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The Baseline
23 Oct 2019
Top Recommendations by Analysts this Week

Warren Buffett once said, “Forecasts may tell you a great deal about the forecaster; they tell you nothing about the future”. This is a rational message for investors in the stock market - many experts have burned their fingers on stock market predictions. An investor doesn’t need to be a genius to be good at stock picks, but there is a lot of hard work and due diligence involved. Though no one can predict the future, brokerages try to offer their expert opinion about the best stock in the market. Here are some of the top recommendations this week: 

  • Wipro Recommended by Geojit BNP Paribas, HDFC Securities and ICICI Direct: Bangalore, Karnataka headquartered Wipro Ltd is a multinational corporation that provides information technology, consulting and business process services. Because of good performance and consistent revenue generation, Wipro has been recommended by Geojit BNP Paribas, HDFC Securities and ICICI Direct. Geojit BNP Paribas recommends buying this stock as revenue for Q2FY20 rose to Rs 15,126 crore (4.0% YoY), beating the street estimates by 1.6% despite delay in renewal of major contracts.

Operating profit margin expanded 350bps YoY to 17.7% resilient to decline in IT services margins to 18.1% (vs 18.4% in Q1FY20). Net profit for the quarter surged to Rs 2553 crore (35.8% YoY), driven mainly by lower tax-rate for the quarter of 18.3% (vs 22.1% in Q2FY19). 

Geojit reiterates their HOLD rating on the stock with a revised target of Rs 266 based on 15.5x FY21E EPS. This stock buy recommendation was made when the price was at Rs 248.90. Since then the price of the stock has seen an incremental growth of 6.87%. Abidali Z Neemuchwala, CEO and MD of Wipro commented, "We had a good in-quarter execution on both revenues and margins. The overall growth was broad-based with 6 out of 7 industry verticals growing on a YoY basis and we signed a large deal in India aligned to our strategy of taking global offerings to India customers". 

  • Mastek Recommended by HDFC Securities: Headquartered at Mumbai, Maharashtra, Mastek Ltd is a global technology company offering enterprise level digital transformation services and software for large public and private enterprises in the UK, US and India. HDFC Securities recommends purchase of Mastek managed flat growth in CC terms despite challenging macro environment. 

Though revenue was GBP 28.1 mn, in CC terms it was flat QoQ and de-grew 2.3% YoY. But  Mastek is recovering its US business and managing Brexit uncertainty. The company will benefit from the off-shoring opportunity arising with UK public sector. HDFC Securities expect GBP growth for FY20/21/22E at 0.1/9.6/11.0% and 5.4% EPS CAGR for FY19-22E. The recommendation was made at the price of Rs 342.70 and the target price is Rs 505. Since the time of recommendation, the stock has increased by 47.36%

  • Cyient Ltd. Recommended by Motilal Oswal: Hyderabad, Telangana headquartered Cyient Ltd is focused on engineering, manufacturing, data analytics and network & operations. The company is featured among the top 30 outsourcing companies in the world as of 2018 data. Motilal Oswal recommends the purchase of this stock as revenue grew by 4.9% QoQ vs estimate of 3.1% QoQ with an increased momentum in organic revenue growth. Though EBIT margin was 9.6%, growth was driven by the services verticals of Energy and Natural Resources (9.8% QoQ), Portfolio (+6.9% QoQ), Transportation (+3.3% QoQ) and Medical (8.6% QoQ). DLM revenue at USD23.8m was higher than the estimate of USD22m. The buy recommendation was made at the price of Rs 447.65 with a target price of Rs 600. Since the recommendation was made, the price of the stock has increased by 33.90%

  • ACC Ltd Recommended by IDBI Capital: Headquartered at Mumbai, Maharashtra, ACC Ltd is one of the largest producers of cement in India. The stock price of the company contributes in calculating BSE Sensex. This is the only company to get Superbrand status in India. IDBI Capital recommends buying this stock as the company reported good set of 3QCY19 results. EBITDA was 3.2% while PAT was lower by 7.4%. IDBI Capital recommended a buy Rs 1,535.10 with a target price of Rs 1,702. Since the time of recommendation, the stock price has seen an upside of 9.56%. IDBI Capital has revised its CY20 EBITDA estimates upwards by 6.6% based on which the target price has been revised at Rs 1,702 as against the earlier target of Rs 1,598. 

