Highest Upside

As part of its restructuring efforts, GPUIL has initiated strategic divestments of non-operational and stressed assets, besides a one-time settlement (OTS) with lenders of GREL in Mar-25.

Adani Energy Solutions (AESL) reported a good set of Q1FY26 results – revenue was INR 63bn (+32% YoY), EBITDA came in at INR 18bn (+10% YoY) and profit was INR 5.1bn (vs. losses of INR 8.2bn YoY; losses booked in base quarter due to Dahanu plant divestment).

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.

We recommend a BUY rating on the stock, with a target price of Rs 242/share reflecting 10% upside potential from the CMP.

We attended NTPC’s analyst meet (on 18 Aug’25). In a bid to play a key role in India’s energy transition, NTPC, a thermal power giant, is transforming itself into a diversified power genco.

NTPC – the largest thermal power player in India, is looking to add shades of green to its portfolio. It has substantial capacity addition plans on both thermal and renewables front.

FY25 PAT stood at 3,059 Cr, but adjusted PAT stood at 2,422cr.(+27.7%) due to a one-time, non-cash deferred tax liability reversal of 637cr., following a shift to the new tax regime and reassessment of MAT credit utilisation....

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

Our outlook since our note release date of 20th May, 2025, remains unchanged. We maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.

Power Grid is riding on transmission tailwinds, as India is augmenting its transmission infrastructure to integrate renewables into the grid. It racked-up projects worth >INR 1trn in FY25; it won 24 transmission projects in bids with estimated cost of INR 920bn.

Power Grid had a strong FY25, adding projects worth >INR 1trn (project cost) to its kitty. It had an impressive run in competitive bids, winning 24 transmission projects (market share of >50%) with estimated cost of INR 920bn; the most notable was Khavda-Nagpur HVDC project worth INR 250bn.

TPWR’s 1QFY26 EBITDA came in 25% above our estimate at INR41b, while adjusted PAT was in line with our est. at INR10.6b.

CESC has arrested the build-up of regulatory assets in the Kolkata distribution area, addressing a major overhang on the stock. It has taken two hikes in fuel and power purchase which has augmented its cashflow.

Tata Power Company Limited’s (TPCL) Q4FY25 Adjusted PAT grew by 14.5% y-o-y to Rs. 1,025 crore and was a little ahead of estimates. The earnings growth is attributable to the traditional generation, coal, Tata Power Solar (cell & module plant), Odisha discoms and a lower tax rate.

CESC’s Q4FY25 consolidated revenue/operating profit/PAT grew by 1.5%/ -3.1%/ -6.8% y-o-y to Rs. 4,017/ 952 / 373 crore.

CESC’s Q1FY26 consolidated revenue/operating profit/profit grew by -2.2%/ 3.1%/ 2.2% y-o-y to Rs. 5,430/ 1,092 / 387 crore. The earnings were aided by the standalone and Noida profits and dragged down by the losses in Malegaon DF.

TPWR’s 4QFY25 EBITDA came in 7% above our estimate at INR32.5b, while adjusted PAT was in line with our est. at INR9.7b.

Q1FY26 standalone revenue of Rs. 9,928 crore was down 1.4 y-o-y due to 90% mix of RTM projects in transmission revenue.

Q4FY25 standalone revenue of Rs. 10,983 crore was slightly down y-o-y due to weaker capitalization in the last year. The transmission revenue of Rs. 10,904 crore was down 1.6% y-o-y while consultancy revenue of Rs. 298 crore increased 45% y-o-y.