Sell

Shree Cement’s (SRCM) Q1FY24 EBITDA (up 14% YoY) was 11% ahead of our estimates on improved performance in power segment. Core cement performance stood broadly in sync with volumes surging 19% YoY/flat QoQ, but realisations slipped ~2% QoQ.

We expect delays in decision-making on IT budgets. Keeping this in view, we recommend a SELL on the stocks.

CEAT’s Q1FY24 EBITDA margin at 13.2% (up ~40bps QoQ) beat consensus estimate of 12%, driven mainly by ~100bps QoQ gross margin improvement. The margin expansion resulted from a decline in raw material basket (RMB) cost (down ~1.5% QoQ) and better product mix.

TechM reported a weak set of numbers on all fronts. Revenue at USD 1,061mn was down 4% QoQ (I-Sec: -2.3%, consensus: -1.2%) due to sharp decline of 9.4% QoQ USD in communications (38% of revenue) and 3.2% QoQ USD decline in BFS (16.1% of revenue).

While Q1FY24 PAT growth of 48.9% YoY was higher than consensus estimates, the results were qualitatively weaker in our view as (1) In-spite of delay in monsoon and stronger Apr’23, the revenue growth was muted at 6.7% YoY, (2) volume growth was 330bps higher than revenue growth indicating mix deterioration and higher volumes of low value products such as putty and (3) B2B portfolio (Industrial paints and Projects) has reported double digit revenue growth indicating weaker growth of consumer portfolio.

Dixon’s Q1FY24 performance was largely driven by growth in mobile and EMS divisions. Other segments reported revenue decline / flat revenues in line with slowdown in the white goods and durable market in India. Company has added new clients in its mobile business (Itel and Xiaomi).

YES Bank has reported weak Q1FY24 earnings with muted business growth, sequential NIM decline, rise in slippages / net NPAs and drop in PCR. Reported PAT came in at INR 3.425bn with annualised RoA at 0.4%. We remain concerned on the bank’s muted operating earnings (PPOP as % of assets at ~1.0% for FY23), where we see only gradual improvement going ahead (1.1-1.3% for FY24E-25E) due to relatively higher gestation period of retail businesses and intense competition.

Quarterly Update Q1FY24