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Trendlyne Marketwatch US
Trendlyne Marketwatch US
15 Mar 2024

Markets are down today morning. Dow Jones was trading at 39043.32 (37.8, 0.1%) , S&P 500 was trading at 5165.31 (-10.0, -0.2%) while the broader US Tech Composite was trading at 16182.77 (-87.9, -0.5%)

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Sizzle Acquisition Corp - Units (1 Ord & 1/2 War) (20.88, 122.1%), Sizzle Acquisition Corp (22.50, 120.6%) and Aptorum Group Ltd - Ordinary Shares - Class A (6.77, 56.4%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Frontier Investment Corp - Ordinary Shares - Class A (0, -100%), L Catterton Asia Acquisition Corp - Ordinary Shares - Class A (0, -100%) and Gracell Biotechnologies Inc - ADR (0, -100%).

IXIX-CFD: highs, lows and moving averages

39 stocks outperformed, hitting 52 week highs, Stocks touching their year highs included - Gartner, Inc. (468.94, -1.6%), Progressive Corp. (201.87, 1.1%), Idex Corporation (241.35, 0.2%) and NRG Energy Inc. (63.39, 1.5%).

2 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Halliburton Co. (37.61, 3.0%) and Chevron Corp. (155.70, 1.2%).

11 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Laboratory Corp. Of America Holdings (209.01, -3.1%) and Kimco Realty Corporation (18.80, -2.9%).

82 stocks are currently overbought in RSI including Halliburton Co. (37.61, 3.0%) and Chevron Corp. (155.70, 1.2%).

140 stocks are currently oversold in RSI including Laboratory Corp. Of America Holdings (209.01, -3.1%) and Kimco Realty Corporation (18.80, -2.9%).

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The Baseline
15 Mar 2024
Five Interesting Stocks Today

1. Hindustan Aeronautics:

This defence company made a new 52-week high of Rs 3,428 on Monday as the company won orders worth Rs 8,073 crore from the Ministry of Defence, to manufacture 34 Dhruv Mk-III helicopters. According to the Ministry, the Army will get 25 and the Coast Guard will receive nine helicopters.

The company also got another deal this month worth Rs 5,300 crore to manufacture advanced engines for existing MiG-29 fighter jets. At the same time, it received a hike in its contract value for the development of Tejas fighter jets. According to a regulatory filing, the value of the contract has been revised to Rs 5,078 crore from Rs 2,701 crore earlier. The Indian Air Force plans to replace its aging MiG-21 aircraft with the Tejas Mark 1A by 2025.

In Q3FY24, the company’s net profit increased by 9.2% YoY to Rs 1,261.4 crore, while revenue went up by 5.8% YoY to Rs 6,521.3 crore. The EBITDA margin expanded by 629 bps YoY to 23.7%, led by lower provisions which fell 38% YoY. 

Chairman and Managing Director, C.B. Ananthakrishnan, emphasized the company's goal of expanding into the civil helicopter market, focusing on areas like air ambulance services, helicopter tourism, and offshore operations. Meanwhile, the capital outlay on aircraft and aero-engines for defence forces in the interim budget for FY25 has increased 44% YoY to Rs 40,800 crore from Rs 28,200 crore in FY24.

Prabhudas Liladhar highlights demand opportunities for the company owing to the government’s push for indigenous procurement in defence. They note that the company has a robust order book with a further five-year pipeline of Rs 2 lakh crore. The analysts have a ‘Hold’ rating as the stock is trading at a premium valuation. Analysts at CLSA however, gave the company an ‘Outperform’ rating with a target price of Rs 3,225.

2. Bharti Airtel:

This telecom services company has risen by 2.1% today, after it announced a couple of network footprint enhancement plans under its rural enhancement project in the Alappuzha and Bharuch District covering a total of 5,954 villages and 17 towns. The company is targeting rural areas including highways, tourist destinations and trade centers to gain over 40% revenue market share in the next 12-18 months and to bridge the gap with market leader Reliance Jio.

In Q3FY24, the company's net profit grew by 53.8% YoY to Rs 2,442.2 crore and revenue increased marginally by 6.3% YoY on the back of a 11.8% YoY increase in the Indian mobile services. But it saw a 7.1% YoY decline in the African mobile services segment, which accounts for 27% of the total revenues. In Africa the company serves 14 countries out of which Nigeria’s customer base growth was affected by new National Identity Number (NIN)/SIM regulations. While the firm beat Trendlyne Forecaster’s revenue estimate by 0.1%, it missed net profit estimate by 16.7% due to the decline in the overseas mobile services and weak digital TV profit margins.

The company added a net of 18.5 lakh wireless subscribers at the end of Q3 and saw a rise in market share of active wireless subscribers both sequentially and YoY to 36%. The company leads the average revenue per user (ARPU) in the industry which rose by 7.8% YoY to Rs 208 due to a richer product mix. Reliance Jio’s ARPU in comparison, was Rs 181.7 in Q3. The company anticipates ARPU to rise to Rs 300 due to 2G&3G consumer conversion to 4G and plans to focus on key markets in South, Maharashtra, and Bengal.

