• Trendlyne logo
  • Markets
  • Alerts
  • F&O
  • MF
  • Reports
  • Screeners
  • Subscribe
  • Superstars
  • Portfolio
  • Watchlist
  • Insider Trades
  • Results
  • Data Downloader
  • Events Calendar
  • What's New
  • Explore
  • FAQs
  • Widgets
More
    Search stocks
    IND USA
    IND
    IND
    IND
    USA
    • Stocks
    • Futures & Options
    • Mutual Funds
    • News
    • Fundamentals
    • Reports
    • Corporate Actions
    • Alerts
    • Shareholding

    The Baseline

    12
    Following
    368
    Stocks Tracked
    49
    Sectors & Interests
    Follow
    Load latest
    logo
    The Baseline
    16 Mar 2023
    Screener of the week: DVM strategy for Nifty500 delivered 33%+ CAGR

    Screener of the week: DVM strategy for Nifty500 delivered 33%+ CAGR

    By Abdullah Shah

    In this week’s screener, we look at the "high return, high durability" investment strategy. The screener chooses a maximum of five stocks from the Nifty 500 index each quarter with strong financial durability, reasonable valuation and good momentum. 

    The screener currently has stocks like HCL Technologies, Oil India, Hindustan Aeronautics, Zydus Lifesciences and Firstsource Solutions.

    We performed two backtests on the screener to check its past performance. The backtests ran with a quarterly portfolio review frequency (change stocks every quarter) against the benchmark of Nifty 500 from March 2013 to March 2023. 

    The difference between the two backtests was that for one test we considered only Nifty 500 stocks, and all stocks with a market cap of over Rs. 60 crore for the other.

    The backtest with Nifty 500 stocks gave cumulative returns of 1,751.2% over 10 years, with a return CAGR of 33.84%. The average stock return was 14.4%, with a total of 82 winners and 62 losers. Ceat gave the highest returns of 428.8%. The maximum drawdown of the strategy was 30.5% in the September 2022 quarter. 

    The backtest with all stocks beat the Nifty 500 strategy with higher cumulative returns and CAGR. However, this strategy comes with added risks, as its maximum drawdown is higher at 55.6%. It also has a higher number of losers (76) against 86 winners. Choosing all stocks may also include stocks with low delivery volumes. So the Nifty500 universe is more realistic. 

    You can find some popular screenershere

    2
    Copy LinkShare onShare on Share on Share on
     
    logo
    The Baseline
    14 Mar 2023
    Five analyst picks this week

    Five analyst picks this week

    By Suhas Reddy
    1. Mahindra & Mahindra: Motilal Oswal maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this cars & utility vehicles manufacturer with a target price of Rs 1,525. This implies an upside of 30.1%. Analysts Jinesh Gandhi, Amber Shukla and Aniket Desai are positive about the company’s prospects as demand for its automobiles and tractors remains healthy despite macroeconomic challenges and supply chain disruptions. 

    However, they added, “with multiple industry-wide challenges emerging in the foreseeable future”, the analysts expect lower volume growth for both the divisions, compared to earlier expectations. They project lower growth for the company’s sports utility vehicle (SUV) business in FY25 due to increasing competitive launches. 

    Gandhi, Shukla and Desai anticipate margins to improve from its Q3FY23 levels on the back of price hikes, cost-cutting measures and easing supply of semiconductors. According to them, the company also plans to grow its nascent farm equipment business by 10X in FY27. They expect the firm’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 20% over FY23-25.  

    1. Astral: ICICI Securities maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this adhesive manufacturing company with a target price of Rs 2,373. This implies an upside of 71.4%. The target price was set for the pre-split share price. Analysts Arun Baid and Sohil Kaura “continue to like Astral for its strong brand, comprehensive product portfolio, wide distribution reach and robust balance sheet”. They see the healthy demand trend in the pipe market as a key positive and say it will lead to robust volume growth in the near term. The analysts also expect the firm’s margins to improve on the back of falling raw material prices and stable PVC resin prices. 

    Baid and Kaura are upbeat about the company’s ramp-up in the bathware segment. As of February 2023, the company has opened 320 showrooms and plans to open around 500 more by Q1FY24. The analysts expect the company’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 17.1% over FY23-25.  

    1. Greenply Industries: IDBI Capital initiates a ‘Buy’ coverage on this plywood manufacturer with a target price of Rs 171. This indicates an upside of 22.9%. Analysts Bhavesh Chauhan and Kuber Chauhan say, “Greenply is a proxy play on rising real estate sales in India as it is the second largest plywood company in India and is on the verge of commissioning a 2,40,000 cubic board metre medium-density fibreboard plant in Vadodara, Gujarat.” They expect the plant to ramp up production during FY24  and anticipate 65% utilisation in FY25, leading to strong growth in overall sales.

