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were moving at a steady pace until 15th Mar'20 with timely collection of come to halt due to a) directive and strict implementation of nationwide lockdown, b) stoppage of work requested by clients, c) labour related issues who were unable to return post Holi holidays and d) concerns towards health...

DCB reported advance degrowth of 0.37% for Q4FY20 on a QOQ basis while deposits registered a QOQ growth of 2.14%, even though Q4 usually has historically been the strongest quarter for the bank. NIMS for the quarter stood at 3.64% against 3.71% in Q3FY20. GNPA's stood at 2.46% against 2.20% in Q3FY20 while NNPA stood at 1.16% against 1.03% in Q3FY20. The provision coverage ratio was at 70.81% against 76.99% in Q3FY20. Advances growth to pick up pace from Q3FY21 as COVID induced pain eases and the economy returns to normalcy. GNPA's increase - upgrades delayed On a QOQ basis GNPA'S registered an increase of INR 795 mn as upgrades were affected by the lockdown. Within GNPA's the highest...

2 April 2020 Coal Indias (COAL) dispatches declined 10.3% YoY to 53.5mt in Mar20 due to a sharp fall in demand from the power sector. Indias nation-wide lockdown comes at a time when (a) power demand has mines has been ramped up following a heavy monsoon season. Accordingly, inventories at both coal mines and power plants have risen (refer to Exhibits 1/2) a general trend at the onset of summer, but higher than usual. On the other hand, with Industrial and Commercial consumers accounting for nearly ~50% of Indias power demand, generation has been severely dented over the past one week. Furthermore, given the must-run status for renewables in the country, the brunt of the demand decline is being borne by coal-based plants. Generation from coal-based plants fell ~40% YoY over March 25 (Exhibit 4). On account of such a sharp demand drop and higher coal inventories at power +6.5% YoY) (Exhibit 5).

Lowest tariffs, excellent pipeline network and well-entrenched reach in domestic LNG markets to help PLNG compete with new terminals. We leave our estimates for FY21-23E unchanged. Petronet LNG (PLNG) is a play on India's rising LNG imports supported by soft spot LNG prices. We like PLNG's business model given high earnings visibility. We see limited competition to PLNG's well-entrenched reach in the LNG business. Reiterate...

During COVID-19 crisis, packaging business was least impacted as people are more preferring packaged food in order to maintain hygiene and safety. Management expects, domestic demand for polyester packaging to grow in between 12-14% going ahead, which could be a phenomenal demand growth....

Bharti Airtel continues to report a gain in revenue market share with stable KPI across and also enjoys a comfortable leverage vis--vis peers. We note that while the AGR issue is sub-judice, fund raising has ensured it would be able to serve the same. With a resilient performance amid challenging times, Airtel is one the better placed telecom players. We maintain our BUY rating on the stock with a DCF based target price of | 700/share. The target price increase is expected to be largely led by superior medium term growth over...

The impact of Covid-19 will be mixed for the telecom sector. Telecom operators like Airtel are likely to witness some challenges in subscriber (sub) addition and ARPU growth, given the lockdown and extension of validity. However, higher data usage in the interim will offset ARPU challenges. On the other hand, players like Bharti Infratel will have minimal impact and the earnings estimates are likely to be stable. Tata Communication is likely to face challenges in terms of usage based segment such as TTPSL and TCTS as well as new deal closures. Sterlite Tech, which was already facing product...

19 May 2020 The price hikes taken in Dec19 and healthy 4G subscriber adds improved ARPU, which in turn led to an increase in EBITDA. However, capex doubled QoQ to INR113b, which resulted in operating FCF turning negative. Further, the QIP amount was utilized to partly pay AGR liabilities. We largely maintain our FY21E consol. EBITDA estimates building ARPU increase of 8% on favorable 4G subscriber mix. We increase our FY22E EBITDA by 5% with higher ARPU increase of 14%, after building in some tariff increase. revenue/EBITDA on post Ind-AS 116 basis was up 8%/10% QoQ (in- line) to INR237.2b/INR102b due to strong ARPU growth in the India wireless business. EBITDA margin expanded 80bp to 43% (40bp below est.). Adjusting for reclassification in the DTH business, consol. Reported net loss stood at INR52.4b due to higher interest cost (up 11% QoQ) of INR33.

Gross margins improved significantly by 522bps YoY to 36.2% on account of higher margins from Europe (38.6% in Q4FY20) and better product mix. EBITDA could have been better had it not been for...

