Upgrades

Suspension of Indus Water Treaty to accelerate NHPC projects

Lagging our estimated 13.4%, TVS Motor’s Q4 adj. EBITDA margin (excl. PLI benefits pertaining to previous quarters) came at 12.5% due to less-than-expected PLI benefits.

Healthy 10% YoY volume growth aids flat top line despite 10% dent in realisations in a challenging Q4; capacity utilisation spikes at ~90%

Q4 revenue grew in double digits at 17%/5% YoY/QoQ) to Rs 95.5bn, backed by volume growth of 16% YoY (flat QoQ) to ~1.22mn units

UltraTech Cement (UltraTech) reported consolidated revenue of Rs. 23,063 crore (up 13%% y-o-y) for Q4FY2025. The consolidated operating profit of Rs. 4,618 crore (up 12% y-o-y). Indian Cement sold 2.64 MT in volume and reached breakeven in Q4FY25, with an EBITDA of Rs. 40/tonne.

For Q4FY2025, Dalmia Bharat Limited’s (Dalmia) consolidated revenue of Rs. 4,091 crore (down 5.0% y-o-y) missed our estimate, primarily due to a 2.8% y-o-y decline in cement volumes (excluding JPA tolling volumes of 0.6 mt).

Cholamandalam Inv. & Finance’s (CIFC) 4QFY25 PAT grew ~20% YoY to INR12.7b (in line). FY25 PAT grew ~24% YoY to INR42.6b. 4Q NII grew ~30% YoY to ~INR30.6b (in line). Other income grew ~26% YoY to ~INR7b (~9% beat), primarily driven by an upfront assignment income of ~INR940m.

TVSL reported a strong Q4 with ~4.6% QoQ ASP growth and reported EBITDA margin of 14%, aided by recognition of PLI benefit for the full year; margins excl 9M PLI stood at 12.5% vs 11.9% in Q3 (2.3% ASP growth at ~Rs76,800 without considering 9M PLI).

L&T Finance (LTF) reported a weaker than estimated set of numbers, with changing asset composition and interest-rate cuts in MFI causing NIM compression (35bps QoQ).