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Container Corporation of India’s (CONCOR) Q1FY24 EBITDA missed our and consensus estimates by 12.7% and 15.6% respectively. Key points: 1) EBITDA margin contracted to 20.4% and EBITDA/teu was down to INR 3,580 (lowest since Q1FY22) on escalation of provision for land license fee (LLF) and lower realisation; 2) originating volumes declined 5.4% YoY to ~571kteu due to subdued demand, weather-related disruptions in north and west of India.
On a low base, Alkem’s Q1FY24 revenue / EBITDA / PAT grew 15% / 91% / 125% YoY, marginally ahead of our expectations. Growth in India was dragged by its trade generics biz (17-18% of India sales) though branded biz did better. Management has lowered its India revenue growth guidance to single digits owing to lacklustre outlook.
Berger reported market share gains in Q1FY24 in East, West India (overall shares moved up to 20.2% from 19.3% in base (FY18: 18%)) (Source: Company data) driven by (1) distribution expansion and (2) launch of differentiated products. Projects segment (~10% of net sales) outperformed retail sales.
Bharat Forge’s (BHFC) Q1FY24 standalone EBITDA margin was resilient at 26%, though EU operations turned EBITDA positive to 4.4% as against being in loss last quarter. Standalone revenue beat expectations despite this being a weak quarter for domestic CVs, with industrial exports driven by defence business execution driving revenue up QoQ as against CV segment exports remaining flattish QoQ.
Profitability continued to drag its feet at India Cements (ICEM) even as EBITDA for Q1FY24 turned positive (albeit a mere INR 50mn). Performance continues to be impacted by: a) poor volume growth (flat YoY), b) weak realisations (down ~1% QoQ), and c) high operating cost – leaving little on the table for the company.
Indigo has been investing in strategy 2.0 (focus on 750 non-metro towns and higher investments in distribution and influencers) since Q1FY23. Benefits are visible now with >3x industry growth in Q1FY24 and likely market share gains across segments.
