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Apollo Tyres (APTY) delivered a Q2FY21 beat and has rallied 40% in the last three months due to domestic volume visibility, a better Europe performance and steady margin outlook.
Background Greaves Cotton (GCL) is one of the largest manufacturers (primarily) single cylinder (diesel, gasoline engines) and dual cylinder engines, which find application in running 3-W vehicles and 4-W small commercial vehicles (SCVs). The company offers products and solutions across business units- Engines, power, farm equipment, mobility and aftermarket. In FY19 Greaves Cotton augmented its Clean Technology...
A changing business model - BATA in the process of re inventing itself: BATA over the last few years has focused on higher value products and re-inventing itself to cater to the younger and urban population with the aggressive addition of stores and the introduction of red collection and increased focus on women footwear.
Background: Vinati Organics Limited (VOL) was established in 1989 to manufacture specialty organic chemicals. It has since grown to become the world's largest manufacturer of IBB & ATBS and India's largest manufacturer of IB & HP MTBE. The company's products are exported to customers in countries across Europe, America, and Asia. Competitive edge in niche specialty chemicals Cost leadership & scale economies in IBB and technological entry barrier in ATBS. The company started with a small capacity of 1,000 TPA and gradually expanded to 26,000 TPA today for its ATBS production, capturing 60% of the market share. The company also commands more than 65% market share in the world for IBB. With consistent investments in technology and...
Q2FY21 on the back of growth in exports of formulations, APIs as well as one-offs like the Revlimid settlement income. India business continued its de-growth during the quarter with a YoY decline of 11% on account of lower oncology and Hep-C sales. The company has stated that it would look to launch the highly anticipated Revlimid in the U.S during FY22. Natco expects the launch of its agrochemical molecules by the end of the year, pending regulatory approval....
Shree cement (SRCM) reported Q2FY21 EBITDA above our/consensus estimates (CE) by 7%/20% at Rs9.9bn, up 17% YoY. The beat was largely led by better than expected realisations. SRCM has evolved as a mature player over last couple of years with discipline on both volumes and prices in its North markets (constitutes 2/3rd of its volumes). This is reflected in highest ever margins since FY09. However,...
Shree Cement (SRCM) Q2FY21 EBITDA was higher than our and consensus estimate by 37-40%. Beat in the number is driven by volume, as SRCM reported volume growth of +14% YoY. Volume growth is led by all the three regions of SRCM i.e. North, East and South. For FY21E, excluding the covid disruption (Q1FY21) SRCM guides volume growth of +7% to 8% YoY. Post the result, we have changed our volume assumption for FY21E/22E and increase EBITDA by 15%/11% (exhibit 9). We have introduced FY23E financials and roll forward TP from FY22E to FY23E. Our revised TP is Rs21,963 (earlier 20,361) valued on unchanged EV/EBITDA multiple of 18x. But retain REDUCE rating on...
IG Petrochemicals Ltd (IGPL) reported strong margin performance on the back of favourable PAN/OX spread during the quarter. Revenue de-grew by 9.1% YoY to INR 2424mn (est INR 2621mn) mainly impacted by lower realization due to soft crude oil prices. However, demand is fully recovered in Paints and Plasticizers to pre-COVID levels. EBITDA surged by 191.5% YoY to INR 418mn (est INR 235mn) with 1186bps YoY expansion in margin from 5.4% in Q2FY20 to 17.2% in Q2FY21 (est. 9%). This was mainly due to 1134bps expansion in gross margin (33.4% vs 22.4% in Q2FY20) on account of improvement in PAN/OX spread. Currently, PAN/OX average (avg) spread is around $200 (vs avg $150 in Q1FY21) compared to 10-year avg of $200 vs $100 in FY20. We believe spreads can continue to remain favourable in the near term on the back of healthy demand in the Paint and Plasticizer...