippon India Large Cap Fund - Growth.

    Zee Entertainment - Growing market share and impending merger pique interest

    Zee Entertainment is one of the largest listed media companies in India. It owns and operates 49 TV channels across 11 languages and also an OTT app Zee5.

    In Q2FY23, the TV network’s viewership share was 16.4%, improving from 16.1% in Q1FY23, with a revised content strategy driving viewership in Hindi and Tamil. It also continues to gain viewership in Marathi among regional channels. 

    Future growth triggers include higher adoption of OTT subscriptions under Zee5 and unlocking synergies with the proposed merger with Sony, for which the company has received conditional approval from the CCI. It expects the merger to be completed by Q4FY23.

    Fund managers who bought shares of Zee Entertainment

    Additional shares of Zee Entertainment were added by Sankaran Naren and Dharmesh Kakkad to ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund Growth, Mahesh Patil toAditya Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund Growth, Sankaran Naren and Sharmila D’mello toICICI Prudential Focused Equity Fund Growth and Neelesh Surana and Ankit Jain to Mirae Asset Emerging Bluechip Fund Growth.

    BHEL - Strength in order visibility over the next few years

    BHEL, a public sector entity, is India’s largest engineering company and dominates the supply of equipment for power plants in India. The company’s products include gas turbines, generators, thermal sets, diesel shunters and other power plant equipment.

    Its order inflow in Q2FY23 was robust at Rs 12,000 crore, with the announcement of the 2x660 NTPC Talcher win. Management expects revival of the thermal order pipeline with ~5 GW of expected annual order for the next five years. Order intake for the industrial segment was up 78% YoY to Rs 22,800 crore in Q2FY23, which included supply of locomotives and propulsion equipment in the transportation segment and transmission equipment among others.

    Fund managers who bought shares of BHEL

    Fund managers who added shares of BHEL to their schemes include Vinay Sharma and Kinjal Desai for Nippon India Focused Equity Fund - Growth, Krishan Kumar Daga and Arun Agarwal for HDFC Arbitrage Fund Wholesale Plan Growth, Atul Bhole and Laukik Bagwe for DSP Dynamic Asset Allocation Fund Regular Growth, and Venugopla Manghat and Praveen Ayathan for L&T Arbitrage Opportunities Fund Regular Growth.

    IndusInd Bank - Improving performance this quarter aided by continual expansion

    IndusInd Bank is part of the Hinduja Group. Its consumer finance division provides loans for vehicles, property and so on, while its corporate banking division offers a wide range of products to small and medium enterprises (SMEs) and large firms.

    The bank posted a good set of numbers in Q2FY23. Its quarterly revenues were the highest ever at Rs 10,719.2 crore and net profits rose to Rs 1805.2 crore, a YoY increase of 57.4%. Gross NPAs also reduced significantly to 2.11% in Q2FY23.

    IndusInd Bank continues to invest in physical and digital resources and has added 55 branches, 2,700 employees in banking and 3,650 employees in vehicles and microfinance and distribution this year. 

    Fund managers who bought shares of IndusInd Bank

    Addition of shares of IndusInd Bank was done by Hiten Shah for Kotak Equity Arbitrage Fund Growth, Priya Ranjan and Rahul Baijal for HDFC Top 100 Fund Growth, Priya Ranjan and Anil Bamnboli for HDFC Balanced Advantage Fund Growth, and Atul Penkar and Dhaval Gala for Aditya Birla Sun Life Tax Relief.

    Canara Bank - Part of the PSU banks revival and growth story

    Canara Bank is the third largest public sector bank in India. Among PSU banks, it has had a stellar run on the stock exchanges with its price nearly doubling in the past five months from the lows it made in June 2022.

    Like many other PSU banks, Canara Bank also saw a significant improvement in its business over the past few quarters. In the latest quarter, Q2FY23, its revenues grew to an all-time quarterly high of Rs 27,358 crore, a YoY increase of 14.5%. Its net profit was also the highest in the past 10 quarters at Rs 2,705.6 crore, a YoY increase of 151.8%. Meanwhile, gross NPAs fell to 2.19% in Q2FY23 from 3.21% in Q2FY22.