Gopal Vittal, MD & CEO of the firm, said, “Revenue from the India business sustained its momentum, while the consolidated revenue was impacted by the devaluation of the Nigerian Naira and Malawian Kwacha.  We remain on course with our strategy of premiumization that helped us add 7.4 million 4G/5G customers.”  

Axis Securities recommends a ‘Buy’ for Airtel with a target price of Rs 1,400. They say “Given the company’s strong recovery potential and strong conversion, rising digital portfolio, and moderated capex, we value the stock at Rs 1,400/share – a robust upside.”

3. Torrent Power:

This electric utilities company hit its all-time high of Rs 1,287.5 on Monday after announcing an order win worth Rs 1,540 crore to set up grid-connected solar PV projects in Nasik. The company has won several other projects over the past month, including a Rs 2,700 crore order from Railway Energy Management to supply round-the-clock renewable power, and an order from NTPC Vidyut Vyapar Nigam to supply power, with a minimum revenue potential of Rs 440 crore. Additionally, it won a 35-year build, own, operate and transfer contract from PFC Consulting with annual transmission charges of Rs 50 crore. Speaking about the rising order pipeline, General Manager Rishi Shah said, “There is an ongoing, good pipeline of projects in which we have bid, and we are hopeful that we'll be able to get them.”

Torrent Power’s profit for Q3FY24 fell 47.4% YoY to Rs 359.8 crore, while revenue fell by 1.6% YoY. The profit decline was due to a rise in higher depreciation and finance expenses. It also missed Trendlyne Forecaster’s profit and revenue estimates by 39.1% and 8.7%, respectively. However, the company posted strong operational numbers during the quarter, generating 1,994 MU of power, a 62% increase YoY. The firm appears in a screener for stocks with PE higher than their industries.

Torrent Power has an aggregate installed generation capacity of 4,287 MW and has renewable projects of 1,402 MW under development. Managing Director Jinal Mehta mentioned that the company will invest Rs 47,000 crore in Gujarat's green energy plan. The firm has also received an allocation of 18 KTPA of green hydrogen production under the solar PV PLI tender, at an average PLI of Rs 28.9 per kg.

Geojit BNP Paribas gives Torrent Power a ‘Sell’ call due to softening gas prices. The brokerage is cautious over the execution risks in renewable capacity additions, current high valuations, and the recent rise in stock price (up 59.1% in the past six months).

4. PayTM (One97 Communications):

This digital payments player saw its parent company One97 Communications’ share price hit the upper circuit on Friday, after it got the nod from NPCI for a third-party application provider licence. The NPCI approval for PayTM came just in time, as Paytm Payments Bank ceases operations today.  

The licence approval allows PayTM to continue with payments after PPB stops operations. Axis Bank, HDFC Bank, SBI and YES Bank will be the payment service provider banks for PayTM. YES Bank will be the merchant acquiring bank for both existing and new merchants, which means that the @Paytm handle will now redirect to YES Bank for transactions. 

Paytm's business model – minus PayTM Payments Bank, and with this licence – is now more like pure payment service companies like PhonePe and Google Pay. 

CFO Madhur Deora had estimated the “worst case scenario” of RBI’s action against PayTM at Rs. 300-500 crore impact on annual EBITDA, which is unlikely now that the business has received the licence. But PayTM is not yet completely out of the woods. One lingering question is how successful it will be in retaining its merchant base in the coming months, with competitors eyeing its customers in the wake of PayTM’s reputational damage. The merchants are key to Paytm’s bottomline. The average ticket size of PayTM’s merchant loans was Rs 2 lakh at the end of Q3FY24, Rs. 30,000 higher than the personal loan average.

UBS Securities recently highlighted the churn that is likely in PayTM’s customer and merchant base. It estimated this at 15-20%, with a 60% QoQ decline in loan origination. 

Analysts have been increasingly lukewarm on the stock since the RBI action – the Forecaster consensus is ‘Hold’. A major complaint from the regulator – weak corporate governance – is still visible. As analysts point out, Vijay Sekhar Sharma remains MD, Chairman and CEO of the company. PayTM seems reluctant to reform unless pushed, and regulators as a result may continue to side-eye the company on its various corporate governance and transparency issues.

5. Rail Vikas Nigam

This construction & engineering stock fell by 8.6% on Wednesday as the broader market declined. However, it recovered sharply on Thursday to rise by 9.4% after its joint venture (JV) with Salasar Techno Engineering bagged an order worth Rs 174 crore from Madhya Pradesh Power Transmission. The company has also won eight other orders since February 7. 

The largest order is worth Rs 888.6 crore from the Himachal Pradesh State Electricity Board, received on February 7, 2024 to develop the distribution network in the South Zone of the state. The project is expected to be completed in the next 24 months.Other wins include new orders from the Madhya Pradesh Metro Rail Corp, and the Himachal Pradesh State Electricity Board. At the start of the year, the company also reportedly signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with REC to fund infra projects up to Rs 35,000 crore.

Commenting on the results, management said, “We have been actively exploring opportunities in Central Asia, the UAE, and Western Asia alongside our operations in the UAE. As a result, we anticipate achieving a profit that aligns with our performance in other sectors.”

