Highest Upside

Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail Limited’s (ABFRL) Q3FY25 performance was driven by festive and wedding demand, leading to better LFL growth of key businesses, while overall demand sentiments continued to be muted.

Update note

DreamFolks (DFS) posted a revenue growth of 7.3% QoQ/11.5% YoY to INR3.4b, in line with our estimate of INR3.3b. Gross profit was flat YoY and down 2.5% QoQ to INR382m, with a gross margin of 11.2% (down 110bp QoQ). EBIT margin came in at 6.5%, down 220bp YoY/50bp QoQ. Consolidated PAT was INR169m (down 16% YoY/up 5% QoQ).

Siemens (SIEM) in its FY24 annual report emphasized its strategy to capitalize on the opportunity potential that exists in India from diverse sectors and industries, spurred by favorable government policies, a relatively sanguine macroeconomic situation, and the ongoing global energy transition while also acknowledging the transient hiccups in select segments.

Suspension of Indus Water Treaty to accelerate NHPC projects

A strong set; timing of launches a key monitorable

Stovekraft logged healthy ~12% revenue growth (vs 3% decline at larger peer TTK Prestige), which was in line with the company’s guidance of sustained 8-10% revenue outperformance vs the underlying industry.

In FD, we estimate Swiggy to have gained market share of ~30bps on GOV basis and ~50bps on MTU basis. This is broadly in line with our survey findings.

Integrated Model Driving Sustainable Growth

PVR Inox’s ad revenue grew ~36% QoQ to ~INR 1.48bn (highest quarterly ad-income post Covid) in Q3FY25, which in our view is an encouraging development.

Quarterly Update Q3FY25

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.

Company Update

Sunteck Realty, one of the leading real estate developers in the Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR), has a presence in South & Central, Western and Eastern Suburbs.

Sunteck Realty (SRIN) reported presales of INR6.35b in 3QFY25, up 40% YoY (in line with our estimate of INR6.5b). Traction in uber-luxury projects nearly tripled, with bookings of INR4.2b, or 66% of overall presales. The upper-middle-income segment accounted for 19% of presales

We upgrade Route Mobile to BUY from Add, given favorable risk reward following the 21%/26% correction over 3M/6M and healthy OCF yield (7% annualized for FY25).

Gravita India (GRAVITA) reported strong revenue growth of ~31% YoY in 3QFY25, aided by total volume growth of 33% YoY. The growth was broadbased across segments, with aluminum reporting the highest growth (2.4x YoY), following by plastics (44%) and lead (up 23% YoY). However, adj. EBITDA/kg declined 14% to INR19.1, due to higher sourcing of domestic scrap (44%) in 3Q.