    Fund managers who bought shares of Canara Bank

    Buying interest for Canara Bank came from Aniruddha Naha and Vivek Sharma forPGIM India Midcap Opportunities Fund Regular Growth, Sailesh Raj Bhan and Kinjal Desai Nippon India Multi Cap Fund - Growth, Mitul Kalawadia and Anand SharmaICICI Prudential PSU Equity Fund Regular Growth, and Vinay Sharma and Kinjal Desai Nippon India Banking & Financial Services Fund Growth.

    RBL Bank - Bouncing back after a few lackluster quarters

    RBL Bank, a private sector bank with a nationwide network of 435 branches, offers various services, including corporate and institutional banking, commercial banking, retail banking, agricultural development banking and financial market access.

    It reported a 5.5x YoY jump in net profit to Rs 200 crore in Q2FY23, aided by a 63% decline in provisions. There was a pick-up in loan growth, up 12% YoY and 4% QoQ to Rs 62,900 crore. Within the retail lending segment, housing loans improved 35% QoQ and the MFI portfolio rose  22%. Credit cards grew at a steady pace of 4% QoQ. The share of credit cards stands at 23% of total loans.

    RBL Bank has plans to launch its loan products for two-wheelers, used cars and Gold in Q3FY23. Overall, the bank is targeting a loan growth of 15% in FY23.

    Fund managers who bought shares of RBL Bank

    Fund managers who added shares of RBL include Kinjal Desai and Ashutosh Bhargava toNippon India Small Cap Fund - Growth, Kinjal Desai and Anand Gupta to Nippon India Arbitrage Fund Growth, Sonam Udasi and Abhinav Sharma to Tata Flexi Cap Fund Regular Growth, and Sanjeev Sharma and Vasav Sahgal to Quant Small Cap Fund Growth.

    Delhivery - Path to profitability on the horizon

    Delhivery, the largest fully-integrated logistics player in India by revenues, provides logistics services, including express parcel, e-commerce delivery and heavy goods delivery. Its network includes 122 gateways, 21 automated sort centres and 93 fulfilment centres.

    In Q2FY23, its revenue from services was Rs 1,796 crore, up 22% YoY from Rs 1,474 in Q2FY22. Loss after tax in the same period narrowed down to Rs 254 crore from Rs 643 crore in Q2FY22. Overall, the company’s adjusted EBITDA loss reduced to Rs 125 crore in Q2FY23 on a sequential basis from Rs 217 crore in Q1FY23. As chances of profitability improve, there is growing interest in the stock from domestic institutions.

    Fund managers who bought shares of Delhivery

    Shares of Delhivery were added to respective portfolios by R Srinivasan and Mohit Jain for SBI Flexicap Fund Regular Growth, Priya Ranjan and Roshi Jain for HDFC Flexi Cap Fund Growth as well asHDFC Focused 30 Fund Growth, and Harish Bihani and Sharmila D’mello for ICICI Prudential Transportation and Logistics Fund Regular Growth.

    Biocon - Acquisitions and international deals could improve company’s health

    Biocon is a biopharmaceutical company. It develops therapy for chronic diseases such as autoimmune disease, diabetes and cancer. It has developed and introduced novel biologics, biosimilars, differentiated small molecules and affordable recombinant human insulin and analogues into the market. 

    Biocon via its subsidiary, Biocon Biologics, will acquire the global biosimilars portfolio of Viatris. It expects the deal with Viatris to close in the second half of the current financial year. Through this deal, Biocon will gain Viatris’ global biosimilars business, whose revenues are estimated to be $1 billion next year, along with its portfolio of in-licensed biosimilar assets. This is an important deal for Biocon because it gives the Bengaluru-based company access to Semglee, an insulin brand.

    The company also announced signing a strategic out-licensing agreement with Japanese pharmaceutical company Yoshindo Inc. for commercialising two of its pipeline biosimilar assets in the Japanese market. The company is in talks with Japanese regulators for data on two clinical assets and looks to commercialise the same across different markets.

    Fund managers who bought shares of Biocon

    Buying interest in Biocon was seen from Hiten Shah for Kotak Equity Arbitrage Fund Growth, Neelesh Surana for Mirae Asset Tax Saver Fund -Regular Plan-Growth, Sailesh Jain for Tata Arbitrage Fund Regular Growth, and Neeraj Kumar and Arun R for SBI Arbitrage Opportunities Fund Regular Growth.

    Prestige Estates - Expanding footprint across the country

    Prestige Estates is India’s largest developer in terms of booking value for FY22. Most of their projects are executed in Bengaluru and Hyderabad. The company has entered into Mumbai and NCR as well and is targeting aggressive growth in these geographies.

