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Valuation and Risks: We have valued the stock based at 7.55x 1-yr forward P/BV mean at 0.8 x discount and has arrived at a price target of Rs. 1155 with potential downside of 13% and we rate it SELL'.
EBITDA loss stood at INR5.6b (v/s profit of INR14b last year) due to lower absorption of fixed cost. EBIT loss stood at INR3.7b (v/s revenue was down 7% YoY to INR55b. Total receivables remain elevated at INR365b, of which 12% is from the private sector, 47% is from state entities, 34% is from the Center and 7% is BHEL continues to struggle on account of cost at ~25% of sales. In FY20, working capital deteriorated to 99% of sales from 65% in FY19 on account of higher inventories, slow movement in receivables We have cut our FY21E/FY22E earnings estimates by 46%/17% to account for the poor execution and weak ordering environment. EBIT loss stood at revenue was down 36% YoY to INR150b. EBIT loss stood at INR3.7b (v/s profit of INR349m YoY). BHEL continues to struggle on account of (a) the weak ordering environment in the power sector, (b) high receivables of INR365b, and (c) high employee cost at ~25% of sales in FY20.
Background Greaves Cotton (GCL) is one of the largest manufacturers (primarily) single cylinder (diesel, gasoline engines) and dual cylinder engines, which find application in running 3-W vehicles and 4-W small commercial vehicles (SCVs). The company offers products and solutions across business units- Engines, power, farm equipment, mobility and aftermarket. In FY19 Greaves Cotton augmented its Clean Technology...
Indian Hotels (IHCL) reported 14.6% drop in revenue to | 1,063 crore (I-direct estimate: | 995 crore) led by 48% drop in income for March 2020. Revenues were flattish at | 4,463 crore in FY20, in contrast to 4% growth on 9MFY20 basis. Consolidated EBITDA margins for Q4FY20 fell 330 bps YoY to 19.6% (I-direct estimate: 20.5%); standalone (pure domestic) business saw a sharper decline of 522 bps. EBITDA for the quarter dropped 27% YoY to | 207.9 crore (I-direct estimate: | 203.7 crore). For FY20, EBITDA increased 16.6% YoY, with higher share of growth coming from international business....