Axis Bank Ltd. share price target

Axis Bank reported higher slippages led by change in recognizing slippages as Technical Impact. Excluding technical impact also, asset quality deteriorated as slippages increased and NPA inched up to 1.41% vs 1.28% QoQ. Credit growth remain stable at 8% YoY vs 7.8% YoY (Q4FY26), while deposit growth declined to 9% YoY vs 10% YoY (Q4FY26). NIMs declined by 17bps QoQ to 3.8% led by interest reversal and repricing impact; further we expect impact of rate cuts on margins. NII grew by 1% YoY led by lower NIMs. PPoP grew by 14% YoY due to higher other income. Provisions increased by 94% YoY due to higher slippages which resulted PAT...

We believe that easing liquidity conditions by the new RBI governor and greater government spending would drive improvement in Axis Bank’s outlook. We see the +ve macro impetus to drive a re-rating in a quality franchisee with a positive risk-reward.

Sluggish Growth

Yet another soft quarter with moderate advances and deposits growth, with less signs of improvement in the next two quarters

A Tough' business quarter

Axis Bank continues to report weak credit growth, which has now slipped to 9% YoY; this, along with margin contraction (of 6bps QoQ) and higher retail slippages (net at Rs29bn vs Rs22bn in 2Q) led to elevated provisions.

Q3FY25 numbers were weak. Loan growth and deposit growth stood at a multi-quarter low. Slippages were elevated too at 2.3%, a multi-quarter high. Slippages largely attributed to Credit cards, Ppersonal loans, MFI and Agri-portfolio. Asset quality would stablise over the next couple of quarters.

Axis Bank (AXSB) reported 3QFY25 net profit of INR63b (up 3.8% YoY, in line) as lower opex offset higher provisions. In 9MFY25, earnings grew 8.6% YoY to INR192.6b, and we expect 4QFY25 PAT to come in at INR68.4b.

Despite 9% YoY growth in NII, Axis Bank (Axis) reported Q2FY25 PAT of INR 69.2bn, up 18% YoY, driven by strong treasury gains (INR 11.1bn) and contained opex.

Axis Bank reported another soft quarter with credit growth slipping to 11% YoY, while higher slippages/w-offs led to elevated provisions.

Calibrated growth with improved asset quality

Steady balance sheet growth and high non-interest income growth led to healthy 18% y/y PAT growth for Axis Bank.

Axis Bank (AXSB) reported 2QFY25 net profit of INR69.2b (up 18% YoY, 4% beat) as tax reversals and treasury gains offset higher provisions.