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We believe CIE's technological strengths will continue to support its valuation, similar to its listed MNC peers in the sector. However, due to weaker demand in Europe and the U.S., along with a slower-than-expected EV ramp-up, we are revising our PAT guidance downward, maintaining a cautious stance on margin estimates for near term. We expect the geopolitical shift in the supply chain realignment to benefit the domestic market in the long run, which is expected to factor in the price and the valuation looks reasonable at the given margin. CIE has...
We attended Tata Motors’ (TTMT) analyst meet for India business. TTMT expects CV industry volumes to grow at a slower CAGR of 3-5% over the next five years relative to average freight demand CAGR of 5-7% due to the impact of dedicated freight corridors (DFCs).
Despite the slow ramp-up in electric vehicles, the company is actively increasing its kit value across all segments meticulously through capacity expansion and strategic tie-ups. UNO Minda has always outperformed the underlying benchmark auto production by 1.5-2x growth. We expect the channel inventory correction has shown signs of improvement in the...
We met CEAT management at the RPG Conference on 3rd Jun’25. In India business, management continues to expect good demand in the tractor and 2W replacement segments even as 2W OEM demand is now slowing down.
*over or under performance to benchmark index Bajaj Auto Ltd (BAL) is India's second-largest and the world's sixth-largest motorcycle manufacturer. It is also the world's largest three-wheeler maker. The company is...
We recently attended CEAT’s Investor Day to understand its medium-term growth strategy. Over the next two years, CEAT aims to gain leadership position in the PV replacement segment (currently, no. 3 player with 16% market share); it is also targeting ~200bps of market share expansion in the TBR segment.
We attended CEAT’s annual analyst meeting. The management retained its mid-single-digit replacement growth guidance. Rural is outpacing urban (key for CEAT’s 2Ws/farm segment) on a favorable monsoon outlook; it is eyeing share gains in PV OEMs amid rising salience of higher-rim size tyres.
Rolex Rings (Rolex) exhibited below expected performance in Q4FY25. The slowdown in their main segment of bearings is particularly impacting performance. The major MNC clients in the bearings segment are going slow on their capex plans which has impacted demand. An important aspect to note is that of an audit qualification with qualified opinion of Rs 2,278.6 mn from the banks for Right to Recompense against which the company has provided Rs 506 mn till date. The company has secured legal opinion and there remains a probability of further impact to the P&L on account of any adverse...
Varroc Engineering’s (VAR) EBITDA margin stood at 10.5%, down ~70bps YoY but ~50bps higher vs consensus/I-Sec estimate. Revenue growth was 11% YoY (adjusted), with 13% YoY growth in India operations.
Bosch India’s (BOS) Q4FY25 EBITDAM of 13.2% (flat YoY) was in line with consensus estimate. Gross margin improvement of ~300bps was offset by higher other expenses.
EBITDA increased 4.1% YoY to Rs. 1,416cr, driven by a favourable product mix. However, margin contracted 10bps YoY to 14.2%. Notably, the EBITDA margin for the internal combustion engine (ICE) business stood at 16.1%, benefitting from an...
Management guided for revenue growth of 20% YoY with 150bps improvement in EBITDA margin in FY26. We revised our FY26/27E EPS by -3.4%/-3.6%, factoring in deferred orders and execution delays. BEML reported a strong quarter, with revenue growing 9.2% YoY and EBITDA margin improving by 110 basis points, supported by better material cost management and increased defence contributions. The FY25 order book stood at Rs140bn, below the guided ~Rs180bn due to delays in...
Sundram Fasteners Ltd (SFL), established in 1962 and headquartered in Chennai, India, is a flagship company of the TVS Group and a prominent player in the global automotive components industry. The company specializes in the manufacture of high-tensile fasteners(40% of revenue), powertrain components, and precision-engineered products, catering to both automotive and industrial sectors. With exports contributing 30% to its revenue, Sundram Fasteners has a strong presence in key international markets such as the U.S, Europe, and...