However, despite a good order book, the company’s revenue reduced by 6.4% YoY in Q3FY24 to Rs 4,689.3 crore due to a high number of orders being in the execution phase. The management believes revenue is largely in line with the expectations of Rs 22,000 crore in FY24, despite falling during Q3FY24. It posted a revenue of Rs 16,080.5 crore in the first three quarters of FY24 and it expects the balance to be achieved in Q4FY24. However, its net profit declined by 6.2% YoY on the back of its taxes increasing by 74% YoY to Rs 112.8 crore during the quarter. 

Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movements, analyst calls, or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
15 Mar 2024
Market closes lower, Star India initiates arbitration proceedings against Zee at the London Court of Intl Arbitration
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 22,023.35 (-123.3, -0.6%), BSE Sensex closed at 72,643.43 (-453.9, -0.6%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 19,825.20 (-91.2, -0.5%). Market breadth is even. Of the 2,082 stocks traded today, 984 were gainers and 1,069 were losers.

Indian indices maintained the losses from the afternoon session and closed in the red. The volatility index, Nifty VIX, rose by 0.5% and closed at 13.7 points. The data released by the Election Commission revealed Bharti Airtel, Shree Cements, Aurobindo Pharma, Alkem Laboratories, Bajaj Auto and Torrent Pharmaceuticals as the buyers of electoral bonds between April 2019 and January 2024.

Nifty Smallcap 100 closed in the green, while Nifty Midcap 100 closed lower, following the benchmark index. Nifty FMCG and Nifty Metal closed marginally higher than Thursday’s closing level. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, hardware technology & equipment emerged as the top-performing sector of the day, with a rise of 1.4%. 

Most European indices trade lower, except for France’s CAC 40 and England’s FTSE 250 index trading higher. US indices futures trade flat, indicating a cautious start. Brent crude prices trade above $84 per barrel after surging 4% this week. A recent strike by Ukrainian forces on Russian oil refineries caused a fire at Rosneft’s biggest refinery. US crude stockpile also declined this week, leading to the gains for crude prices.

  • Relative strength index (RSI) indicates that stocks like Zydus Lifesciences and Intellect Design Arena are in the overbought zone.

  • NCC is falling sharply as its subsidiary, NCC Infrastructure Holdings, agrees to a Rs 175 crore settlement with TAQA India Power Ventures and Himachal Sorang. The settlement relates to the divestment of the Himachal Sorang Power Project. NCC will make the payment in three instalments to TAQA and Himachal Sorang.

  • Sikka Ports & Terminals and Jamnagar Utilities & Power acquire 0.5% and 1.1% stakes, respectively, in Jio Financial Services from Reliance Industries Holding.

  • Zee Entertainment Enterprises falls sharply as Star India initiates arbitration proceedings against the company at the London Court of International Arbitration. Star India claims non-compliance with the terms of an agreement signed between the two companies on August 26, 2022.

  • Citigroup notes that India's banking liquidity recovery has pushed key overnight rates closer to the policy rate after a five-month break, indicating the start of monetary policy easing in India. The brokerage observes that the weighted average of the call money rate remained roughly 15 points above the benchmark from October to January.

  • Vishnu Prakash R Punglia rises as it wins an order worth Rs 103.5 crore from HSIIDC Kharkhoda for the construction of 57 water treatment plants.

  • Krystal Integrated Services' Rs 300 crore IPO gets bids for 0.7X the available 30 lakh shares on offer on the second day of bidding. The retail investor quota gets bids for 0.7X the available 15.1 lakh shares on offer.

  • Ahluwalia Contracts is rising as it bags an order worth Rs 364 crore from the government of Assam to construct an open stadium at Amingaon Sports Complex, Assam. The project is expected to be completed in the next 24 months.

  • KPI Green Energy wins the bid for a 500 MW hybrid renewable power project by Gujarat Urja Vikas Nigam Limited (GUVNL), which includes an additional 500 MW greenshoe option.

  • Biocon falls as its Chief Financial Officer Indranil Sen resigns from the company, effective today.

  • Foreign institutional investors invest Rs 18,412.3 crore in the equity market over the past week, according to Trendlyne's FII dashboard. On the other hand, index options witness the highest outflow of Rs 51,903.5 crore from foreign investors. Meanwhile, mutual funds are net buyers in the equity market, injecting Rs 3,895.1 crore during the same period.

  • SpiceJet rises sharply as it signs a lease agreement for two wide-body A340 aircraft for its upcoming Haj operations. The airline's Haj operations generated Rs 337 crore in revenue in 2023.

  • India’s domestic air traffic grows by 4.8% YoY in February, according to DGCA data. IndiGo’s market share falls by 100 bps to 60.1% MoM, while Air India’s stands at 12.8%.

  • Auto stocks like TVS Motor, Hero MotoCorp, Mahindra & Mahindra and Bajaj Auto are falling in trade. The broader sectoral index, Nifty Auto, is also trading in the red.

  • Complying with the Supreme Court's directions, the Election Commission releases data on electoral bonds bought by companies and individuals from April 2019 to January 2024, sourced from State Bank of India. Buyers include Bharti Airtel, Shree Cements, Aurobindo Pharma, Alkem Laboratories, Bajaj Auto and Torrent Pharmaceuticals.

