During Aug-25, Indian steel prices remained flat MoM at Rs49,500/tonne, while Chinese steel rose by 2% MoM to $500/tonne due to government-led production cuts and anticipation of further output restrictions. Coking coal prices increased by 5% MoM to $155/tonne, driven by supply-side disruptions amid the monsoon. In Jul-25, Indian steel production rose by 3% MoM to 14 mn tonnes. Estimated Chinese steel output declined by 4% MoM to 80 mn tonnes, while global steel production contracted by 1% MoM to 150 mn tonnes. Chinese steel exports increased by 2% MoM and 26% YoY to 9.8 mn tonnes, driven by weak domestic...
Indian HRC: Indian HRC prices remained flat WoW to Rs 49,500/tonne, as market participants adopt wait and watch approach to gain further price clarity for September. Billet-Ex-Raipur: Billet prices increased by 1.6% WoW to Rs 37,200/tonne, supported by positive sentiment spill-over from GST 2.0 reforms, boosting steel demand from consuming industries. Chinese HRC: Chinese HRC prices decreased by 1.0% WoW to Rs 41,857/tonne, driven by concerns of potential domestic oversupply...
In our monthly Hotels update we have summarized key events of the domestic hotel industry, new hotels signing/addition by key players during the month and pricing trend of key cities for August, 2025. We have analyzed pricing of 171 hotels with ~33,000 keys across 8 cities to understand the trend over last 24 months (Exhibit 1-8). The industry had another month of ADR improvement on both YoY as well as MoM in key selected markets. We anticipate further strengthening of ADR aided by festive season followed by wedding season. We remain positive on domestic hospitality space led by demand-supply mismatch, FTA, increased corporate travel, and MICE will aid...
Banking sector (non-food) credit growth remains muted in July'25 at ~0.1% MoM (9.9% YoY) vs ~1.1% MoM (9.3% YoY) in June'25. The latest sectoral deployment data showed that credit growth is muted in agri, industry and services sectors, Agri loans (yoy) growth was 7.3% in July'25 vs 6.8% in June'25. Loans to industries yoy growth increased to 6.1% in July'25 vs 5.5% in June'25. Services sector growth increased to 11.1% vs 9.0% YoY in June'25. Growth in loans to NBFCs moderated to 2.6% YoY in July'25 vs 2.6% YoY in June'25. However, loan to retail segment slightly moderated to ~11.4% YoY in July'25 vs 12.1% in June'25. Unsecured loan portfolio...
Total card spends saw a strong rebound during July'25, coming in at 1.94L Cr versus 1.83L Cr in June'25. Credit card spends rose by ~6% MoM (vs a ~3.6% decline in June'25), though YoY growth moderated to ~12.2% (vs ~15.2% in June'25). Cards-inforce stood at ~111.6Mn as of July'25, up ~6.8% YoY but broadly stable on a MoM basis. Net new card additions picked up to ~4.2 lakhs (vs just ~0.07 lakhs in June'25), led by HDFCB (~3.15 lakhs), AXISB (~1.2 lakhs) and SBI (~0.8 lakh). Transaction volumes also improved, rising ~6% MoM (vs ~2% decline in June'25) and ~27% YoY (vs ~28% in June'25). Festive seasonality and steadier macros point to firmer spends in the coming months, with UPI-linked credit lines expanding acceptance at QR rails and...
Ador Welding (AWL) reported poor financial performance in Q1FY26 primarily impacted by write offs pertaining to the ONGC Uran Flares Project. Although the Rs 279 mn of provision related to the ONGC project is a significant negative, we expect this to factor in the major operating loss for the said project in FY26. We fine tune our estimates downwards to factor in the same.FY27 should see the start of improved profitability reflecting only core business performance without any impact of the project business. Valuations at 14xFY27 expected earnings are attractive and we believe the company is gearing up to tap the...
Indian HRC: Indian HRC prices remained flat WoW to Rs 50,000/tonne. Meanwhile, DGTR has finalised a three-year safeguard duty on flat steel products, set at 12% in the first year, 11.5% in the second year and 11% in the third year. Billet-Ex-Raipur: Billet prices remained flat WoW at Rs 37,500/tonne, amid subdued demand as buyer adopted wait and watch approach. Chinese HRC: Chinese HRC prices increased by 3.1% WoW to...