  • Hindustan Unilever Ltd by Axis Direct: Headquartered at Mumbai, Maharashtra, Hindustan Unilever Ltd is a British-Dutch manufacturing company. Its products include foods, beverages, cleaning agents, personal care products, water purifiers and consumer goods. Axis Direct recommends a buy as the company delivered a strong Q2FY20 despite challenging scenario. EBITDA grew 16% YoY to Rs 2,443 crore led by 290 bps expansion in margin while recurring PAT grew 20% YoY to Rs 1,848 crore to led by corporate tax rate cuts. Axis Direct recommended a buy at Rs 2,103.85 with a target price of Rs 2,175. Since the recommendation was made, the stock price has increased by 3.23%

With the beginning of Q3, major ups and downs have been observed in the share market. A sample of 69 companies which declared results for September quarter reported a 12.5% YoY rise in aggregate net profit. With respect to the performance of the companies in the second quarter, Deepak Jasani, Research Head of HDFC Securities commented, “In Q2FY20, although corporates would have lower base of profits (in the year-ago quarter), lower operating leverage in Q2FY20 (due to slow demand) would mean that margins may not show a jump.”

LIVE: Markets close higher, MTNL gains on revival plans
Markets closed higher with both Nifty50 and Sensex ending 0.2% up.
Shares of PSU telco MTNL touched upper circuit of 5% today following cabinet approval for an MTNL and BSNL revival plan.
Asian Paints is lower after Q2 results. Revenue gains YoY was in single digits, rising 8.9%, while net profit jumped YoY by 66%. Welspun Corp and ICICI Pru also announce results today; full result analyzer here.
YES Bank has seen recent gains in share price over news reports that the bank is taking over Rs 6000 crore worth of land held by Sumer Group in Radius JV over non-payment of Rs 479 crore loan.
Reliance Power, Reliance Infra gain sharply. Anil Ambani stocks are showing high volatilty, Reliance Power having hit year lows in just the past week.  
Axis Bank gains on result performance. Net interest income beat estimates of Rs. 6056 crore, rising over 16.5% to hit Rs 6,101.8 crore. The bank however delivered a net loss against expected profits. 
Markets are volatile in morning trade. Nifty 50 was trading at 11577.45 (-10.9, -0.1%) , BSE Sensex was trading at 38874.96 (-88.9, -0.2%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 9439.65 (-8.6, -0.1%). Market breadth is in the green. Of the 1359 stocks traded today, 674 were gainers and 596 were losers.


Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include Jubilant Life Sciences Ltd. (569.35, 5.24%), Jubilant Foodworks Ltd. (1476.15, 3.31%) and Tata Power Company Ltd. (61.05, 3.12%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include RBL Bank Ltd. (258.30, -9.98%), Edelweiss Financial Services Ltd. (92.50, -4.00%) and Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone Ltd. (405.75, -3.57%).

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

9 stocks made 52 week highs, while 5 stocks hit their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Adani Transmission Ltd. (259.90, 2.50%), Atul Ltd. (4255.35, -0.21%) and Blue Star Ltd. (869.95, 0.37%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Dish TV India Ltd. (13.10, -9.97%) and Lakshmi Vilas Bank Ltd. (17.15, -4.99%).

15 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Coromandel International Ltd. (430.95, 3.02%) and Century Plyboards (India) Ltd. (170.30, 1.79%). 12 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Welspun India Ltd. (54.10, -5.17%) and Infosys Ltd. (629.70, -2.15%).

Markets closed on a low note. Nifty 50 closed at 11589.90 (-72.0, -0.6%) , BSE Sensex closed at 38963.84 (-334.5, -0.9%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 9448.15 (-31.1, -0.3%)

Market breadth is neutral. Of the 1679 stocks traded today, 804 were gainers and 780 were losers.

Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include HEG Ltd. (1078.15, 11.18%), Piramal Enterprises Ltd. (1687.35, 8.38%) and Jubilant Life Sciences Ltd. (545.00, 8.34%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Infosys Ltd. (639.50, -16.72%), L&T Technology Services Ltd. (1478.00, -9.83%) and General Insurance Corporation of India (259.85, -7.06%).

Volume Rockets

39 stocks in BSE 500 are trading on high volumes today.

Top high volume gainers on BSE included Bank of Maharashtra (11.20, 14.87%), Granules India Ltd. (114.35, 12.66%) and Shipping Corporation of India Ltd. (52.60, 12.03%).