Earnings in the gold loans business were strong, driven by healthy valueled AUM growth (4.5% qoq/33% yoy), substantial shift towards online gold loans (63% of book) andsustainedcostreduction.However,45%qoqdeclinein goldholdingsandactivecustomerbasewasdisappointing. Invehiclefinance(5%ofAUM),AUMdeclinedby6%qoq. GrossNPLsspikedfurtherinQ1FY21to10%andsignificant provisionsweremadetocontainNetNPLsat4%.Collection...

PSP Projects Ltd (PSP) reported better than expected numbers in a quarter which was impacted by lack of labour availablity and lockdown.

In today's time where effects of COVID-19 are being felt around the world, work from home and social distancing became buzzwords in today's business landscape. In this situation where most businesses floundering, telecom sector has been the backbone of economy and being able to maintain & sustain its present earnings power has limited impact on telecom sector as a whole due to the services being considered as essential during lockdown. Besides , telecom co's benefited from the surge in demand for voice and data services...

Continues to remain at attractive valuations; Maintain Buy NTPC reported Q4 numbers which were better than expectations, with an adjusted PAT of Rs 38bn. The drop in PLFs at 67% in FY20, compared to 77% in FY19, reflects the trend in the industry, but is still better than the industry PLF of 56% in FY20. It has commercialized 5.2GW in FY20, while maintaining a target commercialization of 5.9GW in FY21. NTPC also plans to achieve 5.5GW of capacity addition in FY21. Its capex target is Rs 210bn in FY20....

Maintain Adj. for one-offs and FC u/r, NTPC's S/A PAT came in at INR33.0b (4% up YoY and 8% higher than our est. Reported PAT, however, came in at INR12.5b (down 71% YoY) given the the Vivad se Vishwas scheme and b) INR8b impact on account of adj. Overall, FY20 JV profit declined to INR4b in FY20 v/s INR6.7b in FY19 on account of losses at NTPC expects capitalization momentum to continue and targets ~5.9GW for commercialization in FY21. We remain conservative and build-in commercialization of 3.6GW Muted power demand, coupled with production ramp-up at Coal Indias mines, has led to an increase in coal stocks at power plants. However, production at these mines has improved, leading to recovery in coal stocks at For FY20, FC u/r stood at ~INR2.5b (v/s INR8b in FY19). This provides strong With the pickup in capitalization, which was partly hampered due to coal availability issues, we expect a regulated equity CAGR of ~12% over FY2023.

9 September 2020 We interacted with Essel Propacks (ESEL) management to learn and discuss some key factors such as (a) future growth drivers, (b) improving performance in Europe, (c) gradual shift from plastic to laminated tubes, and (d) growing At the peak of COVID-19, ESEL launched a new product Hand Sanitizer tubes in just 15 days to meet the sudden demand surge. This new product segment under Personal care is expected to provide steady volumes, as Sanitizers are increasingly becoming a part of daily consumption. Under Phase-I of project Phoenix, ESEL managed to increase EBITDA margin by 180bp YoY to 20.2% in FY20. ESELs integrated operations, right from laminating-to printing to tubing makes it a one-stop solutions for its clients, thereby allowing the company to form long-term partnerships. Further, the companys 7-stage pipeline development process/customer acquisition, has led to signing-up of several new customers in Oral and Personal care segments, which should be a key growth driver.

Management indicated the tendering pipeline remains healthy as the process of ordering continues during 1Q and expects an order inflow of ~Rs15bn for FY21E. Key project such as NRL, Kaveri Basin (few packages), HEML, petrochemical projects, etc. to be awarded in FY21E. On the international market the company is witnessing a slowdown in ordering as countries like Oman, UAE, Saudi, etc have deferred their capex plan. We believe execution to remain under pressure for 2Q given the current challenging environment and is expected to garner pace from 3Q onwards....

29 June 2020 Coal India (COAL)s results highlight the impact of lower e-auction realizations and flattish volumes amid subdued thermal power demand. FSA realizations, though, have continued the improvement demonstrated over the past year on account of better grade quality. Muted power demand would impact off-take and e-auction realizations in the near term. However, we expect Coal India to tide over the situation price of INR189/sh based on 3.5x Sep21 EV/EBITDA. ~INR66b) due to lower e-auction realizations and muted power off-take. The beat on our estimates was driven by better-than-expected FSA realizations and a higher mix of e-auctions in the off-take. Volumes were flat YoY at ~164mt (in-line). Cash cost (ex-OBR) decreased 1% YoY at INR981/t. FSA volumes declined 2% YoY to 139.2mt. Realizations came in higher grade realization. E-Auction volumes rose 26% YoY to 21mt. Conversely, realizations were down 24% YoY to INR2,105/t.