HG Infra (HGIEL) Q1FY26 performance was mixed, with a softer undertone despite healthy standalone revenue growth. On a standalone basis, revenue came in at Rs17,092.4mn, representing a 13.5% YoY increase but a 13.4% sequential decline. Profit after tax fell 10.1% YoY and 40.9% QoQ to Rs1,254.7 mn, as EBITDA margins contracted to 13.8% from 15.9% a year earlier. The fall in profitability was largely driven by a Rs43 crore one-off margin correction in the Ganga Expressway project due to a change in law provision, alongside higher finance costs and impairment provisions on receivables. Standalone PAT...
Bata India's (Bata) Q1FY26 result was in-line with our estimates on key parameters. Q1FY26 was relatively tough, showing only flattish growth, though it seemed slightly better than the previous quarter. There is still stress in the mass segment, particularly the middle and mass segments of the consumer base. Consumers in the target middle-class segment have experienced a pinch due to inflation, necessitating a focus on value for money in products. Further, there is a structural shift in consumer behaviour towards online platforms, leading to growth in e-commerce and direct-to-consumer (D2C) brands. The...
Somany Ceramics Ltd.'s (SCL) Q1FY26 result was broadly in-line with our estimates on key parameters. Market demand during Q1FY26 was impacted by lower sales in India. Exports also faced pressure in Q1 FY26. Further, sales of some low product mix items and old/deleted stock, which led to a reduction in realization, though a small price increase was implemented in July. The management guided that the focus is on innovation and better products to move up the value chain. New product launches are planned for September and after Diwali. Despite weak Q1, the management is not changing its guidance for...
Revenue from operations rose by 3.8% to INR 1,160cr, driven by strong contributions from Internet Ticketing, Tourism, and Rail Neer segments. EBITDA stood at INR 397cr, up 6% YoY, with an improved EBITDA margin of 34.3%, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency and cost optimization. Internet Ticketing grew by 9% with an 84% EBITDA margin. Tourism posted a 21% revenue growth despite geopolitical challenges. IRCTC delivered a stable and profitable performance with a PAT of INR 330.5cr, marking a 7.4% YoY growth. Rail Neer revenue remained flat due to reduced sales of 500ml bottles and temporary...
JSL's Q1FY26 performance exceeded our estimates on all parameters. Revenue declined 7% QoQ to Rs123bn, primarily due to an 11% drop in volumes, attributed to the early onset of the monsoon and inventory replenishment post Q4FY26 drawdown. Despite volume decline, management maintained its FY26 guidance. Additionally, NSR improved 5% QoQ, driven by better steel prices and higher VAP contribution. Consequently, EBITDA grew 32% QoQ to Rs30bn, with EBITDA/tonne increasing by 42% QoQ to Rs15,819, supported by lower coking coal and conversion costs. JSL incurred capex of Rs22bn in Q1FY26 vs Rs23bn in...
Surya Roshni's Q1FY26 performance was below expectations. Revenue declined by 15% YoY to Rs16bn, primarily due to a 20% YoY drop in the steel pipes segment. LCD segment grew by 3% YoY to Rs4bn. Consolidated EBITDA margin contracted 360bps YoY to 4.3%, dragged by both the segments. EBITDA/t for steel pipes fell by 52% YoY to Rs2,922/t, impacted by ~Rs1,000/t inventory loss and ~Rs2,000/t hit from lower volumes, higher fixed cost due to SAP implementation, and a higher share of low margin products. Management guided for 35%-38% YoY revenue growth in steel pipes for Q2FY26 but lowered FY26 sales volume guidance...
Muthoot Finance (MUTH) reported robust gold loan growth at 40% YoY vs 41% YoY (FY25) led by higher gold prices and new customer additions. Overall AUM growth stood at 42% YoY vs 43% YoY (FY25). Management maintained guidance at 15% gold loan growth for FY26. We revised upwards gold loan growth to 15% vs 12% CAGR (FY25-27E) earlier. NIMs improved QoQ led by increase in yield on advances. NII grew strongly by 51% YoY led by rise in margins; PPoP grew by 63% YoY led by higher other income (up 135% YoY). Further, provisions declined by 81% YoY due to recovery from NPA accounts; thus PAT grew by 90% YoY. Stage...
