State Bank of India share price target

SBI posted a ~6% beat on PAT at Rs192bn/1.1% RoA, led by higher other income (especially treasury gains) and controlled opex, partially offset by higher provisions.

Amidst tough macro environment, SBI reported yet another steady quarter with ~12% YoY growth in loans, deposits and PAT.

*over or under performance to benchmark index State Bank of India (SBI) is India's largest bank, with a vast network of 22,937 branches globally and 63,791 ATMs/CDMs. Through its subsidiaries, SBI offers a diverse range of...

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.

PAT beat our estimates by 5% mainly aided by govt-guaranteed SRs; return ratios stay steady with RoA/RoE of 1.1/17.3% in FY25

SBI saw a decent quarter; while core PPoP beat PLe by 11.3% due to better fees and TWO recoveries, asset quality was soft as provisions were higher at 66bps (PLe 25bps) since (1) write-offs/ageing provisions were more and (2) strong TWO recovery and SR reversal (Rs39bn) provided leeway to front load credit costs. Credit growth is guided to be above system in FY26E; we are factoring a 12% CAGR over FY25-27E. Opex for FY25 was flat at Rs1.18trn due to 9.7% decline in staff cost. For FY26, bank has guided a cost to income of 50-51% with...

State Bank of India (SBIN) reported a 4QFY25 PAT of INR186.4b (in line) with robust treasury gains offsetting higher opex and provisions. NII grew 3% YoY to INR427.7b (in line). NIM stood at 3.0% (1bp QoQ dip) with domestic NIM holding stable at 3.15%.

SBI posted a slightly soft quarter, as credit growth moderated to 12.4% YoY due to pre-payments in the corporate book, while higher opex (staff cost + deposit insurance) and provisions (std assets + investment + PLI incentive) caused a 5% earnings miss, with PAT at Rs186bn/1.1% RoA.

Q4 numbers were a mixed bag. NII at Rs. 42,775 crore (in line) grew by 3% y-o-y/ 3% q-o-q. NIMs were stable, declined marginally by 1 bps q-o-q to 3.0% although outlook on NIMs remains negative. Core fee income growth was healthy at 13% y-o-y/ 36% q-o-q.

Black & White

SBI is expected to sustain healthy performance in terms of growth and profitability in the near to medium term. Loan growth guidance is intact at ~14-15% y-o-y and deposit growth at 10% y-o-y.

Slow & steady wins the race

PAT declined sequentially with lower NII and other income, RoA of 1.09% in 9MFY25

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.

State Bank of India (SBI) reported Q3FY25 PAT of INR 168.9bn (up 84% YoY) led by sharp opex reduction (off high base) and contained credit costs, while revenue growth was muted (up 2% YoY).