New Research Reports

Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB) reported a standalone 4QFY25 PAT of ~INR35.5b (6% miss on MOFSLe), because of higher provisions (to shore up PCR, partly due to AIF provisions of INR560m). Consol. PAT stood at INR49b (5% QoQ growth and 8% YoY decline) in 4QFY25.

State Bank of India (SBIN) reported a 4QFY25 PAT of INR186.4b (in line) with robust treasury gains offsetting higher opex and provisions. NII grew 3% YoY to INR427.7b (in line). NIM stood at 3.0% (1bp QoQ dip) with domestic NIM holding stable at 3.15%.

SBI posted a slightly soft quarter, as credit growth moderated to 12.4% YoY due to pre-payments in the corporate book, while higher opex (staff cost + deposit insurance) and provisions (std assets + investment + PLI incentive) caused a 5% earnings miss, with PAT at Rs186bn/1.1% RoA.

Q4 numbers were a mixed bag. NII at Rs. 42,775 crore (in line) grew by 3% y-o-y/ 3% q-o-q. NIMs were stable, declined marginally by 1 bps q-o-q to 3.0% although outlook on NIMs remains negative. Core fee income growth was healthy at 13% y-o-y/ 36% q-o-q.

Q4FY25 numbers were weak. NII, at Rs. 7,284 crore (marginally below estimates), grew by 5% y-o-y/1% q-o- q. Net interest margin (NIM) was broadly stable q-o-q, improved by 4 bps q-o-q to 4.97% benefiting from the lower day count in Q4 although outlook on NIMs remains negative.

Exceeding estimates, Eternal’s Q4 saw strong execution in Blinkit, with the GOV growing ~20.8% q/q, 134% y/y, and the contribution margin expanding ~10bps q/q, which is encouraging, given heightened competition and aggressive dark store addition (~294 added; ~40% of the total 1,301 stores added in the last two quarters).

Eternal delivered broadly inline operating performance in Q4. Revenue grew 7.9% QoQ, better than our estimate, led by Quick Commerce (QC) and Hyperpure. Food Delivery GOV saw a decline of 1.4% QoQ, due to persistent sluggishness in the demand environment, temporary shortage of delivery partners owing to high demand in QC, and increased competition from packaged food delivery in QC.

Adjusted EBITDA profitability in Q4FY25 was above our estimates (act. INR 0.7bn vs. est. INR 0.1bn). This was achieved by containing quick commerce (QC) losses despite adding 294 dark stores and 1mn sq.ft. warehousing space in a quarter with seasonally lower AOV (-5.9% QoQ).

We believe near-term profitability is likely to impact margins owing to increased competition. Hence, we downgrade the stock to HOLD.

Adani Ports & SEZ (APSEZ) reported a revenue growth of 23% YoY to INR85b in 4QFY25 (in-line). Cargo volumes grew 8% YoY to 118mmt. The growth was primarily led by containers. In FY25, APSEZ managed ~27% of the country’s total cargo and ~45% of container cargo.