HDFC Bank Ltd. share price target

For Q1FY26, Net interest income (NII) grew by 5.4% YoY (-2.0% QoQ) to INR 314.4 Bn., above our estimates by 4.8%, primarily driven by lower interest expenses on account of decline in cost of funds, reflecting efficient liability management.

HDFC Bank’s (HDFCB) annual report highlights the bank’s focus on sustainable growth over the medium term as it continues to invest in strengthening its physical infrastructure and digital capabilities.

HDFC Bank reported improvement in credit growth to 7% YoY (5% YoY Q4 FY25) while deposit growth stood at 16% YoY (2% QoQ) led by focus on lowering of CD ratio; at 95.1% vs 96.5% QoQ. Management maintained guidance for improvement in credit growth similar to industry average during FY26 and higher than industry during FY27. NIMs declined to 3.35% vs 3.46% led by rate cut impact; however, we need to watch out for further impact of rate cut on NIMs as ~70% loan book is linked to EBLR. Asset quality slightly deteriorated as GNPA stood at 1.4% vs 1.33% QoQ due to seasonality. NII grew by 5% YoY led by...

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.

HDFCB saw stable quarter as core PAT was largely in-line at Rs147bn after adjusting for one-time effects viz. (1) stake sale gains of Rs91.3bn on HDB listing (2) buffer provisions of Rs107bn and (2) lower tax rate at 14.7% pursuant to favorable IT order of Rs11.44bn. Buffer provisions stood at 82bps vs 96bps for ICICIB. As LDR has declined to 95% from 103.5% a year ago, focus is back on shoring up loan growth/CASA. Targeted medium term LDR is 87-90%. Bank is confident of achieving guided loan growth given strong domestic demand...

HDFC Bank (HDFCB) reported steady Q1FY26 results with PAT of INR 182bn, up 12% YoY, driven by 5% YoY rise in NII. It has utilised one-off gains from HDB stake sale (INR 91bn) and tax credit (INR 11bn) towards floating provisions (INR 90bn) and contingent provisions (INR 17bn).

HDFC Bank (HDFCB) reported a 1QFY26 profit of INR181.6b (12% YoY growth, 4% beat), aided by tax reversals (tax rate of 15%).

HDFC Bank is gradually stepping up credit growth, although margin slipped by 23bps QoQ from a higher base in 4Q due to swift rate cuts and lower interest on IT refund.

CD ratio continued to moderate with slowdown in credit growth, while deposit growth higher than system growth

HDFCB saw soft quarter as core PAT was 3.0% lower to PLe due to lower fees and NII. Adjusted for tax refund, NIM at 3.53% was 4bps lower to PLe. However, asset quality was better as GNPA declined by ~8bps QoQ to 1.33% owing to lower net slippages. LDR declined over FY24 to FY25 from 104.5% to 96.5% but further reduction may happen at a slower pace in FY26 as credit growth would pick-up. Bank has guided to reach LDR of 85-90% in FY27; we are factoring LDR to reach 92.5%/89.0% in FY26/27E which would imply a loan CAGR of 10%. Due...

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.

After growth calibration for the past one year, and under pressure to bring down LDR and manage PSL/margins, HDFC Bank reported better credit growth in 4Q at 5% YoY/4% QoQ as well as stable core margins.

HDFC Bank (HDFCB) reported Q4FY25 PAT of INR 176bn (RoA steady at ~1.9%) led by stable core NIM QoQ and contained opex. Deposits growth (14% YoY) remains driven by term deposits (20% YoY) while CA grew 18% QoQ (up 1% YoY) due to seasonality.

HDFC Bank (HDFCB) reported a 4QFY25 net profit of INR176.2b (7% YoY growth; in line). The bank’s NII grew 10.3% YoY to INR320.6b (5% beat), boosted by strong loan growth and INR7b of interest on IT refunds.

Q4FY25 numbers were decent with slight beat on earnings led by NIM expansion. NII at Rs. 32,066 crore (up 10% y-o-y/5% q-o-q) above estimates, led by higher NIMs. NIMs improved by 11 bps q-o-q to 3.54%, however excluding the impact of an ITR refund, core margins rose by 3 bps q-o-q.

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.

HDFC Bank reported a slight miss (of 2%) on PAT, which came in at Rs167bn/1.8% RoA, primarily due to slower credit growth and higher provisions. Deposit growth remains healthy at 16% YoY/2.5% QoQ (up by Rs0.6trn QoQ), but credit growth fell to a new low of 3% YoY as the bank focused on LDR management (down by160bps QoQ to 98%).

CD continued to decline, while advances growth is likely to be lower than system for FY25, in line for FY26 and faster in FY27