  • Navin Fluorine International's board of directors approve a Rs 250 crore investment in its subsidiary, Navin Fluorine Advanced Sciences. The company will use this investment to repay existing debts and further business funding requirements.

  • The Union government will soon announce the timeline for signing the US-led Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF) after the legal review of pillars III and IV are done. Pillar III will concentrate on advancing clean energy and environmentally sustainable technologies, while Pillar IV aims to boost investment, trade, and commerce in IPEF economies through the enforcement of robust anti-corruption and tax policies.

  • Metal stocks like Coal India, NMDC, Jindal Steel & Power and Jindal Stainless are falling in trade. All constituents of the broader BSE Metal index are also trading in the red, causing it to decline more than 2%.

  • L&T Technology Services rises as it bags a $100 million (approx. Rs 829.1 crore) program from the Maharashtra State Cyber Department to set up a cybersecurity centre for the state using its AI and digital forensic tools.

  • RailTel Corp of India wins a Rs 113.5 crore order from Odisha Computer Application Centre to establish network connectivity in Odisha under OdishaNet Phase-1.

  • As the government lowers petrol and diesel prices by Rs 2 per litre starting today, shares of state-owned oil marketing companies (OMCs) such as Hindustan Petroleum Corporation (HPCL), Bharat Petroleum Corporation (BPCL), and Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) decline.

  • Shakti Pumps (India) hits its upper circuit following a Rs 93 crore work order win from the Maharashtra Energy Department Agency, set to be completed within 120 days.

  • One97 Communications hits the upper circuit as the National Payment Corp of India approves it to participate in UPI as a third-party application provider under the multi-bank mode.

  • Eris Lifesciences signs an agreement with Biocon Biologics to acquire its Indian branded formulations business for Rs 1,242 crore. The company has also entered into a deal with Swiss Parenterals to acquire a 19% stake for Rs 238 crore.

  • Ashok Leyland is rising as its subsidiary, Hinduja Tech, signs an agreement to secure $50 million (approx. Rs 414.8 crore) investment from Creador for a 19.6% stake in the company.

  • Nifty 50 was trading at 22,094.85 (-51.8, -0.2%) , BSE Sensex was trading at 72,886.77 (-210.5, -0.3%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 19,912.15 (-4.2, 0.0%)

  • Of the 1,839 stocks traded today, 1,216 showed gains, and 569 showed losses.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Relaxo Footwears Ltd. (887.90, 10.6%), Solar Industries India Ltd. (8,855.50, 8.7%) and IDBI Bank Ltd. (84.20, 5.7%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd. (468.85, -6.3%), Biocon Ltd. (251.65, -5.9%) and Indian Oil Corporation Ltd. (161, -5.5%).

Crowd Puller Stocks

30 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Cochin Shipyard Ltd. (890.45, 10.7%), Relaxo Footwears Ltd. (887.90, 10.6%) and ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Ltd. (15,313, 7.9%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd. (468.85, -6.3%), Indian Oil Corporation Ltd. (161, -5.5%) and Hindustan Zinc Ltd. (289.40, -4.9%).

Supreme Petrochem Ltd. (604.10, -3.9%) was trading at 9.7 times of weekly average. Campus Activewear Ltd. (232.25, 5.2%) and Metro Brands Ltd. (1,078.75, 3.8%) were trading with volumes 9.6 and 6.4 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

5 stocks took off, crossing 52 week highs, while 5 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Bharti Airtel Ltd. (1,220, 2.1%), Colgate-Palmolive (India) Ltd. (2,728.55, 1.5%) and Solar Industries India Ltd. (8,855.50, 8.7%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Hindustan Zinc Ltd. (289.40, -4.9%) and Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd. (141.70, -3.5%).

25 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Relaxo Footwears Ltd. (887.90, 10.6%) and ZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Ltd. (15,313, 7.9%). 10 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Biocon Ltd. (251.65, -5.9%) and Century Plyboards (India) Ltd. (664, -3.8%).

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
14 Mar 2024
Market closes higher, Yes Bank's promoters reportedly plan to sell its 51% stake in the company for $8-9 billion
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 22,146.65 (149.0, 0.7%), BSE Sensex closed at 73,097.28 (335.4, 0.5%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 19,916.35 (270.1, 1.4%). Market breadth is ticking up strongly. Of the 2,096 stocks traded today, 1,695 were on the uptrend, and 377 went down.

Indian indices extended their gains from the afternoon session and closed in the green. The Indian volatility index, Nifty VIX, fell 5.6% and closed at 13.6 points. Rail Vikas Nigam closed sharply higher after its joint venture (JV) with Salasar Techno Engineering bagged an order worth Rs 174 crore from Madhya Pradesh Power Transmission.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed in the green, taking cues from the benchmark index. Nifty Energy and Nifty Infra closed higher than their Wednesday close. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, Telecommunications Equipment emerged as the top-performing sector of the day, with a rise of 11%.

Most Major Asian indices closed lower except for India’s BSE Sensex and Japan’s Nikkei 225 closing in the green. European indices trade flat or higher amid mixed global cues. US index futures traded in the green, indicating a positive start to the trading session. Brent crude oil futures traded in the green after closing 2% higher on Wednesday.

