Supreme Court of India passed an order in favor of the DoT on a long pending industry-wide case of the definition of Adjusted Gross Revenue (AGR). On November 20th, a two-year moratorium was announced on the...

without the adjustment, operating loss would have been to the tune of Rs 7.87 crs/$1.1m (vs loss of Rs 3.86 crs/$0.6m in Q2FY19). Higher depreciation expense and finance cost due to lease rental adjustment dented PBT (loss of Rs 22.88 crs/$3.3m vs loss of Rs 9.68 crs/$1.4m...

Currently, the demand scenario in Andhra Pradesh is sluggish due to cancellation of several projects by the newly elected government. This, combined with sand availability and monsoon seasonality, led to a slump in construction activities in the state. Lower cement offtake in the first half of FY20 is attributable to these reasons. Demand recovery in the region is expected from late FY20 or FY21 once the cancelled projects are reallocated. With Deccan Cements having major exposure to the state, the current scenario would act as headwind for growth in the near term....

During FY16-19, the company's rupee revenue has grown at a healthy 25.2% CAGR. Acquisition of TaisTech got consolidated in FY18 for full year. However, in the near term (H1FY20), deferral of projects and delay in deal closures due to Brexit in UK had led to weak H1. Owing to major proportion of revenues coming from UK geography and government, we expect FY20E to report a revenue decline. The weakness would flow down to EBIT margin and profitability front. Though improving sentiments in UK government business, rising proportion in US business along with cost optimisation...

Better monsoon, government boost in real estate sector & recent fall in crude oil price expected to provide volume growth to the Industry. However, considering the rich valuations, we maintain our REDUCE...

The company has a total processing capacity of 35,000 MT per annum, having one of the largest capacity in India (20,000 MT) and Vietnam (10,000 MT). CCL Products' soluble instant coffee manufacturing plant is located in Duggirala Mandal, Guntur District, Andhra Pradesh, India (capacity of 20,000 MT per annum). CCL has set up a freeze dried instant coffee (a premium category of coffee) greenfield plant with capacity of 5,000 tonnes in Chittoor,...

GST has a history of rewarding its shareholdings through generous dividend payouts and b/s permitted buy-backs. FY17-19, average dividend payout was at ~38% with absolute dividend at | 9/share (~3% dividend yield). We expect generous dividend payouts to continue, going forward as well. Even in the recent past, GST has concluded a buyback wherein the company has successfully bought 9 lakh shares (~6.5% of outstanding share capital) at a price of | 550/share through tender offer route on the stock exchanges....

Sandesh has witnessed a muted print segment in the last year and a half. While FY20 print revenues declined 1%, the H1FY20 overall revenues declined ~17%. We also highlight that print, as a segment, has witnessed challenging times with weak ad growth. During FY19, key players like DB Corp and Jagran Prakashan reported print revenues (ad + subscription) growth of 6% and 1%, respectively, which for H1FY20 has been a decline of ~6% and 3%, respectively. The segment is likely to continue its declining trend at least in the medium term with key categories like government and...

GMM Pfaudler Ltd (GMM), for Q2FY20, reported a strong set of numbers.On standalone basis revenue grew by 37.2% YoY to INR 1361mn (est INR 1354mn). EBITDA showed growth of 65.9% YoY to INR267mn (est INR241mn) with 339bps YoY improvement in margin from 16.2% in Q2FY19 to 19.6% in Q2FY20, due to favorable product mix mainly led by Glasslined business ,where EBIT margin improved by 451bps on YoY basis with 62% contribution in revenue. Moreover, Heavy engineering business has also supported growth momentum with 48% growth in revenue and 12% EBIT margin in Q2FY20. As per the management, heavy engineering to add lot of growth on the back of healthy order book and expect further improvement in margins going forward. A Price increase has taken in GL segment, which is successfully passed on to the customers because of high demand. Current order book is equally distributed among Glass lined, heavy engineering and proprietary products. Net profit surged by 83.9% to INR 180mn (est. INR150mn) due to operationally strong performance and lower tax expense (16.1% vs 34.6%). GMM's Swiss based subsidiary Mavag AG posted revenue of...

Although the company's revenues have grown at 12.1% CAGR in FY16-19, we believe majority of growth is from acquisition. We believe the organic growth has been below 5% in FY16-19 mainly due to the subdued performance of the content solution business. The content solution business (accounts for 64% of total topline) has declined at 3.2% CAGR in FY17-19. In addition, the market in which MPS operates is fragmented and publishing outsourcing vendors are not price settlers but are compensated by volumes, which also keep revenue growth under check. Further, higher client...

Extended monsoons have also disrupted coal supplies in Q3. Hence, operationally Q3 should be weak. In addition, plans to diversify into unrelated minerals outside India at a peak of euphoria for Lithium and Cobalt could be value-dilutive, in our view. We revise FY20E EBITDA/PAT by 62%/66%, factoring in dismal Q2 results and also cut FY21/22E EBITDA by 24%/3% factoring in lower profitability. We value the stock at 4.5x Sep-21E EV/EBITDA. Downgrade NALCO to Sell with a TP of Rs37 (43 earlier) with UW stance in EAP. Key risk is higher alumina prices. Despite higher sales in Q2FY20, EBIT was significantly down, indicating that the company...

