Downgrades

Restaurant Brands Asia (RBA) posted a 12% YoY India revenue growth (inline), led by a 13% YoY increase in store additions. The same-store sales rose 5%, led by dine-in traffic growth and value offerings.

Consolidated revenue stood at Rs. 1,178.8 crore (up 9.3% y-o-y) in Q4FY25, while OPM grew 18 bps y-o-y to 10.3%.

Strong operating performance, combined with moderate provisions kept Karur Vysya Bank’s profitability robust, with 1.73% RoA (down 1bp q/q). Headline asset quality remained stable, with GNPA at 0.76% (down 7bps q/q) and NNPA at 0.2% (stable q/q).

Pricol reported a weak Q4 with core revenue growth/EBITDA margin (ex-P3L) below our estimate of 9.7%/12.2% amid muted 2W segment revenue (on OBD 2B regulation change), supply chain disruptions, and delayed exports.

GR Infra continues to tread water on order inflow front, with total OI of INR 140bn in FY25 & FY24 combined - matching FY23’s tally as the ordering in roads remained subdued.

BHEL is the poster child of the Indian thermal power industry. India has recognised the need for building new base load plants despite energy transition.

Tube Investments’ (TIINDIA) 4QFY25 performance was in line with our estimates, with PAT growth of 5% YoY to INR2.6b. Growth drivers from hereon include the ramp-up of a new facility in Nashik for the Engineering division and the INR10b new order win from Railways.

Delhivery’s Q4FY25 print was a mixed bag, with revenue missing our estimate by 4% while EBITDA registered an 18% beat. The B2C segment continued to track its muted trajectory, growing only 3% YoY due to subdued demand and insourcing by Meesho.

Vinati Organics (VO)’s 4QFY25 revenue came in line at INR6.5b. Gross margin expanded 80bp YoY to 47.4%, while EBITDAM was up 100bp YoY at 28.3%. EBITDA increased 22% YoY to INR1.8b and PAT grew 22% to INR1.3b (our est. INR1.2b). All the key segments reported strong growth in FY25.

LICHF’s 4QFY25 PAT grew ~25% YoY to ~INR13.7b (~7% beat). FY25 PAT grew ~14% YoY to INR54.3b. 4Q NII declined ~3% YoY to ~INR21.7b (~6% beat).