  • Multi Commodity Exchange of India sees a long buildup in its March 28 future series as its open interest rises 9.4% with a put-call ratio of 0.3.

  • Genesys International Corp surges as it wins a contract worth Rs 155 crore from Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation to develop an accurate 3D city model and map stack for Mumbai, with updates scheduled over the next three years.

  • Yes Bank surges more than 9% as reports emerge that the lender's promoter is planning to sell its entire 51% stake in the company for $8-9 billion (approx. Rs 66,272-74,556 crore).

  • Adani Green Energy rises over 7% as Adani Renewable Energy signs power purchase agreements (PPAs) with Solar Energy Corporation of India (SECI) for 534 MW of solar power projects. This agreement brings the company's total renewable energy project portfolio to 21,778 MWac capacity.
  • Power Mech Projects rises as it receives a Rs 305.8 crore order from South East Central Railway to build an electrified railway line in Chhattisgarh.

  • Rail Vikas Nigam surges more than 9% as its joint venture (JV) with Salasar Techno Engineering bags an order worth Rs 174 crore from Madhya Pradesh Power Transmission. The order is for the construction of 132kV & 220kV transmission lines and associated feeder bays in Madhya Pradesh.

  • Popular Vehicles and Services' Rs 601.6 crore IPO gets bids for 0.9X the available 1.4 crore shares on offer on the third day of bidding. The retail investor quota gets bids for 0.9X the available 72.8 lakh shares on offer.

  • Fitch Ratings raises India's FY25 real gross domestic product (GDP) forecast to 7% from 6.5%, citing strong domestic demand and increasing corporate and consumer confidence. However, it has moderated its stance on rate cuts.

  • GAIL (India) rises sharply as it plans to enter the liquified natural gas (LNG) business, with an investment of Rs 650 crore, to set up LNG dispensing infrastructure.

  • SpiceJet rises over 5% as it signs agreements to lease 10 aircraft to expand its fleet for the upcoming summer schedule. The airline also benefits from settlement agreements that included receiving three airframes, leading to savings of Rs 685 crore.

  • Zydus Lifesciences rises as it receives final approval from the US FDA to manufacture and market chlorpromazine hydrochloride injection. It is used in the treatment of schizophrenia, psychotic disorders, manic phase or bipolar disorder. It also receives tentative approval from the US FDA to manufacture and market edaravone injections.

  • India’s WPI inflation eases to 0.2% in February from 0.3% in January 2024. Wholesale food inflation stands at 4.1%, compared to 3.8% in January.

  • KEC International is rising as it bags multiple orders worth Rs 2,257 crore across transmission & distribution, oil & gas pipelines, civil and cables businesses in international and domestic markets.

  • Bajel Projects rises as it wins an order worth Rs 358.4 crore from Power Grid Corp of India to supply goods and services for transmission line package.

  • Kalpataru Projects International wins new orders worth Rs 2,445 crore from Indian and overseas clients under transmission & distribution, and buildings & factories businesses.

  • According to a Colliers report, foreign investors have annually invested an average of $4 billion in India over the past five years, owing to its economic resilience, attractive investment climate, and rising urbanization. Foreign inflows rebounded in 2023, up by 20% YoY to $3.6 billion. The firm expects sustained investor interest, with new funds eager to enter the Indian market.

  • Larsen & Toubro's hydrocarbon vertical secures an order worth Rs 5,000-10,000 crore from a client in the Middle East for an onshore gas pipeline project.

  • Cholamandalam Investment & Finance rises as it buys 4.7 acres from DLF Home Developers for Rs 735 crore in Chennai.

  • Paramount decides to sell its entire stake in TV18 Broadcast to Reliance for Rs 4,286 crore, reports suggest.

  • Gopal Snacks’ shares debut on the bourses at a 12.5% discount to the issue price of Rs 401. The Rs 650 crore IPO has received bids for 9 times the total shares on offer.

  • India's average cement price has fallen by 4.63% sequentially so far in Q4, with every region seeing a drop. The most significant QoQ declines were in the east (5.5%) and south (5.3%). While Q4 demand slightly improved, sales were negatively affected by harsh winters in the north, financial issues in the east, and farmer protests in the NCR and Punjab markets.

  • Azad Engineering is rising as it signs a seven-year contract worth $35 million (approx. Rs 290 crore) with Vernova to supply high-complex rotating airfoils for the nuclear, industrial and thermal power industries.

  • Tata Motors inks an agreement with the Tamil Nadu government to set up a Rs 9,000 crore vehicle manufacturing facility.

  • IIFL Finance's board of directors approves a Rs 2,0000 crore fundraising plan, aiming for Rs 1,500 crore through a rights issue of shares and Rs 500 crore via non-convertible debentures (NCDs).

  • Hindustan Aeronautics reportedly bags two contracts worth Rs 8,073 crore from the defence ministry to supply 34 advanced light helicopters for the Indian Army and Coast Guard.

  • Nifty 50 was trading at 21,929.95 (-67.8, -0.3%), BSE Sensex was trading at 72,655.65 (-106.2, -0.2%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 19,585 (-61.3, -0.3%).

