Jindal Steel Ltd. share price target

We recommend a BUY on the stock with a target price of Rs 1,123/share, implying an upside of 10% from the CMP

JSL's Q2FY26 operating performance was in-line with our expectations. Revenue declined 5% QoQ to Rs117bn, primarily due to a 3% decline in NSR (owing to weak steel prices) and a 2% QoQ drop in volumes, mainly impacted by planned shutdowns. Despite volume decline, management maintained its FY26 guidance and expects steelmaking capacity to reach 15.6 mtpa by FY26. Consequently, EBITDA declined 31% QoQ to Rs21bn, with EBITDA/tonne decreasing by 30% QoQ to Rs11,129, weighed down by planned maintenance shutdown and weak realizations. JSL incurred capex of Rs31bn in H1FY26. Net debt decreased by...

About the stock: Jindal Steel (JSL) is one of India's leading steel producers, having Higher volumes and domestic steel price stability to support profitability: In Q2FY26, JSL's EBITDA/ton fell to ~11k (vs 15.8k in Q1FY26), mainly due to higher operating costs of ~250 crore from planned maintenance and metallic purchases. While domestic steel prices are currently down 23% QoQ, management expects an improvement in NovDec'25. With higher volumes and potential price recovery, margins are likely to sustain, with EBITDA/ton projected at 12.9k/14k for...

Having commenced operations at its 3m tonne steel melting shop (SMS), Jindal Steel is on track to expand it by a further 3m tonnes, taking total installed capacity to 15.6m.

Jindal Steel (JINDALST)’s revenue for 2QFY26 stood at INR117b (+4% YoY vs. our estimate of INR107b), declining 5% QoQ due to muted realization.

Jindal Steel (JINDALST) has successfully commissioned a new 3mtpa of crude steel capacity at its Angul plant, expanding the plant’s total steelmaking capacity to 9mtpa.

Jindal Steel is increasing crude steel capacity from 9.6m tonnes to 15.6m and finished steel capacity from 7.25m to 13.75m by FY27-28, making it the fourth largest steel manufacturer in India.

JSP reported adjusted EBITDA of Rs29.8bn (+14.0% vs Emkay estimate; +15.6% vs consensus; +20.3% QoQ).The sequential improvement was mainly led by a reduction in coking coal cost by USD11/t and QoQ better realization, which was partially offset by a 10.8% sequential decline in sales volume (owing to early onset of monsoons and intentional rebuilding of inventories).

JSL's Q1FY26 performance exceeded our estimates on all parameters. Revenue declined 7% QoQ to Rs123bn, primarily due to an 11% drop in volumes, attributed to the early onset of the monsoon and inventory replenishment post Q4FY26 drawdown. Despite volume decline, management maintained its FY26 guidance. Additionally, NSR improved 5% QoQ, driven by better steel prices and higher VAP contribution. Consequently, EBITDA grew 32% QoQ to Rs30bn, with EBITDA/tonne increasing by 42% QoQ to Rs15,819, supported by lower coking coal and conversion costs. JSL incurred capex of Rs22bn in Q1FY26 vs Rs23bn in...

Jindal Steel & Power (JSP) delivered strong cons operating performance in Q1FY26 despite lower volumes. Volumes declined 9% YoY affected by early monsoon. Avg. NSR rose 4.5% QoQ, driven by higher long & flats product prices and increase in value added products. Lower coking coal and PCI benefited EBITDA/t improving to Rs15,680 (ex-fx gains). Commissioning of BF-2 at Angul is in the final stages and hot metal production is expected to commence this month (delayed again) and BOF-2 is also nearing completion. Mgmt. reiterated its earlier FY26 sales volume guidance of 8.59mt....

Jindal Steel and Power (JSPL) has initiated a comprehensive capex plan for its Angul facility to expand its crude steel capacity by 65% to 15.9mtpa and finished steel capacity by 83% to 13.75mtpa.

Jindal Steel & Power (JSP) reported largely in-line cons operating performance in Q4FY25. Volumes grew 6% YoY, driven by higher capacity utilization and inventory liquidation amid stronger domestic demand. Blended NSR rose 0.5% QoQ due to weak pricing in long products, which constitute a higher proportion...

JSP reported adjusted EBITDA of Rs24.8bn (+9.8% vs Emkay; +1.5% vs consensus; +16.4% QoQ), led by lower coking coal cost and sequentially better production and sales volume of 2.1mt.

3QFY25 revenue stood at INR118b (flat YoY/+5% QoQ), below our estimate of INR134b, due to lower-than-expected sales volumes. Sales volume came in at 1.9mt (+5% YoY/+3% QoQ) vs. our est. of 2.18mt.

Q2 results beat our weak expectations; EBITDA margin resilience reflect benefit of captive coal and HSM ramp-up

Jindal Steel & Power’s (JSP) ongoing capacity expansion at Angul (Odisha) will boost the crude steel capacity by 65% to 15.9mtpa and finished steel capacity by 83% to 13.75mtpa.