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While we increase our FY22/23 EPS estimates by 5-6% resp. to account for marginally higher revenue/sq. ft, we downgrade the stock to Sell (Earlier Reduce) as the recent run-up leaves no room for an investment case (DCF-based TP: 2,160/sh implying 34x FY23 EV/EBITDA + 2x FY23 sales for e-comm business). D-MART finally hits the growth phase (after a disappointing 1HFY21). The grocer clocked a healthy 10% topline growth (HSIE: 8.5%). While gross margin delivery was strong (15.1% vs HSIE: 14.8%), its underpinnings remain weak (on the back of lower discounting in staples). Non-essential sales remain weak. EBITDAM expanded 52/256bp YoY/QoQ to 9.3% courtesy strong cost control. (HSIE: 9%).
eClerx (ECLX) has acquired Personiv an IT services firm with capabilities in the digital, back office and customer contact domains for a cash consideration of US$ 34mn.
Domestic auto industry volumes have been on a steady mend in the months post lifting of lockdown restrictions. Manufacturing and distribution activities have been getting ramped up gradually since June 2020, in step with the rest of the economy. However, the impact of the pandemic on the supply chain continues to inhibit a complete return to production normalcy. Nevertheless, most automotive industry segments have reported successive improvement in offtake throughout June-November 2020 (Exhibit 1) on the back of (i) initial bounce provided by pent-up aspect,...
Having aggressively penetrated the OEM segment, TVS Srichakra (TVSS) now intends to focus on the aftermarket through an elaborate brand building exercise.
A changing business model - BATA in the process of re inventing itself: BATA over the last few years has focused on higher value products and re-inventing itself to cater to the younger and urban population with the aggressive addition of stores and the introduction of red collection and increased focus on women footwear.
Coming two quarters will give a better visibility on sustainability of improvement in EBIDTA margins of 12.9% (+305/+1350bps YoY/QoQ) in 4QFY20. SIL has indicated good margins in order backlog backed by corrective cost optimization measures and some of it sustaining. We maintain REDUCE on Siemens India Ltd. (SIL) and roll forward TP (Rs 1,370) to Dec-22 (35x). We upgrade FY21E/22E/23E EPS on account of improved margin profile. SIL delivered Revenue/EBIDTA/APAT beat of 31/37/33%. After a washout 3QFY20, margins across all segments improved both YoY and QoQ, driven by higher services and exports in the revenue mix (low base of revenue for FY20).
Background: Gabriel India Ltd.(GIL) is the flagship company of Anand Group, offering the widest range of ride control products including shock absorbers, struts, and front forks. The Company commenced operations in 1961, with a single plant in Mulund, Mumbai and has grown manifold, currently it has nine manufacturing facilities spread across the country with strong 500 dealer network and 10,000 retail outlets. The company has strong R&D; capabilities with over 43 patents in products and...
Apollo Tyres (APTY) delivered a Q2FY21 beat and has rallied 40% in the last three months due to domestic volume visibility, a better Europe performance and steady margin outlook.
Background Greaves Cotton (GCL) is one of the largest manufacturers (primarily) single cylinder (diesel, gasoline engines) and dual cylinder engines, which find application in running 3-W vehicles and 4-W small commercial vehicles (SCVs). The company offers products and solutions across business units- Engines, power, farm equipment, mobility and aftermarket. In FY19 Greaves Cotton augmented its Clean Technology...
A changing business model - BATA in the process of re inventing itself: BATA over the last few years has focused on higher value products and re-inventing itself to cater to the younger and urban population with the aggressive addition of stores and the introduction of red collection and increased focus on women footwear.
Background: Vinati Organics Limited (VOL) was established in 1989 to manufacture specialty organic chemicals. It has since grown to become the world's largest manufacturer of IBB & ATBS and India's largest manufacturer of IB & HP MTBE. The company's products are exported to customers in countries across Europe, America, and Asia. Competitive edge in niche specialty chemicals Cost leadership & scale economies in IBB and technological entry barrier in ATBS. The company started with a small capacity of 1,000 TPA and gradually expanded to 26,000 TPA today for its ATBS production, capturing 60% of the market share. The company also commands more than 65% market share in the world for IBB. With consistent investments in technology and...
Q2FY21 on the back of growth in exports of formulations, APIs as well as one-offs like the Revlimid settlement income. India business continued its de-growth during the quarter with a YoY decline of 11% on account of lower oncology and Hep-C sales. The company has stated that it would look to launch the highly anticipated Revlimid in the U.S during FY22. Natco expects the launch of its agrochemical molecules by the end of the year, pending regulatory approval....
Shree cement (SRCM) reported Q2FY21 EBITDA above our/consensus estimates (CE) by 7%/20% at Rs9.9bn, up 17% YoY. The beat was largely led by better than expected realisations. SRCM has evolved as a mature player over last couple of years with discipline on both volumes and prices in its North markets (constitutes 2/3rd of its volumes). This is reflected in highest ever margins since FY09. However,...
IG Petrochemicals Ltd (IGPL) reported strong margin performance on the back of favourable PAN/OX spread during the quarter. Revenue de-grew by 9.1% YoY to INR 2424mn (est INR 2621mn) mainly impacted by lower realization due to soft crude oil prices. However, demand is fully recovered in Paints and Plasticizers to pre-COVID levels. EBITDA surged by 191.5% YoY to INR 418mn (est INR 235mn) with 1186bps YoY expansion in margin from 5.4% in Q2FY20 to 17.2% in Q2FY21 (est. 9%). This was mainly due to 1134bps expansion in gross margin (33.4% vs 22.4% in Q2FY20) on account of improvement in PAN/OX spread. Currently, PAN/OX average (avg) spread is around $200 (vs avg $150 in Q1FY21) compared to 10-year avg of $200 vs $100 in FY20. We believe spreads can continue to remain favourable in the near term on the back of healthy demand in the Paint and Plasticizer...