Eternal Ltd. share price target

Blinkit has continued to deliver strong growth, supported by dark-store expansion and increasing category penetration. It remains the only major quick commerce (QC) player to have achieved EBITDA-level profitability; and notably, has sustained profitability despite heightened competitive intensity.

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock, considering future growth prospects and leadership position in quick commerce.

20% YoY NOV growth in FD is a positive surprise, and sustained improvement in profitability despite growth investments underlines the health of the business.

Eternal reported 1QFY27 net revenue of INR202b (up 16.9% QoQ/182% YoY), above our estimate of 8.5% QoQ/161.8% YoY.

In this note, we analyze three of Eternal's businesses: the recovering food delivery (FD) business, the quick commerce business, which continues to scale despite intensifying competition, and the nascent going-out business (District), whose potential we explore.

The company delivered a healthy operational performance during the quarter, driven by sustained momentum in quick commerce, gradual recovery in food delivery, and continued expansion across geographies. The company continues to witness strong customer acquisition and engagement trends, supported by rapid dark-store additions, broader assortment availability, and deeper penetration beyond key metros. While competitive intensity in quick commerce remains elevated, management continues to...

Quick commerce (QC) NOV growth and margin delivery both beat consensus estimates, with improving outlook for Q1FY27. We think an inflationary environment from mid-May’26 is likely to boost growth rates even further.

Eternal reported a steady performance in Q4FY26 with B2C NOV growing by ~54% y/y, largely led by ~95% y/y growth in Blinkit (~8.2% q/q, broadly in line with our estimate) and strong ~18.8% y/y growth in FD (vs.
expectation of ~16-18%).

The recent price correction has significantly enhanced the risk-reward profile, offering an attractive valuation. The long-term outlook remains strong. Therefore, we continue to maintain our BUY rating on the stock

Eternal reported 4QFY26 net revenue of INR172b, up 6% QoQ/196% YoY, above our estimate of 0.3% QoQ/181% YoY growth.

Quick commerce (QC) profitability improvement was significantly ahead of estimate (adj. EBITDA INR 40mn vs. consensus INR -1.3bn). We think this was aided by the move to inventory model.

Eternal reported 3QFY26 net revenue of INR163b, up 20.7% QoQ, above our estimate of 11.8% QoQ growth. Food delivery (FD) NOV came in at INR98.4b, above our est. of INR94.2b. Blinkit NOV came in at INR133b (up 120% YoY) vs. our est. of INR133.6b.

Eternal Limited delivered a strong result driven by strong execution in quick commerce business, a recovery in food delivery segment, and improved efficiency across its restaurant supply operations. EBITDA margins are expected to strengthen over time, aided by operational leverage, and effective cost control. The quick...

we maintain our HOLD rating on the stock

Eternal reported better-than-expected revenue growth, aided by strong NOV growth in Quick Commerce (QCom, 137% YoY) and accelerated shift to owned inventory model.

Eternal reported a 2QFY26 net revenue of INR135b (+90% QoQ/183% YoY). This high growth is mainly on account of shift to inventory ownership in quick commerce (Q-commerce), where revenue now also includes the full monetary value of goods sold as per Ind AS (and not just the marketplace commission).

Amazon Now, the quick commerce (QCom) business of Amazon, has now expanded to Mumbai, after Bengaluru and Delhi.

Eternal Limited is poised for long-term growth and improved profitability, driven by its strong market position and growth prospects in the quick commerce business (QCB). The company's focus on inventory ownership and margin improvement is expected to drive profitability. Although the industry outlook remains competitive, the company's strategy and long-term growth objectives, along with its strong management team, are expected to drive future growth. However, the stock's significant run-up in price and rich valuations limit the upside potential from current...

We believe competitive intensity is likely to see near-term volatility. Hence, we maintain our HOLD rating on the stock.

Blinkit’s adj. EBITDA margin (% of NOV) improved ~60bps QoQ in Q1FY26 despite adding 243 stores (ISec est.: 220) with steady take rate and contribution margin.