  • Market breadth is in the red. Of the 1,923 stocks traded today, 837 were gainers and 1,056 were losers.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Solar Industries India Ltd. (8,352, 13.7%), Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. (140.25, 12.9%) and YES Bank Ltd. (23.45, 11.9%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Axis Bank Ltd. (1,058.25, -2.1%), Indian Bank (491.60, -1.9%) and IndusInd Bank Ltd. (1,476.75, -1.7%).

Volume Shockers

17 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included BLS International Services Ltd. (343.15, 19.2%), ITI Ltd. (276.55, 18.3%) and SJVN Ltd. (118.65, 17.2%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Sterling and Wilson Renewable Energy Ltd. (499.60, -2.9%), Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd. (618.75, -1.3%) and Minda Corporation Ltd. (378.15, -1.1%).

Ipca Laboratories Ltd. (1,183.20, 4.4%) was trading at 6.6 times of weekly average. Vedant Fashions Ltd. (955, 5.1%) and Sunteck Realty Ltd. (397.30, -0.7%) were trading with volumes 5.6 and 5.4 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

2 stocks made 52 week highs, while 22 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Colgate-Palmolive (India) Ltd. (2,687.40, 4.5%) and Solar Industries India Ltd. (8,352, 13.7%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Atul Ltd. (5,963.55, -0.5%) and Bata India Ltd. (1,407.15, 0.3%).

25 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Easy Trip Planners Ltd. (45.50, 9.2%) and Trident Ltd. (38.20, 7.5%). 29 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Archean Chemical Industries Ltd. (588.40, -3.1%) and Bikaji Foods International Ltd. (492.35, -2.2%).

Trendlyne Marketwatch
Trendlyne Marketwatch
13 Mar 2024
Market trades lower, Larsen & Toubro wins a construction order worth Rs 1,000-2,500 crore
By Trendlyne Analysis

Nifty 50 closed at 21,997.70 (-338, -1.5%), BSE Sensex closed at 72,761.89 (-906.1, -1.2%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 19,646.30 (-525.1, -2.6%). Market breadth is overwhelmingly negative. Of the 2,095 stocks traded today, 83 were in the positive territory and 2,008 were negative.

Indian indices extended their losses from the afternoon session and closed in the red. The volatility index, Nifty VIX, rose by 5.8% and closed at 14.4 points. SJVN bags a letter of intent (LoI) from Gujarat Urja Vikas Nigam to commission a 500 MW solar project at GIPCL Solar Park in Khavda. The expected capex for the project is Rs 2,700 crore.

Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 closed lower following the benchmark index. Nifty FMCG closed marginally higher than Tuesday’s closing level. All other major sectoral indices closed lower. According to Trendlyne’s sector dashboard, food, beverages & tobacco emerged as the top-performing sector of the day, with a rise of over 0.3%. 

Most European indices trade lower, except for England’s FTSE 100 and Switzerland’s SMI index trading higher. US indices futures trade flat, indicating a cautious start. According to data released by Eurostat, European Industrial Production in January contracted by 3.2% monthly, against estimates of a 1.8% decline.

  • Relative strength index (RSI) indicates that stocks like ICICI Prudential Life Insurance, Zydus Lifesciences, Linde India and Siemens are in the overbought zone.

  • The Ministry of Railways revises its order with Oriental Rail Infrastructure to 3,055 wagons from 2,964. It also updates the order value to Rs 1,249.1 crore.

  • One97 Communications falls as the National Highways Authority of India advises Paytm FASTag users to procure a new FASTag issued by a different bank.

  • Sharekhan keeps its 'Buy' rating on Sun Pharmaceutical Industries with a target price of Rs 1,727. This indicates a potential upside of 11.6%. The brokerage remains positive due to the strong performance of specialty products and the company's dominant position in the Indian pharma market. It expects the company's revenue to grow at a CAGR of 12.2% over FY23-26.

  • Morgan Stanley's economists say investment is key to India's growth, with room for further gains from increased capital spending and export growth. They add that after a decade of decline, India's investment as a proportion of GDP is rapidly increasing and might reach 36% by 2027, up from a recent low of 28% in 2021.

  • Infibeam Avenues' Saudi Arabian subsidiary receives the payment technical service provider (PTSP) certification from SAMA (Saudi Payments) to operate as a payment processor.

  • Popular Vehicles and Services' Rs 601.6 crore IPO gets bids for 0.5X the available 1.4 crore shares on offer on the second day of bidding. The retail investor quota gets bids for 0.8X the available 72.8 lakh shares on offer.

  • Rail Vikas Nigam bags a letter of award (LoA) for an order worth Rs 106.4 crore from the Madhya Pradesh government for the supply, installation, testing and commissioning of 11 KV and 33 KV lines across the state.

  • The government allows the RBI to import gold without paying import duties, requiring only the payment of the Agriculture Infrastructure and Development Cess (AIDC) and basic customs duty. In September 2023, the RBI had 800.8 metric tonnes of gold, including 39.9 tonnes in gold deposits.

  • SJVN bags a letter of intent (LoI) from Gujarat Urja Vikas Nigam to commission a 500 MW solar project at GIPCL Solar Park in Khavda. The expected capex for the project is Rs 2,700 crore.

  • Infrastructure stocks like NCC, IRB Infrastructure Developers, Rail Vikas Nigam and NHPC decline more than 7% in trade. All constituents of the broader BSE India Infrastructure index are also trading in the red, causing it to plunge more than 5%.

