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BPCL’s Q4FY25 performance was much better than expected. SA EBITDA/APAT was down 15%/18% YoY to Rs78.1/45.5bn, albeit at a significant beat, driven by reported GRM of USD9.2/bbl (Emkay: USD6/bbl).

QoQ at 33.9bps. Equity performance in 1-yr bucket has been consistently improving since Mar'24, and 59% of equity AUM is in quartile 1 & 2 as of Mar'25. A dilution of 1-2bps is expected in yields which will be cushioned by commission rationalization carried out in Q4FY25. Staff cost is guided to grow by 3%/5% at the standalone/consol level; we envisage other opex to grow at an 11% CAGR...

Consolidated revenue increased by 14.3% YoY, driven by healthy volume growth in the replacement and OEM segment. International demand was impacted due to global macro-economic conditions while elevated input cost continued to impact margins as gross margin and EBITDA margin declined by 483bps YoY/174bps YoY respectively. Reported PAT remained flat, impacted by EPR related expenses. In comparison to previous year the performance remains weak, however, sequentially the performance seems to have stabilized...

FB reported a soft quarter as core PPoP at Rs12.6bn missed PLe by 11% driven by 4.2%/3.9% miss on NII/opex. However, lower provisions (led by corporate recovery) cushioned core PAT which met PLe at Rs8.7bn. In-line with its stated strategy, CA accretion was healthy QoQ. NIM may moderate as 50% of loans are EBLR linked with a T+1 reset. However, it may be cushioned by 1) shift to higher yielding segments 2) change in EBLR reset dates for new disbursals to T+90 and 3) growing fixed rate loans at a higher pace. Opex has been a drag;...

Quarterly Update Q4FY25

Adjusted EBITDA profitability in Q4FY25 was above our estimates (act. INR 0.7bn vs. est. INR 0.1bn). This was achieved by containing quick commerce (QC) losses despite adding 294 dark stores and 1mn sq.ft. warehousing space in a quarter with seasonally lower AOV (-5.9% QoQ).

Stable margins and strong fees led to City Union Bank’s steady operating performance. Overall profitability was strong, with RoA coming at 1.53%. Ahead, we expect net slippages to be negative since most of the stress has been recognised. The focus now shifts to business growth.

VED reported a steady Q4FY25 with EBITDA of Rs116.2bn (+4.5% vs Emkay; +3.0% QoQ); the performance was mainly led by sequentially better profitability in its Aluminium and Zinc India businesses.