    Prestige Estates has reported pre-sales in value terms at Rs 3,511 crore in Q2FY23, up 66% YoY. In volume terms, bookings increased to 4.55 million square feet (msf). Collections rose 68% YoY to Rs 2,603 crore in Q2FY23 and it launched five projects spanning 7.39 msf this quarter.

    Fund managers who bought shares of Prestige Estates

    Additions to respective schemes were made by Neelesh Surana and Ankit Jain to Mirae Asset Emerging Bluechip Fund Growth, Ankit Jain to Mirae Asset Midcap Fund Regular Growth, Neelesh Surana to Mirae Asset Tax Saver Fund -Regular Plan-Growth and Roshi Jain and Priya Ranjan toHDFC TaxSaver Growth.

    Anupam Rasayan - Chemical company benefiting from China+1 factor

    Anupam Rasayan is engaged in custom synthesis and manufacture of life science-related speciality chemicals in India. 

    In Q2FY23, its operating revenue was Rs 31.07 crore, a YoY growth of 25%, while EBITDA was Rs 89.8 crore, a YoY growth of 29%. It also raised around Rs 500 crore through Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP) for growth capex in Q2FY23. Proceeds will be utilised for building multipurpose plants in existing units at Sachin and Jhagadia. A cash balance of Rs 192.1 crore in H1FY23 would be sufficient for the planned capex.

    Fund managers who bought shares of Anupam Rasayan

    Fund managers who added shares of Anupam Rasayan include Sanjeev Sharma and Vasav Sahgalfor Quant Active Fund Growth, Mahesh Patil and Dhaval Shah for Aditya Birla Sun Life Multi-Cap Fund Regular Growth, Satyabrata Mohanty for Aditya Birla Sun Life Equity Advantage Fund Growth, and Sandeep Manam and Akhil Kalluri for Franklin India Smaller Companies Fund Growth.

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    The Baseline created a screener Significant (over 30%) distance …
    16 Nov 2022, 10:48AM

    Significant (over 30%) distance from 52 week high

    Stocks that fell sharply in recent months, with distance from year high of more than 50%
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    The Baseline
    15 Nov 2022
    Analysts make five stock picks in Industrials

    Analysts make five stock picks in Industrials

    By Suhas Reddy

    This week, we take a look at analyst picks from the Industrial Machinery sector 

    1. 3M India: ICICI Securities maintains a ‘Buy’ call on this industrial machinery company with a target price of Rs 27,400. This indicates an upside of 10.4%. In Q2FY23, the company’s revenue increased by 19.2% to Rs 1,011.5 crore and profit grew 65.4% to Rs 106.2 crore. 

    Aniruddha Joshi, Karan Bhuwania and Pranjal Garg believe that strong numbers across all segments led to revenue growth. According to them, “Timely price hikes and other cost-saving initiatives helped 3M India expand EBITDA margins by 161 bps YoY amid input inflation, supply-chain challenges and rupee depreciation.”

    The abrasive products manufacturer announced its first-ever dividend of Rs 850 per share in Q2FY23. This will lead to a cash outflow of Rs 957.5 crore but analysts believe that 3M’s capability to invest in capex remains intact even after the payment due to net cash of Rs 400 crore. They estimate revenue and PAT CAGR of 18.1% and 36.6% respectively over FY22-24.

    1. Cummins India: HDFC Securities maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this engine equipment manufacturer with a target price of Rs 1,597, indicating an upside of 18.8%. In Q2FY23, the company’s net profit rose 20.9% YoY to Rs 267.3 crore (beating brokerage’s estimates by 12.7%) and revenue grew 13.1% YoY (beating brokerage’s estimates by 10%). 

    Analysts Anuj Upadhyay and Hinal Choudhary see a lot of headroom for the firm to grow on the back of a strong demand environment, both in domestic and export markets. They say, “Demand is especially strong in the power-gen segment where end markets like pharma, biotech, commercial realty, manufacturing and data centres are driving growth.” 

    Upadhyay and Choudhary expect Cummins’ margins to expand, given the price hikes and softening commodity prices amid a strong demand environment. They see the company’s gross margin rising by 400 bps to 35-36% in 18-24 months. The analysts expect the firm’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 13.6% over FY22-25. 

