In the backdrop of an appreciating rupee and implementation of investments in sales, localization of workforce, and acquisitions to remain relevant, INFY's margins have declined in almost all its business segments. Although there was topline growth and materialization of the deal pipeline into several large deals, ramping up these deals have not proved marginaccretive, as seen historically. The company completed several large acquisitions and has put the unsuccessful deals of the past behind. The management has said strategic investments will continue in FY20. Attrition...

double-digit constant currency growth helped by ramp-up of building in the recent quarters. Q4 quarterly run rate and now constitutes one third of total portfolio at 33.8%. In Q4, it won 13 large deals totaling about $1.6 billion. Three of these deals were in Financial Services, Manufacturing and Life Sciences, two in Hi Tech and one is in Retail and other segment. Geography wise seven were from America, five from Europe and one from India. Total large deal wins in FY2019 was about $6.3 billion, more than double of FY2018. The share of new...

Strong deal pipeline aids higher revenue growth momentum; Key business verticals gaining momentum; Higher employee addition and lower attrition is an added advantage

Infosys' (INFO) Q4FY19 revenue of 2.1% QoQ in CC was in-line with our forecast. However, EBIT margin decline of ~115bps QoQ to 21.4% was a miss. This was offset by lower tax rate which boosted EPS of Rs9.4, +0.4%/+7% QoQ/YoY which was in-line with our forecast. Large deal TCV of US$1.57bn was higher than our forecast. INFO's FY20 revenue guidance of 7.5%-9.5% YoY in CC and EBIT margin guidance of 21%-23% is in-line with our forecast. While we maintain our FY20E revenue forecast, we now factor EBIT margin of 22.3% vs. 23.8% resulting in a 6.2% cut in EPS. We introduce FY21 financials and forecast revenue...

Revenue in constant currency terms grew 11.7% yoy to USD 3,060mn in Q4 FY19 (up 2.1% qoq) which was above our estimates of $3,031 mn. The revenue growth was supported by improvement in global IT spending environment across key verticals, especially Communications and Healthcare. Operating margin of 21.4% in Q4 FY19 was down 113 bps qoq (down 191 bps yoy) impacted by higher direct cost % of revenue. By Geography: North America remained strong with 3.7% qoq in revenue on CC basis while Europe business advanced 1.4% qoq. 4QFy19 revenue from India/rest of the world declined 9.1%/1.3% qoq, respectively. By Industry: BFSI remained under pressure with revenue on cc basis down 0.8% qoq while Retail declined 0.9% qoq. However, Communication vertical saw a robust growth of 16.6% qoq. By offering: Digital Revenues (33.8% of total business) registered a strong 9.7% qoq growth (+41% yoy) while the Core business was down 1.4%...

P/E Discount Reduction Trade With TCS Will Stall Near Term We believe the 7.5%-9.5% constant currency (CC) revenue growth guidance for FY20 (inclusive of inorganic elements) of Infosys looks a bit conservative with: (1) total large deal TCV in FY19 at >2x that of FY18 and new deal TCV at 3.4x and that too spread across multiple verticals. (2) Double-digit exit revenue growth (YoY) in 4QFY19. But 4QFY19 exit EBIT margin (21.4%), 70bps below our estimate of 22.1%, does open up possibility of it landing at bottom end of the guided range (21%-23%) for FY20 considering likely lack of support from INR depreciation (at 210bps in FY19) and with more monetary interventions required to curb the...

Healthy deal wins, client addition key positive Infosys added one client in the US$50 million, two in the US$100 million and eight in the US$10 million client buckets, representing a healthy client mining and farming strategy. Further, the company's deal wins have also been healthy, up 2x to US$6.3 billion. Out of the overall deal pipeline, we believe US$ 3 billion would be net new deal wins, which can help Infosys to register double digit growth in FY20E. Further, digital growth has also been healthy (up 32.0% YoY, 31% of overall revenues). This gives us confidence...

Infosys's Mar'18 quarter performance was mixed bag with inline revenue, healthy deal wins and subpar operating margins. Combination of soft revenue growth guidance (of 7.5 to 9.5% YoY cc growth) with lower reset of EBIT margin range (to 21-23%) makes FY20 outlook subdued. Tight US talent market and elevated attrition will limit efforts to recoup profitability. We downgrade recommendation a notch to ADD (V/s BUY earlier) even as...

Infosys reported inline Q4FY19 revenue performance but sharp miss on Change in Estimates | Target | Reco margins due to large deal impact & investments on people. Management guided a lower than expected revenue growth for FY20E due to uncertain...