  • ITC rises as British American Tobacco reportedly sells a 3.5% stake in the company for Rs 17,500 crore.

  • Lalit Agarwal, Founder & CMD of V-Mart Retail, expects strong March for the company, driven by weddings and festivals. He plans to achieve double-digit revenue growth and high single-digit same-store sales growth (SSSG) in FY25. He adds that while demand is increasing, it's weaker in smaller towns due to higher inflation.

  • Ventura initiates coverage on Sunteck Realty with a 'Buy' rating and a target price of Rs 664. This indicates a potential upside of 60.4%. The brokerage highlights the company's shift towards an asset-light model through JDAs and JVs. It expects the company's revenue to grow at a CAGR of 64% over FY23-26.

  • Utilities stocks like Adani Green Energy, NHPC, SJVN and JSW Energy plunge more than 5% in trade. All constituents of the broader S&P BSE Utiliti are also trading in the red, causing it to fall more than 5%.

  • Nazara Technologies plans to invest $100 million (approx. Rs 830 crore) in mergers and acquisitions over the next two years.

  • The joint venture (JV) between the Tata Group and Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing Corporation (PSMC) of Taiwan plans to launch a semiconductor chip by the end of 2026. This $11 billion project is expected to be partially funded by the central and state governments. The semiconductor factory is being built in Dholera, Gujarat.

  • Larsen & Toubro's buildings and factories vertical wins a construction order worth Rs 1,000-2,500 crore from the All-India Institute of Medical Sciences.

  • Reliance Industries' subsidiary, Reliance Ethane Holding Pte, invests $102.9 million (approx. Rs 852.7 crore) in three of its step-down subsidiaries, acquiring 34.3 lakh shares. The investments is aimed at supporting the construction of very large ethane carriers (VLECs).

  • SpiceJet is falling as it reportedly lays off three senior executives following an internal audit. The audit revealed these executives had cancelled scheduled flights to operate charter flights instead.

  • Jet Airways (India) rises as the National Company Law Appellate Tribunal (NCLAT) upholds the company's resolution plan and approves the transfer of ownership to Jalan Kalrock Consortium within 90 days. The tribunal has also directed the company's lenders to adjust the Rs 150 crore paid by the consortium as a performance bank guarantee.

  • J G Chemicals’ shares debut on the bourses at a 5.4% discount to the issue price of Rs 221. The Rs 251.2 crore IPO has received bids for 27.8 times the total shares on offer

  • HG Infra Engineering wins an order worth Rs 709.1 crore from the East Central Railway to construct a double-line track in the Gaya-Son Nagar section, Bihar.

  • Zydus Family Trust, promoter of Zydus Wellness, acquires a 0.3% stake in the company. It now holds a 12% stake.

  • Shalby acquires a 100% equity stake in the Healers Hospital, Gurugram, for approx Rs 104 crore.

  • Nifty 50 was trading at 22,401.30 (65.6, 0.3%) , BSE Sensex was trading at 73,993.40 (325.4, 0.4%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 20,238.65 (67.3, 0.3%)

  • Of the 1,878 stocks traded today, 1,228 showed gains, and 585 showed losses.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include ITC Ltd. (422.45, 4.5%), Abbott India Ltd. (27,400, 1.5%) and CG Power and Industrial Solutions Ltd. (461.45, 1.3%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include NHPC Ltd. (78.15, -9.8%), Macrotech Developers Ltd. (1,012.60, -9.7%) and Adani Total Gas Ltd. (873, -9.5%).

Volume Rockets

26 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included ITC Ltd. (422.45, 4.5%), Intellect Design Arena Ltd. (1,129.75, 1.1%) and Whirlpool of India Ltd. (1,259.60, 0.5%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Rites Ltd. (585.55, -15.5%), Swan Energy Ltd. (473.90, -13.2%) and Jindal Saw Ltd. (391.05, -11.7%).

APL Apollo Tubes Ltd. (1,492.45, -6.3%) was trading at 12.0 times of weekly average. SKF India Ltd. (4,094.25, -1.3%) and Lakshmi Machine Works Ltd. (13,650, -2.8%) were trading with volumes 5.0 and 4.7 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

4 stocks made 52 week highs, while 29 stocks tanked below their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Colgate-Palmolive (India) Ltd. (2,572.40, -1.2%), Phoenix Mills Ltd. (2,589.45, -7.7%) and Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. (4,149, -1.0%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Atul Ltd. (6,000, -1.0%) and Bata India Ltd. (1,403.50, -1.7%).

4 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Rainbow Childrens Medicare Ltd. (1,104.40, 0.4%) and Tata Elxsi Ltd. (7,392.80, -2.4%). 59 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including BLS International Services Ltd. (287.95, -12.4%) and Jindal Saw Ltd. (391.05, -11.7%).

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The Baseline
13 Mar 2024
By Satyam Kumar

Voters will choose a new government in several countries across the world this year, in 2024. These elections could shape the global economy and geopolitics for years to come. 

This year’s election-bound countries represent nearly half of the world's population and Gross Domestic Product (GDP). We take a closer look at how these countries have been performing in the lead-up to the polls.