    1. Elecon Engineering: Edelweiss maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this industrial machinery company with a target price of Rs 480. This implies an upside of 6.6%. In Q2FY23, the company’s net profit grew 82.3% YoY to Rs 64.5 crore and revenue rose 21.5% YoY to Rs 296 crore. 

    Analyst Himanshu Yadav remains positive on its growth prospects given the strong order enquiries, robust order book and rising margin trend. He added that the gear segment was the key driver of growth in Q2 and will continue to remain a growth lever in the coming quarters. The firm’s order book stands at Rs 714 crore, including gear segment’s orders at Rs 602 crore. 

    Yadav believes that the company’s margins will continue to improve on the back of a better product mix and supply chain improvements. “Margin guidance of 22% provides increased confidence in bottom-line growth,” he said. He also sees Elecon raising its revenue growth guidance for FY23 as positive. The analyst expects the firm’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 24.5% over FY22-24. 

    1. APL Apollo Tubes:Axis Direct retains its ‘Buy’ rating on this iron & steel products maker with a target price of Rs 1,200, indicating an upside of 11.3%. In Q2FY23, the company’s net profit rose 14.4% YoY to Rs 150.2 crore and revenue grew 28.7% YoY to Rs 3,969.2 crore. 

    Analyst Aditya Welekar believes that the company’s performance in Q2 was commendable considering the tough market and volatile steel prices. He says the company focused on maintaining market share and liquidating its high-cost inventory by offering many discounts to distributors. From Q3FY23 onwards, he expects market conditions to improve. 

    The analyst said, “Going forward, as steel prices stabilise, we expect EBITDA per tonne to improve as discounts to distributors decrease and the Raipur plant ramp-up provides richer EBITDA per tonne in the product mix”. 

    Welekar expects APL Apollo’s margins and production volume to grow significantly in the coming quarters. He expects the company’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 24.8% over FY22-25. 

    1. SKF India: ICICI Direct retains its ‘Buy’ call on this ball-bearing manufacturer with a target price of Rs 5,215, indicating an upside of 7.6%. In Q2FY23, the company’s revenue increased by 11.6% YoY to Rs 1,088.4 crore (vs brokerage’s estimate of Rs 1,105.9 crore) and profit increased 32.5% YoY to Rs 155.8 crore (vs brokerage’s estimate of Rs 141.7 crore). 

    Chirag Shah and Yash Panwar say, “SKF has been making strides towards innovation and research and development and has made significant inroads in rotating equipment performance.” Going forward, they think a recovery in commercial vehicles and the upcoming e-market should benefit the company. The analysts remain optimistic on the back of shifting focus towards indigenisation of industrial bearings, strong traction from railways, and increasing presence in tier-3 cities.

    Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.

    (You can find all analyst picks here)

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    The Baseline created a screener PE Buy Zone Stocks …
    15 Nov 2022

    PE Buy Zone Stocks With Brokers Recommending Buy, Showing Rising YoY Revenue and Net Profit

    Stocks in the PE Buy Zone whose revenue and net profit have risen YoY with RSI higher than 70. This screener tracks live results as they come in
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    The Baseline
    11 Nov 2022
    Which stocks did superstar investors buy in Q2FY23?

    Which stocks did superstar investors buy in Q2FY23?

    By Abhiraj Panchal

    With the economic recovery looking decidedly mixed, many investors are taking inspiration from the portfolios of Superstar investors like Rakesh Jhunjhunwala, Sunil Singhania, Ashish Kacholia, and Dolly Khanna to identify sectors and stocks to invest in. We take a look at some stocks that these Superstars bought during Q2FY23.

    These superstars have very different preferences - this is visible in the sectors that have the biggest share in their portfolios. Singhania’s most favoured sector is software, while Kedia prefers telecom, Veliyath favours consumer services companies, and so on.  

    In Q2FY23, most of the biggest buys of superstar investors were new additions to their portfolios. Only Porinju, Mohnish Parbrai, and Vijay Kedia’s biggest buys were in existing portfolio stocks. This suggests that the majority of the investors in focus see growth opportunities outside their existing holdings. 

    Rakesh Jhunjhunwala’s portfolio increases stake in Tata companies in Q2

    Rakesh Jhunjhunwala’s net worth in Q2FY23 rose by 30.7% QoQ to Rs 33,225.8 crore. During the quarter, the big bull’s portfolio, now managed by investment firm Rare Enterprises, added a 7.9% stake in household appliances company Singer India. This was the only new addition to his portfolio in Q2FY23. This small-cap company’s share price increased 76.8% in Q2FY23. 