NIA is India's largest insurer but continues to make high underwriting losses (1H COR: 116.4%). We also note company's competitive positioning is only weakening and thus we remain concerned of company's ability of write high quality (profitable) business in the near future. We estimate an FY22E adj. RoE of just 7.2%, and can at best assign a valuation of just 0.6x Sep-21E ABV (less 10% discount for expected 10.4% supply). Given recent run up in price, we downgrade the stock to SELL with an unchanged TP of Rs 116. While NIA reported a better than expected COR of 118.3% (-610bps YoY), high NEP meant large underwriting losses of Rs 11.0bn (+9.4% YoY). Investment income (Rs 17.1bn, 11.6% yield) and low tax rate (12.2%) ensured a high PAT of Rs 5.6bn (+59.8/99.2% YoY/QoQ). We note improvement in core ICRs but our estimates already build the same and hence remain unchanged.

GNP sales grew 21% QoQ while it grew 10% YoY, implying seasonality benefits in key markets including India and US. Overall, its key growth came in India (15% YoY), US (15% QoQ), ROW (14% YoY) and Brazil (23%YoY). Adj. EBITDA grew 22% QoQ while on YoY basis it was flat, again it showed traditionally Q2 was strong quarter for GNP due to seasonality. While sales...

Background: Gabriel India Ltd.(GIL) is the flagship company of Anand Group, offering the widest range of ride control products including shock absorbers, struts, and front forks. The Company commenced operations in 1961, with a single plant in Mulund, Mumbai and has grown manifold, currently it has nine manufacturing facilities spread across the country with strong 500 dealer network and 10,000 retail outlets. The company has strong R&D; capabilities with over 43 patents in products and process. GIL has technical collaboration with global majors such as KYB (Japan), KYBSE (Spain),...

Topline and margins remained under pressure due to weak consumer demand and slower economic growth. Net revenue remained flat at Rs. 1,415cr in Q2FY20 and EBITDA margin declined by 20bps to 7.5% primarily on higher other operating costs (+27.0% to Rs. 140cr). However, adj. PAT rose to Rs. 113cr (+8.7%YoY) primarily benefitting from higher other income (+57.6% YoY to Rs. 73cr). Weaker EMP operations offset growth from UCP segment Voltas recorded robust growth in revenue from UCP segment in Q2FY20 (+19.2% YoY to Rs. 526cr; 37.1% of total revenue) with increased traction and healthy growth in Air...

Vinati Organics Ltd (VOL) enjoys global leadership in two specialty chemicals, with market share of 70% in IBB (isobutyl benzene) and 80% in ATBS (2-Acrylamindo 2-Methylpropane Sulfonic Acid). Q2FY20 Revenue de-grew by 3% YoY, but PAT grew by 69% YoY led by higher operating profit and corporate tax cut. EBITDA margins improved by 310bps YoY to 40.7% due to softer RM price and higher contribution from ATBS. We continue to maintain our positive outlook on the VOL given capacity expansion in ATBS and launch of Butyl phenols, which is expected to drive growth for 2-3 years....

We maintain Sell rating on Mahanagar Gas (MGL) on our revised DCF-based target price (TP) of Rs823 vs. old TP of Rs743 (18% downside from CMP). This follows a 36.4%/33.3% and 33.2% increase in our FY20-22E earnings after the results concall. MGL reported 2QFY20 PAT at Rs2.7bn, up 98.6% YoY and 41.3% above NBIE estimate. The beat on PAT was due to a one-time tax write-back as the company adopted the lower tax regime. Revenue was in line with expectation at Rs7.83bn and EBITDA along with EBITDA margin were marginally below NBIE estimates by 1.56%/70bps at Rs2.73bn and 34.9%, respectively. The YoY...

Pidilite Industries (PIDI) reported below-expected consolidated Q2FY20 revenue growth of 2.8% YoY as CBP volumes dipped 0.9%, offsetting industrial volume growth of 12.6%.

We maintain Sell rating on Mahanagar Gas (MGL) on our revised DCF-based target price (TP) of Rs823 vs. old TP of Rs743 (18% downside from CMP). This follows a 36.4%/33.3% and 33.2% increase in our FY20-22E earnings after the results concall. MGL reported 2QFY20 PAT at Rs2.7bn, up 98.6% YoY and 41.3% above NBIE estimate. The beat on PAT was due to a one-time tax write-back as the company adopted the lower tax regime. Revenue was in line with expectation at Rs7.83bn and EBITDA along with EBITDA margin were marginally below NBIE estimates by 1.56%/70bps at Rs2.73bn and 34.9%, respectively. The YoY...