Tata Steel Ltd. share price target

About the stock: Tata Steel (TSL), part of the TATA group, is one of the world's most geographically diversified steel producers with operations across regions. Annual Crude Steel Production Capacity: India- 26.6 million ton (MT), Netherland- 7 MT, UK- 3.2 MT (upcoming), and Thailand- 1.7 MT. Event Update: Tata Steel has outlined long term growth strategy for its Indian operations. It includes: 1) 4.8 MTPA expansion at Neelachal Ispat Nigam (NINL) 2) Signing a MOU with Llyod Metals to collaborate in iron ore mining infrastructure and steel making 3) Setting up 6 MTPA greenfield capacity in Maharashtra 4)...

We retain our BUY rating on the stock.

Tata Steel on 10th Dec’25 has agreed to acquire a 50.01% stake in Thriveni Pellets (TPPL) from Thriveni Earthmovers (TEMPL) for a cash consideration of INR6.36b.

TSL's Indian operations will benefit from capacity expansion and the likely extension of the 12% safeguard duty, supporting domestic prices. Moreover, the EU import-control measures should also aid European steel pricing and strengthen Netherlands performance. On that note, we maintain BUY rating on Tata Steel with SOTP-based target price of 210...

Tata Steel's Q2FY26 performance was above our expectations. Revenue increased 10% QoQ to Rs586bn, driven by 11% increase in volumes, aided by strong growth in India operations. However, this was partially offset by a 1% QoQ decrease in realizations owing to weak steel prices. Consolidated EBITDA increased 20% QoQ to Rs89bn, with EBITDA/t improving 8% QoQ to Rs11,247. UK operations saw EBITDA loss widen to Rs13,510/t in Q2FY26 from Rs7,829/t in Q1FY26, while the Netherland business posted improved EBITDA of Rs5,948/t, up from Rs4,074/t in Q1FY26. The improvement was supported by global cost...

We recommend the BUY rating.

Tata Steel (TATA)’s revenue was in line at INR347b (+7% YoY and 12% QoQ). The increase was aided by a rise in domestic deliveries, which was partly offset by a drop in realizations.

TATA logged a strong Q2, with consol adj EBITDA of Rs89.7bn, led by volumedriven improvement in India, while seeing breakeven in Europe – with strength in Netherlands offsetting losses in UK.

Tata Steel (TATA) is aggressively expanding its capacity in India to capitalize on rising domestic demand, targeting an increase from 26.5mtpa in FY25 to 40mtpa by FY30.

Tata Steel (TATA) is pursuing an aggressive capacity expansion strategy in India to capitalize on the rising domestic demand.

Tata Steel's Q1FY26 performance was above our expectations on all fronts. Revenue declined 5% QoQ to Rs532bn, impacted by a 5% QoQ drop in volumes due to maintenance shutdowns at Jamshedpur and NINL. However, this was partially cushioned by a 11% QoQ increase in realizations. Consolidated EBITDA increased by 13% QoQ to Rs74bn, with EBITDA/t improving 32% QoQ to Rs10,432. The UK operations significantly reduced their EBITDA loss to Rs7,772/t in Q1FY26 from Rs13,758/t in Q4FY25 while Netherland business reported EBITDA of Rs4,080/t up from Rs712/t in Q4FY25, supported by global cost...

Tata Steel recorded a disappointing quarter on a YoY basis owing to lower price realisation across regions. However, profitability increased on account of cost optimisation measures and higher other income. Other helpful factors were the company's strong liquidity, strategic investments, cost-competitive measures launched across all regions, the upgradation of IT infrastructure to improve corporate expenses and the rationalisation of downstream operations are expected to drive future growth. Additionally, with relation to the US-UK trade deal, steel and aluminium tariffs on the goods of UK origin have now been eliminated, and this is...

Tata Steel’s Q4FY25 performance met our and consensus estimates. Consolidated EBITDA at INR 65.6bn (up 11% QoQ) was in line with our estimates, standalone EBITDA/te was up INR 1,000 QoQ.

TSUK breakeven by Jul'25, ongoing TSN restructuring and planned cost transformation at all Indian units to drive savings of Rs115bn in FY26. Tata Steel (TATA) delivered strong sequential cons operating performance aided by inline standalone and improved other subsidiaries. TSI EBITDA declined 13% YoY on sharp 9% YoY decline in NSR and muted 3.3% YoY volume growth. European subs continued to make EBITDA losses led by UK. Domestic prices have inched up post February in anticipation of safeguard duty and...

we maintain our BUY rating on the stock

Tata Steel (TSL) has embarked on a major transformation plan at Tata Steel Netherlands (TSN) – built on a multi-pronged approach to maximise production efficiencies, lower fixed costs, optimise product mix and margins.

Tata Steel Nederland (TSN) has adopted a comprehensive transformation program to maximize production efficiencies, reduce fixed costs, and optimize product mix and margins.

We maintain the BUY rating.

Tata Steel (TATA)’s 3QFY25 revenue came in line at INR328b, -5% YoY (+1% QoQ), primarily due to a weak ASP, which dipped 13% YoY and 2% QoQ to INR61,929/t.