Lupin Ltd. share price target

Lupin reported a mix set of earnings where sales were 4% below our estimates at Rs. 4,895 crore. EBITDA was 4% below our estimates at Rs. 997 crore, while adjusted PAT was in-line with our estimate of Rs. 561 crore.

Niche product approvals and a strong pipeline of new drugs could drive Revenue/PAT CAGR by 10%/19.5% over FY24E-FY26E. We maintain our BUY rating with a Target Price of Rs 1,770/share.

Lupin has recently received approval for a generic version of Oracea (Doxycycline Capsules) in the US market. The company has received approval for 40MG in the US, which is expected to have sales of $128 million in the US market. Lupin has a healthy pipeline of complex generic products in the US market which would aid the company in achieving quarterly US sales of $200-220 million.

Double-digit growth in India business as the company has already increased MR numbers to 1,000, 4) An uptick in the API business as the API industry is witnessing demand revival. Recommendation: BUY

Strong Q3 with EBITDA/PAT of Rs 10.2bn/Rs 6.1bn, beating consensus by 17%/42%