    Post expansion, Chauhan & Chauhan expect net profit to grow at a CAGR of 35% over FY23-25 and estimate the plant’s revenue potential at Rs 600-650 crore at its peak. They also predict free cash flows will remain strong and net debt will fall sharply during FY24-25, as the company has no major capex plans. According to the analysts, Greenply is a dominant player and its stock is trading at a significant discount, compared to Century Plyboards.

    1. Tata Chemicals: Geojit BNP Paribas reiterates its ‘Buy’ call on this chemicals company with a target price of Rs 1,197, indicating an upside of 23%. In Q3FY23, the company’s profit rose 26% YoY to Rs 391 crore and revenue increased 31.6% YoY. Analysts from Geojit say, “The company posted decent earnings on account of stable demand, better realisations and cost management.” Tata Chemicals’  management expects soda ash demand to rise and supply to tighten in the coming quarters, which the analysts believe will lead to better realisations.

    According to the analysts, “Despite recessionary pressure in multiple geographies, the company’s orders are fully booked and they expect a strong market for its products, aided by the Chinese market slowly opening up.” They are also optimistic about the  focus on capacity expansions, maximising plant utilisation and improving cost efficiency. 

    1. Bharti Airtel: Anand Rathi maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this Telecom Services provider with a target price of Rs 890, indicating an upside of 15.6%. Analysts at Anand Rathi believe that the firm’s revenue will continue to grow over the coming quarters, led by rising customer additions and improving margins. They are upbeat about the firm’s expansion plans as well. “It plans to expand to 40,000 rural areas in India and enhance its combined services (mobile, broadband, DTH, B2B) in existing top 150 cities through 5G rollout,” they add.

    The analysts expect the firm’s average revenue per user (ARPU) to continue to grow and are bullish about the management’s plan to gradually increase it to Rs 300 in the medium term from Rs 193 in Q3FY23. They anticipate Bharti Airtel’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 16.1% over FY22-25.  

    Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.

    (You can find all analyst picks here)

    Copy LinkShare onShare on Share on Share on
     
    logo
    The Baseline
    13 Mar 2023
    Chart of the week: New internet companies struggle to deliver returns on capital

    Chart of the week: New internet companies struggle to deliver returns on capital

    By Abdullah Shah

    Return on capital employed (RoCE) is a financial ratio that determines a company’s ability to use capital to earn profits. Unlike return on equity (ROE), RoCE gives us a more holistic view of the company’s ability to use all of its capital and in order to generate profits.

    This week's chart looks at the RoCE of internet software & services companies, from the old to the new. 

    The results suggest that older internet companies are more efficient in generating returns from the available capital. Older companies like Tanla Platforms, Affle (India), IndiaMART InterMESH and Info Edge have higher and positive RoCE values, compared to their newer competitors like FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa), Zomato, PB Fintech and One97 Communications (Paytm). 

    One reason for this could be that companies like Affle and Tanla Platforms, which are heavily focused on B2B rather than B2C businesses, had already figured out the optimal business model by the time of their IPO. . Meanwhile, the newer clutch of internet companies are still finding a path to profitability - such as Zomato, which has recently decided to target home services.   

    As a result, the new internet companies (except for Nykaa) are loss-making, using up cash for expenses like marketing, user acquisition and to drive growth.

    Tanla Platforms’ annual RoCE for FY22 has jumped 200 bps to 48%, which is higher than the average industry RoCE of 25.5. This helped the company’s three-year average RoCE to grow to 23%. 

    Affle (India)’s three-year average RoCE is at 25%, compared to its five-year average of 30%. After plunging 9.1 percentage points to 18% in FY22, its current RoCE level is below the industry average.

    Most newer internet companies have negative returns on capital employed. Zomato has the lowest five-year average of -41%, However, its three-year average returns have improved to -39%, despite its RoCE declining by 310 bps to -9% in FY22. 

    One97 Communications (Paytm) also has a negative five-year average RoCE of -27%. However, its three-year average returns improved by 400 bps, owing to a 6.6 percentage boost in FY22.  

    Copy LinkShare onShare on Share on Share on
     
    logo
    The Baseline
    10 Mar 2023
    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    1. Hindustan Aeronautics: This defence stock rose over 5% in trade on Wednesday and touched its 52-week high after bagging a contract from the Ministry of Defence. The contract worth Rs 6,800 crore is for the supply of 70 HTT-40 trainer aircraft to the Indian Air Force.

    The new aircraft are meant to boost the training program for air force pilots. This aircraft has been on the list of weapons and systems that India imposed an import ban on for the past 30 months. Hindustan Aeronautics will supply these planes to the IAF over a period of six years.

    HAL has risen around 15% in the past month and over 112% in the past year. As a result, the company makes it to a screener of stocks with strong momentum. Defence stocks in general, have been on the rise for the past two years due to the Centre’s focus on reducing import of defence equipment and promoting domestic manufacture. The defence industry has risen close to 78% in the past year.

