Downgrades

Triveni Turbine (TRIV)’s 4QFY25 results came in line with our expectations. For FY25, domestic order inflows were up 29% YoY, boosted by one-time large order inflow worth INR2.9b.

During Q4FY25, Asian Paint’s revenue came in at INR 83,589 Mn., down 4.3% YoY (-2.2% QoQ), below our estimates by 3.3%, led by muted demand coupled with downtrading.
EBITDA stood at INR 14,362 Mn, down 15.1% YoY (-12.3% QoQ), below our estimates by 19.8%, mainly driven by higher-than-expected other expenses and weaker revenue traction.

ABB India’s 1QCY25 results were lower than our estimates. Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 3% each YoY for the quarter was impacted by softer execution, particularly in the process automation segment.

Zee Entertainment’s (Zee) revenue was largely flat at INR22b (+10% QoQ, 5% beat) as the impact of weak domestic ad revenues (-27% YoY) was offset by a 3.2x YoY jump in other sales and services (movie releases).

In 4QFY25, BHFC (standalone) posted a 9% YoY decline in PAT to INR3.6b (in line). The key highlight of 4Q was that the US subsidiary achieved EBITDA break-even for the first time in many quarters.

Escorts Kubota’s (ESCORTS) Q4 results were ahead of our estimates, with better-than-expected margins in the tractor segment. Both MM and tractors reported a healthy margin revival QoQ in a seasonally weak quarter.

Asian Paints (APNT) posted a weak 4QFY25, with consolidated/standalone revenue declining 4%/5% YoY (lower than est). Domestic volume grew 1.8% YoY.

With 6% volume growth (4% in India business) and 21.1% EBITDA margin (Street’s estimate at 20.4%), Godrej Consumer posted broadly in-line Q4 results.

Q4FY25 consolidated revenue of Rs. 37,825 crore was up 1.1% y-o-y. Volume and realization growth were both tepid and almost flat y-o-y. The volume growth has been slow overall due to increase in captive consumption of coal.

COAL reported a strong quarterly performance, with Q4FY25 EBITDA at Rs132.9bn (+2.5% vs Emkay; +17.3% vs consensus). The performance in Q4 profitability is on the back of better-than-expected e-auction premiums, lower employee cost, and lower reversal from stripping activity.