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We interacted with Mr. Mukesh Sahdev, Senior VP & Global Head of Commodity Markets at Rystad Energy, to assess the evolving oil price trajectory within the new global trade environment. The outlook suggests that oil prices may have bottomed out, with forecasted demand far ahead of supply in the peak MarAug'25. Average crude prices are expected to moderate from USD80/bbl in 2024 to USD75/bbl in 2025. However, geopolitical supply risks and macroeconomic uncertainties, including recession probabilities, are key swing...
Additionally, NCERT's announcement of new competency-based textbooks for grades 4, 5, 7, and 8 marks a meaningful expansion in the curriculum upgrade cycle. While the sales season for FY25E will remain unaffected, this remain under pressure amid the growing adoption of second-hand books, although recurring institutional orders may offer a temporary buffer. On the operating performance front, while NELI and S Chand's EBITDA is likely to witness mid-single digit growth, DOMS is likely to witness margin compression due to consolidation of personal hygiene business. Among our coverage...
During its meeting held from April 07 to 09, 2025, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) under the chairmanship of Shri Sanjay Malhotra, decided to reduce the Policy Repo Rate within the Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF) by 25 basis points to 6.00% with immediate effect. This step was taken...
Britannia Inds - BRIT retains market leadership in core segments and has little risk of disruption from B2C brands. It has faced the brunt of sharp spikes in the prices of wheat and palm oil which has necessitated 4-6% price hikes. We believe the worst margin pressure is over and expect recovery post 4Q25 which will provide 14.4% EPS growth over FY25-27. The stock trades at 41x FY27 EPS. Retain Buy with a target price of Rs5,881. Titan Company - TITAN is expected to show 20% PAT CAGR over FY25-27 as Jewellery margins have bottomed out at 10.8% (11.1% by FY27), watch profitability...