    Post this order win, ICICI Direct initiated coverage on the stock with a ‘Buy’ rating and a target price of Rs 3,240, implying an upside of 14%. The brokerage says that HAL has a healthy order book of Rs 84,000 crore on the back of large-scale orders in the manufacturing segment and engines. It expects HAL to achieve revenue and EBITDA CAGR of 10.3% and 14.8% respectively over FY22-25E. While the company has a huge order book, timely order execution will be key going forward.

    1. JSW Energy: This electric utilities stock has had a difficult six months as it fell 23.3% over the period. But it showed a resurgence in the past month and rose 20.45%. The growth came after the company’s Joint Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer (CEO) Prashant Jain spoke about a rise in demand in February and revealed its plans to expand energy generation capacity. This helped the company show up in a screener of stocks which gained more than 20% in the past month.

    The stock has been on a rally since Jain said that the company expects energy demand to improve in the summer owing to the El Nino effect, and an impending heat-wave in India from March to May. It rose 12.7% on February 28 and 11.2% over the past week.

    According to Prashant Jain, the company witnessed a 7.5%-8%  increase in power demand in February, owing to growth in economic activities like industrial production and manufacturing. He also mentioned the company’s plans to expand its total energy generation capacity to 10 GW by 2025 and 20 GW by 2030, while also planning to generate 80% of the energy capacity through renewable sources by 2030.

    1. G R Infraprojects: After declining more than 17% from February 14 till March 6 and touching its 52-week low on February 28, this roads & highways construction company shows signs of regaining lost ground. The stock has risen 6.5% since March 6, trading at high volumes on Thursday. This upward price momentum came after the firm announced that it received a completion certificate for the construction of an eight-lane expressway for Rs 1,047 crore in Madhya Pradesh. The company also bagged a contract worth Rs 1,248.4 crore for the construction of a six-lane highway in Bihar. It shows up in a screener for stocks in the PE and P/BV buy zone.

    The company’s order book as of Q3FY23 stands at Rs 14,073 crore, of which 87% is hybrid annuity mode (HAM) projects and 6% is engineering, procurement & construction projects. The company is also trying to expand into the transmission and railway segments, which currently account for 2% and 4% of the order book respectively.

    The management maintains its order inflow guidance at Rs 15,000 crore for FY23 on the back of a strong order pipeline in the roads segment and opportunities in the railways, transmission and ropeways sectors.

    1. Mahanagar Gas (MGL): This city distribution gas stock rose 8.7% in trade on Monday after it announced plans to acquire a 100% stake in Unison Enviro for Rs 531 crore. Ashoka Buildcon and North Haven are the existing shareholders of Unison Enviro and will transfer their shares to MGL once the Petroleum and Natural Gas Regulatory Board waves a green flag. The stock has risen 10% in the past week, touching a new 52-week high on Thursday. Over the past year, the stock went up 31%.

    The acquisition will expand MGL’s distribution network in Ratnagiri, Latur and Osmanabad areas of Maharashtra. It will also help expand its presence in Chitradurga and Davanagere in Karnataka. Reports suggest that volumes may increase to 1 mmscmd (million metric standard cubic meters per day) from current volume of 0.1 mmscmd, by FY28, with an investment of Rs 700-800 crore in Unison Enviro. Another benefit for MGL is Raigad’s (a coastal district in Maharashtra) proximity to Ratnagiri, where it has distribution rights. This would give the company an opportunity to expand beyond the Mumbai Metropolitan area.

    MGL has posted robust Q3FY23 results with net profit growth of 3X YoY to Rs 172.1 crore. It beat Trendlyne’s Forecaster estimates by 4.4%. With this acquisition, ICICI Securities reiterates its ‘Buy’ rating on the stock but with a revised target price of Rs 1,125, which is 7% over the previous target price of Rs 1,050. It expects EBITDA to grow to Rs 2,100 crore by FY28E.

    According to the brokerage, the acquisition looks meaningful in the medium- and long- term. However, its inability to pass on high gas costs and delayed execution of expansion plans are risks to watch out for. 

    1. Bharat Forge Ltd: Thisindustrial products firm has opened an e-bike manufacturing facility with a production capacity of 60,000 units per annum. The facility will handle the assembling of e-bikes for Tork Motors. The promoter group firm, Kalyani Powertrain, owns a 64.3% stake in Tork Motors. Tork Motors is FAME-II approved and has orders for electric commercial vehicle components. The stock remainedflat post the inauguration of the new facility.