    Rakesh Jhunjhunwala’s portfolio increased stakes in Tata Communication and Titan by 0.5% each to 1.6% and 5.5% respectively in Q2. It also raised its stake in healthcare player Fortis Healthcare, by 0.4% to 4.7%. Rare Enterprises also bought minor stakes in NCC and Tata Motors. 

    Sunil Singhania’s Abakkus Fund adds stake in multiple small-cap companies in Q2FY23

    Sunil Singhania’s Abakkus Fund saw its consolidated net worth rise 28.9% QoQ in Q2FY23 to Rs 2,079.2 crore. It made a new addition, pharmaceutical company Jubilant Pharmova to the portfolio by purchasing a 1.2% stake in this quarter. Abakkus also added a 0.4% stake in Stylam Industries, a manufacturer of decorative laminates, fascia, exterior cladding, etc., increasing the total holding to 2.3% in the company.

    By adding minor additional stakes in already existing small-cap portfolio companies like Sarda Energy & Minerals, Hindware Home Innovation, HIL, and Rupa & Company, Abakkus now holds 1.9%, 5%, 3.1%, and 4.1% stakes in them respectively. 

    The Fund also added minor stakes in Siyaram Silk Mills (now holds a 2.1% stake) and Ion Exchange (now holds a 3.1% stake) during Q2FY23. 

    Ashish Kacholia goes on a buying spree, adds eight new stocks to portfolio

    Ashish Kacholia’s net worth increased 15.3% QoQ to Rs 1,772 crore in Q2FY23. Kacholia bought stakes in several new stocks - he added a fresh 3.3% stake of IT networking equipment company D-Link (India), 2.6% of petrochemicals trader Agarwal Industrial Corp, and 2% of iron and steel products retailer Shankara Building Products to his portfolio. 

    He also purchased new stakes in Moongipa Securities (1.1%), Best Agrolife (1.5%), Megastar Foods (1%), and Arvind Fashions (1.1%) during the quarter. The only mid-cap company stake he bought was 1% in Rainbow Childrens Medicare.

    Apart from these new buys, the marquee investor also bought an additional 1.3% stake in Hindware Home Innovation (now holds 2.7%), 1% in Ador Welding (now holds 4.2%), 0.7% in Fineotex Chemical (now holds 2.6%), 0.5% in PCBL (now holds 1.9%) and Xpro India (now holds 4.4%) each, 0.4% in Barbeque-Nation Hospitality (now holds 1.4%) and TARC (now holds 1.9%) each. 

    The other companies where Kacholia increased stakes are Garware Hi-Tech Films, La Opala RG, Gravita India, SJS Enterprises, and Faze Three. 

    Vijay Kedia’s pick hits an all-time high during Q2FY23

    Vijay Kedia’s net worth soared 56.1% QoQ to Rs 770.7 crore. He bought an additional 0.1% stake in Elecon Engineering in Q2FY23. The company is specialised in manufacturing industrial gear and equipment. Its stock price rose to Rs 341.9 on September 30, 2022, from Rs 261.5 on July 1, 2022,   a rise of 30.8% during the quarter. Elecon Engineering even hit its all-time high of Rs 415.6 on September 14, 2022. 

    Dolly Khanna adds one small cap to her portfolio and increases her stake in seven companies 

    Dolly Khanna’s net worth saw a marginal increase of 1.9% QoQ to Rs 521.4 crore in Q2. During the quarter, she bought a 1.1% stake in J Kumar Infraprojects, a small-cap construction & engineering company. 

    She increased her stake in the apparels and accessories company Monte Carlo Fashions, by 0.7%, taking her stake to 2.5%. The ace investor also raised her stakes in Simran Farms, Talbros Automotive Components, and Prakash Pipes by 0.2%, 0.1%, and 0.1% to hold 2.2%, 1.2%, and 2.8% respectively. 

    Other companies where she increased her stake during the quarter include Deepak Spinners, Zuari Industries, and Ajanta Soya.

    Porinju V Veliyath adds one small cap to his portfolio 

    Porinju V Veliyath’s net worth improved 22.1% QoQ to Rs 177.2 crore in Q2FY23. This quarter, the investor mainly bought stakes in small- and micro-cap companies. He bought a stake of 1.1% in the household appliances company, Hindware Home Innovation. It was the only new addition to his portfolio in Q2. 