India’s flagship index is up 2.5X in the past four years, US and Japan indices double

India is gearing up for its Lok Sabha elections in April-May this year. The current ruling party, the Modi-led Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), is the frontrunner in the polls and is looking for a third term. The BJP government has spent Rs 23 lakh crore on infrastructure in the past three years (FY22-24) as part of the ‘Infra Push’. It has also implemented various production-linked incentive (PLI) schemes to encourage manufacturing in the country. Additionally, reforms to enhance the ease of doing business and initiatives to bolster manufacturing have added to India's growth.

India’s young population overtook that of China’s last year. With over 66% of its population of working age (between 18 and 64 years old), India has a rare demographic dividend that will help it produce goods at a faster pace, and drive technological innovation. The 'China-plus-one' strategy could also benefit India as companies worldwide seek to reduce their dependence on Chinese players.

India’s GDP growth rate came in at 7.5% in 2023, the highest among major economies. The nation’s flagship index, Nifty 50, delivered returns of 162% over four years, outperforming all other major global indices. The country’s GDP growth has been stable for the past five years, except during the Covid period when it declined by 5.8%. 

Japan's Nikkei 225 hits a new peak

Japan’s Nikkei 225 made a new all-time high after 34 years crossing 40,000 yen for the first time on March 4, as global investors bet on a long-overdue recovery from deflation. In 2023, Japan witnessed a GDP growth of 1.9%, improving on 2022’s 1% increase. Its benchmark index, Nikkei 225, has risen by 41% over the past year and by 110% over the past four years, led by strong earnings. A key driver for this rebound is inflation, and the country’s expected exit from negative rates later this year. 

In December 2023, three Japanese government ministers stepped down amid a corruption scandal involving alleged kickbacks of 500 million yen ($3.4 million) in the Liberal Democratic Party. Following this, there's been speculation about a general election later this year after the party's leadership vote in September.

US sees resilient growth, but faces sticky inflation and high interest rates

Coming to the largest democracy in terms of GDP, the United States witnessed GDP growth expansion in 2023 at 2.5%, compared to 1.9% in 2022. This growth came even though the Federal Reserve has been raising interest rates since March 2022. Most of the country’s stock rally in 2023 came from the Magnificient Seven. They made up about two-thirds of the S&P 500's gains last year. Top gainer Nvidia is up 370% since the start of 2023. S&P 500 has posted 98% returns in over four years. It also rose 26.4% last year, boosted by optimism around artificial intelligence and Fed rate cuts. The Fed has indicated that it’ll cut rates later this year, as they see inflation falling below 2%. 

The US presidential election, scheduled for November 5 this year, will be a rematch between the current Democratic President Joe Biden, and former President Donald Trump. The sniping between the two candidates is already well underway, with Biden attacking Trump numerous times last week in his State of the Union address, and Trump using various Instagram filters on Biden’s face in his response

GDP growth slows in European region, UK faces mild recession 

The European Union (EU) has seen a decline in GDP growth over the past two years due to high inflation and reduced demand. In 2023, the EU’s GDP growth rate was only 0.4%. As a result, equity market returns moderated, with the Eurostoxx 600 rising 8.2% in the past year and 57% over four years. The European Central Bank has kept interest rates unchanged at 4.5% to reduce inflation below 2%. The European Parliament election is scheduled from June 6 to 9 this year.

Similarly, the United Kingdom’s (UK) GDP growth slowed down to 0.1% in 2023 from 4.3% the previous year. As a result, the FTSE 100, UK’s flagship index, fell by 3.6% over the past year. It rose by 35% over four years. Markets took a hit last year as the UK slipped into a mild recession in the second half of 2023. 

The general election in the UK is scheduled for January 28, 2025, after the Parliament dissolves on December 17, 2024. However, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak recently said: "My working assumption is we'll have a general election in the second half of this year."

Mexico’s benchmark index delivers 59% returns over 4 years, South Africa struggles

Mexico’s GDP growth slowed to 3.2% in 2023, down from 3.9% the previous year. Its benchmark index, IPC Mexico, has delivered 59% returns over four years, in line with other economies with contracting GDP growth. Over the past year, the index has seen a marginal increase of 1.5%. Its general elections are set for June 2.

South Africa will face general elections on May 29, which may see the African National Congress lose its majority for the first time. Its GDP growth dropped from 1.9% in 2022 to 0.6% in 2023. The economic downturn is evident in its flagship index, South Africa Top 40, which declined 7% over the past year.

South Korea, one of the fastest-aging countries in the world, will conduct its legislative election on April 10. The election is crucial for ruling President Yoon Suk Yeol, as it marks the midpoint of his tenure. The country’s GDP growth has been declining for the past two years, at 2.6% in 2022 and 1.4% in 2023, compared to a growth of 4.3% in 2021. The nation’s flagship index KOSPI delivered moderate returns of 10.9% last year and 52% over four years. 

In the run-up to elections, economies with falling inflation and healthy GDP growth have seen resilient markets.

On the other hand, struggling economies like the UK and South Africa have seen weak sentiment in their markets. India shines, with its strong domestic consumption and high GDP growth. A single-party win in the upcoming elections would be a boost for investors.