    Kalyani Strategic Systems Ltd (KSSL), a wholly owned subsidiary of Bharat Forge, won an order worth Rs 600 crore in Q3. The order book for defence exports stands at Rs 2,000 crore. Bharat Forge is also expecting orders for Advanced Towed Artillery Guns (ATAG) in the coming quarters. This gives execution visibility of 2-3 years for KSSL. The industrial segment of Bharat Forge has also won orders for Rs 265 crore, taking the total order book size to Rs 1,500 crore

    The company sees increased demand in aerospace component manufacturing. Currently, aerospace contributes less than 10% of revenue. Bharat Forge is the only firm with prerequisite capabilities to build aerospace components in India.

    Bharat Forge has completed the acquisition of JS Autocast for Rs 490 crore, adding roughly Rs 450 crore to its revenue. It has also completed the Sanghvi Systems takeover. The two new acquisitions will grow at a CAGR of 35% for the next two years. The stock shows up in a screener with improving cash flows and good durability.

    Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movements, analyst calls, or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.

    Copy LinkShare onShare on Share on Share on
     
    logo
    The Baseline
    09 Mar 2023
    Screener of the week: Outperforming stocks from outperforming sectors in the past quarter

    Screener of the week: Outperforming stocks from outperforming sectors in the past quarter

    By Abdullah Shah

    The stock market has had a bumpy ride in 2023, but there are four sectors that still performed strongly over the past 90 days – fertilisers, food, beverages & tobacco, general industrials and consumer durables. This screener looks at stocks that have outperformed their sectors and the Nifty 50 index. These stocks also have high Trendlyne durability scores. 

    Major stocks featured in this screener are The Fertilisers & Chemicals Travancore, Linde India, Blue Star, Siemens,ITC, Polycab India and Cummins India.

    The Fertilisers & Chemicals Travancore has risen 71.6% over the past 90 days, outperforming the fertilisers sector by 58.4 percentage points. The stock rose on the back of strong growth in net profit and revenue on a YoY basis in Q3FY23 and the hike in fertilizer prices.

    Linde India has outperformed the general industrials sector by 17.9 percentage points. This industrial gas stock rose 20.3%. 

    Siemens has grown 16.5% over the past 90 days, outperforming the general industrials sector by 14.1 percentage points, while cooling company Blue Star jumped 19.6%, significantly outperforming consumer durables.  

    You can find more screeners here.

    Copy LinkShare onShare on Share on Share on
     
    logo
    The Baseline
    08 Mar 2023, 04:06PM
    Five analyst picks this week

    Five analyst picks this week

    By Abhiraj Panchal
    1. Ceat: Motilal Oswal reiterates a ‘Buy’ call on this tyre manufacturer with a target price of Rs 1,860. This indicates an upside of 28.8%. After visiting its Halol facility and an overview of its research and development centre, analysts Jinesh Gandhi, Amber Shukla and Aniket Desai say the company has showcased its capabilities to scale international business to Rs 35 billion and explore electric vehicles. The tyre manufacturer also indicates improved efficiency at the Halol plant.

    According to the analysts, “Cyclical recovery in both OEMs and replacement will enable faster absorption of new capacities and drive operating leverage benefits. This, coupled with softening raw material prices, would help a partial recovery in margins in FY23 and full recovery in FY24.” They remain optimistic as the company continues to focus on key strategic areas as well as expansion in international markets and electric vehicles. In addition, they believe prudent capex plans to be long-term catalysts for Ceat.

    1. KSB: ICICI Direct retains its ‘Buy’ call on this industrial machinery and pump manufacturer company with a target price of Rs 2,390, indicating an upside of 23.3%. According to an institutional investor call arranged by KSB and ICICI Securities on February 28, 2023, the company’s profit has grown 41.9% YoY to Rs 55.9 crore in Q3FY23, while its revenue improved 17.8% YoY to Rs 533.3 crore. KSB has an order intake of Rs 2,045.6 crore for the year ending December 2022. 

    Analysts Chirag Shah and Vijay Goel say, “Domestic business is doing better with healthier demand for standard pumps and engineered pumps.” The analysts remain optimistic as nuclear, petrochemical and mechanical seal segments of KSB witness strong traction and the company focuses on increasing its share in services and spares. Shah and Goel expect revenue, EBITDA and profit to grow at 18.1%, 22.1% and 21.6% CAGR respectively over CY22-24, led by strong execution.

    1. Federal Bank: Axis Direct maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this private bank with a target price of Rs 170, implying an upside of 27%. Analysts Dnyanada Vaidya, Prathamesh Sawant and Bhavya Shah believe the company is well-placed to deliver healthy growth in the medium term as its operational metrics continue to improve. They expect the bank to see robust credit growth, driven by an improvement in the share of high-yielding products. The analysts also see the firm’s improving fee income, moderating operating expenses and improving asset quality as key positives and that “this would result in the bank’s credit costs trends continuing to remain benign”.

