The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) reduced the policy repo rate by 50 bps to 5.5%. However, the MPC changed its stance to neutral' from accommodative'. After having reduced the policy repo rate by 100 bps in quick succession since February 2025, under the current circumstances, the monetary policy is left with very limited space to support growth which resulted in change in stance. The MPC also decided to reduce the cash reserve ratio by 100 bps to 3.0% to provide durable liquidity. The standing deposit facility (SDF) rate is reduced to 5.25% from 5.75%, and the marginal standing facility (MSF) rate and the Bank Rate is reduced to 5.75% from 6.25%. The stress...
During May-25, Indian steel prices declined 2.1% MoM to Rs51,400/tonne, while Chinese steel prices remained unchanged at $455/tonne. Coking coal prices fell by 2.0% MoM to $148/tonne, amid muted global demand. In Apr-25, Indian steel production declined by 6.5% MoM to 12.9 mn tonnes. Estimated Chinese steel output dropped 7.3% MoM to 86 mn tonnes, while global steel production contracted by 6.3% MoM to 156 mn tonnes. Chinese steel exports remained flat MoM but increased 13.4% YoY to 10.5mn tonnes, as global buyers showed resistance to higher prices offered by Chinese producers. Additionally, the recent...
JK Paper Ltd.'s (JK Paper) Q4FY25 result was broadly in-line with estimates on key parameters. The company reported improved performance on a sequential basis led by higher volume and cost optimization. However, on YoY basis the earnings were subdued, reflecting underline pain in NSR and raw material cost. The management attributed weak earnings to surge in imports at low prices and high wood cost. During Q4FY25, the Company acquired 60% of the Equity Shares of Radhesham Wellpack Private Limited (RWPL) and 62.14% of Equity Shares of Quadragen Vethealth Private Limited (QVPL). We have fine-tuned earnings...
In our monthly Hotels update we have summarized key events of the domestic hotel industry, new hotels signing/addition by key players during the month and pricing trend of key cities for May, 2025. We have analyzed pricing of 171 hotels with ~33,000 keys across 8 cities to understand the trend over last 24 months (Exhibit 1-8). The industry had another month of healthy ADR growth on YoY basis. However, on MoM prices declined as a seasonal phenomenon. We anticipate moderation in ADR as Q1 is a soft quarter compared to rest owing to extreme summer in the country. However, we maintain our positive outlook on domestic...
Cochin Shipyard Limited (CSL), incorporated in 1972, is a prominent player in the construction, repair, and refitting of various types of vessels. This includes periodic upgrades and life extension for ships. CSL has successfully built and repaired some of the largest ships for its esteemed customers...
Century Plyboards' Q4FY25 profitability missed our expectations. Revenue grew by 13% YoY to Rs12bn, driven by strong Plywood (+8% YoY) and MDF (+37% YoY), despite decline in Particle boards (-25% YoY). EBITDA margins contracted by 275bps YoY to 11.2% due to margin pressure across all segments except for plywood. Century plans an 50,000 CBM plywood facility at Hoshiarpur within a year, along with an additional 50,000CBM capacity through brownfield expansions and de-bottlenecking. Century expects its continuous process plant for particle board at Chennai facility to commence operation in Q1FY26,...
Chinese HRC: Chinese HRC prices remained flat WoW at Rs 38,875/tonne, as majority of buyers have either paused their purchases or are offering prices that are too low for Chinese producers to accept,...
All of the chemicals in our tracking universe exhibited a downward pricing trajectory on MoM basis in May 2025, barring Monoethylene Glycol; which exhibited a sharp 9% rise MoM. The price rise for this and the previous couple of months is driven by the uptick in seasonal demand for coolants and anti-freeze products which find use in automobiles. Heavy soda ash registered a price fall of 17% in just a month, owing to fall in demand from flat and container glass end-product segments. We expect prices to continue on the downward trajectory for the near term, post the highs seen in the Covid era. CRDMO companies are witnessing significant tailwinds in terms of growth. Companies...
Rolex Rings (Rolex) exhibited below expected performance in Q4FY25. The slowdown in their main segment of bearings is particularly impacting performance. The major MNC clients in the bearings segment are going slow on their capex plans which has impacted demand. An important aspect to note is that of an audit qualification with qualified opinion of Rs 2,278.6 mn from the banks for Right to Recompense against which the company has provided Rs 506 mn till date. The company has secured legal opinion and there remains a probability of further impact to the P&L on account of any adverse...
Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd.'s (LTH) Q4FY25 result was broadly in-line with our estimates on net sales and EBTDA front, while PAT was beat to forecast. The company reported the best ever Q4 results, aided by healthy RevPAR growth. The management is confident to sustain this growth in coming quarters by focusing on growth levers such as growth in managed and franchised portfolio, timely completion of renovation in the current portfolio. Renovation expenses stood at 2.7% of revenue in FY25 as compared to 2.4% in FY24. This increased investment in renovation expenses will continue into FY26 and a lesser amount...
Banking sector (non-food) credit growth moderated to 9.8% as on 16 May'25 vs ~10.2% in Apr'25 (vs ~11% in Mar'25). The latest sectoral deployment data showed that credit growth moderated in agri, industry and services sectors in Apr'25. Agri loans stood to 9.2% in Apr'25 vs 12.4% in Mar'25. Loans to industries moderated to 6.6% in Apr'25 vs 7.8% in Mar'25, due to slowdown in particularly large industries. Services sector growth too softened to 10.5% YoY vs 12.4% YoY in Mar'25. Growth in loans to NBFCs slowed to 2.9% YoY in Apr'25 vs 5.7% in Mar'25. However, loan to retail segment slightly improved to ~12% YoY in Apr'25 from 11.6% in Mar'25, aided...
SAIL's Q4FY25 performance exceeded our forecast on all parameters. Revenue grew 20% QoQ to Rs293 bn, driven by strong volume growth of 20% QoQ which included 0.36 mnT traded volumes from NMDC steel. NSR remained flat QoQ at Rs55,002/t. EBITDA stood at Rs 35bn (71.9%/0.2% QoQ/YoY), with EBITDA/tonne at Rs 6,350/t (43%/14% QoQ/YoY) which includes one-offs on account of revision of provisional rail prices amounting Rs 6.9bn. SAIL is setting up a TMT mill at Durgapur to further decrease the semi-finished product contribution and is expected to come up in 2.5 years which will further aid...
IRCTC reported subdued performance with revenue growing 4% QoQ and 10% YoY, primarily due to seasonal softness in the catering segment (-5% QoQ) and a flat performance in Rail Neer. Operating margin contracted by 350bps, driven largely by a 230bps decline in internet ticketing margins. However, management remains optimistic about the growth prospects from premium trains like Bharat Gaurav, Maharaja Express, and Tejas Express, as well as expanding non-railway revenue (28% share) and tourism momentum, particularly from religious travel and additional rakes. Furthermore, the RBI approval for a payment aggregator...
Apeejay Surrendra Park Hotels Ltd.'s (ASPHL) Q4FY25 result was broadly in-line with our estimates on net sales and EBITDA front, while net profitability disappointed. The company witnessed an increase of 13% YoY in both ARR at 8,758, and RevPAR at 8,074, while occupancy stood at 92%. The management reiterated high teens growth for FY26E, which is encouraging. ASPHL intends to double its key count to about 5400 keys in the next 5 years including 1,011 keys of its own. In Q4FY25 ASPHL signed a binding MoU for the acquisition 60 service apartment under Zillion Hotels and Resorts at Juhu, Mumbai. Further, the...
Amid a challenging macroeconomic environment and sustained pressure on discretionary spending, BSOFT reported muted performance; however, an encouraging uptick in deal TCV to USD 236mn (+4% QoQ) from Q3FY25, coupled with management guidance indicating sustained momentum, is expected to deliver growth from Q2FY26. Despite management's optimistic outlook of FY26 surpassing FY25, near-term headwinds lead to softness from furloughs and project ramp-downs in Q1, along with typical seasonality in H2 which are likely to temper the overall performance. While the company remains committed to...
Cummins India (KKC) delivered healthy performance in Q4FY25 which were in tune with our estimates. Revenue for the quarter was higher by 7% YoY and lower by 20% QoQ. The key positive of the management commentary was demand continuing to remain strong and also being broad based across key infrastructure verticals like residential real estate, commercial realty and data centers. Another key positive was of Gross margins coming in at 37.5% for the quarter. This is a result of the management's assiduous efforts in reducing direct material costs, optimizing product mix and suitable pricing. Guidance is of...
