Downgrades

Polycab reported mid teen volume growth in its W&C segment. Domestic W&C business grew by 26.5% YoY, driven by mid-teen volume growth. Within this, domestic cables grew at a faster pace in the high teens, while wires registered...

Dabur guides for at least high-single digit value growth in FY26 Dabur reported in-line numbers with mid-single digit volume decline led by seasonal delays, rising food inflation & urban demand weakness. We note that categories like Oral care, haircare, Chawyanprash and Honey have shown degrowth during the quarter. Dabur is looking at corrective steps in Beverages, introducing modern format products in healthcare, innovations in Hair oils & Chawyanprash and filling product gaps in oral care. However, we believe that...

loyalty and influencer program and new innovations and launches. positive Outlook in non-auto industrials remains positive led by strong order pipeline across Infra, Railways, Powder coatings etc. Competitive intensity remains intense in decorative segment as full impact of new players like Birla Opus, JK Maxx and JSW is yet to play out fully. However, margins are likely to improve in FY26 given benign input costs. We estimate a CAGR of 6.7% in sales and 11% IN PAT over FY25-27. We value the stock at 28xMar27 EPS (No change) and assign a target price of Rs284 (Rs288 earlier)....

We downgrade the stock from Accumulate' to Hold amid recent runup in the stock. MAHGL reported adj EBITDA of Rs3.2bn in Q4FY25, down 20% YoY (PLe: Rs3.6bn, BBGe: Rs3.5bn). Miss was mainly on account of higher opex. The adjustment is on account of reversal of discounts given to the OMCs of Rs633.5mn. Adj PAT came in at Rs2.1bn, down 22.6% YoY (PLe: Rs2.4bn, BBGe: Rs2.5bn). For the full year, adjusted EBITDA stood at Rs14.5bn, -21.5% YoY. FY25 adj PAT stood at Rs10bn, -22.7% YoY. We build in volume growth of 10%...

KEI has guided for 20% revenue growth till FY28 supported by commercial production of LT and HT cables in Q1FY26 and completion of Sanand plant by end of FY26 driven by strong demand in domestic & export markets. Major driver for domestic demand are power generation sector (Solar and Wind) and power distribution and transmission companies, as per the management. The company aims to improve its EBITDA margin once Sanand plant becomes operational. KEI reported strong rev growth in HT cables (+65.6% YoY), LT cables (+38.5% YoY) & housing wires (+37.9% YoY) in Q4FY25. Exports saw a...

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation (HPCL) reported better-than-expected Q4 results with standalone EBITDA of Rs58bn (up 20.8% YoY; PLe: Rs35.6bn, BBGe:Rs40.5bn) and PAT of Rs33.5bn (up 18% YoY; PLe: Rs10.8bn, BBGe: Rs16.8bn). On the refining front, GRM came in at USD8.5/bbl. GMM stood at Rs4.6/lit, and under-recovery on sale of LPG stood at Rs33bn. The stock is trading at 1.3x FY27 P/BV. In Q1-TD, Singapore GRM has remains at USD3.6/bbl, with strength in past few days. Average marketing margins on petrol/ diesel...

We have revised our FY26/27 earnings estimates downward by 7.4%/9.1% due to weak demand, the discontinuation of the Kajaria Plywood business, and margin contraction. We had downgraded our rating to Accumulate' from BUY', we value the stock at 30x FY27E EPS to arrive at revised TP of Rs878 (earlier Rs 966). The management has refrained from providing guidance due to prevailing low demand conditions but expects to outperform the industry in FY26. KJC expects margins of ~14% in FY26, However, Q4FY25 margins were...

Quarterly Update Q4FY25

KEI reported a healthy revenue growth of 26% y-o-y, reaching Rs. 2,914 crore (our estimate of Rs 2,737 crore) for Q4FY2025 led by 35% y-o-y growth in C&W revenues.