    Vaidya, Sawant and Shah are upbeat about the bank’s prospects due to its high share of retail-dominated deposits and healthy CASA ratio. The analysts anticipate healthy growth in the medium term due to the company’s expansion plans and its healthy metrics. They expect the bank’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 15.3% over FY23-25. 

    1. Axis Bank: ICICI Securities maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this bank with a target price of Rs 1,130. This indicates an upside of 32%. Analysts Chintan Shah and Renish Bhuva believe the company’s acquisition of Citibank’s consumer business in India will enable the bank to capture premium market share growth. The total purchase consideration for the acquisition is Rs 11,603 crore. The analysts say the deal is favourable for Axis Bank as it gets “access to Citibank’s huge retail deposit base, affluent and profitable consumer franchise and strategic synergy benefits over the medium term”.

    Shah and Bhuva see this deal as a boost towards the bank’s long-term growth as it aligns with its premiumisation strategy. It gets access to a sizable granular deposit base and an opportunity to cross-sell its products to Citibank’s affluent customers. The analysts expect the company’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 39% over FY22-24.

    1. Infosys: Bob Capital Markets maintains a ‘Buy’ call on this software and services company with a target price of Rs 1,760, indicating an upside of 18%. Analyst Saptarshi Mukherjee says, “Private 5G is expected to be a key enabler for the digital transformation of enterprises.” He adds that the market for private 5G services in India is likely to be around $570 million by 2026, and the software expense will be materially higher than hardware and services over the next decade.

    According to Mukherjee, the company is well-placed to leverage its global 5G expertise to deliver private 5G-as-a-service. “Despite Infosys’ cautious outlook on a few verticals, we believe its strength in managing the twin journey of digital transformation and cost takeout will drive growth leadership,” he concludes.   

    Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.

    (You can find all analyst picks here)

    Copy LinkShare onShare on Share on Share on
     
    logo
    The Baseline
    03 Mar 2023
    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    Five Interesting Stocks Today

    1. Rail Vikas Nigam (RVNL): This construction & engineering company, an infrastructure arm of the Ministry of Railways, has outperformed the Nifty 50 index by 6.7 percentage points in the past week. However, the stock price has fallen 9.4% over the past 30 days. Because of the sharp rise over the past week, the company features in a screener of stocks with the highest recovery from 52-week low.

    RVNL rose 12.3% on Thursday on the back of an order win from the  joint venture with Metrowagonmash and Locomotive Electronic System. The Rs 24,000 crore order is for the manufacture and maintenance of 200 Vande Bharat trains. It also includes the upgradation of government manufacturing facilities and train depots.

    The company had risen 4.4% on February 24 as well after winning another order worth Rs 196.8 crore from Madhya Kshetra Vidyut Vitaran for the supply, installation, testing and commissioning of new 11 KV lines in Bhopal.

    These order wins take the company’s order book to approximately Rs 77,862.8 crore. The orders come on the back of the government’s capex push in the railways segment. The government increased the capex for railways by 16% to Rs 2.92 lakh crore in the FY24 budget announcement. It will be used for building railway tracks, wagons, trains, electrification, signalling and developing facilities at stations.

    1. Uflex: This containers & packaging stock had a shaky end to February as the Income Tax (IT) department conducted raids across 64 locations related to the company, causing the stock price to nose-dive more than 11% in the past week. It fell 17% on February 27, hitting a 52-week low despite the company releasing a clarification. But the clarification came six days after the exchange sought an explanation.

    According to media reports, the IT department found irregularities of Rs 1,000 crore in Uflex’s financial statements and allegedly seized evidence to the tune of Rs 4,000 crore from its Noida office. Bogus company transactions through 60 shell companies were also reported. IT officials have seized 28 bank lockers linked to the company. This was similar to the raid in 2014 where Rs 300 crore in cash was seized from Uflex’s office. Notably, Ashok Chaturvedi, the company’s promoter, was investigated by the IT Dept in 2007 in another case.

    The stock gained 7% on Tuesday and 10% on Wednesday, erasing nearly all losses after the company released a  clarification denying all media reports of the seizing of assets or financial documents. The company, in its filing, says it continues to adhere to good business practices. However, the IT department is yet to make an official statement regarding the matter. Uflexshows up in a screener of stocks losing more than 20% in one month and declining net cash flow.

    1. Delhivery: This logistics company’s share price fell 2.1% in intra-day trade on Thursday after Softbank’s arm SVF Doorbell cut its stake by 3.84% (Rs 954 crore) to around 14% through a block deal. This comes after Tiger Global pared its holding in the company to 2.98%, after it sold 1.2 crore shares worth Rs 414.2 crore on February 24. The company’s stock has been picked up by many investment firms and funds like Baillie Gifford, Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority, BNP Paribas Arbitrage and City of New York Group Trust.

