Downgrades

We cut FY26/FY27 EPS estimates by 0.7/3.5%, factoring in lower other income due to Rs4bn one time dividend paid in 3Q25. Operating parameters are showing an improvement led by 1) better demand conditions, supported by a higher number of wedding days in 1H26. 2) Stable store-level economics, aided by expansion into Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities. 3) BIS-related issues are expected to fully normalize over the next 912 months and 4) peaked out losses in FILA and expected scale up in Foot Locker and FILA from 2H26. Metro Brands Ltd (MBL)'s growth plans remain on track led by 1) Entry into...

incentives of Rs350mn and expect Rs510mn over FY26/27. The company expects MDF/plywood margin of 12%/7-8% in FY26. We had considered consolidated EBITDA margin of 11.8% with 1) steep increase in timber prices, 2) higher OEM vol in the MDF segment, 3) lower domestic volumes, and 4) lower realization with competition in MDF. Timber prices will continue to impact margins in coming quarters. The management has indicated moderation in...

Quarterly Update Q4FY25

Q4 revenue declined ~11%/21% YoY/QoQ, as price pressure impacted realisations by 4% and profitability severely (down by 83% YoY)

Sales 3% higher vs consensus likely on strong cigarette volumes. EBITDA 5% above cons. on higher margins

Sales/EBITDA/APAT were lower than our estimates by 3.5%/9.6%/29.4%. ETR for 4QFY25 stood at 32.9% including 1x tax expense of Rs 3.7bn

TBO Tek’s overall GTV grew 3.7% y/y to Rs77.9bn due to slight impact from Ramadan-induced seasonality in Mar’25 and full consolidation of Jumboonline.

Oil production in KG-Basin to ramp up from 35kbopd to 45kbopd Mixed production profile of standalone oil (+0.4% QoQ) and gas (-1.9% QoQ) combined with marginally higher oil price realization of USD73.7/bbl in Q4 vs USD72.6/bbl in Q3FY25 resulted in revenues of Rs349.8bn, +3.8% QoQ. EBITDA of Rs190bn (+0.2% QoQ) was 3.8% higher than our est of 183.2bn & consensus of Rs179.7bn. Much higher DDA led by write-offs resulted in PBT declining by 20% QoQ to Rs88bn (PLe Rs107bn) despite growth in rev. PAT stood at...

reflecting a 15.9% YoY increase and a 9.5% QoQ growth. The top-line expansion of HALS rose significantly to 1,900tn in FY25 from 600tn in FY24, with a blended realization of Rs425/kg. Management has guided for HALS volumes to reach 4,500tn in FY26, with realizations expected to improve to Rs495...