CCL Products India Ltd. share price target

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

CCL Products Q1FY27 performance remained mixed bag. Sales grew 14% YoY to Rs12bn, driven by 20% YoY volume growth which was offset by 6% YoY drop in NSR. Gross margin expanded by 252bps YoY to 35.2%, due to lower input costs and improved product mix. Consequently, EBITDA margin expanded by 106bps YoY to 16.1%, despite higher employee costs (24% YoY) and other overheads (23% YoY). PAT increased by 61% YoY to Rs1,169mn, aided by lower finance cost (-15% YoY) as net debt decreased by Rs...

Quarterly Update Q4FY26

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

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CCL Products Q4FY26 performance exceeded our expectations. Sales grew 46% YoY to Rs12.2bn, driven by 18% YoY volume growth and 28% YoY increase in realization led by favorable coffee prices. Gross margin contracted by 920bps YoY to 35.1%, due to higher input costs and change in product mix. Consequently, EBITDA margin contracted by 387bps YoY to 15.7%, despite lower employee costs (-128bps YoY) and other overheads (-405bps YoY). PAT increased by 12% YoY to Rs1,145mn, impacted by higher depreciation (+50% YoY) and lower other income (-50% YoY). Capacity utilisation stood at 65% in...

CCL Products (India) Ltd., established in 1994, is a leading global coffee manufacturer and exporter with operations across India and a presence in over 100 countries. Its diversified product portfolio includes spray-dried and freeze-dried coffee, liquid concentrates, roast and ground coffee, coffee beans, and premixed blends. The company's international footprint is supported by key subsidiaries,...

Quarterly Update Q3FY26

CCL Products Q3FY26 performance was above our expectations. Sales grew 38% YoY to Rs10.5bn, driven by 20% YoY volume growth and 18% YoY increase in realization due to improved coffee blends and stable raw material prices. Gross margin contracted by 308bps YoY to 37.1%, primarily due to higher input costs. However, EBITDA margin expanded by 120bps YoY to 17.6%, driven by improved product mix as freeze-dried plant at Vietnam has started ramping up. PAT increased by 59% YoY to Rs1,003mn. CCL has revised EBITDA growth guidance to 25% (previously 15%-20%), with volume growth of 18% for FY26....

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

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Quarterly Update Q2FY26

CCL Products Q2FY26 performance was above our expectations. Sales grew 53% YoY to Rs11.3bn, driven by 20+% YoY volume growth and 33% YoY increase in realization due to improved coffee blends and higher prices. Gross margin contracted by 524bps YoY to 34.5%, primarily due to higher input costs. Consequently, EBITDA margin contracted by 107bps YoY to 17.5%, despite operational efficiencies and a favorable product mix. PAT increased by 36% YoY to Rs1,009mn. CCL maintained its volume and EBITDA growth guidance of 1020% and 15-20%, respectively and expects to close FY26 toward the upper end of this range. We value the stock at a PER of 25x FY27E EPS, arriving at a target...

With a 17% upside from the CMP, we maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

Quarterly Update Q1FY26

With a 12% upside from the CMP, we maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

CCL Products Q1FY26 profitability was below our expectations. Sales grew 37% YoY to Rs10.7bn, driven by 9-10% YoY volume growth and 27-28% YoY increase in realization due to improved coffee blends. Gross margin contracted by 543bps YoY to 32.6%, driven by higher input cost. Consequently, EBITDA margin contracted by 178bps YoY to 15.1%. EBITDA grew 22% YoY to Rs1.6bn, driven by a favorable product mix in B2B and growth in the B2C category. PAT increased by 1% YoY to Rs724mn. CCL maintained its volume and EBITDA growth guidance of 10-20% and 15-20%, respectively. Management expects some price...

With a 15% upside from the CMP, we maintain our BUY rating on the stock

Quarterly Update Q4FY25