    During the quarter, Porinju raised his stake in Duroply Industries by 1.3%. He now holds 7%. The company is involved in the manufacturing and sale of plywood, decorative veneers, block boards, doors, etc. The stock rose 29% in Q2FY23. He also raised his stake in Aurum Proptech and Ashok Alco-Chem by 0.3% and 0.2% to hold 2% and 4.1% respectively. 

    Mohnish Pabrai increases his stake in petcoke business Rain Industries  

    Mohnish Pabrai’s net worth in Q2FY23 rose by 39.5% QoQ to Rs 1,653.4 crore. The ace investor increased his stake in only one company from his portfolio during the quarter. His stake in the petcoke company, Rain Industries, is up by 0.4% (he now holds 8.8%). The stock rose 13.1% in Q2FY23.

    See all superstar portfolios here.

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    The Baseline
    11 Nov 2022
    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    1. PI Industries: This agrochemical company’s share price rose 9.9% and touched an all-time high of Rs 3,698.5 on Wednesday, post its Q2FY23 results. Net profit rose 46% YoY to Rs 334.8 crore, and PI Industries features in a screener for stocks nearing their 52-week high with significant volumes. 

    According to its management, strong demand for crop protection products during the Kharif season owing to a normal monsoon, healthy reservoirs and price realisations helped the revenue grow by 31% YoY to Rs 1,770 crore. Revenue numbers beat Trendlyne’s Forecaster estimates by 7.9%, while net profit beat the estimates by 19.6%. The company has also revised its capex plan for FY23 upwards by Rs 50 crore to Rs 700 crore. 

    According to Prabhudas Lilladher, the company’s margins are expected to grow from their current levels due to strong enquiries in the custom synthesis manufacturing (CSM) business and new launches in the domestic segment. The brokerage maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on the company with an upside of 20% (Rs 4,350). The company also features in a screener for stocks with improving book value for the past two years. 

    1. Divi's Laboratories: This pharma company’s share price fell by over 10% in two trading sessions, and hit a new 52-week low after Q2FY23 results were announced on Monday. Divi’s Labs’ Q2 revenue dipped 6.7% YoY, while its net profit fell 18.6%. As a result, this drug maker features in a screener for companies that declared results in the past week with falling net profit YoY or QoQ. 

    A 37% fall in the custom synthesis segment revenue, which contributes to over 40% of the top line, led to a drop in revenue growth. This steep fall was due to a decline in the sales of Molnupiravir (a drug used to treat Covid-19). However, the management said the company has onboarded several new clients in the past six months and it will support growth in the custom synthesis segment over the next four to six quarters. But ICICI Direct, in its brokerage report, reduced the target price and downgraded the stock to ‘Hold’ from ‘Buy’. The brokerage cited low revenue growth visibility in the custom synthesis segment after Covid as the reason for the rating downgrade. 

    Despite weak Q2 results, a silver lining for Divi’s Labs is its revenue from the generic segment rising 34% YoY in Q2FY23. The management said it was looking at opportunities from patent expiries in 2023-25 in the generics space worth around $20 billion. In order to benefit from this opportunity, the drug maker had allocated capex worth around Rs 1,500 crore for the Kakinada greenfield project. The management added that it is still waiting for government clearance for the establishment with all licences and permissions in place. 

    1. Jubilant Foodworks: This restaurant stock was among high-volume top loser stocks on Wednesday despite reporting a net profit rise of 9% YoY to Rs 131.5 crore in Q2FY23. Revenue for the company increased 16.6% YoY as new stores start generating revenue in Q2FY23. The company shows up on a screener of stocks with improving cash flow from operations over the past two years. However, analysts from ICICI Securities expected a better increase in revenue, given the price hikes and store expansions done by the company. 

    Rising raw material cost remains a concern as gross margin fell 200 bps YoY to 76.2% in Q2. High inflation in commodities like flour, milk and milk products contributed to an increase in costs. Also, the company’s inability to pass on price hikes was a problem as these were lower than inflation rates. Besides, in its earnings call, the management maintains its stance on not introducing further price hikes and plans to mitigate the problem of rising expenses through internal cost cuts and maintaining its operating leverage. Ashish Goenka, CFO, says, “Currently, we are not looking at any further price increase but  would absorb some of these cost increases in our margins.”

