Sector Updates

Government has announced GST 2.0 reforms which aims to rationalize the current multi-slab structure into a simpler framework, with two main rates of 5% and 18%, and a higher 40% slab for luxury and sin goods. For the auto sector, this overhaul...

In our monthly Hotels update we have summarized key events of the domestic hotel industry, new hotels signing/addition by key players during the month and pricing trend of key cities for August, 2025. We have analyzed pricing of 171 hotels with ~33,000 keys across 8 cities to understand the trend over last 24 months (Exhibit 1-8). The industry had another month of ADR improvement on both YoY as well as MoM in key selected markets. We anticipate further strengthening of ADR aided by festive season followed by wedding season. We remain positive on domestic hospitality space led by demand-supply mismatch, FTA, increased corporate travel, and MICE will aid...

Event Update: GST Reform 2.0

India’s auto sales in August 2025 reflected a broadly mixed trend across segments. The industry’s domestic retail performance softened as consumers deferred purchases in anticipation of potential GST cuts

OEM wholesale sales volume for August 2025 came in healthy with 2W & tractor segments outperforming its peers. Notably, exports continue to stage a healthy growth on YoY basis for most of the OEMs. CV space reported healthy volume prints for the month of August 2025 with green shoots of recovery visible in the LCV segment. Maruti performed better than the peers in PV segment while Royal Enfield (Eicher motors) lead the growth charge in 2W domain. M&M continues to decisively dominate the...

We prefer TVS Motors, Hero Motocorp, and Bajaj Auto in 2Ws (Eicher seems fully valued at CMP); M&M (non-coverage) as a play in the PV/LCV/tractor segment, followed by Maruti in PVs. We also like Ashok Leyland in the CV space, followed by a close watch on Eicher (VECV) for any market share gains.

Total sales volumes remained largely flat at 1,80,683 units (-0.6% YoY, +0.1% MoM), as domestic weakness continued to weigh on overall growth, partly offset by resilient exports and steady LCV demand.

Banking sector (non-food) credit growth remains muted in July'25 at ~0.1% MoM (9.9% YoY) vs ~1.1% MoM (9.3% YoY) in June'25. The latest sectoral deployment data showed that credit growth is muted in agri, industry and services sectors, Agri loans (yoy) growth was 7.3% in July'25 vs 6.8% in June'25. Loans to industries yoy growth increased to 6.1% in July'25 vs 5.5% in June'25. Services sector growth increased to 11.1% vs 9.0% YoY in June'25. Growth in loans to NBFCs moderated to 2.6% YoY in July'25 vs 2.6% YoY in June'25. However, loan to retail segment slightly moderated to ~11.4% YoY in July'25 vs 12.1% in June'25. Unsecured loan portfolio...

India’s real GDP growth surprised positively as it accelerated to 7.8% YoY in 1QFY26 (highest in five quarters), up from 6.5% in 1QFY25 and well above our expectations of 6.5% (Exhibit 1).

The proposed GST rate rationalization has created uncertainty among consumers, leading to the postponement of purchase decisions, most noticeably in the PV segment, and to a lesser extent in 2Ws.

With a strong start to FY26, the Indian hospitality industry is well poised to continue its growth momentum, with healthy RevPAR growth in FY26.

Value fashion continues to outperform the premium and branded apparel retailers, underpinned by structural tailwinds.

Total card spends saw a strong rebound during July'25, coming in at 1.94L Cr versus 1.83L Cr in June'25. Credit card spends rose by ~6% MoM (vs a ~3.6% decline in June'25), though YoY growth moderated to ~12.2% (vs ~15.2% in June'25). Cards-inforce stood at ~111.6Mn as of July'25, up ~6.8% YoY but broadly stable on a MoM basis. Net new card additions picked up to ~4.2 lakhs (vs just ~0.07 lakhs in June'25), led by HDFCB (~3.15 lakhs), AXISB (~1.2 lakhs) and SBI (~0.8 lakh). Transaction volumes also improved, rising ~6% MoM (vs ~2% decline in June'25) and ~27% YoY (vs ~28% in June'25). Festive seasonality and steadier macros point to firmer spends in the coming months, with UPI-linked credit lines expanding acceptance at QR rails and...

Results and management commentaries of the key 25 companies across industrials, defense, and railways demonstrated sustained base ordering activity, along with a strong prospect pipeline for transmission, defense, and renewables, despite the absence of large orders during the quarter.

The banking sector’s earnings growth has been increasingly driven by non-core treasury gains even as NII growth has decelerated significantly due to sharp loan repricing and elevated funding costs.

Our widespread consumer coverage universe, with a combined revenue of ~INR4,800b and a market cap of ~INR35,000b, registered aggregate revenue and EBITDA growth of 12%/5% in 1QFY26 and 8%/2% in FY25.

Top Conviction Ideas - Trent; Avenue Supermarts

Top Conviction Ideas - Varun Beverages; DOMS Industries