Infosys' softening FY19 margin trajectory (-150bps vs. +80bps for TCS despite INR tailwinds), is expected to continue over FY20 (-160bps erosion). This derives from a rising cost of delivery (higher localisation, sub-contracting) and the persistent challenge of high attrition, large deal investments and softness in the core BFSI vertical. We downgrade Infosys to NEUTRAL (from BUY) post its inline revenues in 4QFY19. The growth challenges and margin trajectory compels us to cut estimates by ~5%. Our TP falls to Rs 755 (Rs 805 earlier) at 18x FY21E EPS.

13 April 2019 full-year CC revenue growth of 9%, EBIT growth of 10.6% (EBIT margin shrank 140bp YoY) and adj. Including the buyback/special dividend, INFO paid out ~125% of its FY19 adjusted profits. For the quarter, INFO grew its revenue by 11.8% YoY CC, EBIT by 3.3% YoY CC and adj. net income by 10.5% YoY CC. QoQ CC revenue growth of 2.1% was in line, but the EBIT margin drop of 160bp QoQ (on adjusted 3Q base of 23%) was higher than anticipated (by 100bp). PAT of INR4.07b exceeded our estimate by 1.5% due to a lower tax rate (22.

and strong deal signings: Infosys delivered inline revenue growth during Q4FY2019, a with a constant currency (CC) revenue growth of 2.1% q-o-q/11.7% y-o-y (second consecutive quarter of double-digit growth). CC revenue growth was primarily led by strong growth in communication (16.6% q-o-q on CC) and hi-tech (6.9% q-o-q on CC). However, financial services CC revenues growth declined 0.8% owing to a slowdown in...

View: Margin concern continues; downgrade to SELL We believe that higher sub-contracting cost, higher attrition, implied investment and localisation in the medium term will lead to margin pressure in FY20 for INFY. We expect INFY to report margins towards the mid-point of its guidance in FY20. We downgrade our earnings estimates by 12%/11.5% for FY20/FY21, primarily because of rupee appreciation and margin headwinds going ahead. We change our rupee assumption to ` 70 for FY20/FY21 as compared to ` 74/` 76 earlier which led to major...

Infosys came out with good set of numbers in Q4FY19, ahead of our estimate though topline was slightly below our estimate and EBIT margin faced some pressure. Revenue was flat sequentially at Rs 21,539cr against our estimate of Rs 22,109cr. PAT for the quarter stood at Rs 4074cr ahead of our estimate of Rs 3860cr. We are positive on the stock from longer term perspective, however due to cut in FY20E guidance by management, the stock might remain under pressure for few sessions. We maintain our...

Infosys' 2.1% qoq CC growth for Q4FY19 was in line with our expectations of 2.0%. EBIT margins of 21.4% was down ~110bps qoq. For the full-year FY19, Infosys posted 9.0% CC growth vs. guidance of 8.5-9.0%, while EBIT margins declined 150bps yoy to 22.8%. Infosys provided modest CC growth guidance of 7.5-9.5% and lowered its margin guidance band by 100bps to 21-23% for FY20E. Ex-contribution from its Stater/other...

Belgium and Germany. Infosys will pay EUR 127.5 mn (~USD 143 mn) for the 75% stake. (Expected closure: Q1FY20). Acquisition of Stater is in sync with Infosys strategy of strengthening its position in Continental Europe and we expect revenue for the business to be ~USD 200 mn with high single digit margin, implying valuation of ~1x EV/Sales. It will add ~1.6% revenue growth & impact on EBIT margins will be 25bps (assuming EBIT margins of 7%) & will be marginally EPS-dilutive on FY20E. The inorganic strategy of Infosys...

25 February 2019 Even as INFOs revenue growth improves its FY19 EBIT margin exit at ~22- 22.5% followed by wage hikes in 1QFY20, pose a risk to consensus EBIT estimate of 23.4% for FY20. This is a key concern weighing on the stocks attractiveness. INFOs recent revival under Mr. Salil Parekh in revenue growth (from 4.6% constant currency (CC) in 2QFY18 to 10.1% CC in 3QFY19) came with an EBIT margin decline of 120bp, despite the INR/USD depreciating 11% during the same period. The trend is remarkably similar to the period under Dr. Vishal Sikka, when INFOs revenues increased from 6.3% CC in 2QFY15 to 15% YoY CC in 4QFY16 and 12% in 1QFY17. EBIT margin during this period shrank 200bp and currency had depreciated by 11%. In both instances, however, we see revenue growth gaining priority over margins. In the earlier period, INFO saw its stock price gain 33%, while in the recent period, the uptick in the stock price was a robust 59%.

Infosys Ltd. reported strong growth in top line and healthy deal wins for the period of Q3FY19. Infosys posted revenue growth of 10.1% on YoY basis and 2.7% sequential growth in constant currency terms for the period of Q3FY19. Deal wins came in strong with TCV of $157 cr.