    The stock currently trades 30.4% lower than its issue price of Rs 487 as of Friday. But the firm has risen over 8% since announcing its Q3FY23 results on February 10. Even though its revenue fell and net loss widened on a YoY basis, its performance improved sequentially on the back of cost optimisations and market share gains. The stock shows up in a screener for companies with increasing revenue sequentially over the past two quarters. According to Trendlyne’s Forecaster, the consensus recommendation on the company is ‘Buy’.

    The company’s partial truckload (PTL) volumes have been consistently improving since November 2022, after a dip in the initial days of Q3FY23 due to unseasonal rains. The management points out that the company has renegotiated contracts with its low-margin clients in the PTL business, which resulted in better margins from the segment. It expects the momentum to carry forward in Q4FY23 and FY24, and is confident about expanding its market share. Overall, the firm expects e-commerce shipments to grow 15-20% and the PTL market to grow 10-12% in a year.

    1. Vedanta Limited (VEDL): This Metals and Mining firm has been in the news for locking horns with the Government of India over a proposed related-party transaction (RPT) withHindustan Zinc. The stock hastumbled by 18% from its January-31 peak to Rs 268. In January, Hindustan Zinc, via its promoter group, has approved the purchase of Vedanta’s zinc assets for USD 2.98 billion over a span of 18 months. This was despite the dissent of Hindustan Zinc’s directors representing the government. The government has plans to sell part of its stake in Hindustan Zinc in line with its divestment plans.

    Hindustan Zinc is a subsidiary of Anil Agarwal’s Vedanta Limited. The promoter group owns a 69.69% stake in Vedanta, and Vedanta owns a  64.92% stake in Hindustan Zinc. Among minority shareholders, the Government of India owns 29.54% in Hindustan Zinc.

    As Hindustan Zinc’s plan to buy VEDL’s assets will come under RPT, SEBI regulations mandate the approval of minority shareholders in full majority. The government, with its 29.54% stake, has voted against the RPT stating that it is against Hindustan Zinc using the cash reserve to buy VEDL assets.

    Vedanta was selling its assets as part of its plans to reduce its debt by USD 4 billion in three years. In the past 11 months, VEDL has reduced its debt by USD 2 billion. The sale of its zinc assets would have ensured smooth sailing of the debt reduction commitment. According to VEDL,it has fulfilled all debt obligations till March 2023 and has sufficient cash flows to manage debt payments till June 2023. Further, VEDL is in talks to raise USD 1 billion via a syndicated bank loan.

    1. Power Grid Corporation of India: This electric utilities company closed in the red on Wednesday despite its order win to establish an inter-state transmission system. However, the stock has risen 2.7% in the past week, outperforming the Nifty 50 index by 3.6% in an overall weak market. Due to the rise in stock price, the company features in a screener of stocks trading above their short-, medium- and long-term moving averages.

    Post market hours on Tuesday, the company was declared the successful bidder under tariff-based competitive bidding to establish an inter-state transmission system for Khavda Pooling Station-3 in Khavda RE Park, on a build own operate and transfer (BOOT) basis. The project includes the establishment of a new 765/400kV GIS substation, a 765kV direct current transmission line, and associated works in Gujarat.

    The stock has been on an uptrend since February 23 with JP Morgan’s upbeat outlook on the company, according to reports. The brokerage has an ‘Overweight’ rating with a target price of Rs 255. This implies an upside of 18%. It believes that the company targets to grow generation capacity at a 10% compounded annual rate to meet the power demand. The rise in stock price was also because of its board approving  a Rs 803 crore investment in electricity transmission projects. Currently, Power Grid has ongoing projects worth Rs 7,600 crore, new projects for Rs 27,000 crore and tariff-based competitive bidding projects of Rs 13,000 crore, totalling to Rs 47,600 crore, according to Sharekhan.

    Trendlyne's analysts identify stocks that are seeing interesting price movements, analyst calls, or new developments. These are not buy recommendations.

    Copy LinkShare onShare on Share on Share on
     
    logo
    The Baseline
    03 Mar 2023
    Chart of the week: From merger talks to bankruptcy threat, Zee Entertainment is going through a volatile time

    Chart of the week: From merger talks to bankruptcy threat, Zee Entertainment is going through a volatile time

    By Abdullah Shah

    The past few weeks have been turbulent for Zee Entertainment Enterprises. The company was placed under the corporate insolvency resolution process by the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) on February 24. However, the National Stock Exchange (NSE) removed the stock from the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) framework on Tuesday. The NSE’s actions came after the National Company Law Appellate Tribunal (NCLAT) stayed the NCLT order following an appeal from Zee’s Managing Director and CEO, Punit Goenka. 

    Zee’s share price has gone through ups and downs as these events unfolded. In this edition of chart of the week, we take a look at the company’s price action since it first started talks about the merger with Sony Pictures Networks in September 2021.

