Highest Upside

Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail Limited’s (ABFRL) Q3FY25 performance was driven by festive and wedding demand, leading to better LFL growth of key businesses, while overall demand sentiments continued to be muted.

Update note

Siemens (SIEM) in its FY24 annual report emphasized its strategy to capitalize on the opportunity potential that exists in India from diverse sectors and industries, spurred by favorable government policies, a relatively sanguine macroeconomic situation, and the ongoing global energy transition while also acknowledging the transient hiccups in select segments.

Suspension of Indus Water Treaty to accelerate NHPC projects

Stovekraft logged healthy ~12% revenue growth (vs 3% decline at larger peer TTK Prestige), which was in line with the company’s guidance of sustained 8-10% revenue outperformance vs the underlying industry.

Initiating Coverage Report

Integrated Model Driving Sustainable Growth

Quarterly Update Q3FY25

PVR Inox’s ad revenue grew ~36% QoQ to ~INR 1.48bn (highest quarterly ad-income post Covid) in Q3FY25, which in our view is an encouraging development.

In FD, we estimate Swiggy to have gained market share of ~30bps on GOV basis and ~50bps on MTU basis. This is broadly in line with our survey findings.

DreamFolks (DFS) posted a revenue growth of 7.3% QoQ/11.5% YoY to INR3.4b, in line with our estimate of INR3.3b. Gross profit was flat YoY and down 2.5% QoQ to INR382m, with a gross margin of 11.2% (down 110bp QoQ). EBIT margin came in at 6.5%, down 220bp YoY/50bp QoQ. Consolidated PAT was INR169m (down 16% YoY/up 5% QoQ).

A strong set; timing of launches a key monitorable

Unlocking Value in an expanding business hospitality landscape

Raymond Lifestyle (RLL) reported a weak 3Q with modest ~2% YoY revenue growth. EBITDA declined 37% YoY due to operating deleverage, higher ad spends in branded apparels and adverse segmental mix.

Greenpanel Industries’ Q3 revenue/gross profit/EBITDA/PAT fell 6.8%/28%/71/69.3% y/y to Rs3.6bn/1.6bn/173m/85m. The poor showing stemmed from export volumes falling (due to unprofitable orders) while domestic volumes were flat.

We upgrade Route Mobile to BUY from Add, given favorable risk reward following the 21%/26% correction over 3M/6M and healthy OCF yield (7% annualized for FY25).