    Analysts expect the company’s growth story to continue but remain cautious given the high inflation scenario, no price hikes and less scope for improvement in margins in the short term. ICICI Securities and Prabhudas Lilladher maintain ‘Buy’ but have reduced their earnings estimates for the company. ICICI Sec cuts its earnings estimate by 2% after calculating revenue growth of 21% over FY22-24E, while Prabhudas Lilladher cuts FY23 EPS estimates by 7.8%. HDFC Securities, however, maintains a ‘Sell’ on the stock as it expects a slowdown in the company’s expansion plans. Jubilant also shows up on a screener where FIIs have decreased their shareholding by 1.1% QoQ in Q2FY23 but institutional holdings have increased their stake by 1.5%.

    1. Britannia Industries:  This FMCG company is rallying following its Q2FY23 results. It hit an all-time high of Rs 4,237, rising for four consecutive sessions on Wednesday. Britannia reported a 28% YoY increase in net profit to Rs 493.3 crore in Q2FY23. It recorded its highest quarterly revenue of Rs 4,379 crore, up 21.4% YoY in Q2FY23.

    Managing Director Varun Berry said, "An increase in distribution reach helped deliver a robust topline growth of 22% YoY, aided by mid-single-digit volume growth, as we record our highest quarterly revenue." The company’s revenue and net profit beat Trendlyne’s Forecaster estimates by 8.02% and 17.28% respectively. It also touched the market capitalisation mark of Rs 1 lakh crore on Monday.

    Several analysts are positive about the company’s potential to perform strongly in the upcoming quarters. ICICI Securities upgraded its rating on the stock to ‘Add’ from ‘Hold’, with a target price of Rs 4,300. The brokerage is optimistic about Britannia’s market share gains and expects the company to foray into new segments.

    Axis Direct also upgraded its rating to ‘Buy’ from ‘Hold’, with a target price of Rs 4,550. The brokerage remains positive about the company’s long-term prospects. Consensus estimates show 16 analysts recommending a ‘Strong Buy’ on the stock, with eight recommending ‘Buy’ and 10 recommending ‘Hold’.

    1. JK Lakshmi Cement: After announcing its Q2FY23 results on November 3, this cement maker gained 13.4% till Thursday, despite its net profit declining 27.6% YoY. The company’s revenue, on the other hand, rose 13.6% YoY driven by higher realisations, which grew 17% YoY. The uptrend in the stock price is due to the company beating the street’s Q2 estimates on the back of lower-than-expected margin erosion and higher realisations. Operational efficiencies, better product mix and low-cost fuel inventory helped absorb the high input costs. This helped the company beat Trendlyne’s Forecaster profit estimates by 34.5% in Q2. Given this better-than-expected performance, the stock saw four broker target upgrades and one broker recommendation upgrade over the past month. 

    As the company is focusing on improving production capacity, enhancing premium product sales and cost management, the street expects margin expansion and growth in profitability. According to Axis Direct, the company is well-positioned to capitalise on robust demand for cement in the coming quarters, amid the expectation of moderating cost pressures as commodity costs soften. 

    The company aims to increase its consolidated cement production capacity to 16.4 million tonnes (MT) by FY24. To meet its target, it is expanding the production capacity of its subsidiary Udaipur Cement Works by 2.5 MT to 4.7 MT, with a planned spend of  Rs 1,650 crore. To enhance cost management, JK Lakshmi is aiming to increase its share of green power usage in the next 9-10 months. 

    Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movement, analyst calls, or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.

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    The Baseline
    10 Nov 2022
    Chart of the week: Sectors see mixed investments from FPIs in October

    Chart of the week: Sectors see mixed investments from FPIs in October

    By Abdullah Shah

    Foreign investors have become increasingly selective of where they invest in the Indian market. While the net outflow of FPIs in October was just Rs 10 crore, they pulled out more than Rs 6,000 crore from just two sectors. 

    The Financial Services sector saw FPIs take out Rs 4,686 crore in October, the most among all sectors. While they pulled out Rs 1,673 crore in September. This suggests rising negative interest in the Indian market among foreign investors as the Financial Services sector is considered to be a proxy for the Indian economy, alongside the IT sector. Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector has the second highest pullout by FPIs to the tune of Rs 1,418 crore in October compared to a pull out of Rs 4,410 in September. 

    There is still hope for the Indian market as FPIs have invested Rs 1,289 crore in October in the Construction sector rising from an investment of Rs 628 in September, the most among all sectors. The IT sector comes in next with a net investment of Rs 945 crore. 


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