    The stock had surged almost 40% back on September 14, 2021, as the company’s two biggest investors, Invesco Developing Markets Fund and OFI Global China Fund LLC, holders of 17.9% stake in the company, called for an extraordinary general meeting. The purpose of the meeting was to oust Managing Director and CEO Punit Goenka and two other directors from the board. 

    Almost a week later, on September 22, 2021, the stock rose again (31.7%) after its board approved the execution of a non-binding term sheet for the merger of the company with Sony Pictures Networks. Some principle terms included that the company’s shareholders will have a 47.1% holding in the merged entity, while Sony India will have 52.9%. Another term was that Sony India will have the right to appoint majority directors on the board, with Punit Goenka as the MD and CEO of the merged company. 

    After the news about the merger settled, investors’ focus shifted to Zee’s Q3FY22 results. The stock fell for three consecutive sessions after the company posted a 25.3% YoY drop in net profit to Rs 298.7 crore in Q3FY22 on February 2, 2022. A fall in income from advertisement, subscriptions and other sales caused the revenue to decline by 22.6% YoY. 

    However, the stock rose 16.7% on March 24, 2022, as its promoters showed their support for the merger and ended their demand  for an EGM to remove Punit Goenka from his post.

    The company showed some signs of operational recovery as its revenue grew by 19% YoY to Rs 2,361.2 crore in Q4FY22, helping the stock rise for four consecutive sessions till May 31, 2022. The rise came as its revenue beat analysts’ estimates. On October 4, 2022, the stock rose 6.3% after its board approved the composite scheme of arrangement for its merger with Sony India following the nod from the Competition Commission of India (CCI). 

    Recently, the merger came under scrutiny after the NCLT placed the company under corporate insolvency resolution process based on a petition filed by IndusInd Bank. Zee was a guarantor for Siti Networks for a loan worth Rs 83 crore owed to IndusInd Bank. This caused the stock to plunge 9.2% on February 24, 2023. Earlier in the month, the NCLT initiated insolvency proceedings against Zee Learn, a Zee Group company, after Yes Bank filed a petition for a loan default of Rs 469 crore by Siti Networks.

    But the order was then stayed by the National Company Law Appellate Tribunal (NCLAT) on February 24 after hearing from Punit Goenka, and it has asked IndusInd Bank for a response in two weeks. On February 28, 2023, NSE followed suit by removing the stock from the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) framework, reverting the surveillance actions on the company, while also reincluding the stock in its futures and options contracts with expiry in May 2023. The stock rose 6.3% on the same day. 

    Zee Entertainment is not out of the woods yet. This volatility in Zee’s share price is expected to continue as investors track the latest news and IndusInd Bank’s response to NCLAT. 

    Copy LinkShare onShare on Share on Share on
     
    logo
    The Baseline
    02 Mar 2023
    Screener of the week: Companies with increasing debt and reducing operating cash flows

    Screener of the week: Companies with increasing debt and reducing operating cash flows

    By Abdullah Shah

    The Adani Group controversy and a series of rate hikes have made investors cautious towards high-debt companies. So this week, we look at a screener of companies with high total debt-to-equity ratios. These businesses also saw their long-term debt-to-equity ratio rising and cash flows falling in FY22. 

    This screener has 14 stocks from Nifty 500 and five stocks from the Nifty 50 index. Major stocks that show up in the screener are TVS Motor, Tata Motors, Adani Enterprises, Bharat Petroleum and Hindustan Petroleum. 

    TVS Motor had the highest annual total debt-to-equity ratio of 3.5X among non-banking stocks. It posted an annual operating cash outflow of Rs 1,560 crore in FY22 against an inflow of Rs 1,151 crore in FY21. In H1FY23, the company’s long-term debt to equity ratio rose to 1.9X from 1.7X in FY22, as borrowings rose by 25%.

    Tata Motors had an annual total debt-to-equity ratio of 3.1X in FY22. The company’s total debt-to-equity ratio rose to 5.2X in H1FY23, owing to a sharp rise in long-term liabilities. 

    Adani Enterprises had a total debt-to-equity ratio of 1.9X in FY22, which fell to 1.3X in H1FY23, owing to equity fundraising. The company saw its cash flow from operating activities fall by 66% in the past fiscal.

    You can find some popular screeners here.

    Copy LinkShare onShare on Share on Share on
     
    logo
    The Baseline
    28 Feb 2023
    Five analyst picks this week

    Five analyst picks this week

    By Suhas Reddy
    1. Prestige Estates Projects: Motilal Oswal maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this realty company with a target price of Rs 675, implying an upside of 66%. Analysts Pritesh Sheth and Sourabh Gilda note that the company’s plans to double its sales bookings to Rs 25,000 crore by ramping up new launches is a key positive. They point out that Rs 7,500 crore of the firm’s planned capex (Rs 15,700 crore) for the next five years will be funded through external debt. Investors have been concerned about the strain this additional debt may cause on the balance sheet. But analysts believe Prestige’s rising cash flows and net worth will keep its debt-to-equity ratio stable. 