Top high volume losers on BSE were Infosys Ltd. (639.50, -16.72%), L&T Technology Services Ltd. (1478.00, -9.83%) and Zensar Technologies Ltd. (199.95, -5.39%).

TV Today Network Ltd. (312.30, 1.07%) was trading at 33.0 times of weekly average. Suprajit Engineering Ltd. (183.00, 1.22%) and TTK Prestige Ltd. (6164.70, 3.07%) were trading with volumes 15.9 and 13.7 times weekly average respectively on BSE at the time of posting this article.

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

37 stocks overperformed with 52 week highs, while 11 stocks were underachievers and hit their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Adani Transmission Ltd. (253.25, 6.36%), Akzo Nobel India Ltd. (2027.10, 0.94%) and Asian Paints Ltd. (1779.00, -2.08%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Dhanuka Agritech Ltd. (290.00, -0.34%) and Dish TV India Ltd. (14.60, -12.31%).

29 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Granules India Ltd. (114.35, 12.66%) and Welspun India Ltd. (55.85, 7.51%). 22 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Infosys Ltd. (639.50, -16.72%) and L&T Technology Services Ltd. (1478.00, -9.83%).

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The Baseline
22 Oct 2019
Results Screener: Stocks with results in past two days, showing profit growth
LIVE: Markets close lower, Infosys falls
Markets closed lower today after a streak of six day gains. The Nifty 50 closed at 11589.90 (-72.0, -0.6%) , BSE Sensex closed at 38963.84 (-334.5, -0.9%) while the broader Nifty 500 closed at 9448.15 (-31.1, -0.3%). Market breadth is neutral. Of the 1679 stocks traded today, 804 were gainers and 780 were losers. 
The biggest drag on the market was Infosys, which fell over 16% after a whistleblower letter alleging over optimistic numbers went public. 
Share price of Bajaj Finance takes a hit after September quarter results. 
Approximately 58 lakh shares of YES Bank have changed hands in a single trade. Share price for the stock is up today. 
Graphite electrode companies are big gainers today, with both HEG and Graphite India up by over 10%.
About 10.8 lakh shares of Indiabulls Housing Finance changed hands in a large deal. Share price for the stock is sharply up.
Infosys is the top loser stock in markets today after news of a letter by a whistleblower group alleging massaging of deal data and controversial remarks by CEO Salil Parekh. With the company opening an investigation, top management bandwidth taken up with these issues can impact coming quarter growth for the firm.
Rekha Jhunjhunwala bought 0.93% in Network18, bringing her total portfolio holding to 2.6%. 
Markets are volatile in morning trade. Nifty 50 was trading at 11699.10 (37.3, 0.3%) , BSE Sensex was trading at 39231.94 (-66.4, -0.2%) while the broader Nifty 500 was trading at 9517.85 (38.7, 0.4%)Market breadth is ticking up strongly. Of the 1432 stocks traded today, 893 showed gains, and 445 showed losses.


Riding High:

Largecap and midcap gainers today include YES Bank Ltd. (56.00, 8.95%), Indiabulls Housing Finance Ltd. (250.85, 8.50%) and Shree Cements Ltd. (20065.60, 7.42%).

Downers:

Largecap and midcap losers today include Infosys Ltd. (691.10, -10.00%), L&T; Technology Services Ltd. (1528.00, -6.78%) and Ambuja Cements Ltd. (194.95, -6.12%).

BSE 500: highs, lows and moving averages

18 stocks overperformed with 52 week highs, while 6 stocks tanked below their 52 week lows.

Stocks touching their year highs included - Asian Paints Ltd. (1808.25, -0.47%), Bata India Ltd. (1792.80, 1.34%) and Dabur India Ltd. (473.10, 1.41%).

Stocks making new 52 weeks lows included - Dhanuka Agritech Ltd. (293.85, 0.98%) and Lakshmi Vilas Bank Ltd. (18.05, -5.00%).

25 stocks climbed above their 200 day SMA including Shree Cements Ltd. (20065.60, 7.42%) and Granules India Ltd. (105.30, 3.74%). 10 stocks slipped below their 200 SMA including Infosys Ltd. (691.10, -10.00%) and L&T; Technology Services Ltd. (1528.00, -6.78%).
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The Baseline
21 Oct 2019
Markets closed for elections, results will continue