    Sheth and Gilda are optimistic about the company’s ambitious growth guidance for the next five years, but believe the realty firm’s business development is key to realise the growth potential. They anticipate robust growth in rental income as well. They say, “Once the commercial portfolio fully stabilises over the next five to six years, it will generate rental income of Rs 3,200 crore.” The analysts expect the company’s revenue to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% over FY23-25. 

    1. Minda Corp: Axis Direct maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this auto parts & equipment company with a target price of Rs 230, indicating an upside of 19.3%. Analysts Aditya Welekar and Shridhar Kallani maintain their previous recommendation and target price following Minda’s acquisition of a 15.7% stake in Pricol for Rs 400 crore. As this has been a financial investment and the company holds a minority stake, no synergies are expected from the acquisition, they add.  

    The analysts maintain their positive outlook on the company’s growth prospects. They expect Minda Corp to be the prime beneficiary of product premiumization, growth in electric vehicle usage and increased business from commercial and passenger vehicle manufacturers. They are also upbeat about the management’s confidence to outperform the industry by 10-12% on the back of margin optimisation measures. 

    However, they believe risks such as inflation, interest rate hikes and demand slowdown persist. “We maintain our cautious outlook on the 2W domestic market and overall export market in the next few quarters,” the analysts point out, and add that they expect the firm’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 21.8% over FY23-25. 

    1. Supreme Petrochem: KRChoksey maintains its ‘Buy’ rating on this petrochemicals stock with a target price of Rs 427, indicating an upside of 12.1%. In Q3FY23, the company’s net profit fell 45.6% YoY to Rs 89.6% and revenue declined by 8.9% YoY. 

    Analyst Abhishek Agarwal attributes this weak Q3 performance to lower realisations and volumes. However, the analyst remains optimistic about the company’s growth prospects given its capacity expansion projects, as he believes it will drive future growth. According to him, “The firm is enhancing its polystyrene (PS) and expanded polystyrene insulation (EPS) production capacities to cater to the increasing demand for its products. With enhanced capacity and healthy demand from end-user industries, it will see strong growth in the future.” 

    Agarwal expects capacity expansion projects to add 1.2 lakh metric tonnes per annum of additional PS and EPS to its current capacity. The launch of new products and the production expansion will boost volume growth in the coming quarters, he says. He expects the company’s net profit to grow at a CAGR of 10% over FY22-24. 

    1. Muthoot Finance: Chola Wealth Direct maintains its ‘Buy’ call on this NBFC with a target price of Rs 1,350. This indicates an upside of 39.4%. According to analyst Huseain Kaizer Bharuchwala, the company has witnessed better gold loan demand in the past two months and it expects to return to double-digit gold loan growth in a few quarters. He believes that the tradeoff between loan growth and margin will persist “in the foreseeable future”.

    The analyst says, “Muthoot, in our view, is unlikely to pursue gold loan growth at the cost of profitability. As pressure from banks and fintechs start subsiding and teaser loan rates impact vanish, we expect 10% growth in standalone AUM in FY24.” The analyst remains optimistic, expecting the company to regain some lost market share starting FY24 and returning to a double-digit growth rate in Q2FY24.

    1. Mahindra Lifespace Developers: ICICI Securities retains its ‘Buy’ call on this realty company with a target price of Rs 483, indicating an upside of 29.5%. After the company’s Chief Executive Officer (CEO) and Managing Director (MD) Arvind Subramanian resigned from his post, Mahindra Group replaced him with Amit Kumar Sinha. The resignation will take effect from May 22, 2023. Analyst Adhidev Chattopadhyay says, “The management transition comes at a time when the wheels for growth have been already set in motion, and barring any large churn in department heads, continuity in growth plans should not be a major hurdle.”

    The analyst expects the company to achieve Rs 1,900-2,000 crore of FY23 sales bookings, implying 58% growth over FY22 sales. He estimates FY24 and FY25 sales bookings to be at Rs 2,340 crore and Rs 2,710 crore respectively on the back of a robust launch pipeline for FY24 and new project additions. “We believe that the company is on track to achieve its medium-term guidance of Rs 2,500 crore of residential sales bookings by FY25,” the analyst concludes. 

    Note: These recommendations are from various analysts and are not recommendations by Trendlyne.

    (You can find all analyst picks here)

    Copy LinkShare onShare on Share on Share on
     
    more
    loading
    Logo Trendlyne

    Stay ahead of the market

    Company

    PrivacyDisclaimerTerms of Use Contact Us

    Resources

    Blog FAQsStock Market Widgets

    Copyright © 2025 Giskard Datatech Pvt Ltd